witnesses the country's transport minister claimed a human error was likely the cause now a european council project to stop so-called russian descent from asian in the media is casting its net wider with a growing numbers of publications and other countries now in the firing line. are all of our reports the e.u. east struck home task force its brussels is a myth busters it's their job to seek out disinclination in the media and in their own words they set out on this mission with one particular targets. the task force was set up to address russia's ongoing disinflation campaigns but now they've cast their net wider to include not only russian based news outlets say you don't like the current president of austria you can find yourself on the list of fake. say you write articles that are critical of the migrant policy you're on the list. say that you say that this whole fake news which is designed in order to allow for the censorship by governments well then you're probably former congressman ron paul and you're definitely on the list that says that you make things up. even the guardian. stuf

is dedicated to journalists protection in fact this means that the secretary general of the european council who demand kloof creation from a store named government now the head of the riskiest of any news agency margarita simonyan has thank you tia as for standing up for the journalist this is actually the first time that members of that news agency have faced such problems within the e.u. covering news there but it's not the first time that journalists that members of the press from russia have come across detail just a bit of background examples for you on the twelfth of april twenty seventh teen a cameraman from the russian child ren t.v. a news channel was barred from. a stone just a year earlier that i did twenty sixteen a case in lithuania where a whole film group from the channel was also. expelled from the country before they could finish that task and the year before that in the end of twenty fifteen october twenty fifteen stone in authority is the tamed another whole filming group again the channel they get their and their visas so of course the general secretary of the european f

less former vice chair of the european council on refugees and exiles joins me now to discuss this situation further very welcome to the program just all not last point were listening to people from the tarn speaking what can the italian authorities do to address the concerns of the locals and they seem to have a lot and indeed prevent the city from becoming like callaway. well this is a terrible tragedy all around is near term in first of all it's a tragedy for the refugees because nobody wants them in their backyard anymore and that's true throughout europe and we see the disgraceful derogation of any kind of humanitarian obligation to help people fleeing from most spots in the world that we see on the television every day like syria and south side but also i have enormous sympathy for the people of vented media nobody in a quiet peaceful and touristic town wants to see suddenly thousands of foreigners descending upon them and in their view making their streets they're safe or whatever but already we know there's been loss of life because when people do get across the border to france they

the french and the german companies have put some proposals to the next european council meeting in finlandplaining that the french economy minister has said that as b&b, which is france's second —— which has france as the biggest market has paid something like £99 in france in the past year and they are not paying any tax on the millions they are making. it is familiarfrom google and so on. these multinational corporations which are operating across, making huge amounts of money, and not paying tax in the countries they are based on. this is a european attempt to find some way of ensuring that what our fair taxes are paid by these companies. in the european union, there might be a fair chance of getting them to pay within the european union but it's probably requires an international effort and not all countries will feel so inclined. that is what politicians have been banging their heads against for a long time. you have these international summits and there have a lwa ys international summits and there have always been low tax jurisdictions and it has always been difficult for the compan

we saw that in the publications by the european council, the commission and the parliament.ctually there. can it be secured? economically, how important is it to have a border without friction? everyone wanted that frictionless border. we've seen since the good friday agreement, it will be next year. there is more trade between northern ireland and the republic of ireland. also to the irish government, the issue of the east—west relationship. mostly the trade goes through gb and to the continent. the northern ireland and the republic of ireland, many of these sectors are actually based in ireland. if we look at agriculture, a lot of milk produced in northern ireland is then sent south on the border to be protest in most of that comes north again. it will be sold in northern ireland or sent to the uk. so this issue of the border in the real tricky thing is where will the real tricky thing is where will the government be when it gets the special customs agreement. what is certainly clear is, there has to be some form of checks. there will be some form of checks. there will be

the european council says it has received 27 bids from eu member nations to host the banking authority european medicines agency after great britain leaves. they are based currently in london and the eu will make final decisions in november. and jordan's lower house of parliament has signed a legal loophole that allowed rapists to escape punishment if they married the victim. this was held as a major step forward for women in the conservative kingdom. lawmakers also tightened legislation that allowed shorter sentences for those so-called honor killings. berlin police have started testing facial recognition software that will take electronic surveillance to a whole new level of sophistication. it helps security cameras not only see people, but i defy anybody on the database. -- identify anybody on the database. they hope it will help to spot terrorists more quickly. correspondent: the cameras are not just all seeing eyes, it is hoped they can identify passerby's and compare their features with a database of images. if they recognize a match with a criminal or somebody registered as a th

