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Jul 12, 2017
07/17
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fed chair yellen? mike: i don't think he could be. janet yellen has been about the most dovish fed chair you can imagine. low for aates fo very long time. applicant is argued we would have an outburst of inflation from the fed's unintuitive using. she kept rates lower longer arguing they would bring more people into the labor force if you could keep rates down and inflation would not go up. vonnie: michael mckee, thank you. we will return to you a little later on. the chairman is speaking at this minute. >> i now recognize myself for three minutes to give an opening statement. since we last convened to take chair yellen's testimony on minute trade policy come been encouraging economic headlines. confidence is up and headline unemployment remains low, as does inflation. the headline on up limit rate still rests too much on incredibly low labor participation rate and regrettably high disability payment participation rate. paychecks and savings for working americans still have considerable room to grow af
fed chair yellen? mike: i don't think he could be. janet yellen has been about the most dovish fed chair you can imagine. low for aates fo very long time. applicant is argued we would have an outburst of inflation from the fed's unintuitive using. she kept rates lower longer arguing they would bring more people into the labor force if you could keep rates down and inflation would not go up. vonnie: michael mckee, thank you. we will return to you a little later on. the chairman is speaking at...
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Jul 26, 2017
07/17
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new members on the fed. lot of deep regularization will be personnel based. he is very in favor of deregulation. he will have the critical position. the fed already said they want to ease up on banks. how do they back off and do a private -- do they pivot? scarlet: we will look ahead to that. let us continue. i want to get back to michael relatively,ok at a that seems to be the key word. scarlet: janice henderson. tom: janice henderson will join us. excuse me, that was like 3:00 a.m. this is bloomberg. ♪ scarlet: i'm scarlet fu here with tom keene and michael mckee and washington. mike, taken away. dianei've a question for swonk. the markets but that in of the placeholder. my question is, will the economy ofevolve? that is,n i ask despite what president trump said, automotive industry jobs or right now, not increase in. piercing housing fallout. are we going to see continued hiring or not? thinkiane: -- diane: we will continue hiring. it is getting dicier. what people are forgetting is the speed limits on gr
new members on the fed. lot of deep regularization will be personnel based. he is very in favor of deregulation. he will have the critical position. the fed already said they want to ease up on banks. how do they back off and do a private -- do they pivot? scarlet: we will look ahead to that. let us continue. i want to get back to michael relatively,ok at a that seems to be the key word. scarlet: janice henderson. tom: janice henderson will join us. excuse me, that was like 3:00 a.m. this is...
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Jul 12, 2017
07/17
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n, are wet a coh seeing a rules-based fed or still a dovish fed?oshua feinman: i think it is rules versus discretion and i agree, absolutely that we will go to the mat with discretion, for sure >>. every cycle is different. >> you have to have that human element. joshua feinman: and to say that there is uncertainty about it but there is uncertainty about the economy and how it will involve so you never remove that completely. instead of being incredibly transparent in telling us what we intend to do, the economy does not always cooperate. but i don't think that is a lack of transparency. david: nobody likes a boss even if it is a rule. thanks to carl riccadonna of bloomberg intelligence, neil dwane of allianz global investors and josh kleiman -- josh feynman of the lesson investment. report toal monetary congress. we will be joined by republican congress and french hill, one of the people who will be asking chair yellen the questions. next, we had out to sun valley where leaders and finance and politics join for the annual conference. for all of ou
n, are wet a coh seeing a rules-based fed or still a dovish fed?oshua feinman: i think it is rules versus discretion and i agree, absolutely that we will go to the mat with discretion, for sure >>. every cycle is different. >> you have to have that human element. joshua feinman: and to say that there is uncertainty about it but there is uncertainty about the economy and how it will involve so you never remove that completely. instead of being incredibly transparent in telling us...
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Jul 12, 2017
07/17
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decrease the fed fund rate. but normalization would also entail moving back to the conventional open market operations. let me finally in my limited time left talk to you a little bit about the limits of monetary policy. of course we know we have been struggling overall with slow growth and low labor participation even though unemployment has come down. you talk a lot about substandard productivity. what many employers say to me is they simply can't compete with the government for labor and that the government is paying people to not work. as you know we're in the middle of this big debate in washington about obamacare and whether or not we should reform medicaid. here's what alan greenspan who calls you first rate economist said. quote urgs can't get growth going so long as entitlement expansion is anywhere near where it's been recently. it's eating up the sources of investment and the sources of growth. you can't have it both ways. you cannot fund all of the entitlements everybody wants and expect that you're
decrease the fed fund rate. but normalization would also entail moving back to the conventional open market operations. let me finally in my limited time left talk to you a little bit about the limits of monetary policy. of course we know we have been struggling overall with slow growth and low labor participation even though unemployment has come down. you talk a lot about substandard productivity. what many employers say to me is they simply can't compete with the government for labor and...
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Jul 18, 2017
07/17
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that's what the fed calls them. one box was have the gains of the economic expansion been widely shared? box number 2, homeownership by race, et tisty and box 3 does education determine who climbs the economic ladder? and in that discussion of those problems, you highlighted and included socioeconomic differences between whites and blacks, poor credit scores due to income disparities, and continued discrimination. that lays it bare. so, chair yellen, let me just ask you, of all of these factors in your boxes, which of these factors is most pressing and what recommendations ob substantive solutions can we, in congress, work on to help address the home ownership problem hurting african-americans, much as you suggested that we develop this legislation that's moving forward on the unemployment of african-americans? >> well, i don't want to try to give you detailed suggestions for, um, what legislation you can put forward. our job is to try to do the best we can to provide information and background that will be helpful
that's what the fed calls them. one box was have the gains of the economic expansion been widely shared? box number 2, homeownership by race, et tisty and box 3 does education determine who climbs the economic ladder? and in that discussion of those problems, you highlighted and included socioeconomic differences between whites and blacks, poor credit scores due to income disparities, and continued discrimination. that lays it bare. so, chair yellen, let me just ask you, of all of these factors...
