about this recently at his blog. >> bill: who are you citing now. >> nate silver. >> bill: nate silver. i don't know nate. does he have a web site like morris? i don't know. you could say rudy kazudi. >> he writes for the "new york times." >> bill: well if he writes for the "new york times" you know is he a romney guy.

i agree with nate. i'm not sure these numbers nationally are correct, although they're certainly very correct in the swing states right now. where the election will be decided. so i think they have taken a toll. having said that, i want all of us, particularly we democrats to remember we left atlanta in 1988 dukakis versus bush 18 points ahead in the national polls. until the convention speeches, until the debates, until the fall campaign starts to focus, polls really don't mean much. i still believe this is going to be a close election and i still believe every person who wants to elect or re-elect the president had better vote. this is going to be a close one. >> here's an explanation to what could be going on out there. roger simon asked a logical question. given the state of economy, shouldn't romney be ahead by now in the polls? then he wrote, but what do the opinion polls sthoe? they show a country who still likes obama more than it likes romney. and by quite a bit. and as i have written for years

he was huh louse nateing and trebling on a small ledge. his body was starting to slide and thought he was a goner. that's when he saw a half a dozen rescue crews. he tried to grab a rock and the deputy saw him starting to fall and the deputy sprinted up the mountain. the rock that was usually so slick, the deputy grabbed bishop and pushed him to a safer spot until he could be tethered and flown off the mountain. another amazing rescue. a young woman being called a hero after a feet of strength and courage that is hard to believe. he was working on his car and it fell on top of him, crushed him beneath the weight of the vehicle. that's when the 22-year-old found the strength she didn't know she had and lifted the two and a half ton car off her father. >> lifted it upright here. i just kind of threw it. i shoved my body into. it i came back and dragged him out. i started cpr. then it flashed, oh my god, i am going to lose my dad. his eyes were open and he wasn't responding to me. >> lauren is an athlete with lifeguard training. she got his h

so you know, i've read nate's stuff. i love nate's stuff. it is interesting.e's got -- >> jennifer: but you're not as confident. >> what's that? >> jennifer: you're not as confident as he is. i was saying you're not as confident. >> i'm definitely not where he is but you know, he could be right. >> jennifer: he could be. larry, thank you so much for joining us as ever inside "the war room." that's larry sab toe from the university of virginia. which republican presidential candidate is telling his financial backers he's selling out to members of his own party? here's a hint. he's married to ann romney. that and much more after the break. guys that always make you laugh. charges come down on rupert murdoch's phone-hacking scan l. hey joe? yeah? is this a bad time? no, i can talk. great -- it's the 9th inning and your hair still looks amazing. well, it starts with a healthy scalp. that's why i use head and shoulders for men. they're four shampoos for game-winning scalp protection and great looking hair... go on, please. with seven benefits in every bottle, head

he was huh louse nateing and trebling on a small ledge.s body was starting to slide and thought he was a goner. that's when he saw a half a dozen rescue crews. he tried to grab a rock and the deputy saw him starting to fall and the deputy sprinted up the mountain. the rock that was usually so slick, the deputy grabbed bishop and pushed him to a safer spot until he could be tethered and flown off the mountain. another amazing rescue. a young woman being called a hero after a feet of strength and courage that is hard to believe. he was working on his car and it fell on top of him, crushed him beneath the weight of the vehicle. that's when the 22-year-old found the strength she didn't know she had and lifted the two and a half ton car off her father. >> lifted it upright here. i just kind of threw it. i shoved my body into. it i came back and dragged him out. i started cpr. then it flashed, oh my god, i am going to lose my dad. his eyes were open and he wasn't responding to me. >> lauren is an athlete with lifeguard training. she got his hear

you get the last word, nate silver.xwagner, and tune into my show "now" on msnbc at noon. we're back august 13th after the olympics. "the ed show" is next. 91 days before the 2012 election. a new report explains why mitt romney might owe senator harry reid an apology. this is "the ed show." let's get to work. >> the word is out he hasn't paid any taxes for ten years. >> a shocking new report outlines how mitt romney may have legally dodged taxes. >> let him prove that he has paid taxes because he hasn't. >> david k. johnson will give us the details and eugene robinson is here on the politics. >>> well, seeing as how dick -- excuse me, vice president cheney never misfires -- >> dick cheney never apologized for shooting someone in the face. but sarah palin's got him running scared. >> it wasn't so much governor palin as it was a basic process being used. >> democratic strategist bob shrum will weigh in on the power of palin. >> another day, another lie. from the romney campaign. this time, it's about welfare. msnbc's jona

