and in fact, the institute of fiscal studies acknowledged that last time around, when they said that that wasn't possible , said that that wasn't possible, that it was actually delivered. and that's something that the institute of fiscal studies themselves have said. >> well, keir starmer rejected the institute's analysis altogether, insisting that britain could do better. >> don't accept the forecasts that say we can't do better than this. the economy has flatlined for 14 years. that's exactly what we are wanting to change. that's why we've set out our plans for growth in our manifesto . so the choice is more manifesto. so the choice is more stagnation. as we've seen for the last 14 years, which hasn't done our country any good, or turn the page , rebuild, regrow turn the page, rebuild, regrow our economy and create wealth so that across britain people feel better off. >> nigel farage has been speaking on itv this evening, claiming that the former us president donald trump learned a lot from watching his european parliament speeches before running for the us presidency on itv tonight

and in fact, the institute of fiscal studies acknowledged that last time around, when they said that actually delivered. and that's something that the institute of fiscal studies themselves have said. rishi sunak well, the labour leader, sir keir starmer, rejected the institute's analysis altogether, insisting that britain can and should do better. >> don't accept the forecasts that say we can't do better than this. the economy has flatlined for 14 years. that's exactly what we are wanting to change. that's why we've set out our plans for growth in our manifesto. so the choice is more stagnation , as we've seen for stagnation, as we've seen for the last 14 years, which hasn't done our country any good, or turn the page, rebuild, regrow our economy and create wealth so that across britain people feel better off. >> nigel farage tonight claimed the former us president donald trump learned a lot from watching his european parliament speeches before running for the us presidency. we've seen tonight on itv's the leader, interviews mr farage respond to the idea that he's britain's version

and in fact, the institute of fiscal studies acknowledged that last time around, when they said that at wasn't possible , said that that wasn't possible, that it was actually delivered. and that's something that the institute of fiscal studies themselves have said. >> rishi sunak well, the labour leader, sir keir starmer, rejected the institute's analysis altogether , insisting analysis altogether, insisting that britain could do better. >> don't accept the forecasts that say we can't do better than this . the economy has flatlined this. the economy has flatlined for 14 years. that's exactly what we are wanting to change. that's why we've set out our plans for growth in our manifesto. so the choice is more stagnation , as we've seen for stagnation, as we've seen for the last 14 years, which hasn't done our country any good, or turn the page, rebuild, regrow our economy and create wealth so that across britain, people feel better off. >> and labour says it would end what it's calling diy dentistry in england if it wins power. labour accused the conservatives of taking nhs dental servic

the tories have signed up to £18 billion worth of spending cuts, according to the institute for fiscal studiesstudies, have not demurred from those figures. the parties�* manifestos will provide a political sense of direction, but they may be less clear aboutjust how rocky a road lies ahead. iain watson, bbc news. the appointment of the ambassador to the united states has been suspended because of white walls. rishi sunak�*s decision to nominate his national security adviser sir tim barrow angered labour which accused the prime minister of trying to rush the appointment through before the election. he was wonderful, funny and kind. the wife of the radio and television presenter michael mosley has confirmed his body has been found after he went missing on a greek island. the 67—year—old was last seen early on wednesday afternoon, on a walk, alone, in a remote mountainous area. joe inwood reports. on a barren hillside, just metres away from the safety of the beach he'd been heading for, the search for michael mosley finally came to an end. it was on that beach, of agia marina, that the body whic

and in fact, the institute of fiscal studies acknowledged that last time around, when they said that that wasn't possible, that it was actually delivered. and that's something that the institute of fiscal studies themselves have said . themselves have said. >> rishi sunak. well, the labour leader, sir keir starmer, rejected the institute's analysis altogether, insisting that britain can do better. >> don't accept the forecasts that say we can't do better than this. the economy has flatlined for 14 years. that's exactly what we are wanting to change. that's why we've set out our plans for growth in our manifesto . so the choice is more manifesto. so the choice is more stagnation. as we've seen for the last 14 years, which hasn't done our country any good, or turn the page, rebuild, regrow our economy and create wealth. so that across britain people feel better off. >> meanwhile, rishi sunak says he isn't aware of any other conservative candidates facing an investigation over allegations of betting on the date of the general election . it date of the general election. it comes after the

