successfully forecast a recession a year in advance, that missed the 2007 financial crisis, that missed the 1987 stock market crash, t missed the latin american debt crisis and missed much more. i worry about how well macro prudential can really work on, though it's an attempt worth making. and i think much greater emphasis needs to be placed on making a system that is safe for ignorance can and court reportereporter error. and that means emphasis on capital markets, emphasis on liquidity, emphasis on strengthening the robustness of the system. the last time we had a great emphasis on macro prudential, it was spain's countercyclical capital requirements that we were going to protect against the spanish real estate bubble. that didn't work so well. >> mr. tom bainny, briefly. >> yeah. i think one issue that hasn't been discussed so much lately is the fact that this exit is unsynchronized this time around. you see more advancement in the area. in the u.s. and in the uk. but then when you look at japan and europe, you don't see synchronicity from one perspective. we don't have a vacuum cleaner in terms of resources being attracted to the advance