it was a critical mammoth on both sides when the belarusian army was dragged into the second moment.s precisely the influence of the russian information media and belarusian propaganda, which does not appear to be anti-war . we have the same share of the wheels of 45% and appear to be supporters of anti-military money. oleg it's enough for me when we compare with the sto the support they have, which putin has - this is about 80% of putin's patrols, preparing the so-called military operations in their discourse. oh, where is your electoral base, and therefore such risky steps as the withdrawal of belarusians directly into the war will lead to a serious internal political crisis, or the shark lukashenko is afraid of, and practically how can it be to destabilize this space in belorussia, so surely kalib putin pressed lukashenko so hard and would like to use this belarusian military contingent in his meters, and he would do it to control eh in belorussia, as we see in the air spaces as we see in the territory, no one details for example no, i give how many russian search engines there we

i know that you monitor the situation in belarus and the situation in the belarusian army very carefullytitude of the belarusian army to fight from ukraine, what do they think and whether lukashenko will dare to ask him, or no one will ask him, so what is the other question, and the category of people who are able to go against ukraine is currently being actively processed by the russian by the federation for the purpose of concluding contracts and using them as full-fledged contractors in the armed forces of the russian federation on the side of russia. i do not see in the near future those levers that would be able to force lukashenka without some drastic actions. well, i do not know of an outsider from the authorities there, er, there is some disease where he disappears and appears on the horizon, completely different characters, for example, this er, the so-called general er, who is headed by an analogue of our national security council, er, in belarus, volfovych, in fact, i would so said the watcher from russia for the entire military bloc in belarus, the number of troops currently

gubazyks are our countrymen with their own repressions and for each other on the other hand, the belarusian armyple, the belarusian people hated lukashenko, and this hatred has not disappeared, it has been showing off since the 20th year and it was there until the 20th year, but now the belarusian people simply do not don't think of lukashenko as a person who can be guided by the truth of a normal state and a normal state, especially during such an assembly, the situation created by russia is why everyone is the same. that now, in the army, those who participated in the protest in the 20th year are serving because there was no call and there was more panic and they took off their weapons, and i think that to adjust the way they were in the 20th year, they will return to the people a-and with weapons, that is, a person with a gun, all this was and will be a factor of super lukashenka, not against the ukrainians, well, what are our positions for all the fools ? but it goes to the side of ukraine and we compete with russia for literally a minute. i just wanted to ask you. and why, in your opinion,

i believe that this is the only combat experience that the belarusian army has . think that they will not return to the ranks of their army at the beginning of the offensive, so we have an opportunity. do you understand this army and er, inflict the same losses as we inflicted on the russian army, only on the border and not in the depths of our territory, but literally two hours ago there was information that ukrainian military intelligence predicts that the russian occupying forces will increase aviation and missile strikes on critical infrastructure facilities and will try to capture the entire black sea coast of ukraine up to transnistria , so many, sir, were lying . to inflict something on us, now it has changed that they are intensifying their actions again. look, well, i always say don't count the missiles, don't count because the soviet union's stocks are running out, they are running out of one range of missiles, they are opening another warehouse and getting another the nomenclature of missiles and any nomenclature is calculated in thousands of units, so d

strengthening the border, but so far there is no sight of the formation of strike groups of the belarusian armyd, er, carry out offensive actions on the territory of ukraine, but in principle, mr. oleksandr, belarusian and by russian we mean so because the official belarusian troops did not take participation in the war well, they did not take part in a full-scale offensive, they indicated that this area is an airfield, but i mean, now it is approximately the vast majority of those whom i named up to 5,000, these are precisely the soldiers of the belarusian army, there are russian troops on the territory of belarus, they are usually busy covering and guarding military airfields where russian aircraft and equipment are based. well, they are also present on the territory of belarus, this is not the same number as it was before february 24. it is smaller, but they are at the same time, in principle, all directions of threats, what they are, are known to our defense forces and potential, all directions are clear, preparation for the worst possible potential scenario, which may consist in the fact t

i know that you monitor the situation in belarus and the situation in the belarusian army very carefullysay about the mood of the belarusians? of the army to fight from ukraine, what do they think, and will lukashenko dare to ask him? no one will ask him, so what is the question, and the category of people who are capable of going against ukraine is currently being actively processed by the russian federation for the purpose of concluding contracts and using them as full-fledged contractors in the armed forces of the russian federation on the side of russia. i do not see in the near future those levers that would be able to force lukashenka without some drastic actions. authorities there is some kind of disease where he disappears and appears on the horizon completely different characters, for example this so-called general who is headed by an analogue of our national security council in belarus, volfovich, in fact, i would yes, in the eyes of russia over the whole block of forces in belarus, the number of troops currently concentrated in our borders from the side of belarus is minimal,

