when these things roll over as dan was pointing to, this is the kind of situation that can snowball so absolutely. i would think you can expand on this concept. >> in the month of october, the highest level, obviously that's a contraryian indicator. >> we talked about new york stock exchange. debt margin which is an all time high. a lot of things out there lead you to believe that maybe the turn away is congresswomaning. maybe they are leading us on the way down. right after their earnings release. had a huge reversal in the downside. >> if you look at the pmis out there that have come out, 90% are above 50. meaning those economies are growing. if you look at the u.s., all the indicators are high. things have reached a level where is it going to keep going? i think people are looking at this market and saying a lot of it is priced in. pmis are high. maybe things are due to take a turn down. >> we sound a little dire here. >> all of you do. >> what happened to season alty? >> i'm going to see that i think you have 1700 on the downside. i think a lot of people would be okay. the s&p 500

but a very slow snowball to roll forward in america. >> stay with me and when we come back, i'll talk to you about the highly unusual political scandal. toronto's crack smoking mayor back at work today as if nothing happened. >> yes, i have smoked crack cocaine but no -- do i? am i an addict? no. [ male announcer] surprise -- you're having triplets. [ babies crying ] surprise -- your house was built on an ancient burial ground. [ ghosts moaning ] surprise -- your car needs a new transmission. [ coyote howls ] how about no more surprises? now you can get all the online trading tools you need without any surprise fees. ♪ it's not rocket science. it's just common sense. from td ameritrade. >>> yes, i have smoked crack cocaine. >> when, sir -- >> do i? am i an adduct? no. have i tried it? probably in a drunken stupor, probably a year ago. >> one of the top poll lit scandals, what do yaw make of this yes, i smoked crack cocaine and tomorrow i'll be back at my office desk. >> it's sort of wonderful, really. i mean, first of all, as americans we can all feel better about politics because thi

jeremy had just learned how to make a snowball. >> i found him yesterday. >> looks like he's trying to build a snowman in south carolina, and his family is observing this whole thing and they're giving us the commentary. >> there you go, buddy. >> i think you made his head too big. >> he's talking to himself. >> she's somewhat successful. the thing's getting bigger. he's doing what he set taught do. >> he's rolling this thing around and around. >> the head is a little big now. >> he thinks it gets to the right consistency and right size. >> come on, you can do it, you could do it, you do it! >> after he drops it, the most pricely reaction. you don't need to hear what he's saying you can see it all in his body language. >> i need to go out there and help him. and here he's like i'll just start over. oh well, whatever. >> i tried. >> she's a professional boxer and -- >> one tough mother. heather "the heat" hardy. >> hear her comeback story after getting knocked down in the ring and by hurricane sandy. and the wait is almost over. the thursday buzz word you need for a shot at winning a fl

snowball some of this it's so rude the conservation scientist the shell she and the cap to the beach and into the third piece and peace and closure the breeders who went on to react to show she's a wonderful first babysitting then smith. then eventually chasing. and finally ignoring him. those closely attached to his mother and links to follow her whatever she goes although it is known to them who still enjoys cycling from his mother. sometimes sentenced two thousand and twelve. the state forestry administration whose seminal assistant hotels gradually introduction to one. experts conclude. and it can be releasing two to one of its exhibits normal behavior has developed a series of basic survival skills such as fortune for food. identifying creditors as was the choice of the living space. seven total was two years in two months old. the young and it enters the cage once more this time. there will always lie in between days. and to be reintroduced into the one rude. do. caption relocation two chances to come out of steam. conservation solutions tuesday. check up. he repeats to go i'll

jeremy had just learned how to make a snowball. >> taught him yesterday. >> looks like he's trying touild a snowman in south carolina. and his family is observing this whole thing. they're giving us the commentary. >> there you go, buddy. >> i thing he's made his head too big. >> he's talking to himself. >> he's some what successful. the thing is getting bigger. >> he's rolling this thing around and around. >> the head is little. big now. he thinks he gets it to the right size. >> then he tries to pick it up. >> do it, do it. >> oh. >> he drops it. after he drops it, the most can see it in his body language. >> oh, i need to go out there and help him. >> he's like, i'll start over. >> oh, yeah. >> whatever. >>> this is downhill skateboarding. we have seen videos like this before. these dudes have crazy skills. they're also going crazy speeds. this is william royce from alaska. this is in a race in brazil. a cool shot. a guy in front of him, his wuddy, lee, who is filming william. he's got a helmet. three pads. he's a pro. this is what this guy does. william get ts really close as he g

