he distributed poll data to the crowd suggesting he was the winner of the presidential vote. >> the overall trend have us winning despite numerous irregular it is here and there. we were able to avoid the pitfalls of widespread fraud entrenched in this regime. a regime that we are seeing off with unity. few -- he has a been in office following his father's death. data delivered by his campaign team say he has dominating and it is a lead they claim it is impossible to surmount. he told supporters he was calm about his prospects. has said toe remain calm and serene and to wait. we respect institutions whose role it is to announce the results. there is no need to comment or say anything at all. is one ofgabon africa's richest oil producing company -- countries. the opposition claimed that people are struggling under bongo's leadership. it has been severely fought campaign of both sides. this boat -- despite both claiming victory will have two week for the visual results on tuesday afternoon. anchor: france must not fall into a trap of hitting one religion against another, said the french inter

you can then ounce one or two is being off, but this is a body of polling data that is derivative ofhe direct result of his poor performance and the successful democratic convention. we have august to fix it. >> there was a big lesson here. you will get a bump coming out of your convention. on the opposite side craters in light of historically horrible ways at the same time your opponent is rising. i think the problem for trump is these numbers can now. log in for a long time he might not be able to move these numbers and it appreciable way until the first of 82 months away, more than a month away. bad, and they are not just bad. the national number shows his score is lower than we thought, but state polls and the attributes were trump had a lead on clinton. she has closed the gap are overtaken and a lot of them and i would be freaking out if i was the trunk campaign. mark: and they have money now. do you really want to spend money on august advertising to try to fix her poll numbers in august? john: while everyone is watching the limits? probably not. mark: it has given the never tr

with polling data out today, it's good news for hillary clinton.double-digit leads. clinton leads 49% to 39% in colorado and virginia. giving a clear advantage in iowa. a monstrous wildfire in california has forced 80,000 people to evacuate their homes. several buildings have been destroyed. the exact number of the losses isn't known yet. an official today described the blaze is devastating and set many families will come home to nothing. the latest prime level detection is being hailed as a major victory for the south. sang the second-highest rank official at the north korean embassy in london arrived safely with his family, telling officials that he defected because of disillusionment with the regime. when things time continue to deteriorate across the korean peninsula. global news, power 24 hours per than 120 countries. i'm mark crumpton. this is bloomberg. up next, a shakeup in the trunk campaign. is it too little, too late? things look like with president trump? we will break it down. this is bloomberg. ♪ ♪ vonnie: target got hit last in the b

what is it like better candidate everyday get polling data multiple times a day and be behind?t example was bob dole's campaign in 1996. literally from the day of the convention, the high point, you got within five points of bill clinton to the rest of the campaign were that was her high watermark. every single day your polling came back and said you are losing ground, not gaining ground. guys like bob dole, they are creatures of the political system. they have seen these polls before. they have won and lost elections. he had a maturity that said i go out every day, hammer away, and ultimately came to the conclusion he could do more positive for the down ballot races and committed all the resources, in his campaign the rnc, that senate committee, the house committee to do that instead of pursuing to the bitter end is need to be president. mark: what is it like when you're behind all the time? harold: it is not good. one of the differences with the dole campaign, republicans did elevate paul ryan. it would be a different kind of race. you talked about it earlier. how do you thin

you can then ounce one or two is being off, but this is a body of polling data that is derivative of the direct result of his poor performance. and the successful democratic convention we have august to fix it. >> there was a big lesson here. you will get a bump coming out of your convention. in combination, on the opposite side craters in light of historically horrible ways at the same time your opponent is rising. i think the problem for trump is these numbers can now. log in for a long time he might not be able to move these numbers and it appreciable way until the first of 82 months away, more than a month away. these are bad, and they are not just bad. the national number shows his score is lower than we thought, but state polls and the attributes were trump had a lead on clinton. she has closed the gap are overtaken and a lot of them and i would be freaking out if i was the trunk campaign. mark: and they have money now. do you really want to spend money on august advertising to try to fix her poll numbers in august? john: while everyone is watching the limits? probably not. mar

see why the latest polling data provides a look at what the campaign may be looking at. >>> and a midair take down. >> a crowded cross country plane of forced to change course when a passenger allegedly attacked a flight attendant. the latest in a series is of similar incidents. we have the details. >>> and the rivalry between justin bieber and orlando bloom is threatening to break the internet. the pop star caught in the nude set of racy pics. could it be a trend, an epidemic? a scourge on the world this summer? it's in "the skinny" on this monday, august 8th. >>> from abc news, this is "world news now." >>> good morning to you. i'm kendis gibson. >> i'm diane macedo. we begin this morning with tragedy at an amusement park over the weekend. >> a 10-year-old boy died while on the world's tallest water slide. it's not known if he fell or something else went wrong. riders must be 4.5-feet tall and go down in a raft holding three people. >> park officials are stunned. they say they've never dealt with something like this before. the water slide opened two years ago. the german name means in