it is done because well, today i believe that without russian shock units, no, i do not, the belarusian army is not capable of any kind of offensive. that is, it is not capable of this. from the point of view of its numbers, or from the point of view of its weapons, and most importantly, it is not capable from the point of view of its morale, because we see how bad the morale is among the muscovites who were screwed over, who were given this imperial ideology, who were answered, what does it mean that they are going there to liberate someone, and so on. at the same time, their morale is not up to par. and what can we say about belarus , about belarusians who, well, in general, obviously understand that they are being dragged into an absolutely insane adventure in which there is nothing in them at all no interests, i am not talking about this finished lukashenko. and i am talking about belarusians , about ordinary citizens of belarus, who obviously understand that it is madness to start some kind of attack on ukraine right now. and this definitely affects the boys' ability and everything else

everything now about the north how do you imagine the possibility of an attack from the side of the belarusian armyhe russian army how likely is it because many about it says and to say that there are some facts that confirm such and such a possibility of such facts, i don't often find what you say. well, really , after the shameful retreat of the occupiers from this direction, the transfer of the main forces and funds in other directions to achieve the goal of the battle for donbas, which is currently ongoing , the military of the occupier. er, the military means to be calm in the northern direction, this is clear from the military point of view, because the constant maintenance of tension in this direction does not allow to remove those units and units that perform combat tasks in this direction. in preparation for a possible repulse of the attack , it should be noted that neither the general staff nor the intelligence agencies of ukraine there was some information about the fact that strike groups are currently being created in this direction and that what is currently happening in belarus is mo

sort it out, he reminded that the army of belarus is naked - has 60,000 people, but vlad lukashenko wants to increase it by another 20,000. i am now with the belarusians for the army. well, he says that now the belarusian side is providing russia with all logistics, and that ukraine foresees the possibility of such an option. what the russians will be able to transfer some additional reserves to the territory of belarus quite quickly and it is possible to prepare an offensive. so far there are no such signs . groups on the belarusian-ukrainian border, that is, there will definitely be no attack in the near future, these are the battalions that we are talking about according to our information, maybe not all of them, maybe five, six, one. it is important that this is battalion 7 of special operations and reconnaissance battalions, the task of which is to protect border river crossings and also conduct reconnaissance of the adjacent territory and identify possible sabotage groups from ukraine, uavs or some means of aircraft, that is, an attack by the belarusian army now they are definitely not getting ready and how many a-a if suddenly er-e prepared mol

it necessary to hold any at all, and how, according to the enthusiasts, and in general , the belarusian armyrs 60,000 people, we remind tatyana of the fact that lukashenko wants to increase it by another 20,000, actively recruits belarusians to the army, conducts training, verbally demonstrates aggressive behavior, which many military experts regard as preparation for the implementation of e-e putin's order on the invasion of the border with belarus and belarus with ukraine, as of now, up to seven belarusian battalions are reported to the ministry of defense, but they emphasize that it is necessary to understand what is there, and we understand the russian troops, so that according to putin's wish, their number can be dramatically increased, what do you think about the growing threat of an invasion from belarus, what is happening and what to expect, so what else, but this is the top topic of the last few weeks, we are trying to understand what is hidden behind the aggressive statements of such a putin henchman to belarus, now talk about the fact that the aggression from belarus will begin in

can say we are already used to hearing from the belarusian ruler, but how likely is it that the belarusian armyly be able to cross the belarusian-ukrainian border by itself the belarusian army is not just a russian, e-e p vitaliy, what always did not surprise me, it shocked me that you now used such a phrase that for us it is clear that it is demagoguery. if it was clear, then in the last years of the decade, we would not have made so many mistakes. well, to put it mildly, in relation to to the northern neighbor and now about what is happening and what can happen, and in the current situation, at least i would suggest that the ukrainian political and military command consider several possible options, it is necessary to understand that lukashenko can to find himself in the situation of a driven beast, the situation itself dictates to him the need to bite, and therefore and this is the extreme situation about which he will throw troops into ukraine, he will have no other way to defend himself, and this is like the most unpleasant development of events in the northern direction a-a in the same ti

serhiy, who is subordinate to the belarusian army, who is their commander-in-chief until now, does lukashenko that gryzlov, who, as far as i remember, still remains at russia's word belarusians understanding the natural lukashenko by means of more than a million natural we have a full team or if the formality but let's look at them as uh retro perspectives as if so extreme then from the tip or ready at the moment of conclusion which of the alliance agreements between belarus and russia, russia has blood-worshipped the sovereignty of the white bushes all the time. he has an agreement included. i am here that there is a national language in this language, but what, in principle, if they were to do this, they would establish the appearance of neutrality , belarus would get the first one, either russia or ukraine, or what from them, that’s one, ashley, others. and we let's leave everything for today, you need to know that the belarusian television has completely switched to russian operatives. that is, the denazification of tralyal , then i'll show it. the field for the sake of the political fiel

