joining me now is the great economic historian neil ferguson, his new book just out is called "doom theith you, fareed. >> so how would you characterize from a global perspective, the economic recovery or nonrecovery now underway around the world? >> well historically pandemics have had very different economic impacts from what we've seen in our time. if you go back to comparably sized global pandemic, the 1957-58 asian flew as it was then called, you could barely see its economic impact in the u.s. data and that is because life went on. there was excess mortality. but there were no lockdowns, schools and workplaces stayed open. what we did was pretty much unprecedented in the sense that we were able to confine really large numbers of people in their homes for long periods of time and shot down big parts of the economy. and i think one reason that that is unprecedented is that previous generations didn't have the incident. not many in 1957 could have worked from home. so having shot down significant parts of economy, back around a year ago, we then did enormous offsetting fiscal and mon

professor neil ferguson says life will be almost back to normal by the summer thanks to the vaccinationrogramme. we are much more likely to be on our steady course now out of this pandemic. at least in this country. the government will reveal shortly which countries people in england can travel to in a fortnight — without having to quarantine on their return. also tonight... two former paratroopers accused of murdering an official ira man half a century ago are formally acquitted after their trial collapses. a murder trial is told that former aston villa star dalian atkinson died after being tasered three times and kicked in the head by a police officer. at least 2a people have died in mexico city after a metro train bridge collapsed onto a busy road. and a night of history for manchester city as they reach their first champions league final. and coming up in the sport on the bbc news channel... 15 days after leaving tottenham jose mourinho is back in football, where he'lljoin roma for the start of next season. good evening. one of the leading government advisors behind the first lockdo

professor neil ferguson says life should start getting back to normal thanks to the vaccine.

_ the road map, professor neil ferguson said _ the road map, professor neil ferguson said this _ the lockdown restrictions on the 21st ofjune is very much in i easing of lockdown restrictions onl the 21st ofjune is very much in the balance _ the 21st ofjune is very much in the balance given _ the 21st ofjune is very much in the balance given the _ the 21st ofjune is very much in the balance given the rate _ the 21st ofjune is very much in the balance given the rate at _ the 21st ofjune is very much in the balance given the rate at which - the 21st ofjune is very much in the balance given the rate at which the indian _ balance given the rate at which the indian variant— balance given the rate at which the indian variant is _ balance given the rate at which the indian variant is spreading, - balance given the rate at which the indian variant is spreading, do - balance given the rate at which the indian variant is spreading, do you| indian variant is spreading, do you agree _ indian variant is spreading, do you agree with — indian variant is spreading, do you agree with him? _ indian va

professor neil ferguson says the vaccination programme is the way out — and the possibility of more restrictionsfading. do i think it's likely to happen? no, i don't. i think we are much more likely to be on our steady course now out of this pandemic. at least in this country. his optimism comes as the government prepares to reveal where you can travel to safely this summer. also tonight... two former paratroopers accused of the murder of an official ira man in 1972 are formally acquitted after their trial collapsed. a murder trial is told that former aston villa star dalian atkinson died after being tasered three times and kicked in the head by a police officer. at least 23 people have died in mexico city after a metro train bridge collapsed onto a busy road below. the champion, mark selby! cheering and applause and bringing back the people — the first capacity crowd and coming up on the bbc news channel, history is on the line for manchester city. they are looking to reach a first champions league final, when they host paris saint germain at the etihad. good evening and welcome to the bbc news

professor neil ferguson, whose modelling led to the first lockdown in march last year, has told the bbcen to slow the spread of the virus meant there was now a clear path out of the pandemic. masks and social distancing. strict limits on gatherings and socialising. there have been unprecedented restrictions on everyday lives for much of the pandemic, but their�*s an increasing sense that things could be much closer to the old normal by the summer. one of the key scientists involved in lockdown policy told me he's more confident. so, i think it will feel a lot more normal in terms of being able to visit friends, family, go out to restaurants. we have yet to see quite what will happen in terms of holidays, particularly overseas holidays, but we will have many fewer restrictions. pubs and restaurants will allow customers back indoors soon. this was manchester today. then there's the planned end of all legal restrictions in england from june the 21st. professor ferguson believes another lockdown is unlikely and that the data suggests things are on track. with the one caveat that we need to

there inevitably will be, there's no one better to ask the neil ferguson.'s got a brand-new book called "doom, the politics of catastrophe." he provides perspectives on disasters other generations have lived through and the lessons we can learn from them. we are happy to have you on tonight, congratulations on this book, and thank you for thinkinq about this question as deeply as you have. you have time for one example, which i think says a lot. you write about the flu outbreak in the united states of 1957 and 58. what happens and how america responded, if you could explain that, i think our viewers would appreciate it. >> listening to your last item, i was reminded of smith's 1957, heads. people in 1957 took it completely different attitude toward the pandemic. at the asian fluid that year was about as bad as covid in i terms of global mortality, not as bad for the west. partly because the u.s. handled it a great deal more smartly. two key points, the federal government response was eyminimalist, schools weren't closed, the focus was all on getting the vac

