talk about a black swan event. they are playing in cleveland.here is going to be a in clevelandaces but a lot of celebrating in chicago for sure. metaphorse a sports when it comes to the political races, regardless of what happens after november 8, there is still a sentiment that globalization is under attack, especially as we are rife with political intrigue into europe next year. >> i for the politics of 2017 are going to be important. large events in the austria,ope, italy, and german and french elections. those political events and the add to agotiations all sense in which there could be a lot of instability. >> cyborg has dropped. and that has been a step forward in terms of liquidity. i have had conversations in terms of the peg. i just want to get your view. asimately, ultimately, vision 2030 takes old, these are not going to be robust. >> it is a matter of timing and when you make decisions, obviously not advisable to making adjustments to currencies when you are under pressure and duress. i do not anticipate there will be a suggestion o

h f he does s that ta black swan event? >> it's not a black swan event when it's 50-50. bable way is to say 50-50. and each person should be prepared for the consequences. now, let me tell you, i'll tell you up front, i don't have an nder view on the election because i'm not voting for the two major candidates. out of ethic, i'm going to vote for someone outside. >> you find them so unethical? >> no, no, it's because you don't vote, your vote should be according to your preference, not who who's going to win. some say they feel they're going to waste a vote by voting libertarian or green party. got to vote according to preferences. >> it was a joke about the black swan event. obviously, if you can predict it or know about it, then it's not a black swan event. >> of course. for the ki, not for the butcher. >> but there's a lot of economists out there say federal government donald trump wins, the stock market's going to decline dramatically. had noble prize signing petitions. they aring frightened. >> i've been in the market most of my adult life. from experience, the mark

i -- when you said black swan, though, it got me interested because they talk about the sort of black swan watching in this letter and say, you know, we're not looking for anything specifically like that. on that note if i could just point out, they make sort of a defense of fees in here, which i think is interesting in this environment. they actually don't say what their fees are, and i don't know if you know. i'm not sure if they're 2-20 or do something even more than that. they do impose what they call a capital surcharge of 1.75%. they do that to not disadvantage current investors when new ones come in, and they have to get into illiquid positions or they're having to raise cash to meet redemption requests. they do that to even out the expense of some of those things. that's interesting. they basically say, look, we are in business almost 40 years. we've had only two down years. we've outperformed benchmarks during that time. we think you should consider value of your investment more than profits to the service provider. now, they're talking their book, but it's interesting in the

and many are predicting she'll nab a second oscar to put next to the one she got for "black swan." december second. there's something about president obama and joe biden's friendship that people just love.. and with the clock ticking down.. the internet is imagining what they might be talking about these last few months.. so on twitter.. there are all these fake conversations the two might be having.. in most of them.. joe suggests some sort of prank to pull on president-elect donald trump.. while obama just gives him "the look." time for your juicy question of the morning.. the average woman will get rid of this after 12-14 get rid of this after 12-14 years. ?? traffic ?? ???adlib weather 3 ???adlib weather still ahead on 12 today.. our next life changer will quite literally - change your life. we break down how to ?grill? a pizza.. coming up in an hour. president-elect donald trump - not off to the best start.. why some people can't wrap their heads around his first what president obama has to say about it.. when 12 today returns in three minutes. ###break### 3 now to decision 20

out black swans.vent haveeseeable actually materialize. into 2017, what are the risks we are not seeing? is geopolitics of what may happen in europe with elections? >> we clearly have a correlation between income inequality and the rise in right-wing and populist sentiment. if i were a world leader in any country i would try to work on improving income distribution. the europeans managed to get more returns on their gdp in terms of distributing. that is going to be key for it. heidi: coming up, why short interests in australian banks is rising. ♪ why some call it the widow maker. ♪ heidi: welcome back. sure interest has spiked in australia's biggest banks. it is a trade that has been named the widow maker. what is driving this increase in shortselling at the moment? >> it is national to blame donald trump. let's blame him for this as well. seenlection, we have yields rising on bonds. that makes dividend plays less attractive than australian banks. they fall into that category. they are dealing with ot