head of the cabinet of its representatives, about the risks of the direct intervention of the belarusian armyn the war, the future fate of lukashenka, and about how belarusian emigrants live in ukraine. the ukrainian answers the questions in belarusian, and everything is clear without problems. we understand that the victory of ukraine in this war will also determine our future. you and i agreed that i will ask questions in ukrainian and you will answer in belarusian because, in principle , the representatives of our two peoples understand each other. what do you think of your representation? is opening now in kyiv, what fate can be andrey, thank you for the invitation, i will elaborate here, there is more, i was born on the border with ukraine, 20 km literally, and there is quite a lot, well, the influence of the ukrainian thread of language, but also culture and cuisine , and music может Единство а-а еготог to me it's so simple eh and here i feel myself and understand the ukrainian language and something is the office of svetlana svanovskoy in kyiv, and there are several tasks that we want

what do you think, what about the belarusian army? well, first of all, i have a little bit of operational information. on the border with ukraine, on the border of the village the 5th brigade of the ussr is standing in ukraine, it's marina gorka , they were tormented to replace it, the 120th brigade, it 's motorized infantry, although they had to be replaced if the coulters were ready to be given rest for 7-10 john. they don’t let the krasyliv sanctioned goods go to kaliningrad, no, they started changing there, and putin became more of a nastoiler after the first. or lithuania, in the event of a conflict, we are not even russia , nato, and not on viton . belorussian is not given to the ukrainian , but not to it, for dolls, lithuanian, what protocols are included, what algorithms are we incorrect, but the one that russia is threatening, you see now, or youtube is threatening that i will not forgive, i tested all the corridors to kalingrad here от беларуского могут поттянту включить because, forgive me, i'm still clarifying. when the fu

, i do not think that you have any article about the data of the belarusian army, this is an independentwell, you remember how prikhanovskaya reported that the wives of i was committed to go on the offensive, but the higher military command refused to carry it out. i think that this desire to give in is desirable for reality. if people serve in the armed forces, they are given an order, they carry it out. those who do not carry it out are dismissed and those who will carry it out are appointed. the order is most likely a beautiful fiction, but it is a fiction. i think that if lukashenko gives his military an order to speak, they will perform other things, what will this speech end with, but they will fulfill the order, otherwise, what are they serving there? please tell them to fulfill lukashenko's order and lukashenko says well, that's fine. well, don't do it, not me. no, you can imagine some terrorist acts in order to make the belarusian society more sympathetic to the war . it's possible. i don't argue with that, but maria. on the other hand, on the other hand, it does not seem to me

, you are now attacking ukraine, oh how what do you think about the belarusian army?t of all, i have a little bit of operational information, so i'll tell you. so, right now, on the border with ukraine, on the border with ukraine, the fifth brigade is standing . e motorized infantry though they were forced it will be replaced if the coulters are ready to give a rest for 7-10 john, but anyway, after the statement in february about the fact that i am now on hand, they don’t allow er, in general, russian sanctioned goods are not allowed to go to kaliningrad. putin became more nastoyler after the first all we had information and a month itself two months ago, there is that putin is considering options for creating a local conflict , interfering with belarus and poland or lithuania in the event of a conflict. we are not even a conflict, not russia, nato, and not on viton belarus, poland, how to be talkative there game you understand and now you will talk about this 120 we are the infantry that i am just the same or the extermination i will throw there come closer to the fa

particular, they want to increase lukashenko from 45 to 80, and the quantitative composition of the army belarusian to take these people and what about the equipment? well, i would like to clarify, and according to our information, the russian army is about 60,000, and the military declared that they want to create an army that will expand to 80,000, that is, add 20,000 and lukashenko declared that he wants to create the southern operational command precisely in the ukrainian direction, well, in our opinion, it is impossible because it is necessary to mobilize 20,000 citizens from the economy that breathes so much incense and send them to the army and fully support them plus in belarus - the belarusian army does not have weapons that are necessary to create this group of 20,000 people - i will deploy a mechanized brigade of means and people and there are none, so these are the words of lukashenka what should be created ah this is a fake and information - this hotel will still be abandoned in 2014. in the search, many people talked about it, but nothing has been created, even for many, many years, b

they are tired of assuring belarusians that their army is more powerful than ever. and even in uniformint exercises, the belarusians can be distinguished from the russians only by the chevrons and flags, although it is indeed demonstrated two big differences have been proven by the so-called second army of the world, because on the training ground you can force water obstacles as much as you want, and in the kharkiv region, you can lose an entire battalion tactical group in just one crossing over siverskyi donets, according to the ukrainian defense department on the border with ukraine, now seven of belarusian battalions, military expert pavlo lakiychuk considers the activity of lukashenka and his army a psychological trick to help putin 's troops, they continue to carry out such psychological pressure on us with the aim of obtaining the maximum number of our armed formations in order to possibly repulse the possible aggression of the belarusian army as an ally of russia against ukraine, in fact, lukashenka seems to have already understood that the ukrainian army is not to his liking,

