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stuart: good morning. 10:00 eastern. it is tuesday, october 1st, we bring that song because dockworkers walked off the job at midnight. we will follow the strike all morning long. money news, dow 200 points, the nasdaq is also close to 200 points. there are some selling in red ink on the left of the screen. the 10 year treasury yield is going down 6 basis points. 3. 70 one%. one%. oil $70 a barrel. it is down 62-9 is the latest quote. and important story breaking. a senior white house official says iran is trying to prepare the imminent launch of a ballistic missile to attack israel.

he also says a direct military attack from iran against israel will carry severe consequences for iran. separately, reuters reports the israeli military is targeting lebanon's capital. beirut. serious stuff. we are monitoring the situation. we got the latest read on the jeweled report. lauren: 8. 02 million jobs open, that was higher than july. more jobs available. workers available for companies that need them. consistent with a weakening labor market. stuart: also the news on manufacturing. stuart: this was contracting six months. 47. 2 flat from the prior month, september, 47.2 disappointment.

prices fell, surprisingly larger. stuart: the news from the middle east, maybe the news about manufacturing is putting more downward pressure on the market, dow is off 238, nasdaq down just over 219 points. now this. port workers on strike, they want a 70% wage increase, no more automation. fruit and vegetable supplies will start to dwindle. any longer than that and the economy takes a hit. the president says we will not intervene. just a few miles from the east coast ports residents struggling with the catastrophe known as hurricane helene. they are conscious of a crippling strike on their turf. the longshoreman are not going to get much public support. they make six figure incomes, demanding wage hikes that would make many of them $300,000 a

year. crane operators closer to half a million. residents of devastated north carolina will not be happy if the supplies they need to recover i tied up in port. president biden is not looking good if the country suffers from a preventable strike. presumably kamala harris feels the same way. she's not saying what she would do. biden is going along with the interests of some well-paid workers and not the interests of the country as a whole. the issue of automation is highly contentious. the union doesn't want it. efficiency demands it. biden and the union stand opposed to making our ports competitive. my guess is the pressure mounts to the point where the president is forced to step in. the president can bring strikes to a end in the country is harm to. that is what is happening now. we are being held to ransom. just ask the people of north carolina what they think about 6-figure guys holding up their

recovery. north carolina is an important state and biden knows it. bill mcgurn with me this morning, the pressure will get so extreme that in my opinion the president will be forced to step in. what do you say to that? >> it is likely. a strike at the ports would be devastating. we know from little disruptions like the bridge of maryland what the damage can do but i was struck by the point you made, the amazing point is they want no automation. it's normal for unions and workers to want more money. that's nothing new. but they also don't want the ports to modernize. we have to modernize. we have to stay competitive or else it will be like any industry. a minor strike in britain, part

of it was money but part was they wanted to preserve the jobs for their children and so forth and the immune to outside pressures. stuart: they are immune to efficiency and immune to moving ahead. >> competition. stuart: you've got a new op-ed about how j.d. vance can win tonight's debate. spell. how does he win? >> clearly the polls show donald trump winning on most of the issues. the biden record is very unpopular. kamala harris has been allowed to get her away, running away both for her positions as a presidential candidate in 2020 and running away from her record as vice president and i think j.d. vance should do what donald trump failed to do. he did it in pieces but j.d.

vance has to make the debate about the biden record and hang it around tim walz's neck. stuart: let's see if he can win. a reminder you can watch the cbs news vice president of debate tonight, starts at 9:00 pm leading up to the debate. the bottom line is on this network tonight. what is donald trump saying? what is he saying about the possibility of a second debate with kamala harris? lauren: he told kellyanne conway the debates are too rigged. >> 2 or 3 more debates, i like it. it is so stacked, you will see it tomorrow, it will be stacked. going up against a moron, total moron, how she picked him is

unbelievable. i think it is a big factor. there something wrong with that guy. he is sick. there's never been a time in our country where people want a change so badly. lauren: the debate is on cbs, the moderators will not be fact checking tim walz or j.d. vance. they will be fact checking each other and their mics will be on. at nearly all times. you can't make the argument that it is that rigged when they can check each other. when viewers watch tonight they are viewing it on policy and style and vance, like trump, needs to watch how they talk down to whether people. stuart: back to the market. pull up the dow industrials, the s&p and the nasdaq. they are moving south. the us has indications that iran is preparing to launch a ballistic missile attack against israel that will be very serious development in international relations,

