trump at 47. and as i said earlier, we the in the matchup between biden and trump, we have biden at 44 also and trump at 48. >> all right. this is all very fascinating. i wonder when you talk to kennedy junior and some of the interviews, he says, look, i'm not going to just play spoiler to biden. that's not it. i draw equally from republicans and democrats. but according to this poll, does it seem like that that is true, that what he is saying is supported? or does it seem like he does, in fact, get more from one side? >> um, our polling shows that he pulls basically similar amounts away from each of the major party candidates. um, however, you know, there is some historical evidence depending on who you ask that third party candidates can influence elections. you know, i'm thinking of people like jill stein and ralph nader. um so it is possible. and, you know, a year out, we don't know exactly how how things will turn out. >> the two you named famously playing spoiler to hillary clinton and al gore, according to many democrats, anyway. so it remains to be seen how the robert f kennedy junior factor

in georgia, a lead of six points for president trump 49% vs. president biden, 43%. g to pennsylvania, former president trump leading in the poll over mr. biden, 44%. arizona, 40 9%-40 4%. and then showing a lead for president biden, the only state of the swing states that the poll took, a 47% lead for joe biden, 45% for mr. trump. this story from the new york times goes on to say discontent halting with a majority of voters say mr. biden's policy of personally hurt them. the survey also revealed the extent to which the multiracial and multi general coalition elected mr. biden is fraying. demographic group that backed mr. biden by landslide margins are normal -- now more closely contested as two thirds of the electorate sees the country moving in the wrong direction, deciding that voters over 30 favor mr. biden by only one percentage point. and his advantage at the top of mr. trump's edge in the rural region. when it comes to this idea of a rematch between president biden and former president trump, is that something you support or oppose? again, (202) 748-8000 for de

yes. be a trump biden match-up? yes, i think be a trump biden match-up?p biden match-up? yes, i think so. yes. thank you - be a trump biden match-up? yes, i think so. yes. thank you so i i think so. yes. thank you so much for _ i think so. yes. thank you so much for being _ i think so. yes. thank you so much for being on _ i think so. yes. thank you so much for being on bbc- i think so. yes. thank you so much for being on bbc news. a new yorkjury has ordered robert de niro's production company to pay his former personal assistant more than $1 million. the company was found guilty of engaging in gender discrimination and gender discrimination and gender discrimination against chase robinson. she quit his company in 2019. robinson says the star underpaid her, made sexist comments and assigned her stereotypically female tasks when she worked as an executive. the he was not found personally liable in the civil trial. actors are preparing to return to work in hollywood after nearly four months of strikes. davies williams reports. relief tonight at the london p

there is a fundamental problem president biden has. donald trump and president biden may be two sides of the same coin. they may be the only person to be nominated by their party who could lose to the other guy. it is clear whichever party figures out they put a fresh face in the contest they have a leg up in the election, we will see if anybody is smart enough to pick up on. paul: nikki haley is gaining in the polls, clear second in new hampshire and south carolina, and tied in one paul with desantis for second to trump in iowa. what her chances of kind of becoming the clear alternative to trump, and does she have to knock out desantis in iowa? >> he doesn't have to knock out desantis, she needs to be a strong second in iowa. it's a disk different description of the challenger. let's look at scenarios from iowa. the first one is trump wins, 50% of the vote. it is problematic from then on. he is pulling it in the i will poll at 43 out of 43, 29 of the 43 say my mind is made up for trump and 14 say i am for trump but open to voting for somebody else

pay attention to this win, could be a precursor of things to come. >> carley: new poll shows trump beating bidenwatch. >> this is significant this is first time in history of our poll that former president trump beats president biden still within the margin of error, still significant. >> 2019, trump trailed them, this year he trailed all of them, first time we've seen result like this. >> carley: the erosion of support as young voters break from biden favoring trump by four points. gen-z voters join me now. this number, this number that shows that young people support donald trump over joe biden by 4 points is particularly surprising and important because young people in swing states really led to joe biden winning. what is driving this number? >> absolutely, joe biden is out of touch with younger generation but basically everybody. i think on the left so many people feel disengaged from politics and what he's adv advocating for. >> carley: biden's birthday blues, trump takes the lead and dems hit panic button as joe turns 81 today. happy birthday, president biden. how to combat the age concern

