discuss the story and the more details let's now cross live to the executive vice president of the eurasia center earl rasmussen welcome to the program so saying sions can be imposed on anyone involved directly or indirectly and sponsoring or assisting election interference is this in your opinion is this executive order a necessary step or a dangerous development. my purse it's a dangerous development. border it's so large and we've got you know first of all let's let's look at how many countries we meddled in their election interfered the list goes on and on. the but then we've got countries out there that are technically our allies that are contributing a lot through our political. contribution system that have perhaps a very heavy hand in employ and things are all much more than any type of eavesdropping or monitoring or or. news releases or something the problem with this isn't so broad the propaganda and the disapprobation stipulations mean and how you determine that is really. really questions. it really has an impact on the first amendment it really has an impact on freedom of spee

and rail and steel, kazakhstan again is recovering its place as the key crossroads in the heart of eurasiagive us a sense of the sectors that will benefit in kazakhstan. >> when maritime communication came in, it stole the show. now gradually land communications are taking hold. the industries that stand to benefit the most our construction, processing, petrochemicals, the products of petrochemicals, but also agricultural and food processing. already i can tell you that the volume of container trucks across kazakhstan from china to europe grows twice every year for the past seven years, and it will reach two million containers by 2020, so kazakhstan stands to gain $5 billion in transit fees every year. ♪ haslinda: just down the road from the port is what kazakhstan and china are calling an international free trade zone, dual cities on either side the border, a strategic super city that for all intents and purposes now lies in a no man's land. during the cold war, this area was a controlled military zone. the two towers behind me represent the borderline. i am on the kazakhstan side. the ch

with me now is evelyn farkas, she's a assistant deputy of defense for russia, ukraine and eurasia. mattis is one of the people in the administration, close to the president, who are thought of as by people who don't like this administration as one of the adults in the room. obviously, he has had views that differ from the presidents on a number of issues, but this book sort of paints both the president and mattis into a corner. >> right. well, first of all, ali, he's -- so general secretary mattis has denied the statements that were attributed to him by bob woodward, so we have to make that note. nevertheless, he is the sober man in the room you can well imagine that if the other things that are described in the book truly occurred, that he would have taken the actions or not taken the actions, so in the case of eliminating assad from the face of the earth, it's easy to imagine that he would have ignored such a suggestion on the part of the president. >> does that happen, evelyn? like, if you think back in history, obviously, you pick a cabinet secretary because they either have so

with infrastructure projects and of course they're building that huge new silk road across all of eurasia with russia and china so this is a totally new century we've got new multi-polar world the us that really has to start to tap dancing to a different tune if they want to participate or be left out just as you explain. there seems to be more similarities between china and russia than the word differences between china and the u.s. do you see that relationship moscow and beijing you know this one hundred billion on the table is this going to be getting bigger progressing do you think or is this kind of a one huge big one off. i think that if it pulls it off and the u.s. dollar starts to crumble in a lot of ways that the u.s. dollar is benefiting by the chaos in the emerging markets in argentina venezuela south africa and there's a flight to the dollar as a safety a safe haven currency but once that is trend as peaked then you're going to look at the broader geopolitical picture in terms of the currency market if you see russia and china get together and they are able to issue the dollar

with me is federico santi, europe analyst at research firm eurasia group.n this budget. as we have mentioned, giovanni tria has a toughjob, we have mentioned, giovanni tria has a tough job, he we have mentioned, giovanni tria has a toughjob, he has to try we have mentioned, giovanni tria has a tough job, he has to try to deliver on those promises, but not break the budget in italy. yes, this is really an interesting case study, if you will. it is the first insta nce if you will. it is the first instance of an outright populist government coming to power in a european area country. italy has long been seen a weakling for the eurozone, but now both parties in the coalition have dropped their earlier demands are leading the euro, but what they did campaign on is this change in public spending, and they are approaching a decision point. not only does it go against european rules, but more importantly i would argue the risk setting off an adverse reaction in financial markets, which italy with its still wea k markets, which italy with its still weak economy can