but a very slow snowball to roll forward in america. >> stay with me and when we come back, i'll talk to you about the highly unusual political scan toronto's crack smoking mayor back at work today as if nothing happened. >> yes, i have smoked crack cocaine but no -- do i? am i an addict? no. [ male announcer ] there will be more powerful storms. that's why there's new duracell quantum. only duracell quantum has a hi-density core. and that means more fuel, more power, more performance than the next leading brand. new duracell quantum. trusted everywhere. congestion, for the smog. but there are a lot of people that do ride the bus. and now that the buses are running on natural gas, they don't throw out as much pollution into the air. so i feel good. i feel like i'm doing my part to help out the environment. >>> yes, i have smoked crack cocaine. >> when, sir -- >> do i? am i an adduct? no. have i tried it? probably in a drunken stupor, probably a year ago. >> one of the top poll lit scandals, what do yaw make of this yes, i smoked crack cocaine and tomorrow i'll be back at my office des

but a very slow snowball to roll forward in america. >> stay with me and when we come back, i'll talk to you about the highly unusual political scandal. toronto's crack smoking mayor back at work today as if nothing happened. >> yes, i have smoked crack cocaine but no -- do i? am i an addict? no. ♪ [ chicken caws ] [ male announcer ] when your favorite food starts a fight, fight back fast with tums. heartburn relief that neutralizes acid on contact and goes to work in seconds. ♪ tum, tum tum tum tums! heartburn relief that neutralizes acid on contact at any minute... ...you could be a victim of fraud. most people don't even know it. fraud could mean lower credit scores... ...and higher interest rates when you apply for a credit card. it's a problem waiting to happen. check your credit score, check your credit report, at experian.com. america's number one provider of online credit reports and scores. don't take chances. go to experian.com. the recent increase in cafeteria prices is not cool. when you vote for flo, we'll have discounts. ice-cream discounts. multi-cookie discounts. pizza

due to which this huge resentment and growing and are among the lupus and the situation was soon snowball. it's a. sa water crotch or tall. that said india has been digging folklore and stomped on hold is science concluded that there is no board under the surface. it is a nepal and an an. she looks good study of india still digging for treasure of the fourth of june home from boxing in no according to the side of the shoots and its divisions have been so good that was new the sum of three pieces of the buddhist era have been found on sites. it's been recently begun or until the eighteen off to see a true glimpse of god. sewing is seems that one thousand tonnes of gold was supposed to be bid under the ruins of the nineteenth century fort as. but change is concerned but it's difficult to feed its leader. we were previously known as the mansion be at the end of another. james also been really tie into the excavation. in most of the next seventeen days to see what the media beattie's working in tv repeats. and after that. if you find there. what did the game is not possible for nothing though

that's the danger right now, this could sort of snowball. >> we're far away from the snowball, let's move on to talking about 2016. we have the new poll from nbc -- >> until 2016. >> thank you for clarifying. >> live fact checking, thank you very much, krystal ball. hillary is up on chris christie 44 to 34. why spend the $2 plus billion to do this thing, just give her the presidency now. we don't want to do that -- >> whoa. >> the gop is considering chris christie and the dems are dreaming allowed about elizabeth warren. they are parallel in that the gop is saying things are not going well, maybe we could move to the left of our side or the moderate part of our side away from the colonel curtz caucus and democrats are saying things are going so well, maybe we could move to the far left. >> well, that's right. so we've gotten sort of what a likely matchup could look like but we have a few years to try all other possibilities first. you can be sure both parties are going to do that. the republicans in particular are going to go through this whole mass kiss tick prokt process of going a

the snowballing abuse scandal has at times seemed posted to a bad dream. meeting to strip the mayor of most of his remaining powers and cut his budget was interrupted by protesters today. mayor ford may have been marginalized because of his inappropriate behavior but there are still those who believe it should be the people and not the politicians to decide his fate. >> mayor ford. >> i want to thank the thousands and thousands of e-mails and phone calls i am getting to continue on and to stay the course. hall, mayor city ford remains popular among those who bought into his tea party tight message of bloated government. on sundayat happened when the mayor turned out in support of his favorite canadian football team. the team's management has urged him to stay away but he turned up anyway. principals cheerleader, his elder brother doug who is also a member of toronto city council. >> today what is happening is a modern day coup d'État. it is an overthrow of an elected official democratically elected. this would never happen in the u.k. and it would have --

