we already have hurricane watches and warnings for the bahamas. five to ten inches of rain, some areas up to 20 inches of rain. and as it makes its way toward the bahamas tonight on into tomorrow it becomes a category 3 storm some time friday afternoon. it continues its path paralleling the coast and then making landfall sunday afternoon as a category 2 storm but continues inland as a tropical storm with winds of up to 65 miles per hour. and the rainfall amounts anywhere from five to ten inches of rain, gusts to 40 miles per hour starting saturday night. high surf, beach outages, flooding. lester, this is going to last right on into monday morning and early monday afternoon. >> i know you'll have updates on "today" show tomorrow. al, thanks very much. >>> and a millions keep a cse e on joaquin, another big and unrelated system is already dumping torrential rain up and down the eastern seaboard triggering flash floods from the south all the way up to new england, the first of a one-two punch hitting hard right now. nbc's ron mott with the latest. >

let's look briefly the british bahamas. when the british navy caught illegal slave ships after the banning of the international slave trade, they would bring them to the nearest british port and free africans who had captured the slaves. many of those were brought to the bahamas in nassau. those free africans once they stepped on british soil retained their african languages, culture, religion. they lived in ethnic groups largely from africa. etc. in 1834, britain gradually abolished slavery the most of their colonies, including the bahamas. by 1838, all of the slaves in the bahamas were freed. putting all of this together, when the creole entered the harbor, your perfect storm. you had severe u.s.-british tensions. you had a new president of uncertain status. accidentcy.him your congress was all twisted with the gag rule and anything related to slavery was a tough sell. in nassau, huge percentage of the population were recently freed african and local slaves. let's go back to november 9, 1841 in nassau. the first mate ran

let's look very briefly at the british bahamas. when the british navy caught illegal slave ships, after the banning of the international slave trade, these might be spanish ships going to cuba, portuguese ships going to brazil, they would bring them to the nearest british port and free the africans who had been captured as slaves. many of those were brought to the bahamas, to nassau. and to those free africans now, once they stepped on british soil, retained their african languages, their culture, their religion. they lived in ethnic groups largely from africa. etc.ongos, gradually4, britain abolished slavery and most of their colonies, including the bahamas. so that by 1838, all the slaves in the bahamas were freed. putting all this together, when the creole enter the harbor and nassau, you had a perfect -- in nassau, you had a perfect storm. you had severe british-u.s. tensions. you had a new president of uncertain status. they called him, your exigency -- your accidentcy. anything related to slavery was a tough sell. and in nass

you see the hurricane by friday, around the bahamas. but that front that i talked about, that's going to be giving us rain going into the weekend, that's the same front that's going to be basically absorbing this storm and bringing it somewhere along the mid-atlantic, down to the carolinas,about saturday through monday. we'll be watching at that time. the location of the storm will determine our impacts, either way we expect a strong onshore wind and also heavy rain. and a lot comes along with that, too, like local flooding. for tonight, cloudy, chance of shower, breezy, cooler overnight. 59 for the low in philadelphia. 54 areas north and west. tomorrow, cool somewhere breezy, showers south and east of philadelphia. rain still stays in the forecast. temperatures reaping mid to low 60s for the area. and there you see, friday and saturday, both in red, because we have first alert with high wind, heavy rain, temperatures cool friday and saturday in the upper 50s or mid-60s and by the end of the weekend, we'll continue to watch those impact

just skirting the central bahamas. see a lot of wind and rain there and coastal erosion and coastal flooding. then the storm starts to jet out into the atlantic and intensifies possibly to category 3 on friday afternoon. top winds at 115 and it is possible that when it makes hatteras and the del marva peninsula it could be a category 2 or 3 storm with winds of 100 miles per hour. sustained wind and gusts could be higher. move inland could still be devastating impacts with the storm. extensive flooding and extensive wind damage. it is going to be a very windy storm and even though we're within the cone here of jersey shore and even new york city at this time. even more than likely hit south of our area, but, still, the wind and coastal conditions would be possibly intense for us, as well. so, we still have to track everything. it's a good thing that everybody is getting prepared now for the just in case scenarios. these storms will be with us for a while. >>> right now looking at light rain across parts of northern new

tropical depression is down by the bahamas.ar away at this point, it's close to becoming a tropical storm. we'll be watching that very closely into the end of the week. here's pretty much the setup as this gets closer towards the weekend. big area of high pressure to the north in canada blocking this thing and keeping it to the south, but as the models are putting it near the bahamas, develops into a tropical storm soon, its name would be joaquin. we'll be watching that, as well, into tomorrow. some of the models continue to bring it up to the north just to the south of our area and this would cause it to give us quite a bit of rainfall. strong onshore winds, potential for coastal and localized flooding, but, of course, the question is going to be where along the midatlantic states, up towards the northeast, will it actually hit land? but the computer models are consistent at bringing it up to the north and moving a little bit faster as we get closer to our area, but either way the main area that we're going to be watching is f