the tories have signed up to £18 billion worth of spending cuts, according to the institute for fiscal studies have not demurred from those figures. the parties' manifestos will provide a political sense of direction, but they may be less clear aboutjust how rocky a road lies ahead. iain watson, bbc news. suspected government have killed 38 people in the democratic republic of congo. officials blamed the killings on the allied democratic forces, a militia group with ugandan origins and ties to the islamic state. the adf is also accused of a village attack that killed 13 people on thursday as well as on a wednesday killing 16. thousands of people have fled between nearby city in the wake of the recent assaults. government forces have battled the adf and neighbouring provinces since 2021. the adf is just one of several militia groups vying for control of eastern drc. for more i spoke to kambale musavuli, analyst at the center for research on the congo—kinshasa. thank you for being with us. what we know about this spate of attacks? it what we know about this spate of attacks?— of attacks? it is n

the tories have signed up to £18 billion worth of spending cuts, according to the institute for fiscal studiesies have not demurred from those figures. the parties' manifestos will provide a political sense of direction, but they may be less clear aboutjust how rocky a road lies ahead. iain watson, bbc news. that is all for now, thank you for watching. hello there. weather for the week ahead is perhaps not the story you want. no significant summer sunshine or warmth, i'm afraid. in fact, the story in armagh on sunday really sets the scene — just a high of ten degrees. we had cloudy skies with light rain or drizzle with a cool northerly wind as well. now, that rain is sinking its way steadily southwards and it will clear away from eastern england and south east england during monday morning. behind it, this northerly wind and this cooler air source starts to kick in across the country. so a rash of showers, a cold, brisk wind driving those showers in off exposed coasts and drifting their way steadily south across scotland and northern ireland as we go through the morning. here's our cloud and r

and in fact , the institute of fiscal fact, the institute of fiscal studies acknowledged that last timend that's something that the institute of fiscal studies themselves have said . themselves have said. >> rishi sunak. but the labour leader, sir keir starmer, rejected the institute's analysis, insisting that britain can do better. >> don't accept the forecasts that say we can't do better than this. the economy has flatlined for 14 years. that's exactly what we are wanting to change. that's why we've set out our plans for growth in our manifesto . so the choice is more manifesto. so the choice is more stagnation. as we've seen for the last 14 years, which hasn't done our country any good, or turn the page , rebuild, regrow turn the page, rebuild, regrow our economy and create wealth. so that across britain people feel better off. >> sir keir starmer now the prime minister, said today he isn't aware of any other conservative candidates who are facing an investigation over allegations of betting on the date of the general election. that comes after former minister tobias ellwood called o

the tories have signed up to £18 billion worth of spending cuts, according to the institute for fiscal studiesstitute of fiscal studies have not demurred from those figures. the parties�* manifestos will provide a political sense of direction, but they may be less clear aboutjust how rocky a road lies ahead. iain watson, bbc news. around the world and across the uk, this is bbc news. the us secretary of state is embarking on another tour of the middle east in an effort to boost support for a ceasefire in gaza. it's antony blinken�*s eighth trip to the region since the war between israel and hamas began last october. during the three—day visit, which begins in egypt, he'll urge arab leaders to pressure hamas into accepting the draft peace deal unveiled at the end of last month by president biden. benny gantz, one of the most senior members of the israeli war cabinet, which was set up after the hamas attack last october, has resigned from the group. he had threatened to stand down unless he felt there was a post—war plan for gaza — with a deadline set for yesterday. he told reporters that he was

the tories have signed up to £18 billion worth of spending cuts, according to the institute for fiscal studies figures. the parties�* manifestos will provide a political sense of direction, but they may be less clear aboutjust how rockier road lies ahead. and if you're here in the uk, you'll be able to watch the first of a series of panorama interviews with party leaders. nick robinson will be interviewing the prime minister tomorrow night at 8:00 on bbc one and iplayer. narendra modi has taken the oath of office and has been sworn in for a third term as india's prime minister. he will lead a coalition government, after his hindu nationalist bjp failed to win enough seats in the general election to govern alone. thousands of guests attended the inauguration at delhi's presidential palace, including the heads of several neighbouring countries. for more on narendra modi, i'm joined now by the host of the economist's the modi raj podcast, avantika chilkoti. welcome to the programme. many people are saying that indian democracy has spoken. definitely. i think auoin democracy has spoken. definitely