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Jul 15, 2017
07/17
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subadra: um, the fed. >> fed. james: bank of england. jonathan: that is it for us.rk, this is "bloomberg real yield." ♪ ♪ ♪ david: are there many who said, i want to be the leading cellist in the world? yo-yo: in music there is no such thing as this is the greatest anything because it is about learning forever. david: what about where you play? yo-yo: you don't have to be there. i don't have to be there. but if we are going to spend time together, let's make it count. >> would you fix your tie, please? david: well, people wouldn't recognize me if my tie was fixed. let's leave it this way. alright. ♪
subadra: um, the fed. >> fed. james: bank of england. jonathan: that is it for us.rk, this is "bloomberg real yield." ♪ ♪ ♪ david: are there many who said, i want to be the leading cellist in the world? yo-yo: in music there is no such thing as this is the greatest anything because it is about learning forever. david: what about where you play? yo-yo: you don't have to be there. i don't have to be there. but if we are going to spend time together, let's make it count....
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Jul 12, 2017
07/17
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BLOOMBERG
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louis fed. was june 17th and it clearly shows that what i heard you say is disappointing levels of labor force participation are unavoidable because of aging demographics. i wish i had the chart i put up. me what is most concerning is the drop of participation comes from the youngest americans. that chart released by the fed of st. louis shows the highest levels we have seen since the 1960's for americans aged 55 and older. it seems to me the argument that our economy has not responded the way it has, we talked about this last time you were here. i think i labeled it one flam not one these statistics -- what the statistics are showing. your semiannual testimony before this committee in 2015, you were asked about concerns about a lack of liquidity and certain fixed income markets and you said that is not clear what it has happened to the market and what is causing what. you continue that, we do not see a problem, you said, but something you needed to study further. has there been additional study
louis fed. was june 17th and it clearly shows that what i heard you say is disappointing levels of labor force participation are unavoidable because of aging demographics. i wish i had the chart i put up. me what is most concerning is the drop of participation comes from the youngest americans. that chart released by the fed of st. louis shows the highest levels we have seen since the 1960's for americans aged 55 and older. it seems to me the argument that our economy has not responded the way...
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Jul 13, 2017
07/17
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how about the fed? members who are sitting in board meetings, are they potentially criminally or civilly liable for the decisions they push a board to make chair yellen: not to the best of my knowledge? rep. duffy: mine either. that is concerning. i'm pushing on this because you have supervisory role, and about you to do a good job, but from the feedback we get, the involvement of the fed in corporate boardrooms, it has far surpassed, i think, the vision any of us had in this room. and it concerns us. chair yellen: let me say that we have talked to many corporate board members, and understand that there has been an accumulation of a large number boardms we have indicated members along with senior management should be responsible for. rep. duffy: i don't believe you have the authority -- chair yellen: we should clarify -- rep. duffy: the authority to make decisions. that is the feedback we have made. you one mustk question, do you anticipate this will be your last time testifying before this committee? c
how about the fed? members who are sitting in board meetings, are they potentially criminally or civilly liable for the decisions they push a board to make chair yellen: not to the best of my knowledge? rep. duffy: mine either. that is concerning. i'm pushing on this because you have supervisory role, and about you to do a good job, but from the feedback we get, the involvement of the fed in corporate boardrooms, it has far surpassed, i think, the vision any of us had in this room. and it...
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Jul 15, 2017
07/17
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bank of england, ecb, or the fed? subadra: um, the fed. >> fed. england. : jonathan: that is it for us. from new york, this is "bloomberg real yield." ♪ >> [static buzzing] >> [indiscernible voices] ashlee: this is colossus. ♪ ashlee: it came to life here in england at bletchley park in 1943. the machine raced to decrypt german messages by analyzing ashlee: it came to life here in thousands of words of coded text every second. ashlee: with its mix of vacuum tubes, wires, and switches,
bank of england, ecb, or the fed? subadra: um, the fed. >> fed. england. : jonathan: that is it for us. from new york, this is "bloomberg real yield." ♪ >> [static buzzing] >> [indiscernible voices] ashlee: this is colossus. ♪ ashlee: it came to life here in england at bletchley park in 1943. the machine raced to decrypt german messages by analyzing ashlee: it came to life here in thousands of words of coded text every second. ashlee: with its mix of vacuum...
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Jul 7, 2017
07/17
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the fed says that will resume. they find equities a bit stretched as investor risk appetite grows but don't see evidence of increased leverage that would suggest there any bubbles forming, at least dangerously so. more interestingly, detailed topics, low productivity growth, corporate bond market liquidity and monetary policy rules. the fed does not have a good answer for war productivity has been so low which they say suggests the reason we are seem tepid wage gains. it could be a pause or reduced corporate r&d spending during the great recession. the fed does not know if this is a new normal. liquidity,orate bond the fed acknowledges new regulations have caused due to pull back on inventories but they say any liquidity pressures have been minimal and offset by the fact that financial institutions have stronger balance sheets now. finally, the current fed pushes back against the idea of using monetary policy rules. several of the reported trump's nominees to come have expressed support for using policy rules to ma
the fed says that will resume. they find equities a bit stretched as investor risk appetite grows but don't see evidence of increased leverage that would suggest there any bubbles forming, at least dangerously so. more interestingly, detailed topics, low productivity growth, corporate bond market liquidity and monetary policy rules. the fed does not have a good answer for war productivity has been so low which they say suggests the reason we are seem tepid wage gains. it could be a pause or...