, and the increasing number of the belarusian army, it's not like they don't know how to fight, to fight, it's belarusian, that's an army, an army, an army of terminovschikov, there will be a death. and the first 10 km, they won't pass the track there yes, hello belarusian troops, this will be a 10 km worshiper, which i will not do, and certainly when the coffin is filled with people, i will go to belarus en masse to hide this information, it will not matter, it is not the same as it is done in russia, where in fact all food in belarus is controlled, it will create such a groin that on it doesn't fly what we are trying to do is trying lukashenko will create a totalitarian total e-e clearing of e-e information space it is not a machine that will do it and under these conditions viburnum here there are a hundred killed e-e information will appear there are those killed and there will be 1000 the reaction of the public to those who support me. as long as lukashenko will be with the rest of russia, because in russia they are fighting over there with the bolshoi yakutia, that's it, th

groups of some buryats or others representatives of the russian people in russian peacoats of the belarusian army invasion by the belarusian troops, they simply do not have the manpower at the present moment of the equipment, 130 russian troops are now here, that's a stone's throw - we came up with it, but we love your intelligence. by the way, it works quite professionally. it’s not something maxim can hide. it won’t track the repair . i heard some from the lithuanian republic after it was blocked by a criminal from the kareningrad region. i am listening. we have regular russian broadcasts here, all of them are nightingale, but i am not just a welder, and yesterday, lieutenant general i think the deputy horolyov urgently needed to form a strike group on the border, that means from the lithuanian republic, eh, in belarus, and as he put it, it means to clear the eh goods corridor and free the kolengrad region from the blockade. these are such accusations, and they repeated it. there are other watches of this show, this is what they have in their heads, well, i will repeat the question, it is rob a

well, it seems to me a realistic scenario when the belarusian army will act as such a provocateur, a r example, with the lithuanian army will cause some action on the part of the alliance, because the alliance constantly says that the first provocation is against nato countries, you get an answer putin understands that for nato, for the alliance, it will be a slap in the face and using this provocation, he will lead to some actions on the part of the alliance and, er, in russia, he will legitimize his concept, he will tell the unknown. well, i said that they are not defending. the alliance is aggressive and we cannot help but defend belarus, we have to do it in our union the state, therefore, i announce a nationwide mobilization, we are gathering 2 million soldiers because nato attacked our country, our allied state, belarus and the otg and the otc, but i'm just saying that if lithuania, roughly speaking, will act on putin's provocation, then at least nato lithuania and who else will be there, they will simply do a disservice to russia, because you know, i don't want to mention this e

the head of the cabinet and representatives about the risks of direct the intervention of the belarusian armythe war, the future fate of lukashenka and how emigrants from belarus live in ukraine, i asked questions in ukrainian and received answers in belarusian. and you know, we understood each other perfectly. in the future, you and i have agreed that i will ask questions in ukrainian and you will answer in belarusian because, in principle, all representatives of our two peoples understand each other. how do you do you think your representative office, which is opening now in kyiv, what fate can be, thank you for the invitation, i will elaborate here, there is more, i was born on the border with ukraine e 20 km - literal and there is quite a strong influence of the ukrainian language, oil , culture and cuisine, and music это это всё that's what accompanied me может единства a-a that's why it's so easy for me eh and here i feel myself and understand the ukrainian language and something svetland offices in kyiv and then here it is with several tasks that we want to perform the first one is sym

in those positions that putin would really like, in fact, we must understand the belarusian army for all the years of independence did not take part in any e-e combat actions and peacekeeping operations, this is the position of the belarusian people, you understand what i am talking about, that they are really not ready to fight, morally and psychologically, this is approximately i remember one situation that happened in the 14th year and in that including our troops who did not understand what kind of war it is and why we, well, why should we shoot allegedly at those people who were there literally yesterday, they were, if not relatives , acquaintances, relatives, and so on, and in belarus in relation to ukraine, the situation is the same. thank you, mr viktor, i would like to remind our viewers that we are working on several platforms at the same time on the espresso tv channel, as well as on youtube and facebook. for those who are currently watching us live on these platforms, please like this video so that it can be promoted on youtube and facebook trends. and also subscribe

joins the belarusian army, he will start a war with ukraine , the belarusian society, in fact,iety of the occupied country, the belarusians did not succeed authoritarian regime, they lost the confrontation, and now the life of belarusians under the occupation of lukashenka is no different from the life of ukrainians under the occupation of putin in those regions where putin has deployed russian troops. so i don't think that it should be assumed that the belarusians will support this war if they don't go out into the streets it seems to me that ukrainians do not really understand what it is like to live in an occupied state, but these ukrainians who now live in the occupied regions of ukraine already understand exactly and believe me that when the demonstration is a couple to shoot with heavy weapons, no one will be held responsible for this, mass protests end in any country, fortunately for ukrainians , our country has always had a not very strong power apparatus and there have always been different clans in the interests of when the clans agree among themselves and when the po

you understand about whom i am talking about those who are made up of ordinary citizens, the belarusian armymade up so that it prevails, after all, to fulfill the order of lukashenka and died heroically there, like, together with by the russians, is he in no way subject to such an order as what if they ever receive such an order, well, the belarusian military do not want to die, they do not support lukashenko and lukashenko - this is also understood . to the territory of ukraine and did not hand it over earlier, although i underline it once again in every interview with the ukrainian mass media . is a direct participation in the war in the interests of the russian federation, so they don't want to die, they don't want to die for lukashenko - these are the moods that exist in society, of course, well, we evaluate based on sociological questions , sociological questions in the whole society show that there were only three more questions, a maximum of 5 :6% of belarusians are ready to support the participation of the armed forces in belarus in the war in ukraine in the ground operation, that is

