this morning on "today's take," the race is on. donald trump finishing second in iowa. the democrats in a dead heat. what happens next? george clooney, channing tatum and more when we mark your calendar in entertainment. plus, the colleges that give you the most bang for your buck. all that and more coming up now. >> announcer: fm nbc news, this is "today's take," with al roker, natalie morales, willie geist and tamron hall, live from studio 1a in rockefeller plaza. >> welcome to "today." it's tuesday morning, february 2nd, 2016. it's groundhog day.

>> what's that from? >> the movie "groundhog day." >> you haven't seen the movie? >> just for you, tamron. >> i know the gopher is in the hole. it's not a gopher. that's "caddyshack." >> it's one of the best bill murray movies. >> i have a flight tonight. guess what i'm watching? >> this is my morning jam. "bang my head" by david guetta featuring sia and fetty wap. >> trifecta of music greatness. >> that's on my running play list. i love it. >> is that your kids' recommendations? >> i heard it. >> when he goes out in the clubs. >> that's right. >> what's this? >> exactly. >> groundhog's day. here's the deal, 129 years, they

17 times, phil has not seen his shadow. if he sees his shadow, six more weeks of winter. doesn't see the shadow, early spring. >> got it. >> it's clear, clear skies all around punxsutawney. here's what happened at 7:25. >> let's see. >> gobbler's knob. i love that name. >> ready? there is no shadow to be cast. an early spring is my forecast. >> he talks, too. >> he talks and acts. >> does everything. >> he should have seen his shadow, but they decided this year he didn't. >> how do they determine it? >> it's rare. >> how do they determine if he sees it or not? >> he whispers it to them. >> he's the groundhog whisperer. >> early spring for us? >> we like that. >> the national weather service says he's only been right 55% of the time. however, he is a groundhog.

>> i love that he takes the average. >> he's competition. there you go. >> speaking of competition, last night. >> iowa, big night. this campaign is finally underway. we have votes to report. despite donald trump leading in the polls in the weeks leading up to the iowa caucus, ted cruz won with 28% of the vote. donald trump at 24%. marco rubio, really big part of the story last night, creeping up, knocking on the door of second place. he finished third behind donald trump. cruz came out and thanked his voters in his speech and took shots at donald trump and hillary clinton. >> iowa has sent notice that the republican nominee and the nex president of the united states will not be chosen by the media. [ applause ]

washington establishment. [ applause ] will not be chosen by the lobbyists. [ applause ] but will be chosen by the most incredible, powerful force, where all sovereignty resides in our nation, by we the people. the american people. [ applause ] >> wow. there you go. a lot of the question was, how does donald trump take a punch? he's been in first place for six months. >> right. >> how does he face a setback? some people were gleefully predicting a meltdown but he didn't have one. here's what he said. >> i want to tell you something, i'm just honored. i'm really honored. i want to congratulate ted, and i want to congratulate all of the incred candidates. we have a poll, 28 points ahead.

i think we're going to be proclaiming victory, i hope. >> he handled that well. you thank the voters who voted for you, turn the corner and >> gracious. hampshire. >> and a short speech. >> three minutes, the shortest speech he's given. >> on to new hampshire. >> interesting thing, we know he's well-known for his twitter wars. he was silent on twitter for the most part. i don't know if he's taken to it yet this morning. peter alexander noted it in our he's not gone. do you have a choice, other than to be gracious, when you have other contests ahead of you? the key is, will he go after marco rubio, who really had an awesome speech, i thought, and awesome performance. he may have momentum. >> marcomentum. >> why do we have to name everything like that? >> #marcomentum. >> got voters out to the polls. >> i don't think that name did. i think really his message. >> yeah.

formidable. also chris christie. he did not do well in iowa but he's on a bus tour in new hampshire. all eyes are on him. >> everything can change in new hampshire. new hampshire is somewhat fair game, it seems. it'll be interesting. >> the guys who didn't do well in iowa, jeb bush, chris christie and john kasich put all their eggs in the basket. a week from today, the voting in new hampshire. on the democratic side, hillary clinton, they're calling her the apparent winner, but it's a tie. >> how? >> by one or two delegates now. >> coin toss, right? >> that's the controversy. >> she and bernie sanders in a virtual tie. they each have 50%. hillary clinton with 699 delegates. not votes. sanders with 695. tamron references, there were coin tosses in the room to determin side some of the undecided people were going. she won every coin toss. somebody said the probability is almost impossible. >> she she'd lost all of them,