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Jul 7, 2017
07/17
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we will get a new fed chief.hey may be more of the same of what we have, or maybe somebody intent on hitting the job growth agenda -- donald trump growth agenda. i think the long rates is at or above fair value in the u.s. i think the spread have a ways to go. returns will be good. i think the risk is on the equity side, it is at the bottom of the capital structure and higher risk bonds if you get a hawkish view. jonathan: the federal reserve worried about risk and high risk tolerance, yet the focus of the market was on the risk-free assets. make sense of that for me. is it the risk with the risk-free asset or where it usually is? oksana: making the risk-free assets armor risky for that reason. we have talked about that, the idea to redefine what risk means. and we talk about bonds return, let's not forget that they are already priced for perfection. you have to have a continued influx, pretty bad news for bonds to continue the traditional sovereign high quality -- to continue to generate detective returns invest
we will get a new fed chief.hey may be more of the same of what we have, or maybe somebody intent on hitting the job growth agenda -- donald trump growth agenda. i think the long rates is at or above fair value in the u.s. i think the spread have a ways to go. returns will be good. i think the risk is on the equity side, it is at the bottom of the capital structure and higher risk bonds if you get a hawkish view. jonathan: the federal reserve worried about risk and high risk tolerance, yet the...
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Jul 13, 2017
07/17
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with respect to monetary policy the fed has raised interest rates four times since 2008. overall the fed maintains an accommodative monetary policy with a balance sheet that stands at $4.5 trillion in assets. last month the federal open market committee issued an addendum to its policy normalization principles and plans detailing how the fed will gradually reduce its assets. i welcome more comments from chair yellin about the state of the economy and the path of monetary policy. the committee continues to work to find bipartisan fixs to address many issues outlined here today and i look forward to working with chair yellin, the federal reserve and the members of this committee. senator brown. >> thank you, mr. chairman, for holding this hearing. it is wonderful to have you here and thank you for your service. since your last appearance before this committee the fed has increased the federal funds rate twice, employers continue to create jobs, although a slightly slower pace than last year, and wages have increased modestly. the fed continues to lay out its plans to sell o
with respect to monetary policy the fed has raised interest rates four times since 2008. overall the fed maintains an accommodative monetary policy with a balance sheet that stands at $4.5 trillion in assets. last month the federal open market committee issued an addendum to its policy normalization principles and plans detailing how the fed will gradually reduce its assets. i welcome more comments from chair yellin about the state of the economy and the path of monetary policy. the committee...
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Jul 11, 2017
07/17
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i'm scott wapner our top trade this hour, fed fears. the big warning today from jamie dimon that every investor needs to hear. the are the markets ready for the end of easing? with us today, joe terranova, stephanie link also with us, steve liesman, and from chicago, our own rick santelli let's begin with those comments today from jpmorgan boss, jamie dooild, te diamond, telling a gathering in europe, the unwind could catch the markets by surprise. mr. diamond saying, quote, we've never had qe like this before we've never had unwind like this before when that happens of size and substance, stit could be a litte more disruptive than people think. we act like we know exactly what's going to happen and we don't. steve liesman, i go to you first. what do you make of dimon's comments >> jamie's on the front lines there. he's going to be part of the process of unwinding the balance sheet. and i think his words of caution should be taken seriously. i think two things, though i think the fed has kind of preempted these concerns, if you look at
i'm scott wapner our top trade this hour, fed fears. the big warning today from jamie dimon that every investor needs to hear. the are the markets ready for the end of easing? with us today, joe terranova, stephanie link also with us, steve liesman, and from chicago, our own rick santelli let's begin with those comments today from jpmorgan boss, jamie dooild, te diamond, telling a gathering in europe, the unwind could catch the markets by surprise. mr. diamond saying, quote, we've never had qe...
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Jul 25, 2017
07/17
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it may be enough to continue to support the fed rosie -- fed/'s expectation -- fed's expectations.ll focus on the more lackluster reality. vonnie: one of the main question you posed is, what will the fed do with reinvestment? have a look at the chart we have. the fed expanded accidentally. now it will eventually start tapering down the balance sheet. what is your answer for how the fed will reinvest? keyword ise eventually. the fed has acknowledged they would like to begin shrinking the balance sheet. calendared unspecific language. by the end of the year is what we have heard as of late. layer ofe a second monetary policy adjustment. first and foremost, the fed wants to get the rate back to a normal rate at a gradual pace. economy maintains this more moderate pace, it may be enough to justify additional rate hikes by the end of the year. it is going to be increasingly difficult a -- difficult for the fed to adjust the 7 -- two justify the second layer. the fed has remained intentionally vague, giving us them theving opportunity to push the adjustment of the balance sheet out to 20
it may be enough to continue to support the fed rosie -- fed/'s expectation -- fed's expectations.ll focus on the more lackluster reality. vonnie: one of the main question you posed is, what will the fed do with reinvestment? have a look at the chart we have. the fed expanded accidentally. now it will eventually start tapering down the balance sheet. what is your answer for how the fed will reinvest? keyword ise eventually. the fed has acknowledged they would like to begin shrinking the balance...
