but the european embargo on russian oil comes into effect on december 1, and the chinese communist party congresselieve, will ease the coronavirus restrictions and the market situation will become tense very quickly, so we we still maintain our forecast for oil at over $120 by the end of the year. a big company is now deployed against russian oil in july, the european union led the sixth package of sanctions, providing for partial barrages on us supplies great britain canada set import ban g7 countries also want to impose a ceiling on oil prices from russia by december however, it will be very difficult to create a truly broad coalition when indian or chinese companies are invited to join this initiative. and they have a risk that russia, in response, will not sell at all at prices that are not like this and is banning the supply of oil to such countries that we will try to de facto join such anti-russian sanctions, and then russia reduce exports. and in general, any other oil , not even russian-made, will cost much more, there 150-200 dollars per barrel in the same europe, especially in its sout

china's communist party congress may set the stage for a shakeup of the country's top economic leadership. >> we are getting second-quarter preliminary. the south korea gdp crossing bloomberg. .7% when it comes to that cyclically adjusted quarter on quarter number. that is bang on expectations and matching again we saw in the previous timeframe as well, the first quarter as well. 2.9%, in line with the previous quarter as well. we have been seeing growing fears of the economic slowdown. the weakness in you on. we saw a slump in industrial output data in july for the south korean economy. it could be this is resilience before a deterioration in third-quarter numbers. at this point we are seeing .7% quarter on cyclically adjusted. 2.9% for the year on year number. we are continuing to focus on chipmakers, seeing their first factory shipments in almost three years in july. the weakening demand future when it comes to semiconductors is a strong robert hurt for growth. the broader -- strong from enter for growth. these preliminary numbers are robust. >> that is probably welcome. in the u.s. ma

thinking because he looked to present himself as a strong and decisive leader ahead of the communist party congress. this for that is why they expected to grant him and, and present a certain attic to grew the country. just follow on for much of saying what do you think is the motivation for pelosi to make this visit? what do you think she hopes to accomplish? well, given the mixed message then by the why house biden him so the mom cries, pelosi republicans, and so on. it is clearly not the strategy right now. the last $2.00 and $2.00 and now is a firm position of the states on the taiwan issue. but it is something to bargain with china for better, but just to feel better going out with if go ahead is washington putting itself in a no win situation in which it has to either concede to beijing or risk response. ah, the need to be public and exactly using that to say that you've pillows. pelosi is not listening to this time you will be losing face for the u. s. u. s. military and the us government on that. and that could be very dangerous because history tell us, otherwise that wars to know stuff fro

he's got this fall, the communist party -- congress is coming up.seeking unprecedented third term as leader of china and this is savor rattling by president xi. >> taiwan is a democracy that sees itself as sovereign. chinese government claims it has their territory. former governor and un ambassador nikki haley weighed on the biden's hesitation regarding speaker pelosi's visit. >> you know, i do think that nancy pelosi was right to go to taiwan. it's achime that biden tried to put a? a. yes, sir by saying the military didn't want her to go. china is trying to bully us the same way they try to bully their own people and we shouldn't have it. >> the chinese drills concluded for now, taiwan's transport ministry said it was gradually lifting air restriction that is they had in place, griff. griff: alexandria hoff, thank you. former president trump once again teasing another run for the white house as cpac convention came to a close last night. jeff paul is live in dallas with the very latest, hey, jeff. jeff: the results from the poll are in and former

he's got as you know this fall, the communist party congress is coming up.eking an unprecedented third term as leader of china, and this is saber. rattling and , you know, chest slumping by president g. taiwanese officials say china's military exercise appears to be a rehearsal for an attack on taiwan. well the cease fire in the middle east appears to be holding between israel and palestinians. it was brokered by egypt. it took effect after three days of violence, where dozens of palestinians were killed. it was the worst fighting between israel and gaza militant groups since israel and hamas fought an 11 day war last year. people in the region are hoping they will reach some long term agreements to prevent more casualties. firefighters near the california oregon border have been able to slow down the progress of the state's most destructive wildfire. so far this year, the mckinney fire has now burned more than 60,000 acres or 94 square miles. containment though, is now up to 40. four people died in the fire and more than 100 buildings were destroyed about 9

