the son of a fruit picker became a lawyer." that's powerful.e company that i worked for in florida picking oranges, there's my check. $86.73 big ones. now, in actuality, i only should have gotten paid for three tubs, $28.50. but since they can't pay you below minimum wage, i got the minimum wage adjustment which is $65.47. this is probably one of the hardest jobs i've ever done in my life. yeah. >>> rescue effort in jepopardy. a rescue attack to help people stranded on a ship in antarctica. >> bundle up! temperatures across a huge chunk of the u.s. are plum mmeplummet. will 2014 kick off with a deep freeze? this ishe

>> economists are just as dumb in forecasting the future as a stock pickers.hey were no better at picking the future then stock prognosticators. >> obviously not. even outgoing fed chairman ben bernanke poked fun at his peer'' inability to forecast. >> given the difficulties economists have in forecasting. [laughter] even the next few quarters, i will point out an advantage to making a 100 year forecast, i won't be around to explain why it was wrong. [laughter] >> if you make a bad forecast, hide under one of these popular hoodies. miami super sizing its port for big business. ♪ >> there are massive machines working less than a mile from here underneath the streets of new york. it is the biggest transportation project in the country, the $8.2 billion east side access project. the most annoying in the world. >> fire in the hole. [explosions] >> done! >> and traffic will be horrendous until 2019. after that as well. 1300 miles to the south, miami is making room for big ships. three football fields long. an expansion of the panama canal means behemoths like these

the son of a fruit picker became a lawyer. from the company that i work for in florida picking oranges, there's my check. $86.73 big ones. in actuality, i should have only gotten paid for three tubs. 28.a -- $28.50. but since they can't pay you below minimum wage, i got the minimum wage adjustment which is $67.47. this is one of the hardest jobs i've ever done in my life. yeah. >>> sheridan county, nebraska, is the type of place most people think of as the heartland of the u.s. cafes, greasy spoons, tiny schoolhouses. there's lots of little places like sheridan in this country and they're each unique in their own special way, but sheridan's unique in a special way because in 2012 it was one of the single hottest, driest places in the entire united states. and the people of sheridan are still reeling from the effects of drought. >> we are living in one of the worst droughts of the past 100 years. >> three-fifths of the u.s. from sea to shining sea is dry.

>>ge funds have underperformed the s&p 500. >> true stock pickers -- who knows. >> the hedge funds havead a very hard time, i think, partially because they haven't known which way to go. >> that's what you're paying them for. >> don't say hard times. >> let me explain -- >> hedge fund in the same sentence. >> hedge funds are -- >> underperformed? >> you're making great point. so many have stopped shorting stocks, they've looked for other ways to make money. tearing their hair out. what they knew to be isn't. >> you say stop shorting or stop short if stocks? >> brian -- >> you've run into a stumbling block. >> tongue twister. >> you are trying -- i got it out somehow -- you are trying to establish your annual worst ceo in america list. you put out a piece on the street.com, i tweeted it out for you. >> thank you. >> you're having a hard time getting people to react understand you think this is symbolic more than lack of hatred of ceos. >> symbolic of what mandy said. when stocks are going up so rapidly with such momentum people are willing to forget the bad stuff and saying well, you kno

'ou look at the stock pickers forecast for the s&p 500 and then were the s&p is today.ook at how far off they are. the immediate forecast was a ofs of 17.5% -- a miss 17.5%. analysts said they did change their forecast as the year went on. this is as the year began. n> you did not believe kreski anyway. you have to put faith in analytical forecasting. >> what about stock analysts who come up with earnings forecast? they did -- forecasts for three quarters ahead. this is what they thought per share would average for the s&p 500, this is what it turned out to be. no better at forecasting the future. do not necessarily take their advice about where it will end up. economists, the academics, surely they can get the forecasts right? >> economists are just as don and forecasting the future as inck -- just as dumb forecasting the future as a stock pickers. they were no better at picking the future then stock prognosticators. not.viously even outgoing fed chairman ben peers'e poked fun at his inability to forecast. >> given the difficulties economists have in forecasting. [laug

demands are becoming harder to meet. >> pickers are hard to find. there's more money in other industries. this is tough work. profit margins are low. i tell investors not to invest in this work. >> in some cases landowners pay advances to staff to stay in the area to help them but throughout the year to till the ground. >> i knew we could get good money, we never get the rate from cotton traders. our outlays eat into many profits i make. many members are in debt. >> india is a the second largest producer of cotton after the usa. if it wants to maintain its position, the government will need to address the issues cotton farmers face. if not, the government will see this, former cotton fields growing cash crops. less labour intensive with higher profit margins. >> mr patel took those steps. many more cotton farmers pay follow him. >> and a report as part of a series. the next is in the united states, which is actuality the world's largest exporter of cotton, and the industry there heavily subsidised leading other countries to accuse of it unfair trade