which sees achievable barring a black swan event.n other data points to look out for from october, average hourly earning may have picked up one third of the percent against the 2/10 of a percent rise in september and a rise of 2.6% for the year. just shy of the postrecession high of 2.7%. that ishe work week, projected to stay the same at 34.4 hours. the level it has been at since the second quarter and the unemployment rate is forecast to toallen just a bit to 4.9% 5%. he has been sticking at 5% of few months. that could mean the economy is close to full employment. october jobs report comes out friday, 830 -- 8:30 a.m. wall street time. eustis: paul krugman has told bloomberg the fed should not raise rates this year or next. he thinks the u.s. central bank --determined to act as tough as though things are normal. ramifications the of the presidential election and had this to say about donald trump's economic strategy. >> i don't think there is any mics.eno it is all about who is in charge in the you -- chinese are taking advantage

it's a black swan. it happens.he 2000id not see eight recession coming, which is actually the reason for all of this. we're not profit -- we are not prophets. the weapons of mass destruction -- this is the biggest thing for me since then. american press fell down there. let's move on. let's take a look now -- we have been keeping an eye and members of the trump campaign. trumplook at how donald has demonized, for his part of it, the press, and that has -- thatd, that tends demonization of the press, with tens of millions of people. : our biggest obstacle is the press. they are so dishonest. all stories, all made up -- lies. lies. it's a horrible misrepresentation it's given me by the media. i mean, "the new york times" is disgusting. just talking about cnn. they are all bad. honestly, they are all bad. i don't know what it is, like an inferiority complex? but the media, which is one of the most dishonest groups of people ever, ever, ever, you are ever going to meet -- brian: that's quite a demonization. i don't thi

kids who played a young jfk junior and caroline and don't be surprised if portman who is with "black swan." >> i think they're your good luck charms. >> they're good luck charms in life. they're the best things. >>> still ahead, aging stars and no photoshop and no shame. >> isn't it okay to be 40, 50 or 60? >> stars over 40 lay their insecurities to rest for the new pirelli calendar and we're on the scenes. >>> we are with the property brothers and the hgtv hunky twins get real their love thing you can say. >> dole parton shares frightening stories from her childhood and how she got her famous truth. >> they said she's just trash. >> i said that's how i want to be when i grow up. >> closed captioning provided >>> earlier we told you about the blaze threatening dollywood. overcoming adversity is nothing new to dolly parton. dolly's real life, "coat of many colors." her true story is so remarkable and now she's revealing even more. >> the first one was really emotional because it was the first time my family had been exposed, but this one will really pull at your heart. >> are we getting pr

for shunning convention, taking massive risks that could win or lose billions, and investing in black swanscompanies with a near complete chance of failure. but if they succeed, the world will be changed forever. vinod khosla grew up in india. the son of an officer in the indian army. his parents agreed he could explore his boyhood curiosities was no limits, as long as his grades did not suffer. he began by founding sun microsystems. he helps entrepreneurs take the same risks he has no fear of taking. joining me today on "bloomberg studio 1.0" vinod khosla. thank you so much for being here. it is great to have you. vinod: great to be here. emily: you are known for being an investor who challenges -- you not only challenges conventional wisdom. you explode it. how early did that start? vinod: if you are successful early, and lock counts a lot, -- and luck counts a lot, the ability to do things others may not have the freedom to do. i used it to my advantage early. i was always interested in radical change, big ideas. i got the opportunity to do that. emily: you were raised in delhi, india. w

caroline and don't be surprised pregnant with baby number two hears her name called, she won with "black swan." >> i think they're your good luck charms. >> they're good luck charms in life. they're the best things. >>> still ahead, aging stars and no photoshop and no shame. >> isn't it okay to be 40, 50 or 60? >> stars over 40 lay their insecurities to rest for the new pirelli calendar and we're on the scenes. twins get real their love lives. >> that's the most unromantic thing you can say. >> dole parton shares frightening stories from her childhood and how she got her famous truth. >> they said she's just trash. >> i said that's how i want to be when i grow up. >> closed captioning provided you deserve great tv service. me? yes, you deserve tons of free hd channels. ok... it's all about meredith. you deserve tons of free on demand channels, second lady. who's talking? and you, confused lady, you deserve a technician who shows up on time. what about me? everyone deserves great tv service, okay? anybody else freaked out about this? not really. >>> earlier we told you about the blaze threaten