simon: depends on the end of october, european council meeting which is crucial.he european council conclude that a not -- that not enough progress is being made. that walkout could happen. manus: if you had a genuine seat at the table, you would be to create theters lead on the brexit bill? what i would do is set out the parameters for the exit well. -- exit bill. prompter'soretical on how -- parameters on how you would calculate it. something that looks like a text for both the exit in the transition deal. those blanks can be filled in during negotiation. it presents the u.k. for being on the front foot. he can say, hang on, we are on the front foot. have some assurance in your future investment prospects. manus: maybe liam is having a cup of tea with david davis. this is the pound. trade weighted basis is back to where it was. can it keep going on and not have a mention of it again? simon: i expect mark carney talking up sterling. that is not actively but within his narrative. theill start talking about impact on inflation and what that may lead to in terms of

the european council and the united nations complain that the ukrainian authorities have delayed theestigation. the ukrainian police deny the accusation. ruslan forostjak: [speaking ukrainian] how should the justice system function in a country at war and where there is no rule of law? first we have to establish the rule of law, before we can conduct investigations. when the events in odessa happened, there was simply no rule of law here. reporter: victory park was one of vadim papura's favorite spots. fatima comes here often now. she does want the case cleared up. fatima papura: [speaking ukrainian] my interest is in the quality of the investigation. if something like this is done in a rush, then innocent people will be blamed. they'll find scapegoats. the point isn't speed. although three years is a very long time. reporter: every year around the anniversary of the violence, odessa gets tense again. this year the police have the situation in hand. whether pro-western or pro-russian, everyone has the same questions. were there orders from above? were there intentional provocations?

with far from being able to confirm sufficient progress is so that we can recommends to the european council. to start the discussion about the future relations between the uk and the european regional truck stricter horseshoe will close to what you may need. internal abandon this week we've had loan and detailed discussions. across a mobile areas but i think it's fair to say we've had so we've seen some concrete pro wrestling. in other world news the iraqi prime minister has vowed to continue to liberate every inch of the country. this after his forces retook the town of telephone and the surrounding province from the islamic state group this thursday. haider al abadi issued a statement to the jihadists who fled saying they now have a choice. between surrendering or dying simon harding explain. nnova victory which could signal the end of the so called islamic state group in iraq the iraqi prime minister said that forces besieging telefon had liberated the city. after a two week long operation. the loss is a major blow to the jihadists who had already yielded their iraqi defector capital in

european council. you know then you know you need to mali. i mean honestly almost as equals you know think that there is another cycle but the doesn't. seem wrong. just don't all. get to see. this day. and in. the trail. find themselves worlds apart we choose to look for common ground. my. woman is a psychologist say that popeye is ok i suppose it must be safe to ask him to demonstrate how you used to torture and killed him but he willingly agreed to our request with enthusiasm. in a delgado you not i used to look at the you impose if you will be an opening that people just almost started on the yelling that he. thought there wasn't that ideas like it up as your knowledge or that there is but they don't put up with. you know the look at them and i go and i thought yeah i guess they go i watch how all you guys how do you put up with. it at the. you know so at the point in bahrain is that the you can throw it up there is another thought i would have thought it was a set up or was you're not but this is. one of. the monkey does it would. it was

have agreed to temporarily suspend plans for the refugee shelter but a former member of the european council on refugees believes a small cities such as ventimiglia shouldn't be left to fend for themselves as a result of the news and action. tragedy for the refugees because nobody wants them in their backyard anymore and that's true throughout europe and we see the disgraceful derogation of any kind of humanitarian obligation to help people fleeing from most spots in the world that we see on our television every day like syria and south side but also i have enormous sympathy for the people of vented media nobody in a quiet peaceful and touristic town wants to see suddenly thousands of foreigners descending upon them and in their view making their streets their safe or whatever of sympathy with the italians but you know really the the organization that i'm afraid is most of the fault here is the european union itself it has failed to live pretty shape except only as strong as its member states and if a member states don't want to tango than the european union can dance at all but it . has bee

