let's get to the goldman sachs conference jamana >> i'm standing with jeff curry here he is the global head of commodities at goldman sachs, and he said to me there's never a dull day for commodities with that vein, jeff, thank you very much for joining us on the show today >> thanks for having me. >> before we talk specifically about oil, i just want to talk about the broader commodities complex because last year was almost a year of two halves. first half of the year people very optimistic. there's reflationary all of that petered out. oil plunged. basic resources, et cetera where, how do you see 2019 playing out? >> well, i think we're back to the same starting place we were about late 2017. i think let's go back and talk about the sell-off that occurred late last year, and there's two ways to look at it one way is to say, hey, the situation deteriorated at the end of last year or the other way to look at it is all that exuberance we were talking about one year ago never happened that the world ended up looking a lot more midcycle than what we actually thought remember, we look at t