lawrence paul is from chatham house, is an expert on the caucasus region. i asked him what he made of as a by jones claims that weapon smuggling was behind its military offensive to. well, that's right as a by john has claims that the launch and cardo, which as you highlighted in your reward, is the only landtroop connecting all media. and you know, i mean can, using car was used for the smuggling of mines and other ministry equipment. we don't have a verification of that. this is one of the very widely discussed and disputed coins that still republican bomb media forces in the car. or are these the remnants of the car about defense force? the expert opinion is very much that it is towards the latter, but it has about john sees this still very much through and give a dentist framework financing forces from the public. so i mean, you know, local i medians. where does this leave a medium president bush and done with the protests against it? well, i've seen this in a very difficult position. i think it's notable that he has thoughts to reinforce the piece dyna

chatham house._ tell tim eaton, hello, libya expert at - chatham house._ tell us chatham house.al stalemate for a number of years now. the last _ stalemate for a number of years now. the last point at which libya had a government which was recognised by all is 2014 _ government which was recognised by all is 2014. we have had outbreaks of violence. — all is 2014. we have had outbreaks of violence, a second and third wave effectively _ of violence, a second and third wave effectively of civil war. since 2021, — effectively of civil war. since 2021, while a unity government was created. _ 2021, while a unity government was created. it — 2021, while a unity government was created, it was supposed to bring the country to elections but it has focused _ the country to elections but it has focused instead on sustaining itself and the _ focused instead on sustaining itself and the political recriminations have _ and the political recriminations have gone on and on among rival leaders _ have gone on and on among rival leaders and factions over who should be in control and effectively tha

lauren's pro is in associated fellow with chatham houses rush. when you arrange that program, thank you for being on dw. thank you. ukrainian, president automates the landscape, has employed world leaders at the you in general assembly to stand united against branches invasion. he said, most code must be propelled so the world can tons of solving all the global challenges. he also wants leaders to attend the piece summit to help stop the war as well as future. once was applause in the auditorium as he took his place at the united nations general assembly elector. it was the 1st time ukrainian president below the mirror. so lensky had appeared in person at the annual summit since russia invaded his country in 2022. in a passionate speech, to lensky underscored the dangers of allowing rushes invasion to go on. challenge to the com power plants in real dorsey bombs. why is russia is pushing the world to the final more? your brain is doing every thing to ensure that off the rocks and the grass, and no one in the world will d, a to a tech, any nation.

thank think tank chatham house. you forjoining us. can your thank you forjoining us. that came through in the past hour about the father of mahsa amini having been detained? ,., ., ., ., father of mahsa amini having been detained? ., . ., ,, father of mahsa amini having been detained? ., ., ., ,, , ., detained? good morning and thank you for havini detained? good morning and thank you for having me- — detained? good morning and thank you for having me. i'm _ detained? good morning and thank you for having me. i'm not _ detained? good morning and thank you for having me. i'm not surprised - detained? good morning and thank you for having me. i'm not surprised at - for having me. i'm not surprised at all. the iranian government has for many months been foreshadowing that it intends to make every effort to stop celebrations, commemorations and protests and its brittle oppressive reaction to the family of mahsa amini shows how far it will go to stop the protest recommencing. the bbc has heard from women in iran who have become bolder and braver standing up to the governme

city and columnist and a consulting fellow with the middle east and all the african program at chatham house. there's a hide. what does bush out, a sub hate to get out of his trip to china? well, thank you for having me. i think the domain of justice as a was to get out of this are, so there's a booth, it's the, the tennessee internationally. and uh, you'll have to remember that this meeting has a basically is happening after a recent diplomatic relations have to be restored with a countries in the region. so now i send this trying to restore, is this the messy or because there's going to see internationally and the other objective is related to convincing the try not to return and resume. it's a financial, i'm going to be active. it is in syria and engage and rebuilding reconstructing. sorry. what is the chinese interest here in playing along and helping by side as a, as well, i think the, the, the main objective from china is perspective is dramatic. one. uh, china is most likely using those in order to challenge at the, for it so carried on by the us among other western countries to conti