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Jul 16, 2017
07/17
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subadra: um, the fed. >> fed. james: bank of england. jonathan: that is it for us.rk, this is "bloomberg real yield." ♪ ♪ nejra: coming up on "bloomberg best," the stories that shaped the week in business around the world. an email trail raises questions for the white house. janet yellen takes questions on capitol hill. some big banks answer investor questions with earnings reports. >> it is almost an embarrassment being an american citizen traveling around the world and listening to the stupid -- we have to deal with in this country. nejra: central bank official share exclusive insight into monetary policy. >> at that low level you would have historically seen more inflation pressures. we are not. >> as long as necessary, we will implement
subadra: um, the fed. >> fed. james: bank of england. jonathan: that is it for us.rk, this is "bloomberg real yield." ♪ ♪ nejra: coming up on "bloomberg best," the stories that shaped the week in business around the world. an email trail raises questions for the white house. janet yellen takes questions on capitol hill. some big banks answer investor questions with earnings reports. >> it is almost an embarrassment being an american citizen traveling around...
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Jul 12, 2017
07/17
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the market are at one when the fed is three.hat jamie september clearly he is right, but you think markets are mispricing this? >> overall, financial conditions are relatively moderate. what you are seeing is that the fed is doing this normalization, but the markets are not buying into that yet, and that is what we are seeing right now where basically we are not actually expecting this tightening to come through from the markets, so we have to focus on whether they continue to push for this normalization. haidi: thank you so much for that. macro strategist there at state street global markets in hong kong for us. image up, how this altering selfie app is getting a boost in the market. this is bloomberg. ♪ rishaad: you are back with bloomberg markets. i am rishaad salamat in hong kong. haidi: we are counting down to the open of markets. we are minutes away when it comes to the hong kong open. take a look how the premarket is shaping up. aoking to extend gains into third day. a pretty good week given fluctuations across broader ma
the market are at one when the fed is three.hat jamie september clearly he is right, but you think markets are mispricing this? >> overall, financial conditions are relatively moderate. what you are seeing is that the fed is doing this normalization, but the markets are not buying into that yet, and that is what we are seeing right now where basically we are not actually expecting this tightening to come through from the markets, so we have to focus on whether they continue to push for...
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Jul 13, 2017
07/17
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and there's a long history of presidents renominating fed chairs. are you open to serving another four years as fed chair. >> what i previously said is that i absolutely intend to serve out my term. i'm very focused on trying to achieve our congressionally mandated objectives and i haven't had to give further thought at this point to this question. >> the fed chair also insisted balance sh r could ben soon, but didn't give a month. many say it could happen as ter possible this month. for "nightly business report," i'm steve liesman. >> a separate report from the federal reserve shows the labor markets are getting tighter. according to the beige book, the job market is strengthening, for both low and higher skilled positionings, particularly in construction and i.t. sectors, but a drop in gasoline prices has kept the lid on inflation. overall, the central bank reported modest to moderate economic growth or really kind of beige. >>> despite expectations for modest growth, historically, the economy tends to cool after series of hikes which the fed chai
and there's a long history of presidents renominating fed chairs. are you open to serving another four years as fed chair. >> what i previously said is that i absolutely intend to serve out my term. i'm very focused on trying to achieve our congressionally mandated objectives and i haven't had to give further thought at this point to this question. >> the fed chair also insisted balance sh r could ben soon, but didn't give a month. many say it could happen as ter possible this...
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of euro pacific capital peter thanks for joining us today look the fed just released its plan for the next few months and of course some things that many people are predicting one of them is that the interest rates were not going to rise not going to change what kind of impact do you think we can expect from this sort of announcement. well no impact that mean. pretty much everybody knew the fed was not going to surprise the markets and hike rates this meeting although they did indicate that they would begin to shrink their balance sheet relatively soon but by relatively soon they may mean they may mean never because you know shrinking the balance sheet is a lot harder than expanding it you know quantitative easing was the fun part quantitative tightening is not only the hard part it's really the impossible part but it is possible that janet yellen may in fact begin the process but it's never going to be completed long before that day comes we're going to have to go back to zero percent interest rates the fed's going to relaunch quantitative easing q e four maybe it won't be janet yell
of euro pacific capital peter thanks for joining us today look the fed just released its plan for the next few months and of course some things that many people are predicting one of them is that the interest rates were not going to rise not going to change what kind of impact do you think we can expect from this sort of announcement. well no impact that mean. pretty much everybody knew the fed was not going to surprise the markets and hike rates this meeting although they did indicate that...
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start downsizing its folio which will apparently happen relatively soon the fed currently has a four point five trillion dollars balance sheet in treasuries and bonds it bought up after the financial crisis the dollar dropped on the announcement while gold rebounded after sliding most of wednesday waiting for news from the feds well to dig deeper into this announcement and what it will mean for growth i'm joined now by peter schiff c.e.o. of euro pacific capital peter thanks for joining us today look the fed just released its plan for the next few months and it was of course something that many people are predicting one of them is that the interest rates were not going to rise not going to change what kind of impact do you think we can expect from this sort of announcement. well no impact i mean pretty much everybody knew the fed was not going to surprise the markets and hike rates this meeting although they did indicate that they would begin to shrink their balance sheet relatively soon but by relatively soon they may mean they may mean never because you know shrinking the balance s
start downsizing its folio which will apparently happen relatively soon the fed currently has a four point five trillion dollars balance sheet in treasuries and bonds it bought up after the financial crisis the dollar dropped on the announcement while gold rebounded after sliding most of wednesday waiting for news from the feds well to dig deeper into this announcement and what it will mean for growth i'm joined now by peter schiff c.e.o. of euro pacific capital peter thanks for joining us...
