more than 12 years ago, talking about the importance of eurasia to the modern international order.e subject of the new book entitled the eurasian century hot wars, cold wars and the making of the modern world, and its author, hal brands, joins us now. he is the henry kissinger distinguished professor at the johns hopkins university school of advanced international studies, and a columnist for bloomberg opinion. and, hal, it's great to have you back on the show. i think we dive right into the premise of your book. if you could tell us what defined the eurasian century. >> well, doctor brzezinski had it just right in the sense that eurasia has really been the strategic center of the world. >> and so if you have peace and stability in eurasia, you'll have a pretty good international environment. >> and if you have instability and violence in eurasia, you're going to have a lot of trouble. >> and the last 120 years or so have really been defined by these big epic clashes over eurasia and the waters around it. and so during world war one, world war two and the cold war, you had autocrat

if you have instability and violence in eurasia, you're going to have a lot of trouble.ed by these big, epic clashes over eurasia and the waters around it, and so during world war 1, world war 2 and the cold war, youed a autocratic alliances that tried to dominate eurasia and they were pushed back by coalitions led by britain and then the united states. unfortunately, we're getting another version of that today where you have an autocratic of russia, china, north korea and iran, that are disrupting stability all around eurasia at the same time. >> and you talked about -- we were discussing last hour basically the rise of america, the american lossus, whether talking about the turn of the 19th to the 20th century or where it is right now, you actually say, the chaos, the unmitigated suffering, the wars across eurasia and the 20th century, is what ultimately led to america's rise. >> that's right. crises can be opportunities for creation, and what we learned during the 20th century was only the united states had the power to bring some degree of stability and order to the

with us now is the chairman of the eurasia group. mr. chairman, thank you so much for being with us. i want to put the list of the top five risks that you see up on the screen so people can see it. i'll walk through just a few of them. number one, the g- 0 wins. first of all, describe what a g0 world is and why you see it as a risk. >> thank you for having me. a g- zero world is where no country or group of countries, power or group of powers, is able to maintain an international system, maintain international order. the reason it is a big risk this year is that we've been in a declining geopolitical system. systems have been making less and less sense for a long time. this year, enter the unilateralist administration of donald trump, which is going to put the decline of international leadership on jet skis. that leaves a lot of room for rogue actors, room for market disruption. it's that complete absence, which is rare in diplomatic history, that complete absence of international leadership which leaves us so exposed this year. that's w

senior analyst for europe at eurasia group. >>> i want to take you to live pictures from california,his as we're keeping a close eye on ot wild fires in los angeles. violent wind storm actually has fueled fires in los angeles, where tens and thousands of people have been ordered to evacuate. almost 3,000 acres of the pacific palisades area have burned: now coming up on the show, we'll look at what to expect from today's fed minutes with investors looking for signals on the central bank's rate path. we'll have more after this break. >>> and we'll take a look at europe's best performing, in our upcoming cnbc pro segment. you won't want to miss that. we'll be right back. (auctioneer) let's start the bidding at 5 million dollars. thank you, sir. (man) these people of privilege... hoarding the financial advantages for far too long. (auctioneer) 7.5 at the back. (man) look at them — unaware that robinhood gold members now enjoy the vip treatment — a 3% ira match on retirement contributions. (auctioneer) 11 million sir. (man) once they discover their privileges are no longer exclusive... th

what the head of the eurasia group is warning the world as we kick off 2025. first, donald trump may be days away from his second term but a judge in new york didn't done with him yet. what will happen at his sentencing later this week? ill sentencing later this week upset stomach iberogast indigestion iberogast bloating iberogast thanks to a unique combination of herbs, iberogast helps relieve six digestive symptoms to help you feel better. six digestive symptoms. the power of nature. iberogast. ♪ the power of nature. ♪ ♪ ♪ whether your phone's broken or old, we've got you. with verizon, anyone can trade in any phone, any condition. it's your last chance to get iphone 16 pro with apple intelligence, on us. and, ipad and apple watch series 10. all three on us. that's up to $2,000 in value. only on verizon. dave's been very excited about saving big with the comcast business 5-year price lock guarantee. five years? -five years. and he's not alone. -high five. it's five years of reliable gig speed internet. five years of advanced securit. five years of a great ra