so clearly lauren's bro, us from chatham house. thank you very much. and sports usually in august when a new coach of age of immense national football team that's according to the gym and media reports the full, the buyer and coach is expected to lead the team up till the end of the european championships. being held here in germany. next summer, after which he'll be available on the coaching market, again, he is a look at his career. he was the thing to sleep because youngest of a coach of 28, a fresher faced duty and novels men at hoffman heim. he got the top job after working his way through the ranks of the crops use the academy. and most of a to from the stats. we've got the guy now goes my med, huffman hines of the champions league for the 1st time before the light sick came calling. by now, he had a reputation as a tactical innovator, keen to make use of technology to get the best out of his players. dvd players had the ideas, at least once every player has animated tactical instructions on that phone and we're happy to help them out any time. i

of a more no, i'm joined by lawrence brewers, he's an associate of zillow at chatham house. he's also an expert on the congress's region, or just going to have you with this after the events of the past few days. and just considering the vast numbers of ethnic armenians who are leaving newborn of kyra, but would you say that this is the end of the armenian population in that region? a well, it's definitely the end. i think of any aspirations to self rule to sovereignty or independence, which is of course what the car, but i mean the movement was the balance of the began in the late 19 eighties. uh whether that will be a smaller population. the residual population that lives on in car boss is on the we've seen approximately 30000 car by millions of pouring of into our media. there are talks ongoing between car but how many representatives and there's advise you on the officials on the terms of integration and but i think there is a huge fear that car behind his po and they are the essentially moving birching with their feet and leaving us and we heard it today from the foreig

lawrence pro is in associated fellow at chatham houses rush when you arrange that program. thank you for being on dw. thank you. this, your planning and president. a lot of me savanski has input will of late is gathered at the new in general assembly to stand united against viruses. invasion of his country. he said most good must be pushed back so the world can turn to solving pricing, global challenges. heels awards for leaders to attend a piece summit to help stop the war and future ones. so was applause in the auditorium as he took his place at the united nations general assembly elect turn. it was the 1st time ukrainian president below the mirror. so lensky had appeared in person at the annual summit since russia invaded his country in 2022. in a passionate speech to lensky underscored the dangers of allowing rushes invasion to go on. challenge to the cons, power plants in real georgia booms, while russia is pushing the world through the final more, your brain is doing every thing to ensure that off the rocks and the grass and no one in the world will d, a to a tech, an

it's not, he is a british auto broad, costa, an executive director at chatham house, a think tank, headquartered in london. and joining us from london is john down here, and he is a senior fellow at the europe in stability gonna share through sci. i'm just working on a migration policy a very long, but come to you. well, thank you for joining catalina, long producer has been in use all week, but also new york not more than a 100000 migrants. how about i best since the spring of 2000? 22. what's going on? why is there this influx into your on us? is that an explanation to this? i think we are right in the midst of a migration of polk. this is certainly the heart of our challenges that we are facing right now. now the, the, the reasons for this, or of course, complicated as with every great phenomenon. this also has a lot of various reasons, but i would name a couple of them. so 1st of course the climate change, this is the 1st thing. the 2nd thing is how the politics in africa in the asian countries look like and the situation, that's the city that the societies are in. this is the 2nd. the 1st o

tim eaton is a senior research fellow from london think—tank chatham house focussing on the politicalct in libya. in terms of what is going on, it is a politically complicated situation thatis a politically complicated situation that is impacting the circumstances for people who are finding themselves desperate for help. figs themselves desperate for help. sis your themselves desperate for help. is your correspondent mansion, it is a complex political situation. libya has been soak in a political quagmire for eight or nine years, and even though there has been no major outbreak of violence since 2020, sporadic violence has taken place. there has been no settlement to that conflict. we have a government based in tripoli which is recognisably the international community, but opposed by many. and a rival government base in the easter continues to contend it should govern the country, and we see mediation efforts to form a new government or to bring libya two elections. effectively what we seen over recent years is them tightening its grip and be unwilling to give up its grip and be unwill