we've already had the election of trump versus biden. biden knows how to stand up to trump. let's say that we get rid of -- biden decides today he's not going to run. we have a 20-way primary. we have no idea who is going to come out of that primary, and several months layer they have donald trump in the general election. is that a better bet than the guy who has already won? i don't think so. >> going back to "the new york times" poll, asking who is better in a democracy? biden is 48% and 45 for trump. two of trump's lawyers have now pleaded guilty in georgia for trying to overthrow the election there. biden only up by 3% on democracy, basically within the margin of error? >> the same poll democrats had a three-point lead overall? which party do you favor? i think that's about what that is. that shows you how split this country is. we really are split right down the middle. i don't care who the nominees are, this is going to be a super close election because those are the elections we have. people on that question, jake, are just going at their party ideology. the republican

there were zero polls in which donald trump led joe biden. this cycle including the four you just saw on the tiers screen, get this: 17 polls where donald trump leads joe biden. this is s a vastly different rae than the one we saw four years ago. why is the race so different? well i'll give you a clue why. take a look here, age 18 to 24, biden versus trump margin, biden won those voters by 21 points.s. look at where we are now in an average of 2023 polls, biden is up about five points at this particular point. a big part of the democratic base going away from joe biden and that is a reason why he was trailing while he was leading the entire 2020 campaign. >> important context, harry thank you. >>> the divide of the democrats is growing on the israeli war, two major stores are developing tonight, more companies are punishing elon musk because of his tweet. ronronan farrell is here. and a person admits, jamal hill and carey champion join me to respond. ♪ ♪ ♪ >> a provocative political question tonight. do democrats have an israel problem? the d

in the start of the year, 49% had a positive view of biden and 32, trump. gap is gone. 36% on both and actually biden, one point more negative than trump. that's been a significant advantage. that advantage for now may be gone and we talked about younger voters on foreign policy and it's true on a host of other topics and disaffected with joe biden. we have 46% for trump. 42% for biden. the youngest voters in the 2020 election were biden, plus 26. this could be a massive sea change, and if you take a look here, too, everybody sort of says i'm not too nuts about the possibility of this matchup. let's measure this one away and here's how we did it. biden against an unnamed republican, and this is a referendum on biden. look at this, he goes from being in a dogfight with trump to double digits and flip it around. trump against an unnamed democrat and trump goes from leading against biden to down six points to the democrat? just a fascinating state of the race with just under a year to go. steve kornacki, great stuff. thank you very much for being here. when we

let me start conformer president trump b2 joe biden next fall? he is electable doesn't that impeach the main political argument against him? >> if it is trump versus bite it yes trump can win biden can win as well this is an election more people will be voting against the opponent them for their guy. the recent poll showing donald trump as a point or two ahead of joe biden nationwide further ahead in the early battleground states the key battleground states this is a real threat to joe biden's continued presence in office but it is by no means a guarantee of the outcome. 20 very close election either way the role of third party candidates none of them can win the presidency but all of whom can have a deep impact on who wins the presidency. all of these things are get to play out. either man can win in donald trump is ahead today. >> are there gop presidential hopefuls that would fare better against joe biden and the former president? >> absolutely. the polls show for example one pole had donald trump over biden by two i think nikki or ron desanti

among millennial voters, he's beating biden and trump. and among independents in those battleground states, rfk showing a comfortable lead with 39% to biden's 28% and trump's 25%. so rfk jr.'s campaign if they are able to mobilize, we might see a repeat of the '68 presidential race than the 2020 race. i refer to george wallace beat the nominee in five states. but ballot access is a major hurdle for independent candidates, not to mention motivating enough voters to turn out. larry david himself once covered this subject on "curb." >> hey. can ask you a personal question? >> what? >> who are you voting for? >> snider. >> you're voting for snider? >> i have a proposition for you. they cancel each other out. let's gt out of here. >> i like it. >> beautiful. let's go. >> cheryl hines joins me now, she's an actress, director, producer, comedian, businesswoman and wife of presidential candidate robert f kennedy jr. great to have you here. you have tons on your own plate. how active a role are you playing in this campaign? >> i would say pretty ac