the key issues of the day such as syria and ukraine the importance of europe and to questions of eurasia corporation and integration as well he did though not hold back when it came to criticism of u.s. foreign policy as we heard there criticizing what he described as the u.s. is for a total domination for blackmail and threats and also what he described as the actions of russophobia in washington which prevented real dialogue between international leaders they didn't believe. did have a gentleman desire to improve current relations between the u.s. and russia which of course are not in the best state right now but this was being stifled by these sorts of actions also mentioned russia u.k. relations as well in light of the recent poisoning of double agent let's take a listen to that. and we will study. we won't leave this unaddressed it won't necessarily be a symmetrical response i don't think a symmetrical response is always the best method of sanctions were imposed in terms of absolutely false statements that was a reference of course to the sanctions imposed by the united states that

should be able to conduct business without interference from forces outside of eurasia why not so they need to ensure the right infrastructure is in place whether this particular sort of special purpose vehicle will be sufficient remains to be seen that ends all the details but i think it's a step in the right direction but it follows the german foreign ministers earlier bombshell call to create an alternative to the global banking payment system swift which could be independent of u.s. command. where the u.s. crosses red lines we as europeans must counter-balance as hard as that is it is indispensable that we strengthen european autonomy by creating payment channels that are independent of the united states the european monetary fund and the independence with system. the idea is a good one but whether you know whether european institutions will be allowed to operate this by the united states u.s. formal and informal power over europe particularly germany is extremely large. you know germany has never a peace treaty we're talking about having a peace treaty in korea we need want to ger

well there we can speak to mark simak of ski who's a senior fellow at the atlantic council's eurasiacenter the joining us live now from washington d.c. how much trouble is viktor orban and his government actually in. you know the thing the vote i think will be very close i think clearly the european parliament looks to stand up for its principles and is actually looking for a real debate about hungary's violation of your european human rights obviously the parliaments and the countries involved want to send a signal that hungary's continue. struction of the human rights values that all europeans lay out on the table needs to be addressed time areas tried to eliminate any immigration and as a result i think they're going to be they're going to be pushing for a process of sanctions and coming this this at the heart of this issue is is illegal migration as the obama said when he was talking to the parliamentarians and that's something that all e.u. countries are struggling with business so does it strike you as being some fair that they're preparing to trigger article seven as it's know

use it will reach out to zero moscow moxon makowski is a senior fellow at the atlantic council's eurasia center where he specializes in defense policy he says russia supplied syria with the s. three hundred system to send a political message. you know this is an advanced system that the syrians have been seeking to get their hands on for many years russia essentially halted the delivery because of israeli concerns and wider concerns about stability in the region coolly moscow has made the political decision based on this shoot down of its airplane that there is no need to withhold this equipment in the future obviously moscow i think also has grown frustrated with israeli impunity in striking syria and so this is to send a message that israeli actions are going to be limited in the near future because they're going to take into consideration a much more highly advanced anti aircraft or missile system. well leaders are gathering in new york for the united nations general assembly well sidelines u.s. president donald trump has met south korean media mungy in to discuss plans for a second s

we are joined by the head of research strategy at the eurasia group stop we knew this was coming so what next? >> you can expect escalation to be the tenor of this relationship through the end of this year. there was speculation that the two leaders of the two worlds largest economies could try to see some sort of breakthrough happen if they would meet at the g20 in november but with the u.s. rolling ahead with this latest duties on tariffs, we expect china will issue its own billion of$60 tariffs on american goods. that will make any kind of meaningful progress or breakthrough with those two leaders highly unlikely for the rest of this year. guy: how do they get restarted after the midterms? where is the exit plan? know people are beginning to panic in china over the idea that this is not a short-term story. panic butt so much there is heightened concern. beijing remains fairly confident it has the administered of tools at its disposal to be able to mitigate the implications of what this trade confrontation means for china's economy. i think you should expect that both sides think they

and speak to mark's makowski he's a senior fellow at the atlantic council's eurasia center a specializes in defense policy so tell me a bit about this system and how much difference on the ground you think it will really make. you know this is an advanced system that the syrians have been seeking to get their hands on for many years russia essentially halted the delivery because of israeli concerns and wider concerns about the stability in the region coolie moscow has made the political decision based on this shoot down of its airplane that there is no no need to withhold this equipment in the future obviously moscow i think also is growing frustrated with israeli impunity and striking syria and so this is to send a message that israeli actions are going to be limited in the near future because they're going to take into consideration a much more highly advanced anti aircraft or missile system and there's been quite strong pushback from israel netanyahu said it's providing advanced weapons system to irresponsible act as it will magnify dangers in the region john bolton as we've heard say