as you know, he's got, this fall, the communist party congress is coming up. he is seeking an unprecedented third term as leader of china. and this is saber rattling and chest bumps by president xi. >> it looks like that is what it is so in the moment we are trying to de-escalate. what do you want to see the united states, what do you want to see the biden administration do in the next say three to six months, to reassure the vietnams, the japans, the philippines, who are nervous about what china is doing here, and they are nervous if we are going to have taiwan's back, do we have to send a message again that we will have their back? >> well, i think we have been very clear, and the biden administration has been clear, we are adhering to u.s. policy, which is that we recognize our one china policy, but we have also been firm and straight from the very start that we will oppose any effort to reunify taiwan by force, by violence. and we have reassured our japanese partners and others of that. in fact, chuck, i think this chinese action of putting missiles into j

plus of the chinese communist party leadership congress is set in october. details, next. s bloomberg. ♪ haidi: the chinese communist party twice a decade leadership conference will begin october 6, bringing present xi jinping closer to an unprecedented third term. stephen joins us with more. we are going to be previewing it, the next six to seven weeks. >> is going to be a closed-door affair expiring october 15 and beijing. it is pretty much a foregone conclusion that xi jinping will get a third consecutive term. he change the constitution following the last party congress in 2018. essentially making him later in perpetuity. -- leader in perpetuity. the question is who is going to fill out the roster below him in the standing committee, three members, two of them have surpassed the mandatory retirement age of 68. xi jinping is 69, it does not apply to him. he has announced he will not stand again for premier. three of the seven, which includes xi will be replaced most likely. the jockeying for position and all that is going to be taking place behind the scenes. we really w

he's got as you know this fall, the communist party congress is coming up.nted third term as leader of china, and this is saber. rattling and , you know, chest thumping by president g. taiwanese officials say china's military exercises appear to be a rehearsal for an attack on taiwan ceasefire appears to be holding between israel and palestinian militants . the ceasefire was brokered by egypt and took effect after three days of violence that killed dozens of palestinians. it was the worst fighting between israel and gaza militant group since israel and hamas fought an 11 day war last year. people in the region are hoping they're going to be able to hammer out some long term agreements to prevent more casualties. we have some studying footage to show you out of iceland. this is of a volcano erupting near the main airport. lava flows could be seen using over a field of an uninhabited valley. authorities are warning people not to go near the site, though three hikers got hurt, watching that eruption. this volcano started erupting last week, and it continues. to

he's got as you know this fall, the communist party congress is coming up. he's seeking an unprecedented third term as leader of china, and this is saber. rattling and, you know, chest thumping by president g. taiwanese officials say china's military exercises appeared to be a rehearsal for an attack on taiwan. let's take you now to san francisco international airport for a live look at the conditions there. it was a rough weekend for travel with thousands of cancelations and delays across the country so far , sfo today the airport is reporting fewer than 10 cancelations, but nearly 90 flights there are experiencing some sort of delay. weekends like this are nothing new for travelers. airlines have been struggling to keep up with demand due to a major shortage of pilots and other crew members. as cj papa reports the government is trying to come up with a solution to protect passengers. heavy flooding and staffing shortages, leading to a wave of airline cancelations over the weekend, according to flight, aware more than 2500 flights were canceled, thousands m

the chinese communist party leadership congress will begin on october 16 area xi jinping is closer to power. pakistan and the united nations medline stem appeal for 160 million dollars in emergency funding after floods caused by weeks of monsoon rain. the government said more than 1000 people have been killed. the foreign minister says shelters, tents and mosquito nets are needed. global news 24 hours a day, on air and on bloomberg quicktake, powered by more than 2700 journalists and analysts in more than 120 countries. i am vonnie quinn. this is bloomberg. kathleen: let's take a deeper dive into the european energy crisis. su keenan joins us. su: victory lap in meeting goals for storing gas. let's drop into this chart to show you how german tanks have been filling up considerably. they are on track to meet goals for november which translate into winter. the big concern. the european commission is the executive arm of the eu. let's check the two week chart of natural gas, it's an odd looking chart because prices soared last week. we are down in the prior session and down again in term