donald trump we have had 46%. biden, 44. >> this is significant because this is the first time in the history of our poll that former president trump beats president biden still within the margin of error. but still significant. >> so those are the lucid liberal lap dogs but some on the left, they have opted for willful blindness. biden isn't the problem. no, he couldn't be. you're the problem. your inability to be controlled. >> sadly, so many of those extremists, those maga extremists take their marching orders from donald trump who has no credibility left by any measure. he's only in it for himself. he's now defending himself in civil actions and criminal actions, and when do they break with him? because at some point, you know, maybe there needs to be a formal de programming of the cult members. >> you're the problem. remember it. prepare for the most negative campaign in history because democrats have nothing positive to run on. here now with reaction, fox news contributor ari fleisher. the harris poll chairman mar

a new poll from "new york times" siena college finds former president trump ahead of president biden in five out of six critical swing states, trump beat biden by 11 points in nevada, six points in georgia five in arizona michigan, four in pennsylvania, now biden is winning on trump in wisconsin, by two points, voters also pick trump on economy immigration turmoil in middle east former president is set to testify, take the stand today, in his 250-million-dollar civil fraud trial against trump and his company. that will happen this morning, this is all happening amid what turley has called an unconstitutional gag wrod the judge will not allow trump to say a word about anything including his clerk the clerk is on her phone around apparently then whispering into judge's ear we don't know what that is about talking to on phone this is happening repeatedly i am told. liz: everything about this trial of donald trump so offensive entire premise absurd, because everyone in real estate industry understands what trump did may be with a little more he egregious, to secure best loans, by the way,

zero polls in which donald trump led joe biden. ar this cycle, including the four you saw on first screen, get this. 17 polls where donald trump leads joe biden. this is a vastly different race than the one that we saw four years ago. why is race so different? well, i'll give you a clue why. take a look here. age 18 to 34, biden versus trump margin, 2020 result, biden won by 20 points. now in an average of polls, biden up by just five points at this particular point. so a big part of the democratic base going away from joe biden and that is a big reason why, he is trailing when he was leading throughout the entire 2020 campaign. >> important context there. harry enten, thank you. >>> and the divide among democrats is growing now over the israel war. two of them will join me next. >>> plus, two major stories are developing tonight. more companies are punishing elon musk over his antisemitic tweet and one of the titans behind this a.i. boom is suddenly and mysteriously fired. ronan farrow is here on those headlines. >>> and an nfl hos

but as a democrat concerned about donald trump, what do you want biden to do? >> i want him to consider what is best in terms of the goal that i know he is committed to, which is defeating trump. if he believes based on not just what it's in his heart, but what's in data and what he's been told that he has the best chance to do it, then he should run. but you know, the thing that irritates me a little bit, wolf, is this notion that people who are concerned are bedwetters is a phrase actually i think originated in 2008 obama campaign in a much different context. there is reason to be concerned and people shouldn't dismiss these polls and should the president press forward, i think that they need to really take this another notch up and turn this into a comparative campaign. you know, these polls reflect a kind of sour mood in the country about the direction of the country, direction of the economy. and they really have to turn this into an aggressive comparative campaign. they've got a very kind of historically, epically flawed candidate on the other side, but th

