can and 2.2% of gdp allocated to defense this year and i tell you, there is no political force in gastonia who argues against to perhaps increasing even the defense budget if it's really needed has paid a lot of attention recently is the solid early warning procedures, including also investing in intelligence. that allows politicians like me to be very well briefed constantly and that makes, of course, the quality of political decisions much higher. these were a few of my remarks. i hope to hear very interesting debate today. thank you. [applause] >> thank you. my assignment today is to provide additional context for understanding of what we may be seeing this september. in that sense, i'm following along very much. the messages that you heard from marco, and what you will be hearing from me is why these things don't exist in a vacuum. to understand them and interpret them, there are a lot of other considerations that we need to pay attention to, including history. what i thought i would do then is start with a few words about what we know about the exercise itself and then look at some of