. >>> harry entin the wizard of oz comes to join us to give you a statistical opportunity. a tighter race than the polls were suggesting. two reasons, one popular vote doesn't matter. it's about the states that matter and the counties that matter, and the dynamics that affect the same. yes, young harry, i'm glad you agree. state of play in the swing states. continue. >> yeah, i mean, look. putting aside your giant ego, let's take a look at the polls right now, in the swing states versus nationally. i think this tells the story. nationally joe biden is ahead by 8 percentage points. when you look at the six swing states, biden's lead is less. he's still up in them. >> almost within the margin of error in all of them. and most of all florida, last time you came on the show, you had florida around 8 to 12 for biden and i said that sounds crazy. you said, boy, if he's up that much in florida and it holds -- it didn't hold. >> the only thing that's crazy is your recollection. i think this is a key thing here, if you look at what i call the tipping point state, that is the state t