won in 2020, former president donald trump is beating biden by 11 points. in georgia where trump faces criminal charges for his efforts to overturn the election results, biden is trailing by six points. in arizona which president trump carried in 2016 and lost in 2020, biden is losing by five points. finally, in michigan, trump is leading biden by five points. cnn's priscilla alvarez is traveling with the president and joins us live from rehoboth beach, delaware. priscilla, what is likely behind these numbers? >> reporter: the voters seem to be dissatisfied with the economy. questions remain over the age of president biden and his ability to steer the country in the next four years. what is notable about these poll numbers is these are four king swing states that president biden won in 2020. now he's trailing behind former president donald trump in this hypothetical scenario. in a statement the biden campaign downplayed the poll saying, quote, president biden's campaign is hard at work reaching and mobilizing our diverse winning coalition of voters one year

trump? and there's still this feeling among democratic voters that we don't love biden. we have questions about his age, but we still think he can beat trump. >> my question is one of the big things that trump said was to move voters. we'll see. guy, great discussion. coming up, more with my exclusive interview with former speaker mccarthy. now that he e lost the s speake gavel, h how much lolonger does planan to stay i in congressss? (♪♪) (♪♪) (♪♪) get exclusive offers on select new volvo models. contact your volvo retailer to learn more. >>> some more news from my interview with former speaker kevin mccarthy. we talked about congress and while he said he will finish out his current term, what comes after that? to be determined. >> i have the holidays and i'll talk to my family about the ideas going forward and then i'll make a decision. >> make a decision whether to stay in congress? >> i want to make sure speaker johnson was able to come into office. i wanted to make sure he had the resources and the need, whatever help i can provide. i want to make sure that i continu

in nevada, trump leads biden by 11 points, 52% to 41%. in pennsylvania, trump leads by four points, 48% to 44%. e only battleground state biden would retain, according to this poll, is wisconsin. >> wisconsin trends older and wider, and, weirdly enough, those are the only voters biden hasn't bled support from. >> voters say they trust tmp more than biden to handle key issues. on the economy, trump is favored by 22 points. on immigration, his lead is 12 points. on handling the israel-hamas war, trump holds an 11-point edge over biden. and on national security, trump's lead is 12 points. >> let's stop for one second. >> can we stop right there? >> if you look at the israel-ham war, you have donald trump, who 11-point favored by voters, 11 points. he has called hezbollah terrorists smart. he is complimenng the terrorists, and he is attacking israel. he's up plus 11. what does that tell you? the economy is bizarre. >> this is interesting. >> i'm not going into the numbers now. inflation has been a problem for biden. by every other measurement,

. >> so if it comes down to trump and biden, you're going to vote for trump then?i'm a republican. >> okay, so you'll vote for trump. >> it's not going to be trump and biden, i'm telling you. >> another republican with biden. >> i mean this quite sincerely the party that moves on from trump or biden wins. >> this isn't a one-off quote, this is at the root of everything, if you're not willing to say if it's not trump i'm going to democrats, doesn't that undercut coalessing behind someone else. >> you have the former attorney general bill barr who said donald trump is not a good president and a danger to this country if presented a choice between donald trump and a democrat, he might go back with donald trump again, look, the koch brothers are doing something pretty notable here, they're swallowing some major disagreements with nikki haley on a slew of political issues. she's hawk and they are not. >> and i think it speaks to bigger issue here, people, voters, don't want to have another matchup between biden and trump. people are very disinterested and unmotivated. u

trump spoke in iowa. he took a shot at biden's botched exit out afghanistan. elected to get back bagram airbase biden let go. trump wants to monitor china. let's get your reaction. >> we'll keep bagram. bagram is just the biggest airbase just about anywhere in the world. biggest runways, powerful, eight feet deep in concrete. it can hold anything. they gave it up i wanted it because one hour away from where china makes their nuclear missiles. we gave it up. liz: what do you think, dan. >> that frankly wasn't part of the deal trump administration negotiated for withdrawal of troops in afghanistan. honestly that ship has sailed. we'll not get bagram back. we track china in the south china sea where they're mill at that riding we track them in beijing, all over the world. i would like to have bagram back, i think it is a shame we didn't keep it not for al qaeda or isis. those are major threats. we don't have eyes on targets or kinetic finishing capability we need. we learned pro9/11, if you give terrorists unpositive earned space they will plot and work against us