can't take it anymore so we discussed the issue with keith bess the former vice chair of the european council on refugees and exiles he believes that the european union is failing in dealing with the growing refugee crisis first of all it's a tragedy for the refugees because nobody wants them in their backyard anymore that also i have enormous sympathy for the people of vented media. nobody in a quiet peaceful touristic town wants to see suddenly thousands of foreigners descending upon them and in their view making their streets their safe or whatever what some of the locals were seeing to us keith they were saying that they have seen an uptick in crime they're saying because there are a lot of teenage boys there be there's not enough being done to look after them be find themselves with more time on their hands on things happen maybe they don't have enough food for instance or they steal it are the migrants committing crimes because a lack of anything to do is partly the fault of the local authorities and the lack of a proper plan putting in place there have sympathy with the italians but yo

sufficient for me to be able to recommend to the european council that it engage in discussions on theture relationship between the uk and the eu at the same time. both sides frustrated with each other, thinking they are inflexible. as i said at the start of the week, it's only through flexibility and imagination that we will achieve a deal that works truly for both sides. in some areas, we have found this from the commission side, which i welcome, but there remains some way to go. so the two big sticking point is are, first, the uk's financial obligations — money. the uk's questioning the legal basis for what the eu says it owes, and although it has obligations, it won't say what those are. and a transitional trade deal — the eu won't even discuss one. it says the uk must settle the separation first. anyway, tell me about the week? david davis himself hasn't been in brussels for most of the week. he returned last night, leaving the negotiations to his officials. he's hoping he can twist the arms of the eu's 27 member states so they agree to talk trade. they've insisted all along there

european council and. you're not then you know you need to mali call us implementing my thought out loud problem you just got to go you. i mean honestly almost as equals you know things like that are the secret but the. case you're new to the game this is how. the economy is built around core. corporations washington washington the media. the media the voters elected to run this country business. it's not business as usual it's business like it's never been done. the beginning. in the. now single review is really the only talking to the. other of them. coming up like i love. the only thing he gives you. the not a lot of anything about thomas but i'm about the same as art when i was up the money into the magazine but i you need. making money i like my money. really the. only place to be if you. want to be made. if you forgot the music was on. our. list oh my god yes. this is psychiatry say that popeye is ok i suppose it must be safe to ask him to demonstrate how you used to torture and kill them but he will

the european council guidelines are clear that what is expected on separation and transition and on conditionse european parliament stand united. they will not accept that separation issues are not addressed properly. so what michel barnier is saying there to david davis is that you‘ve got to agross these three big priority issues that he‘s identified. the eu side are not particularly impressed with the british position on those three areas. with citizens‘ rights, the eu insist that the european court of justice should be the guarantor of the rights of eu citizens living in the rights of eu citizens living in the uk after brexit. the british government say no way. a big sticking point there. on the issue of the northern ireland border are the republic of ireland, which the uk published a paper on, that was dismissed as magical thinking last week by an eu official in private. 0n the financial settlement, the so—called brexit bill, what‘s going to happen this week is that the uk side is going to pick apart the eu‘s legal case for asking for a bill at all. in their words, legal case for asking fo

probably don't need each other at least that's according to the european council chief donald tusk the remarks from the former polish prime minister came during a press conference in warsaw a lot of that but. i feel this is a prelude to announcing that poland does need the e.u. the e.u. doesn't need poland i believe that would be one of the most dangerous moments in our history i'm afraid we're closer rather than farther away from the moment warsaw in brussels have been embroiled in a number of disputes for some time now past month the polish parliament approved controversial reforms to the judiciary handing the government control over the country's course despite strong objections brussels also banned logging in an ancient polish forest but also went ahead and partially cut it down anyway migration has been causing tension to simply because poland won't open its doors to a single wygant professor of economics at kingston university steve keen believes the whole concept of the e.u. needs a rethink. like it's a saw in the us not working on this is what's not getting through to brussels

sufficient for me to be able to recommend to the european council that it engaged in discussions on therelationship between the uk and the eu at the same time. both sides frustrated with each other, thinking they are inflexible. it is only through flexibility and imagination that we will achieve a deal that works truly for both sides. in some areas, we have found this from the commission side, which i welcome, but there remains some way to go. the two big sticking point is our first big uk's financial obligations. the uk is questioning the legal basis for what the eu says it does and although it has obligations it won't say what they are. on the trade deal, the uk says it must settle the separation first and won't even discuss one. david davis himself hasn't been in brussels for most of the week. he returned last night, leaving the negotiations to his officials. he hoping he can twist the arms of the eu's 27 member states so that they will talk trade. they have insisted there must be sufficient progress on there must be sufficient progress on the separation first. any progress on the di