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Jul 17, 2017
07/17
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how about the fed? >> well, we have supervisory responsibilities -- >> no, you do, but are those fed members who are sitting in the board meetings, are they potentially criminally or civilly liable for the decisions that they push a board to make? >> not to the best of my knowledge. >> mine neither. that's concerning for us, and that is -- and i'm pushing you on this because listen, you do have a supervisory role, and i want you to do a good job, but from the feedback that we get, the involvement that the fed has in our corporate boardrooms has far surpassed i think the vision that any of us had in this room, and it concerns us. >> so, let me say that we have talked to many corporate board members and understand that there has been an accumulation of a large number of items we have indicated that board members along with senior management should be responsible for, and -- >> i don't believe you have the authority, madam chair -- >> -- believe we should clarify -- >> i don't believe you have the authorit
how about the fed? >> well, we have supervisory responsibilities -- >> no, you do, but are those fed members who are sitting in the board meetings, are they potentially criminally or civilly liable for the decisions that they push a board to make? >> not to the best of my knowledge. >> mine neither. that's concerning for us, and that is -- and i'm pushing you on this because listen, you do have a supervisory role, and i want you to do a good job, but from the feedback...
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a record high investors saw the remarks as a signal that the fed which has raised interest rates three times since december might slow the pace of future interest rate increases today's testimony coupled with upbeat data and earnings report to do with the end of the week and world shares hit a fourth all time high in less than thirty days. beijing and lisbon are set to join forces in canada's belt and road initiative the global infrastructure project was launched in twenty thirty by chinese president xi jinping if successful it will link asia africa and europe by land and sea thereby linking them by money and leverage now portugal has entered the fray bringing the advantage of its geographic location the initiative is part of its got two components the silk road economic belt and the twenty first century maritime silk road they will cover dozens of countries more than sixty percent of the world's population and more than one third of global economic output portugal is said to deepen cooperation in the sectors of new energy agriculture and infrastructure while of course welcoming chines
a record high investors saw the remarks as a signal that the fed which has raised interest rates three times since december might slow the pace of future interest rate increases today's testimony coupled with upbeat data and earnings report to do with the end of the week and world shares hit a fourth all time high in less than thirty days. beijing and lisbon are set to join forces in canada's belt and road initiative the global infrastructure project was launched in twenty thirty by chinese...
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Jul 23, 2017
07/17
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vonnie: central banks lead to fed policies and investors read between the lines.make outside hires while others groom from within. a setback on health care could ck the trump agenda for a loop. >> this failed and failed miserably. vonnie: bloomberg guests offer insight into the market. >> you can expect
vonnie: central banks lead to fed policies and investors read between the lines.make outside hires while others groom from within. a setback on health care could ck the trump agenda for a loop. >> this failed and failed miserably. vonnie: bloomberg guests offer insight into the market. >> you can expect
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Jul 12, 2017
07/17
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CNBC
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louis fed. i'm sure you are familiar with it it was june 17th and it clearly shows that what i heard you say are the disappointing levels of participation that are unavoidable because of an aging demographic. and i wish i had the chart that i was able to put up, but it seems to me, what is most concerning is the drop in participation really comes from youngest americans and, in fact, that chart again released by the fed of st. louis, shows the highest levels we have seen since the 1960s for americans age 55 and older and it seems to me this argument that our economy hasn't responded the way that it has, you -- we talked about this the last time you were here. and i think i labeled it flim-flam, not in a disrespectful way, but it was clearly not what some of those statistics are showing what i want to talk about, though, quickly, is that during your semiannual testimony before this committee in 2015, you were asked about concerns regarding a lack of liquidity and certain fixed income markets and
louis fed. i'm sure you are familiar with it it was june 17th and it clearly shows that what i heard you say are the disappointing levels of participation that are unavoidable because of an aging demographic. and i wish i had the chart that i was able to put up, but it seems to me, what is most concerning is the drop in participation really comes from youngest americans and, in fact, that chart again released by the fed of st. louis, shows the highest levels we have seen since the 1960s for...
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Jul 13, 2017
07/17
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defense, only fed the fed that is missing it. that is what matters.issues that are not really monetary policy. what i am talking about is the macro picture. below 2% inflation is not the end of the world. it is less than perfect. says we don't have imminent rate hikes, i would like to see her being proven correct in the next few weeks. banks,the central inflation coming back into the system. , you can't goeing against that. >> we are holding our breath for that. it is interesting, because we have not seen inflation pickup, and we are all waiting for that, you get the sense that the fed is getting less data dependent. >> i hope it is that. this concept of too long, -- data dependency. guiding.to nobody is i feel central banks have lost their mandate. keep having a sense of what they are doing lately. you expect basically the same thing. have you think the markets misinterpreted yellen? do they get too excited? years i face it, four would argue, i expect them to do its job in the least painful way . that is not going to be possible. every time they feel
defense, only fed the fed that is missing it. that is what matters.issues that are not really monetary policy. what i am talking about is the macro picture. below 2% inflation is not the end of the world. it is less than perfect. says we don't have imminent rate hikes, i would like to see her being proven correct in the next few weeks. banks,the central inflation coming back into the system. , you can't goeing against that. >> we are holding our breath for that. it is interesting, because...
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Jul 15, 2017
07/17
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FBC
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the fed is contemplating reducing it.t it doesn't mean the balance sheet will shrink anytime soon. maria: he said rates are negative but the european national bank things are getting better. jim: they are having suppressed rates and the president and ceo of deutsch bank was on tape saying all this bond buying by the european central bank without regard to price or value has served to destroy the method of price discovery by which we decide to price credit. that is soft spoken, but very eloquent and powerful denuns was. when a banker can't price credit. interest rates are the most sensitive prices in capitalism. they design risk and cash flows, and the central banks have with malice aforethought and intended benevolence aforethought muscles around these prices for 10 years and you can't tell me there is no consequence for that. maria: i want your take on whether janet yellen gets a next term. her term is up in february. and we have to talk about fiscal policy with the markets expecting healthcare. stay right here. a lot to
the fed is contemplating reducing it.t it doesn't mean the balance sheet will shrink anytime soon. maria: he said rates are negative but the european national bank things are getting better. jim: they are having suppressed rates and the president and ceo of deutsch bank was on tape saying all this bond buying by the european central bank without regard to price or value has served to destroy the method of price discovery by which we decide to price credit. that is soft spoken, but very eloquent...