you say 2014 will be the year of the stock-picker. let's back it up. we still have a couple weeks left in 2013. what do we see? we saw the volatility index, the vix, touching 15. that's about i believe a seven-month high? is that what it is? rather, seven-week high. did that give you pause to say, wait a minute, let's put a little insurance into the portfolio for the moment? >> yeah, we've been looking profits. i think this is actually healthy that investors and money managers are saying, you know what? we've been up double digits for this year. let's push cash on the sidelines. let's not get greedy. that is the important thing to take note of right now, not get greedy in this kind of a market. as we look at 2014. all the easy money has been made. easy money gravy train may come to somewhat of halt. you can buy a broad index in 2013 and make money very easily. next year, amateur hour is going to be over and stock-picker will rise again. those guys that can bring alpha to the portfolio. david: larry shover, much bigger than the loss on the dow today was

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not aunately, most was good year for stock pickers.mbers, everybody missed by huge amounts. the median mess was 17 and a half percent. was 17.5%.an miss analysts thought for the coming three quarters, they had not made their forecast for earnings over the next quarter, but they were just as bad as the stock pickers. they could not get the earnings correct for the next three quarters. effort.difficult lack of visibility, you never know what is going to happen. areudy of it shows, there the analyst. that was their prediction. the number is nowhere near what they thought it was going to be. shows that nobody really knows and the more you ask somebody that is an expert, the less likely they are to be right. >> you look at economic predictions as well, if you were to compare equity analyst with economists, who is more often right? >> the answer is, they're both wrong. take a look of the economy. we have the economist data here. >> there were a bunch of obvious things missing from the chart. in.e cannot fit them all i have the data and, if y

people are needed to pick it, and their demands are becoming hard for meet. >> cotton pickers are hardind. there is more money in other industries, i tell the next generation not to invest in this line of work. >> 40% of the costs are labor alone. in some cases land owners are having to pay advances to staff just to stay in the area to help them not just for harvesting cotton but throughout the year to till the ground. >> the only way to get good money for the cash crop but we never get the rate that we sell to. our costs eat into any prophets that we make. many of our members are now in debt. >> if it wants to maintain it's position the government will need to address the issues cotton farmers face. if not, the government will see this former cotton fields now growing other cash crops, less labor intensive and with potentially higher profit margins. he has already taken those reluctant steps and many more cotton farmers may follow him. >> let's check in on the sport. >> thank you so much. fifa has confirmed a construction worker has been killed at the brazilian world cup stadium. he f

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. >> emergency crews used cherry pickers to examine the roof. hours earlier, pieces of the ceiling collapsed during a packed performance of a play. >> seating came down. a lot of dust, chandelier, that sort of stuff, landed on five or six rows. >> confined to heavy plastering, typically what you'd expect to see in the theater. many thought the collapse was part of the show. >> watch out, we thought it was part of the play. he said, we thought it was the sound effect. looked around and saw tons falling. >> some sustaining head wonts, though injured had to make their way out. >> county see anything. i didn't really. >> apollo theater was built in 1901. it has 775 feet and tonight's performance, less than a week before christmas, most of them were filled. >> the ordeal was enough to keep some theater goers home. an investigation into the cause of the collapse is underway. in london, alfoza, kpix5. >> making your smart phone less attractive to thieves. >> and making the most of it. getting creative wait much know coming down. >> snow pack is sitting

>> you know, liz, we're stock pickers, but if you look at history when the market's up as strongly asis in this year, it tends to be up the following year. by usually a healthy amount, low double digits plus. so as long as earnings continue to come in okay, the political class behaves itself, our expectation is the typical stock will be up so, yeah, the broader market should be higher and maybe nicely higher by the end of 2014. liz: you've got some picks that i think people will find interesting, but before we get to that, a what keeps you up at night since your outlook so particularly rosy? >> you know, to be honest -- liz: he's thinking. >> finish with you, nothing right now other than my 4-year-old son who still isn't the greatest sleeper. liz: they tend to do that, right? [laughter] >> everyone told me by the time he hit 4 it'd be a lot easier, but not so much. until everyone stops asking what keeps us up at night, i'll probably sleep okay. there's more good news than bad news, and i think the skepticism is good. it keeps me, keeps me comfortable. liz: all right. let's get to the

