with us, editor and publisher of the gartman letter, dennis, great to see you. >> good to be seen. >> what do you think happens? >> i think that if you don't -- if you asked me the question 16 hours ago, i would have thought they would probably not been able to pass it. however, i think there's so much political capital at risk here that the president and mr. ryan, the speaker of the house, really cannot avoid having them literally lock the doors tonight and make sure that there is passage of the legislation. it has to go to the senate, have a joint revolution in the future, but there's just too much risk. i would have thought they would have failed, but i think now they'll probably have to. >> scenario one laid out, scenario one, basically. the thing passes, stocks go up. key to that assumption is stocks rallied and not necessarily factored in or in a minor way, tax reform. it might seem that if it has con official what the market believes, that tax reform happens, and not much happens to the target. what do you think, dennis? >> well, i -- first of all, if it does not pass tonight,