assumptions based on the fact that we are expecting a reopening after the completion of the 20th communist party congress in october. if that happens, there is a good chance we see 3.5% for the full year. yvonne: that is a big assumption, helen. i wonder, the fact that we see the policy cuts today, should we assume that the pboc in terms of priorities and what is on their agenda is supporting growth still the big thing? -- the big theme? guest: the pboc has important targets that includes growth stability, job market growth, as well as inflation stability. but at the moment, i would say their current priority would be shifting more toward the growth supporting part. but judging by the third quarter monetary policy report released last week, it seems like they have lingering concerns about structural inflation. in our view, core cpi inflation is as low as 0.8%, even lower than what we see in japan. i don't know why we still have to be so worried about inflation at a time when domestics are so weak. it is good they are cutting a bit, despite the fact that the u.s. is still hiking. yvonne: should i be worri

then we have the five yearly communist party congress, which is expected to put the chinese leader xijinpingy. and he certainly doesn't want to appear as any kind of weakling in any way — so we will get a very robust attitude from china, i think. find attitude from china, i think. and this is unnerving _ attitude from china, i think. and this is unnerving for all developed nations, i think it's fair to say? we made the point at the top of the hour that stability is important is —— to the world economy. hour that stability is important is -- to the world economy. taiwan is a roducer -- to the world economy. taiwan is a producer of — -- to the world economy. taiwan is a producer of electronic _ -- to the world economy. taiwan is a producer of electronic goods - -- to the world economy. taiwan is a producer of electronic goods and - producer of electronic goods and semiconductors, where it's the world leader. but then, also in the region, you have major economies like japan region, you have major economies likejapan and region, you have major economies like japan and south korea, which will have

and, you know, china, the chinese communist party has that 20 party congress coming up in october. and she jumping does not want to look weak in the eyes of the world. you know, china says we've had that 100 years of humiliation that's over. you know, the chinese people have stood up and so that they are, they are very serious about using some type of action ls in use action against her plain. you know, the next day that evening, day down the road or something like that, they'll take more action against taiwan. and that is, you know, the, that the chinese um, you know, air force has been encircling taiwan pretty regularly. they have gone into time once an aerial identification zone several times the day now for seeing time, one jets to scramble to exhaust them. and so trying to has innumerable things, it could do to taiwan. it could make more trouble in the taiwan strait. it can, it can do overflights over the island of taiwan. so i anticipate that this might open the door for china to be more aggressive toward taiwan. and what about the speaker herself? is it unusual for the speak

but then also the idea, too, you have communist party congress coming up that if xi shows up in taiwan that provokes some sort of escalated response. >> sandra: and obviously a lot of reporting leading up to this moment. the no drama moment, apparently, according to kirby, a lot of reporter from politico and others, inside the white house urging nancy pelosi not to make this trip. so there was the avoidance of that as well. >> john: and what michael was saying, what kirby was saying, trying to convince her not to go. because she's on an air force plane, the white house knows where she's going and when. no question about that. >> sandra: and the statement does not mention taiwan at all. less than an hour ago it came to us, so no update whether or not this will be an official stop. so we'll continue to wait. >> john: and to me reading the tea leaves for kirby to say as many times as he did, knowing full well that the white house has got the itinerary, she's flying on a military plane, if she goes, i think that's an indication she's planning to go. >> sandra: yeah, a lot of intrigue there

we have the communist party congress coming up in november, xi jinping is going to seek an unprecedentederm as president of the country. do you think he will make a move on taiwan in order to ensure that something like this never happens again? because it's pretty clear that nancy pelosi going to taiwan over and above the protests of china was pretty embarrassing for xi. >> yeah, i mean, so much of the theatrics behind this is because of that congress. and here again, nobody wants war. but john, let me tell you something that i'm seeing out there in corporate america. some of the most prominent board members in u.s. and in europe are demanding from the c.e.o.s a china contingency plan. hundreds of billions had to be pulled out from these companies and they don't want to happen in china. it's 10x fold. when the dreaded is the inevitable, it's time to develop a plan and execute on it. >> john: a lot of people are talking about the idea of a strategic decoupling with china to begin now so if the worst happens the exposure that u.s. companies have to china and the consumers have to china is