of the uk." what the institute for fiscal studies say in all of their analysis about scotland's finances, they lookthin the united kingdom, but they also accept — and i think it's important to accept this — that as an independent country, we would have much more flexibility and manoeuvrability as a country to improve our economic performance. scotland's already improving our economic performance. if you go over the years since 2007, gdp per capita in scotland has increased at a faster rate than the rest of the united kingdom. the productivity gap between scotland and the rest of the uk has substantially, if not entirely, been closed over that period. so that's an indication of how we can improve economic performance even within the united kingdom. but what an independent country allows us to do, and if you look at other small european independent countries, they've got stronger economic performance than the uk, and scotland would be in a position to emulate that. now, i'm going to make you an offer. you're no longer first minister, i'm going to make you prime minister. you keep waving around this w

the tories have signed up to £18 billion worth of spending cuts, according to the institute for fiscal studiestudies, have not demurred from those figures. the parties�* manifestos will provide a political sense of direction, but they may be less clear aboutjust how rocky a road lies ahead. benny gantz — one of the most senior members of the israeli war cabinet — which was set up after the hamas attack last october, has resigned from the government. he had threatened to stand down unless he felt there was a post—war plan for gaza, with a deadline set for yesterday. he told reporters that he wasn't satisfied. this is the moment he confirmed his resignation. translation: unfortunately, netanyahu is preventing us i from approaching true victory, which is the justification for the painful, ongoing crisis. and this is why we quit the national unity government today with a heavy heart. yet we feel that it is the right decision. we are now in the midst of a campaign that will impact the fate of israel generations ahead. in order to guarantee true victory, this coming fall, when it will be the one—yea

of the state. according to the institute for fiscal studies , institute for fiscal studies, unveiling its analysis of the major parties manifestos. this morning, the think tank said pubuc morning, the think tank said public services are struggling despite near record high taxes. but labour leader sir keir starmer says britain can do better. >> don't accept the forecasts that say we can't do better than this . the economy has flatlined this. the economy has flatlined for 14 years. that is exactly what we are wanting to change. that's why we've set out our plans for growth in our manifesto. so the choice is more stagnation , as we've seen for stagnation, as we've seen for the last 14 years, which hasn't done our country any good, or turn the page, rebuild, regrow our economy and create wealth so that across britain people feel better off. >> reporter meanwhile, in northern ireland, the democratic unionist party has launched its manifesto. speaking at the launch , dup leader gavin launch, dup leader gavin robertson said every vote counts for the publication of our manifesto marks ten days to polling d

with me is tom waters, who is head of the income, work and welfare sector at the institute of fiscal studies report because what he tells us is the number of affected children jumps from 2 million to 2.8 million by the end of this parliament, why? the policy only affects _ this parliament, why? the policy only affects families _ this parliament, why? the policy only affects families in _ this parliament, why? the policy only affects families in the - this parliament, why? the policy only affects families in the third | only affects families in the third child is in a past every day and more families in that situation that have gotten three or more kids and some born after and slowly but steadily it's been rolling out. find steadily it's been rolling out. and wh does steadily it's been rolling out. and why does it _ steadily it's been rolling out. and why does it have _ steadily it's been rolling out. and why does it have an impact on those living in low income households? the two child living in low income households? tue: two child limit living in low income households? tte: two child limit

now earlier today, the director of a leading think tank, paul johnson of the institute of fiscal studiesd this to say of the party's manifestos . manifestos. >> he's called this a conspiracy of silence . and that has been of silence. and that has been essentially maintained regardless of who takes office following the general election, they will they might get lucky, but unless they get lucky soon, face a stark choice raise taxes by more than they've told us in their manifesto, or implement cuts to some areas of spending or break their fiscal rules and allow debt to rise for longer. that is, to use that horrible word, the trilemma . word, the trilemma. >> well, who better to ask about precisely this than the shadow paymaster general, jonathan ashworth, who joins me live. jonathan, which is it? according to the ifs, you'll have to raise taxes, cut spending, or break your rule on debt . your rule on debt. >> or grow the economy. i understand why people are sceptical, given we've had paltry growth. these last 14 years under the conservatives, but we believe that we can introduce measures th

