national polling. there was this new ap national poll that's out tonight that puts donald trump nationwide, 14 points behind hillary clinton. trump is only at 37% in this new national poll that just came out tonight from the ap. for a little perspective on that, go back to 1984 when walter mondale only took one state in the whole election that year. if donald trump really is at 37% right now, which is what he's at in this new ap national poll that just came out, if he's really at 37%, then donald trump right now is polling 4 points worse than mondale did in this electoral scenario. which is finito, right? just as we were digesting that mammoth new lead in that ap poll with trump down by 14 points, just as we were digesting that we got another poll from fox news. fox news is editorially conservative but their polling is for real. yes, hillary clinton is leading nationally by only by 3 points. and that's in a poll with a 2 1/2-point margin of error. so these winning nationwide by 14 points, she's winning nationwide by 3 points. i mean, obviously, it all comes down to individual states, but still i'm popping n

this new ap poll, not inconsistent with a lot of other polls has hillary clinton up 14 points nationallyon the same day, bloomberg politics shows the florida race tightening and trump only backed by two. how do we reconcile the widely to national bulls with the tighter state of affairs in the battleground states? it's political malpractice to have a pull out two weeks before the election, but the disparity is they just get the natural coverage that goes with the presidential campaign nationally. state-by-state, they don't get advertising, they don't get to have the vibe of the campaign going on in their communities. they don't have activities, volunteerism, any aspect of a real campaign, so disparity runs with what the national election looks like and that's astray much more this year than normal because there has been so much more negative information against trump. at the state-by-state polls are all close in margin of error in states that donald would need to win. guest: i think the polling is always going to be a greater level.ty on the national that is why they are swing states. wha

that 14 point lead in that ap poll, another national lead for hillary clinton. incredible.ll right, now a message from hillary clinton. ♪ mrs. clinton: far too many families don't earn what they need and don't have the opportunities they deserve. i believe families deserve quality education for their kids, childcare they can trust and afford, equal pay for women, and jobs they can really live on. people ask me, what will be different if i am president? well, kids and families have been the passion of my life, and they will be the heart of my presidency. john: that was one of two new ads the clinton campaign put out today outlining her closing arguments at the end of this long and arduous presidential race. here is the other ad. >> our children they look up to , us. what we value, how we treat others. and now they are looking to see what kinds of leaders we choose. who will we in trust our country and their future to. will it be the one respected around the world, or the one who frightens our allies and emboldens our enemies? the one with a deep understanding of the challeng

in the ap and coaches poll, 23rd in the nation after the low scoring win over stanford yesterday on the road. buffs scored the only touchdown defense held stand ford to three points. 10-five 5 was the final. buffs is 6-two 2 and bowl eligible. it made for an entertaining interview. >> i'm so broad -- proud of these guys. we're so blessed to be at colorado. i want to thank the 740 -- seven 44 744 in the a.m. prayer group. thank you so much. >> if you just got your first understand it ge i can't blame him at all. >> it's like a little kid jumping for joy. get -- gate to see the bufs back on the national scene. >> he's back on my list as favorite coach. >> his favorite ice cream was banana when he came here. >> this -- they could win out. >> they could. ucla, utah playing here. of those games are winnable because the utah game is here. >> that 1 on the road at stand -- stanford with christian mcafter rein the game was bigg -- mccaffrey was big. >> on the problems of demaryius thomas. >> it's time for him to step up. he's the offensive captain. number, two -- number two, more drops and here

national polls this season. in week five after beating oregon state, they were ranked 21 in the ap poll but they dropped out their loss to usc. from thursday night. they have the weekend off. they have a bye week. then they play ucla. that is a winnable game. >> it certainly is. after the game everybody wanted to talk about you can go to a bowl game now. and the players were saying we want to win the pac-12. >> why not. they have a good shot at it. >> yeah. what a turnaround. >> nice. >> 5:46 right now. legal red tape keeping one of the world's most lords from being extradited to the united states. >>> and the junkins fire is now 60% contained. >> 5:49 now. 48 people are dead after a gunman stormed a pakistani police training academy in southwestern pakistan. mo 200 trainees are stationed at the facility. they were sleeping when the attack took place. one of the gunmen were killed. no group has claimed responsibility but police in pakistan say the attackers were getting instructions from afghanistan. >>> an attorney for the captured drug lord el chapo guzman says extracation to the united states has been appeals

and cecilia, two new national polls just out as we come on clinton up by three over trump, an ap poll shows clinton up by 14 over trump. do these numbers concern the clinton campaign? >> reporter: well, david, they certainly watch these polls closely. they say they also knew this race would be tight, but here is their strategy right now. they are holding these last days campaign rallies near polling places to try to encourage voters to go vote directly after the event to try to lock these votes in early, david. battleground state of florida tonight. thank you. >>> next tonight, a commercial pilot under arrest this evening, taken into custody in the cockpit of a passenger plane, moments before a scheduled fr flight right here in the u.s. authorities say he was too drunk to fly. here's abc's david kerley. >> reporter: the regional delta jetliner took off hours late after the arrest of that pilot. it was a tsa officer who noticed a smell of alcohol and alerted rapid city police. the 38-year-old was in the cock when police boarded, taking him into custody, but so far, police have not rele