sufficient for me to be able to recommend to the european council that it engage in discussions on the at the same time as we would during the course of 2018 go on working on finalising the exit and withdrawal agreement. we remain committed to making as much progress as possible on these issues as solely related to our withdrawal, but our discussions this week have exposed, yet again, that the uk's approach is substantially more flexible and pragmatic than that of the eu, in that it avoids unnecessary disruption for businesses and consumers. we propose pragmatic solutions to prevent this disruption, and we urge the eu to be more imaginative and flexible in their approach to withdrawal on this point. however, i remain of the view that on this, as in many areas, there is an unavoidable overlap between withdrawal and the future, which cannot be compartmentalised. a man has been charged after an incident near buckingham palace where three police officers were injured. the 26—year—old from luton was charged under the terrorism act 2006. he will appear at westminster magistrates' court later

secondly, it is precisely in the guidelines of the european council, protecting the eu legal order andvernment decided to leave the single market and the customs union. we respect this sovereign decision. one thing is clear. the single market, the eu capacity to supervise, to enforce our rules, must not and will not be undermined by brexit. the uk strongly contributed to the development of our single market, which is the foundation of the eu. it understands well, very well, how it works. the european guidelines state that the union will preserve its autonomy of decision—making. the uk wants to ta ke decision—making. the uk wants to take back control. wants to adopt its own standards and regulations. well, if they want to have these standards recognised automatically in the eu, that is what the uk papers ask for. this is simply impossible. you cannot be outside the single market and shape its legal order. 50, sadly, the first phase of the negotiations is about creating trust. let me take two exa m ples creating trust. let me take two examples where we still need to build trust. an citiz

remember, this is about the trade deal and the trade deal has to be approved notjust by the european councilember states, and therefore i wonder whether all parliaments will agree to setting up a bespoke new adjudication mechanism. and the big problem is, there are still some areas like the rights of eu citizens in the uk, where the eu is insisting that eu law should apply, and for that you have to have a role for the european court ofjustice. and there's no obvious or easy way round that. third, you can have enforce your eu rights at a local court, but who will get to take cases to the new eu—uk body? it's not clear to me that these proposals would allow a business which has difficulties exporting to france, for example, to actually access a court directly and make their claims under the agreement. this would all have to be done between the uk government and the european union, and so not only business, but if there rights also for people to move, or other rights, they would not be directly enforceable in the same way as they are now. our government now has a settled view on which court sho

from the outset on day one by the 27 heads of state and government, meeting as they were in the european counciltusk. naturally, we also work very closely with the european parliament. mr davis, meanwhile, kept talking about our flexibility. the uk's approach is substantially more flexible and pragmatic than that of the eu. pragmatic and innovative solutions. it's about pragmatically driving the process. taken together, the impression you get from today is, we are willing to bend and the eu isn't. but look, this is a negotiation. everyone is posturing. the state of play right now is that both sides are taking different approaches on the money. and the eu is holding a hard line on regulation. but the whole point of a negotiation is that positions can change. nick watt, our political editor, is with me now and has some intriguing new details. that was a pretty scratchy day in brussels. the uk hearing figures of 100 billion euros to pay to leave the eu and david davis says you must bejoking. i was told by quite a senior eu official a number of months ago that they would settle for a figure of aroun

he very much point into the european council meeting which will take place in october and pointed towhich is citizens rights, about what the financial settle m e nt rights, about what the financial settlement will be between the uk and eu when we leave. but also the issue of the border in northern ireland. he really has tried to come out and say, listen, if you haven't got a plan we do. he then proposed alternatives, so the idea of having alternatives, so the idea of having a bilateral customs union agreement, which would it favourable for the border and trade between the republic of ireland and northern ireland. sorry, just explain bilateral. there's been talk about a bilateral. there's been talk about a bilateral customs arrangements between the uk and europe. what does he mean was yellow what we've seen so he mean was yellow what we've seen so far by the uk government is we are leaving the customs union and the single market. that's basically what the government is saying the people voted on last year. they are saying we could have a customs union that the uk would be specific wit