parties seeming to commit to these cuts in their plans , to these cuts in their plans, the institute of fiscal studiesthem fictitious cuts . has called them fictitious cuts. few seriously believe either party would push ahead with those budget reductions. so might it be the case that we're set for a further £25 billion in tax rises over and above the tax rises that have already been announced? where might those taxes come from? well, perhaps a 2018 pamphlet from rachel reeves might give us a clue. she called for a radical overhaul of the tax system to raise get this over £20 billion a year. it all is starting to add up. the pamphlet went on to call for increasing council tax, introducing a landlord tax, an attack on pensions, a tax on land, an increase in inheritance tax and more taxes on stocks, shares and investment . tax and more taxes on stocks, shares and investment. but it wasn't just 2018. as recently as 2021, rachel reeves said she wanted to hike taxes on those who get their incomes from stocks and shares and buy to let properties. might it be that when labour says it doesn't want to raise tax

of putting taxes up or at least they would if they win government again. so at some point . and the institute for point. and the institute for fiscal studies this out, maurice , and this applies out, maurice, and this applies to all of the parties, these manifestos are flimsy because they're not fully costed , they're not fully costed, because, as i say, we know what labour won't tax , but we don't labour won't tax, but we don't know what they will. so are you able to rule out taxes on your pension, your home and your car? >> i don't think any serious politician come out because because of events . this is not because of events. this is not the i mean, that's part of the problem. what i would say is labouris problem. what i would say is labour is astonishingly fiscally conservative. that's one of the things that means that they can't win on that statement. >> i see it's a strange old election because on the one hand, the institute of fiscal studies obviously it's got a point. there are these huge election issues, demographic change, ageing, population, mass migration. but if the parties deal with them in a straightforward way, which would

back martin, that the manifesto has now been is now being picked apart by the rivals, the institute of fiscal studieshael gove says it's ridiculous for nigel farage to say he might. he might be prime minister he they say he's part of a great entertainment machine. that's michael gove . he's not someone michael gove. he's not someone who can govern this country. that's the verdict from senior tories today. >> well, chris, i hope lots of red meat thrown to us there. we'll sink our fangs into it. more in the next hour. chris hope, live from merthyr tydfil. thank you very much for joining us on the show. we'll have more. and what reform are calling their contract with voters, and in particular their plans to scrap net zero targets later on in this hour . and there's plenty in this hour. and there's plenty of coverage on our website, gbnews.com. and you've helped to make it the fastest growing national news website in the country. so thank you very much . country. so thank you very much. now to a significant day in the royal calendar. as the busy royal calendar. as the busy royal summer period really kick

of the state. according to the institute for fiscal studies. rning, the think tank said public services are struggling despite near record high taxes . but labour record high taxes. but labour leader sir keir starmer says britain can do better . britain can do better. >> i don't accept the forecasts that say we can't do better than this. the economy has flatlined for 14 years. that's exactly what we are wanting to change. that's why we've set out our plans for growth in our manifesto . so the choice is more manifesto. so the choice is more stagnation. as we've seen for the last 14 years, which hasn't done our country any good, or turn the page , rebuild, regrow turn the page, rebuild, regrow our economy and create wealth. so that across britain people feel better off. >> a senior member of the conservative party has criticised calls to suspend two candidates accused of betting on the election. chris heaton—harris says it amounts to suggesting they're guilty until proven innocent. it comes after former minister tobias ellwood called on rishi suna