. >>> new polling data right now from a state that went blue in 2008 but red in 2012. that's north carolina. let's go to the "hardball" scoreboard. according to a new cnn/orc poll, clinton is up by one point in north carolina. clinton, 44, trump, 43. gary johnson at 11%. research triangle votes there, i would say are for johnson. in arizona, trump up by five. johnson there in third with a strong 12%, heading toward the 15% you need to get into the debates. and we'll be right back. (group) surprise! oh my goodness! happy birthday! oh, you. (laughing) oh! oh! well, they say 70 is the new 60. (laughing) were you really surprised? oh, this was a wonderful surprise. you know, at our age, not all surprises can be this good. you're not kidding. (female #1) remember peggy's surprise last month when frank died? so sudden; all the funeral expenses. they were not prepared. well, i'm not going to burden my family with my final expenses. -huh? -i called about the colonial penn program this morning. i'm alex trebek. if you're age 50 to 85, call about the colonial penn program now. yo

the same kind of thing, all the polling data that suggested absolutely the people of great britain were in no way, shape or form going to get out of the eu and that is what polls indicated and right up until the last minute i remember coming to work that night to broadcasts on what was happening in the uk and overwhelmingly the polls indicated sure in of great britain was going to stay but that is not what happened and this is why donald trump is campaigning with nigel for raj, they are making this correlation between what we saw with brexit and what we might see in the united states. joining me now fred barnes from the weekly standard. what do you say? is this another brexit? >> i'm skeptical of that. how do we know how many of these shy trump voters are around? trump didn't exactly overpoll or underpoll but i wouldn't doubt it because there is a stigma, as you know often applied particularly to places like washington dc to people who say they are for trump, they are stigmatized and it is not socially acceptable so there probably are some but this won't put trump ahead. the quinnipiac

we are breaking down a new statewide poll. data orbital asked more than 100 voters what they thought about this. they look to be elected to the sixth term. >> let's look at our safety and security as many of us are concerned about our family. and, there are new questions about the killer. such as, is he acting alone. what are you finding? >> police are saying there could be more than one person pulling the couple of witnesses say at least two men with the serial street shooter. police just revealed one witness reported seeing two passengers in the killer's car, and another said the shooter was wearing red shorts and a white t-shirt. police found bullet casings in the backseat meaning the shooting was extremely close and range. the killer, and about 30 minutes before the triple murder, police say another car was targeted. we will have more on that coming up at 6:00. >> $75 million, apple the what it cost for each airline to upgrade its computer systems to avoid major problems like delta delta with this week. that's an overlapping ne

the polling data in the key battleground states, he wasn't pleased with that. >> the ties to russia and adding flowery language in the end saying this is not the end of the odd bromance between donald trump and vladimir putin. >>> coming in junction moments ago, after being criticized, president obama is heading to baton rouge. pleading with president obama to not let the historic crisis go unattended. now he is going, we learned, on tuesday after his vacation wraps up. the white house said the president is eager to hear how the federal government can do more to help louisiana residents in dire need right now. >>> meantime, donald trump says he feels contrition, hillary clinton's universe is trying to prevent the same kind of ethical questions she is facing right now. the clinton foundation will stop accepting foreign and corporate donations if she wins in november. joe, a lot of republican critics are asking why wasn't the same rule in place when she was secretary of state? >> pamela, this is annage knowledgement. back in the day there was supposed to be transparency and a fire wall. n