it's moving up to the south and west towards the central bahamas. that's why the warnings are up now. they'll feel the effects of a possible category 2 storm tomorrow afternoon with top winds of 105 and gusts will be higher. then the storm starts to take a turn on thursday night. and on friday, as it gets into warmer water, back over the atlantic could intensify to a category 3 storm with winds of 115. it may stay that way out in the warmer but waters of the gulf stream just off the coast. right now the scenario is a landfall somewhere near the outer banks and possibly even the delmarva area. this entire region could see the landfall and that would happen on sunday afternoon. maybe as a category 2 or 3 storm. north of cape hatteras. but cape hatteras, norfolk, all the way up the coastline to coastal maryland have to be on the look out for the storm as we ll as the jersey shore. still not out of that cone yet. as it looks right now, south and west of our area. which means the further outh and west, the less of an impact. some rain, some wind, some co

by friday, hurricane joaquin around the bahamas. the storm absorbed into that, it will be riding right along the front. so the question is, where exactly it will be moving inland. but the timing will be putting in over the weekend into the late weekend hours and into early next week. we'll take a closer look at that and timing, what you can expect, coming up. >>> threat of intense rain followed by a hit from a hurricane concerning along the coast, of course, where flooding is possible and people are not taking any chances. our team coverage continues now withie with jersey shore reporter ted greenberg. was the situation where you are? >> reporter: communities along the coast are issuing warnings tonight, urging people to take precautions now and not wait until the weather gets worse. emergency management officials have major concerns about the potential for record breaking tidal flooding at the shore friday and saturday. with days of stormy weather rolling towards us, george mullin of atlantic city made it a priority to pull his boa

we already have hurricane watches and warnings for the bahamas. five to ten inches of rain, some areas up to 20 inches of rain. and as it makes its way toward the bahamas tonight on into tomorrow it becomes a category 3 storm some time friday afternoon. it continues its path paralleling the coast and then making landfall sunday afternoon as a category 2 storm but continues inland as a tropical storm with winds of up to 65 miles per hour. and the rainfall amounts anywhere from five to ten inches of rain, gusts to 40 miles per hour starting saturday night. high surf, beach erosion, power outages, flooding. lester, this is going to last right on into monday morning and early monday afternoon. >> i know you'll have updates on "today" show tomorrow. al, thanks very much. >>> and as millions keep a close eye on joaquin, another big and unrelated system is already dumping torrential rain up and down the eastern seaboard triggering flash floods from the south all the way up to new england, the first of a one-two punch hitting hard right now. nbc's ron mot

. ♪ betsy wonders north towards the bahamas. our sitetourists suing, buying souvenirs, shopping.y a few bother to give thanks. betsy swings by safely to the east. florida relaxes as well. starting its playful weekend. ♪ but for the weather bureau and hurricane watchers, it is no holiday at all here in has 2000 miles. coming towards leeward island, skirting cuba and the bahamas. 300 miles north she runs into westerly tradewinds. bad news wherever it hits. ,25 mile per hour winds swirling around and warm as i. eye. enormous ♪ suddenly, on sunday night that seek runs head-on into a , travelingre ridge south and coming fast, back towards the bahamas. monday morning, the wall clouds , carryinginto nassau on for nearly 15 hours. hurricane flags are flying now from key west to cape kennedy. in miami the civil defense haveency operating center been on alert. winds may reach hurricane forces by tuesday evening. >> anyone in the path of the hurricane should seek safe harbor. >> miami beach will be underwater. get out now. >> all grocery stores and hardware stores closed for the holiday are

another sign that it is strengthening and not heading towards florida, it's drifting towards the bahamas right now, however all the computer models show it making a sharp right turn over the weekend and if you look at these spaghetti plots there is not a consensus, the euro that nailed sandy still shows it heading out to sea, but there is a pretty good consensus that steers the storm system toward the mid-atlantic and toward north carolina but anywhere from the carolinas up through long island have to watch the storm system, a widespread 650 miles, if you look there is a good chance that this storm system will make landfall late over the weekend or early next week, in the meantime, well ahead of this storm we have rain to deal with. double scan live radar, showing the rain last night has moved up over new england, we have this boundary that is draped there and it is pulling in tropical moisture thursday night into friday morning, future tracker showing we'll see the rain backing up and we have potential for heavy rain thursday through friday than is the next round and a third round sunda

so you can see right now, near the bahamas.also dealing with hurricane warniwar warnings in that area. we've seen warm temperatures above average. now we're going to see a cold front move through that's going to drop temperatures by tomorrow and stall off the shore. we have hurricane joaquin well to sut of us. it's going to transition to the north and administration area front will come in to play, going to absorb the moisture from joaquin and that's going to set us up for lots of rainfall as we head into the rest of the woo weekend where exactly is the track going go? and the timing. this is something we're watching saturday through monday. we'll firm up details as we get closer. here's what computer models are saying. suggesting that it's going to turn to the left of it and go inland towards the carolinas. but even if it doesn't directly hit philadelphia or delaware, we're still dealing with impacts and lots of rain. we're already going to see a lot of rain between 2 to 4 inches as we get into thursday night, fray, into satur