neil ferguson is one of the great living historians and intellectuals.e is joining us, straight ahead. >> tucker: the coronavirus pandemic has raised a lot of questions about this country, chief among them, how will we respond when there's another major disaster? there inevitably will be, there's no one better to ask the neil ferguson. he is one of the greatest living historians, he's got a brand-new book called "doom, the politics of catastrophe." he provides perspectives on disasters other generations have lived through and the lessons we can learn from them. we are happy to have you on tonight, congratulations on this book, and thank you for thinking about this question as deeply as you have. you have time for one example, which i think says a lot. it you write about the flu outbreak in the united states of 1957 and 58. what happens and how america responded, if you could explain that, i think our viewers would appreciate it. >> listening to your last item, i was reminded of smith's 1957, heads. people in 1957 took it completely different attitude tow

professor neil ferguson says life should start getting back to normal in the coming months thanks totions do remain over holidays, particularly travelling abroard this year, but he was optimisitc about life soon returning with far fewer restrictions. here's our health editor hugh pym. masks and social distancing, strict limits on gatherings and socialising, they've been unprecedented restrictions on everyday lives for much of the pandemic, but there's an increasing sense that things could be much closer to the old normal by the summer. one of the key scientists involved in lockdown policy told me he's much more confident. it will feel a lot more normal in terms of being able to visit friends, family, go out to restaurants. we have yet to see what will happen with holidays, overseas holidays, but we will have many fewer restrictions. pubs and restaurants will allow customers back indoors soon. this was manchester today. then there's the planned end of all legal restrictions in england from june 21. professor ferguson believes another lockdown is unlikely and that the data suggests thi

we heard a little there from professor neil ferguson, whose modelling led to the first lockdown in march. it can't be completely ruled out, in the worst case scenario, if we have a new variant crop up which does manage to evade the vaccines, let's say late summer, early autumn, there may be a need to roll back on some of these measures, at least temporarily until we can boost people's immunity. do i think it's likely to happen? no, i don't. i think that we are much more likely to be on a steady course now out of this pandemic, at least in this country. the headlines on bbc news... two former soldiers accused of the murder of an official ira man in 1972 have been formally acquitted after their trial collapsed. a court hears a police officer accused of murdering the ex—footballer dalian atkinsion had tasered him for six times longer than standard before kicking him twice in the head. authorities in mexico city say there will be a full investigation after a metro train and railway track collapsed onto a busy road in mexico city, killing at least 23 people. hundreds of people in hull are tak

tomorrow night hoover institution senior fellow neil ferguson argues the u.s. is getting worse at managing disaster. also this weekend we are featuring several books by and about members of congress. including democratic senators mazie hirono of hawaii in amy klobuchar of minnesota per usa today washington bureau chief susan pages reports on the life and career of house speaker nancy placita. five full schedule information online @booktv. or consult your program guide. now, we kick off the weekend with journalists katie englehart's look at the right to die debate. >> our interview for tonight is barker, she is the author of strangers and rounding. impossible idealism, drastic choices and the urge to help. she is a staff writer at the near good magazine where she's written about domestic violence, dementia, philosophy, child welfare system, jon ashbury, barack obama, and the falkland islands among other subjects. she'll be speaking with our featured author katie ingle heart. she is a reporter and documentary film producer, she's also a national fellow at new ame

again, neil ferguson's book is doom the politics of catastrophe and it is available wherever books are s

professor neil ferguson says life should start getting back to normal thanks to the vaccine.lo and welcome to our look ahead to what the the papers will be bringing us tomorrow. with me are the chief political correspondent for the daily mail, harriet line,and broadcaster and author, john kampfner. reminding us that a little later we talk about relations with europe. tomorrow's front pages starting with... the ft carries a picture of the collapsed metro overpass in mexico city which has killed at least 23 people — questions are mounting over the structural integrity of the bridge. the telegraph leads on calls to drop what it calls �*witch hunts�* into soldiers who served in the troubles — it's after the collapse of the trial of two paratroopers who had been accused of murdering an ira commander. that story also the lead for the mail — the paper also carries news that the duchess of sussex has written a children's book inspired by prince harry's bond with their son, archie. the times claims a third covid jab will be offered to all over—50s in the autumn in an attempt to eradic

evolution of amazon and profiles the founder jeff bezos and tomorrow hoover institution senior fellow neil fergusonthe us is getting worse at managing disasters as we are featuring several books by and about members of congress. democratic senator maisie hirono discusses her autobiography. amy klobuchar looks at monopolies and antitrust, and susan page reports on the life and career of house speaker nancy pelosi. fine full schedule information online, booktv.org or consult your program guide. >> during a virtual event hosted by the aspen institute amanda ripley discussed the important of healthy debate in conflict resolution. >> four years ago i felt as a journalist i had to do something differently. i felt it is so easy as a journalist to make our political conflicts worse even if you didn't intend to. some people intends to but most don't and yet here we were and it felt there was something i wasn't understanding about what was going on in the country and that is a problem. i spent time with people who study conflict, personal, political, professional, at scale, individual, and the study of confl