. >> if you looked at our polling data, you'd thing that trump voters loved more than anything is his hard-line stance on immigration. the risk is if you soften it in order to win over suburban republicans who don't like his stance on immigration and maybe have an opposite view, do you risk alienating the most energized supporters? we'll see. i get the political calculation they made but he's spent all week and it's a muddy mess. i have to say, last night when i saw -- he's gone back and forth on what he would do with the undocumented folks that are here, after seeing this cnn thick i said all right, i don't know where he stands anymore. it sounds like he's coming around when it comes to immigration. and they are tieing to the hillary clinton e-mail scandal, driving down her already low numbers on trust? >> well, i don't know if it can get lower. but i think if donald trump is focusing on her, remember, three weeks ago republicans said spent two straight days without attacking a fellow republican. he's stayed focused on clinton. you know, if it collectively drives down turnout, at thi

years for a number of reasons. [ laughter ] >>> still to come here at 6:30 we've got new exclusive polling data on the presidential race hre in florida. >> we're going to show you the numbers in a couple of minutes. high drama in maryland this morning as a huge fire burns through an apartment complex. i'm hillary clinton and i approve how do we make the economy work for everyone? hillary clinton's plan starts here... by making big corporations and those at the top finally pay their fair share in taxes. and those companies that move overseas? she'd charge them an exit tax. then she'd use that money to make the largest investment in creating good paying jobs since world war ii. millions of jobs. >>> our government isn't giving us good protection. our government has unleashed isis. i call president obama and hillary clinton the founders of isis. they're the founders. >> anchor: donald trump in florida today doubling down on hillary clinton to the start of isis. in what is seen as a response of sorts to trump's economic speech erlier this week in detroit, clinton is in michigan talking jobs. the re

. >>> new polling data right now from a state that went blue in 2008 but red in 2012. at's north carolina. let's go to the "hardball" scoreboard. according to a new cnn/orc poll, clinton is up by one point in north carolina. clinton, 44, trump, 43. gary johnson at 11%. research triangle votes there, i would say are for johnson. in arizona, trump up by five. johnson there in third with a strong 12%, heading toward the 15% you need to get into the debates. and we'll be right back. hi, i'm dominique wilkins. when you have type 2 diabetes, like me, there's a moment of truth. and with victoza®, a better moment of proof. victoza® lowers my a1c and blood sugar better than the leading branded pill, which didn't get me to my goal. victoza® works with your body to lower blood sugar in three ways-- in the stomach, the liver and the pancreas. and while it isn't for weight loss, victoza® may help you lose some weight. non-insulin victoza® comes in a pen and is taken once a day. (announcer) victoza® is not recommended as the first medication to treat diabetes and is not for people wi

by president obama taking this agenda to the left and donald trump supporters, if you look at polling datathey span the ideological spectrum. they are not just from the right but they are voters who want a voice in politics and feel the beltway politicians have not been listening to them for a very long time. >> but buck, here's what i'm saying in drawing a lynn year connection between what you hear on the radio and conservative athlet athletes. is it any surprise during the course of the campaign you hear donald trump talking about megyn kelly talk about blood coming out of her wherever. or the other experience was glenn beck making reference to barack obama as a quote/unquote racist with a deep-seeded hatred for white people. is it any doubt that you're going to hear candidate trump say out the risks and peril that the obama presidency has presented to america? i see it all as connected. they have cultivated a receptiveness to the tonality and speech. you can reply as i know you disagree. >> yes, those are completely disconnected. i don't know how it is that you go and pull comments from

supposed to have a meeting in orlando on friday, a intervention and come to jesus but they have some polling datalight on this on whether or not the trump strategy will work. this week we released the information about 45% of likely voters surveyed say that trump is his own worst enemy and 29% point to hillary clinton and 20% to the media. so while trump is trying to make the media his whipping boy, it is great for the base and they love it and the red meat but other voters are pointing the finger at trump that he needs to get himself together. >> but jonathan, maybe with this unconventional candidate we should think out of the box and maybe control ability is overrated when it comes to a candidate. >> if you are kind of going rogue -- which is what he's doing -- he might as well double down. i don't think he's making a mistake by not becoming a conventional candidate. it is too late for him to do that. he has to do something totally different and appeal to nonvoters, people who are registered and never show up and try to get them to come back. it is not an impossible task. he is taking down our

polling data suggests both murphy and rubio should win tonight quite comfortably and then the other polls already looking forward to this murphy versus rubio november showdown showing rubio up barely by three percentage point but within the margin of error so this will be a very competitive, very expensive race. for the democrats it's a very important one because they have the quest this year to retake control of the u.s. senate and winning marco rubio's senate seat is seen as critical to doing that. >> now to arizona where gop incumbents senator john mccain and sheriff joe arapaio are fighting to keep their jobs. >> reporter: good afternoon. senator john mccain himself has called this the political fight of his life. he's up against a primary republican as senator mccain, himself, seems to try to distance himself from the top of the republican ticket. that opponent is also making senator mccain's age an issue. he turned 80 just yesterday. in one interview, kelly ward went as far as to say senator mccain might actually die in office if he wins another term. she told me today that the sena

