gm on one side, pfizer on the other. the crosscurrents are everywhere where are you? >> we would agree with what jim cramer was highlightings that growth is going to slow, that recession risk remains at the same time, the fed and other central banks need to keep financial conditions tight the fed has observed that financial conditions have actually loosened since october and hiked since then our view is that the fed is going to keep at it. they're going to raise two, maybe three more times and keep rates where they are through the year, unlike what the bond market thinks. as you start seeing earnings slow, there's more trouble ahead, more volatility ahead for equity markets. >> okay. i think the question is, is it just the high flyers that we've seen rocket up even the past couple weeks that get taken down if your assumption is right, or does it take everybody with it >> the pipeline is that the overall market should decline from here. you already see earnings expectations coming down 30 a share this year to 225. we think those continue to come lower. valuations at 18 times at these interest rate levels are a little rich.