ap poll with plus 14 for clinton. fox with plus three. let's say it's probably plus five. so that's the national poll.hen you've got the battleground states. you see today i think they reported that florida, ohio and georgia in early voting are really good for trump. the other states with early voting, not so good for trump and better for clinton. the election night is worth watching. it won't be over early. it could be over early, depends on florida as we were saying yesterday. >> that's 100% true. he needs florida. he is polling very well in florida and for some reason when -- they are calling florida troublesome for the republicans because the same amount of numbers have requested early ballot, republicans and democrats. >> because last time, it was such a big advantage for the republicans. >> they still lost. >> that's the point. >> maybe it has nothing to do with how many early ballots are requested. >> i don't know. i think that this -- anything can happen between now and election day. i really believe it. especially with every day it's the faucet keeps dripping with this person has this coming

national poll that came out earlier today. a fox news survey showing that this race is closer than what the ap is reporting right now. fox news has this race neck in neck nationally with clinton leading trump by just 3 points. and there is some other good news for mr. trump. he's also leading in some of those other key battleground states. trump up by 2 points right now. in another key swing state, ohio, a recent poll has trump up by 4 points over hillary clinton. let's move over to iowa where the des moines register has trump leading by 4 points. and right here in arizona, trump holds a slim 1-point lead over his democratic rival. even if trump was to sweep all those state, he'd still be short of needs to win. in a volatile election year like this, it's hard to predict what's going to happen. >> i know that people who don't normally vote are going to vote this election and they're going to vote for trump. they don't normally vote because they don't believe their vote matters. and they believe there's no difference between the parties. but this year, there is a stark difference. >> more good news for mr. trump, a pol

a new ap poll says hillary clinton now has a healthy, double digit lead over donald trump nationally -- but others show the race may be tightening in its donald trump and hillary clinton? nationally, at least, a new fox news poll puts the race at just three points factoring in libertarian and green party candidates. that would seem to be encouraging news for donald trump. shaw: "i do think that we're probably an early indicator here. i think that you're' seeing a little narrowing in the race, as republicans begin to come home. there are more republicans to come home, so in some sense it's enough and whether he can get enough juice out of independents to get where he needs to be." and the same poll shows trump's numbers among independents do seem to be rising. he was in charlotte yesterday, hoping to boost lackluster numbers among minority voters -- talking about a new deal for black america. trump: "whether you vote for me or not, i will be your greatest champion." trump no doubt concerned about the rise of independent conservative evan mcmullin in utah -- who could spoil trump's eff

ap folks. >> now i'll tell you what. donald trump spent his time attacking when he should have been apologizing. >> new national polls taken over the weekend and before last night's debate showed clinton with a growing lead. the nbc wall street journal follow has clinton with a 52- >>> tim kaine came to denver for a rally alongside the dave matthews band. donald trump was also in colorado greenwood village for a small business roundtable and tomorrow his head campaign office in greeley and hillary clinton is coming back here to pueblo on wednesday for an event. >>> colorado's republican senate candidate darryl glenn supported donald trump until saturday when he companied trump and vowed not to support him and then today he switched back to would be a flip followed by a flop. glenn told fox news trump did what he needed to do to reset his campaign after last night's debate. this might be a topic of conversation tomorrow night in the only televised debate in the u.s. senate race. glenn and michael bennet will debate live on 9news tomorrow night from history colorado in denver. coverage starts with it next live from history,

polls are just all over the map. there is a new ap pole out, showing, hillary clinton has this commanding double digit lied outside the margin of error, over donald trump nationallyhe other hands, we have number of other polls including fox news poll show the race is actually tightening, as we get down to the wire here. who close are donald trump and hillary clinton? the new fox news poll puts the race at just three points, factoring in libertarian and green party candidates, encouraging news for trump. >> i do think that we are probably early indicator here, seeing little narrowing in the race as republicans begin to come home, more republicans to come home. in some sense it is naturalment the question is whether there is enough, whether he can get enough juice out of independence to get where he needs to be. >> same pole shows trump numbers among independents do seem to be rising in recent weeks. he was in charlotte yesterday, hoping to boost lackluster numbers among minority voters, talking about new deal for black america. >> whether you vote for me or not, i will be your greatest champion. >> and trump no doubt concern among other things about the rise of in