about this recently at his blog. >> bill: who are you citing now. >> nate silver. >> bill: nate silverdon't know nate. does he have a web site like morris? i don't know. you could say rudy kazudi. >> he writes for the "new york times." >> bill: well if he writes for the "new york times" you know is he a romney guy. all right. we don't want to get too far adrift here. this week, how bad, ms. soltis, and i don't want partisan nonsense, please, with all due respect to both of you. how bad do you believe the bide den gaffe is or is that dissolved and next week everybody will forget it pushing granny off the cliff greedy paul ryan and the romney caused the woman to have cancer. how bad is that or is that just a blip? >> you know, i think it's just a blip, unfortunately. you know, i think that voters are going to be deciding on the economy. period. and so all of this stuff. >> bill: all of this is cable news bloviation? it's not going to mean anything. >> i don't think on election day anybody is going to break one way or the other because of something silly joe bide den said. >> will he they

you get the last word, nate silver.ne into my show "now" on msnbc at noon. we're back august 13th after the olympics. "hardball" is up next. >>> trouble in sherwood forest. let's play "hardball." >> good evening. i'm chris matthews in washington. let me start tonight with this. romney hood. according to obama, he's the guy that raises the taxes of the middle class, cuts the taxes of the rich. and this is how obama wants to you see this coming election. it isn't about how are things going for you. it is about who are you going to trust? who is going to look out for you? this guy, he calls romney hood, is going to take from you and give to the rich. looking at the romney tax plan, by the way, fair look at things. those in the top brackets do get a bigger percentage tax cut off their bigger income and their higher rates. those at the bottom get 2% cut off the lower rates and against the relatively skimpy incomes. his plan, romney's would take from the regular people, in other words, and use that money to reward romney's ri

. >> nate schierholz went over in the deal 400 pence. he hit a homerun in the fifth inning to give the phillies the lead and that ended up being the difference. they beat the nationals 3-2. nate felt like he needed a little bit more playing time that he would not get in san francisco and he is ,,,, >> 67 degrees in san francisco today which is typical. 94 degrees in livermore which is above the average of 88 degrees. out towards the transamerica building, you can barely see the top of it because of low clouds and fog. 69 in livermore. cool and overcast in santa rosa with 50 degrees. this is interesting, the clouds at lunchtime are still shrouding the golden gate bridge, barely backing off in the afternoon and then filling back again. only some partial clearing at best on thursday. lots of monsoon moisture due east of the bay area but we will hang with one more day of high temperatures above normal. we have a full moon. 50-50 degrees for the overnight lows. '50s and '60s at the beaches. 82 degrees in redwood city and palo alto. 94 in pitt

so you know, i've read nate's stuff. i love nate's stuff. it is interesting.e's got -- >> jennifer: but you're not as confident. >> what's that? >> jennifer: you're not as confident as he is. i was saying you're not as confident. >> i'm definitely not where he is but you know, he could be right. >> jennifer: he could be. larry, thank you so much for joining us as ever inside "the war room." that's larry sab toe from the university of virginia. which republican presidential candidate is telling his financial backers he's selling out to members of his own party? here's a hint. he's married to ann romney. that and much more after the break. guys that always make you laugh. charges come down on rupert murdoch's phone-hacking scan l. [ train whistle blows ] [ ball hitting paddle ] [ orbit girl ] don't let food hang around. yeah! [ orbit trumpet ] clean it up with orbit! [ orbit glint ] fabulous! for a good clean feeling. try new orbit micro packs. >> the wind energy production tax credit is a major priority of mine even with its long-standing bipartisan support. th