>> here's secretary clinton and senator sanders last night. >> i am a progressive who gets things done for people. [ applause ] i am honored to stand in the long line of american reformers who make up our minds that the status quo is not good enough. that standing still is not an option. and that brings people together, to find ways forward that will improve the lives of americans. >> nine months ago, we came to this beautiful state. we had no political organization. we had no money. we had no name recognition. we were taking on the most powerful political organization in the united states of america.

still unknown, it looks like we are in a virtual tie. [ applause ] >> to put last night into perspective on the democratic side, he was down 50 points at one point. and he tied hillary clinton last night in iowa. >> tremendous. >> now to new hampshire. >> he led in interesting categories, as far as progressive women, young women, which is a surprise to some people. >> yeah. >> really connected there. good stuff. the othe topic, caitlyn jenner, still making headlines. apparently, she is set to speak at a makers conference in california later today. it's a gathering of leaders and innovators. caitlyn will lead a q&a. we have an exclusive video clip from the event where she talks about her first attempt to transition back in the '80s. >> start doing things to make me feel better about myself. started on hormones.

i loved them. i thought, this is fabulous. my mission at that point was to transition before i was 40. got to 39. i just couldn't go any farther. three or four months later, i met kris and we hit off from day one. i was honest with her. i had to be. i was a 36 b b. everything is heading in the right direction. i made this decision to move on together. i have to get rid of these gender things. off hormones and this and that. had my boobs removed. i never told anybody that. the rule was with kris and i, don't dress up around the house. if you need to do that, when you're on the road, take stuff and do that. i did that for years. >> we reached out to kris jenner and haven't heard back.

berry, america ferrera, gloria steinham. >> i hadn't heard that kris jenner knew before they got together, that he was transitioning. >> and there were rules in the house. >> in the interview with diane sawyer sawyer caitlyn said when she met kris, she had already started taking hormones and had developed a substantial breast line. >> wow. okay. speaking of transition -- >> no way to transition from that. >> what do you think? guess what? we are thrilled about all of you who have liked us on facebook. facebook.com/today's take. let's see how many of you have liked us so far in a relatively short period of time. almost 110,000. please go to facebook.com/today's take. we've got day five of our 25 days of prizes.

from pilot flying j. one of the great rest stops, gas stations along the interstates. that's great for gas, food, whatever. $250 from pilot flying j. if you go to facebook.com/today's take and like us, we'd like that. you're not going to like what's happening in the midwest. from nebraska all the way into iowa, we've got a lot of snow. what's that? >> you broke something. >> i broke something? >> sounds like a -- anyway, we have some severe weather going on. not only do we have a heavy snowstorm, blizzard like conditions, we also have heavy showers and thunderstorms to the south. we've got snow stretching from colorado all the way into michigan. look at the snowfall amounts. des moines, 6 to 8. 4 to 8 in minneapolis. green bay, 5 to 9 inches. risk of severe weather. 31 million people at risk from lexington, kentucky, down to

supercells, wind gusts of 70 miles per hour. isolated tornadoes, as well. really quick, let's see how many people are liking us on facebook. boo-yah. that's it, baby. keep going. that's what's going on around the >> good tuesday morning, everyone. mostly sunny skies on this groundhog day. cooler and a light breeze. temperatures still enjoyable by february standards. tomorrow, wind arriving, and the warmest air arriving late. so we'll spend much time in the 40s and upper 50s by day's end. so a mild rainstorm for us, and showers early on the klein and tapers off and cool and dry over the weekend. weather. >> al, thank you. up next, new entertainment to look forward to. we have the o.j. simpson tv movie. we have george clooney's

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extra day of february entertainment. >> from the new george clooney movie to the return of "the voice," entertainment weekly video host jessica is here with what to mark on our calendars. you look fabulous, like you're going to a party. >> this is a party. >> i like that attitude. "the people versus o.j. simpson" premieres tonight. >> this is amazing. ten-part series. it's all about the o.j. simpson trial. you think you know everything about it 20 years ago. there's so much more to know. it's based on jeffrey toobin's book. the cast is extraordinary. cube baa a gooding jr. is o.j. it's incredible. >> amazing cast they put together. also coming up on friday, excited for "hail, caesar," the new coen brothers-clooney movie.