however, i think one of the main reasons why reaction is so strong is that the chinese communist party has 2040 congress coming up this wall resume or b or a, you know, stay in power. and this is kind of a point in time where he also wants to show strengths and that he is on charge and that of china says visit. then he does so in many, many ways the display of power ahead of us, very important party congress. thinking about all of this from ty, one's perspective, and i want benefited in any way from pillow seeds visit. i think a lot of people in time one tend to think, so i'm like the debate over here we're. it's been very much focused on that chinese talking point and the rest, i think with a bait and i went up quite different and more off of them. but i do think there is 11 concrete advantage for high want, and that of that, you know, the here he's been trying to international sage. and one of the way in which i want to try to count by visit, you know, high ranking wall where that you know, parliamentarian and i think having that i think from the perspective probably just going to be helpful and getti

communist party. in fact, the party leadership of ukraine ignored the congress, they even forbade us to write about this congress. i don't know if you know that i wrote the text about the founding congress of the movement before the congress began and before we were forbidden to write. that is, we had time to publish in the newspaper youth of ukraine a message that the congress had begun that there were that it was opened by the delegates, that means with national songs, but this did not happen, i made it up just to have time to not print it, and then everything was banned for 10 days, i remember it well, i know it very well, because i also observed it with my own eyes and everything was heard my ears, why was it different in ukraine, by the way, i am the same as you in estonia, i took part in the founding congress of the site in vilnius in the palace of sports and saw a powerful explosion under the national elevation, it also made a huge difference to me impressions of i it was accordingly so to speak well, i would say such a leader was already in the preparation of the ukrainian er-er ukrainian ukrain

xi jinping's effort to secure a third term as general secretary of the chinese communist party at the 20th party congress we have a window here where we can push to give our friends in taiwan the resources that they need to defend themselves. they're saying the right things, they're moving in the right direction. they announced they're going to increase defense spending by 14%. here's the problem. we have about $14 billion in backlogged military equipment that we've sold to taiwan that has not yet been delivered. the lesson of ukraine is we need to arm our friends before the invasion begins, before the shooting begins. that's our best chance of avoiding war. we're not moving fast enough to do that. we have harpoon missile systems that are not scheduled to be delivered until 2027. that is too late. we have to start moving taiwan to the front of the line when it comes to foreign military sales. remarkably, the biden administration is lobbying in cases against a bill in the senate that would enhance our assistance to taiwan. i feel that they're afraid of provoking china and that fear is provocative and ince

center of the kpi , today we may be surprised why the second secretary of the communist party is participating in the congress the kgb employees wrote in their protocols of bourgeois nationalists, and they, in response to his instructions, burst into applause, the environment of the movement was heterogeneous, they joined the movement. people who were members of the party, i will not say that they were communists, but they had party tickets , in fact , there was nothing in the participation of communist bosses in national revival movements at that time unusual in lithuania, the first secretary of the communist party, algerdasbrazauskas, was one of the initiators of the creation of saidis and then the first president in the post-war period, however, after the 1990 elections, the paths of the union republics broke up in lithuania, the saidis received two-thirds of the vote and formed its first independent from moscow in ukraine without communists, in the first relatively democratic elections, the communists won the baltic republics, they were from the moment of the collapse of the russian empire in the 17th yea

he's got as you know this fall the communist party congress has coming up.unprecedented third term as leader of china, and this is saber. rattling and, you know, chest thumping by president g. officials in taiwan say china's military exercises appeared to be a rehearsal for an attack on taiwan. a ceasefire appears to be holding between israel and palestinian militants. now the ceasefire was brokered by egypt and took effect after three days of violence that killed dozens of palestinians. it was the worst fighting between israel and gaza militant group since israel and hamas fought in 11 day war last year. people in the region are hoping some long term agreement can be made to prevent more casualties. the u. s senate has approved the democrats economic plan called the inflation reduction act. now the debate went on for hours and included the dollars and cents as well as even the name of the bill. the vote was strictly along party lines and that left vice president kamala harris to break the tie. 50 the nays are 50, the senate being equally divided. the vice p