>> well, some polling data like an article in the "atlantic" and others indicate that governor johnson is not just pulling are from the republicans, and he is earn earning the support, i should say of some democrat, and i believe perhaps somberny sa sanders' democrats. if you are looking at what he is standing for which is strong fiscal discipline, and a real judicious restraint in the use of military force and going light on the social issues. look, i hold the social issues that are more conservative than or thrs bush at the same time as a businessman, my number one concern is the country's fiscal trajectory which threatens every one of us wref we live, and the only candidate among the top three that i have seen who is really confronting it in a wise and upfront way is governor johnson. >> and congressman, tell me this, because you have outline ed the fact that you have, you do think that johnson has a path to winning if he can get to the 50% there threshold, and be in the presidential debates, and we will see if that happens, but more broadly, you are standing by the party, and remai

trish: it's fascinating that that's to your point why perhaps some of the poll data is not capturing that maybe felt like you a while back. let me share with you some more news that came out today. trump tweeted out a statement on who is finally leaving her husband. what? his third sexing scandal. writes making a very wise decision. i know well, and she will be far better off without him. i only worry for the country and hillary clinton was careless and negligent in allowing wiener to have such close proximity to highly classified information. who knows what he learned and maybe it's just another example of hillary clinton's bad judgment. it's possible our country and security have been greatly compromised by this. he obviously wasn't careful when it came to what he was tweeting out to the world. and one would have to think. he would have access to some pretty important information, given who he was married to. not giving a point here on hillary clinton's judgment on whom she had anthony weiner in her life. trish: she's been betrayed by her husband. i'm one of her biggest critics, bu

what i'm going do here is take you through states that we have the polling data right now that suggeststriking distance of donald trump. some of these is that the demographics are more favoritable and putting together and more with college educated and then a rising latino population. let me take you through the states. the red states and there's a couple of polls out and showing her within striking distance. let's take you to north carolina and that's the democrats and there's the poll that is have her ahead right now. how about georgia? there's a state that no democrat has carried since clinton did it in 1992. then there's a dead even race in georgia. it's one that clinton can target. she has a fighting chance. then there's the polling out of virge virgets. she is done to donald trump and then strikes distance. we have seen the polls that are dead even and how about this one? this is the biggest shock on the board however. there are some particular reasons that we need to see more to make sure that this is the case. the most resent number out of utah and the state of utah ask the numb

the polling data in key battlegrounds states, he wasn't pleased with that. you have bannon and conway who's bringing in a different perspective. saying, you know what, let's get back to what brought donald trump here, which is allowing him to be authentic, to allow him to go back and do the things he wants to do to be successful, that has gotten him to the point of where he is today, which is the republican nomination. now you're going to grow that base and you're going to grow and bring more people in. i think, you know, it doesn't matter, staff stories shouldn't matter, but what you have is a realignment of donald trump and the direction of the campaign which, most importantly, is what the candidate wants. >> staff stories clearly do matter. if you think that this is an important move, as you said, because now they're taking this campaign in a different direction and that has to do with the people donald trump surrounds him with. is the shake-up complete? can you acknowledge it now? >> look, i don't know if it's complete. i don't know if it's not complete.

in these states not a lot of primary polling data but the stam teed data we have suggests she goesinge that mccain will be returned another nomination but he also has a much tougher than expected general election race in a arizona looks like could be shaping up to be s a swing state this year. maria: right that is the key here, so we that is one challenge that he has got but when it comes to the general what do you expect let's do florida first, because -- a congressman debbie wasserman schultz at risk losing primary how is she going to do distinct. >> almost impalpable to pol a house district like this she better win had better win but she -- there are disconcerting fines she won't hillary clinton was there to stump for her did show up to show solidarity former a democratic chairwoman has big problems on her hands. >> in general you think? >> well, now wait a minute, i don't know if that is going to be true, this should be very reliablely democratically district, whoever wins democratic primary we and to do fine in general. >> your take on handicapping go is going to go on in general