. ♪ for weeks betsy wonders north towards the bahamas.can tourists our site suing, buying souvenirs, shopping. in the native churches only a , few bother to give thanks. that another hurricane has passed them by as betsy swings by safely to the east. toward cape hatteras. florida relaxes as well. .he start of labor day weekend ♪ but for the weather bureau and hurricane watchers, it is no holiday at all here in has 2000 miles. -- betsy has traveled 2000 miles. coming towards leeward island, skirting cuba and the bahamas. now 300 miles north she runs , into westerly tradewinds. there is a lazy loop the loop and then stalls. north and west toward hatteras, new jersey, and new england but bad news wherever it hits. it's packing 125 mile per hour winds, swirling around and warm as i. -- an enormous eye. ♪ suddenly, on sunday night that -- betsy runs head-on into a high-pressure ridge, traveling south and coming fast, back towards the bahamas. monday morning, the wall clouds rips over into nassau, carrying on for nearly 15 hours. then it turns

of the bahamas, including nassau and freeport. this is going to cause a lot of flooding across the bahamas, but once the storm starts to move to the north, we expect it to become a major hurricane, and with this forecast, we're expecting to see it landfall as we go toward sunday and also into monday. here's a category 3 near cape hatteras, and putting that into motion, it's going into chesapeake bay, we're going to see not only a major storm surge, but major flooding, so we'll be watching this track to see if there are any changes, and we expect to see a little bit more to the west and the east. >> a major step for the argentine government today when it comes to internet communications. the country launched it's second tell communications satellite. and it's expected to save the country millions of dollars dollars and pay for internet and telecommunications service. >>> for a look at the top of the hour, adam is here. >> reporter: coming up tomorrow at 8:00, russian airstrikes, it's an unpredictable new element in syria. we're goi

we have hurricane warnings in effect for most of the bahamas. sustained winds -- it is forecast to become a category 2 and start to turn away from the bahamas which is good news and then become a category 3 with winds maybe 115 miles per hour and then this is brand-new since this evening, the latest hurricane track is right up the mouth of the bay. that's pretty much the worst track it could take. this is 7:00 monday night, so we have some time. let's get through thursday and friday and then we are looking at a time frame of sunday and monday for the potential for a hurricane joaquin. one more thing, for winter this would be a snowstorm, we are going to have a lot of northeast winds for the next several days. that in and of itself will create a lot of beach erosion from now until sunday. >>> state of emergency because of yesterday's flooding and the potential threat of hurricane joaquin. surfers got out and enjoyed the waves. this is video from about two hours ago in virginia beach. as top mentioned it's too early and tough to tell exactly where

officially we've got hurricane warnings out for the central bahamas. hurricane watches for the northern bahamas. i think they're going to be spared. look at this strengthening to a category two as we go through thursday into thursday night. that's 110 miles an hour there friday morning. then it goes north. maybe even getting stronger, a category 3 with winds 115 or so. after that the official track -- remember the other mondays into north carolina? off shore of ocean city, that's monday by 8:00. 85 mile an hour winds. some of the models that i was showing you, they make landfall north carolina, virginia sunday morning, sunday afternoon. so this is going to change as we get closer and closer to it but i've got to point out the threat here because it is a real threat and if it goes west of the bay, it will be like isabel and lots of problems. for this afternoon, spotty shower. maybe a peek of sun. mid- to upper 70s. this evening lots of clouds. we'll have temperatures falling through the 60s. brisk northwest winds kicking in. that will allow cool air to

but it will continue to intensify around the bahamas. latest stats we have 85 miles per hour maximum sustain winds the pressure is dropping. it's slowly moving to the southwest right now at 8 miles an hour. but take look at a factor to consider. the water temperature where it is churning right now are in the 80s. so that will help fuel the intensity of this system and take look at this. as it continues to move toward the mid atlantic we're still talking about water temperatures in the 70s so it will maintain likely a hurricane status as it continues into the higher latitude. as we talk about the latest projected path, you could see as we move toward saturday, it's still off of the southeast coast but take look at that. major category three storm by saturday and then as we move toward sunday, around the outerbanks of north carolina, category two storm. it will weaken and right now, this path takes it into the chesapeake bay as we move toward sunday into monday with a lot of heavy rainfall gusty winds and flooding. so before joaquin we're

now joaquin, hurricane warning throughout most of the bahamas. category 1 probably become hack category 2 before it begins to turn off to the north. and head up to the north and then after that, if it heads to much different direction, this is now headed the latest, this is official national hurricane center forecast, right into the bay. so that is almost a worse case scenario. the only one worse than that would be westward of that. we'll come back and talk more about the time frame of joaquin and more about the yellow alerts on thursday and friday and possibly saturday and sunday. >>> all right top. loudoun county officials are warning residents about this severe weather on the way. >> that's right. the leesburg area was hard hit by overnight storms. and some spent the day cleaning up. wusa9 reporter vanessa herring is in leesburg right now with details. vanessa? er. >> reporter: we saw a few creeks that were still swollen and homeowners needs to be prepared now for another round of severe weather. wet weather turned dangerous tuesday night and