it could come from national congress communist party this november in the 2024 u.s.ection. the revelation comes on the heels of house speaker nancy pelosi's controversial visit to taipei. the defense ministry surrounding the islands and patient conducting live fire military drills within 5 miles of the island right now. state controlled media with a mouthpiece for the ccp, conventional missiles expected to fly over the island of taiwan for the first time." the white house national security council official telling me the u.s. "will not seek does not want a crisis." the officials say the biden administration "prepared to manage what beijing chooses to do. we will not engage in rattling and not looking to escalate." the officials at the same time will be steady and resolute and will continue to support taiwan and defend a free and open end of the pacific. the administration is still refusing to comment on biden's support and applauds the speakers aggression. >> their articles for the speaker to go to taiwan. lindsey graham said, it is a good thing. chuck grassley, that

left, everything secret must be revealed after the death of the tyrant stalin at the congress of the communist partye of the leader , lies and suppression of information were constantly spread, and later, in general, led to the collapse of the union and on the same thing awaits russia, as the successor of the ussr, after the change of the kremlin regime, everyone will learn the bitter truth. despite how diligently pro- kremlin propagandists try to hide it, oleksiy kobzar. facts of the week ictv - the only news. the tank did a brilliant job with the help of an unmanned drone rate it and i say goodbye to you until next sunday glory to ukraine execution is the highest measure of punishment when lev lukyanenko was sentenced to this sentence it seemed that his the story ended lukyanenko was accused of underground anti-soviet activities and soon the sentence was changed after 30 years deputy lukyanenko wrote a draft of the act of proclamation of independence of ukraine on the birthday of easy lukyanenko august 24, 1991 ukraine became independent from a young age great things never begin stop the state - t

parties tie when he's not change. and the quick word them about the timing of this confrontation, we have mid term elections coming up in the us and the national congress of the chinese communist party. both of those in november and neither side wants to look week. right. and that there's no good time for this to happen. and the point on the calendar we could post weight to factors in both countries that made it hard for them to compromise. it's more than usually difficult right now, but i don't think it's an extraordinary time. i think that's been over plate. yes, she doesn't want to get look week as he looks to be anointed for a 3rd term, but he wouldn't want to look week anyway, he has never wanted to look week is quite consistent to that. and president, by who has been concerned us from day one of his administration of the republicans painting him as soft on china. so these are really ongoing conditions not matters at the moment. good talking to thanks for joining us at robert data from the wilson sentence kissinger institute on china and the united states. they are to ukraine where president zalinski has criticized human rights organisation. amnesty international afraid c

as referencing taiwan, the speakers record of speaking out against the chinese communist party for 35 years in the congress as unsurpassed. now the pacific and east asia have been on edge ever since this trip happened. there have been military drills, folks been very worried about a possible escalation about some kind of military situation resulting from this. however, joe biden, as well as nancy pelosi seems to just not be worried about what the results of this visit might d. here's what joe biden said, for how worried i got to keep me a bit of a brittle hole island. no worries. with now it's important to know that at a time the gas prices are rising and the cost of food is increasing across the united states. record inflation, the u. s. government decided to spend roughly 90 nilly dollars of us taxpayers money to enable nancy pelosi to go on this trip to the island to taiwan. and as you just heard, it seems that joe biden and nancy pelosi are not concerned about the results and the possible dangers posed by their actions when it comes to people around the world and world peace. here we got some fascinati

need ukrainians, those ukrainians who lived in the civil union and applauded at the 27th congress of the communist party, they are waiting for them, they want shcherbytsky to go to moscow with some bows, they want to have the russian empire here and monuments to catherine ii in odessa, because this is history for them, and until we know this history and this history it will not be sacred for us from a bud, a child from a kindergarten, talking about heroes, about our achievements, about our defeats, so until we do this, we must understand that we will be attacked, we will be killed, because for them these are the key issues of their existence the russian empire can be revived. look at these russian propagandists, singers, and putin himself, who chose the 22nd year for the war for a reason, because the centenary of the founding of the soviet union will be celebrated in moscow. uh, i can't even remember their last names, they are already starting to sing how we live well in the soviet union for them. that's what's important , they are fighting for this. and we are fighting for living in an independent stat

