other areas of the front or the encirclement, all these means are not enough, it is the royal united services instituterrectly translate it somehow as the royal united services institute, and that's how we know it in british writing. that they are actually analyzing the reasons not for the failure of the offensive, the failed offensive, the counteroffensive of the 23rd year, and they say that it was possible to predict in advance that it would be a failed offensive, because, since the russians had well prepared for this offensive and knew well, where this offensive will be, and here is another interesting thing, that they believe that if in a few months the russians will soon lose... the initiative and will no longer be able to attack along the entire front line, then the ukrainians may be tempted to try to implement a counteroffensive again, and their conclusion is that when i quote, when the 14th division of the army still lacks weapons, and another counteroffensive by the armed forces of ukraine would be an unsuccessful double, they say that in the fourth year of the 20th ukraine it is better not to

i would see it in terms of that motivation for the chef that jones they have from the royal united services institute. thank you very much. thank you. go. there's really ami has a just all residents of gaza upsets a to leave. it's dropped the leaflets showing escape routes from the city. israel has been stepping up its ground a sold and it strikes on homeless militants with often deadly consequences, full civilians. the human cost of another is ready to strike in gaza. palestinian medic and officials say dozens were killed of themselves. hit the tents of displaced. families camped outside the u. n. run school in san tom. yeah. hun, eunice the by the school guides. i went out to get there. and so my children, when the strike happened, a huge explosion, people are flying in all directions, never know ambulances. the took about an hour to arrive. 2 israel's minute treat, told the reuters news agency. it was looking into the incident. it says it was targeting how mass forces in the area that is at the scene of the striking stress that the victims with civilians. lovely and without probably a warning look

partners to uphold the rules based international order to sort of settle jones from the royal united services institute, told us why natal wants to engage more actively in this region. well, i think you have to look at the engagements of nights over time and see this is a kind of the 1st phase, 1st phase of partnerships was the period one day. so it was in lodging and new pod . those were prospective members. in the 2nd phase of to 911, you had partnerships which were very much gates of the global war on terror ups. so what we have now is something new actually a paradigm shift, i would say it's not just another phase of nato's evolution and its own priorities . it's also a reflection of how that was changed your open, your logic is no longer a central in the walls. it was, if we're entering a new kind of old well era, the center of that cold war is probably no longer your logic either it's in the, in the pacific. and so this such a partnerships really reflects that our dog shift and is not certainly a subbing nato's interest. so i think you also have to see it in terms of subbing the interest of those

friday. teacher i have is a senior size, good fellow and security studies at the united royal united services institute for defense and security studies. he joins us now from london. good. have you with us on the program and how dangerous is this an escalation in terms of face that'd be completed by these riley's that they're taking responsibility for the strike. oh, thank you for inviting me on the program. so since the beginning of this relative environment of gaza in october, i think that many have been quite concerned about the notion that escalation across the region as, as really being attempted to here. and what we've seen with this latest retaliation by this rape is on the who sees in yemen, i think is more evidence of that. there might always be the sense um from one side or the other or thinking that they can, you know, retaliate and just this particular not should not take it up any further than that . but of course, the law of unintended consequences always applies and think can spit out of control and who see so sad that they will retaliate and respond. is a reason to suggest that they wil

they've royal united services institute for defense and security studies. he says, the risk of an escalation, like this has been cleared since the war and girls have begun. what we've seen with this latest retaliation by this rave is on the who is in yemen. i think is more evidence of that. there might always be this sense um from one side or the other or thinking that they can, you know, retaliate, adjust this particular not should not take it up any further than that. but of course, the law of unintended consequences always applies and think, spit out of control and who caesar said that they will retaliate and respond. there's a reason to suggest that they will. um, this particular attack doesn't, doesn't remove their resolve. it doesn't establish is really to tyrants. and all it does is shows that these rubies will give quite frankly, know who it is, what they want, which is to present the who sees as a worth while adversary against these various on the who these will make a lot of mileage out of the attack spies where these atlas on palestinians across

she's director—general of the royal united services institute — rusi, a leading defence and security assessment of what this means now, not only for the election campaign but for us politics? the election campaign but for us olitics? ~ . , , politics? well, in many ways, the olitical politics? well, in many ways, the political rhetoric _ politics? well, in many ways, the political rhetoric has _ politics? well, in many ways, the political rhetoric has been - politics? well, in many ways, the| political rhetoric has been divisive for some been divisive globally, and that division has led to violence, we have seen that in the uk with the unfortunate murder ofjo cox or sir david amess, 2016 and 2021. the difference in the united states of course is that pretty much everyone has a gun, there are more guns in america than people. so it makes the opportunity for this kind of violence more frequent and more possible. but it's not the first time either that political leaders in the united states have been attacked or killed. the democratic representative was shot in 2011, there was a republi

the central, as, as ito ha ha, is a senior associate fellow insecurity. studies up the royal united services institute for defense and security studies. he says the risk of an escalation has been clear since the war and gone. so i began, or what we've seen with this latest retaliation by this rave is on the who is in yemen, i think is more evidence of that. there might always be this sense um from one side or the other or thinking that they can, you know, retaliate, adjust this particular not should not take it up any further than that. but of course, the law of unintended consequences always applies and think, spit out of control and who caesar said that they will retaliate and respond. there's a reason to suggest that they will. um, this particular attack doesn't, doesn't remove their resolve. it doesn't establish is really to tyrants. and all it does is shows that these rubies will give quite frankly, know who it is, what they want, which is to present the who sees as a worth while adversary against these various on the who these will make a lot of mileage out of the news is really surprised becaus