you can see 175 miles east northeast of the central baham bahamas. so what happens next? well, we're carefully watching all of the computer models and this is a very big change in the forecast. you can see most of the models bring it in along the mid atlantic but some of them bringing the moisture up into the delaware valley. the yellow plot very close to isabel as far as the track is concerned and this orange one very close to floyd. see we're what happening some of these tracks very similar to past hurricanes and even though they made landfall in the mid atlantic they still impacted the delaware valley. so as we continue to watch this storm, we're watching latest track this is the 5:00 o'clock update from the national hurricane center. it brings the storm toward the north northwest as category three storm by saturday. that has a 115-mile an hour wind. then by the time we make it into sunday, somewhere along the outerbanks, remember, this is the cone of uncertainty, but this is 2:00 o'clock sunday afternoon and then it drives it up the chesapeake bay this is by monday af

it continues a movement to the bahamas, not to the east coast yet. that won't happen until tomorrow night. this potential track window which has an out to sea

it will hit the -- the bahamas. and then begin to move back to the north and eventually back to the north and the east. maybe a category 2 as we get into tomorrow. and then each line represents an individual computer model where it thinks the storm is going to go. the red line is the official track from the hurricane center. just until about five minutes ago, it was out here. and now it is here. that's a pretty bad track for us bringing it up the mouth of the bay. that would mean massive coastal flooding and massive rains, and some severe weather. so this time frame now this is 5:00 on monday. so if it were to occur, we still have time. it's sunday -- monday event and you can see all the plots here. not exactly in agreement yet. that's the latest that we have for you and you can find that on the website and on the app as well. okay cooler with just a few showers tonight and bus stop temperatures, 55 to 60. the kids will need a sweatshirt. they'll fight you for it and thank you for it when they come home. flooding po

darn it. >> you don't want to be in the bahamas my friend. we're concerned about this tropical storm, watching it very carefully as we anticipate the 5:00 p.m. advisory coming out. this storm might be close to hurricane strength. watching it very carefully. the caveat here is that we don't know where it's going. we have to keep an eyeon it that is the bottom line. there is the tropical models. some putting it out to sea. others moving up towards the east coast, heading into the weekend. the waters are warm. we know that it is becoming more favorable for strengthening. but look at this cone of uncertainty. so as we get into the weekend, still hanging out around the bahamas. if you live in the bahamas you need to pay close attention. if you live along the east coast, that is that is a good idea. keep alert of a possibility of a tropical storm, maybe a hurricane over next couple days. one thing is for certain, regardless of development we'll see incredible amount of rainfall, courtesy, number one, cold front moving through area. we have flood ad

it is backing southwest now toward the bahamas and grand bahamas. if you have a trip here you want to delay that the next couple of days. the storm will move to the north. favorable warm waters of the gulfstream. notice the cone. it strengthens to a category 3 of 115 miles per hour. the storm could go anywhere here from the delmarva, atlantic. by the time it gets into late sunday into monday, a category one, 75 to 80, 85 miles per hour winds and that could be in the area on monday. it will be influenced greatly by a remember storm system to the west, upper level low in the jet stream. these are the computer models. with this upper level low in the jet stream and this high- pressure ridge leaving this valley here, this trough will take it to the north. it will be cloudy, breezy, a shower or two this afternoon. talking about a warm 78 and humid, stuffy. the front moves through this evening. plenty of clouds. tomorrow it's a breezy cool day with cloudy skies. rain late in the day. then we are looking at rain thursday evening, windy, rainy on friday. po

you see this near the bahamas, and the bahamas, hundreds of islands, a long stretch. so it's more the central and kind of north and western bahamas impacted by this, not the entire region but this is a meandering system right now. it only has wind speed of about 6 miles per hour, and when there's not a good steering force, it becomes a little bit more challenges in terms of what that track forecast is. so for the next couple of days, i put some of the different computer models on here. what those are is computers ingest all the weather data and they have different tolerances and put out different potentials. so it kind of sticks here for a couple of days near the bahamas before eventually getting a steers force to the north. that is what we're more concerned about in the united states. from north carolina through new england we had need to watch this, especially for early next week. we have a few days but definitely something that could cause problems. the mid-atlantic and northeast doesn't want that because we're too wet. we showed you the flooding, and it's definite

there are the bahamas. still well east of the bahamas, but it's packing winds now of about 80 miles an hour. it's slowly tracking off to the south and west before it does eventually begin to take a turn and get closer to us. the winds at 80 miles an hour right now. the pressure is beginning to deepen a bit. category 1 hurricane becoming a category 2 hurricane. now the latest track, this is as of friday in the morning. it's going to be staying east of the bahamas. then it gets closer to us and starts to take a turn inland and maybe just off of ocean city by monday morning. coming closer to us, could be a big change in our forecast for the weekend. we'll look at that coming up. >> all right, tom. thank you. >>> more breaking news now. the national weather service is checking on reports of a possible microburst or tornado. take a look at this picture of damage and debris inside a store there. laurel also says the national weather service used a drone to check out damage. crews are also out looking at roof insp