use less, with the small but powerful picker-upper, bounty select-a-size. you stand behind what you sayere's a saying around here, around here you don't make excuses. you make commitments. and when you can't live up to them, you own up, and make it right. some people think the kind of accountability that thrives on so many streets in this country has gone missing in the places where it's needed most. but i know you'll still find it when you know where to look. >>> in political terms, one of the things that's happening this holiday season that virginia governor bob mcdonnell's term in office is coming to a close. he has spent his final month in office being fairly festive. he put out a proclamation that the month of december is christmas tree month! that's smart. he attended a christmas tree lighting ceremony. tada! he unveiled a, oh, what's that? a portrait of me? you should have! all in the line of duty for governor ultrasouth sound. none of these things, though, have distracted anybody from the big legal storm cloud that has overshadowed his final year as governor. turns out, though,

prior to this sh we saw the fire service cherry picker come in herement firemen go up the ladder and take a look at the outside of the apollo theater. a very dramatic scene here a few hours ago, brook. >> nick, let's talk about the structure of the building. this is a 112-year-old theater. i know that sounds old. it is not that old by london standards. were they refurbishing anything? was there construction on the theater? do you know? >> they will through the night conduct a thorough examination of the building. they say that could go on into friday. so far they haven't indicated that there is any issue related to work being done on the building, anything that they've been -- has been brought to their attention so far. it does seem like a very, very unfortunate situation. an area about 30 foot square of plaster collapsing down on the audience there. >> how incredibly frightening for those 700 plus people in the theater tonight. thank you very much. and now to the "duck dynasty" shake-up and real life drama surrounding the star of this popular a & e program. tonight there is shocking

i think what's really important, it's going to be ever a stock picker's market.ve a lot of the overhangs that confronted us in the past. we have more certainty over a tempered tapering. we have fund meaamentals in foc. that's going to be key. >> so it's not a year you expect a rising tide will lift all boats. >> i think so. i think it will be a good year for those focused on fundamentals, strong company management teams and i think that's what investors are focused on. >> if it's a stock picker's market, which stocks are you picking? >> a lot to choose from, but three that i want to highlight, first of all, we have vf corp. in apparel, i really like this name, in particular because it focuses on innovation. we have outdoor action. we have north face, timberland, vans, all strong brands that will continue to do well. and i also like also in consumer, starwood hotels. if you want to plan employment, will have increasing spend both from leisure travelers but also from more companies spending on corporate travel. so i like that name as well. >> and i see you're watch

the strong but affordable picker upper. charmin basic. >>> we're going to come back with the roundtable and talk about politics. a little later on, the fight over government surveillance. will the president rein in the intelligence committee. will the president rein in the intelligence committee. a debate abo♪ tha [ female announcer ] just about anywhere you use sugar, you can use splenda® no calorie sweetener. splenda® lets you experience the joy of sugar without all the calories. think sugar, say splenda™ you give them the giggles. tylenol cold® helps relieve your worst cold and flu symptoms. but for everything we do, we know you do so much more. tylenol cold®. >>> we are back with our political roundtable here. i want to get back to the big political story, robert gibbs, which is the bosched health c e care rollout. bosched health-care rollout was number one with government shutdown number two. here is the president on friday. listen. >> since i'm in charge, obviously we screwed it up. i'm going to be making appropriate

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here on the hillside in napa, these pickers are harvesting grapes the way it's been done for thousands of years: by hand. 20th century technology has a hand in almost every step of the process from vine to wine. >> i am an innovator when it comes to making the best wine possible, whatever it takes. doug shaffer is the president of shaffer vineyards. he has been working here since 1973 when his father bought the estate. wine making, experience, innovation, technology, computerization, able to get more information, better information to make better decisions with. >> for the last 29 years, his partner in making those decisions has been alia maker. he gave me a tour of the vineyard's high-tech tools fine tuning his craft. >> this is our weather station they gather ter detailed data in the field and transmit it via phone. >> what kind of analysis do the computers do? >> it gives us the temperatures, the wind speeds throughout the day, humidity throughout the day. and allows us just to have a feel for what's going on here for these vines. >> the second system called fruition gives alias a r

service complains there was an editorial in "the washington post" about two weeks ago by ambassador pickering and a few others arguing against political appointees being named to senior ambassadorial posts. but there's actually no evidence that political ambassadors are any less good at their job than the career foreign service officers. in fact, sometimes they are better because they understand the president's agenda and have the kinds of connections to the white house that allow them to advance the agenda. very often the state department pulls itself in to believing its job is to protect american foreign policy against the people who get elected to run the country. and that's of either political bias, political persuasion i should say. and that's just, that's part of the reason congress doesn't like them, that's part of the reason they don't resonate with the broader american public. >> host: in your book "state of disrepair," you thank condoleezza rice for her help in putting this together. does she share your viewpoint? >> guest: oh, well, i wouldn't burden her with all of my views, but s