example, in such large shadowy arms suppliers, and these weapons were sold from the reserves of the belarusian armytself , about one and a half percent of gdp was spent on defense there, and a manual comparison. if it seemed to us as of 2014 that the army in belarus was broken, then, roughly speaking, there was what seemed to us to be our the army collapsed in the 14th year. i apologize for what to say about belarus. let 's say this is the fifth year of the armed forces of belarus. to take place just from the side of the russian federation from what we can see let's just say that over the past two years, lukashenko's foreign policy priorities have changed , now he has become a tool for aggression against ukraine, and here the very fact that he rebuilt the army for new tasks in two years for some it's difficult, for example, why do we have lesions that belarus may be preparing for some aggressive actions? well, for example, there are data from open sources that the guidance of pontoon bridges is working in belarus works out the interaction of its land units and army aviation and therefore well, eith

well , will the belarusian army carry out this criminal order after they saw that this is not the firste war, the war has been going on for four months and they see what is happening to the aggressor here in ukraine. well, when there is such an order, the reaction may be very unpredictable, because people are now being bombarded with the information that it is ukraine that will attack us that western belarus is attacking and must be defended, when they are forced to cross the borders to fight against ukraine, they will understand that they are just targets and have been lying all this time and they will turn around or surrender. this or they will go over to the side of ukraine, as aristovych said, that will be the biggest replenishment you know the ukrainian arsenal. by the way, i don't rule it out. we hope for it and still believe in the decency of the belarusian army that they will not stick a knife in the back of their neighbors and will not follow this shameful example. who joined the marathon, the only news. and we are moving on. attention from the commander-in-chief of the armed f

is possible . and not only the ukrainian one, and the majority of experts, they agree that the belarusian armyready for a full-scale invasion of the territory of ukraine and without the russian army they simply cannot do this disturbing moments that we are observing and this suvlak corridor or what is it called there and lithuania and the blockade of kaliningrad which, by the way, opens a discussion in one way or another about the possible or impossible return of kaliningrad as east prussia to germany, well, in short, the conversation begins about this, but what in the eyes of such a neglect, such a certain attitude towards all these russian, belarusian and separately russian exercises as something secondary, if we say let's look at march or even april, then all nato is western the civilized world said oh-oh-oh, no need to be annoying, he is so annoyed, uh, there putin , fersteiners, everyone and everyone was putin , fersteiners, and the chancellor and the president, except for the anglo-saxons, maybe, but now somehow well, come on. well, you want. well, you want to place a nuclear power. well

was unaware of my understanding, it still interrupted the concept of decisions on the trampled belarusian armynk that it has been for a long time. raises the ukrainian army i think that i am the host, you congratulate me about mr. serhii, are there really such sentiments, how much are they just, well, you know, it is very difficult for us to judge, because my circle of acquaintances in belarus are people who left because of the persecution of the regime, for example, lukashenko, yes, and those in ukraine also, well, us, the question is simply : what, what? to talk about lukashenko or to say something about putin, some kind of opinion, and so on. that is, well , again, these were the people who wanted to approach after hearing the ukrainian language, because for the last years it had been like this that the russians kept a little distance at the airports, because that's how it used to be and on the one hand, hatred, on the other hand, some kind of fear. but , again, this is the middle class, which had the opportunity to go somewhere abroad, for example, on vacation, but how much do ordinary peo

and we have already studied the tactics of the russian army in detail. that the belarusian army is in fact a clone or the same unit of the russian army and they are advancing along the e-e lines of communication. lakes are of no use here. well, i repeat once again, today there is not such a large number of troops that can carry out a concentrated attack - these are the sides of belarus on ukrainian territory, so on the one hand, let's say yes, i have nothing against the holiday season on shatsky lakes i love him very much, but on the other hand, considering such a difficult period of our history, how was he cautious about going there, or was he involved in certain prejudicial measures in order to minimize the negative consequences of such a trip if god forbid it will happen, but there must be a season, i understand that people need something to live for, mr. sergey, what is the question today? the independ publication, citing western intelligence, published figures that say russia outnumbers ukraine 20 to one in artillery and 40 to one in ammunition. how big are these numbers? close t

at the beginning of march, they say, there was a command of the belarusian army to attack ukraine , butmand was not carried out because the army officers did not agree. we had time to talk to him about the operational situation at the front. well, the connection prevented us a little from talking about belarus, but we hope that the situation here is controlled and stable, in particular, as mr. ivan said, it will not be enough try to press lukashenka, eh, we will have more news literally in a few minutes, don't go anywhere , stay far away, because when iryna koval comes, she will tell us everything that is happening in ukraine and in the world, the things that directly affect us and you, that's why we have our a-a we are already finishing the informational one, what we want to say at the end of the games. we want to wish everyone good health, many happy summers and do not be tempted by fakes, check any information you receive from unreliable, unreliable sources, please support our channel by putting your vote and adding to the petition that demands the return of the espresso tv channel t