starting with the instructions given to michel barnier by the european council, then moving onto the range of legal issues to do with the brexit process. the second half of this massive folder is all the position papers that the uk has been publishing in the last couple of weeks. position papers are official documents, quite legalistic, quite detailed, which are actually on the table, in the negotiations metaphorically. in that michel barnier and his officials from the eu side and david davis and his officials from the uk side go through the documents, and they are the basis for the negotiations. they are looking for points of agreement and disagreement, and point of clarification. the two newest documents at the end of here are the ones published by the uk today. one very technical one which is about confidentiality of eu and uk documents during and after this process. the most significant one is, to give it its technical name, goods on the market. that is what happens to products that are on sale in the eu and the uk, in the days and the run—up to brexit, to make sure they can cont

, the european council.sides are also struggling to find common ground over the rights of citizens in each other other's areas and the irish border. the coordinator for the u.n. human rights syria team says some 20,000 civilians are a asped in the city of raqq coalition forces battled the islamic state. >> getting out those who want to flee, they need to be able to do so. secondly, what you're saying is that everything has to be done in accordance with international law to protect civilians who remain, even if the fighting is going on. civilians have a protected status. the u.n. high commissioner for refugees released a statement calling on coalition forces and others fighting islamic state to do more to protect civilians from airstrikes and other firepower. has not violated its nuclear deal with the united states and five other world powers. that is according to the latest quarterly report by the u.s. agency monitoring iran -- u.n. agency monitoring iran's compliance with the deal could the international at

sufficient for me to be able to recommend to the european council that it engage in discussions on the relationship between the uk and the eu at the same time. both sides frustrated with each other, thinking they're inflexible. as i said at the start of the week, it's only through flexibility and imagination that we'll achieve a deal that works truly for both sides. in some areas, we have found this from the commission side, which i welcome, but there remains some way to go. so the two big sticking points are, first, the uk's financial obligations — money. the uk's questioning the legal basis for what the eu says it owes, and although it agrees it has obligations, it won't say what those are. and a transitional trade deal, the eu won't even discuss one. it says the uk must settle the separation first. anyway, tell me about the week? david davis himself hasn't been in brussels for most of the week, he returned last night, leaving the negotiations to his officials. he's hoping he can twist the arms of the eu's 27 member states, so they agree to talk trade. they've insisted all along ther

and in october, and it's not that far away, i sit around the european council table in brussels withas been made on the three key issues to allow the brexit negotiations to proceed to the next stage. what people in the uk, all of us have to remember, is that it is in the interests of the irish republic for them to have a very good deal with the uk, because so much of their trade depends on the proximity of the uk. do you share his clear frustration, what do you feel that perhaps the talks are progressing better than we think, it's just where not getting told about it? obviously this is something that hasn't happened before. i'm co nsta ntly hasn't happened before. i'm constantly surprised that people think that things aren't going as smoothly as they should, given that nobody has ever done what we're doing. that is, leaving the binding bureaucracy of the eu. and if the irish republic wanted to join us bureaucracy of the eu. and if the irish republic wanted tojoin us in the expanses of freedom, they would be welcome to do so. you know, i think there will be bumps on the road, we can e

nigeria, they happen all the time in kenya and somalia, in pakistan, europeans don't move, they don't care, they don't call for security council resolution to condemn these acts, they get very frustrated and europeans become a target because that was the racism, the anti-islamic racism we find in europe nowadays, that contributes to targeting europeans. we are beginning to see similar things in this country with this election cycle, the anti-islamic attitude in this country as if all muslims are terrorists somehow or could become terrorists. it is outrageous to label one and a half billion people on earth by the behavior of a few. timothy mcveigh doing the oklahoma city bombing, all these people including children, we know him, we know his background, we know his religion, we know everything about him. if a muslim does such an ask it is islamic terrorism. we don't know much about the individual or the family or the background or anything. we label one and a half million people by the behavior of the one or the 19, it is wrong, very wrong. you cannot do that. and labeling christians because some christian is shooting or went to

i mean, for example, it is notjust the european union. the councilsioner, he is critical of poland placing is public service media under direct government control will stop so whatever you are doing, it is not quite the same as other european union countries. —— humans rights commissioner. you go beyond by having this direct government control, ajer? i can only repeat what i said. i'm not the expert on this. i and the foreign minister. so i prefer to engage in the foreign policy of poland, which is also important for the european union and the future of the european union. but i can only repeat what i heard from the experts that we are repeating and copying the solutions which exist everywhere in many countries. —— i am the foreign minister. all right. one thing that you do look at is this issue of refugees. in june, you do look at is this issue of refugees. injune, the european commission again launched an eu law infringement procedure against poland because you are refusing to ta ke poland because you are refusing to take in refugees, as part of an