joining us now, nate gross, rock health cofounder. nate, we love talking to people like you because you're very much on the forefront of where the real money may be made in next couple years especially when looks what is going on in silicon valley. health care has become very hot. first of all in what form, these are all apps. what are they doing for people? >> sure, so rock health targets digital health. that is not just necessarily apps. that is online platforms. that is lot of technology that you see coming out of silicon valley today, exempt for it is targeted at 20% of u.s. gdp. targeted at health care. all of our health care, regardless of policy, seeing emphasis on value. value is the quality that you can deliver over the cost. and there is no better way to reduce cost and make things efficient than with a scrappy startup. we're seeing a lot of creativity from all these silicon valley areas that have been previously invested in social areas and in games and all that creative energy is being applied toward health care. david: le

nate silver also good to have you on the program. >> thanks, eliot.ck arou >>it's the place where democracy is supposed to be the great equalizer, where your vote is worth just as much as donald trump's. we must save the country. it starts with you. when a carpet is clean and fresh, it's irresistible. experience this in your home with resolve deep clean powder. its moist powder penetrates deep, removing three times more dirt than vacuuming alone while also neutralizing odors at their source. it's a clean you can see smell, and really enjoy. resolve deep clean powder. don't just vacuum clean, resolve clean. i don't when it comes to public approval when it comes to public approval, congress has dipped to a low 10%. but our number of the day isn't ten, it's a nine. to begin with, president obama's last approval rating was 50%, five times higher than that of congress. but mitt romney's approval rating is 40. even bush 43 our least popular president, coincidently has an approval rating of 43. and the president of pakistan. really? a nation blighted by bomb

nate silver's totals are right, but now it could end up flipping by one vote, which would give it to the democrats even if mitt romney won. >> i'm actually interested in this because silver's analysis, i found it persuasive. how hard does the map get without missouri? you look at 23 seats being defended by democrats to 10. you think that seems like a fairly easy sweep for the republicans. they only need a couple of the seats. i guess a large number of them are safe. what is it that happens that changed the math so dramatically here? >> looking at a couple of the states. nate says and i think he's probably right that a couple states like nebraska and wisconsin have moved somewhat in the republican direction. by the way, i think wisconsin may have moved somewhat more in the republican direction. >> where tommy thompson beat the tea party challenger. >> and also, paul ryan is popular in wisconsin. in a lot of other places, democrats have shored up their support. things have broken their way in places like nevada, for example, right now i think that looks good. washington state, west vir

nate mclouth was in the middle of the offense.scores on a wild pitch with adam jones at the plate. it is 1-1 orioles. chris tillman makes a mistake. 1-1 in the third inning. the orioles score four runs. nate mclouth, upper deck. when a pickup. to run home run -- two-run home run. the orioles pick up a game on tampa. a pitcher's duel. he gave up just one hit in eight innings. felix fernandez pitched a perfect game against them last week. in the ninth inning, the royals with the game-winner -- in the 10th. it is not where you had it but where you had it -- not how hard you hit it where you hit it. the orioles are 05 games back of the yankees. the birds are hanging tough. a simple game plan for the ravens. take the big play away on defense. joe flacco was impressive last week against the lions. catch the ball and scores some touchdowns. we will hear from ray lewis on the offense in the next half- hour. kickoff at 7:30 tomorrow night from m&t bank stadium. gerry sandusky with the call. i will have the radio pregame show. >> lots to be

they did it once again with nate mclouth. a former all-star with the pirates. a big addition to the team. he walks and stole second base and scored on the wild pitch. 1-0 orioles. the rangers tie it. the rangers can hit. the orioles scored four times to bust it open. nate mclouth, his first home run as an oriole. that proves to be the difference. the orioles win antril the yankees by five games and tampa by one game. your ravens and jaguars to our night -- the orioles whein and a -- this could be the year of the offense takes center stage. we shall see about that. you can see the game right here on wbal-tv 11. pete gilbert and i with the radio pregame show. it should be a fun night. >> thank you, keith. 6:27. >> at the very latest on the deadly train derailment here in ellicott city. >> city school students might have to go out the door a little earlier this morning. >> local restaurants and attractions getting ready for >> you're watching wbal-tv 11. live, local, late-breaking. this is 11 news today. >> good morning, everybody. welcome back to 11 news today. i