economist for bloomberg economics, very pleased to say he is live in new york and the analyst at eurasiawrupe is with us as well. tom, is it going to be $200 billion in imports affected, could there be any outliers here? >> i think we'll see and we probably won't have to wait that long for an announcement. the indications seem to be that it is going to be tariffs of an additional $200 billion. the signals seem to be it is going to be a 10% tariff rate, a little bit less than the 25% they put on the first 50 billion. >> why? tom: i think it could be giving them wiggle room going forward. if you go in at a high level and this was something i was talking about with jeff before we came on air, the space to ratchet up is a bit less. if you come in at a low level you've got space to go higher without expanding that list of tariffs and potentially snagging more of your iphones, and more of the things that would hurt u.s. corporate earnings. >> how does china respond in your view? jeff: i think the first response some countertariffs from china. they've laid out roughly 60 billion in tariffs. the

coming up next is the eurasia group president and founder.et his take on what is happening in washington. from new york, from italy, this is "bloomberg surveillance." ♪ comcast business built the nation's largest gig-speed network. then went beyond. beyond chasing down network problems. to knowing when and where there's an issue. beyond network complexity. to a zero-touch, one-box world. optimizing performance and budget. beyond having questions. to getting answers. "activecore, how's my network?" "all sites are green." all of which helps you do more than your customers thought possible. comcast business. beyond fast. on the go and want to rent a movie? showtime. or buy the hottest shows. even here? we've got you covered. now they are all yours. to take on the go. on any screen. bingo! alright! and watch whatever you buy. wherever you are. head to xfinity.com/stream to start watching. simple to rent, easy to buy, awesome to go. scarlet: hard to believe but it has been 10 years since the collapse of lehman brothers the next week, we're taking

let's speak to andrew weiss from the russia and eurasia program at the washington based think—tank, theinternational peace — and he worked at the white house under president clinton. thanks forjoining us. who wasn't in support of the uk at the united nations today? the russian representative lady had his work cut out and he tried hard to put his scorn on the british allegations and i think it is a sad day —— the russian representative clearly. we 110w russian representative clearly. we now need a unified international effort to show that this action is unacceptable from russia and we need to be prepared for a continuation of this because this will be a long ha rd this because this will be a long hard and challenging adversarial relationship with moscow for the foreseeable future. what are the options other than expressing their displeasure? sanctions are the main tool that people resort to or changes in legal procedures that may make it harder for russian changes in legal procedures that may make it harderfor russian nationals to come into certain areas or conduct business there, but th

joining us now is ian bremmer, he is the president of the eurasia group and author of "us versus theme failure of globalism." great to see you. >> great to see you. >> let's talk about what's happened in that year with north korea. the president and kim jong-un have become friendly. in terms of denuclearization or something substantial what has happened in this past year? >> look, there has been one summit, it was historic and breakthrough. there has been an enormous amount of diplomatic engagement between the north koreans and the chinese and even more so the south koreans. before that speech kim jong-un was seen as the most reclusive leader out there, now he actually can talk to the press internationally realtime without prep. so there has been an extraordinary change in the way all of us are thinking about north korea. have we moved towards denuclearization? no. have we moved towards reducing the tensions on the peninsula, i'm less concerned about the south korean economy, more capacity to actually spend time thinking about and engaging in diplomacy, the answer is yes. i do believe

them on this let's speak to care giants he's a senior consultant fellow at chan houses russia and eurasia program is live from northamptonshire in the u.k. thank you very much for being with us as a rush increasingly looking east both for economic and military reasons it seems how much of it do you think is driven by the actions of the current us administration or russia of course would like us to think that everything is down to its russia itself being under threat from the united states from the west from nato and this is why it needs to cozy up to china of course the reality is nothing like that is furthest from the minds of nato or the united states actually at any hostile intentions toward russia but there is this ongoing process of rearmament and reorganizing and reequipping the russian military and vast expense to repel this largely imaginary threat but at the same time of course the exercises are aimed for another audience elsewhere it's aimed at china despite the fact that this is in cooperation with china they are practicing for with on an enormous scale that would not be seen i