in kaliningrad, the kamingrad group of the russian army is a-a 30-4 times more than the entire belarusian army, the question about belarusian society is how much it is pumped up with propaganda and supports hostilities, including the provision of its territory to belarus for strikes on ukraine, as of today usd a few in favor of sociological data - although there is chaos, it is somehow out of the question large cities or it does not cover sixths of the population and the belarusian analytical workshop that makes the phone did not interview her focus groups e in the college of technologies of the terminal and state law enforcement for example sociology all four dynamo well the last well, it’s not inaccessible, it’s not publicly available to certain people, but all four massive engineers are talking about the fact that the hypothetical participation of belarusian troops in the war against ukraine is 10 to 11% of the population at most. and if to talk about the provision of territory and the use of documents of the territory of the russian federation for strikes in ukraine, the support for such a

, so does the kremlin, so do the russians, the russians have good agents in the belarusian army,say that belarus did not want to carry out such riddles en masse, and imagine what would happen if such a riddle, well, such riddles, such were the kremlin's cardo-sim it would be the kremlin controls things and here it turned out that a part of the belarusian and a significant part of the belarusian troops surrendered. for example, the boles fled. and then it was just a compromise, and uh, the minsk official . well, the more the kremlin - 8. the troops there are massive belarusian soldiers and officers of the middle level do not perform en masse in this riddle, they are published uhu, well , lukashenka's last such loud statement was about the fact that we will have to quote it, now we will have to fight for you heard western ukraine like that, in what context was it said, because it is not completely clear. well, for believers, it is the fact that uh, putin and anhelbet ca n’t, and so it was that in 2020, the participation of our revolution will collect the support of the kremlin, luk

experts on this matter diverge, and if some experts even on our air talk about the fact that the belarusian army if putin gives the order, he will also provide everything necessary, including the troops that will accompany the belarusian military in the attack on ukraine by two insane dictators. i am an optimist , although i will tell you that from the time until the 20th year of the attempted revolution in belarus i was one of those who endlessly said that we will pay attention to the northern border, we will pay attention. now we are in danger from there and there may be a problem. well that's all and it happened today, i'll tell you that i don't see such a threat. lukashenko doesn't see putin's victory. he definitely doesn't want to participate in the defeat, and moreover, i think the most important thing is that he is absolutely not sure that the belarusian army will carry out any orders for the city of the tribes, well, you all know that. well, when it comes to one army, it’s one story inside, when it comes to one army driving another, well, it sounds to me like it’s quite difficult enough,

he tries to do everything for himself depending on him not to enter of the belarusian army of the countrybelarus but unfortunately it cannot be ruled out, although as of now i can once again say that there is no threat to kiev in the form of a ground operation of the belarusian army. the sound of an explosion was heard, maybe the anti- aircraft defense worked, well, it's the second one, not the ones that were known about them in the morning, so far there is no official information on this matter, thank you very much, one more question, very briefly, i'm still talking about the president's statement lithuanian gnats do not sit down yesterday he said that it is clear that lithuania must and will apply eu sanctions, lithuania must and will maintain control over goods brought through its territory and there can be no question of any corridors just as there can be no question of concessions from russia in response to the kremlin's threats yes, he commented on the possible decision of the european commission regarding the unblocking of the corridor. how do you think this story will end? it is v

e, you, please help, we are at least large enough to adapt our planes to the armament of the belarusian army. uh, a grouping of su-25 aircraft from them could be equipped to e. eh, the truth is that modernization should be carried out. she is at aircraft factories about russia, but we will agree with you and start accordingly preparation is back. this is the first and second, as we agreed to raise questions about this. uh solution. we have adopted over the next few months before this belarus e, tactical missile systems, m, which, as you know, can also be used as ballistic cruise missiles, both in conventional and in cores. discussed one of the hottest topics at the recent brix summit, global food price increases and fertilizer supply disruptions russia and belarus are the biggest fertilizer suppliers to the global market. i would also like to talk about meeting the needs of the world market and our regular customers now. we have 15%, i think, of world trade and 25% for some fertilizers. this is a very significant amount of guards, under-delivered fertilizer, of course, uh, reduces the prospe

like all of kalinovskogo, which will serve as the basis for the creation of the future belarusian armythe army is not a cardboard one, where it is actually managed by officials, but the army is really combat-capable who received combat training in a real theater of military operations, we owe you a lot . thank you, mr. valery. valery tsepkalo, a belarusian opposition politician worked live on the espresso channel. this topic is extremely hot , it concerns everyone, but on the other hand, we understand that lukashenko himself is most concerned about it, as he rightly noted valery tsapkalo is so possible, so to speak, a counteroffensive on the part of, in particular, those or other volunteer formations that are now protecting our statehood, belarusian volunteer formations and then it will snowball, i don't know, and this is probably what lukashenko is most afraid of, that's why he is so cautious and so persistent, not because of love for the ukrainian people, but we are moving on, especially since we have internal topics that are also er. it is necessary to remember and regularly discuss