the electorate in their promises to the electorate in the manifestos with the help of the institute for fiscal studiesnifesto, in tax and spend terms, this chart compares the cash into the exchequer, so tax rises and cuts above the line and the reverse below the line, conservatives say they want about £30 billion of cash into the exchequer, like squeezing benefits, the same amount out including the national insurance cut. labour's plans are half as big, targeting health and schools and green investment, funded by smaller tax rises, for example on private schools. the liberal democrats and greens are pushing for better resourced public services funded by significant tax rises and reform thinks it can shrink government and taxes radically. so how does all that affect tax? this is a chance since the second world war of all the tax as a percentage of the size of the economy, you can see the pattern here, the liberal democrats and labour would take this tax burden on to the highest level since 1948, the conservatives would stabilise it at the highest since 1950, but the big picture is that all the parties

parties' big offers, their promises to the electorate in the manifestos, with the help of the institute for fiscal studies, and the reverse below the line. conservatives say they want about £30 billion of cash into the exchequer, like squeezing benefits, with the same amount out, including that national insurance cut. labour's plans are half as big, targeting health and schools and green investment, funded by smaller tax rises, for example on private schools. the liberal democrats and greens are pushing for better resourced public services, funded by significant tax rises, and reform thinks it can shrink government and taxes radically. so how does all that affect tax? this is a chart since the second world war of all the tax as a percentage of the size of the economy. you can see the rough pattern here, the liberal democrats and labour would take this tax burden to the highest level since 191i8, the conservatives would stabilise it at the highest level since 1950. but the big picture is that all the parties would leave intact this rise in the tax burden we have seen over the past parliament, this parliame

what paul johnston from the institute of fiscal studies said this morning was he's sick of heanng thisng all politicians say what they're not going to do. what he wants to hear is what are they going to do? and at the moment, the crisis, i think it's already a crisis is so grave. we actually do need to hear some proper policies and some proper number crunching, and we're not getting it. >> there you go, james. you get the last word. >> wonderful. well, say it, linda. first of all, you've you've beaten me because i haven't even got any a—levels. i've only got a few gcses. so i mean, my game is politics and that's where i'd bring it back to because labour haven't won this election yet. they need to win the election. we're talking as if they're a government already . we need to remember already. we need to remember that this manifesto that's going to come, these pledges are all about trying to win power and horsepower. we hold them to account at a later date. but for the millions of people who need a labour government in this country, they need to win first. and they need to win convincin

party, they used from the labour party, they used from the labour party, they used from the institute of fiscal studies pupils would leave the private sector and be moved into the state sector. however, this survey , this particular survey survey, this particular survey that i just mentioned up to nearly half of pupils may end up leaving. what are your thoughts? >> distressed, of course, but before i start, i must say that we are all 138,000 people who have who have signed change.org and on fb page our facebook page squarely stand with the state schools and want more funding to be. there were only question that we are opposing is the fact that we are opposing is the fact that it shouldn't be raised through us. that's number one. and as you have said, that recent studies, especially the adam, institute , the adam smith adam, institute, the adam smith institute, which has done in depth and has also shown the side effects of what could happen. and we as a group are corroborating it, hearing it on the ground that, yes, so many people would leave and if that happens, which it looks like will happen , then i

in terms of our plan for growth, the institute for fiscal studiesoposed planning reforms, and actually said all power to our elbow on that. and of course, what will happen if we are privileged enough to form a government? the ifs is basing that at the moment on the office for budget responsibility snapshot from earlier this year. if we are privileged enough to get into government, we will set out our growth plans. the office of budget responsibility will then look at those new growth plans of stability, investment and reform. and of course , then and reform. and of course, then with proper spending plans into the future, then responsibly , the future, then responsibly, we, the institute for fiscal studies, can look again as no doubt it will. >> we've got to leave it there. nick thomas—symonds, thanks very much indeed for your time. labour candidate and also a member of the shadow cabinet. thank you , bit of time to delve thank you, bit of time to delve into the papers and what's been said there. emma burnell alex armstrong, right after we've got emm

of the day. alex, put people out their misery. why are we talking about the ifs? so the institute for fiscal studiesourse, an economic think tank which is widely respected, has kind of given their verdict on the party's manifestos. and i think it's fair to say it's a pretty damning verdict, actually. it's not necessarily new news. we talk about that quite a lot of the time, don't we? is this new is the first time we've been hearing it? i'd say probably no, because there have been warnings from the if about this already. from the ifs about this already. but it's the way now they've gone through the manifestos and come up with their conclusion is pretty stark. and what they effectively say is, and this is my words, not theirs, but i'm paraphrasing the sentiment, is we don't think any of the parties are being really upfront about the choices, the hard choices and the trade offs that are coming down the track when it comes to things like taxation, spending on public services, borrowing, effectively what they're going to be able to afford to do and how they're going to pay for it. and this is not them sa