. >> let me ask you about polling data. there have been recent -- in recent times, situations in which the polling hasn't held up in terms of, you know, say august in 1988, dukakis was ahead in the polls yet failed to win the presidency. >> well, sure. just because the polls say something today doesn't mean that's what it's going to be three months from today. we're exactly halfway between donald trump clinching the nomination and election day. so we're exactly at the hinge point in the election. we're halfway home. now, things can change a lot over that period of time, and even if it just stays within that bandwidth it can change a lot. i would remind you -- this is really important. the polls are mostly accurate. good polls have mostly been accurate, and we have never seen a presidential election blown. we're looking for the trend lines over the next three months. >> do you think he helps himself today by getting back to the economy as his main message? >> it's his best message. it's the things that voters trust him the mo

it's showing in terms of the polling data as well. hillary clinton is leading in some instances.ificant lead in virginia and i think she continues to do well in ohio. those are all key states. this election is going to boil down to whoever has the quickest path to that 270 electoral college votes needed to win this election and right now, hillary clinton has a clearer path than donald trump. he's going to have to really work hard to raise a lot of money to get his message out in the key states that at least stay within striking distance and hopefully, for him, that is, if he wishes to win, he's going to have to raise enough money to even it up. >> and talking about him trying to get out the message, joe, jamiel, stand by. straight to donald trump taking the stage there in fredericksburg, virginia. let's listen in. >> a new day in america. it's going to be a great day in america. government will listen to the people again. the voters not the special interests and lobbyists will be in charge. total charge. our economy will grow. jobs will come back. new factories are going to stret

trish: look, we've seen all the polling data, shows, people don't trust her. over to immigration for a moment. said she is working on fine-tuning his policy obviously this is pretty significant. he needs tock extraordinarily measured, articulate when he comes out with this policy. reality is a lot of americans are fed up with the lack of security among our borders, but there are also some hard-working people here that are, you know, doing their best to get by. trying to be, trying to be successful in this country. it sounds as though, and, i don't know. but it sounds as though from what i'm reading thus far, he is trying to find a way, to sort of say, okay, let's sort of keep the good, out with the bad. is that what he is actually going to try and do? if so, is that going to fly with voters? >> you know, i think that immigration is one of the most emotionally charged issues of this election. and so the way that he communicates about this, the way he puts it all together whether or not people accept him as mom one who is not racist. someone realistic what needs

and donald trump supporters, if you have looked at polling data over the last year, they actually sortf span the ideological spectrum. they're not just from the right. they're also from the center, they're disaffected voters who want a voice in politics. and they feel that beltway politicians have not been listening to them for a very long time. >> but buc, here's what i'm saying in drawing a linear connection between some of what you hear on the radio or in conservative outlets and trump. i'll give you a top of mind example. rush limbaugh referred as you well remember to sandra fluke as a slut. is it any surprise then you hear in the course of this campaign donald trump talk about megyn kelly having blood coming out of her "wherever." or another experience that i remember was glenn beck making reference to barack obama as a quote, unquote, racist with a deep-seated hatred of white people. is it any doubt then that you're going to hear candidate trump say out on the huftings -- the risk and the peril that the obama presidency has presented to america? i see it all as connected. they ha

see why the latest polling data provides a look at what the campaign may be looking at. >>> and a midair take down. >> they changed course after a passenger attacked a flight attendant. it's the latest in a series of similar incidents. >> and justin bieber an orlando bloom rivalry is threatening to break the internet. pics. could it be a scourge on the world this summer? it's in the skinny on this monday, august 8th. >>> from abc news, this is "world news now." >>> good morning to you. i'm kendis gibson. >> i'm diane macedo. we begin this morning with tragedy at an amusement park over the weekend. >> a 10-year-old boy died while on the world's tallest water slide. it's not known if he fell or something else went wrong. riders must be 4 and a half feet tall and go down in a raft holding three people. >> park officials are stunned. the water slide opened two years ago. the german name means insane. it's the biggest water slide in the world. marci gonzalez has more. >> we are saddened to share a young boy died on a ride this afternoon. >> the young boy's family with him at the time of the a

