steve kornacki.s the latest? >> you get a bit of an upset right there in northern carolina, all eyes are on this pennsylvania republican senate primary. we told you that john fetterman will be the democratic nominee. who is his opponent gonna be? and we are calling this now. too close to call. not a shock to see that designation, david mccormack's leading doctor mehmet oz right now. the margin between them now sits under 7000 votes here. you see less than 1% is split between them. kathy barnett, a lot of talk about her in the final stages of this campaign. with a lot of late momentum. but she is lacking a bit behind them. i think a couple ways to look at this, the key though, in big picture. is this. and this republican primary, there are some votes that were cast by mail. but republicans if you remember in the 2020 election in, this was a story. republicans are far less likely to cast a mail ballots then democrats are. so probably about 10% of the votes in this republican primary are going to end up

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we'll check in with steve kornacki, big news out of ohio right after the break. of ohio right after the break. >>> today's primary day in ohio and indiana. polls closed nearly two hours ago in ohio. nbc projects that congress man tim ryan will be the democratic party senate candidate in november. of course the most anticipated race of the night is republican -- the republican senate primary where donald trump's control over the republican party faced its first major primary test. trump forgot the name of his preferred candidate jd vance over the weekend but just in the past few moments nbc projected that jd vance will win the republican primary. joining us now is the great steve kornacki. steve, it is good to see you, my friend. you have big news out of ohio right now, those numbers are coming in fast and furious. >> yeah, ali. there it is, you see the check mark jd vance we're declaring has won the republican primary. he will face off against tim ryan the democrat in the fall. basically what's been happening here, if you've been watching these returns on our air

>> a major development as you say, first-time development, steve kornacki, steve is at the big boardderstand he's -- okay at any time when we get new data or new votes, but now as promised we bring you michael skilled former chairman of the republican national committee. welcome back, michael. >> hey, good to see you bro. >> good to have you. as we ask on nights like this, what is going on? what is going on, what do you see of both odds taking the lead, what are you seeing and more like the extremists like mastriano winning in pennsylvania on the gop side? >> it's kind of a bifurcated message from the gop base. in one sense, i think you look at the mccormick race, and what his race tells me is that they did a good job of pulling out of the larger proportion of the republican base that typically stays home. you have the hard edge right that will go play in primaries, mccormick looks like he was able to mitigate against at a, bit print particularly given that he had barnette to his further right than mehmet oz, who is sitting there with trump's endorsement. to be this competitive at th

our own steve kornacki back at the big board. ack city with 22 of the votes. a fraction of the percentage. let's show you where the outstanding votes are. there are two things here that are happening. there is the election day votes. the insane day votes. the folks who went in person and cast at the ballot box. anything that we're getting there tonight, just about all. we're guessing it's the same day vote. where we got the most abstaining same-day vote is right out of the side of philadelphia. outside of delaware county. it's a big county. as you see, we do not have that many votes to be reported here. so, we've got a lot now from chester county. going through philadelphia suburbs. but we still have to come next door. from montgomery county. a fair amount to come from bucks county as well. so the philadelphia suburbs, there's a meeting in philadelphia suburbs. i think there's going to be a single source of outstanding votes to come in tonight. and again, let's see if that shakes us up at all. here. the other issue, as i mentioned

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steve kornacki joining us from louisville. i feel like you took it off the live shot. a fastener. >> i can't drink on the job. >> it would be more fun, wouldn't it? >> go ahead. take it away. who are which putting our money on? >> i tell you, it's an interesting variable because i don't know if you can see behind me, within the last few minutes, the rains have started. the forecast looked grim all friday, holding off. the rains are coming down a bit now. the question here heading into tomorrow and the big race, how much rain are we going to get? is that going to affect the crowd you're talking about. thinking about getting 150,000 people here. obviously there is the race itself tomorrow, a lot of drama surrounding rate tomorrow is somebody it involves somebody not here, bob baffert, bob baffert, the trainer that has won the kentucky derby a number of times, seemed to win it last year with medina spirit, then had the horse disqualified because of a medical vie. baffert had two horses he was training until a few weeks ago. because he's banned from running in the race he