earlier on on gb news, we got quite close to the ideology of the thing, last night and the institute of fiscal studies>> jul, has said whoever wins the general election is going to have to look at the level of taxation if they're going to keep the size of the state and the level of social services the same. whoever is in power is probably going to have to put taxes up. so if sir keir is saying, no, no, we won't have to put any taxes up at all. and rachel reeves had tried to say that on, on television earlier as well, and rishi sunak is saying there'll be no change in tax at all. i suspect that that is the area that we need to have a discussion about. but as buckland said, and as as reform uk have said throughout the real debate is the size of the state, what the government tries to do for us and on our behalf, well, the state, the nhs, its size, its its remit and how much that costs because that's what tax is all about. and we didn't get that last night, but we got quite close to it. and the follow up question that could have been asked last night and should have been to sir keir starmer, is what did

i mean, the, the study was by, by the institute of fiscal studies that they were the ones who came ups based on. now, we don't know that the result. it's about that non—dom tax. the non—dom tax won't work if everyone leaves this tax won't work if all their parents, of all the parents withdraw their kids from private schools, and they and they collapse , the evidence so far is collapse, the evidence so far is that isn't going to happen. >> well , that isn't going to happen. >> well, nigel says that piers, we had a head teacher on today. we had one on yesterday, both from one in gloucester, very multicultural city, one from, i think it was epsom yesterday, ascot both saying it's going to have a detrimental effect on school numbers because parents are indicating they'll have to take about 10, 10% already are. >> yeah. and i mean two private schools have already have closed . and of course money matters. and this is just a spiteful and ridiculous socialist move for no reason at all other than spite and it is it shows and 1.5 billion are really like. and in fact today the biggest bombshell

institute for fiscal studies. later on the programme we have - institute for fiscal studies. later on the programme we have a i institute for fiscal studies. l—ite on the programme we have a couple ofther factor is when you get to polling _ ballots. another factor is when you get to polling day _ ballots. another factor is when you get to polling day is _ ballots. another factor is when you get to polling day is the _ ballots. another factor is when you get to polling day is the weather. l get to polling day is the weather. very simple. we don't know what it will be like onjuly the fourth. i won't does darren. but we know the weather is picking up. look won't does darren. but we know the weather is picking up.— weather is picking up. look at this icture weather is picking up. look at this picture here! _ weather is picking up. look at this picture here! voters _ weather is picking up. look at this picture here! voters dominate - picture here! voters dominate politicians— picture here! voters dominate politicians like _ picture here! voters dominate politicians like good _ picture here! voters dominate politicians like good weather. politicians like good weather because it gets peop

but according to the institute of fiscal studies , their plans are fiscal studies, their plans are fairly less than the lib dems. of course, the lib dems know that they are not going to be in power and the conservatives are suspect that they're not going to be in power ehhen they're not going to be in power either. so it is rather different for labour, i think i've said it before and i'll say it again. >> the institute for fiscal studies is still saying that neither the conservatives or the labour party are being honest with people about the challenges coming down the line. whoever is in charge after the next election are possible either extra borrowing , which the extra borrowing, which the fiscal rules don't currently allow, or bigger tax cuts that they haven't admitted to yet , or they haven't admitted to yet, or quite serious cuts to public services . quite serious cuts to public services. things like prisons, courts, local governments . so courts, local governments. so they're feeling very optimistic. three weeks from now, we will all be going to the polls , all be going to the polls