it's picking up strength as it approaches the bahamas right now. it's expected to become a major storm soon. want to look at the current loop of this storm. you can see it to the east of the bahamas. and it's been just sort of sitting and spinning. max winds, 85 miles an hour, category 1 storm. but our meteorologists say they expect it to strengthen over the next couple of days. some models show it heading toward the east coast early next week or over the weekend. the effects will certainly be felt. we have new video in from an island in the central bahamas where you can see the streets are already starting to flood ahead of the storm's expected arrival there later today. our chief meteorologist is with us. this one's been kind of confusing. >> kind of confusing. still a little bit confusing. all those pictures you were just showing of the flooding, that's before we end up with a tropical storm in some of those same spots. so get on idea whof what potentially is coming. this one popped up pretty quickly. all the conditions at this point look like i

y alertas de huracÁn para todas las bahamas el estado de florida mirando muy de cerca quÉ vago pasar impulsa este frente frÍo una onda superior, por supuesto tiene vientos en este sentido que es el que arrastrarÍa hacia el norte al huracÁn joaquÍn. justamente esos vientos son los que lo llevarÍan al norte, mÁs al oeste, todavÍa no hay consenso hay que esperar por lo menos hasta maÑana finalmente que los modelos mucho mÁs de acuerdo a lo que pudiera pasar. la trayectoria oficial que va a continuar intensificÁndose categorÍa 2, pudiera moverse un poco mÁs acercándose hacia cuba el sur de florida continuar como categorÍa 2. un poco mÁs fuerte categorÍa 3. 111/115 millas luego moverse hacia el norte con una trayectoria que serÍa de interÉs para nosotros probablemente. continuarÁn la lluvia 58 la temperatura maÑana 63 con lluvia. a las 11 los detalles de la trayectoria de este huracÁn. ♪ ♪ ilia: vamos a la acciÓn deportiva. ♪ ♪ aly: muy buenas tardes ya miÉrcoles mitad de semana, mucha informaciÓn deportiva. el dueÑo chivas jorge vergara aplaudiÓ la buena racha del equipo despuÉs de tres

hurricane warnings out for the central bahamas. watches up north.oks like joaquin while it will strengthen will make a turn away from the northern bahamas potentially as a category 2 storm by friday morning. after that the concern is where does it go over the weekend. i've seen some models that by sunday are bringing it toward the outer banks and even parts of virginia and delmar advancement others try to keep it out to sea. looks like more are trying to move in that direction. that has me quite anxious for what we may be seeing. the official track has it off shore as a category 1 sunday night, monday morning but this could be inland by then. that would not be good for us. you remember isabel took that track to southeastern virginia and the storm surge that came up the bay. not saying that's going to happen but i'm a little concerned it could happen. today we're looking at a cloudy day, a little drizzle and mist and fog this morning. a couple of showers here or there. mid- to upper 70s. the front comes through so the winds will turn northerly and br

this is moving closer toward the bahamas. this is where we expect this to happen in the coming days to take a sharp turn toward the north. it could, could make landfall. somewhere across the midatlantic as early as sunday. keep in mind widespread from new york city to central west virginia. it could be under the influence of the storm. the center line that you see here, this is a best guest suggested track. this does not mean it will ride up the chesapeake bay toward d.c. metro area. if this does move this way we will see windy conditions and rain across the region. these are the latest with the spaghetti plot. this gives us insight as to where the storm may be going. look how it spins around and twists over north carolina. if that happens they could look at a significant flood event. north carolina in southern virginia. a lot of rain for the d.c. metro area. i will take you out with a look at the next seven days talking the daytime highs only in the 60's tomorrow. by friday, better chance for a heavy rain during the daytime

joaquin is formed 400 miles northeast of the central bahamas with top winds of 40 miles an hour. it will continue westward for the next couple of days. it will intensify but mind winds make it up to 60 miles an hour on wednesday. it will skirt by the bahamas and turn to the north and headed to the northeast coastline, the mid-atlantic. it is a possibility if the storm stays on track with the current data, of course we know that could change, it could make landfall sometime between friday and saturday night. we are within the cone of uncertainty with this storm. it could bring quite a bit of heavy rain to the area. still tracking it. temperatures in the 60s, 70 in the area tonight. poughkeepsie to new berg, bridge water, 70. tomorrow with the cold front combined with tropical moisture, we could see one or two thunderstorms in the afternoon. it is mainly tomorrow night in to wednesday morning when we will see most of the heavy rain. right now just a few light showers. nothing heavy at all. watch how things progress. this is tuesday morning at 6:00. you can see it is very light and