steve kornacki, thank you. steve is at the big board. he will be there for us.cut in at any time we get new data or new votes. now as promised we bring in former chairman of the republican national committee, michael steele. good to have you, michael. >> good to see you. >> what's going on? what do you see in both oz taking the lead and more extremist in mastriano winning big on the gop side? >> yeah. it's kind of a bifurcated message from the gop base. in one sense that i think you look at the mccormick race. what mccormick's race tells me is that they did a good job of pulling out more of -- the larger portion of the republican base that typically stays home. you got the hard edge right that will go and play in primaries. mccormick looks like he was able to sort of mitigate against that a bit. particularly given he had barnette further to the right. to be this competitive at this stage is incredibly good for him and says a lot about what he was able to do. when you look, though, at the other race, the governor's race, you see something a little bit different i

we are joined by steve kornacki working the big board. i want to start where we always start at times like this with a lot of open questions. >> this is the big open question. who is going to be the republican nominee for the u.s. senate in pennsylvania. who is going to take on john fetterman. you can see mehmet oz leading right now. that margin over david mccormick for him is just over 1,500 votes. basically from this morning until now that margin has been cut in a third basically. it was about 2,400 this morning. now it's down to 1,500. so mccormick has gotten a little closer. but he still has a ways to go. there aren't a ton of votes left. what we can tell you about in terms of where there are votes left in pennsylvania, number one is allegheny county. pittsburgh area, they say the votes that are left here were probably not going to get those reported out until monday. until after the weekend. there have been some technical issues with the equipment and the machinery, the memory cards they used there. one thing we're getting indication

i have to confess i have not been following the election results as closely as you and steve kornackis hour while we talk about other things. but what are you seeing developing, if there is anything resembling a pattern in result so far tonight? >> i don't see a huge pattern. re

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it's primary election night, let's go back to our own steve kornacki at the big board. e, what do you know? >> we keep seeing david mccormick clinging to a lead over mehmet oz, the margin here two tenths of 1%, it is 2148 votes separating them. just watching these returns coming in the last few minutes, oz got a big batch of votes out of york county, that had brought him significantly closer to mccormack, mccormack then countered in western pennsylvania, in erie county. mccormick got a good batch of votes out of, here just a second ago if you came in from the city of philadelphia, that tighten things a little bit. but that's what we're watching right now. a few thousand votes here, a few there. oz can get close we've seen him get close to 2000, we've let you have to see him get close to mccormick, there's two things to keep an eye on, here number one is the margin between these two candidates. it's two tenths of one point, pennsylvania law calls for recount if the final margin is less than or equal to five tenths of one point. right now, you've been recount territory. mc

we'll have steve kornacki at the big board on where the race stands exactly. >>> plus trouble on wall street. as the biggest loss in nearly two years and the futures are pointing toward another rocky day ahead. we'll take a look at all of that. willie? >> also this hour, the prime minister of sweden and the president of finland are set to arrive at white house at any moment as they press forward in their bids to join nato. they will meet with president biden after the president issued a statement supporting the bids of those two nordic nations. prooish stated that the u.s. will provide defense support to both countries while applications will be processed including navy war ships into the baltic sea and air force bombers over scandinavian and training with swedish troops helping to thwart against possible russian cyberattacks. and the u.s. now is officially reopening the embassy in kyiv. operations are limit sod far. only a small group of about 100 employees will return for the time being. american diplomats to ukraine currently are working from poland but have made day trips to ukrai

next, steve kornacki track side why the favorite horse to win is not the biggest story erat al . >>> nine horses set to be at the starting gate tomorrow for the second race of the triple crown. the 147th preakness stakes in baltimore on nbc and streaming on peacock organizers say they are expecting a packed crowd for the first time in three years. last year only 10,000 people could attend under covid restrictions this year they are expecting about 100,000. the preakness is typically the first time we see the kentucky derby winner, but not this year. rich strike, the horse that shocked the crowd with its long shot win earlier this month, will not be racing tomorrow. his owner says he is giving the horse a rest so no chance for a triple crown winner this year but another horse that did not run in the derby is stealing some of the attention ahead of the big race nbc's steve kornacki reports from track side in baltimore steve. >> reporter: all right, shep, well, yeah, we may not have that kentucky derby winner running in tomorrow's preakness but we got heck of a storyline. we got some we