. >> a new national poll finds hillary clinton with a commanding lead in the presidential race, according to the apfk poll. clinton is leading donald trump by 14 percentage points, 51% to 37%. after an event in tampa yesterday, jenn for a palmieri told nbc news one of the campaign's biggest fears is complacency. she said the campaign is worried supporters will see clinton ahead in the race and won't think they need to vote. >> with 13 days left in this election, we cannot stop for a minute. no complacency here. nobody flagging. now, donald trump says he can still win, and he's right. that's why it's so important everyone gets out and votes. we're not taking anything for granted. there's not an ounce of complacency. we want everybody to keep helping us, making phone calls and knocking on doors and reaching out to everyone. early voting where you can and being prepared to vote. i feel good, but i am really determined that nobody is going to rest or stop or in any way, you know, think this election is over before it's actually over. >> clinton hits the trail with first lady michelle obama for the firs

national polls. and i'll show something a little bit different but basically the big picture is that hillary clinton is ahead. cnbc has her up 9. as you mentioned. and an online aphere's where my head is, craig, where you basically average these five polls, hillary clinton has an 8 point lead overall and to put that number into perspective, barack obama ended up winning the 2008 presidential race by 7 percentage points. obama ended up winning 2012 by 4. and so right now, hillary clinton at least according to these poll numbers is outpacing that right now. >> let's look at the battlegroun battlegrounds. >> in the battlegrounds, we produced brand new nbc news "wall street journa "wall street journal" marys polls. it matches the poll we were talking about and this does help solidify hillary clinton's path. you give her pennsylvania, new hampshire and a clear path to getting an excess of 270 electoral votes but let's go to the race closer in nevada where we have a tied race. 43% to 43% in the silver state. this is an absolutely must-win for donald trump. less so for hillary clinton. but when you dig into the numbers a little bit and particularly when you look at the

polls have been all overo the map. the ma new ap pollp out showing that t hillary clinton nationally as aa healthy double digit lead overve donald trump.dona tru other polls show that the racehr is actually tightening in its final days.. and hillary clinton. clion >> nationally knew fox news poll puts the race at just three points factoring in libertariann and green party candidates.te and that would seem to be encouraging news for trump. tru >> i do think that we'ret wre probably an early indicator here. i think that you're seeing little bit of narrowing in thetr race as rowepubinlig cans begino come home. there are more republicans tolia come home. come it's some sense it's natural.. the question it's enough andug d whether he can get enough juicee out of independents to get too t where he needs to be.ere he n >> reporter: same pollee shows independence do seem to beem to rising in recent weeks.t weeks. he was in charlotte yesterdayrd hoping to boost black lusterlacr numbers among minority voterstyt talking about a new deal forw dr black america.erica >> whether you vote for me or not, i will be your greatestt champion.

and now they are nationally ranked for the first time in five years but where. >> lions are number 24 in the ap poll after defeating buck eyes. one of the biggest upsets of the college football sees than. penn state has not been rang since december of 2011. ohio state, where are they now. they fell to number six. >> they fell four spots to number six. they were shocked. and then this, they got out offhand. >> the fans celebrating and it got craze. police say thousands of fans took to the streets in celebration with some fans even knocking down light poles, and damaging street signs and it took police about two hours to clear the street. police say arrests are pending and they are asking for public's help if they witness any crime during this case. >>> what a celebration. >> my goodness. >> all right. 6:39. just 15 days away now, before the presidential election, polls are showing mixed results in the presidential race, so we will give you a couple of them. >> abc news tracking poll shows hillary clinton with a 12-point advantage overdone old trump but trump up by two points in the separate general e

nationally over donald trump. that's a 5.8 margin. that's a healthy lead, that's a solid lead. that's not 14 points like you see in that ap poll. we can say clinton sa heis aheat the bottom line, that's the vote now. that race for 270, where does that stand? what would it take for hillary clinton to win? what would it take for donald trump to win? for hillary clinton, that's easy. just take what she has right now. she's in relatively good position right now in states totaling 270 votes. if you want clinton to win this path to the election, it's simple. don't lose anything you already have. what would the trump path look like if in the final 12 daisies goi -- days spaihe's going to comek and win this race. you have to run the table in all of these toss-up states and that district in maine. you have to go eight for eight in the states and you got to win that district. now, here's the challenge. some of these states weren't supposed to be battlegrounds. take a look at georgia of the we've got new polling. this is a red state. 1992 is the last time it went for a democrat. look at this. just in the last hour, though, new poll out of

nationally the new cnbc poll shows clinton with a 9-point lead over trump. >> but should we believe what the presidential polls are telling us? >> plus, how much trouble is joe arpaio in? why aps is telling the world how much it's spending to elect its

you got a national poll that shows three points, a cnn poll that shows it five points, nbc news survey monkey poll that shows five points. but yet it's tightening in some of these polls? apas it 12 points. >> i don't agree with nicolle, everyone accepts that he could get to 266. both republicans and democrats looking at polling da to look that way. if he wins the big five -- florida, north carolina, ohio, iowa and nevada, then he's at 265 and joe you identified you're right -- new hampshire is a weird state. he has a mathematical path, but things would have to change. i think things have gotten better for him, he's finally tying and winning the news cycle. he's close enough to go into election day thinking he could win. >> you look at different polls. the nevada poll, one nevada poll has him tied and one down by nine points. the nbc news poll has him tied. and a new florida poll -- >> clinton 43%. and trump 39%. >> clinton's numbers, 43 in the florida, the nevada poll you just showed. if the trump is right and gary johnson and jill stein fade a little bit, i don't think she's going to win these states with 43%. in a normal state, she might be quasi-incumbent in those sta