those concerns about those negotiations, if we andthrough the talks over he goes back to the european councilays we haven't done enough on the initial negotiations, we have to go further, we can't stop talking about rates, i think he would. it's about giving confidence to the investment community at the moment. francine: this is my favorite hound chart. this is euro pound red -- pound. i know in the early days, more pranks -- banks are joining it. simon: i think the drive toward parity there. is how concerned the authorities are about the parity number. it's just the number of the end. if you think about the history of sterling, it is one of steady devaluation over time. but, the british press does like headline. it does look like a headline about sterling. you can make the opposite case. that was a story against the dollar every single week. that could cause it degree of uncertainty and might the separable for the people at the bank of england. that could be another matter. i think we can see what the response will be. francine: what is your favorite call? i have heard everything from the ye

when we get closer to the deadlines, the european council, december deadlines, then brexit will become again. francine: do you think it is boredom or they don't know how to traded? oliver: a mixture of both. francine: what kind of reassurance message? we talked about it at the start of the interview. if you were theresa may, what is the message you would give to the bcc? adam: one, we want to partner with business -- francine: has that changed? adam: there has been some change. i'm now looking for that engagement to start dealing with those practical detail issues. i think the second message is, we're going to accept that some sort of transition is needed to get to the final settlement between the u k and e u i think the third message has to be, we are looking at domestic factors. oliver mentioned fatigue with brexit. a lot of businesses saying, i don't really want to engage with this that much anymore. a lot of them do want to engage with those bread-and-butter issues. are they going to be able to get goods down the roads? are we going to build a new runway at heathrow airport? the pr

the european council will vote on whether they think it is sufficient.they will say, keep negotiating. mark: how soon do you think it will happen? anand: my guess is there will be some fireworks in october. it suits both sides. i think there might be a walk out of some kind in october. make it up in november, then move forward. mark: and then if we start on talks on a trade deal at the end of 2017, we then have to complete talks by the end of 2018 to get it through the various parliaments and bodies. doable by march 2019? mark: no. anand: what is doable by march 2019? mark: i think we could have an article 50 deal in place and maybe a broad framework for negotiations on the trade deal. mark: stay there. thanks a lot. anand menon stays with us. rbs speaks to bloomberg about its better than expected profits. this is bloomberg. ♪ reporting second-quarter profit and revenue is ahead of estimates. manus cranny spoke to the cfo and begun by asking him about the latest earnings. >> these were a very good set of results. we are encouraged by the progress we are

in october, not that far away, i sit around the european council table in brussels with 26 other primenion and specific issues relating to ireland. that will be an historic meeting for this island. it is my fervent hope progress will have been made by them. but i do not underestimate for a second the enormity of the challenges that we face. when you listen to the speech, there were flashes of frustration, certainly about the time this is taking. he is feeling the negotiation perhaps i'm not moving quickly enough. he kept referring to the idea that the clock was ticking which is something else he said inside a news conference a short time ago. he also set out what he feels is the right suggestion and we have heard this from the irish government over and over again. that any brexit deal has to protect the free movement of goods, services, people across that irish border. that is something that has been emphasised today by the irish ambassador to the uk. our hope would be that britain might decide to remain in the customs union because that would solve many of the problems that arise on t

well, why don't i start by quitting the president of the european council, donald tusk, because he hasof both sides is to have a smoother possible a transition to that end state. it is a reasonable assumption but if i can make a point about the forecast, the important thing is not necessarily what we think, as people slightly closer, we are not in the negotiations, but may be slightly closer to the discussions, it is not so much what we think, it is what uk households and businesses think and how they react to that and at present we do not see any evidence orany present we do not see any evidence or any material evidence that their expectation under the transition would be anything other than smooth. what we do see is what i said in response to the first question, which is that uncertainty about market access post brexit is starting to affect some business decisions, and has consequences for investment, but people are not building in the possibility of a more disruptive process in any material way, so what does it take? it takes to see that in behaviour, whether it is true confidence o