that and more for this friday, september the 11th good morning, i'm bill griffith in font for tyler mathisson. >>> a new report tonight say there's is a chance that prices could plummet to $20 a barrel and the probability of that happening is rising. the report was part of the reason why crude futures fell 3% today to settle at $44.63 a barrel. not everyone agrees with that scenario. jackie has more from the new york exchange. >> the possible low? $20 a barrel. "lower for longer" says the chance is increasingly likely as storage continues to fill. >> there is a lot of uncertainty. it could be u.s. production. a $40 barrel, where our base case is set, is the level at which you see a drop in drilling. we saw it today for a drop in rig counts. if you don't bring global production down long enough, then you're like i to run into storage capacity constraints. >> due to an increase in supply, the base case calls for $30 a barrel oil in a month. but some are skeptical. >> i think the oil will not go that much lower here. i think once we get to these levels, the market is susceptible to the up side.