in fact he is warning of a possible black swan event.king but you have got to hear what he has to say because he said it could disrupt your money. citigroup economics head bill lee to break it all down. stay with us. "countdown" is coming right back. see me. see me. don't stare at me. see me. see me. see me to know that psoriasis is just something that i have. i'm not contagious. see me to know that... ...i won't stop until i find what works. discover cosentyx, a different kind of medicine for moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. proven to help the majority of people find clear or almost clear skin. 8 out of 10 people saw 75% skin clearance at 3 months. while the majority saw 90% clearance. do not use if you are allergic to cosentyx. before starting, you should be tested for tuberculosis. an increased risk of infections and lowered ability to fight them may occur... ...tell your doctor if you have an infection or symptoms... ...such as fever, sweats, chills, muscle aches or cough. or if you have received a vaccine or plan to. if you have

surprised if portman who is pregnant with baby number two hears her name called, she won with "black swaney're your good luck charms. >> they're good luck charms in life. they're the best things. >>> still ahead, aging stars and no photoshop and no shame. >> isn't it okay to be 40, 50 or 60? >> stars over 40 lay their insecurities to rest for the new pirelli cleanalendar and we're the scenes. >>> we are with the property brothers and the hgtv hunky twins get real their love lives. >> that's the most unromantic thing you can say. >> dole parton shares frightening stories from her childhood and how she got her famous truth. >> they said she's just trash. >> i said that's how i want to be when i grow up. >> closed captioning provided by -- ♪ ♪ when you find something worth waiting for, we'll help you invest to protect it for the future. financial guidance while you're mastering life. from chase, so you can. lift up your head and keep moving or let the paranoia haunt you? everybody lack confidence, everybody lack confidence i keep my fee-fi-fo-fum i keep my heart undone the strong in me, i st

and caroline and don't be surprised if portman who is pregnant with baby number two she won with "black swan." >> i think they're your good luck charms. >> they're good luck charms in life. they're the best things. >>> still ahead, aging stars and no photoshop and no shame. >> isn't it okay to just be 40 or 50 or 60? >> stars over 40 lay their insecurities to rest for the new pirelli calendar and we're behind the scenes. >>> we're on the set with the property hunky twins get real with their love lives. >> ts hat'the most unromantic thing you can say. >> dole parton shares frightening stories from her childhood and how she got her famous truth. >> they said she's just trash. >> i said that's how i want to be when i grow up. >> closed captioning provided stronger is less pain, new hope, more fight. it's doing everything in your power, and everything in ours. because we don't just want kids to grow up. we want them to grow up stronger. and with your support, they will. make a gift today at childrensnational.org/givenow z25enz z17vz y25eny y17vy fios is not cable. we're wired differently. that m

she won with "black swan." >> i think they're your good luck charms. >> they're good luck charms in life. they're the best things. >>> still ahead, aging stars and no photoshop and no shame. >> isn't it okay to just be 40 or 50 or 60? >> stars over 40 lay their insecurities to rest for the new pirelli calendar and we're behind the scenes. hunky twins get real with their love lives. >> that's the most unromantic thing you can say. >> dole parton shares frightening stories from her childhood and how she got her famous truth. >> they said she's just trash. >> i said that's how i want to be when i grow up. >> closed captioning provided we don't have a lot of grocery stores here in our neighborhood and we want our neighbors to have access to good things at affordable prices. the only thing easy in our community is fast food. ?? well hello! wow! we're here to offer some help. welcome! i mean, look at the size of this thing! who doesn't need a sweet potato that size? they took the time to care what our project was about. here you go. and that was something >>> earlier we told you about the blaz