in a moment, steve kornacki will break down the major races an update us on the republican senate race in pennsylvania that is headed to the courts i think. still too close to call. also ahead, the latest on the war in ukraine. where an ashamed russian diplomat quits over moscow's invasion. plus our conversation this morning with house speaker nancy pelosi. it was wonderful. willie. >> let's begin in georgia where polls open a just little over two hours ago. today's vote will have a major impact on the fall's midterms. potentially at stake, the future of the way elections in the state are overseen and possibly how the next president is chosen. one of the biggest battles includes the republican primary for governor which pits former senator david perdue backed by former president trump against brian kemp who refused to overturn the state's 2020 election results thereby drawing the ire of trump. herschel walker, a legend in the state is seeking his party nomination to face raphael warnock and brad raffensperger who defied president trump and is facing jody hice. she voted against certify

the polls are now closed and all five primary states our own steve kornacki back at the big board. undown. >> yeah, so we've got mccormack sitting with 22 hundred votes. a fraction of the percentage. let's show you where the outstanding votes are. there are two things here that are happening. there is the election day votes. the insane day votes. the folks who went in person and cast at the ballot box. anything that we're getting there tonight, just about all. we're guessing it's the same day vote. where we got the most outstanding same-day vote is right out of the side of philadelphia. outside of delaware county. it's a big county. as you see, we do not have that many votes to be reported here. so, we've got a lot now from chester county. going through philadelphia suburbs. but we still have a fair amount to come next door. from montgomery county. a fair amount to come from bucks county as well. so the philadelphia suburbs, i think there's going to be a single source of outstanding votes to come in tonight. and again, let's see if that shakes us up at all. here. the other issue, as

msnbc coverage will continue all night with steve kornacki at the big board, and i will be helping out at midnight eastern, 9:00 p.m. eastern, anchoring along with steve and our experts to take in all of these election results so keep it locked here on "election night in america" and keep it locked right now as "the reidout" is up next. ♪♪ >> good evening, everyone. we are following a number of important stories tonight, including president biden's emotional visit to buffalo today where he met with the families of the victims killed in saturday's racist mass shooting. a little later i'll speak with the son of one of those victims. plus, polls close later this hour in north carolina, an at the top of the hour in pennsylvania. we'll have updates on some of the major races. we'll begin "the reidout" tonight with breaking news on the investigations into the january 6th attack on the u.s. capitol. the "new york times" is reporting tonight that the justice department has asked the january 6th committee for transcripts of the interviews it has conducted in its investigation. the request came

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steve kornacki will be with us in just a moment to break down last night's election results from ohio and whether donald trump still has a grip on his party. >> he does. >> also ahead, we'll have the latest from ukraine, where russian forces are unleashing new attacks on ukrainian infrastructure, as well as that besieged steel plant in mariupol where people are clinging to life underneath. >>> but we start with more on the fallout from the supreme court and that leaked draft opinion that would overturn roe v wade. rallies and protests are being held around the country for a second straight day following the unprecedented leak of a ruling that could overturn abortion rights in america. not surprisingly, the story made front page nationwide. the tampa bay times asking, quote, what comes next? former chief justice john roberts says the first order of business has been to launch an internal investigation to find out who leaked the draft decision. remember, only a small number of people would have had access to it, including law clerks for the justices, the court's administrative staff and

you know it's election items in america, when you have our friend and colleague steve kornacki at the big board, he's been following all of these races. he'll give us the latest now. >> yeah, let's start with the closest, one it's been the closest all night, the panel pennsylvania republican primary, you see david mccormack with a lead over mitt was, of about 2687 votes. now we take you through where the outstanding votes are, because there's a couple of pieces to this right now. just moments ago mccormack got a very good piece of news for his campaign, we've been talking about these counties right outside of philadelphia, the suburban collar companies outside of philadelphia. voter rich, about a quarter of all voters will come out, of it may become slow to report. one of the big ones we got, delaware county we've got a big batch of votes from delaware company. it's a good batch of votes for mccormick, he leaves in that batch over oz so that helped to push david mccormack's lead up statewide that number that you see right there. now the other places here in the philadelphia area where