october 31, 1961 in moscow has been going on for 2 weeks, the 22nd congress of the communist party isd 80 foreign delegations. let us remember the caring light of the mayakovs and the alarming variety in the country, but please, no, the congress is held in the kremlin palace, where delegates speak. concerts and ceremonial receptions are also held there; a new party charter is adopted. the moral code of building communism with reports all prominent leaders, led by nikita khrushchev, speak at the congress and ends with a promise that the current generation of soviet people will live under communism. but the most influential woman in the country, yekaterina furtseva , will not hear this. government ekaterina fursova's dacha is right here. she arrived home on the fateful evening of october 31, 1961. i waited, she didn't come, and she didn't even call svetlana. they called svetlana all the time several times a day, furtseva's only daughter, svetlana, at first did not betray the importance of her mother's absence, probably, she had already lingered on the spot. so nikolai got back, catherin

as referencing taiwan, the speakers record of speaking out against the chinese communist party for 35 years in the congress as unsurpassed. in addition to that, we've got china throwing jabs at washington over us, bases in the region. and we have joe biden responding by saying that he's not worried about what the results of the trip could be in. not worried about us china relations as a result of this trip. this is joe by how worried are you about this issue? and i wanted to find out who i kind of keeping a bit of a bridge around the whole island now. ah, ward, i'm with stated that this trip cost american taxpayers roughly 90000000 dollars 90000000 dollars was bad and it seems like the whole international community was put on high alert. that's the results of nancy pelosi is trip to the island of taiwan as outrage in pakistan over the hosp attention of former prime minister in rank cons, close h, shop and skill. he's been arrested on sedition charges. the allegation stem from his comments about alleged divisions within the military have a cons, removal from power and a parliamentary votes have no confidenc

we have been preparing, and as he announced this three years ago at the great congress of the communist partyeader of the communist party of china himself, the chinese dragon spread his wings, so in fact the chinese understood what they were doing all the time, the americans simply slightly underestimated this situation and that is why in fact, a new bipolar system is currently being formed, what is wrong with this? well, we are again entering the period of constant threat of nuclear conflict and we will again live on the nuclear side for several decades, but the good thing is this is that under the conditions of such a system. well, from the point of view of the classical science of international relations, such systems are the most stable, the most prone to the rapid regulation of conflicts and the least prone to nuclear provocations, that is, in fact, in the long term, it is possible that this will become a certain such tense but stability in which ukraine is already currently took the right side of history, you can say for sure about that, but as for those but here it is important, oleksa

now it can be a favorable situation these callers say that in september there will be a congress of the communist party there is dissatisfaction with regard to his policy, the economic downturn in china is unprecedented, that is, covid, and today's situation, military tension, it is still traditional, because military exercises have not been held for the first year continuously, or is this a new situation and it is unique partly it is new partly i would understand why because i will tell you why because well, how about you this thesis about the possibility of its military solution to the taiwan issue china said a long time ago but really the situation has changed and it has also changed because of us because you used to understand china never has not fought since 1979 when he attacked vietnam and lost strangely yes but before that vietnam as we know defeated the american army during the war so it was easy for him to defeat relatively easily the chinese army which was and more numerous and so on, but after this incident, china has never, that is, almost how many there are 50-40 for more than 40 years, t

should we expect more of this of tough language drills ahead of the communist party conference congress we should into has nothing to do what's going on with the united states or taiwan. has everything to do with what's going on in china at the party congress it will reaffirm his leadership in the chinese communist party which controls the government and everything in china. to get a focus on two issues. one is taiwan because this is a nationalist issue for the chinese and so strategically important that they want to demonstrate the chinese people we will fight to get taiwan back. the economy is having real issues in real estate, banking's, getting e listed chinese people getting concerned hoarding money on savings. they will be stronger the economy and strong on taiwan. if they do the military operation against taiwan if you look at all the economist data it would be devastating to the chinese economy is. the one thing that they can afford now is another massive shock to the economy they want to bluster about taiwan and they want to fix the economy that's the main message. ironically t