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do you see it this year, maybe snowballing next yeaas well?> i see it basically starting in the spring. i believe it wasn't start this christmas i. think we're seng the uncertainty, but i think what hurts consumer sentiment the whole thing is the lowest participation rate since 1978. we have a couple million fewer jobs than we had at pre-recession level and most of the jobs according to the federal reserve san francisco board have been low wage jobs that have taken the place of higher wage jobs. i think what we're seeing is down average is about 10% down projections for spending around christmas, around $700 per family. i think we're going to be hurting this christmas. i thin it will be mild but not necessarily because of obama care. >> john makes a good point. walmart is the world's largest retailer, but a lot of times companies say something may have an impact because they hope to lower expectations. do you think that's going on here >> i just think there's more than that. yohave to remember something. this is the gary b.'s point, one more i

heard that the french foreign minister decided to come as well and then following that it was a snowball effect, the british and then german foreign minister said that they had to be there and then late last night or now actually friday night we heard that the russian foreign minister would be coming and then when you get these very powerful individuals around the table, you know, they have a lot of -- of power and a lot of concerns that go beyond just negotiations here on the ground. they've got to answer directly to their heads of state. and so, you know, this really put things into a microscope that the atmosphere changed here significantly once these guys started to show up. and, of course, the fact that the french foreign minister showed up and apparently really threw a wrench in the works by standing strong on some issues, that significantly changed the course of these negotiations, apparently, and that will not be a issue as these kind of more operational individuals show up on the 20th and then deal with some of the more nitty gritty without the entourages and the late night phon

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>> he loves chasing snowballs. >> tell me, how did it feel when you got that call from go prosayinproaying would you like to be in a web commercial? >> i was super excited. i love go pro to begin with. it was kind of like a dream to have something with them. >>> all right, everybody. a flat screen tv giveaway time "right this minute." let's get it started. >> all you need to do to win a 42-inch flat screen tv, have monday's buzz word, be 18 or old are and a u.s. resident. >> to enter our facebook page, go to the first post and tap on the mobile link. >> time to reveal the monday buzz word. it is download. >> get on to facebook point come forward slash right this minute and click on the win a flat screen button. >> and enter the monday buzz word, download for your chance to win a flat screen tv. >>> what do you do if you have 10,000 square feet of bubble wrap and 106 cubic feet of packing peanuts. >> you could do this. this is the kind of stuff you dreamed of when you were five years old. soon, californians from to salinas to san diego will have equal access to quality health insurance

end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballspackages addressed by toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ that's mine. ♪ that's mine. ♪ that's mine. ♪ come on, kyle. ♪ [ horn honks ] that's mine...kyle. [ male announcer ] revenge is best served with 272 horses. now get the best offers of the season. current lessees with an expiring lease get this 2014 ats for around $299 a month. ♪ [ female announcer ] let betty do the measuring and get a head start on delicious homemade cookies. visit bettycrockercookies.com for fun holiday ideas. betty crocker cookie mix. just pour, mix...love. ♪ turkey for me, turkey for you ♪ >> whether you cook dozens of turkeys or if it's your first time. it's a comfort to know that butterball

it snowballed on social media. twitter caught fire.francisco into gotham city. and over several hours, this adorable little guy lived out his enormous dream. he rescued this damsel in distress from the city's famed

end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballsy toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ >>> i couldn't believe barney's sells a $70 t-shirt. so what is the biggest waste of money in your closet? >> steven says the most expensive item in my closet, a university t-shirt that cost more than $100,000. >> that's a good one. >> and one from a conflicted sports fan. one of these saints is not like the >> i love their mom. she's so outspoken. >> it depends on the end of outspokenness you are on. she did make some nuchlz. >> they asked her about jeb running for president. mrs. bush, would you like your son jeb to run? >> he's by far the most qualified man, but, no, i don't. i think it's a great country. there are a lot of grea