>> we're just minutes away, by the way, from the release of new polling data on the white house. w pose show hillary clinton came out of the democratic convention with a significant bounce. a cnn/orc poll finds clinton has opened up a nine-point lead on donald trump, 52% to 43% for support jumping seven points since before the convention while his dropped five. meanwhile the new cbs poll shows clinton leading by seven points. 46% to 39%. but last night trump said he is not concerned. >> you know, it's always embarrassing to me, they say, and it's been proven in the primaries, i go into a primary that said it's going to be close i win by a landslide. it's a little embarrassing. people don't want to say they're going to vote for me but then they get in the booth they say, is anybody looking? is anybody -- boom. i'm taking trump. going to bring back our jobs! >> and trump took offense to suggestions yesterday that he did not know that russia had sent troops into crimea in 2014. on twitter he wrote, quote, when i said in an interview that putin is not going in to ukraine, you can mark

if you look at poll data, americans are actually not mostly in favor of deporting, mass deporting 11 million immigrants. they are in favor of a path to citizenship. even most republicans, like three quarters of republicans say they are in favor of a path to citizenship. it's not entirely clear that digging in his heels on those policies are going to win over the potential swing voters is he going for. >> okay. we just -- this is just crossing the news wires right now. the state department saying that they will not release all meetings and emails of hillary clinton in advance of the election. >> well, that's going to be an interesting challenge for her. because she has got some of these things are going through the legal process right now. and the judges have been very clear about their expectations. so we have to see how the state department is going to be pushed by the legal system and all of these lawsuits coming from various quarters. not just the judicial watch one. i think there is still a lot of opportunity for this issue to remain live all the way through november. >> catherin

in this process more fully, might we be looking at a different situation in terms of some of the poll dataell, the fact of the matter is if the republicans, conservatives, the people with common sense start working together, there is just no way the progressives can overcome them. the progressives know that, so they have to spend a lot of time and energy convincing the conservative group that there's a real problem here and that you can't really get behind this person, and then they're going to go home and laugh their heads off. you know, conservatives and republicans always seem to find a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. we cannot let it happen this time because we're talking about our children and our grandchildren. we're talking about the future of this nation. people have to get over their little things and look at the big picture here. this is huge. >> you know, dr. carson, we're going to talk a little bit later in the show about how the media has treated conservatives all along, including mitt romney. but one of the common themes that you hear over and over again is tha

aggressively attacking each other in campaign ads released pretty much every single day and the latest polling dataws a murphy versus rubio florida senate november matchup with rubio three points ahead. it's within the margin of error. so it's virtually a tie at this point. should be close, greta. >> it's going to be interesting to watch. phil, thank you. and oh brother, really bad for secretary hillary clinton when the "new york times" editorial board has turned on her. well, that's next. also, donald trump and his message for quarterback colin kaepernick. you will hear from donald trump straight ahead. isn't it time to let the real you shine through? introducing otezla (apremilast). otezla is not an injection or a cream. it's a pill that treats plaque psoriasis differently. with otezla, 75% clearer skin is achievable after just 4 months, with reduced redness, thickness, and scaliness of plaques. and the otezla prescribing information has no requirement for routine lab monitoring. don't take otezla if you are allergic to any of its ingredients. otezla may increase the risk of depression. tell your

. >> also new polling data.ing in in the last couple of hours from gallop asking voters do you have a more or less fiavorable view of the parties? democrats, slightly more having a favorable impression, more favorable impression as a result of that convention. the republican convention in cleveland, by this standard, not as successful. perry, we're seeing hillary clinton up seven points in this new -- six or seven depending on how many voters you're including there. this new cbs poll. successful week for democrats can we say in hindsight? >> you saw trump's convention resulted in a slight bump for him. he was ahead in the polls. now after hillary's convention, is hillary has been ahead most of the race and back ahead now. my guess is the six or seven will come down to three or four. the race has been in this three to four change. she has a narrow lead. the national polls matter some extent. as you broke down earlier, she's leading or tied in pretty much all of the big swing states. and if he's not ahead, any of

polling data showed white women felt the gop was too antagonistic towards minorities. years later texas governor george w. bush runs for president. compassionate conservative. white women came back to the fold. this is kellyanne conway saying donald trump if you want to keep suburban white women, change your tone towards minorities otherwise you'll get nailed. this has nothing to do with black voters. >> so we have a monmouth university poll out that shows donald trump is trailing hillary clinton by 30 points among educated white women 57% to 27%. so you're saying the reason why donald trump has turned down the naacp convention invocation or anything from the urban league or the nabj to talk to minority folks in their own spaces -- >> right. >> is evidence the speeches he's giving last night are targeting people that could feel okay with voting for him because he believes in minority rights? >> precisely. precisely. that's what this is. here's the deal. ronald reagan when he ran for president he spoke to the national urban league. vice president george h.w. bush, georg