thing can now be a beneficial situation, these ding-pinu say that there will be a congress in september of the communist partynd there is dissatisfaction with regard to his policy, the economic downturn in china is unprecedented, that is, covid, and here is today's situation, military tension, it is still traditional, because military exercises are not always held for the first year, or is this situation new and partly unique, partly it is new, partly i would understand why because i will tell you why. because, well, how about you. china said this thesis about the possibility of its military solution to the thai issue a long time ago. you see, china has never fought since 1979, when it attacked vietnam and lost. it's strange, yes, but before that, vietnam, as we know, defeated the american army during the war, so it was easy for it to defeat the chinese army, which was more numerous, and so further, but after this incident, china has never, that is, almost how long it has been there 50-40 for more than 40 years, they have never fought with anyone outside their borders for the past 20 years in china, i am mode

later this year, china's ruling communist party will convene its major congress gathering where presidentfive year term as party leader. there's a lot to unpack here, and join me to do that is admiral james -- the former commander of nato, and the nbc's chief ad analyst, and the author of 2030, for a novel the next world war which explores a potential war with china. admiral, thank you for being here. i don't think i did justice to the history and the story of what is going on in china. but the bottom line is, china on an almost daily basis for the last few years has been flying into chinese airspace, their ships have been crossing the lines into taiwan these waters. there is something going on there. how does nancy pelosi's visit to taiwan change the dynamic of what is happening between china tight one? >> well the good news, ali, is i don't think it is gonna suddenly and permanently escalate tensions here. we are looking at probably another 72 hours of the kind of operation you are showing on the screen right now. which is to say a kind of quasi-blockade of taiwan. there are dozens and

he talks about the 18 month window between the national congress and chinese communist party xi jinping will secure a third term in the 2024 election when many believe biden will be out the door and therefore, his weakness with him. very interesting that the senior administration officials decide of both international things that have happened like afghanistan, the invasion of ukraine, but they also say domestic issues the chinese government is looking at pure high crime, the failures at the southern border and i will say the biden administration there was a meeting in alaska that took place the u.s. delegation and the chinese lectured us about black lives matter and internal strife that we have in the country. they are connected on these social issues. it boils down to the fact of former boss president trump peace through strength. we have violence through weakness and not just on the international stage but at home as well. >> harris: i don't think we talk enough about the lecture in alaska. and what it meant really. that is like saying from a communist company my country perspective,

before gorbachev forbade talking about the legal state at all, the communists returned this concept at their congress, but in the partyolution they called it the all-axis legal state. and before that, starting with lenin, stalin, brezhnev and others it was not possible at all, this word, it was like that, you know how, well, well, why, that’s why it was on the concept of a legal state, ah, you said about the atmosphere, i want to say my feelings on that day, these three the days of my own feelings, because this is true. this was the soviet union, the communist party was in power, this is armored personnel carriers around our cultural center of the kyiv polytechnic university, and they are surrounded along shevchenko boulevard and so on. there was singing, ukraine was not dead, then it was not possible to use blue and yellow colors, at that time it was not possible to draw a trident at all, and when the organizing committee was preparing for the congress in the summer before september, the artists were headed by lyalya skoryk. is for in front of which the presidium was supposed to sit and the word movement was really w

even a member of the politburo of the central committee of the communist party, in fact the party leadership of ukraine ignored the congress, they even forbade us to write about this congress. i don't know if you you know that i wrote the text about the founding congress of the movement before the congress began and before we were forbidden to write. that is, we managed to publish in the newspaper of the youth of ukraine a notice that the congress had begun, what if it was opened by the delegates, that means with national songs, this was not the case, i made it up just to have time to print it, and then everything was banned for 10 days , i remember it very well, i know it very well, because i also observed it with my own eyes and that my ears heard everything, why in ukraine it was different, by the way , i am the same as you in estonia, i participated in the founding congress of the congress in vilnius in the palace of sports and saw such a powerful explosion that it was nationally exalted, it also made a huge impression on me and it is accordingly, it was so to speak well, i would say such a leader was already in the pr