end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballsed by toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ >>> time for your morning desh oig of politics. senator rand paul has an idea. during an event in iowa, he offered to meet chris christie at a state fair. why? because they have fried twinkies there of course. >>> john boehner officially enrolled in obama care. took him a few trirew tries, bus finally successful. >>> it's hillary versus the heckler. mrs. clinton was speaking at a conference but not contactually what you might think. this heckler shouted hillary 2016. >> how do we get rid of the current mind set and get back to the beautiful art of governing that is compromise? >> there are some hecklers that i would never say a

one source said the sea doo big gaudy skilled snowball. what's something that caught with its two other unidentified people. so said the body had been to what's in stock the utility consult with exactly that in two days. it would be nice to be considered. some boats stopped on sunday the base of the market based on the top gong. this is to what system of this. an unidentified man was shot dead two men on the site. as he plucked out of a block we can and will be installed. was it all the rain. somewhere so i don't think you think is the a i did a tiny creepy nobody was there that live on the third in the nato summit. for school setting where the ladies. just about as a community or typos but maybe it isn't a monkey but many. what's in the guardian a potent offense. this will tie this but maybe at the weekend about what he says. indeed it was useless it chilled to toss into the united states was excited to see that they aren't too well the rooftops as specifically designated deal with terrorists. but there was a senior he does and finances f

end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballsackages addressed by toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ waiting for your wrinkle cream to work? neutrogena® rapid wrinkle repair has the fastest retinol formula. to visibly reduce fine lines and wrinkles in just one week. neutrogena®. >>> here's a look at today's forecast in some cities around the country. new york expect morning rain today. miami, sunny. chicago sunny as well. dallas, sunshine and a high of 70. and sunshine in los angeles. >>> time now for a check of the national forecast. the storms and damaging winds that pounded the midwest will move into the northeast and new england this morning. behind the front winds will remain strong with gusts up to 60 mile

back here, a woman who has had a feed barn back here for 30 years, she said we in november expect snowballs, not hail balls. so they didn't expect this to happen. most people stayed in their homes, and just sort of rode out this storm. they didn't leave town. i asked the people, has this ever happened? they said in their lifetime never have seen a storm this severe, this bad, so it has caught people off guard. >> jonathan, thank you very much. eboni will now describe the reasons behind the storm. was this expected. >> reporter: we were definitely watching it, and the ingredients were coming together for the severe weather outbreak. that's what we saw. an area of low pressure just north of that front, and it was creating a lot of wind energy at the surface we have winds coming up from the south. that warm moist air it was. what we're finding as this junior of low pressure moved along we're getting lift and instability. this lift and spin and move off to the east. that's where we got some of the thunderstorm activity. it started here in illinois. a line of storms progress eastward moving from

the flight delays already snowballing. meteorologist ginger zee right here. >>> the secret talks between the u.s. and iran revealed tonight. the blockbuster nuclear deal this weekend. what does iran have to give up? what do they get in return? and is it worth it for america? >>> the lotto lie. the customer and the winning ticket. the store owners who police say handed him $1,000. the problem is, he'd actually won $1 million. tonight, authorities say, nice try. and we've learned, it's happened before. >>> and dancing with the stars. the usher already famous to some nba fans. but what happens when they put this 11-year-old on the jumbotron next to him?

knowing this i am getting a pretty significant debt snowball at the moment not the first of the season is here. i am told will cruise the first of the season started last weekend in fact el coyote a local call pretty good idea to be seen in maybe thirty to fifty centimeters of snow on the next twenty four hours especially in the japan sea side this scene that still here. and sadly enough of that wet snow that will be following that we could see some tree limbs possible power and teaches tied down to st and downs and tells the highlands causing her packages that is to go to what's happening temperature wind because it will be affected by some colder temperatures in tokyo were looking to thirteen for the high on tuesday the local inventor as six degrees soul nine some pretty cool here is from this one to be for the high noon on a tour and fourteen and eighteen to stay nice and sunny for you. i will see showers coming to taipei and also hong kong twenty twenty five respectively on into the year at that things are looking pretty wet and wild and towards the north and west. i hear of the br