of course, you have to grow, but the premise, if you look at the polling data which indicates are youhe congressional approval ratings? 11% of americans think congress is doing a good job, so when you want to put a fundamental change candidate in place, the only person that will go to washington and change the way washington operates is an outsider with no experience running for elected office and they're not bought and paid for and could do what's right for the american people and that is what the american people now want. >> that's a whole lot of rhetoric and spin that doesn't speak to the fact that if you look at all of the polls and again, as we said before by you, john, donald trump was the first one to hype the polls when he was doing well, and yes, he won a specific small segment of the far right of one party which is not what you need. >> he cleaned up for the primary and he did win the far right. >> again, corey, he is now running in a general election and has to reach beyond his base. i don't disagree that the solid part of his base probably no matter what he does will proba

and there isn't -- there's not a lot of polling data that suggests that he's actually making traction with hispanics or african-americans. quite the opposite, actually. so it's him saying one thing but actual reporting and numbers on this saying quite the opposite. >> we'll continue this theme. you were just talking about trump and his relationship with african-american voters. well, once again at the iowa state fair yesterday, he reached out. he does is speech there. do yhink i helps his outreach? what can he do? >> i think what donald trump can do is get into the communities he's talking about. i talked at length with advisers in the trump campaign. people telling him he needs to come into these neighborhoods. it's one thing that voters or democrats are talking about he needs to go into these neighborhoods. but the people working for trump himself say he needs to get into the african-american communities, hispanic communities. right now he's doing these speeches in front of almost majority white crowds, 95% white crowds. and that's not going to help his case even though we can say h

brand new polling data just out from nbc news/wall street journal and marist within the last few minutesl down. mark, we've got those state numbers you were talking about. >> yeah, kate. you know, you ended up looking at the four states that we measured, colorado, florida, north carolina and virginia. our polling shows that hillary clinton is ahead in all of those states from as little as 5 points in florida to as many as 14 points in colorado. kate, let's go state by state. in colorado hillary clinton has a 14-point lead over donald trump. it was in the high single digits before the convention and it is now in double digits there. it should be noted the clinton campaign stopped advertising in colorado a few weeks ago. then in florida, it's actually a little bit tighter race. hillary clinton is ahead by 5 points there. it was a seven-point lead for hillary clinton in our most recent poll so that is a little good news for the trump campaign that in a way florida got a little bit tighter, but clinton still in the lead in a state that is all but essential on the electoral map for donald tru

he can denounce one or two as being off but this is a body of polling data that is derivative of, theirect result of his poor performance and the successful democratic convention. he has august to fix it. >> look, i think there's a big lesson here. you are always getting a bump coming out of your convention if it's well-staged and the democratic convention was. in combination as you suggested, bad if you are on the opposite side to crater in light of historically horrible way at exactly the same time your opponent is rising. i think the problem for trump here is that these numbers can now lock in for a long time. he might not be able to move these numbers in an appreciable way until the first debate, a month and a half away. these are bad. they are not just bad, the national number's big and shows trump's floor is lower than we thought, but the state polls, in particular the attributes where trump had a lead on clinton, and she's closed the gap or overtaken him, i would be freaking out if i was in the trump campaign right now. >> they have money now. best news of the week for him rais

like to be, you have been in this position, what's it like to have your candidate every day get polling dataple times a day and be behind? what does that do to the psyche? >> the reality is best example of that was bob dole's campaign that i was on in 1996, where literally from the day of your convention which was sort of your high point, you got within five points of bill clinton to the rest of the campaign where that was your high water mark. every single day your polling came back and said you're losing ground, not gaining ground. look, guys like bob dole, they are creatures of the political system. they have seen these polls before. they have won and lost elections and he had a maturity about him that said you know what, i go out every day, i'm going to hammer away and ultimately, came to the conclusion that he could do more positive for the down ballot races and committed basically all the resources of the campaign, the rnc and senate and house committees to do that rather than pursue to the bitter end his ambition to be president. that was an impressive decision. >> what's it like for