army. and they lived with this myth. and after they saw whether it was thanks to our information attacks or operations that we carried out on the belarusianide and showed what was happening with the russian army, they understood that well, if we saw these shots, everyone from the first days of the war broke up their columns as they broke up, well, there is simply a large enough number of equipment and personnel , they are in but including the belief in the invincibility of the russian army. of course, they have no desire now. when the russian army that concentrated already everything that can there in the east of our country and cannot advance with great parity there military weapons and personnel with a great advantage cannot advance anywhere, believe me think that belarus will come now from the side of volyn. there alone without support, well, it is low enough. but again, i can say that we are ready for any options . certification facilities and defense lines are required. thank you rostyslav smirnov, advisor to the minister of internal affairs of ukraine, political expert and co-founder of the dobrobati project, he was with us in touch

uh, at least to adapt our planes to the armament of the belarusian army are quite large. uh, a grouping of su-25 aircraft. they could be equipped before. uh, it's true that this modernization should be carried out at the aircraft factories in russia, but they will agree. how to do it and appropriately begin the training of the flight personnel. this is the first and second, as we agreed to raise questions about this. uh, we have made a decision. over the next few months before this, belarus, e, tactical missile systems, m, which, as you know, can also be used ballistically as cruise missiles, both in conventional and in cores. discussed one of the hottest topics at the recent brix summit, global food price increases and fertilizer supply disruptions russia and belarus are the biggest fertilizer suppliers to the global market. i would like to speak with you completely in terms of meeting the needs of the global market and our, well, regular customers. we have 15%, i think, of world trade and 25% for some fertilizers. this is a very significant volume market. dissatisfied w

such a high probability from time to time, including on our air, that it is unlikely that the belarusian armyt in belarus as of now was played as a card in this terrible diabolical mushroom of putin in the war against ukraine, what is your opinion, igor well, i will not guess , given that i do not have reliable and such military information about the intentions of the belarusian side i can say that its invasion by belarusian units in march of this year was more likely than now , that is, one-person, it is hardly possible to assume that belarus will dare to invade our territory at all. but in order for the situation to change it is necessary to re-saturate the north of ukraine with russian troops and, accordingly, the territory of belarus, so far this is not happening. it seems that these things mean the belarusian regime, and they are more precisely aimed at our deterrence, or let's say that our troops are forced to be near the borders of belarus. not in donbas yes, talk yes, and then i will talk about the railway p. yuri, actually, what is turkey here? of course, there is a lot of activity,

say how ready it is psychologically, because psychologically, morally, the capital state of the belarusian army is not the best, and there is no desire there at all there is no, they only say about 3% of the support of the security forces for such a decision, but under the conditions of the presence of a large number of russian troops on the territory of belarus, it is hardly possible to expect internal resistance to such an army, which , as the president of belarus lukashenko had actually declared, could actually destroy, although before this, it actually goes directly to our territory, so it is not surprising that today there was information from the american institute of war research, which notes that this particular week may be decisive in the north donets direction that is, we are talking about luhansk and donetsk regions. it is here that very powerful hostilities will take place, and it is possible that the involvement of belarus will have a purely political nature and will not have any such military consequences, but should simply distract some forces er, the ukrainian s- of the ukrainia

ready it is psychologically difficult to say because the psychological and moral condition of the belarusian army in the capital is not the best, and there is no desire there at all, they only say about 3% of the support of the security forces for such a decision, but under the conditions of being on the territory in belarus, a large number of russian troops can hardly be expected to have internal resistance to such an army, which, as the president of belarus lukashenko had actually declared, could actually destroy . of the american institute of war research, which notes that this particular week can be decisive in the north donetsk direction, that is, it is precisely about luhansk and donetsk regions. very powerful hostilities will unfold and it is possible that the involvement of belarus will have a purely political nature and will not have any such military consequences, but will simply divert some a-a forces of the ukrainian army from what to calculate for such a situation. we see it not only in the belarusian direction, we also see it in the chernihiv and sumy directions because the russians

case lukashenko's actions are completely sober, he 's just fooling around, the maneuvers of the belarusian armye north, they threaten with possible strikes on kyiv, a repetition of the situation in february of this year already now, but not so much by the forces of the russian army as by the forces of putin 's ally lukashenko, however, the probability of a direct attack from the territory of belarus is quite low, in my opinion, and the movement or belarusians should be mixed up more. our forces should stretch them out on the flanks to prevent us to concentrate on the er directions of the main strikes, not to allow us to overrun - to transfer the troops to where they are most needed, that is, it also happens in the south, where the russians carry out demonstrative actions depicting the possibility of er naval landing well, we will see how the situation will develop, we will really hope that it will be in our favor, we believe it thank you for joining our broadcast pavlo lakiychuk, the head of security programs of the center for global studies strategy 24 was in touch with us well, then we will t