the preakness is back. >> never too old, steve kornacki you can watch the 147th running of the preaknesskes tomorrow coverage begins 2:00 overeaster 11:00 a.m. pacific on cnbc then it moves to nbc, the broadcast network, at 4:00 p.m. eastern. all of it streaming on peacock free as a bird post time 7:00 p.m. eastern tomorrow. >>> with some states cracking down on abortion, companies are offering to help employees who need one but is that easier said than done coming up, the roadblocks that could make this an empty promise. >>> has your post-pandemic word robe gotten a little more casual next, the styles taking people from home office to office-office. >>> and russia taking a victory lap. the declaration from southern ukraine as we approach the bottom of the hour and top of thne ocne wsn bc this... is the planning effect. this is how it feels to have a dedicated fidelity advisor looking at your full financial picture. this is what it's like to have a comprehensive wealth plan with tax-smart investing strategies designed to help you keep more of what you earn. and set aside more for things

steve kornacki. always appreciate you and that's a nice read out chris hayes starts now.ade is an important precedent. >> it is an important precedent. >> worthy as treatment of president. >> that doesn't mean that arose should be overruled. >> never mind what they've all said before, the supreme court confirms that draft to overturn roe v. wade. >> well i am here because i am angry. and i am here because the united states congress can change all of this. >> tonight, the

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to voice their opinions of the leaked ruling, how do the majority of americans view the issue steve kornacki breaks down the latest polling. >>> plus, nearly 50 years of american life living with abortion as a basic right. but as that may be changing but as that may be changing within weeks, historian ug if you're a small business, there are lots of choices when it comes to your internet and technology needs. but when you choose comcast business internet, you choose the largest, fastest reliable network. you choose advanced security. and you choose fiber solutions with speeds up to 10 gigs available to more small businesses than any other provider. the choice is clear: get unbeatable business solutions from the most innovative company. get a great deal on this limited time price with internet and voice for just $49.99 a month for 24 months with a 2-year price guarantee. call today. >>> the majority of americans surveyed say abortion should be decided by women and their doctors, not by the government that's according to a new "washington post" and abc news poll when asked whether the decision

steve kornacki, thank you very much. let's bring in dasha burns, outside of philly, bryn mawr county. dasha, i thought the number of voters you that spoke to didn't like dr. oz, but were pulled over in the last minute because of the endorsement of donald trump? >> reporter: yeah, katy, look, there's a reason why everyone is watching the state, right? first it could decide the balance of power in the senate. but it's a microcosm of the conversation we're having nationally about where the republican party is headed about trump's influence. i've said it before, i'll say it again this is perhaps trump's biggest test yet. you can look at what's happening in two different ways, right? on the one hand, two-thirds of american primary voters did vote for a candidate that trump did not endorse. mccormick and barnette. but for months, i've been talking to you about this, i've been hearing this resistance from voters, mostly undecided voters who said to me this guy from out of state, he's a talk show host. i don't know why he's runn

to voice their opinions of the leaked ruling, how do the majority of americans view the issue steve kornacki breaks down the latest polling. >>> plus, nearly 50 years of american life living with abortion as a basic right. but as that may be changing but as that may be changing within weeks, historian ug ♪♪ ♪♪ ♪♪ ♪♪ ["only wanna be with you" by hootie & the blowfish] discover is accepted at 99% of places in the u.s. ["only wanna be with you" by hootie & the blowfish] >>> the majority of americans surveyed say abortion should be decided by women and their doctors, not by the government that's according to a new "washington post" and abc news poll when asked whether the decision to have an abortion should be left to the women or regulated by law, 70% of americans say it should be left to the woman and her doctor 24% say it should be regulated by law 6% had no opinion. other polls show most americans oppose overturning roe v. wade, but people are more divided on abortions themselves, depending on how far along the pregnancy is steve kornacki has been digging into the latest polling data steve?

