first step to bring rebel groups to the national dialogue that is supposed to start next week in n'djamena. the fact that the biggest group has not signed it is already creating a condition for negotiation on one side or for a return to the rebellion. it is still too early to say what are the next steps. but something is already missing in the national dialogue that is supposed to start next week. mohammed: from your perspective, if a lasting peace is not achieved with this accord, how is that going to impact other countries in the region? andrew: the key challenge is that even if you did have an agreement, you would still have to be able to implement it. the challenge here is a could continue to spill over into other countries. on the larger scale, what it could do is create continuous regional instability. the wider picture is about chad's contributions to african security. we have seen the rise of chad in the last decade. if you have insecurity at home, eventually at some point these trips could be sent back. the wider concern is that if this is not resolved, then what happens? that is