. >> speaking to vanity fair, the couldn't help but gush about the man in her life, 47-year-old black swan director who she describes as a visionary and also opened up at length on camera. >> laying in a ditch. stripping. oh, i would ask robert kardashian what was in the o.j. case. >> she told the magazine as far as weddings are concerned, she will never again be a bridesmaid and that part of her life is over, so is that a thing to come for her? >> sounds like it. >> here's a hint of something to come, a major payday. >> the comic signed a deal with netflix reportedly worth as much the streaming giant. his first special in 12 years will be released simultaneously next year. (coughs) that cough doesn't sound so good. well i think you sound great. move over. easy booger man. take mucinex dm. it'll take care of your cough. fine! i'll text you in 4 hours when your cough returns. one pill lasts 12 hours, so... looks like i'm good all night! ah! david, please, listen. still not coughing. not fair you guys! waffles are my favorite! ah! some cough medicines only last 4 hours. but just one mucinex

. ♪ ♪ emily: he is known for shunning convention, taking massive risks, and investing in black swans, with a near complete chance of failure. if they succeed, the world will be changed forever. vinod khosla grew up in india. his parents agreed he could explore his curiosity these with no limits as his grades didn't suffer. he began by founding sun microsystems. he helps entrepreneurs take the sameks

she won with "black swan." >> i think they're your good luck charms. >> they're good luck charms in lifehings. >>> still ahead, aging stars and no photoshop and no shame. >> isn't it okay to just be 40 or 50 or 60? >> stars over 40 lay their insecurities to rest for the new pirelli calendar and we're behind the scenes. >>> we're on the set with the property brothers and the hgtv hunky twins get real with their love lives. >> that's the most unromantic thing you can say. >> dole parton shares frightening stories from her childhood and how she got her famous truth. >> they said she's just trash. >> i said that's how i want to be when i grow up. >> closed captioning provided by -- ♪ ♪ with simply right checking from santander bank, just make one deposit, withdrawal, transfer, or payment each month to waive the monthly fee. and there's no minimum balance. you're alright with simply right checking from santander bank. ♪ are you feeling alright, baby? ♪ >>> earlier we told you about the blaze that is threatening dollywood. overcoming adversity is nothing new to dolly parton. we found that out

for shunning convention, taking massive risks that could win or lose billions, and investing in black swanswith a near complete chance of failure. but if they succeed, the world will be changed forever. vinod khosla grew up in india. the son of an officer in the indian army. his parents agreed he could explore his boyhood curiosities was no limits, as long as his grades did not suffer. he began by founding sun microsystems. he helps entrepren

we had these black swan event that materialized, brexit, president elect trump, a flurry of geopolitical risks coming from europe. starting with the italian referendum next year. is this the new normal? what does it say about the structural integrity about these economies, and policy, injury, going forward? and trades in policy going forward? >> it raises a lot of questions. to the extent that protectionism is on the rise, not just in the u.s. but in europe, that is another possible negative for growth. we are looking at the busy elect world calendar. of course presidential elections in france and parliamentary elections in germany. to the extent that we had unexpected political outcomes in brexit and donald trump, that is something to keep an eye on. we will get deep into the european. that is director and.head sovereigns at s&p global ratingshe stays with us. ' later ins the show, indiawar on banknotes -- later in the show india's more on banknotes is the best for its economy. >> on the post-brexit economy, more analysis up next. this is bloomberg. ♪ >> forecast for growth to be 2.1%,

electoral votes than donald trump and there was always the possibility that you could end up having a black swan election but i was chatting with michael beschloss, the nbc presidential historian and you have to go back to 1948, the dewey/truman race to find a contest, particularly in the age that we have so much public polling, so many interviews where you see at least where a race is headed. and to me also very importantly in mid-october before the james comey announcement, hillary >> it feels like we sat down in 1948, nicolle was here -- >> i left you an hour ago. >> we sat down at 6:00 p.m. eastern and got up at 4:00 a.m. from our chairs after covering this wild story. where are your thoughts today? your reaction to what chris christie said and your reaction to our discussion about polling. >> >> you deal in political science, i'm more on the arts side of the industry so it's not the what, it's the how and i think the how we got this wrong is that they were each viewed -- 60% of the public disapproved of each candidate yet we -- cultural leads in the media and political establishment of both

