kyle bailey here is an aviation analyst and a pilot himself. what is your thinking on where we are now? >> i pretty much am leaning towards a mechanical issue? >> why. >> possibly an electrical issue. with the lithium batteries onboard the aircraft, little concern. >> if there is some sort of catastrophic event -- and that would qualify -- whoa would the jet make this what appear to be preprogrammed jaunt into an area which it didn't belong for seven or eight hours? >> there's a little bit of question whether it was preprogrammed or not. i think immediately the pilots want to make a 180 or left turn to get back to just lan to -- land the airplane. they might have preprogrammed actually the closest airport into the system, and then the plane might have just kept on going. >> so it's possible that the system which controls the navigation of the jet, would have malfunctioned in a way that would have just sent it going until it ran out of fuel? >> not necessarily. the pilots would have put publish the nearest airport in there and then, say, somethi

arthel: kyle bailey is an aviation analyst and licensed pilot.2 is when they shared the data. but the malaysian investigators didn't redirect their search efforts to the indian ocean until march 15. how much could that have affected the search? >> it's a shame in the beginning they were searching up near the straits of malacca. that's a waste of maritime assets and manpower. the bottom line is, this company, the satellite operator and owners of satellites are a well respected corporation. 35 years in business. it's not their job for search and rescue. the acars system is transmitting critical engine performance, parameters of the flight. it's not meant for pinpointing the exact location of the aircraft. arthel: so talk about the kind of information that could have been collected during those 10 days and how much the plane itself could have been deteriorated in that period. >> it is a relatively short period of time. depending on how the aircraft impacted the ocean. whether it's in many pieces or whether it ex ploafd. the biggest is to recover the

and here with us now is kyle bailey, an aviation analyst and pilot. kyle, given what we know at this point about where the plane went down and the ocean about that additional right-hand turn, that was taken about the plane potential lip going down as low as 12,000 feet in altitude, are there any possibilities for what happened onboard that flight that we can definitively rule out? or are all possibilities still open in your view? >> the one thing we can rule out at this point is the airplane is probably in pakistan or somewhere up north. right now, if i had to put my odds on it, i would say pretty much most likely a rapid decompression, low cabin pressure and that plane descended, either automatically or by the pilots to get down to a level where the passengers could actually breathe. >> and what sort of events would lead to a rapid depressurization? >> it's usually a structural failure. even a fire if there were lithium batteries in the cargo hold as reporting, a fire could cause a rapid decompression, any kind of structural failure of the airplane. a