of fiction". the independent institute for fiscal studies said you might have to cut £18 billion a year, that's thees. you're going to have to cut in certain areas, aren't you? no. no cuts? no, because day—to—day public spending, you said overall government spending, actually, day to day spending on government services under a future conservative government that will continue to increase ahead of inflation. of course, all governments prioritise within that but what we would also want to focus on is productivity. right now, the government is spending more of everyone else�*s money than it has in a very, very long time. productivity in the public sector has fallen considerably since covid. and if we recoverjust to pre—covid levels of productivity, so nothing heroic, just as productive as we were before the pandemic hit, you mentioned the figure, that productivity gain is worth £20 billion. so, yes, i'm not going to apologise for finding more efficiencies in the public sector, which, by the way, they were performing at just stay a few years ago so that we don't have to raise people's taxes and we can

i've been speaking to someone from the institute for fiscal studies, they crush numbers, and think tanks that we think of the head of government finance that explained to me how the delay to that initial plan led to this problem. to that initial plan led to this roblem. , . . ~ to that initial plan led to this roblem. , ., . ~ .., �* to that initial plan led to this roblem. . ., . ~ .., �* ., problem. jack, we can't get that cli riaht problem. jack, we can't get that clip right now. _ problem. jack, we can't get that clip right now, you _ problem. jack, we can't get that clip right now, you summed i problem. jack, we can't get that clip right now, you summed up. problem. jack, we can't get that i clip right now, you summed up what it said but we will get that a bit later. in terms of this hole in the plans, obviously it's notjust those three parties standing in the general election, do we know what the other parties�* plans are? what other pledges for social care? this is an issue that has been discussed for a while and won't go away, will it? ., ~ ., ., ,., for a while and won't go away, will it? ., . .

when it's a budget of 200 billion a year, it's not much. the institute for fiscal studiesmount of money. what wes streeting would say is, he would say, "look, the health service is a service, "it's not a shrine, and you can't just chuck money at it, you've got to reform it". and indeed that is very much the view in the rachel reeves shadow chancellor team, the shadow treasury team that you'd have to have reform. british politics have always been fairly stable. i mean, there have been blips here and there, and there's been a major blip, of course, since 2016. but, basically, the ship rights itself, doesn't it? it becomes boring and stable and heads in pretty much the same direction as the predecessors did. is that what's going to happen? well, in a sense, the reason why you would have stability in the british system is because of the first—past—the—post electoral system, which is 656 constituencies, you just get to get a cross against one candidate and whoever gets the most votes, they win. and that does provide stability when fundamentally you have a two—party system. but

of fiscal recklessness, with the liz truss budget and all the rest, the labour party has signed up to that same fiscal discipline and what they cannot escape is the reality of what the institute for fiscal studieshave got to invest in the nhs so that people can be treated quicker so they can get back to their work. you have to invest in skills so people can have the skills of tomorrow and utilise those skills to invest in the economy. you have to invest in the economy. you have to have the investment in public infrastructure so we can undertake the major capital projects which this government has undertaken in a whole host of different areas of the country, whether it is the m70 for completion in glasgow, m80, the queensferry crossing, all of these major infrastructure projects that have fuelled the economy, it has come from public investment, but thatis come from public investment, but that is going to be cut and restricted because of the stance taken by the labour party. my only explanation of that is people in the labour party must be so terrified of scaring off tory voters in england that they are adopting the same approach to public policy as the conservatives. in scotland, that is not...

of universal credit and reforming access to disability benefits. so the conservatives are correct on that point and labour are wrong. however, this could all benefit from some context. the institute for fiscal studiestwo policies, if successfully enacted, would likely be pretty small in the context of £12 billion of targeted welfare savings. the imf as says that one potentially significant conservative welfare policy that has not been scored by the 0bra, the tory manifesto pledge to reform disability benefits, troop disability benefits, troop disability benefits, troop disability benefit payments are projected to rise sharply over the coming parliament due to the worsening of the population's health, from around £39 billion to £58 million in 2029. and most of this increase as you can see, is accounted for by rising personal independence payment payouts which is shown in red here. this ability and face difficulty in doing everyday tasks. recipients can be in work. so if the conservative plan to reform disability benefits could prevent this rise in personal independence payouts, they would roughly achieve the £12 billion in savings relative to the current spending baseline they are targeting. but how