an actor, played like george clooney, who disappears from the set. because of the movie within a movie, we see some of the movie see cereis about, which includes channing tatum doing the best song and dance number. worth the price of admission. >> different than "magic mike"? >> very different. >> you got defensive. >> sailor hat, less strippery. >> okay. elton john has a new album coming out. >> his 33rd album. he's reuniting with his old band. he made this album in three weeks. a song a day. >> wow. >> crazy. >> he's that good. >> a lot of shows coming back. next week, "grey's anatomy," "stand "

with murder." >> a regular old thursday night in shonda land. >> we're excited. >> "zoolander 2," february 12th. can't wait for this one. >> it's been 15 years and ben back. this time, they're kind of considered old and lame in the fashion world. as derek zoolander calls them, la may. beautiful people are kill and had they're called into action. >> i have to ask about mick jagger and martin scorsese. >> it's about 1970s new york city, the music scene. the sex, drugs and rock and roll and disco. >> i am excited about this. >> i got to interview jagger and scorsese. we're air it later this week. i got so pumped for the show. first of all, it's scorsese and you have jagger's knowledge of what happened inside the music business. >> i hope mick jagger's diary

>> we were out drinking and -- >> were you marty? >> did you take a selfie with mick jagger? >> we'll talk about this later. what else do you have? >> that's it. you drop td m ped the mic. can't go on off that story. she's a youtube superstar with millions of followers. grace helbig shares her secrets to great style after this. that's a great dress, grace. wow. [ scanner beeping ] sir, could you step aside? "sir"? come on. you know who i am. progressive insurance? uh, i save people an average of over $500 when they switch? did you pack your own bags? oh! right -- the name your price tool. it shows people policy options to help fit their budget. [ scanner warbling ] crazy that a big shot like me would pack his own bags, right? [ chuckles ] so, do i have the right to remain handsome? [ chuckles ] wait. uh-oh. if you're trying to be a little better... things just got a whole lot better. introducing entrees loaded with flavor, not calories.

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yes! talk to your doctor about oic and prescription treatment options. i can do that! she's the actress and comedian who happens to be one of the biggest stars on youtube. her "it's grace" channel has nearly 3 million subscribers. >> she's also a "new york times" best selling author who is out with her second book, "grace and style," the art of pretending you have it. good morning. >> good morning. >> nice to have you. >> thank you for having me. >> style to you and the art of pretending you have it, what do you mean by that? >> i have come to this, i guess, epip epiphany in my life that i don't know anything. i don't know that anyone knows anything. it's liberating yourself to the fact of pretending to know, other than really trying to know. >> i like it.

you want to kind of bust that myth. you make it more fun for young women. >> yeah. looking at style in a more silly point of view is really a lot more fun. and a lot more kind of like inclusive in a way. >> what is the best piece of style advice you ever got? >> one piece of style advice i got, you don't have to be sexy if you don't want to. i think especially for females is a really empowering thought. >> for a lot of, especially a lot of young women starting out, one of the biggest hurdles they face is trying to be stylish at work. >> yeah. >> starting in the work force. what are some of the things you tell young women not to do? >> the book has a lot of information about things not to wear to work or not to wear going out. so many style books usually tell you what to wear. one of the most important things to not wear to work would be tinfoil. fall out boy posters are a big thing to not wear. >> i would avoid those.

any sort of like your heart on your sleev it's not a good look for the office. >> literally. >> yeah. you could die. >> we've got a look at some paris fashion week pictures from last week, which you'll have fun with as we take a look. style or no style? >> i mean, this is high fashion. >> what is this? >> no one knows, is the reality. this is very gumby but mature gumby. >> albino gumby. >> odd and disturbing. >> gumby got a pinterest board, i think, and that's probably what this is. >> let's look at the next picture. >> okay. >> this is practical because playboy bunnies get cold. they need to cover up somehow. also, let everyone know they're still female. >> in case you had any doubts. >> right. >> we have one more.

this, i mean, this is very obvious. it's "walking dead" and very on trend. sometimes i think i look like garbage. >> grace, thank you. good luck with everything. >> thank you. caress presents a fine fragrance breakthrough. the world's first body wash with fragrance release pearls. touch your skin to release fragrance up to 12 hours. new caress love forever. for an unforgettable fragrance up to 12 hours. mmmm mmmm....mmmm mmm mmm mmmm mmmm, yoplait