extension of the war and would like to know what america's response would be if this happens. that's weighing on the market. to the dock strike, 45,000 workers on strike. tom hayes joins me to watch the market. you accept biden to intervene? i'm suggesting in my opinion piece. >> agree with you. biden will intervene. he doesn't know it yet. the last thing we see going into an election is 401(k)s going down of the cost of eggs and supplies to north carolina going up. this could be if they fumbled the ball the best thing that ever happened to donald trump in terms of the election, we front road a lot of shipping into the east coast. for the next week it will only cost 3 or $4 billion. after the first week it could cost $4 billion a day. people will feel that and in a seasonally weak period of the stock market, the next ten days

election years, the most volatile returns of the year of an election year. you compound that with israel, iran, the strike, and if it's not resolved, we let this cooldown sometime in november. stuart: you are telling me that if the strike lasts two weeks, say, the market will take a hit regardless of what president biden does. >> no question about it. the market will extrapolate what that means, can't get goods. home depot will be hit. and the holiday supply by the end of september. it is dead on the mat because

prices are up, they associate that with the harris/biden administration. stuart: back to this breaking story. the us has indications that iran is ready to launch a ballistic missile attack against israel. i'm saying that's part of the reason for the market's decline, down 330 on the dow industrials. is a big negative? >> we had indications of this headline mid last weekend when we saw this volatile laddie. this is a factor and you have to think about it. stuart: on screen right now the yield on the 10 year treasury is down, the result of people putting money in 10 year treasuries. forcing the price up and the yield down. oil is at $70 a barrel on this breaking story. one more point.

>> last time i was on, if you are on margin come off margin and the skew which is the price to ensure, hit 10 year high, in the last week, doesn't guarantee a correction but it indicates we are invested but off of margin, ride out the short-term bumps and do fine after the election. we made a lot of money. not right now. stuart: good stuff today. tell me what's going on with apple. a big loser. lauren: it's down 3%. two problems. barclay says their channel checks indicate the iphone 16 orders have been cut. little demand and in india, a fire at a plant that makes parts for the iphone that get hit their production and reportedly asking suppliers in china to fill up.

stuart: how about meta. they are down. lauren: they are up and at a new high. in this market malaise, this is a big winner, pivotal research initiated, check the price target, $780, ac strong revenue growth thanks to people using their product and the company being able to charge more for them. stuart: walter bettinger. lauren: 16 years ago, 2008, 2 one hundred $17 billion from $18 billion. good job, stock down. stuart: he is leaving stocks down. thank you very much. cnn admits donald trump could win over the working class. >> data point jump off the street, union, democratic margin, not what it used to be.

stuart: charles payne is going to respond to that. the wall street journal reports americans are more dependent than ever on government handouts. there are now indications that iran is preparing the imminent launch of a ballistic missile to attack israel. the white house is responding. report from washington is next. ♪ when you're looking for answers, it's good to have help. because the right

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the moment i met him i knew he was my soulmate. "soulmates." soulmate! [giggles] why do you need me? [laughs sarcastically] but then we switched to t-mobile 5g home internet. and now his attention is spent elsewhere. but i'm thinking of her the whole time. that's so much worse. why is that thing in bed with you? this is where it gets the best signal from the cell tower! i've tried everywhere else in the house! there's always a new excuse. well if we got xfinity you wouldn't have to mess around with the connection. therapy's tough, huh? -mmm. it's like a lot about me. [laughs] a home router should never be a home wrecker. oo this is a good book title. stuart: a breaking story the middle east which is having a negative impact on the market, down doctoral down 300, nasdaq down 329. a senior white house official says iran is preparing the imminent launch of a ballistic

missile to attack israel. ask io's said the attack will be in the next few hours. that having repercussions throughout the markets. the 10 year treasury, the lowest yield since september 18th. a flight to safety. investors want the safety of the tenure security, that pushes up the price and the yield comes down. that the flight to safety and so is this. the yield is coming down to 360. a sure sign a flight to safety. the vicks poinsettia one month high. that means intense volatility and it is up 22%. price of oil, shy of $70 a barrel. madeleine rivera joins me. what the pentagon saying about the ballistic missile attack on israel.