these are nationals polls where trump led biden. this is the 14th poll where trump led biden. you an idea how different that is from what we saw in the 2020 cycle, there was zero, zero, zero polls where trump led biden nationally. now wegovy 14. something is clearly different. how it's different, i again, i am not sure. but the numbers are clearly telling us these are two very unpopular frontrunners for their party's nomination. >> when you say we have to untangle this going forward, can we? a couple more specials over the course. next year. this is a question. we are going to have a thousand polls. >> i think the question is there are a lot of people in the middle who just can't possibly believe these two parties are going to nominate somebody as unpopular as joe biden and donald trump. what happens when they realize these are the choices we are going to get. we have a year to go. polls are not predictive but give you an idea of the state of the race in folks' minds now. peep are not happy and may be willing to throw out the baby with the bathwater despite they are voting for

biden. we have 46% for trump. 42% for biden. among the youngest voters.est voters in the 2020 election were biden, plus 26. this could be a massive sea change. and if you take a look here, too, everybody sort of says, hey, i'm not too nuts about the possibility of this matchup. let's measure this one way, and here's how we did it. biden against an unnamed republican, and this is a referendum on biden. look at this, he goes from being in a dogfight with trump to double digits and flip it around. trump against an unnamed democrat and trump goes from leading against biden to down six points against a democrat. >> just a fascinating look at the state of the race with just under a year to go. steve kornacki, great stuff. thank you very much for being here. >>> when we come back, republican presidential candidate and former new jersey governor chris christie joins me next. new jersey governor chris christie joins me next you're probably not easily persuaded to switch mobile providers for your business. but what if we told you it's possible that comcast business

michigan, trump and biden are neck and neck. otherwise, trump has a sizable lead. this is important because some of these estates are states biden won in 2020 and would need to win again. host: when you drill down in here -- guest: when you drill down in here, you are looking at the issues where voters trust trump over button, on things like the economy, which a lot of voters say will be their top issue. they trust trump more than biden. foreign policy is less important to voters. single digits of people say this will be the first thing on their list when deciding who to vote or, but it's important for what the white house is doing. you have wars in ukraine and the israel-hamas conflict taking a lot of the president's time as well as the debate in congress about where money should be going. so looking at those debates, voters say they want more money here for the u.s., border security, versus overseas conflicts. you are seeing a disconnect between both and biden is doing and what voters are concerned with. host: if we look at some of the individual states, some of t

inexplicable credibility, siena college poll shows president trump beating biden five of six key states talk to us about road ahead monica crowley was here said primary is done candidates need to get behind trump. >> well, i think that is basically right. i don't see any plausible by a barring some gigantic health problem that trump is not going to be the nominee last poll i saw he was 63% against the whole field. the closest person, i think was governor desantis at 14. now if you are at this stage campaigning all year, made the case, the news media made the case the justice department has made the case, in the end, i think, trump people you heard me say this before people need to understand that trump is in fact the leader of a movement not a normal candidate. so you can't measure him, the question is, what are the lessons movement has to learn in ohio, where both marijuana and abortion did much better than you would have thought a state had gone increasingly republican would have done, to learn in virginia the general election is not done yet although i think pr

meanwhile, another poll over the weekend showed troubling signs for biden. trump is leading biden in 5 of 6 key battleground states. those states were won by the

, it will be biden or trump that would probably give netanyahu more leewayhan biden has done. and trump has declared that he will impose a broad range of severe and overtly discriminatory immigration policies, including a muslim ban. steven milner the white house, has been posting pictures of pro-palestinian demonstrations and declaring that i.c.e. will be busy in 2025, implying broad scale deportation. the groups think that biden is not listening to their concerns. that will be the choice they face, if they take actions in the summer and fall of 2024, that makes that world more likely. >> that is the reality, isn't it? we're one year away from americans casting their vote. and the new polls show donald trump leading joe biden in four key battleground states, nevada, georgia, arizona, michigan. the polls show that voters favor trump when it comes to the economy, immigration, national security and decisions about israel's war. this is despite trump facing legal issues. what is going on here? how should and could the white house respond to this troubling news,

