the most important goal is a brand-new bloombergpolitics pope of likely voters in florida. despite trump's national dip, the race has been tightening in the sunshine state. our survey shows it is razor thin with clinton leading amongst 2.45% to 43%. -- two points, 45% to 40%. two candidates are deadlocked in our survey with independents. that is a group that barack obama won in florida in 2012. clinton leads amongst early voters and hispanic voters. that is a smaller margin amongst hispanics than some other polls have elsewhere in the country. in part because hispanics in florida include cuban-americans. clinton is campaigning in the sunshine state, where there is evidence that her team has the edge in the ground game. at the moment given our poll and other factors, who would you give the upper hand to in florida? john: we have some breaking news on the pole front. an ap poll has hillary clinton 57%. 14 points, 31 to let's take that into account. but focusing on florida, i think the race will be close in florida. i think the democrats continue to have a small advantage ther

john: up next, a brand-new bloombergpolitics north carolina poll. plus the overlooked policy , issues of the presidential campaign, after these words from our sponsors. ♪ john: welcome back. we have a brand-new bloombergpolitics battleground state poll looking at north carolina, which remains in essential part of donald trump's narrow path to victory. and a four-way race, our poll shows hillary clinton leading by voters,1% among likely up 44% to 43% over trump and she is up by the same margin in a two-way race over trump. than a slightly tighter poll from quinnipiac survey released this afternoon. let's take a look at this map. there is hillary clinton up by three points, 46% to 43% among likely voters in north carolina. q pollsqueue polls -- put clinton up five points in florida, 46% to 41%, and up four points in pennsylvania, 45% to 41%. in ohio, the outlier, trump seems to be gaining ground, leading among likely buckeye voters 47%-42%. there is one more poll i want to show you. in new mexico, a state that would ordinarily be considered safely sta

of this week'st episode of "the circus," in conjunction with bloombergpolitics.ve our two guests from the nation's capitol. julian assange says "everything" when asked what we are undercovering in this race? has wikileaks been undercovered, it are some of the most useful revelations for the race and the next administration? >> i think they have a point that at least initially they were under covered. i think they are getting a lot of coverage now. but in terms of what has been revealed, the specifics are not all that revelatory, not all that shocking. but what it does is a really gives you a behind-the-scenes look at the kind of handwringing and strategizing that goes on internally within a campaign and also for those of us who are junkies -- you know, a lot of the back fighting, a lot of the organizational tension. in that theting clinton operation on the outside seems to have run pretty -- in a pretty disciplined way. certainly a big, big contrast from her last campaign in 2008. what we have seen from these e-mails is they are not without tension and some of th

in an and or before the circus, i'll showtime series, and conjunction with bloombergpolitics, i spokeo trunk -- trump after the event and i asked about what his opponents have insane. -- >> i wouldn't be surprised. mark: she said it is a new hotel, same story. >> let me say we had no undocumented workers. a false report was written that they found a couple. we had no undocumented workers and in fact we used e-verify for every single worker. a new favor came over and said i think that person is undocumented. every single worker was documented in perfected. mark: are there foreign products in the building? >> that i don't know. i would like it to make it so but our country does not make things anymore. china, mexico, germany, they are making all of our products. the problem we have is when you build something like this, so much of the bidding has to go to other countries because we don't make the products anymore. i would love to buy television sets made in the u.s. mark: did it feel differently? >> it didn't really. when i'm speaking in front of 25,000 people like last night -- we have

john: head to bloombergpolitics about what donald trump's followers are saying on the stealing of thechang breaks down amazon's earnings. until tomorrow from me and mark sayonara. , ♪ ♪ it is 9:00 a.m. in hong kong. i am haidi lun. this is "bloomberg markets: asia." ♪ haidi: gains and refining overcame deepening losses from oil and gas production. ura, a 90% surge in trading claims after the vote in june.

to bloombergpolitics about what donald trump's followers are saying on the stealing of the election.ior adviser to donald trump says -- tells business work that the campaign has through voter suppression operations aimed at lowering the turnover hillary clinton. the campaign targets liberals, young women and black voters. e-mails fromacked hillary clinton's campaign with his/her staff''s anger after news broke that she used a private server. wikileaks has released thousands of stolen e-mails from clinton chairman john podesta. united nations will make another attempt to evacuate 200 wounded people and to deliver food and medical supplies into the syrian city of aleppo. airstrikes have been halted for nine days in advance of the evacuations, but those efforts have failed. $265 millionp aay to settle claims related to derailment in philadelphia. 8 ok an-- 8 four