>> they are monitoring this closely. lloyd austin and the defense minister spoke in southern lebanon. the biden administration is showing up its posture in the middle east, they escalated the situation. this includes military personnel and fighter jet squadrons adding to f-15 strike eagle's, f-16, a tenet is 22 private jets in the region. f-16s played a big role when it shot down the attack in israel. the planes that were coming and were supposed to replace that, they doubled the available airpower. that brings the total number of troops in the area to 40,000, they are not combat troops but maintenance crews and those who

helped with the fueling. >> we've seen the rhetoric with iran. we have to take that seriously. it is something we are watching closely whether it's a response from iran, hezbollah, proxy groups in iraq and syria. we have to take that rhetoric seriously. >> a senior white house officials is a direct military attack from iran against israel will carry severe consequences for iran. there are other measures like the usa's abraham lincoln carrier strike group past its rotation date. another us carrier, the uss harry truman is headed to the mediterranean sea. so far that is not stopping houthis who yesterday downed a union. stuart: thanks. there's all kinds of questions about this developing story. if there is a missile attack

from iran on israel and it gets through and hits israel, what happens then? who responds to the israelis go after iran? what does america do? we have all kinds of forces in the region? what would we do? you see it on the markets. the dow down 340, nasdaq is down 311. there's a flight to safety, at its lowest since september 18th, down 370 one. people purchase this because it is safe, the price goes up, yield goes down. the same with the 2-year treasury. that's a flight to safety. 360 is the yield. the vicks measures volatility. lauren: near 20% jump on this news and the fears are this could be the october surprise. it happens in the political

sphere. a double whammy today. stuart: christian whiten on the phone with us now. i'm trying to imagine what happens if there is a ballistic missile attack on israel. what is our response? if they launch this thing? what is our response? what is his relapse response? >> it could mirror the previous attack with cruise missiles against israel which was largely defeated except a few rare instances. israel says they've not detected any lunches yet. after the successes against iran it has to do something to retaliate but iran is running scared. they might do a minimalist response to see them reacting. there's the question of what we should do and will do. what we will do is urge de-escalation. what we should do is go after

iran, to put sanctions back on and put the regime on the back heal. stuart: with aircraft barriers to shoot down the missile? >> i forget where the carriers are, maybe a little vague with that. we need to know if our arabian golf allies and for ballistic missiles owned by the gulf. stuart: is it going to change president biden's response to this? he's calling for a cease-fire, de-escalation, that's clearly not happening, there's escalation here. where does biden stand now? >> he or the white house staff

and secretary of state calling the shots, are stuck in the same year which is just what you described. that is some achievement after four years in afghanistan or ukraine, china, it's a broken record, they call for de-escalation when it is iran that brought us to this in the first place. stuart: we should tell our viewers that the idf suggests israeli troops will be going at beirut. thanks for being with us on the spur of the moment. the other big story of the day, ports to write, negotiations hit a wall, grady trimble has the report from the port of baltimore next.

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stuart: serious developments in the release, morgan ortagus, the great unknown is how israel

will respond if this missile is launched and/or it gets through. what will the israelis do? >> you have to peel back, not just how they respond to specific incident but how they responded for the past year. hezbollah began shooting rockets at israel october rate of next year, 10,000 rockets in a year. benjamin netanyahu has been warning they need to stop with of these rockets or they would face the consequences of which they have seen. to go all the way back to the 2006 war between israel and hezbollah that is when you had more significant ground than you did today. all the lessons learned from biden that was a difficult ground invasion for israel. at the united nations and

international agreement in the demarcation line to feel safe and sick you are. that is why we are in this. stuart: this is a direct attack from iran to israel. a ballistic missile. more than rockets from israel. this is a ballistic missile. we don't know if it will be launched. it is imminent but we don't know. it's a much more serious than rockets from hezbollah and lebanon. >> reporter: iran has done this which we saw it three months ago. the line has been crossed. iran has directed directly attack israel. they had intelligence support from the united states. this is not the first time this happened.

this has happened, and how will israel respond? the ayatollah, if they didn't believe israel were serious they should over the past two weeks. you saw the veiled threat from benjamin netanyahu in which he said he believes regime change was coming quicker than people imagined in iran. you also have to remember the gulf arabs are cheering this on. we what i would have to say if the missile is launched and if it gets through and hit israel all hell breaks loose. that would be my opinion. let's see what happens. thanks for joining us. you can see this worked out in the markets, dow is down 350. a flight to safety with treasury yields coming up and prices going up. you are looking at the oil companies. >> reporter: conoco up 2%, ditto for exxon mobil. the price of oil is up 3% on

fears that iran is preparing a direct attack on israel. stuart: defense companies got to do well. >> reporter: lockheed martin and northrop grumman at 3. 2% today. this is that sense of fear in the market that something's happening. stuart: there's a lot going on. back to the dockworkers strike. it shut down 36 ports on the east and gulf coasts. grady trimble in baltimore, where do negotiations stand? >> reporter: negotiations aren't really happening. that is why you see these workers at the port of baltimore, 2400 workers at this port alone on strike, 45,000 international longshoremen's association members on strike from texas up north to maine. our colleague lydia hu spoke to

the president of the organization, he's praising the president and julie sue saying she's doing a good job getting the two sides to the table but that's not how a lot of industry associations feel. they say the biden/harris administration isn't doing enough. president biden could invoke the taft-hartley act to make these workers stay on the job while negotiations continue. the chamber of commerce calling on president biden to invoke that so is the association of manufacturers and the national retail federation but president biden is saying no. the cost to the economy could be massive. it could be 2. one billion dollars in impact to the us economy this week and then they say as supply-chain grinder to a halt it could be worse. here we are on day one.