the latest poll data gives confidence to candidate trump. biden completely fell apart. , according to a new york times poll. important swing states. trump leads biden in arizona, georgia, michigan, nevada and pennsylvania everywhere except wisconsin. 3 years ago in all these states, the current us president is believed to be noticed or not wanted to be noticed only in biden’s inner circle. the most alarming thing, of course, is biden ’s wards, those whose very existence directly depends on the continued stay of the current us president in the white house, it’s not for nothing that zelensky is so involved, a year before the american elections he began to invite trump to kiev, going with english to ukrainian and back. he is very much being dealt with by the biden administration and i do not want to create a conflict of interest, trump wrote in a statement in response to zelsky's invitation on nbc's meet the press. the republicans in the senate are really holding their fists for zelsky, because he helps make money for the american military-industrial complex, whose interest

but there is this new cnn poll shows former president trump beating president biden by 4 percentage pointsis also siena poll shows trump beating biden in five of six states. what is ron desantis' path forward. i don't know that we necessarily believe any poll from cnn. but, nonetheless, we are really focused on making sure that we get our message out to americans across the country much, which is why this recent endorsement by governor reynolds in iowa was so important for us. i think she recognizes. she did the courage juries thing. she could have stayed on the sidelines she support and endorsed governor desantis because she has worked closely with him and seen his leadership firsthand when they were dealing with covid. she has made sure to tell iowaians she not only supports him but committed to caucus for him. she is going to go around iowa and campaign for him. i think polls, of course, are a snapshot in a moment of time. what we believe is that the voters will speak loudly and they will speak on election day, and i believe firm live that they will support ron desantis. >> todd: in kim

do you think ultimately when it becomes a choice, between joe biden and donald trump, even if you're , say, not enthused with joe biden's policies on these issues, he will be very eager to point out what do you think donald trump would do if he was president and try to draw that contrast in order to take voters who are unenthused and make them enthused as the election approaches. >> thank you for putting this in perspective for us. that is great. thank you to kristin and to all of you for being part of my program this week.k. i'll seeee you nexext week.

biden. look at former president donald trump, 48% say they wouldn't vote for him. when it comes to a head to hadded match up, look who they are going for, 45% for president biden and 49% say they will vote for the former president. you have another 2% that say we will not vote at all, why does this matter? landscape of thing things, looks like the former president, it was about emotion and where we stand on the national stage. >> steve: if you just look at the candidates, it is like that. the question was about the candidate. if you put abortion into the issue and the economy and etcetera, you get different results. >> ainsley: what do you think republicans need to do with abortion messaging. >> lawrence: talk to the people, give and take on issues, majority of americans don't like the rape and incest thing. donald trump got pushback from the republican base that he wasn't strong enough and helped overturn roe v. wade with appointment of judges. looks like he's in the majority when it comes to majority of voters and not getting a ding with the poll. >> brian: cbs po

a quarter of americans back biden, compared to 53% who say trump has that. on being an effective world leader, biden comes in at 36%, trump at 48%. we are seeing the same trends nationally that we saw in the swing state polls from "the new york times" and sienna college. biden losing support among key groups that helped him win in 2020, voters younger than 35 where trump leads by a point. but in 2020, biden won that group by 24 points. among black voters, 73% favor biden. that number was 87% for biden in 2020. and latino voters have split, 50% say biden, 46% say trump. that's a 4 point margin. in 2020, biden won that group by 33 points, and there appears to be an enthusiasm gap. 71% of republicans say they are extremely motivated to go to the polls in '24, compared to 61% of democrats. >> we'll discuss all of this and more, cnn political commentator, kate bedingfield, the deputy campaign manager of the 2020 campaign. is the assumption here that at some point people will zero in on a trump versus biden rematch and therefore the coalition will come home? >> i t