i know everything, the comrade circle told the whole truth about him , the 20th congress of the communist partyed. that khrushchev was silent while stalin lived? everyone was silent where they were all. how did he die? stalin so they pour mud on him. they saved their skins. because they were afraid, everyone was afraid. stalin is not you. afraid not. well, how is it? well, how is it? we caught on every day to die. they walked and trampled on him. at the front, everything was clear who was our enemy. and here, well, here's my own and i don't understand anything. if stalin had been, communism would have been built long ago. built that you are silent my eyes would not look, well, i will die, i will return everything soon. what are you, grandfather, where is this from and where is the chest from? what is this? this kazan icon is your great-grandfather. my father's wedding was loosened up. and my father is nothing to me from your mother. i'll die, get rid of her. doesn't he know what's going on here? in the direction of the city they have portraits of lenin and red banners. they want to talk with co

taking money from the ccp the chinese communist party and you don't know it, the chinese government, the communists have a pathway through the at this tank right into congresshow do members know where the idea comes from the think tank, from my perspective, liberals and not from the commerce party. >> elites in this country for decades have been fund 'mentally wrong what would happen with china. also wrong in a way that benefited them. they believed if we made china belty. if we turned a blind eye to all the trade practices and cheating they were engaged in until president trump came along, then everything would get better. more liberalization and things would improve. what we have seen burrowed further and deeper into our institutions than before. think tanks is the beginning of it they bend the nikon distantly to china and the democrat party, i think, is unwilling to view china as the threat that it truly is. and it's much more concerned about holding january 6th hearings and lecturing us about the threat to national security from donald trump as we have seen this is something until we meet the challenge there will be continued effort by the chinese and s

free, independent nation of taiwan would really draw the line would show that chinese communist party that all congresslearly preparing for economic warfare with united states beginning to send a message, the american people are going to need to become accustomed to having less we are a nation we are a bailout nation, when it comes to if anything bad happens, you get a check. and the republicans did that as well democrats during covid. because didn't seem like anybody with respect knew what they were doing during covid crisis but we need to send a message that that -- really -- need to brace ourselves for financial hardship. for years to come if we are going to stand up to china. and nobody is saying that. >> dagen just two quick points. if you think what we're going through now is the hardship given that land war in europe, inflation, that we're seeing wait until ccp controls semiconductors from taiwan wait until ccp has taiwan, from military point of view unsinkable aircraft carry in pacific threatening guam on west coast the state that we are addict to do fossil fuels chael addiction is cheap chines

restrictors, because, you know, it is a tradition in china before large forums of party congresses the 20th congress of the communistis preparing for it. it does not seem to fit into this war, but a quick war before the congress. this ideally understand, near the creek in fact, it is not in the chinese tradition, and then a quick war. it may not work out yesterday with this pin spoke, and on the occasion today, by the way, is the day of education. well, to the people's liberation army. china yesterday. he gave a speech to his generals. well text until the media no, well, i managed to see the text on network resources, i can say. this is not a call to war, but this is a super-mobilization of the chinese military forces and of all of china in general. to promote again, and most importantly, east asia is the sphere of his interests, but russia and china are here. this is a fundamentally important third point. and against the backdrop of the visit of pilosia, south korea, japan, the us allies are actually strengthening. after all, we see that in the online mode, almost before our eyes, a complicated, as it were, and, on

composer directors, which are celebrated in moscow march 1939 , the eighteenth congress of the all- union communist partyforum and timed to coincide with the landmark cultural events in the belarusian ussr in minsk they cut the ribbon of the brand new opera and ballet theater on the stage of the premiere of the first soviet belarusian opera. mikhas podgorny evgenia the tekuta event stirred up the entire cultural elite exclamation mark prima alexandrovskaya in the title role, the opera mikhas podgorny tells about the fate of the people during the first world war and the great october socialist revolution , the famous marysya played in the mary party, and larisa pompeevna, alexandrovskaya and v. in general, this determined the success of the opera on stage as well. it was very well received by the minsk public and then in 1940, and successfully passed on the stage of the bolshoi theater in moscow in the first decade belarusian culture and art. the first wild di of belarusian art in the capital of the ussr was prepared by the whole country in high offices, the composition of the participants was vigorously