so that would be a big pipe to beapoint tobear in mind is the t political realities and historical trajectories of the groups in the region. the other thing to bear in mind, and this goes to the point at the brotherhoothatthe brotherhot on the back footing is the recent move by saudi arabia. this is a big change in policy particularly for saudi arabia. they tolerated the brotherhood for decades as it has been a big booster of the brotherhood sometimes depending on the political interests. and about turn against the brotherhood is pretty striking because they know who the brotherhood is. a lot of the members of the brotherhood are still in important positions and the government is still very much a part of the establishment and they are not on the out. this has a lot to do with the events of egypt. so these ripple effects. this is one of the big ones. this is a sort of tsunami that has come off of the earthquake in egypt and is causing a loss of unrest in saudi arabia when i visited there a few weeks ago talking to some people in the brotherhood orbit, they said that the level of anger at the go