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to voice their opinions of the leaked ruling, how do the majority of americans view the issue steve kornackiwn the latest polling. >>> plus, nearly 50 years of american life living with abortion as a basic right. but as that may be changing within weeks, historian ugdolas brinkley puts it all into context for us this... is the planning effect. this is how it feels to know you have a wealth plan that covers everything that's important to you. this is what it's like to have a dedicated fidelity advisor looking at your full financial picture. making sure you have the right balance of risk and reward. and helping you plan for future generations. this is "the planning effect" from fidelity. ♪ ♪ i'm the latest hashtag challenge. and everyone on social media is trying me. ( car crashing ) but if you don't have the right auto insurance coverage, you could be left to pay for all of this... yourself. so get allstate. ["only wanna be with you" by hootie & the blowfish] discover is accepted at 99% of places in the u.s. ["only wanna be with you" by hootie & the blowfish] >>> the majority of americans sur

joining me now, steve kornacki. steve, it's been a long night.s going to be a long days, maybe longer. start us off in pennsylvania. where you see the remaining vote. >> pennsylvania elections, just like 2020, we are in overtime. >> exactly. >> oz leading mccormick for the u.s. senate. the margin, 2,463 votes. we are still waiting on some more votes out of allegheny county. that's mccormick's home county. he has been leading in that county. it may take a couple days to report out the remaining vote. there are several thousand votes. it's an opportunity for him. he wouldn't erase the lead just with the votes out of allegheny but he could cut into the gap he faces there. we are waiting on more votes out of delaware county. this right outside philadelphia. mccormick is leading. it's very close. oz is doing well here as well. there's a possibility that mccormick could make a little bit more in the way of inroads here. i wouldn't look for massive inroads out of delaware county either. a couple of places left here where there's precincts from election

and nbc's steve kornacki joins us. vonn hilliard joins us.el of victory by vance was surprising by many? >> yeah, ends up being ten points for vance over mandel, and mandel also tried to land the trump endorsement. you look where vance was polling before trump got involved in the race a few weeks ago, and it's hard not to conclude trump probably did play a key role in pushing vance over the top and getting him the nomination. and if you look into the west virginia and pennsylvania border, these were some of the strongest counties in the state for donald trump when he ran for president. and some of the strongest counties for j.d. vance last night. if we look at the general, tim ryan will be the democratic nominee. he had no problem winning that primarily last night, and take a look at what ryan is up against. an 8-point win for trump, and since trump emerged on the scene ohio has changed and transformed politically, moved very dramatically in the republican direction. tim ryan's backyard, young's town, ohio, this is where tim ryan's base is, a

steve kornacki is standing by to break it all down. >>> plus, a sign the justice department is widening its inquiry into the january 6th attack on the u.s. capitol, requesting witness transcripts from interviews conducted by the house committee investigating the insurrection. >>> also ahead, president biden and the first lady visited grief stricken buffalo yesterday to pay their respects to the lives lost and to meet with the victims' families. what the president had to say about the ideology believed to be the motive behind saturday's attack. >>> and the latest on the war in ukraine. finland and sweden both submit applications to nato. >>> let's talk about last night in pennsylvania and elections across the country. a lot of people are looking to see whether donald trump still has a hold on his party. looking at some parts of pennsylvania suggest he does. other races, two out of three republicans voted against donald trump's person. you go to north carolina. he got a senate candidate that won. the most high profile race down there madison cawthorn lost. in idaho, you have an extremist

let's bring in nbc news correspondent steve kornacki. steve, it is pretty clear and you laid it out pretty clearly in ohio, what we'd be looking at as we looked at the race where dollan needed to pick up and why jd vance needed to pick up votes. where what are looking at tonight between mccormick and oz and barnette. >> we'll go through the numbers. i saw you were putting some up. here is the average of every poll out there. so do you see kind of a three-way race here coming into tonight. had you a ton of money spent against mccormick. one thing to keep in mind here, geographically in pennsylvania, i'll talk about this a lot tonight, is that on the primary ballot they do list the county of residence for each candidate. mccormick is going to be listed as allegheny county, it is where he's from originally. i know he spent a lot of his prefegsal -- professional career. that is one thing we're looking for tonight. and we heard talk about the pennsylvania suburbs but three-way race here on the republican side. we haven't had as much polling on