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but the stock pickers forecast of the s&p 500, and where it is today. we have a few days left, but look how far off they are. the median forecast within this miss ofrecast was a 17.5%. not to be totally unfair to stock pickers, what about stock analysts? for three quarters ahead. this is what they thought earnings per share would average for the s&p 500, and here is what they turned out to be. analysts were no better. you probably do not necessarily want to take their advice. >> it is amazing when you match up the estimates and the outcome. what about economists, the people you fraternize with? >> we looked at them as well. to be fair, they are just as .umb in projecting the future here is what they thought growth was and here is what growth actually was. pickinge no better at the future then stock prognosticators. >> it makes you wonder why anybody listens to anyone. >> people have studied this. the more you are counted as an export -- expert, the more likely you are to be wrong because you get locked into a forecast and you believe your own methods of

sean executive of the pickers deposits of cigarettes or what two people make of these were the docket the economy around them. what the economists of the may he often is it that their sons of a ballot saying that the economy that has been covering a much stronger growth than some of the meet at the console that was happening. this group is being driven by domestic demand growth in exports the exports were provoked laughter in the quarter. it's all coming from the domestic side of the economy and people think it's the first time in five years we've seen any real growth happening there. it's primarily be an investment at building things boeing machinery for company's investment in the economy. it also a little bit of additional spending all the bones out of consumers' so afraid to look at the bottom of this week an interesting article from the imf this afternoon and from hh off track with some interesting parking spots for europe of the eurozone to consign that's right said mr chopra is retiring from the imf the next couple weeks but he set the bar fight lessons from the irish they let

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coming in from import markets like the united states canada germany france australia new zealand cso pickers and today show the total number of trips to ireland increased by seven percent of the year to november when compared to the same period last year the pic isn't it. tourists and those on business they're also likely to be the number of emigrants returning home to visit character named jana visitor numbers are up three percent i've known people from ireland so was just a great place to stop by. i'm a heavy heart i think that the brain is all know about. none of the killing and dying out and i are talking about and read the bench. wednesday. this gives without it. actually yes. tommy t know anybody that went to look at every event sorry. now i just that i might add that to the cutting. you react forced into the gathering today recommends consideration should be given to most of the serious and focus on the legacies of this year instead. it's as if it is states more frequently. it should be done more than every five years. star is continuing to come to attractions such as here at dublin c

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even though pickering eleven staff members to become shareholders of the content of structure. one does not intend to work on planes given or to avoid unfair situation for the ideal commissioners different instructor can only be limited to small number of people like senior managers and technical experts welcome to the previous publication of two hundred staff members or shareholders each company. all selected ten percent of shares to be issued if doc members is what he considered reasonable cover need only for research into finance and banking at the chinese attack. i think i need to report that will tie the knot. open up more to give you your weight given to the uk and us dollar the winner has argued that begin with. mark included quo we're entitled to adopt is huge. with a blanket with which i think i'm pretty sure he pretended that it didn't help that our stride and even contradictory. burnley are tough economy that would include more connected to the ma in law for the country the dividend shares our earnings of the staff member the new way to keep long term employees. thei

it was owned by a well-known stock picker who unfortunately died fairly recently.m lady fairfax from australia. >> let's talk more about some of the other properties. a you are not interested in penthouse, what about san francisco? >> we have a recommendation for san francisco. there's the property with multiple bedrooms, a small bath overlooking the golden gate bridge for 7.5 million dollars. >> nearly a million. it sounds like a bargain. what about jupiter island? >> jupiter is a very famous place. is a popular spot. a magnificent pool. 200 -- 400 feet on the ocean. for $70 million. >> $72 million. they are looking for sports for activities. what are they looking for? this is whether it is golf, ski, waterfront. this is what they are looking for. and manyfind this different places. they may not be searching for a specific location. it would be a lifestyle. >> is anything that is more popular now whether it is a ski lifestyle or those that may have beaches or warm weather? what is the trend? >> the waterfront is one of the top lifestyles. skiing is as 12. -- is as

for example, prom innocent ambassador pickerring and colleagues warned after some iranians complained that iranians, quote, ripped out the use of the phrase, carrots and sticks, depicting them as donkeys and implies a threat of beating iran into submission if they could not be bought. put aside the rig iranian chapters, death to america. they used the phrase carrots and sticks, and accepts manufactured grievance as real, they effectively infused iranian sincerity and blame america. never poalingsz to rogue states. they demand apologies, for example, for the 1953 coo. let's put aside the debates with regard to 1953 coo for a second. iran's religious clergy at the time was a coconspirator with the united states and great britain against the soviet union leaning leader, suspectedded of leaning, and iran's communism party. when officials have apologized for that episode, for example, secretary of state albright in 2000 and obama more recently, the iranians upped the antiand demand compensation. this is not limited to iran. when the united states demanded inspection of north korean weapons

