alex dryden, and jeff klein, top strategist at charles schwab thanks for joining us. alex, i'll start with you. beginning of the year, you called for 3.25% on the ten year yield. have gotten close to it past couple of weeks. >> i think what we are seeing is that impact of high yields knocking onto the equity market. for the course of this economic cycle it has been dominated and supported by there is no alternative trade. everybody piling into equities because you couldn't find anything in bonds. now that the u.s. ten year is up, you're seeing investors going the first time hang on, i am getting a good return in bonds. >> jeff, a lot of thing for investors to watch you have trade tensions, peak earnings concerns, crude oil, bear market, political turmoil potentially in the u.s., what is the big thing you're focusing on right now? >> well, god, that's quite a laundry list the biggest one is slowing global growth. it is behind everything else we have already seen the peak in economic earnings growth earlier for this cycle remember in 2019, all major economies are expecte