steve kornacki live on the ground louisville. i heard it was raining. it doesn't look bad.rayer by the minute. the forecast still calling for a lot of rain this afternoon. of course, the big question is, how is that going to affect the track? is that going to change the nature of tomorrow's big race? there's drama, suspense heading into the kentucky derby. for the last year, the sport has been dogged around controversy controversy. baffert has been banned from the race. two horses until a few weeks ago were trained by baffert are going to be running in the race. they are trained by somebody else. both of them -- there's things on paper to like about them. neither is the favorite. each a big variable in tomorrow's race. the baffert-trained horses with someone else with a new trainer. could they dominate the race baffert has for the last decade? the two favorites are epicenter and zandon. there's another variable there. there's a mattress and furniture store magnate who is threatening to bet $3 million on this race. he could decide who the favorite ends up being between those

steve kornacki at the big board and charlie sykes and columnist connie schultz.rtant win for donald trump for the state of his political power. what are your biggest takeaways? >> that's the most important one. ohio posed the question going forward, if trump could get his candidate across the finish line in ohio, would that emmbold ben him. in terms of trump's impact on this primary, it's hard to ignore. a couple things, if you look at polling in the race through mid april, when trump made his endorsement of jd vance, you didn't have him at the top. he ended up moving to the top by about ten points. you take a look here, vance and mandel who ran the hardest after getting the trump endorsement after trump voters. the strongest trump areas, it was vance and mandel running one and two. vance running number one. look at that result and think, if trump weighed in for mandel, good chance he would be the nominee. it's clear trump had an impact. vance benefits. vance moves to the general election. a quick look at the general election here. the opponent is tim ryan. he wi

steve kornacki will break it down for us. von, two weeks ago, j.d. vance, josh mandel, mike gibbons, even matt looked like a coin flip race. it was a race to 25%. >> reporter: 18 days between trump's endorsement and last night's primary 20 percentage leap. you know, donald trump's influence on the election was notable here. we had talked over the last two weeks to a great number of folks who were hesitant about j.d. they had great reasons as to why they should be based off comments he made in 2015, 2016, 2017. now he'll be the nominee out of ohio on the republican side. donald trump may have some losses in 2022, but there is undoubtedly a reality that by years' end this republican party will be even more molded into his vision. you know, j.d. vance is going to be taking over for rob portman, who is retiring. walked away with 6 percentage points of the entire republican electorate here. two weeks from now, we're looking at pennsylvania, pat toomey who voted to convict donald trump will be out of office come the end of 2022. even if donald trump's cand

steve kornacki and the whole gang. but out in the field, our field reporters are talking to folk about how much the trump endorsement matters in the primaries on the gop side. take a look. >> did trump's endorsement mean anything? >> a little bit, a little bit, but that wasn't in decision-making. >> i think it did. >> i guess it would probably be the sole purpose why i went with him. >> i love donald trump, but, i mean, he doesn't rule my life. i have my own mind to make up my own mind. >> i'm not a trumper. i like trump, i voted for him, but i'm not a trumper. >> james, give us your view of what we hear there as well as something that folks may not realize is a relatively uncommon, which is midterms, contested primaries. usually don't have former presidents getting this involved in the first place. >>, so ari, let me be very frank here, the person that's going to watch the midterm elections the closest is one samuel alito. if it turns out it's a big republican victory, that's just going to tell him to high ball, green

joining me now, steve kornacki and kristin welker. steve, first to you.y we had a wild night in pennsylvania. still to be decided. what should we expect in georgia when the polls close this evening? >> in georgia, the polls are pointing in one clear direction, in the governor's race, the average of all the polls shows brian kemp the incumbent more than 20 points ahead of david purdue, the trump-backed challenger. one of the keys is this is a runoff state. kemp's challenge is not just to get more votes, he wants to finish this off tonight, get more than 50%, win this thing outright. the polls suggest that kemp has a very good opportunity to do that tonight. obviously, that's the marquis race in georgia. i went past it. you mentioned walker, widely expected as well to win the republican nomination officially for the united states senate tonight, would put him in a general election race against warnock. this is the race that will keep us awake the longest. this could be the most suspenseful. these are candidates who are not as well-known statewide. there are