monica crowley still with us, the headline is donald trump and the real black swan event.and changes anything. >> long-term implications. in the washington times come all these observers calling donald trump the election, the election of barack obama in 2008 was the actual black swan event, a man on the far left was charismatic, first black president primary early why he got elected and reelected but the disconnect between the man and the unpopularity of his policies which suffered a major rebuke was a disconnect he never understood. the national self correction, a state of normalcy. >> black smile event, they do signify stamina. >> you and i had this conversation many times, and people stopped listening. and they were unhappy with being left behind for more than a generation. and honestly it took an obama to do that. stuart: dan henegar with his microphone on. i would suggest, donald trump's election, with bigger consequences. >> it was a bigger change in the composition of the electorate. when barack obama won he put together a coalition of the ascendance, minorities, yo

darren also directed natalie to her oscar in "black swan." >> and she gives such an incredible reaction you cannot believe you're not watching the jackie kennedy. >> the voice is crazy. it's incredible. natalie portman, one of my favorite actresses. >> let's start laughing. let's go to "the office christmas party." who's in that one? >> if you want to laugh. after you cry you want to laugh. go see "office christmas party" starring jason bateman, t.j. miller, vanessa bayer, courtney it's about the wildest office christmas party gone awry. >> ours aren't like that. >> are they not? >> who has these kinds of parties? unless i leave too soon. >> "dateline" used to have those. >> in london? really? "dateline" because -- >> because they're all so stressed out from chasing serial killers. let's shotgun things. >> some great ones. >> so funny. jennifer aniston is the ceo of the company, and she w they're like, nope. so it's sort of about how this party goes, like, nuts. >> here's how you clamp down on it. you don't pay for it. >> well, that's true, i guess. still find a way. >> a short movie. >

fordham: a friend of mine uses the term as brown ugly duckling is little baby black swans.e have heard the last squawk, to carry that metaphor too far. i think we have a stay of execution for the swan, because i understand, and i think it's an obvious point, that the probably alsoase contain content that is likely to be the subject of future investigations. however, that is different from the potential for impeachment risk, which of course, depends very much on how the congressional control goes, whether it is divided or a republican-controlled congress. vonnie: you think there is still the risk of an impeachment? i think it's a non-negligible risk, especially filler hillary clinton presides over republican controlled congress. the fbi still investigating the clinton global initiative. vonnie: what is your base case? we downgraded the probability of a hillary clinton victory to 60%. still the base case. hillary clinton in the white house and a divided congress. a lot is going to depend on the so-called down ticket voting and that depends on turnout. one of the interesting p

we discussed everything from investments in so-called black swan to a company that has a nearly complete failure. plus, why he believes machines will take over the majority of jobs today in 40 years. this is bloomberg. ♪ rides the index is gaining. china turning positive after -- after pmi index the highest in 2014. now gaining. the xinhua cap one half a percent. we continue to see exports slumping. down 1.5% after cash rate left unchanged. the central government saying earth is a moderate to and that the large decline in the mining sector is being upset by growth in other areas. today we see only the utility sectors gaining at the moment with the index moving about have a percent. the policy decision came out of the boj. they let their monetary stance unchanged. boj decision in the negative, it surged after the decision. those, it is now pairing gains. of course, shares of financial assets are converging but then oil companies are losing ground. now, more of the hour from london. ♪ >> this is bloomberg technology, i am emily chang. turning to studio 1.0. we sit down with cofounder of su

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>> very clearly, nine days ago there was a black swan in this race which was the fbi announcement.this campaign was over then. this has been a game changer. as you look at states like new hampshire, florida, nevada, and places in the blue states of michigan and new hampshire there's good and bad news all over the place for riverside. really there is a competing turnout model and they are not mutually exclusive. is there a tidal wave of latino and hispanic turnout which is an attraction to hillary, but also as trump senate majority this rural vote which we see in a lot of places. trish: john, you are sounding remarkably middle of the road right now. i'm wondering if you're getting nervous. you can't call this because you have been so much under the assumption hillary clinton would take this in the lands led and i think yourself and other pundits have started to back away from that in a way that is very interesting right now to watch. your thoughts, bill. >> loci should be nervous because in the selection before we went on the air, there were six or seven states ago red to blue or bl