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taking a look at the headlines. the pentagon is offering to relocate pregnant u.s. military family members from areas where the zika virus is a threat. the world health organization has declared a global health emergency. zika has been tied to an increase in birth defects. there is no vaccine against it and no cure. zika is spread by mosquitos. mosquitos have been found in the u.s. google's parent company alphabet surpassed apple as the world's most valuable company. knocked apple from the top spot

google alphabet was valued at $570 billion, beating apple by $35 billion. apple's share prices dipped last week after the company reported slower growth in iphone shipments. another sign l.e.d. light sg ing is the way of the future, ge will end the fluorescent bulbs sales at the end of the year. ge will instead focus on high efficiency l.e.d. and halogen bulbs. david beckham was the mvp on the streets of london. he surprised a paramedic and her elderly patient with a hot cup of tea and coffee when he spotted them in the cold waiting for an ambulance. the patient was being treated for a fall. the paramedic said, quote, we flattered. that is a surprise. let's get a check of the weather from mr. roker. >> thanks so much, natalie. for today, we have a risk of

mississippi all the way on up into southern indiana. we're going to be watching that. behind the system, we have blizzard-like conditions stretching from colorado all the way up into the up of michigan. we have rain showers along the pacific northwest coast. tomorrow, we look for that activity to move to the east. we're not looking for severe weather but we're looking for heavy rain stretching from new england all the way down into the southeast. wintry mix in the great lakes. plenty of sunshine in the midsection of the country. more rain with snow in the inner mountain regions and the cascades. we're going to check facebook.com/today's take to see how many of you have liked up. >> good tuesday morning, everyone. mostly sunny skies on this groundhog day. cooler and a light breeze. temperatures still enjoyable by early february standards. tomorrow, rain and wind arriving, and the warmest air arriving late.

upper 50s by day's end. so a mild rainstorm for us, and showers early on the coastline and tapers off and cool and dry over the weekend. he weekend. >> let's check out how many of you are liking us on facebook. today.com. 116,000. that's fantastic. again, go to today's take -- i'm sorry -- facebook.com/today's take. your prize for today, guys, it's a $250 gift card from pilot flying j, the great rest stop places all along the interstates and highways across this great country. facebook.com/today's take, and guys? >> al, thank you. we're cracking the books here. it's a subject that keeps a lot of us parents up at night. how are we going to pay for college? the average cost of a private college education now close to $44,000. more than $19,000 for public institutions. which schools give you the best return on the investment?

with its 2016 edition of colleges that pay you back. the 200 schools that give you the best bang for your tau uition buck. we have the senior vice president of the princeton review. good to see you. >> good to see you both. >> what were you looking for here? >> we filtered it down from 2,000 schools to the 200 schools. we looked at academics, free money, grant money, and pay scales, alumni sal rhees s ary ies and were were? >> let's look at the results. california institute of technology came out on top. >> cal tech is a small school. 1,000 students. $58,700. the average money students don't have to way back makes it a smoking deal. 93% of all students there are wonderful shots after graduation for placement.

let's go to the best school for financial aid. >> yeah, high sticker cost, $61,000. $35,000 in aid coming back, making it affordable for the average student. it is an exceptional place when it comes to financial aid. $57 million in scholarships last year. >> another school is wright university in houston, texas. >> 4,000 students in houston. big sticker, $56,000. when we factor in the grant aid, as well as academic merit based scholarship schoo gpa, sat and act scores unlocking money for students, as well. >> best career placement, number one is harvey mudd, also on your list of colleges that pay back. >> it's a great college. it is the engineering school. only 800 students.

they are some of the most employable upon graduation. over 150 kpeen companies coming to campus to recruit. >> stem majors are doing well here. >> without question. >> lehigh making the list. the starting sal rhee is over $60,000. >> it's a gem of a school. >> good internships at the schools. george washington university is at the top of the list. right there in washington. so much to do. >> you said it best. they're right in the middle of d.c. from federal agencies to corporate headquarters. more interns from g.w. than any other school in metro d.c. >> university of georgia. >> this is a big campus in athens. fabulous school. you think about the career services available for the students, it is astounding. intern for a day program, is one of our favorites. >> one of the best college towns of the country. >> that's right. >> strong alumni activity. dartmouth.

>> i think they're thinking about it more now. the idea of return on your investment. in school for four years but you want great internships and job upon graduation. dartmouth is doing that. students say, our alum are hire hiring us after graduation. >> we'll get back to the books. for more, go to today.com. good to see you. >> i didn't take calculus all semester, what? we're joined by ben feldman to find out why his cast calls

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he now stars alongside america ferrera in "superstore." check it out. >> guys -- >> no! you don't know what i was going to say. >> every time you start with guys, you end it with, let's make the best of it. or, let's have fun. you never say, guys, this really sucks. >> guys, we have the entire store to ourselves. we can do whatever we want. if we decide this is going to be fun, this is going to be fun. if you're with me, i will see all of you in the fun zone. >> they call ben feldman captain fun for a reason. we're going to ask you that in a minute. for those who haven't caught on to "superstore" yet, describe what cloud nine is like. >> for me or to watch? >> sure. >> it's a bizarre place. i've been told by a lot of people that work in these stores that we're nailing it. >> all the characters. >> yeah. it's a really strange, bizarre, americana place to work. in target or walmart sort of thing.