the name, i the enormous respected institution, the enormous respected institution, the institution of fiscal studiese. so where does the money for infrastructure come at the beginning of your term. most infrastructure investment will come from the private sector. the problem we have is a gridlocked sclerotic planning regime that makes things take far too long to build. the time taken for planning decisions on major infrastructure projects has increased by about 65% since 2012. if we could take the decisions as quickly today as we did a decade ago, we get a lot more investment going. and the key to this is public and private working together. there is an estimated £200 billion of energy investment in the pipeline, gridlocked because we cannot get access to the grid, we cannot get access to the grid, we cannot get access to the grid, we cannot get the planning permission and we cannot get moving, so government can make a difference but it's not all about what government spends, it's about what the private sector can spend as well. lh spends, it's about what the private sector can spend as well.— secto

workings and our sums," and also the voices, the independent voices of number crunchers like the ifs, the institute for fiscal studiesu may or may not have heard of, it's theirjob, and they're very public about this, aren't they, to test whether or not political parties sums add up. and when you look at it, so i've got the labour manifesto here and they've done their costings at the back of the actual book. the conservatives put out a separate book with their costings. there's lots of kind of suspiciously round numbers here because obviously they've got to do... it's, it's, it's educated guesswork. yeah. a, how much stuff is going to cost? secondly, what the state of the economy is going to be, so, how much growth is there going to be? what does that mean for tax revenues? so there's quite a lot of guesswork. and then, yes, every party, i was at a news conference today that was all about this. every party will then try and trash their opponents and suggest that their numbers are dodgy. so i was at a conservative event today that was trying to do that about labour's manifesto and surprise, surprise the other day labou

of the stark choices over tax and spend in their manifestos. that's according to the leading think tank, the institute for fiscal studies. of silence" over the economic the ifs has analysed how the policies could impact the public it accuses them of a "conspiracy of silence" over the economic reality behind their plans. the ifs has analysed how the policies could impact the public finances and what that could mean for household incomes, public services and taxation. in a scathing assessment, it said the parties were "ducking the issues" by relying on faster growth to deliver more tax which it said was farfrom guaranteed. it also warned the next government faced having to find new ways to raise taxes, or leave some public services exposed to billions of pounds�* worth of cuts. this a flavour of what the director of the ifs, pauljohnson, had to say. low growth, high debt, high interest payments mean we need to do - something quite rare over the next few years just to stop debt - spiralling ever upwards. we need to run primary surpluses. that means the government needs i to collect more in tax and other. revenues than it -

workings and our sums," and also the voices, the independent voices of number crunchers like the ifs, the institute for fiscal studies

the tories have signed up to £18 billion worth of spending cuts according to the institute for fiscal studiesma interviews with party leaders. nick robinson will be interviewing the prime minister tomorrow night at eight o'clock on bbc one and iplayer. the wife of the radio and television presenter, michael mosley, has confirmed his body has been found, after he went missing on a greek island. search teams made the discovery close to a busy beach at agia marina, on the island of symi. the 67—year—old was last seen early on wednesday afternoon, when he went for a walk alone in a remote mountainous area. joe inwood reports. on a barren hillsidejust metres from the safety of the beach he had been heading for, the search for michael mosley finally came to an end. the greek authorities who had worked so hard to find the missing broadcaster, they carefully prepared to move him. it was on that beach, agia marina, that the body which has now been identified as michael mosley, was found. he was found lying just to the right side of that fence over there, really close to where people would have been re

institute — politics. we sort of have those come the institute for _ politics. we sort of have those come the institute for fiscal _ politics. we sort of have those come the institute for fiscal studies really speaking to voter's lives. the care — really speaking to voter's lives. the care of— really speaking to voter's lives. the care of a cost—of—living money in their— the care of a cost—of—living money in their pocket and jobs and the economy— in their pocket and jobs and the economy and the nhs and they need to know how— economy and the nhs and they need to know how it is going to be funded, how it _ know how it is going to be funded, how it will— know how it is going to be funded, how it will be protected and an order— how it will be protected and an order labour and tories setting out a path _ order labour and tories setting out a path to— order labour and tories setting out a path to cutting it and it feels like they— a path to cutting it and it feels like they are.— a path to cutting it and it feels like the are. ., . like they are. one thought occurred to me and l — like they are. one thought occurred to me and i should _ like they are. one thought occurred to me and i shoul