donald trump is elected president the experts are saying that that would be what wall street calls a black swan event. an unexpected development that rattles the market. there is another? that could send investors running for cover. wall street journal chief economic sponsor. john you cannot be surprised by the fact that the fed didn't move today but would you raise an eyebrow if janet yellen doesn't hike rates next month. >> i certainly would. what they said in today's statement was that they're starting to see signs that inflation is picking up. i took that as a pretty strong sign that they really expect me. something very unexpected would have to happen. if trump is elected. around the uncertainty. but what they said today was that all systems are a go for a rate increase in december. they said the case for an increase continues to strengthen however they need further evidence before moving. they will be waiting until 2040. there's always can be a morphing of evidence is there not. what are they talking about. this is where we get into that. they inserted a word of this they said they need s

black swan section? >>> what you need to know, the big push to win voters and the role our state is playing. >>> and an historic finish to the world series. it was epic. the moment the cubs win and how fans in chicago and even right here in the bay area are celebrating. it is 6:51 you are watching bob buesing... on the record. he sues tax payers to cover the outrageous cost of a lavish courthouse. buesing files forclosures on homes critical to seniors. his law firm is accused of running up costs on a school district at the expense of our kids. trailing in the polls, for things she never did. so we ask... mr. buesing, will you do anything to win? cubs win the world series. >> it was in dramatic fashion, coming down it a final out in the bottom of the 10th inning. >> the cubs win the world series. brian makes the play. >> the cubs almost gave it away. they blew a three-run lead letting cleveland tie it up. after a 17-palestinian rain delay, a former >> here our cub fans celebrating the victory all night lo

. >> the romney transition team of 2012 had a so-called black swan unit.slsh author of "shall we wake president" has cataloged eight man made that could come with mr. trump. >> this is a cyberattack, bioterror assault, outbreak of a new disease that was unexpected, an economic collapse. there's all kinds of things that could happen in a first year or indeed anytime throughout the administration. but the first year is the most dangerous because the presidential team is not yet ready. >> washington post reported on wednesday that the president-elect has only twice availed himself of the presidential brief, the most sensitive information. that report was the product of quote former members of the ic who are bitter they lost out on jobs they felt they deserved. the officials said mr. trump is speaking directly with foreign members and his landing team at the national security council. >> thank you. here with more, a fox neuews contributor and krystal ball. i'll start with you. donald trump only gone to two of them, criticism that he's not attending these as he should, what's in the broief

talk to global markets so i'm very focused on, you know, the macro out comes and the wildcards or black swansi'm concerned about a tie in the electoral college. you talk about things that might not feel fair and result in upheaval or noise at least that will be one. if hillary clinton comes in with 262 votes and no one is the winner the republican dominated house of representatives decides. these kind of tail risk outcomes are the things that i'm focussing on. i let the pollsters do the polls. >> thank you for joining us. on a programming note don't miss the main event here tonight. decision zone will bring you live coverage from nbc affiliates across the country with real time news and analysis as results come in. the election special begins at 7:00 p.m. eastern time. >> when we come back today's must reads but first as we head to break here's jamie dimon sharing what he hopes comes out of this election. >> everyone except donald trump and this is a true story, came forward within the party and was experienced in politics. every single one except donald trump and the other one was ike eisenh

politics is the black swan creating the trouble, whether it be brexit, the u.s. election situation. a year ago when we were talking about unpredictability, it was external forces like fed policy, interest rates and liquidity in global markets. i would not guess politics is the word in terms of the market. very interesting to see how things play out. the uk gave us fair warning in terms of how unpredictability as a result of brexit could impact the u.s. and potentially the global capital markets. so, next tuesday is going to be interesting. >> going to come back to the point of liquidity. it is absolutely right. you can't have a liquid asset that takes 3-12 months to liquidize unless you have a huge cash offer. it made no sense in my mind. i go back further and saw the same thing in the early '90s, the same thing in 2001-2002. they have not clamped down. you must hold 20%-25% of cash in the funds. when we look at the wider implications, this is inevitably what they must be doing. >> the average buffer around july or brexit is 14%. we probably will see a hike around it. that is a drag