the big story on "action news" tonight is hurricane joaquin, it is currently bearing down on the bahamas and we are tracking this storm closely because it has the potential of having a major impact on us come sunday and monday. lets get the latest information from cecily tynan. >> joaquin has strengthened dramatically in the last 24 hours. >> was a tropical storm and now a category one hurricane with sustained winds of 85 miles per hour. there is good symmetry and an eye wall form, what is going on is there is warm water there and a lot of moisture available so the atmosphere conditions are favorable for this to ramp up to a category three hurricane by tomorrow, that is a major hurricane, now there is still a lot of question on where joaquin will head. look at the spaghetti plots and they are all over the place, a 750 mile spread, the european ch is typically the most reliable show its heading out to sea, but there is pretty good consensus, most models have it heading inland over the outer banks, and that is in the sunday to monday time time, before then we deal with tropical moisture, w

just to the east of the bahamas, hurricane watch up for the bahamas. winds of 70 miles an hour just below hurricane strength, exp t expected to be a hurricane this time tomorrow, 85 miles an hour winds. look at thursday, 100 miles an hour winds, strong category 2, friday even stronger, 105 and stronger as it moves up and potentially moves back into our region. if that were to happen this will be a very high impact storm. this is what you need to be watching the next couple of days. chuck bell will have the latest early tomorrow morning and i think this shift may happen with the 5:00 advisory. watch out for that. 80 degrees tomorrow, 64 on thursday. friday with rain, heaviest time and wind high of only 59. friday will be one dreadful day. saturd saturday, high temperature of 75 and very heavy rain and we're still watching what joakim does. if it does make its way in, we're talking a potentially dangerous event, something we will be watching. >>> up next, wizards all smiles as they open up training camp. why their head coach isn't >>> nats taking on the

right now it's hovering just northeast of the bahamas. it's expected to gain strength as it moves west towards the u.s. it could mix with heavy rains already predicted for the east coast starting later today. computer models are already predicting some areas up and down the eastern seaboard could get hit with as much as 5 to 10 inches of rain over the weekend. weather channel meteorologist alex wallace is following all of this for us. let's start with this. the likelihood that joaquin is going to turn into a hurricane, what is that? >> it's looking pretty good we'll continue to see this thing strengthen and at least get to that category 1 status here. that's a pretty good bet we'll be dealing with that. will it impact the east coast of the u.s. and make a direct landfall, that's different story up and for grabs right now. but here's the groundwork being laid in the northeast. heavy rain already right now, and then we've got to deal with joaquin and potentially some of its moisture working into some of these areas already seeing rain. here

central bahamas moving southwest at 6:00 and hurricane watches and warnings up right now for the bahamastegory 2 storm off the florida coast and then by sometime early monday morning it is just south of new jersey. there's a 520-mile cone of uncertainty. we've got high pressure, if that high pressure dominates, it drags the -- the hurricane away, but there's a trough of low pressure along the coast, and it looks like that's going to be stronger and so that's going to hug -- keep it closer to the coast. whether this makes landfall or not, look at the rainfall amounts, anywhere from 5 to 7 inches locally, possibly 12 inches along the delmarva peninsula. so this is going to be a big weather-maker, rain, winds, flooding, freeze down. it is going to be a mess going into early next >>> a much better scenario going on here. light rain moving in, much needed rain for the peninsula as well as south bay and right around san francisco, spreading into the east bay, expect that to continue for a few more hours. and keeping our temperatures down in the 60s and 70s as we go through the day. in gilroy,

hurricane watch has been issued for the central bahamas, including luther and the rest of the bahamas watching with the storm. it will be sit down here for a while. right now it appears it is going to meander in this area for a few days. should be a category one storm later tonight, early in the morning. top winds at 70 but up to 85 miles an hour by wednesday evening. so it is going to intensify. that's why we have to watch it carefully here. then it takes an unusual course. drifts around. could be a category two storm and starts to the north. this could change b ween now anyod the weekend. but as of now, it looks like that cone of uncertainty where the storm could go anywhere is very close to us on sunday evening. still well off shore. the shore areas will certainly feel its affects with wave action. whether or not we will get really hit hard with heavy rain from it is still to be seen. we are watching it. right now we are getting heavy showers over long beach, to hemp stead, across long island. to the north and west with the front coming through and a separate area of low pressure.

let's take a look at where it is right now, just north of the bahamas, and as can you see it's moving in the wrong direction. but the national hurricane center forecast does project it to make that turn and start heading northward during the day tomorrow and through friday. here's the official track from the national hurricane center, making landfall somewhere between the carolinas and up toward new jersey, as a category 2 hurricane perhaps, and then degrading into a tropical storm and then perhaps a depression as it gets closer to us. how do we get that track? there are several different computer models. here's the european model, watch this one, completely different. it shows the turn around but keeps it completely out to sea. now that's not what is expected, but certainly one possibility. here's closer to what's expected, this is another model. that model shows landfall somewhere around the carolinas, not what the official track is. you have to average these tracks out, moving up the east coast. the track has certainly slowed down. here's a look at the computer models, this is the

