dan sullivan of alaska is in a tight race and the open republican seat in kansas -- yes, kansas -- all of them are in some measure of peril. then i'd add democrat incumbent gary petersf michigan. he still finds himself in a tougher than expected race, despite joe biden's strength in michigan. finally, on the outdoors here, yes, there are more competitive senate races. john cornyn in texas, mitch mcconnell in kentucky. look, they're both favored, but they haven't put their opponents away. same is true for democrat tina smith in minnesota. so, to be sure, democrats are not going to win all of these races, but it's worth keeping in mind that in a wave year, which this could be for democrats, close races tend to go all in the same direction. and boy, do we have a panel of political experts to chew over this. amy walter with the cook political report, yamiche alcindor, white house correspondent for the pbs news hour, nbc senior political editor mark murray, and anna palmer, the senior washington correspondent for politico. all right, we're diving deep into the senate. amy walter, this is what you do all the time. you worry about this six years in advance. here we are, ni