and later in hour, steve kornacki will break down the favorites for tomorrow's kentucky derby. but we begin this hour with the war in ukraine. more civilians have been rescued from that steel plant in mariupol. even as ukraine fighters make their last stand in the face of a relentless russian assault. we've got new video newly released by russian separatists showing bombs falling on that city. we've also gotten reports of heavy fighting inside of that plant. despite that, the wife of one ukrainian commander said they are vowing to stand, quote, until the very end. even amid the assault, ukrainian officials managed to evacuate more civilians from the tunnels beneath the plant earlier today. operations have been able to evacuate roughly 500 civilians in recent days. it is not clear how many are still trapped but what a story they have to tell. those that do get out, willie. >> absolutely. also this morning, american officials are telling nbc news that it was united states intelligence that played a key role in helping ukraine to sink the russian flagship moskva last month. one of

. >>> joining me now to get into the numbers before the primary is steve kornacki, founder and president msnbc political analyst and co-host of "the circus" on showtime, also an advisor to former president george w. bush. steve, what do the numbers look like for tomorrow in ohio? >> we haven't had a ton of numbers. there were a few polls after the trump endorsement of j.d. vance. it paints a bit of a muddled picture. vance on average does lead, 25%. you see josh mandel, who is going very hard after the trump wing of the party, and the wild card i think that has surprised folks in the last couple of days, a big question mashes going into tonight but state senator matt dolan, who has been vociferous in his criticism of donald trump. the one person trump has singled up and said i do not want this candidate dolan to win the republican nomination for senate. there are a couple of polls who suggestion dolan might be moving it. we'll see how real that is, how significant that is. if you're the dolan campaign, j.d. vance has the trump endorsement, mandel has gone hard after trump voters, gibbons

the first big, one steve kornacki has the latest results, right after this. your projects done right with angi, you can connect with and see ratings and reviews. and when you book and pay throug you're covered by our happiness check out angi.com today. angi... and done. it is primary election day in ohio, with voters picking their candidates for november's general election. the republican senate primary is the most watched race there is. serving as the first big test of donald trump's endorsement 20 way to. polls close just about one hour ago, we don't have a call in that contest we do have other results. nbc news projected congressman tim ryan will win his race for the democratic nomination for u.s. senate. and income are hooking governor mike dewine is also projected to win his primary as well. nbc news national political correspondent steve kornacki as at the big board with the latest, steve. >> so chris like a look here at the republican primary. we see j. d. vance get about 60% of the vote in is leading early on. josh mandel. and then matt dolan, states under here, the one candi

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wade let's turn to steve kornacki who has been digging into the polling data surrounding abortion for the u.s. steve, opinions vary on the topic, depending on how the question is framed. as well as how far along the pregnancy is. take us through it. >> exactly. a lot of variables when the look at the public opinion aspect of this. let's take you through a few of them. when you ask it as a bottom line question specifically around the roe v. wade decision, asking should roe v. wade be overturned, this is the latest gallop poll number. this has been study the last few years. different pollsters asking this question. you generally get a result like this. wide opposition when you ask about overturning roe v. wade. in this poll, 32% support, 58% oppose. when you ask about roe v. wade, that's roughly the response you are going to get no matter who is polling it. when you start to break this down a little bit more, that's where you see variance. this was an ap poll that came out less than a year ago. take it in a different -- a couple different levels. when the question is asked, in general d

nbc news national political correspondent steve kornacki at the big board. pennsylvania, also eugene scott, political reporter for "the washington post" as well. kornacki, we're taking a look at the spread of these races across the board. i know i specifically pointed out pennsylvania with the senate race there and the governor happening as well on this primary day. what are you watching most here? >> look, pennsylvania is so key, yasmin, because we talk about control of the senate right now. it's 50/50, democrats nominally control it because of kamala harris' tie-breaking vote. the pennsylvania race is so significant in the context of that because it's an open seat, currently a republican, pat toomey, who has the seat, not running for re-election. on paper republicans control the seat. it's a golden opportunity for democrats. joe biden carried the state in 2020. if democrats are going to have any chance of ending up after '22 still in control of the senate, pennsylvania is at the absolute top of their absolute must-win states. with that in mind, take a look