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Jul 12, 2017
07/17
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CNBC
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let me move on quickly to the issue of and fed's use of fed reserve as a monetary policy opportunityying banks 1 1/4 on their bat if they tlol through with their plans, they'll be paying higher interest rates sometime later this year. that provide banks with government subsidy to not lend out their reserve. does the fed pass these on knowing they're being passed on higher interest rates to customers and customer deposits? >> my question is on larger deposited, we're beginning to see upward movement in rates available to customers but not on retail deposit accounts my expectation taegs is although there will be a lag that competition among banking organizations will begin to put some upward pressure on those rates and. >> and yet we looked at what some of the big banks pay on customer deposits one basis point for many of them, multiple institutions paying only one basis point on customer deposits and the fed is paying 125 basis points so it doesn't appear as though in of this pass through is happening to customer account and that might compel the fed to reconsider the merits of its po
let me move on quickly to the issue of and fed's use of fed reserve as a monetary policy opportunityying banks 1 1/4 on their bat if they tlol through with their plans, they'll be paying higher interest rates sometime later this year. that provide banks with government subsidy to not lend out their reserve. does the fed pass these on knowing they're being passed on higher interest rates to customers and customer deposits? >> my question is on larger deposited, we're beginning to see...
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Jul 10, 2017
07/17
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BLOOMBERG
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you see a lot of things in fed minutes and fed speeches.adual rate hikes. they expect to reduce the balance sheet, but did not say when. -- when janet yellen testifies to congress, theyormer fed economist, are definitely going to tell us they are moving ahead. here is what josh said. >> they will definitely be moving forward with the balance sheet reduction policy. as early as later this month. a report on friday, they want to reinforce the message that they are concerned about imbalances in the one they can affect that is to reduce their balance sheet. there is a hint there that they are more likely to take action. >> world interest rate projections, still pretty low, 16%, not too much conviction from markets and traders. december is when you have odds-on there, 52%. john williams in sydney tomorrow, lael brainard at a conference on thursday. we will have a lot of fed speak. we hearderesting that that the fed may not do the third rate hike and is concerned about inflation expectations cemented at a low level. getsll see if janet yellen tho
you see a lot of things in fed minutes and fed speeches.adual rate hikes. they expect to reduce the balance sheet, but did not say when. -- when janet yellen testifies to congress, theyormer fed economist, are definitely going to tell us they are moving ahead. here is what josh said. >> they will definitely be moving forward with the balance sheet reduction policy. as early as later this month. a report on friday, they want to reinforce the message that they are concerned about imbalances...
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so the fed is not just the fed anymore. the fed is closely aligned with what the new administration is doing. so the fed intelligently being very, very cautious, because when are these supposed tax cuts going to happen? can trump continue supposedly supporting job growth? the fed is doing the right thing, being cautious at the same time, the fact they will not buy any new bonds in ridiculously gargantuan way they have been, that leads me to believe interest rates no matter what will trend higher. cheryl: nicole too, we had this discussion so many times, the fact that yeah, obviously the market participants you have one eye on washington and one eye on monetary policy but seems lately, nicole, it is more about washington political moves or inaction in d.c. that is affecting the markets. >> washington never had such a correlation to the markets like it has the last year or so, so that is no doubt. as we get lines from washington gives jitters to the markets we do see that, geopolitical things as well. as we delve into the min
so the fed is not just the fed anymore. the fed is closely aligned with what the new administration is doing. so the fed intelligently being very, very cautious, because when are these supposed tax cuts going to happen? can trump continue supposedly supporting job growth? the fed is doing the right thing, being cautious at the same time, the fact they will not buy any new bonds in ridiculously gargantuan way they have been, that leads me to believe interest rates no matter what will trend...
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Jul 9, 2017
07/17
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an fed, they are having argument and this number makes the difference.he argument is, should we run elow,employment rate b or are we risking explosion later on? we need to get the employment population ratio higher. this has a long way to run. this can be a bad spot for bonds, and we are coming into the second half of what has been hit. >> let me defend robert. the funny comment -- he has a 30 year track record that he has been right on. we have been looking for inflation to come back ever since the financial crisis. nothing, nothing. therefore, the burden of proof really is on the people who look at the data 15 different ways and conclude that someday, somehow we will end up with inflation, and that is what we will be trying to protect ourselves from. what the world wants more than ond,hing else is a good b and i think that is the driver of yields more than anything else. idea that this whole the inflation argument is going to keep the fed from doing what they say they are going to do, which in addition to hiking is reducing the size of the balance shee
an fed, they are having argument and this number makes the difference.he argument is, should we run elow,employment rate b or are we risking explosion later on? we need to get the employment population ratio higher. this has a long way to run. this can be a bad spot for bonds, and we are coming into the second half of what has been hit. >> let me defend robert. the funny comment -- he has a 30 year track record that he has been right on. we have been looking for inflation to come back...
