sarah steelman, because she has the best chance to beat mccaskill. it takes a woman to beat a woman very often. and florida, where the race is 42 nelson it's going to be overwhelming mack. that's six seats. that gives us 53. in virginia it's tied. >> sean: george allen. >> in michigan, ohio and new mexico, it's very close. and where there's an incumbent, he's under 50. and there's an outside shot, because the incumbent's under 50, in both pennsylvania and new jersey. on the negative side of the ledger, we lose maine, because snow is retiring and king will vote as a democrat. i don't know about scott brown yet. that's hard to read. and other than that, we hang on to everything else. so you're looking, i believe, at a large electoral college victory, a popular vote victory of more than five points, and at least six and maybe nor seats in the senate. >> sean: we don't have enough time tonight, because we went long with the vice president. dick, i appreciate it. we'll have you back next week and we'll talk more about it. pretty interesting analysis. i'm not as optimistic as you, but i got run. >> these are the polls. >> sean: 92 days to g