another 1,000 km of the border because we are forced to keep certain forces of the army concentrated on the borders with belarusiansland and in volyn, rivne region, zhytomyr region and so on, we have very, very many borders with belarus therefore, today we will not be against one of the largest armies in the world, you know. that is, today we are not fighting against russia alone. russia we are fighting today for our future, but against an aggressor who uses a lot of resources of different countries i emphasize once again that these resources are not only material, political, military-political alliances, they do not provide only material equipment , they also provide political pressure and so on . politics or russian militancy. by the way, mr. igor, i remembered one of our conversations before the new year, we talked about the threats from the northern front, from the northern border, there are more than 1000 km, and we have a border with belarus, by the way, you remembered now, because yesterday the general staff of the armed forces of ukraine announced that the armed forces of belarus are going to accumulate the

that if such happens that the official minsk will enter a free war against ukraine, even the belarusian army the russian army, that is, what to throw. excuse us, a letter to yours, how come there are not badly trained soldiers under the cover of artillery, there are combat aircraft , because belarus has a fairly powerful fleet of russian aviation, there are about two dozen attack aircraft -25 at least two dozen mi-24 type helicopters, they even have, let's say, such a specific type of aircraft as a training combat aircraft of russian production, type 130, it seems that they have 12 machines, each of which can carry 1.5 tons of combat load, the belarusians have in the army at least 700 and artillery systems caliber 122 mm 152 mm the same number will include the activity of the volley fire system, that is, to repeat the tactics of the russians in some ways, that they just throw their untrained masses under fire. such local operations as taking and trying some important city, for example, ovruch , or there they have been charged with trying to return to ivanka , is it possible for you to do so?

belarus, the upcoming arrival of putin, belarus, well, as of today, if we take the state of the belarusian armyitary, even if the order is given, it is impossible to carry out either tactically or from the point of view of belarus itself , there is a potential invasion, there was participation there as part of any contingent agents, and the curtain, according to the data of various sociological services, is supported by the majority of 10-11% of the population of belarus so i very much doubt that this invasion of potential is fantastic it is relevant in the coming weeks or months of course that in part on its own so especially when politicians eh from time to time i want to listen to remember the topic. but as of today, this is not the case. well, plus plus, still, i highly recommend trusting the data of the general staff of the armed forces of ukraine, which gives a real picture of the amount of sums and means of such a car, this activity, then putin himself. i understand that he has already arrived, so there is no information that he has arrived. putin then goes there with an inspection. and

i am naturally sincere about this, and we also hope for the belarusian army, which, um, will not executeorders, and maybe it will go over to our side. well, that’s for sure. i don’t think that it will go over to your side, that’s a sign. old a good tradition of salad writing, we are ordered to write on the one hand, on the other hand, it is not necessary to write, eh , the opportunity is quite limited. well, i think that if your army has 121 outstanding skills of tactical mastery, then there are difficult topographical conditions . i think that there are ties in belarus seriously a-a thank you er-er hryhory tamar er-er the reserve captain of the israel defense forces, a military and political observer, was in direct contact with us, thank you, and about the events surrounding the verkhovna rada of ukraine. within the commonwealth of independent states, in particular, withdrew from the agreement on cooperation in the development and use of cellular mobile communication systems. well, the people 's deputies also supported the draft law on ukraine's withdrawal from the agreement on the supp

because lukashenko understands that as soon as the russian army receives its subordination to the belarusian armyat is, as soon as the armed forces of belarus cross the ukrainian border and go to our territory, they will immediately will become russian troops and lukashenka will not even be needed by anyone, not even russia. well, the belarusians themselves have already expressed their desire to see lukashenka in the elections a long time ago. this is the volyn region - these are other border regions with belarus, since the territorial defense was prepared there and is still being prepared for a possible future or possible aggression directly by the armed forces of belarus, then i think that this is the biggest cold shower for lukashenka and for his possible plans to use his armed forces on our territory but at the same time, i think that our general staff and the leaders of the kyiv zhytomyr and other military administrations are doing the right thing by creating now in the kyiv region in the zhytomyr region and you in the volyn region . strengthening e-e with long-range artillery, strengthening

the military component of the belarusian army is 40 e 42 to 45,000 reports. ot talking about the act of sabotage and other things that happened before, let's say a belarusian resource that provides information about the movement of equipment. yes, there are several thousand informants, but ask yourself a question about the logic. this is a few weeks of informants. this is the work of the ukrainian gur . yes, the belarusians, here are a few facts, then draw conclusions yourself, the panel, if you allow, watched uh, well, at least they saw, heard some pictures, saw that there putin opened something, somewhere, something, it doesn’t matter where carefully what he said there that he is pyotr the first new and that he is collecting back in these the lands that are from konorus, and it is clear that ukraine is there, but surkov said how much they will take there, they do not know yet. well, actually, the war is now showing what they will take or whether they will not take anything at all, and maybe we will still extract something from them well, that's the question