me is sir andrew wood, former british ambassador to russia and associate fellow of the russia and eurasiaham house. good to have you with us again, that response, the section there, is that straight out of the russian diplomatic textbook? yes and in a way it shows they have a good sense of human, it's perfectly obvious while they were not part of investigation because they were lying from the beginning so what do you expect? so what have we learned today that takes us on in terms of the response and the kind of strategy which comes out of this incident, peer of incidents really in march in july? i don't think there is anything radically which would change our policies. of course it would be nice to have good relations but the point of having relations but the point of having relations is they should be effective and currently we are at odds with the russians on a huge range of issues from ukraine to syria and whatever. plus they committed a great crime against us. i think the question we have to think about in the longer term future is how long and in what fashion this particular form fut

and then you get the likes of eurasia group saying that this is going to have significant ramifications and the use of tariffs is viewed as some anicials in washington as incentive to get american companies to remove their supply and relocatehina those either in the u.s. or in allied countries, and when you talk to chinese officials here, they told us off the record that they are increasingly convinced that the trump administration is trying to contain china both militarily, economically, and technologically, and that is an idea that is starting to crystallize in the halls of power in beijing. nejra: thank you so much to tom mackenzie, our china correspondent. joining us is michael metcalfe from state street global markets. i want to pick up on the last point that tom made in terms of bigger strategic goals here. is this just the start of what is actually a bigger standoff despite the market cleaning to shrug off what happened over the past 24 hours? michael: shrug off? notink the comments about devaluing are actually a very positive thing, so one of the big questions around the trade w

the pacific and the structural competition within the pacific as well as across the continent of eurasia is deepening. of course, china is rising, that's part of it. korea, of course, has its own interest and is quite assertive as we know here in washington and elsewhere. the various southeast asian countries, asean and so on, the russians are in the equation although i would say marginal but the competition within east asia in the region and in washington is intensifying and also the interests in certain ways are diverging. we can see this clearly with respect to the north korean missile issue which directly challenges japan but confronts korea in a somewhat different fo form. the most immediate for korea, the tan jent tangents across t. and in the future as that rises those challenges for the united states so there's significantly divergent interests so i think the title of this particular session, bruce, has been very apt in selecting it because the interests are diverging and then the united states has to choose among those various competitors in the world and in washington. of cours

that was dr andrew foxall, director of the russia and eurasia studies centre at the henry jackson societyuses the body's own immune cells to fight the particular form of leukaemia in youngsters. its adoption by the nhs comes just ten days after it was cleared by the european medicines agency, one of the fastest funding approvals in the history of the nhs. dominic hughes reports. you're fine, i know you're fine. they're some of the most vulnerable patients the health service looks after. children with cancer require special care. targeting the disease, while protecting the patient from the side—effects of treatment. the chief executive of nhs england, simon stephens, was in newcastle to witness that care first hand and to announce a ground—breaking treatment for children with leukaemia would now be available on the nhs. nhs patients are the first in europe to get this new treatment. and because we are at the beginning of a new era of personalised medicine, where cells from your own body are being reprogrammed to provide treatments for previously untreatable conditions. leukaemia is a form

managing director at eurasia group. joining us. >> hi. >> will it will it slow his economic agenda >> well, the president's economic agenda really consisted of tax cuts and other than that, it's the fundamentals of the economy sound basically for the better part of two years the question i would ask is, what blunts the economy in the near term? and what's the definition of near term? so no, i don't think that this episode will affect economic fundamentals i think we have much more to worry about coming the fundamentals in 2019 and 2020. this won't be a factor. >> so if this is not to be worried about, what is >> oh no i didn't mean to say it's not to be worried about in the economic sense. i think we have a problem in washington and it's clear now that there is a crisis of management at least inside the white house and that there's a group of people and there have been other media outlets reporting throughout the day and the week that this person represents dozens and dozens of other senior officials so the problem is d