doesn't seem like negotiations are happening. manufacturers, truckers, retailers are frustrated by this strike and the workers don't plan to go back to work anytime soon. stuart: thanks very much. earlier this morning the latest read on manufacturing came as a surprise. charles payne is studying this. charles: expansion below 50 contraction. manufacturing has been contracting. stuart: biden/harris as argued they brought it back to america. charles: these numbers are stunning. the employment art is worrisome. it was down two percentage points. that is devastating. inventories were down. only good news was prices finally contracting, maybe

because there's lack of demand. we asked different questions. almost all of them saying demand is weakening, softness continues, that kind of thing, not great going into the rest of the year. this is not good news. we won political implications from that. stuart: adults never came out. the headline was better-than-expected but the headline doesn't matter as much as the quits rate, that was level since 2020. for the private sector, almost every category, when people aren't quitting. they say tomorrow but the pendulum has swung. stuart: the port strike if it drags on, does that become a negative for the stock market. charles: for the people being

heard in the economy, one day of strikes equal five days of repercussions. we need to remember most americans never heard of the supply chain at least as a common term. we just fixed the supply-chain. this will wreck that supply-chain if it lingers too long. stuart: another political negative. charles: he doesn't believe in intervention. on top of the storms, the lackluster response to the storms, on top of that if you make it to the supermarket some shelves will be empty. if you find it it will cost more. we went imagine living in north carolina trying to recover and you see some guys making $200,000 a year holding up the supplies which will let you recover. they won't be happy about that. stuart: they have a chance to say they wouldn't intervene but for the sake of the nation particularly those hit hard you want to do something different. stuart: we will watch you. on making money at 2:00 p.m.

eastern on fox business. let's get to a little politics. donald trump will head to wisconsin today. he's making two stopped in the must win state. balls are razor thin. very close. richardson has that story from milwaukee next. ♪ ♪ (husband) we just want to have enough money for retirement. (wife) and travel to visit our grandchildren. (fisher investments) i understand. that's why at fisher investments we start by getting to know each other. so i can learn about your family, lifestyle, goals and needs, allowing us to tailor your portfolio. (wife) what about commission- based products? (fisher investments) we don't sell those. we're a fiduciary, obligated to act in your best interest. (husband) so how do your management fees work? (fisher investments) we have a transparent fee, structured so we do better when you do better.

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stuart: it is a down market, a ballistic missile attack from israel, and the nasdaq is 300 points. donald trump will hold two campaign events in wisconsin, this shows a razor thin race in the badger state.

>> it is a trump conversation that will touch on a bunch of things. and later in the afternoon. the new york times see in see in a paul showing the former president trails kamala harris by a couple points here. that is well within the margin of error. swing state voters saying a lot, trouble in georgia yesterday in the aftermath of hurricane helenethan a spent the weekend in pennsylvania and here on the other end of the state in wisconsin. on saturday, an event on migrants and crime. the congressional bill tapped conditions on the border, trump's speech tonight leads into his running mate, j.d. vance, trump says he's confident in vance. >> i think he's going to do great. is a smart guy doing a great

job and i think, i don't think should have been chosen. he is not qualified. >> reporter: vance has been preparing for this dba in minnesota, the accent. in michigan, thursday, north carolina, saturday, the former president heads to butler, pennsylvania. stuart: thank you very much. the us embassy has directed all government employees and family members to shelter in place until further notice. this follows a report that a ballistic missile attack is imminent. victoria coates, national security expert. if this missile is launched, whether it gets through or not, how do you think israel will respond?