. >> a lot of people talk about the stock picker's market, alpha generation stuff. if you get good managers, they are always generating value. that is what this is all about. ask you talked about a managed health care fund. how did you do that? and has beenelief for some time that demographics, technology -- all of that combines to say that if you want to overweight a particular industry in this country or in the world, really, you want to overweight health care. most of them, over the course of time, do not beat the market. health care does. with a good manager, you can not only outperform the market, you can do it with less risk. we looked at who is a good diversified manager who is playing with pharmaceuticals and biotech companies. who is making artificial knees? and service companies like united health care. the vanguard fund is now $30 million in size. the same teamhat runs a tiny fund for hartford, hartford health care. it is a $700 million fund versus a $30 billion fund. having a smaller fund which is much more go-anywhere is more nimble. they are up 40 some

. >> cotton pickers are hard to find. there's more money in other industries. profit margins are low. i tell a generation not to invest in this work. landowners are having to pay advances to staff to stay in the area to help them, not just for harvesting cotton, but to till the ground. >> we can get good money for the cash crop, but we never get the rate from cotton traders. many of my members are in debt. >> india is the second largest producer of cotton globally after the u sa. if it wants to maintain its position, the government will need to address issues cotton farmers face. if not the government will see this. former cotton fields growing cash crops. less labour intensive and with higher profit margins. >> pattel has started to take the steps. many may follow him. >> when we come back we'll take you to space where china landed a rover on the moon. a first there. and we look into research supporting the suggestion that life may have been sent from earth to other planets in the solar system. >> a chinese spacecraft landed on the moon today. that's a first f

>> i have spent time at those amazon fulfillment centers, with the pickers and stowers.ink they walk 10 to 12 miles a day at that job. >> it's incredible. you think about the issues that amazon has at this time of year with the holiday season, when they are probably doing 50% of their revenue, and the number of workers say have to hire to fulfill that peak demand -- now with something like kiva, those workers can fulfill three times as many orders. that allows amazon to be more efficient, and allows them to manage the peak demand during the holidays. >> let me ask you a question. what is a robot? how do you define what a robot is? >> the way i did find a robot is, it is a combination of hardware and software -- define a combination is of hardware and software. if you think about the kiva robot, these are robots that maneuver on the warehouse floor. they're intelligent enough to follow particular grid patterns. the software all the rhythms would control an early a fleet of these -- algorithms would control a fleet of these robots. >> if there's something about technology

the strong but affordable picker upper. >> one of the formations that we used on the thompson farm wasd diamond formation. if a threat came up to the left, for instance, we can say tiger left, tiger left. the whole team can move its position. >> tiger, tiger, tiger. tiger down. >> tiger left, tiger left. >> when the shooting started, it sounded like multiple fireworks display. boom, boom, boom, boom, boom, constantly. >> it was mind boggling. just constant gunfire. it sounded like i was talking to somebody in afghanistan. >> the tigers were by far the most resilient. a couple of them would do somersaults when they would hit. a lot of the lions would just drop to the ground. maybe a little bit of movement. the tigers would do somersaults. one, two somersaults and they would cover 30 to 40 feet. >> outside the farm, other officers guarded the perimeter with orders to shoot to kill any animals that got past the fence line. >> all the animals i shot were outside of the thompson property. they were on their way to who knows where and to who knows what. what family could have possibly encoun

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up shot, given money to the best stock picker of all time i manage through all the years, 35 years later to put enough money away to take advantage of the great bull markets of our time. not to brag but to teach. that money ultimately amounted to a fund well into the six figures. not because of my capital additions. i stopped putting money away in that fund years ago but because of the power of compounding with amazing investor at the helm. i think the takeaway here is i want to you save no matter what. obviously the earlier the better. when cnbc has those all-star managers on. send the money in as little or as much as can you. if i could still send those checks to fidelity magellan fund when i was living in my car, sick as a dog and saved by a pistol by my side the most down and out you can be, you can put some money too. after the break i'll try to make you some more money. >> announcer: in the never ending battle for real-time data news and the american way, it is time for super mobile cnbc. real-time quotes. breaking news, of course. but there's more. now, access live, cnbc tv with y

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