he's the president and founder of the eurasia group and gzero media.ir, very grateful to have you on the program. good morning to you. ian, can you talk a little bit more about what you mean by by g-zero and and the parallels you see between this time period and the 1930s, right before world war ii broke out? >> yeah, i call it a return to the law of the jungle, because the united states, of course, today is in a much more powerful position, both compared to its allies technologically, militarily, economically. strength of governance. i mean, you look at where south korea or germany or france or italy and canada, any of the allies are right now, and the u.s. has just consolidated power with its election in a very strong executive, but also america's adversaries. russia, in very structural and serious decline. iran having just lost its empire in its own region, and china facing very serious economic challenges, the worst they've had in decades. this is a time where the united states has actively rejected the idea that they're going to be the global poli

he's president and founder of eurasia group and gzero media. that this is about as dangerous of a time since the 1930s, globally, or the early stages of the cold war. i wanted to ask you, though, ian. i'm going to go all the way down to number eight, i agree. i mean, there is so much to worry about on this list. i you wrote something regarding number eight and that's i and you say developers drive to build more powerful ai will likely to be restrained only by limits on data, compute energy or funding access until such constraints are reached. ai's capabilities and associated risks will continue to grow unchecked. and i think for the long range, this this is something that gravely concerns me. i remember watching christopher nolan's classic oppenheimer, and while watching oppenheimer, i was thinking, this is not really a story so much about controlling atomic energy and the spread of it. this is all too relevant to what's going on in the world of ai, where, you know, i remember on wall street leading up to the great recession and, you know, 2008

president and founder of eurasia group and g zero media, ian bremmer, thank you very much.hink. here is to whatever is ahead. david rhode, thank you as well. >>> coming up, hundreds of flights are canceled or being delayed this morning as snow blankets parts of the united states. we'll have the latest on the winter weather that is impacting millions of americans. "morning joe" will be right back. [coughing] copd is an ugly reality. do you have his medical history? i watch as his world just keeps getting smaller. but then, trelegy helped us see things a little differently. with 3 medicines in 1 inhaler, trelegy keeps airways open for a full 24 hours and prevents future flare-ups. once-daily trelegy also improves lung function, so he can breathe more freely all day and night. trelegy won't replace a rescue inhaler for sudden breathing problems. tell your doctor if you have a heart condition or high blood pressure before taking it. do not take trelegy more than prescribed. trelegy may increase your risk of thrush, pneumonia, and osteoporosis. call your doctor if worsened breat

. >> marc polymeropoulos, a former chief cia of operations in europe and eurasia, and of course, an nbc news national security and intel analyst. thauchl thank you so much for joining us. >> we're going to take a quick break, our special coverage of the new orleans attack is going to continue in just a moment. stick with us. tinue in just a mt stick with us. id, there's a treatment that can help: bulkamid and the relief can last for years. we're so glad we got bulkamid. call this number, today. get your bladder back. ( ♪♪ ) my name is jaxon, and i have spastic cerebral palsy. it's a mouthful. one of the harder things is the little things that i need help with: getting dressed, brushing your teeth, being able to go out with your friends by yourself. those are hard because you don't want help, but you need it. children like jaxon need continued support for the rest of their lives. whoa, whoa, whoa. and you can help. please join easterseals right now, with your monthly gift. i'm almost there. the kids that you are helping, their goal is to be as independent as they can. these therapies hel

i spoke with melinda haring — senior fellow at the atlantic council's eurasia centre for more on thishe kursk region offensive in the kursk region of russia, how significant do you see that as being? it is aood to you see that as being? it is good to be _ you see that as being? it is good to be back, _ you see that as being? it is good to be back, so - you see that as being? it is good to be back, so i - you see that as being? it 3 good to be back, so i think that ukraine launching of another initiative in kursk is quite significant, timing is everything. donald trump is going to be president on general 20th, and that may limit ukraine's hand, so it is important for the ukrainians to show that they still have momentum and initiative, and thatis momentum and initiative, and that is what this is in kursk. talking more about that, mentioning the fact that donald trump will soon be in the white house very soon, do you think this could potentially be an effort by the ukrainians to put them in a better negotiating position, essentially, if they are concerned that that is what president elec