so clearly, lawrence, bro, us from chatham house. thank you very much. i, its original lawmakers have been jeremy quoting on the government to get a grip of what they say is uncontrolled in regular migration. so father, she enrolled in $14000.00 people and to germany in the grandfather border with poland, low growth. how did you say reception incentives comp cope with the pressure? local lawmakers, one fell into a setup. permanent board, a checks dw report. matthew moore went home patrol with federal police in the town of forced on the board with pony pitch. the crack of dawn on, the gentleman told each florida on police on patrol he real clearly had time to wake up before the flushed call on 8 men. all from syria dropped off with nothing more than the clothes the weird ring. after the issue at the moment, this is a daily occurrence and self brandon book. we have to deal with smuggle people every day. the man is taken to the police station to begin the long process of applying for asylum back on the road. and before long a report has come in, trespasses

he is a british author broadcaster and executive director at chatham house, a think tank the panel is john kampfner. he is a british author headquartered in london. and joining us from london is john dhn. he is a senior fellow at the european stability initiatives and is working on eu migration policy. a very warm welcome to you all. thank you for joining carolina lampedusa has been in the news all week but also new york. now, more than 100,000 migrants have arrived there since the spring of 2022. what's going on? why is there this influx into europe? and the us is there an explanation to this? i think we are right in the midst of a migration epoch. this is certainly the heart of our challenges that we are facing right now now, the reasons for this are of course complicated as with every great phenomenon. this also has a lot of various reasons, but i would name a couple of them so first, of course, the climate change, this is the first thing. the second thing is how the politics in africa in the asian countries look like. and the situation that the that the societies are in. this is t

live now to leslie vinjamuri, director of the us and americas programme at chatham house, a london—basedwatching the debate. no surprise really that donald trump didn't show up. the other seven candidates would have been trying to distinguish themselves from each other but did anyone succeed at that? ., ., , ., , , , that? there are a number of issues on which they _ that? there are a number of issues on which they tried _ that? there are a number of issues on which they tried to _ that? there are a number of issues on which they tried to distinguish i on which they tried to distinguish themselves. 0ne on which they tried to distinguish themselves. one is support for ukraine in its war with russia. where we see a diverse range of views. but on a number of issues, there is a sort of seeing who can be tougher and the top campaign issue of courses migration, coming across the southern border where you really see a groundswell of pushing hard on a range of plans for who would in a sense close the border faster, manage it better and prevent illegal migration. another area where you really see

of the ambassador in niger. joining me now is dr alex vines, who leads the africa programme at chatham houseent macron is doing this, can you explain to us why now? doing this, can you explain to us wh now? . . doing this, can you explain to us why now?— doing this, can you explain to us wh now? . . ., ., why now? france and macron were holdin: why now? france and macron were holding out — why now? france and macron were holding out to _ why now? france and macron were holding out to see _ why now? france and macron were holding out to see whether- why now? france and macron were holding out to see whether there l holding out to see whether there would be a diplomatic solution to the coup through mediation or an intervention by the regional bloc, the community of west african states. that hasn't. there is mediation continuing. but it has become clear that the french ambassador and some diplomats around him, which paris says are the legitimate diplomatic representation to niger, because they don't recognise the junta, that they couldn't keep them in the capital and they have had to withdraw t

going to count back lauren's was, is associated fellow at the russian you raise your program at chatham house, he's also the author of our media, and also by john anatomy of a rivalry. you're joining us from london, sir. look, the 2 questions i think we really want answers to what's, what's going to happen to the ethnic armenians and what's going to happen to the land that they're leaving behind a newborn new camera back. maybe let's start with ask that one. what does as a, by john intend to do what to do with this territory now that they've fully regained control as well. they are gathered by joint estates is now taking over control of territory that is essentially emptied and unclenched of its population. that was prior to the conflicted version in 1988, an aesthetically as a bi johnny population. that was a minority that looked alongside on medians in colorado. so i would expect that to be a great efforts to ensure the return of this population. and i think, you know, that the best case scenario is that they would be living alongside perhaps some very small numbers of older on medians. as

tim eaton, a senior research fellow from london think—tank chatham house, says the political complexitylitical situation. libya has effectively been stuck in a political quagmire now for at least eight, nine years. and, really, even though there has been no major outbreak of violence since 2020, sporadic violence has taken place. but there's been no settlement, really, to that conflict. we have a government that's based in tripoli that is recognised by the international community, but opposed by many and a rival government based in the east that continues to contend that it should govern the country. and amid this, we see mediation efforts to form a new government or to bring libya to elections. but effectively, what we've really seen over recent years is a political lead...kind of tighten its grip on power and being unwilling to give up that power. and usually when we're talking about these things in relation to libya, that comes across as outbreaks of violence from armed groups. but the hidden costs of these dynamics of public money being taken away from infrastructure, from a lack of