joining me now is nate silver and ben smith, editor and chief of buzz feed. had this fascinating show so far involving an empty chair which kind of sums up i think what most people think was between mr. akin's ears. ben smith, a quite extraordinary statement by him in this interview about rape and women. which, whichever way you try and explain it, it gets more grubby and more incomprehensible. how is he still in any kind of position to run for the senate? why isn't he gone yet? >> well, nobody can make him go. they are try. they are pushing so hard to get him out. he was nominated by the republican voters of missouri. despite the fact that the republican leaders in the state were saying exactly something like this was going to happen. mccaskill, the democrat, was pushing as hard as she could to get this guy on the ticket in the hopes that something like this would happen. you could see president obama pounce. he was delighted at that press conference. he couldn't really hide it. >> nate silver, this whole idea of legitimate rape is obviously nonsense. what a

bishop was hurt, huh louse nateing and trebling on a small ledge. his body was starting to slide, and he thought he was a goner. that's when he saw half a dozen rescue crews. bishop tried to grab hold of a rock. a deputy saw that he was starting to fall. the deputy spribted up the side of the mountain. rock that is so slippery people fall on it. he pushed him to a safer spot, and then he could be tethered and flown off the mountain. >>> it is time now to go to meteorologist sandhya patel for a look at the weather forecast. sandhya? >> larry, first thing tomorrow morning, count on fog around the beaches and the bay. there could be spotty drizzle along the coastline for your morning drive. comfortable at the coast. lingering fog, 62 half moon bay, 67 in san francisco. steamy inland again. 95 antioch, livermore, fairfield , 76 in san mateo, 83 san jose gets you to the north bay. napa, midto upper 80s. it is going to be a nice looking day around the monterey bay. 73 in santa cruz. here is a look at your accu-weather seven-day forecast. hot inland tomorr

that is nate mclouth who triples to right. the birds win 7-5. they are now 51-0 when leading after seven innings. >>> d.c. united hosting the philadelphia union at rfk stadium, eighth minute and the union get on the board. brian carroll collect the bouncing ball and put it. in philly up 1 -0. 71st minute united still down. free kick and the ball goes into the net off a union againer. the game is tied 1-1. 89th minute, derosario, a penalty kick over the crossbar. the game finishes in a tie. d.c. youth is fifth -- united is fifth in the conference. >>> less than a minute ago the mystics trailed 52-69. this game goes to overtime at 62-62. there's the congratulations and all smiles, why not. in o.t. washington down one. jasmine thomas, her turn from three. she name temperatures mystics go up 2. they win 75-71 improving to 5 -16 on the season. >>> it's time for our last break, but up next second year receiver aldrick robinson has all the right moves and he may have earned a spot on the roster. his big night is next. if you want less, you can always h

i doubt that sarah palin was very high on intrade four years ago at this time. >> well, nate silver, who is your pick for

i doubt that sarah palin was very high on intrade four years ago at this time. >> well, nate silver, for vp? >> i would go boring if i were mitt. i would go with rob portman. it's not night and day, but you can often get an extra point or two or three in an important swing state if your vp is from that state. and right now in ohio, or a slightly republican leaning state, instead obama's ahead by three, four points in the ll

okay, nate, we're going to find out who that was. let's look at your weather right now. there's only one figure left, and i'm saving that one for you. it's been toasty warm, but you know what? we've got some heat that's going to come our way tomorrow. heat, then humidity for the weekend. at least be then we'll be cooling down. 80 degrees to the north, through as we zoom on down, so you can see exactly where i am through your evening planner, into tomorrow morning, 83 to 78 degrees, 73 degrees your temperature, and a full moon too tomorrow morning. you really have to look hard to count the clouds and the sky, and naturally down across the gulf coast, because that is where we're still looking at a lot of rain from isaac. it will be hitting a lot of areas that really need the rain. it's going to take some time. a lot of folks worried about the weekend. i'm hearing a lot of cheers behind me. i think it will be afternoon, and monday is looking wet right now. you can see the cloud cover coming in, but tomorrow is countriy, tomorrow sunshine, and it will be a weather front up t

two years and $8 million he will back up david lee and nate robinson hat left for chicago to back upek rose. spoiler alert. if you don't want to know, turn away. >>> michael phelps took a few medals home. >> the fan was doing a dance called the person any. >> i thought he got it from you. >> i would do it but i know you would post it on u youtube so i'm not doing it. a reminder. >> very close to getting online there. you can switch back to abc7 as soon as the coverage for a special midnight edition of abc7 seven minutes and we'll recap everything. that is a wrap. we'll see you one hour on "abc 7 news" channel 7.