take a look at black voters, 73, biden to 23. trumpour poll, that's 50 point lead, except joe biden three years ago won black voters by 75 points in that election, latino voters basically dead even here, 50. biden, 46% trump. that was a group joe biden won by 33 points. and look at young voters. they are they are deadlocked 47. biden, 48. trump. that was a very strong biden group. he won them by roughly 24 points, just three years ago. some key attributes the key qualities of the candidates, the strong qualities here for joe biden. respect the rule of law. 51% of our poll respondents say that applies to joe biden. only 35% say that that applies t donald trump. honest and trustworthy. you see that joe biden best. donald trump by nine percentage points on that score. flip it to donaltrump's strongest attributes. an effective world leader. he is 12 points ahead of bide on that score, 48% to 36. and has the necessary stamina and sharpness to serve as president only 25% of our poll respondents a quarter say that is true of joe biden. double

again, biden versus trump. 2020 results. biden won all of them. here we have a tie in michigan, we look in pennsylvania, look at that, another state where donald trump is ahead, wisconsin perhaps the best number for joe biden in this particular polling data set. but overall, if donald trump wins the states he's leading in in these polls, he will, in fact, be the president of the united states. >> is there one problem? there's 50 different policies, what's the primary issue for biden. >> i think the primary issue is age. age in two different ways. here's this question, which i think is so important, too old to be an effective president, the vast majority of 70% of likely voters across the six battle ground states say that joe biden is too old. donald trump, only he's only slightly younger than the current president of the united states, 39% say he's too old to be an effective president. this number has been going higher and higher. four years ago, this number was in the 30s. now it's 70%. it's a matter of perception, even though the numbers on age a

. >>> plus, president biden ramping up his attacks on his predecessor. he's calling donald trump a loser and a danger to the country. will the tougher tone help biden in the polls? and hate on campus. the department of education has launched investigations into seven schools over complaints of anti-semitism and islamophobia. we're following these stories and many more coming in right here to "cnn news central." >>> sources tell cnn that hamas is demanding that israel stop flying surveillance drones over gaza as a condition for freeing hostages held by the terrorist group. it's part of hamas' push for israel to pause its military operations in exchange for people it's holding captive. it comes after the idf says two hostages were found dead near al shifa hospital. israel said today the body of 19-year-old noa marciano, a corporal in the israeli military, has been returned to israeli territory. all of this unfolding as conditions inside gaza hospital continues to worsen. the palestinian ministry of health says 41 patients, including three premature babies have died in recent days d

we should note this poll is registered voters, biden, 37, trudg trump, 59. ifference of 22%. if you're going out talking all about biden, it actually feels confusing, wait a second, voters don't actually -- if you're saying bidenomics is what you're feeling that doesn't say that's what you're trying to convince people of. >> there's two problems here. first, politics say lot more emotional than rational. it's not going to come down to the economy, but people say that and that's just not true. otherwise, john kerry would have won. that wasn't the case, elections come down between two different human beings. in the end, that's what voters will be deciding on, all the indicators, all of the data that we have the voting behavior, the voting trends that we know of trend towards joe biden when it comes to head to head during donald trump. if you're talking about the economy, let's talk about all of the industries that people are actually working in. there is kind of an odd sole focus on just manufacturing. and labor jobs. i think if you look at the last elections i

trump was right for that right time. no one is really talking about it. people talk about it with biden. but trump thinks that he ran against barack obama. trump is not always sure where he is. >> where it is we make it into world war ii. >> it's not clear. he might be non corpus mentors and nobody says anything. there is this sort of, the biden conversation about his age isn't had about trump, trump is three years younger. trump is arguably not all. they're not there the way he was even in 2016. his lack of ability to get through a sentence, he's lucy's words. there's a lot there. if one of these candidates wanted to try to take him down, if they had the political skill, i don't know if any of them have the political skill, there's so much there that it actually is political malpractice that they're not even trying. >> the biden harris put out the press release calling out the media for not covering a lot of these gaffes, and i think it's good that his rallies aren't taken lightly, but you do miss a lot of the gaffes. you have to go looking for. them he was on the stage, he didn't know w