steve kornacki, staying close by the big board. i am watching him pure over the numbers right now. he's ready to bring us the latest updates on those high stakes races, happening around the country. live from carolina, embattled congressman, madison cawthorn, is hoping a last-minute trump endorsement will push him to win. a special primary diction of all in, continues, right after this. of of all in, luckily, there's biotrue hydration boost eye drops for instant moisture. biotrue uses naturally inspired ingredients. and no preservatives. try biotrue this translation: certified goosebumps. certified from headlamp to tailpipe. that's certified head turns. and it's all backed by our unlimited mileage warranty. that means unlimited peace of mind. mercedes-benz certified pre-owned. translation: the mercedes of your dreams is closer than you think. before treating your chronic migraine— 15 or more headache days a month, each lasting 4 hours or more you're not the only one with questions about botox®. botox® prevents headaches in adults with chronic migraine before they even start—with ab

but two of his former horses are now top contenders steve kornacki is trackside at churchill downs.estion. that's going to be a lot of suspense as saturday unfolds there are two horses on the morning line epicenter and zanden, who look like one of the two is likely to be the favorite here we have to see, who does the public like when they start betting. there's another variable to keep in mind, as well a guy named jim mcinveil he's a furniture store magnate, he bets millions of dollars. he's talking about betting up to $3 million or $4 million woun of those two horses he could be the one who decides between epicenter and zanden at the kentucky derby, a 20-horse field, there's all sorts of possibilities and all sorts of other horses in the race who maybe could win this at a bigger price one of the more interesting story lines involve two houses, mesyae and tabie who were trained until a few weeks ago by bob baffert, who won this race many times banned from this year's race he had been training messier and tabia. take a look at thir figures, they have a chance in the race tomorrow tha

. >>> joining us now at the big board, steve kornacki. great to see you again.looking at, what are the races that we should be keeping our eyes on? >> obviously pennsylvania as you say is the big story tonight, that senate republican primary, you got a three-way race there. also the gubernatorial primary, it looks like doug mastriano is well positioned in, there is a question of whether mastriano, if he does win that republican gubernatorial primary big, there is a question of whether he lifts kathy barnette in the stat race because they have endorsed each other. and there is general election considerations there, implications if both of those republican candidates win, a lot of democrats who want both of those republican candidates to win because they believe that it would give them their best chance, democrats, to win that senate seat and governors seat. but the other key race we're keeping an eye on is in north carolina, the republican primary for the united states senate again like pennsylvania, this is an open seat, there is a republican richard burr who is

steve kornacki is standing by to break down the results from last night's top races and what they mean> and developing overnight, finland and sweden formally submit their applications to join nato. we will be joined in our third hour by sweden's ambassador to the u.s. and clint watts will take us to the maps at this hour. >>> plus, another sign the justice department is expanding its investigation into the january 6 attack of the capital. it's now trying to get access to the transcripts of witnesses who have met with the congressional committee, investigating the insurrection. we'll bring in one of the reporters who broke that story. >>> and president biden consoles those who lost loved ones in the deadly mass shooting in buffalo, as he vows to, quote, expose the people who use powerful platforms to spread hate. jonathan lemire has some new reporting on that this morning. good morning, and welcome to "morning joe." it is a busy, may 18th. along with joe, willie and me, we have former aide to the george w. bush white house and state departments elise jordan, she's an msnbc political ana

steve kornacki is standing by at the big board with the latest on where that race stands right now. >>> plus, president biden takes new steps to address the baby formula crisis, including invoking the same law that used to increase the medical supplies at the height of covid. >>> another market meltdown as the dow suffers its worst day since 2020. retailers grapple with the pain of inflation. >>> the latest on the war in ukraine as a russian soldier pleads guilty in the first war crimes trial of the conflict so far. >>> the president turns his attention to asia, as he departs today for a visit to south korea and japan. but there's no question, this trip is all about china. >>> good morning. welcome to "morning joe." it is thursday, may 19th. joe is off. with us, we have former aide to the george w. bush white house and state departments, elise jordan. she's an msnbc political analyst. host of "way too early," jonathan lemire. he is a white house bureau chief at "politico," of course. willie? >>> in a case of history repeating itself, a race in pennsylvania again coming into mail-in ba