. ♪ ♪ >> welcome back to our special bloombergpolitics coverage of tonight's vice presidential debatere live on bloomberg tv and streaming live at debates. twitter.com. this is less than 20 minutes away. now, thening me preview of how both sides are preparing for that event. two of my favorite guys, preparing. kevin, let's talk about mike pence. you spend a lot of time covering the trump campaign. the said he did not take shots he needed to take on hillary clinton. a big part of his mission, will it be to take hillary down, or try to normalize donald trump for people who may not be familiar with them? >> i put that question to some senior trump aides a couple hours ago. they will try to do both. he has to get this trump campaign on offense after a series of missteps. >> how to they spin the tax returns? to say this is why we are not releasing them after this? >> he will not do it like donald trump does it, he won't call hillary crooked hillary. measured, but at the same time, flip the conversation. flip it back on tim kaine. independentlot of voters just as frustrated with hillary cli

interview for "the circus" produced in conjunction with showtime and bloombergpolitics, i asked donaldrump about what was for him a very personal speech today. mr. trump: i was just trying to say we built a great building. we took it out of the doldrums one of the great structures in , the country. we built it under budget and ahead of schedule. to me that was important, mark, because our country -- we can't build a highway. we can't build a bridge. we can't fix a tunnel. we are in such trouble. i am happy with the way that it all worked out, but this building turned out to be so amazing. mark: how does the building connect to your presidential aspirations? mr. trump: on budget and ahead of schedule. you look at what is going on, we are $20 trillion -- now, i wanted to come and stop and it takes an hour and a half to do it, but it really says is that you can still go under budget and do great work. this will be one of the great hotels of the world. under budget, ahead of schedule. our country has to do things under budget and ahead of schedule. mark: we will have more of that interview

bloombergpolitics has teamed up exclusively with twitter. it all starts at 8:30 eastern.can watch on @vpolitics streaming live on bloomberg television and on twitter. you will have more from farmville right after this. ♪ john: we are here on the campus of long word university awaiting tonight's presidential debate. andare joined by kasie hunt kelly o'donnell. ladies, always a pleasure to be graced by your presence. what do you think about the vice president of debate taking place in either camp? kasie: the idea that they are trying to print tim kaine to be an attack talk -- trying to prep tim kaine it to be an attack dog. using his mr. nice guy persona to relate to the audience while also not letting up on mike pence. much more is a disciplined person to go after than donald trump. [laughter] i think mike pence is digging into tim kaine's gubernatorial records in a way that voters may not expect to hear what he did when he was in charge. i think they will use that to say that tim kaine would have raised taxes. mike pence, taxes have gone down in indiana -- the kind of arg

we send our bloombergpolitics team to times square to see what new yorkers and tourists know about the guys, these two guys, the vice presidential running mate. do you know who these guys are? >> i do not. >> any ideas? no. .> no >> that is mitt romney. >> a ceo. >> a newscaster. >> american football coach. >> a sports analyst. >> they look like they are in the golf world. >> do you know who that is? >> the vice presidential candidates. mike pence and tim kaine. >> i am not sure about the democrat. that is pence and i forget his name. >> that is so close. cane.se a >> do you know their name? tim kaine and prints or something. >> do you know his name? >> pence. >> tim kaine. >> which one? >> this is trumps bp and this is hillary's vp. >> who do you think would win? >> this guy. he looks a little more intellectual. >> what words come to mind? >> a charmer. like a ladies man. himould you want representing you? >> going to london or beijing. putin would run rings around him. >> he seems more presidential. vice presidential. >> he has that stare. >> he looks winnable. hear that. love to >>

we have more from the bloombergpolitics poll bloombergpolitics.com. emily chang has more from the vanity fair new establishment summit. until tomorrow for me and mark, , we say, glad we are out of vegas, and we say, sayonara. ♪ ♪ in hong kong. i am haidi lun. rishaad: i am rishaad salamat in hong kong. this is "bloomberg markets: asia". there is only one story happening in hong kong, this typhoon. they don't foresee problems for aircraft until 11:00. indeed, markets pretty much shut. haidi: hong kong whipping up the storm.

let's ask our bloombergpolitics reporter, joining us now from washington.news was to push republicans who are maybe on the fence to finally pull the lever for trump; not enough to sway democrats deeply entrenched with hillary clinton. >> that's right. i think what we saw earlier was in the last week, we have seen a trend of republicans moving in the direction of trump. it was always likely that many of these voters would come home at the end. they're united by dislike of hillary clinton, and this news gets them further toward trump. that evidence we have is there is no clear sign of democrats moving off hillary clinton. 13oll over the weekend in battleground states found that only 5% of democrats were less likely to vote for hillary clinton. six.olls today show her up a morning poll shows her up three. there are warning signs. she has to handle this issue,shb ut so far i think there is no sign she is losing. matt: obviously a member of analysts have come out trying to estimate how much this is going to change the game in the final several days of the race.