>> but everybody has a role, and it's like such a diverse cast. >> yeah. it really is. it's a really -- the cast -- to me, it's not even diverse, it's just real. you walk into the one of the stores, these are the people you see in the stores. >> it's like the "aufts office" in a walmart. >> the creator came from " the "office." it has that vibe. >> you wrapped your season. i suppose it was an epic wrap party. so much so, natalie referred to, your cast mates refer to you as captain fun feldman. >> they're fans of alliteration. >> what's happening there? >> we went to las vegas. i think they -- i had an old show that called me cruise director. >> was that a green hummer? >> yeah. we took that from the copperfield show to the club. >> amazing.

come on, let's get down and dirty. >> i don't remember, willie. i organized 18 people, cast and writers, to go for two nights to vegas. it was a lunatic time. >> you're a dream cast mate. >> plan our next party. >> do you want to do a vegas -- you do a show every day. it would be a fast vegas. >> that's fine. >> it'd be a weekend. >> green stretch hummer. >> personal vegas, which is a sad commentary. >> we're so happy to be there. >> iowa was great. that was our vegas. so you taught mime at one time on instagram? >> okay, first of all, we faked our way through it. we talk about different classes and sign up as mime for one. i never knew anything about it.

>> mime? >> these are the 9 -year-olds. not big competition. it's a safari. you're all in a car and it's bumpy. it'd be like, look out to the left, there's a rye on. lion. swerve to the right. you. >> method acting. drenched and crash into the tree. >> guys, come on. >> you're climbing a rope. >> you're the actor. >> no rope. >> oh. >> the kids liked it so far. >> we're not cut out for miming. >> that's why you act. ben feldman, thank you so much. >> we know what this mime means. >> catch "superstore" monday nbc. i'm joining the ranks of lady gaga and oprah. they're all into baking.

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let's get ready. it's my tuesday trend. i cannot lie, i'm a foodie and i love my k carbs. homemade, fresh bread is a weakness. i wanted to learn like the multi-talented lady gaga who posted this instagram picture of her making pasta. made me jealous. we're going to learn to make quick and easy, delicious bread and pasta. instagram. i have a -- i don't know how elaborate it is. i have a lot of stuff in there. i wanted to put it to good use. i've been told if you're a great baker. >> there's a little truth to that. baking is so ratio oriented. you have to be specific with the

liquids and dry ingredients have to be measured out. people use scales at home to measure the exact amount. >> you have to have the equipment. follow a recipe if you're just getting started to the tee. >> you suggest one of these. >> i do. use a bread maker because it'll maximize your time in the kitchen. for you and your kids, if you want to get into pasta making, it'll do the job for you. >> this is $99. the trip of baking bread, you cannot mix your ingredients. put the dry first and work up to the liquids. we have a little bit of olive oil. we're making a beautiful olive oil rosemary bread. we're going to -- oh, here we go. >> you put all of that in the bread machine? >> it'll beep and alert when you can put in your add ins. the garlic salt, the rosemary. >> what's one tip out of getting a good bread maker we need to know?

this is where we're going to do it over here. put flour on a marble or cutting board. make this hole here. two eggs in there. >> made a funnel. >> you're going to work the flour into the eggs. this is going to get messy real quick. build up your dough. if you want a salted bread, add salt to make it more flavorful. >> the need for knead. >> yeah. >> nearly, i need help. >> you can't be afraid to work with it. >> get in there. >> get in there real good. you're going to end up -- obviously, you can salt it, black pepper, whatever your flavor is you want to add. this is what it ends up looking for. >> i'll practice t ho wrap it with a moist paper towel or plastic. let it rest 20 minutes. then you can work with it. we're going to move back here. >> i'm moving back there. >> that looks good. >> this is like real kitchen

into four. >>o suggest one of these? i have a kitchenaid. >> this is really good if you don't want to make the pasta by hand. >> one pasta tip we all should live there? >> gosh, you can store it for two days if it's fresh. let it dry on the back of your chair if you're making spaghetti. you can store it up to three months at home and use it later. >> i'll post your tips on here because we're out of time. especially this ravioli recipe. today.com/food for all the recipes. i'll post some of my bread making hopefully soon.

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>> tamron was there and looked [mother] yeah but this neighborhood,i feel like it's got a lot of what we were kinda talking about. the kitchen is light and bright,new. we should definitely go see it. [agent] hi...welcome i'm maggie.melanie.maggie. so nice to meet you.

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