the storm is strengthening a hurricane watch is in effect right now for parts of the bahamas. still far away but it is one to keep an eye on. >> that entirely different storm system already causing problems on the eastern seaboard drefshing rain, falling right now here in new york city. you can actually see where all radar. again, unrelated to joaquin, rain stretching from the mid-atlantic to new england. >> okay, so here's what these downpours are leaving behind. some dramatic pictures. this home surrounded by water in virginia and also in virginia on the campus of james madison university, this scene, rain submerging parts of the campus. >> busy few days ahead for our team of meteorologists. >> accuweather's justin povick is tracking it all for us. justin, good morning. >> reena and kendis, thanks. good morning. we continue to track a strengthening tropical system. this again joaquin traveling its way off to the west, expected to turn a quite strong over the course of the next couple of days and this is very important for two reasons, first off we already have heavy rain fal

again i mention watching tropical system, this is joaquin, west of the bahamas, winds 45 miles per hour tropical storm. notice the track, just kind of hangs out, near the bahamas over the next couple of days, starts to track northward, off shore, but still, we have the front around, so there will be a connection here, it will try to throw back some rain once again friday into the upcoming weekends, through the afternoon scattered showers, or two, then real that i steadier, heavier rain moves through the overnight hours, by 7:00, 8:00 looking better. good news for the morning commute, scattered shower or two curing the afternoon, here we go thursday again with the front close by, another wave of steady rain moves n how much rain are we talking about? through wednesday, notice brighter colors, purple, red, up toward the lehigh vale, northwest of the city, potentially over 2 inches every rain, and again could be couple of more inches that arrives for the weekend. so today, warm, humid, scattered showers to up 84 for the high temperature. tonight muggy night, on and off showers, 07 for the

the latest for you is it's spinning north of bahamas. it is going to continue the trek for the time being and take a quick turn north. that is when it will track up the coast and it could eventually impact the area. show you what is going on in terms of what we expect with the latest track for you. it will intensify. it could intensify to a category two and then three storm. then notice the area by monday afternoon. very wide range. from new york city to west virginia. these are the areas where the center of the storm may be located with the winds upwards of 65 miles per hour. if you have travel plans for the outer banks of north carolina come sunday and monday, this is a storm that we need to watch very carefully over the coming days. right now at 5:00 update. 85-mile-per-hour winds. wind bust at 105-mile-per-hour. the movement toward the southwest at 8-mile-per-hour. i will tick yaw out with a -- i will take you without with the next seven days and this is the spaghetti plot. showing where the action is located in terms of what could b

lou: quickly, weather-related news, the bahamas are bracing for hurricane joaquin. it has become a category one hurricane that could hit the east coast in a matter of days. right now the storm is some 200 miles east-northeast of the central bahamas. 80-mile-an-hour winds expected to drop about 3-5" of rain as it hits the bahamas tonight and tomorrow moving north. the hurricane is projected to strengthen over the next two days, and will track likely near the east coast above north carolina this weekend or perhaps as late as early next week. we're coming right back with much more, stay with us. >>> russia's in syria bombing targets and obama is in the white house, licking his wounds. we'll be talking about all of this and more with k.t. mcfarland and ambassador john bolton here next. >>> and a group of professional skydivers sets a new world record. we'll show you how they did it, and how many it took to do it, here next. stay with us. . lou: the obama administration now withdrawing u.s., well, intelligence agents from china, as a result we're told of the office of pe

ofz to the morn rush tomorrow, and we are tracking tropical storm joaquin, south and east of the bahamas, winds of 45 miles per hour, there are changes with the direct track of joaquin that is good for our area but we'll still get some indirect effects. we'll explain more coming up in just a little bit. >> thank you. as heavy rain takes aim, check back with storm tracker 6 live at 6abc.com and follow the accuweather team on fate book and twitter for updates on tropical storm joaquin. >>> temple students are on alert after two of their classmates came under assault, it happens within a few blocks and a few minutes apart. sara bloomquist is live with the latest on the ongoing search for the suspect. >> reporter: brian, philadelphia police are reviewing surveillance camera footage and this is an area saturated with surveillance cameras, police have no reason to believe that these two incidents are any way connected but the fact that they happened on the same night and both involved temple students have the campus on edge. >> around 11:15, a 20-year-old temple student was sexually assaulted

so we will keep an eye on it, right now bahamas keeping an eye on everything, as they have a hurricane watch and warning up in the islands. keeping an eye on, that understanded we will have more rain from our cold front before we see any action from joaquin. currently 77 degrees, there in philadelphia. there is our cloudy skies, wind out of the northwest at about 9 miles per hour. big cool down coming too by the way, we get into tomorrow, start to feel the effect of the passage of the cool front, and that means highs in the 60s, everybody, so while today see high of about 78 degrees, cloudy, shower or two around, tonight low of 58 degrees. and yes, that stray shower probably going to pop up somewhere in someone's neighborhood. look at the difference in temperatures tomorrow. big difference. 60s for our highs. i for 1:00 a.m. not quite ready for this, realize heading into october, almost like it is on cue. october 1st, cue the cooler temperatures. but, i don't know if you have unpacked all of your warm stuff yet? >> nope. >> i have not. >> we can unpack together. get the boots out, than