again, neil ferguson's book is doom the politics of catastrophe and it is available wherever books are sold.ch over past programs anytime a booktv.org. >> book tv on cspan2, every weekend with the latest nonfiction books and authors. funding for book tv comes in these television companies and more including media comp. >> the world changed in an instant but media, was ready. we never slowed down. schools and businesses met virtual and we powered a new reality. were built to keep you ahead. >> media, along with these television companies support book tv on cspan2 as a public service. : : :

and wrapping our look at some of the books being published next week, neil ferguson argues we're getting worse at responding to disasters in doom. find these it title this is coming week where books are sold and watch for many of the authors in the near future on booktv on c-span2. on our weekly program afterwards nacialgly nationally discuss his life and career. >> finally after i wrote my biography on martin luther, which came out i guess four years ago, and i wrote a book on american, american founding and finally, finally i got to write this book, and i did nots intend it people talk about this in writing process is becomes something you didn't anticipate. it became a literary retelling of my life with a level of detail i had not anticipated. but i just found myself telling these stories that i've been telling verbally most of my life. and you know some of them you tell because they're so funny and you have to tell people like i have to tell you you're not going to believe this and humor of growing up with a greek immigrant father and misunderstanding and stuff and book became someth

that's according to professor neil ferguson, an epidemiologist at imperial college london.st the variant still does appear to have a significant growth advantage, the magnitude seems to have dropped a little bit with the most recent data. the curves are flatting a little, but it will take more time. it is something that is being studied very carefully. we don't really have enough data to really distinguish between the vaccines. first of all, i should say there is a good deal of confidence and the data is being gathered that vaccines will protect against severe disease, the effect of the indian variant will be fairly marginal. so vaccines protect individuals. we are slightly concerned that there may be in impact on the ability to prevent infection and therefore prevent transmission in the community. i'm joined now by professor ravi gupta from the university of cambridge. he's a professor of clinical microbiology and has been researching the evolution of covid—19, including new strains. welcome. i don't know if you were able to hear the clip, but essentially looking at whethe

. >> well, we will continue to do so that's sort of a neil ferguson view as well kyle bass, thank you for joining us always good to talk to you. >> thank you. >>> we've got just less than 40 minutes before the bell. the dow is down 40 points, the nasdaq has turned lower. the russell 2000 is positive just barely. >>> still to come, the ceo of kellogg joins us sexclusively to talk about price inflation and how the return to normal life could affect breakfast and snack sales. >>> check out some of the top tickers. tesla on top, 10-year yield on top. today walmart joins the party off earnings and so does home depot. stay with us here on "closing bell." we made usaa insurance for members like martin. an air force veteran made of doing what's right, not what's easy. so when a hailstorm hit, usaa reached out before he could even inspect the damage. that's how you do it right. usaa insurance is made just the way martin's family needs it with hassle-free claims, he got paid before his neighbor even got started. because doing right by our members, that's what's right. usaa. what you're made of,

enemy's medical system to collapse incredible story a author of "doom the politics of catastrophe" neil fergusonbout a bioweapon five years ago. >> well maria, it seems to me one of the key risks that we face, doom is general history of catastrophe is riching posed by chinaed chinaed totalitarian ideology that it represents, we shnd be surprised to find out that the ccp, has been planning, for biological war fare exactly with predecessor soviet union did first cold war i have been saying we are in cold war ii most in denial about it not clear whether or not sars 2 was a virus from a lab because we can't find out where this virus auditoriu originated, chinese communist party won't cooperate something where fishy here why ccp is covering it up. >> what kind of policy should front and center he knowing this, you probably saw "the wall street journal" op-ed this morning from james freeman, and he writes china fauci the origins of covid, before covid-19 ravaged the world dr. anthony fauci national substitute al ebb infectious diseased funded. >> ccp will not let outsiders in to do an investigation in

people like neil ferguson were saying, that's not going to happen now, we are going to get a flat lineaway. we have to remember that people have been vaccinated, still only 80% and there is a 20% chance of it breaking through, so there is still some caution in the background but so much better than we thought even three or four weeks much better than we thought even three orfour weeks ago. much better than we thought even three or four weeks ago. i’m much better than we thought even three or four weeks ago.— three or four weeks ago. i'm sure ou can three or four weeks ago. i'm sure you can understand _ three or four weeks ago. i'm sure you can understand the _ three or four weeks ago. i'm sure i you can understand the excitement around the issue of hugging, that was a big one yesterday, the cautious cuddling as louise called it yesterday. in terms of balance, can you understand, i'm sure many in your profession, there is a concern that we don't want to get back to the nhs being under pressure with cases. .. , . the nhs being under pressure with cases. , . ~' , the nhs being under press

tomorrow night hoover institution senior fellow neil ferguson argues the u.s.getting worse at managing disaster. also this weekend we are featuring several books by and about members of congress. including democratic senators mazie hirono of hawaii in amy klobuchar of minnesota per usa today washington bureau chief susan pages reports on the life and career of house speaker nancy placita. five full schedule information online @booktv. or consult your program guide. now, we kick off the weekend with journalists katie englehart's look at the right to die