we have a president that aulgt to be holding the tux. >> and this is the tone that has alien nated aof hispanic voters, if you do look at the polls, which is an opening for the democrats politically. we have mitt romney's immigration. and he's the most extreme for modern times. i'll give you a window into the soul of the american party. he show shows co-sponsored. their platform embraces a human life with no president obama has made it a priority to rapidly on the southwest border and in the governor's home state. we're hurting our future if we don't recognize that there should be a comprehensive immigration form approach to dealing with that instead of mitt romney's approach which just says let's just have those 12 million self deployed. it's an unrealistic decision. >> 40u are you going to get beyond these base issues with the party? is it a window in the soul of the party? >> no, nobody reeds it. i've been in this business for 28 years, i've never read it. he committed to and failed to deliver. >> the democrats want to be about trivia. what romney's got to do is breakthrough all o

en detroit, nate mclouth conectó un triple remolcador de dos carreras que le dio la ventaja a los oriolesia ayer por 7-5 ante los tigres. baltimore remontó tras verse en desventaja 5-0 tras la primera entrada. los orioles, tienen una ventaja a detroit por dos juegos en la lucha por el segundo boleto de wild card en la liga americana. hoy los orioles inician otra serie contra los rangers de texas. por la mls dc united empato de local 1-1 con el union de filadelfia con un arbitraje polemico, con el empate el equipo capitalino esta en zona de clasificacion, tenemos imagenes y reacciones desde el por la nfl se jugo el segundo partido de la pretemporada y aca si no les fue nada bien a los dos equipos del area, los redskins y los ravens perdieron, los osos de chicago disfrutaron de la química que mostraron sus titulares, pero fue el gran partido del novato kirk cousins el que se llevó la noche, para derrotar a los redskins 31 a 30. pero fue doble derrota para washington porque el mejor jugador defensivo, brian orakpo, dejó el partido en el primer cuarto por una lesion en el hombre. orakpo se la

roll..." 3 nate mclough smacked this home run in the 8th inning to snap the white sox win streak at 6nd it also gave the orioles a club record 13th consecutive ne run victorr... and ii put them 13 games over .500 for only the second time ttis season...here's another stat for you: the birds are 24-6 this season in one run games, and this time of year, that's a very handy thing to have in your pocket... to the nfl...and billy long...released by the ravens on sunday, the veteran kicker has signed a deal with the washington redskins...he replacessyet another raven pastoff, graham gano,,with the redskins...the 322year old cunddff was pro bowler in 2010, but was outperformed by rookie justin tucker in training camp...the two could go head to head later this season...the ravens will visit the redskins on december 9th at fed ex field. 3 3 & 3 that's all for fox45 news at 5:. 5:30. we'll see you later. later.

dealing with the affects of a tractor- trailer explosion and you do want to stick with 95 as your the nate- alternate route. department of transportation says northbound lanes are expected to reopen by 6:00 and m and of course we will bring you the latest, back to you. >>> and i had a chance to meet with the expert and we will tell you about the first fantasy football theft. >>> on it the ravens first pre- cease game, i will tell you about some must haves, stay with us. . >>> well, are you ready for some football? preseason is pretty fun and tonight ravens take on the lions and that's some tailgating, some chicken sausage is on the way. >> not only do you see it but i smell it. >> reporter: i am in heaven, the parking lot is virtually empty but we have roma go gourmet sausage and he is out here with his workers and tell me dean, i understand you have a product that ed reid endorsed tell us about that. >> it is a chicken sausage, they want to promote healthy eating and fight obesity and he came to us and we came up with chicken sausage and it is very tasty. now this is not about the money f