and americas program at chatham house and asked if she saw anything that could head off a shutdown. >> if you look across both the senate and the house, the majority of the members of congress and senators would like to see a deal or willing to work very, very hard across the aisles to forge this. it's not size. the government has faced this before, but the situation that we're in right now is having this radical partisan polarization, where you have a very small, very vocal number of republicans in the house, about 20 that mckcarthy is beholden t. they are not really looking at the interests of certainly not of the country, not of congress and not even of their own party. these are individuals who are making a name for themselves, who are very popular on social media, who are raising money on the back of taking very extreme positions. so how do you bring those individuals into some sort of notion of a broader collective interest. that's really the problem that comes down to very hard deals. and at the far end, there's a question of whether or not s speaker mccarthy can survive this p

and former permanent secretary to the british foreign office, now advisor to chatham house sir simonnt answer.

our panel this evening, bronwen maddox, director and chief executive of chatham house, and miles taylor

joining me now here is director of the middle east and north africa program at chatham house. thank you for joining us again. it will be great news, isn't it, personally for all of these five people to land back in the u.s. and there will be a lot of celebration rightfully so. but the fallout politically will con continue. all the talk about the biden administration appeasing the iranians. i know it is a hot political atmosphere in the united states right now. but where do you sit on whether or not this was appeasement or something that just had to be done? >> thank you for having me back. i sit strongly on the side of i'm very happy to see the american hostages come home. and i think even who has languished in prison would like someone to come for them and i'm glad to see that president biden wasn't afraid to put himself on the line. indeed iran is a tox heic assets a partisan issue in the united states and many countries around the world. what is really needed is for policymakers in western capitals to develop a bipartisan strategy to manage policy relating to countries like

proper relief effort. 0ur panel this evening, bronwen maddox, director and chief executive of chatham house, and miles taylor, formerly chief of staff at the us department of homeland security. we will get their thoughts on the meeting today between president putin and kim jung un. and those calls today for a re—evaluation of the uk's relationship with beijing, which follows new allegations of potential spying by china in westminster. we will focus on libya very shortly. but first, there's been a big development this evening in a police investigation, here in the uk, into the death of 10 year old sara sharif, whose body was found at the family home in woking, surrey, five weeks ago. herfather, his wife and his brother — who left the country for pakistan before sara's death was reported — are now back in the uk. urfan sharif, beinash batool and faisal malik were not arrested as they boarded a plane in pakistan for dubai. the authorities in pakistan say they travelled of their own free will. but when they landed in the uk, all three of them were arrested on suspicion of murder. a short time a

assessment from sanam vakil, the director of the north african programme at the london based think tank chatham houserms would you describe this extraordinary deal between the united states and iran in direct talks mediated by qatar? i think this is an important _ talks mediated by qatar? i think this is an important confidence l this is an important confidence building — this is an important confidence building measure, a stepping stone, that the _ building measure, a stepping stone, that the us — building measure, a stepping stone, that the us administration has been working _ that the us administration has been working towards for many months. president — working towards for many months. president biden promised to bring unjustly— president biden promised to bring unjustly detained american prisoners home _ unjustly detained american prisoners home and _ unjustly detained american prisoners home and this is him fulfilling that promise _ home and this is him fulfilling that promise. as part of this deal, of course, — promise. as part of this deal, of course, it— promise. as part of this deal, of co

we offer leadership council which includes chatham house rule breakfast discussion and a host of other1920 in the washington d.c. will host our inaugural state and local cybersecurity summit. it's our first underwriter and new york state chief cyber officer is our first speaker. we are thrilled to bring together the cyber community that is here today. the state and local community to enhance our local defensive posture. please contact our team. now, to move on to our summit for today's events as mentioned over 3000 registrants from across the country and the world. there is a wealth of knowledge and expertise sitting in this audience today. our summit is focused on four major themes as envisioned by a wonderful content director terry byrne. the structure of the instructioe cybersecurity workforce and the evolving cyber threats. the breakouts will follow the same for teams. we take the time today to choose which of the 22 breakouts you wish to attend. their signage outside the amphitheater here mullet describes was breakouts will be at the next four days are packed full as outlined in y