>> good to be with you. this would be the second time iran attacked israel, the first being in april. for israel not to respond, prime minister benjamin netanyahu brings great unity as it has shown in the last three weeks they are done with that approach. they haven't seen it deter iran successfully so if they fire something off i think the israeli and us missile defense systems should be able to handle it. at the same time, i think israel is going to have to retaliate to restore deterrence. stuart: what should we do? the united states? should we use it? should down the missile? >> absolutely, it needs to be a maritime reception, the united states is capable of doing that with british -- the current

leadership in london indicated they are not going to participate this time. we should be standing lockstep with israel, iran is the enemy, the houthi to two more ships in the red sea, nobody is talking about it but it is so disruptive to global commerce, no repercussions for these attacks. the united states needs to put his foot down. stuart: the united states is talking about de-escalation. a cease-fire. is it time we abandoned that approach? don't know what to replace it with but time to abandon the cause of the de-escalation calls? >> absolutely. we have been doing this for 40 years where we've been calling for de-escalation to move to the united nations,

accommodation for hezbollah and hamas. it failed over and over again. i think the policy donald trump adopted which is no daylight between the united states and israel, israel is our ally in the middle east, that led to breakthroughs. what this administration is doing is the status quo. we want appeasement does not work. thank you for being with us. appreciate you being here. stuart: changing the subject completely, it is jimmy carter's 100th birthday, the only president ever to reach that milestone. president biden sent a message to carter earlier today. >> president biden: you have always been a moral force for the nation. i continue to bless you, mr. president. you've been a good friend. stuart: honoring carter with this 100 installation on the north lawn.

the 39th president is in hospice care in georgia. his family says he keeps up with the news of the day and the atlanta baseball team, the braves. check those markets again, stocks on the downside. senior white house officials say iran is preparing to launch imminently. actio's says it will be in the next few hours. a breaking story, we will bring you the latest. treasure island, florida devastated by hurricane helenhe, the power is out and the city is described as a war zone. the mayor of treasure island joins us with an update on recovery. we have an update. .

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stuart: as we've been reporting a senior white house official says iran plans on launching an attack on israel in the next few hours. the us embassy in israel directed employees and their families to shelter in place. talk on the downside upset the markets, nasdaq down 300 points. the price of oil on the upside. that is up 18%. clelia shipping company is doing well with what's going on

in the least. dow is down 260, nasdaq down 320. modes and debris cutting off roads, complicating hurricane relief in north carolina. steve harrigan joins us from asheville. you are having trouble with food and water supplies? >> reporter: they've separate distributional points for food and water supplies, you have to bring your own buckets, just tankers at this point and is growing sense of frustration here about the slow pace of recovery as far as ieee goes, there is 300,000 people without electric power, that is down since yesterday but slightly down. when we are out and about talking to people, one of the biggest angers they have is over a shortage of water. here's one art studio owner, what he had to say about that. >> if you can't flush your toilets and don't have enough water to drink, you might be

able to do okay without electricity for a few more days but water, i have learned, i didn't know that until this happened, looks like water is the biggest problem. >> how long since you had water? >> four five days at least. >> how are you handling that? >> i'm doing okay. a lot of people are leaving town. i'm concerned about looting so i don't want to leave town. >> reporter: that is a situation. that business owner and other people are in here as well who don't have water but you are scared to leave because of looters. stuart: steve harrigan in the middle of it, thanks very much. take a look at this drone footage which shows the destruction left behind by helentree in treasure island, florida just west of tampa. tyler payne is the mayor of treasure island and joins me

now. your honor, can you describe the extent of the damage in your town? >> thank you for having me. it is very vast damage. we didn't get a terrible amount of wind damage but the flooding was devastating for our residents. we are barrier island just off of st. petersburg. we have about 6000 residents. a lot of single-family homes that haven't been elevated. most of the houses here had two feet if not three, four, five feet of water at the peak of the storm surge. these homes are devastated. stuart: very sad situation. tell us how long you expect cleanup to last. when can you recover from this? >> cleanup will take a long time. you can see behind me everyone in the neighborhood is pulling all of their furniture and

belongings out of their homes. we have 6000 residents, existing contracts up in cities. we are prepared to hollow that debris away but there's a lot of stuff to get out. a long road to recovery. stuart: thanks for coming on the show to tell us how bad it is in treasure island which thanks for joining us. jimmy failla with bill hemmer and tony gonzalez and the latest on an imminent missile strike in israel.

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it's a good thing! so look, why don't you get the facts like these folks did and see if a reverse mortgage could work for you. call finance of america and get your free, info kit. call this number. >> the key for the trump campaign is to tie harris to those economic feelings and then force her at some level to explain if it which we know she cannot. >> you had a biden administration that spent bills like the inflation reduction act that did the opposite. they've crushed middle class families. >> these contracts don't just pop up. they've known about this for months and, again, you have an administration that's concerned with god only knows, not resolving things for the american people. >> it's all about the money, that's what they're going to negotiate on. that's what a really matters. the automation, i bet, won't matter in the end. >>.