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end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballsckages addressed by toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ [ male announcer ] for a love that never fades over any amount of time, there's iams. with 50% more animal protein than other leading brands... ...to help keep his body as strong as his love. iams. keep love strong. there's new iams woof delights. some wet food has gluten and artificial flavors. iams has real meat and eggs in our tasty chunks. now that's real love. new iams woof delights. just unroll, fill... top, bake... and... wow. this is your best ever. thank you. [ female announcer ] pillsbury pie crust. make the holidays pop. >>> all right. you python fans you can rejoice. the sun in britain is reporting the

the deal won approval from the fruit of this meeting to try the snowball into the house and look at the weekend the ad we the us military could remain on top and spoiled beyond twenty fourteen. he even accepted that us troops have immunity from criminal prosecution in afghanistan. cause i have said several new conditions before he signs the security deal. one of them were nice to us military operations in private homes. yes the is strongly opal was to foreigners entering a good houses. cause i know he's demanding the us stopped and immediately. another realize to the presidential election makes it real. how zine h accused us of the differing in the last election in two thousand and nine even though cause i e seen eligible to run again. he wants washington to promise not to endorse a candidate. he says he'll only signed a security agreement after the election is over. rice express the strong opposition of the obama administration to kyle's eyes conditions and timetable. she said oh that's the deal is signed quickly the us would have but to stop funding the so called cerro option the with

end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballsckages addressed by toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ >>> now to other stories making headlines this morning. secretary of state john kerry announced the united states and afghanistan have drafted an agreement that would keep an american troop presence in the country through 2024. the draft will be presented to an afghan ground council for approval today. this after a senior aide to karzai claimed no agreement would be approved without an apology from the u.s.. kerry has denied any discussion of an american apology. >>> president obama awarded 16 people the presidential medal of freedom on wednesday, including former president bill clinton and oprah winfrey. the awar

. ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballs flying ♪ 5 packages addressedlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ like, scoring the perfect table? ♪ or getting a better seat? ♪ or let's say there's an accident. if you have esurance, you can use their mobile app to start a claim... upload a few photos... and get your money fast. maybe that doesn't make you a control freak. more like a control enthusiast. esurance. insurance for the modern world. now backed by allstate. click or call. esurance. insurance for the modern world. in controlling yournow overactive bladder symptoms. the new oxytrol for women patch. the first and only over the counter treatment for overactive bladder. put the control back in your go with new oxytrol for women. now in the fem

end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballs packages addressed by toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ ♪ ♪ >>> at the top of the show we talked point deadly tornadoes. if you wrantsz to sound smart tell your friends tornadoes as bill mentioned pretty rare in november but not unheard of. on average about 52 tornadoes are reported in the u.s. during november. the worst november tornado event in u.s. history between november 10th and 11th in 2002, a total of 75 tornadoes touched down across the tennessee and ohio valley region killing at least 36 people. >>> we hope everyone is okay in the midwest of the u.s. right now. >>> let's get rid of the news and louis and the cooler. >> "snl" where lady gaga may have been h

end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballs5 packages addressed by toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ we know we're not the center of your life, but we'll do our best to help you connect to what is. >>> some stories making news this morning. two people were killed in brazil after a crane collapsed at the site of a stadium that will hold next year's world cup. an investigation is under way to determine the cause. >>> four people have been arrested in georgia for attempting to use a remote control helicopter to deliver contraband over prison walls. a guard at the prison noticed the small helicopter flying over the gate and immediately ordered a search. it led authorities to this dodge containing the chopper and

end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballses addressed by toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ thank you. thank you. i got this. no, i'll get it! no, let me get this. seriously. hey, let me get it. ah, uh. i don't want you to pay for this. it's not happening, honey. let her get it. she got her safe driving bonus check from allstate last week. and it's her treat. what about a tip? oh, here's one... get an allstate agent. nice! [ female announcer ] switch today and get two safe driving bonus checks a year for driving safely. only from allstate. call an allstate agent and get a quote now. just another way allstate is changing car insurance for good. >>> all right. it's that time of the morning, time for "first buz

of december we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ ♪ 6 snowballsaddressed by toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ ♪ that kind of freaks me out ♪ [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ ♪ >>> now here's your first look at this morning's "scrambled politics." president obama is in san francisco this morning. he'll renew the call for the republican dominated house to pass immigration reform. the democratic controlled senate passed a comprehensive bill earlier this year. the president's speech comes on the heels of a new report out today that says 63% of americans favor a legislation to create a pathway for citizenship. that's according to the nonpartisan public religion research institute n oregon a christian group is fighting for the right to discriminate if gay marriage legislation is passed