and former permanent secretary to the british foreign office, now advisor to chatham house sir simon fraser. is there is any space for brexit talks, amid a migrant crisis in europe? 8000 in three days landing in lampedusa, the commission president von der lyon accepts that it needs an urgent answer. and don't panda to the chinese — as washington zoo prepares the return the mei xiang and tian tian — who does have the right approach to the wolf diplomacy in beijing. good evening. keir starmer will seek a major renegotiation of britain's relationship with the european union, if his opposition labour party wins the next election. in an interview he has given to the financial times, the labour leader said he would put a closer trading relationship with brussels at the heart of a drive for economic growth. that would include a significant rewrite of the uk—eu's trade and cooperation agreement which is up for renewal in 2025. mr starmer told the ft, "almost everyone recognises the dealjohnson struck is not a good deal, it's far too thin. sir keir will be at the elysee palace tomorrow for a

. >> let's get reaction now from a senior consulting fellow for russia and eurasia program at chatham housek . what will kim jong vladivostok. what will kim jong un want in return for what we assume is artillery, munitions ? assume is artillery, munitions? >> well, first of all, it's let's remember that none of this is actually confirmed. >> it is coming from an american source that possibly might be trying to pre—empt this meeting by getting out first with the information about what it's about. >> neither nor north >> neither russia nor north korea this on. korea have said this is on. but certainly it's plausible certainly it's very plausible because each something because they each have something the only that, the other wants. not only that, russia reaching out for friends now that it's isolated itself from much of the world and is from so much of the world and is desperate for sources of munitions to into its war munitions to pour into its war against ukraine at the other end of the country, seven time zones away, but also north korea desperate and for desperate for food and for technol

me now is a senior consulting fellow russia and eurasia fellow in russia and eurasia program at chatham house forjoining me. keir would you agree with that assessment that this smacks of desperation by putin? >> yes, it does. however there the other point is also valid that that doesn't mean we shouldn't necessarily be worried about it. >> you're exactly right that putin is looking for friends in all the wrong places. putin is looking for friends in all the itheig places. putin is looking for friends in all the ithe problem he's >> and the problem is he's finding them because now that he's destroyed all of his relationship rest of relationship with the rest of the the west, that the world, with the west, that wanted build wanted to actually build a constructive relationship with russia, wasn't russia, but russia wasn't interested. now looking for interested. now he's looking for those states that those other rogue states that can what russia wants. can provide what russia wants. and of north korea, and in the case of north korea, it is supposed to be vast quantities of old soviet style muniti

let's get the thoughts now of kia giles from the russia and eurasia program at chatham house.te a few things ? well on quite a few things? well there's no doubt it's bad news because , yes, they each have because, yes, they each have something that the other wants and each of those things is bad news for everybody else. and each of those things is bad nevinfor everybody else. and each of those things is bad nevin fact, erybody else. and each of those things is bad nevin fact, one ody else. and each of those things is bad nevin fact, one ofy else. and each of those things is bad nevin fact, one of the ;e. and each of those things is bad nevin fact, one of the key >> in fact, one of the key outcomes from this meeting is likely to be russia being able to prosecute its war against ukraine, to try to rebuild the russian empire even more efficiently , which is what makes efficiently, which is what makes for that grim in for that grim irony in them saying together saying they stand together against ism. that's against imperial ism. that's exactly they're standing exactly what they're

working with the august chatham house.ay night when the president of the united states spoke to the american people and said i am not running again. it was vietnam, a crushed lbj. he was walking away. what will we see from joe biden given all the flurry out there, you are a student of this. how does a president exit likely -- like sweet --lightly? peter: i am not sheet -- i am not sure we are going to see a bombshell like the lbj bombshell. it is an interesting comparison, lbj now only lost be support of the american people over the war but critically, he lost the support of the party leadership inside the democratic party. i think right now, what you see in joe biden's case, support is down in the polls among democrats and republicans. i don't see movement among be, credit leadership and that is what we have to see first, we have to see some cracking in that support. he has always -- he always has a way out. he can always say he saw himself as a steward. the concern is who is his replacement and there is concern inside th