going to beat hillary in new hampshire by double digits. you know, john heilemann, go through the history of iowa and start in 1980. ronald reagan, widely seen as the guy who's going to run away with the race. beaten by an unknown. to most republicans, george h.w. bush. and, of course, bush talked about his big mo. new hampshire saved reagan in '80. of course, you know the rest of that story. 1988 when it was george h.w. bush supposed to sweep through iowa. he got beat there. came in third place behind pat robertson and bob dole. goes to new hampshire. everybody's saying this guy -- again, another vice president, this guy is beaten. he's battered. no way he can win. he wins in new hampshire and makes a vow that night, i will not forget what you have done for me here. i think dukakis came in third place, in the iowa caucuses as well, in '88.