central bahamas moving southwest at 6:00 and hurricane watches and warnings up right now for the bahamast, i should say spreading west so look at this, becomes a category 2 storm off the florida coast and then by sometime early monday morning it is just south of new jersey. there's a 520-mile cone of uncertainty. we've got high pressure, if that high pressure dominates, it drags the -- the hurricane away, but there's a trough of low pressure along the coast, and it looks like that's going to be stronger and so that's going to hug -- keep it closer to the coast. whether this makes landfall or not, look at the rainfall amounts, anywhere from 5 to 7 inches locally, possibly 12 inches along the delmarva peninsula. so this is going to be a big weather-maker, rain, winds, flooding, freeze down. it is going to be a mess going into early next week. >>> good morning. i'm meteorologist bill henley. scattered showers during the day. through it all, it's going to be warm and muggy. lighter showers today. 70s this afternoon. close to 80 degrees. cooler ahead. occasional showers thursday, 59 degrees.

>>> the big story, a hurricane warning issued for the bahamas. tropical storm joaquin has strengthen in the a hurricane. too early whether it will pose a major threat to the u.s. a separate system is bringing flooding rains to the east coast from virginia to new england. 6 inches in some areas. ginger has it coming up in her forecast. >>> some mystery surrounding a reported meeting between pope who refuses to issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples. lawyers for kim davis claim that meeting took place at the vatican embassy in washington. davis says the pope told her to, quote, stay strong. the vatican refuses to confirm or deny the meeting. >>> well, a warning today about a growing threat on the road. a government report finds drivers under the influence of drugs are becoming as much of a danger as drunk drivers. experts blame the increase in prescription drug use and the legalization of marijuana in some states. >>> in north carolina, take a look at this driver. calling the firefighters who rescued him angels. his truck plunged 70 feet into

deirdre: hurricane joaquin gang force as it approaches the bahamas.t may have heavy flooding early next week. fox news chief meteorologist rick reichmuth with me. how bad could it be? >> could be really bad, to be honest with you. this san interesting storm, the center of the storm impacting the bahamas right now and going to continue to do that before it takes a northward turn. we're very confident in the northward turn, what happens after that is what we're going to continue to watch, and some of the models, one of our most reliable models pulls us out to the east not impacting the u.s. at all. but the other models go towards the u.s. i want to show you what i mean. european model, one of the more reliable models that we watch, and it is consistently pulling off towards the east. that could be great news for us and because it's a model we like, we can't discount it. however all of the other guidance is going toward the coast here somewhere in towards the mid-atlantic. you see this here portrayed and that gives us indication that most of the models a

hurricane joaquin, bearing down on the bahamas, look at that baby right now! it is a category 1, putting millions of americans on the east coast at least on warning. i say warning but if you really want to use the term, it's watch at the moment. we're not sure it's going to be hit. it could reach cat 3 status and hit the shorelines by the weekend, according to some metrics, details straight ahead, we'll get you the very latest what that's doing to the oil and gasoline prices. near $2 a gallon and some places $1.89 as oil prices remain so low. now some on capitol hill say, okay, it's been 22 years. is it time to raise the gasoline tax and fix our roads? former oil trader and co-host of the superstar five, eric bolling, he's here with his expertise, his thinking, you need to hear what he says is going to happen, next on "countdown." . liz: residents in the bahamas are taking cover as hurricane joaquin makes landfall. the third hurricane of the season is packing sustained winds of 80 miles per hour. remember, 75 miles per hour is the threshold for category 1. 80

satellite of joaquin, that has sustained winds of 80 miles per hour, the center is due east of the bahamas and it's moving southwest, not north but it will hook and push back to the north, as we look at the spaghetti plots, there is a wide range of where it could go, but the biggest concentration is to hook it to the left at the eastern seaboard, but a lot of models are heading it toward north or south carolina, that would be great news, because we wouldn't have the direct impact but some models are sending it up to the mid-atlantic. saturday night into sunday morning, 1 to 3 inches of rain with heavy rain close to the coast and sunday into mon, we could see several inches possible depending on how close joaquin gets to our area, we'll have more in the accuweather forecast and we'll divulge more into joaquin. >> while we continue to track the changing storm, people at the jersey shore is getting ready for whatever is coming their way. david henry is working the team coverage live from atlantic city. >> reporter: sharrie, people along the shore here are watching and waiting and they already

show that to you on storm tracker6 live double scan and a tropical storm has formed down near the bahamas. that's on the way for later this week with more rain. >> we need the rain but not that much. just a little bit would be good. let's hit the roads right now and talk about what's still closed out there with the papal visit. we have cleanup on the ben franklin parkway so on the parkway between eakins oval and between logan square the inner drives remain closed. watch for that on the parkway, the inner drive closed. kelly drive remains closed between eakins oval and fairmount avenue. they have done so much to clean up but they have more crews going out there right now so he do expect some congestion still dealing with that area of the city. looking in delaware county, i-95 the commodore barry bridge, you know what, we haven't had delays since last thursday. we expect to finally see them again. i think more people are actually getting back to work so watch for that. northbound traffic head towards the blue route no problems at this point. live on the ben franklin bridge of course open an