the snowball these going into friday as well bought the rain is also any lingering around were looking at some of my speckled possibly up to over fifty millimeters already seen reports of a hundred other mention the wings that are coming in with this ec collie x is always gusting up to overcome a club restaurant also we gossiped about a hundred climbers proud of their title as well so this is going to be picking up that snow ice and the higher elevations this continues to push on shore good news though is holding off their towards the north the salsa most is his remaining a long siege can cause like tokyo don't expect snow on there though it really is is me looking a partly cloudy skies colder temperatures though that this high pressure coming in from the northwest mets the team down court to se what that does ushers in that cooler near beijing does not love and soul and nine tokyo just getting up to sixteen as they look farther down the course itself taipei some rain showers there for us that we answer that call there is bring in some showers air across portions of southern china deta

end of december, we'll be delivering ♪ ♪ through 12 blizzards blowing ♪ 8 front yards blinding ♪ 6 snowballsy toddlers ♪ ♪ that's a q ♪ 4 lightning bolts ♪ 3 creepy gnomes ♪ 2 angry geese ♪ and a giant blow-up snowman ♪ that kind of freaks me out [ beep ] [ female announcer ] no one delivers the holidays like the u.s. postal service. priority mail flat rate is more reliable than ever. and with improved tracking up to 11 scans, you can even watch us get it there. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] laura's heart attack didn't come with a warning. today her doctor has her on a bayer aspirin regimen to help reduce the risk of another one. if you've had a heart attack, be sure to talk to your doctor before you begin an aspirin regimen. martin luther king jr.: we hold these truths to be self-evident -- that all men are created equal. john f. kennedy: the torch has been passed to a new generation of americans. barbara jordan: the american dream need not forever be deferred. lyndon johnson: this is the richest and the most powerful country... waiter: here's your check. oh! you--you got it. you know, since i got

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make a play for a move back to 25, i think if it breaks there, you could see the thing start to snowball. today the stock was $29 i bought the december 29 put for 1.60. my break even is 27.40. above 29 i lose the whole 1.60, but if this whole thing starts to go down and implied volatility pick up, then i can sell it at the implied strike put. >> this is the trade to make, when you start seeing an implied volatility graph. that's just a measure of how expensive options are when they are inexpensive that's the time to buy them, don't get fancy is sell things against it. this is an opportunity trade, too. we had a market that had for a long time basically going one direction. if the market does exhibit cracks, these weak stocks will get a lot weaker, that will be a great opportunity to spread out of it. >> the only beef, it's true implied volatility got 25% cheaper today. that doesn't mean it's cheap. you are actually spending a fair amount of money for a low-priced stock. if you look, it is interesting, because there is a divot after the may earnings, and if you see the same thing after th

think the biggest risk between now and end of the year is the momentum trade coming undone and snowballing. so if you believe in that, this is a smart trade. just remember one other thing, it will be added to the s & p at some point and gap higher, that's probably in the new year, this is december expiration. >> let's move to the other big story, the blowout jobs numbers. the employment report was not good news for a number of interest rates, sensitive stocks, dominic. >> interest rates were on the rise thanks to that better than expected jobs report. those rising rates could be hurting some big names in the home building side of things, the fundamental reason is simple. higher rates flow into higher mortgage rates. and higher mortgage rates have a negative effect on home affordability. some of the markets biggest laggards were pultegroup, d.r. horton, keep an eye on home builders if you think the interest rate trajectory continues higher. back to you. >> thanks, dom. was today selloff in the home builders just an aberration, let's go to the charts and get answers from carter braxton worth

when you lose them, that snowball will start going as we have enough confidence on our guys to play through them. >> we cannot do that to step on out there and look at the record to say this is who we are. you need to step out there to believe that you can win each game. >> he'll talk about the clutch games. but take a look at the difference between this year and last and in games decided by ten games or fewer. they were 9-5 last season with a 65% winning percentage. so far they are 3-6. only 33% winning percentage. >>> finally tonight, you think you're tough? you think you could win a marathon? how about a marathon in sub- zero temperatures. the polar bear marathon where runners are racing and in get this minus 42-degree windchill. only 12 runners will brave that cold race. and the winners still did it in four hours, 12 minutes. that's pretty impressive. >> wow. >> that looks like zero fun. [ laughter ] >> no pun intended. >> no pun intended. only 12 people were brave enough to do it. >> good for you. >> brave, that's the word they're using? >> brave. >> yes. >> all right. [ laughter ] >>