state officials say that tests showed the site con family nate by pcb. >>> google has settled a multi- billion dollars case. it will settle allegation that is google secretly tracked millions of web surfers who use apple safari browsers. >> zinga's chief financial officers has stepped down from the game maker. john shepard joined the online maker. they are not saying if they have plans to replace shepard. his rest resignation comes after reshuffling. >> cal tran has now complete add significant milestone at the caldecott tunnel. it has finished the excavation of the fourth bore between oakland and orinda but there is still a lot of work to be done. workers completed digging out all the dirt late yesterday and early this morning but they still need to install lighting and safety features as they work to build the tunnel and pave 9 roadway. 4,900,000,000-dollar tunnel is on budget and on schedule to open late next year. >>> a 13-year-old boy was shot and killed near the cruz beach boardwalk. why a second crime scene was set up more than 12 miles away >>> and we know it's getting hot out

what they are asking for the send nate and why he has to decide in a hurry. >>> there are some things those students never experienced but what is the annual mind set for 216? >>> northbound there is a problem, we will run that straight ahead. stay tuned. ?????b??? ???c??@?????c:ow . >>> welcome back to the ktvu channel 2 morning news, time now 4:43 a jury in san jose will decide one of the biggest technology disputes in history. apple is demanding they pay 2. $5 million claiming they stole their ipad technological, samsung claimed they stole it and if apple wins it will be the largest patent verdict in the u.s. >>> what made tony scott jump to his death, one report says he had brain cancer and they performed an autopsy. scott died after jumping off a bridge in los angeles county and he is best known for developing top gun, he is 66 years old. >>> she was known for her humor and -- humor and loud laugh. >> she got her start at the purple on beyond back in 1955. she created a character of a put upon housewife with a husband she called fang. >> she is such a sheer row to so many comedia

let's go to nate in california. nate? >> caller: boo-yah, jim. ltb?> when it reported, people didn't like the quarter. but as soon as they got a further look upon further review, people recognized it was a good stock and it remains inexpensive and i would be a buyer. one more, let's go to shelly in my home state of pennsylvania. >> caller: what's up with my stock emc? >> emc got hit. i really liked the last acquisition they made. i think it puts them -- that was just a classic big acquisition. not a great number. been following very closely with my colleague who's saying the value, it keeps going lower. i want to sell dell and buy emc. and that, ladies and gentlemen, is the latest verse of "the lightning round." >> the lightning round is sponsored by -- . >>> if you're going to buy a stock, you buy it because you like the underlying fundamentals of the company not just because the chart looks good. you have to say there's a lot of chart followers out there. you have to look at a chart, know what they're seeing and what's being said about the stock. th

bottom 8...nate mclouth steps to the plate...he was on the islaad of misfit toys before the seasonbute o's be without this guy???... you can put it on the board... yes...2 run shot puts the birds in front 4--....in the 9th...jim johnsoo gets gordon beckham to ground out to short...first closer to 40 saves...o's win a franchise record 13th consecutive 1-run games snapping chicago's 66 eclipse their win totaa from last year winning 70 for the first time since 2006...4-3... with the rrys loss to the rangers...the o's move into 2nd pace in the east...3 and it's safe to say the ravens .- expect...or at least hope...that terrell suggg will make it back ater this season...we got that impression from the moves they made today to get their roster down to the nfl manddaed 75.. 75.. suggs was placed on tghe phyiscally unable to perform...or pup list...this is oppooed to injured reserve, that would have rennered him inelligible to play at all thhs season...suggs suffered an achillies tendon injury in the off-season, and is currently rehabbing it at the ravens facility...he has vowed to return thi

more from tantalizing taylor teagarden...smashes it to center...dwayne wise won't get there...nate mclluths to give the o's a 551 lead.... zach britton was lights out... 10 strikeouts... no walks... game series...britton sent e 4 - down afterrthe game to make room for randy wolf... tte pre-season is over....and now the cutdown to 53 will begin...the ravens sat most of the starters do get a look at the guys trying to make the roster..they couldn't have been happy with what they . saw... ravens starters ttking the night off in st. louis...ann pt showed....1st quarter...no out...jimmy smith trips allowing steve smith to make the grab...good for 46 yards... .same drive...former raven ovie mughelli with the catch... brendan ayanbadejo...inept tackling...john harbaugh will not like that effort by the vet....then bradford hits austin pettis for the 14 yard scorr...rams lead 7-0....next ravens possession...tyroo taylor hit from behind... fumbles...rams recover.... following the turnover... &pbradford to danny amendola... paother rams t--...14-0.... ensuing kickoff...bernard pierre taking it out...