i think what we're seeing this year, because trump is a black swan kind of candidate that the main streama cannot count on an attack. including helping mrs. clinton cheat. >> larry, last word. >> donna brazil was vice chair, feeding questions to hillary, she did her job, not to put her thumb on the scale, but put a kinder block on the scale to make sure bernie sanders didn't win. >> i'll tell you how to get this trump pen we come back. >> i can't wait. >> monica, you got it. at planters we know how to throw a remarkable holiday party. just serve classy snacks and be a gracious host, no matter who shows up. do you like nuts? when you hit 300,000 miles. or here, when you walked away without a scratch. maybe it was all the times it got you safely out there. or all the times it got you out of there. maybe it was the day your baby came home. or maybe the day you realized your baby was not a baby anymore. every subaru is built to earn your trust. because we know what you're trusting us with. subaru. kelley blue book's most trusted brand. and best overall brand. love. it's what makes a subaru, a

into territory where the markets are looking to be more expensive, then possibly we may have a black swanment that at the were likely to have the santa rally continue into the new year before we see a pullback, and pullbacks there will be. >> what about the dollar? >> i feel everyone has bought it and it is just about there. were going to have situations like the trumpet victory, and there are other theents that may make dollar stronger. if you look at the charts going back to the 1980's, the dollar looks like it is in a secular decline. be a continuation of the strategy of searching for yield? >> i think that's what the markets will try to do. i think that game is over, but a think markets will continue to search for yield, maybe emerging markets where you are getting yields that almost look positive , but it seems to meet the straight yield game is over. people will make the turn more likely in equities. >> you will have to go back to work again. >> unless you everything at the right time. >> it is all about timing. >> you mean this is it work? >> it doesn't feel like it. >> how can it

he's directed of that main tropical storm hermi mainstream polling -- what we saw last night was a black swanuge surprise. the republican polling number did not get to what donald trump achieved last night. >> some folks already thought how do you get people to believe many polling again? >> that's a hard thing. everyone who believes in numbers and polling and i have been covering presidential election going back to 200s. the numbers have been stable and made sense. we are in a situation where so many people are on their cell phones or not. are we doing a better job reaching it. i think there has to be a jesus moment for a lot of people in the polling and the number communities on what we do to get those numbers right. >> that begins today. >> or tomorrow. >> appreciate you being with us. we have a lot more coming up of this day one of the transition of president elect trump, the next hour, we are expected to hear from mitch mcconnell, stick around. >>> it is time for your business entrepreneurs of the week, meet the faces of main street in wilmer, minnesota, organitega. and omar, this owner

romney transition team of 2012 formed a black swan unit game plan for first year crises. >> you can'tpare for every event twattle. can you prepare for how you deal with eventuality. you don't know exactly what's going to happen. do you prepare yourself to deal with all kinds of crises so you can be nimble and a jill and juice whatever playbook you have to face whatever you face. >> a "the washington post" story from earlier this week asserted that the president-elect has only twice availed himself of the highly classified compendium of threat reporting known as the presidential daily brief. senior transition official says trump has been hearing directly from world leaders and also so-called landing team he has in place here at the national security counsel at the white house. doug? >> james rosen on the north lawn tonight. thank you, james. >> you bet. >> let's dig deeper intothat rus responsible for some sort of interference in the election process. catherine herridge tells us what she is hearing tonight. >> since the cold war, russian intelligence has understood the power of informa

is this simply a coincidence or a black swan type thing? what is happening below the radar here?> chuck, it's a statement, on the missouri republican party. republicans are getting decimated cycle after cycle by these very competitive primaries we've had out here, including the one this year for governor on the republican side a four-way, very strong four candidates fighting it out in the primary here. and those primaries have been under cutting, under mining republican candidates state wide, now, going back a number of years. they've got to figure that out going forward, as has been the case in so many states, the democrats are the disciplined ones, now, suddenly in missouri. >> well, it sound like what's happening in missouri inside the republican party is similar to what's happening here in washington inside the republican party. steve kratzee, good to see you. >> thank you, shair. up next, why i'm obsessed with the number 7. stay tuned. ♪ [beeping] take on any galaxy with a car that could stop for you. simulation complete. the new nissan rogue. rogue one: a star wars story. i