. >>> joining us to discuss this, eurasia group president, ian bremmer and michael mcfaul ian, after speech rejecting globalism from president trump, what are you watching ahead of the security council meeting? >> that will be mostly about iran they're talking broadly about non-proliferation but let's be clear, trump's toughest words yesterday were delivered against the iranian regime it sounded like what he was discussing against the north koreans a year ago at the united nations. now he's engaging with the north koreans, the europeans have already said they're going to try to find a way to engage in financing around the united states. >> is that going to work >> won't work. they won't get it together fast enough the americans are the elephant in the room not like north korea where the chinese were the elephant in the room he won't have consensus in the security council meeting. >> let's stop. why won't it work? yesterday you tweeted it won't work, the iran deal will be dead but give us more sense as to why that will fail. >> because the europeans themselves are incredibly divided i

the theme has been the broader concept of eurasia and the idea of the chinese continued expansion andbered, 10 years ago, when china bought a lot of cobalt. with hissident trump, foreign policy, creating a point where china has every opportunity to capture african commodity assets? minister ncube: the chinese investment has been welcome. chinese invest everywhere, including the purchase of u.s. treasury bills. the issues where african countries can negotiate better deals for themselves and control the level of indebtedness. it is an additional source of capital for africa. in terms of global capital flowing into africa, africa cannot expect as much foreign aid as taxpayers in the u.s. and europe are put under pressure. investment from china is welcome but africa must negotiate better deals and get a fair deal for any investment in any sector. francine: do worry about a slowdown in china? minister ncube: not a slowdown. our prognosis is that global 6.5% is adequate to support the flow of investment into africa and support global commodity prices that impact africa. i'm not worried abou

if you listen to the likes of eurasia group that say some in the trump missed ration who are administration who are intent on decoupling these two economies. it will have a significant impact on supply chains and in this as anght see incentive to make american companies remove their supply chains and build them in allied countries. you're going to get some nations in the southeast asian region who could benefit, vietnam, thailand. longer-term. issue here in beijing, we have been hearing from officials in the government saying they're coming around to the idea that this will be a long term scenario. and indeed they are starting to view this as a way for the u.s. to try to contain china on a number of levels, not just economic but technological and military. francine: thank you very much. tom mackenzie, our china correspondent in beijing. join us now for the hour, paul donahue. also covering the chinese market, hao hong. thank you both for joining us. see the fact that china is cutting their u.s. treasury holdings, is this only a trade were something else? paul: we have to be very careful abo

we can speak now to dr andrew foxall, who's the director of the russia and eurasia studies centre atld say that is what this is? she was exactly right with her analysis, i would say that they appeared on afternoon live yesterday, and we joked appeared on afternoon live yesterday, and wejoked if appeared on afternoon live yesterday, and we joked if we would hear from these individuals that they may say they had just been visiting as tourists to the cathedral. i think what we have seen isa cathedral. i think what we have seen is a theatre of the absurd. i think it is frankly laughable, the excuse seems to be that, for whatever reason, if they were really tourists in salisbury, why stay in east london? perhaps they were also visiting local tourist attractions there. if they were tourists, let's remember they are russian citizens, we have a situation where two russians go to salisbury, but are put off visiting the cathedral because there was not much snow melt left on the ground. frankly i think it is laughable. but it is not by any it is laughable. but it is not by a ny stretch it is la

joining me now is dr andrew foxall, director of the russia and eurasia studies centre at the henry jacksonhat russia nothing to do with the poisoning but at the same time, the evidence that the uk had produced and which had been supported by western allies and independently verified was in a sense fabricated. vladimir putin ‘s argument, this distinction of them being civilians and not criminals, appears at least to boil down to something quite simple, his argument is that there has been a misunderstanding, that these two individuals who just don‘t happen to have sequentially numbered passports and travel to the uk for three days, during which they stayed in a budget hotel in east london. on those days, they took trips to salisbury and they took trips to salisbury and they stayed for two hours, they did not visit the cathedral, to the best of our knowledge, they did not see any other tourist hotspots. but instead, they loitered around the road near to where said a script i'll road near to where said a script i‘ll lived. and if that is... if people find that somewhat believable, innocent exp