there is nothing to begin with, but the russian establishment will be beaten, let's listen to oleksiy holobutskyonly thing that changes a little bit for you is the actual discourse. i will add some more thoughts . to change what the end of this war might look like, in principle, the well-known american political analyst faridzekarrie, in a column for your tonepost, reflects on the fact that now russia's war against ukraine is in the middle stage and reflecting on this dangerous period, he cites the thoughts of hydon rose, a researcher at the council on international relations, the author of the book how the war ends, and he actually points out that at this middle stage of the war, neither side is in the mood for negotiations, but seeks to win, to change, to strengthen their position on the battlefield, to gain a stronger position for the further introduction of negotiations and a period when emotions are running high, it is difficult to compromise, in your opinion, this is not the point where we are now, and how can they develop events, what would russia's defeat actually look like in your opini

regarding the ukrainian authorities, let's listen to oleksiy holobutsky, oleksiy, well, how do you assess this situation, its risks that arise in connection with this for ukraine, and here are these e reactions that we quoted in particular from the spokesperson of the president and from the ukrainian foreign ministry how all this will be perceived in particular in the united states well, we can not cancel because of the war in ukraine cancel the policy in the united states like elections and so on and we will not be able to force everyone to live for the sake of which of our interests there, the political struggle continues, which is absolutely normal for a democratic country, and when our spokesmen of the ministry of foreign affairs and all others who respond to this appeal are doing it a little offensively, so to speak, they must understand that well, today the democrats are in power, so they have the majority of congresses, tomorrow the republicans will have the majority for example, we will also have to negotiate with them, because without american help, we must understand that if the

fursa to us uh, there was a live broadcast well and thank you have a nice day well we continue oleksiy holobutskylitical technologist, and our next interlocutor falls, oleksiy. good day to you. good day. i remember that you are also an expert on belarus and the author of a book about belarus. oleksiyya actually got it, i'll start with belarusian history , ah, a lot. something has changed, let's say lukashenka's rhetoric. there have been a lot of all kinds of aggressive statements, and here there is garik kasparov, for example, he is russian, he is a positionalist, russian by origin. in russian, soviet, let it be soviet, but less with that word, since he seems to have been living in the united states for a long time, which is not much of a russian anymore, well , less with that, but he says that he predicts that literally the last days have passed and he will dare after all the belarusian army, by order of lukashenka, invades ukrainian territory, and belarus will join this war, this is your position. belarus has been involved in this special war operation from the very beginning. russian troops ha

escalation with nato countries, and indeed so here, including, including, yes, thank you very much oleksiy holobutsky for this conversation, a political technologist and actually an expert on belarus. thank you. what are we going to continue ? where is the electrical institute of socio-economic transformation, candidate of economic sciences, ilya, good day to you. good day. i wanted to say that we have data from the latest study that was conducted jointly with the innovation development center, the office for enterprise development and export . that in general it seems to be a good forecast because business activity seems to be recovering rapidly, in march there were 85% of businesses that were almost stopped, and now , in fact, there are the beginnings of enterprises that are completely stopped the work there is only uh there is there is only 50%. writes bohdan danylyshyn, this is probably good on the one hand, but does this indicate that the economy can recover and, despite the war, the economy will definitely recover? why? because in the first months, the company did not know what would happen . t