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Jul 22, 2017
07/17
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BLOOMBERG
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jonathan: i am so happy we have the fed coverage for you next wednesday.ou michael swell, lisa abramowicz, mark okada. that does it for us from new york. we will see you next week at 12:00 new york time, 5:00 p.m. in london. for our viewers worldwide, this is "bloomberg, real yield." ♪ francine: he's a rare breed of chief executive, who dedicated his entire professional life to a single company. he was a young business graduate when he joined siemens in 1980, moving up the ranks and around the world for a company described by angela merkel as a flagship of the german economy. siemens truly powers modern life, making everything from turbines and health scanners to ovens and factories. joining me, chief executive
jonathan: i am so happy we have the fed coverage for you next wednesday.ou michael swell, lisa abramowicz, mark okada. that does it for us from new york. we will see you next week at 12:00 new york time, 5:00 p.m. in london. for our viewers worldwide, this is "bloomberg, real yield." ♪ francine: he's a rare breed of chief executive, who dedicated his entire professional life to a single company. he was a young business graduate when he joined siemens in 1980, moving up the ranks and...
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Jul 13, 2017
07/17
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the fed realizes they have to go slowly. couple other things it yellen said, the opioid abuse in the united states. becauseis looking this they think it is affecting the labor market and participation rate. gdp, i do notbout think it is a cliff. she said she would love to see it, but 3% could be tough with a low productivity and an aging population. betty: thank you, we will continue our conversation on the fed strategy. a former fed governor will be joining bloomberg markets: asia at 10:10 p.m. in new york. yvonne: do not miss our interview with robert kaplan, joined by our daybreak america crew in new york. betty: we will speak to cumberland advisors vice chairman. this is bloomberg. ♪ yvonne: this is "daybreak asia," i am yvonne man in hong kong. inty: i am betty liu here new york. we dig deeper into janet yellen's testimony with cumberland advisors' bob eisenbeis. and, kathleen hays. bob used to work at the atlanta fed and was director of research. give me your quick take of janet yellen, two days in. bob: that was not m
the fed realizes they have to go slowly. couple other things it yellen said, the opioid abuse in the united states. becauseis looking this they think it is affecting the labor market and participation rate. gdp, i do notbout think it is a cliff. she said she would love to see it, but 3% could be tough with a low productivity and an aging population. betty: thank you, we will continue our conversation on the fed strategy. a former fed governor will be joining bloomberg markets: asia at 10:10...
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Jul 21, 2017
07/17
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certainly, from both this and the fed.uro, i dorms of the not think it is a great concern to continue to have easily policy -- easy policy and euro. love haves and have-nots in europe, so we have eastern europe performing relatively well, and southern europe performing poorly. so the ecb will have to continue to consider policy for the weakest link, and right now it will be the periphery. we continue to see, native policy there. i think that europe needs it. on the other side in the u.s. and mohammed's comments are very accurate, we have an enormous amount of complacency across financial markets. there is confidence that the fed will be on a light path toward normalization, and the bottom-line is you can have divergence, and the whole theory is that you cannot. the ecb will have to be easier, we have global inflation as well, and divergent economies. we are seeing strengthen american economies, best in american economies come and everyone thinks the fed will be there forever but they are not. jonathan: you talk a little bi
certainly, from both this and the fed.uro, i dorms of the not think it is a great concern to continue to have easily policy -- easy policy and euro. love haves and have-nots in europe, so we have eastern europe performing relatively well, and southern europe performing poorly. so the ecb will have to continue to consider policy for the weakest link, and right now it will be the periphery. we continue to see, native policy there. i think that europe needs it. on the other side in the u.s. and...
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Jul 23, 2017
07/17
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BLOOMBERG
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fed decision next week. go to lunch or stay at your desk? michael: go on vacation. yes, that's right. stay on vacation. lisa: happy friday. jonathan: i am so happy we are not teasing the fed covers for next was the test for next wednesday. thank you michael swell, lisa abramowicz, mark okada. that does it for us from new york. we will see you next week at 12:00 new york time, 5:00 p.m. in london. for our viewers worldwide, this is "bloomberg real yield." ♪ these days families want to be connected 24/7. that's why at comcast we're continuing to make our services more reliable than ever. like technology that can update itself. an advanced fiber-network infrustructure. new, more reliable equipment for your home. and a new culture built around customer service. it all adds up to our most reliable network ever. one that keeps you connected to what matters most. ♪ francine: joe kaeser a rare breed of chief executive, who dedicated his entire professional life to a single company. he was a young business graduate when he joined siemens in 1980, moving up the ranks and arou
fed decision next week. go to lunch or stay at your desk? michael: go on vacation. yes, that's right. stay on vacation. lisa: happy friday. jonathan: i am so happy we are not teasing the fed covers for next was the test for next wednesday. thank you michael swell, lisa abramowicz, mark okada. that does it for us from new york. we will see you next week at 12:00 new york time, 5:00 p.m. in london. for our viewers worldwide, this is "bloomberg real yield." ♪ these days families want...
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Jul 26, 2017
07/17
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CNBC
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>>> earnings and the fed take the driver's seat. we're breaking out your wednesday market playbook. >>> and the senate takes up health care. we're live in washington >> and break out the chips and salsa, because chipotle investors are having a full blown fiesta we'll tell you why worldwi"worldwide exchange" beg right now. >>> i'm sara eisen >> and i'm wilfred a warm welcome back to you >> it's good to be back. so what did i miss euro at a two year high. anthony scaramucci briefing the press, that was interesting. >> there has been so much. there was a time you used to think it could hit parity. 17% precisely. >> yeah, i thought that a little bit. >> bad timing for your trip. >> but earnings have been pretty strong and the stock market is yet again at a record high let's check in on global markets. equity futures following a worldwide rally on the back of strength in the u.s. strong commodities the move in copper yesterday pretty nice. dow futures up 21 points s&p futures up 2 and nasdaq futures up 5 oil moving higher. take a look at
>>> earnings and the fed take the driver's seat. we're breaking out your wednesday market playbook. >>> and the senate takes up health care. we're live in washington >> and break out the chips and salsa, because chipotle investors are having a full blown fiesta we'll tell you why worldwi"worldwide exchange" beg right now. >>> i'm sara eisen >> and i'm wilfred a warm welcome back to you >> it's good to be back. so what did i miss euro at a...
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Jul 22, 2017
07/17
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BLOOMBERG
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you are not getting compensated in terms for the spike in the fed.n: and you have written about investors sitting on their hands playing a game of chicken. lisa: you have the extra yield that people are receiving to own investment grade bonds over benchmark rates shrinking to some of the narrowest levels we have seen in the post crisis era, and to your point, i wanted to make a point about the volatility. look at the move index, which implies volatility in treasuries. the lowest level on record. the last time we saw rates like this was right before 2007. this is june 2007. he saw what happened after that. here point, this isn't going to last forever. the more people that get complacent, saying look, we do not think we are getting compensated for the risk that we are taking, 61% of investors surveyed at bank of america believe these spreads are too rich, and they keep buying because they think everybody else will. this is going to end badly, but people don't seem to see it company. -- happening. jonathan: is this pushing you to take more risks than yo
you are not getting compensated in terms for the spike in the fed.n: and you have written about investors sitting on their hands playing a game of chicken. lisa: you have the extra yield that people are receiving to own investment grade bonds over benchmark rates shrinking to some of the narrowest levels we have seen in the post crisis era, and to your point, i wanted to make a point about the volatility. look at the move index, which implies volatility in treasuries. the lowest level on...
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Jul 16, 2017
07/17
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BLOOMBERG
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jonathan: the next g10 central-bank hike, ecb, fed, g10? >> fed. >> said. >> bank of england.athan: that's it for us. ♪ these days families want to be connected 24/7. that's why at comcast we're continuing to make our services more reliable than ever. like technology that can update itself. an advanced fiber-network infrustructure. new, more reliable equipment for your home. and a new culture built around customer service. it all adds up to our most reliable network ever. one that keeps you connected to what matters most. david: what would you say the skills that you brought was, great intellect, great drive, great leadership? phil: all of that. david: let's talk about golf. phil: tiger woods, you could see coming from way back. david: in basketball, you have someone named michael jordan. phil: everybody wanted him. david: if i wore those shoes -- phil: you might. david: when you give a $400 a you million gift, you write a check? is it hard to do that? phil: yes. david: what would you say is the most favorable memory you have? and you phil: i kind of look at nike as my work of
jonathan: the next g10 central-bank hike, ecb, fed, g10? >> fed. >> said. >> bank of england.athan: that's it for us. ♪ these days families want to be connected 24/7. that's why at comcast we're continuing to make our services more reliable than ever. like technology that can update itself. an advanced fiber-network infrustructure. new, more reliable equipment for your home. and a new culture built around customer service. it all adds up to our most reliable network ever....
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Jul 26, 2017
07/17
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BLOOMBERG
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the fed will hike or the fed will have to backtrack.idea they want to hike three or four times. the market is not there. tom: thank you. michael, thank you. will continue on radar. ira will continue with us, as well. handsome michael darda. bring it up. . did i do something wrong? there it is. this is bloomberg. check it out. ♪ tom: good morning. nejra is in for france wayne. -- is in for francine. the future of the republican party experiment, that is what we are focused on. can you make a parallel to the ghost of 1973 and watergate? if you are looking to see what is going to get us out of fever,riod of political it will not be restrained from trump. every day he will find something new to titillate and excite and discussed us. have separation of powers in this country. the question is when push comes to shove, it is either the , or ifcans in congress they are voted out, then congress as a whole palm -- a whole, it is a 5-4 split of the justices in the supreme court, we are heading towards one of those two outcomes. politicalof civil d
the fed will hike or the fed will have to backtrack.idea they want to hike three or four times. the market is not there. tom: thank you. michael, thank you. will continue on radar. ira will continue with us, as well. handsome michael darda. bring it up. . did i do something wrong? there it is. this is bloomberg. check it out. ♪ tom: good morning. nejra is in for france wayne. -- is in for francine. the future of the republican party experiment, that is what we are focused on. can you make a...
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Jul 23, 2017
07/17
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we have the fed decision on friday.ahead of the data that you highlighted earlier, we are looking out for preliminary pmi numbers in half an hour and futures for the nikkei losing 200 points ahead of that. we are seeing some slight gains in seoul extra president moon's budget, shares under the week under open. what's for gdp as we have monday the money sterile -- ministerial meeting. crude is continuing to fall today after sliding the most in two weeks on friday. that is a brief look at what we are watching when trading gets underway with australia, japan, and korea. this is bloomberg. ♪ whoooo. i enjoy the fresher things in life. fresh towels. fresh soaps. and of course, tripadvisor's freshest, lowest prices. so if you're anything like me... ...you'll want to check tripadvisor. we now instantly compare prices from over 200 booking sites... ...to find you the lowest price... ...on the hotel you want. go on, try something fresh. tripadvisor. the latest reviews. the lowest prices. ♪ yvonne: asia-pacific stocks set to slid
we have the fed decision on friday.ahead of the data that you highlighted earlier, we are looking out for preliminary pmi numbers in half an hour and futures for the nikkei losing 200 points ahead of that. we are seeing some slight gains in seoul extra president moon's budget, shares under the week under open. what's for gdp as we have monday the money sterile -- ministerial meeting. crude is continuing to fall today after sliding the most in two weeks on friday. that is a brief look at what we...