i do think ultimately when it becomes a choice, between joe biden and donald trump, even if you're someones, say, not enthused with joe biden's policies on these issues, he will be very eager to point out what do you think donald trump would do if he was president, and try to draw that contrast in order to take voters who are unenthused now and make them enthused as the election approaches. >> thank you for putting this in perspective for us. that is great. thank you to kristin and to all of you for being part of my program this week. i'll see you next week. kwkwt clear 3clear c'mon, we're right there. c'mon baby. it's the only we need. go, go, go, go! ah! touchdown baby! -touchdown! are your neighbors watching the same game? yeah, my 5g home internet delays the game a bit. but you get used to it. try these. they're noise cancelling earmuffs. i stole them from an airport. it's always something with you, man. great! solid! -greek salad? exactly! don't delay the game with verizon or t-mobile 5g home internet. catch it on the xfinity 10g network.

i think that in a way. — biden over donald trump. he context changes the dynamics of the race. and presidency is a performative role and you know that even now, we see his team at the white house, be tightly control his commitments and he does look increasingly frail and the voters see that and there is a risk we are at that age is that things deteriorate quickly. that is life and it comes to one of us. after leaving the democratic party is looking at this behind closed doors into the have an alternative candidate that came to pass? it’s candidate that came to pass? it's not rroin candidate that came to pass? it�*s not going to come to pass the reality is joe not going to come to pass the reality isjoe biden is running for reelection and he will be the democratic nominee with all due respect to my colleagues who might know are running in new hampshire. i think though that then, once we get them to do thousand 24, you will see improvement and poll numbers and i am not withjoe biden every day but i've been with them in the same room qui

first time trump led biden in nbc polling history, although trump's lead falls within the margin of error. steve corne summing up this way. more than 2-1 disapprove. equally significant 7% approve of joe biden. more than 1-5 say they disapprove. you need more unified support in your own party. >> kayleigh: bill, the numbers are eye-opening with caveat of red wave and looking like republicans would have a huge night. with that caveat, i'm worried if i'd biden looking at this >> bill: the polling when they did six battleground states. the youth vote 70% of these between the age of 18 and 34 disapprove of the way the president is handling the war in the middle east. 60 days ago, no one thought about that. think about the internal strife within the democratic party and this youth vote reflects that. everybody will make a big deal about the birthday, 81. i hope i make it to 81 and i'm happy and have a zest for life, but the war is a big deal and student loan forgiveness promised this age group, has not been the issue the president wanted it to be in terms of removing student loan obligation fo

biden is old. they gave former president trump a huge edge in the match up against biden showing people want trump biden, how do you explain that? >> the world is on fire and this wouldn't happen if president trump was in charge. president trump is only winning by 10 points in nevada, how could anyone vote for joe biden sdiven the disaster we're in in this country and around the world. >> todd: florida not really a swing state anymore, they are pretty red, do they track what your constituents are telling you? >> absolutely, it is easy. we knew things would be bad under biden, i don't think we knew it would be this bad. wars all over the place, americans being killed and you have have a sandwich for lunch and it is $20. the world has gone crazy and people remember what it was like under president trump. >> todd: trump is going up against ron desantis, your governor, the two of them traded jabs this weekend. take a look. >> you can sit and talk about big game, have rhetoric, do this, make promises, if you are not winning elections and winning big policy fights, it will not matter. in florida, of cou

, okay, joe biden fell off a bike. donald trump has never been on a bike. they both make gaff. we could look at reels of gaffs made by joe biden and donald trump. i don't think there's been the same level of focus, because donald trump is not president and doesn't have a bully pulpit. on the issue of the young voters and the israel-hamas thing, administration needs to do a better job of tooting its own horn s joe biden is not getting credit for -- he's getting no credit for the role he's played in getting the rafah crossing open. no credit for every single time he condemns anti-semitism, he also condemns islam ophobia. >>> you were struck by maureen dowd's argument over the weekend. david axelrod had a big warning. he said biden has a 50-50 shot, but not better than that, maybe worse. is this white house listening to david axelrod? >> i think they probably are, but doing it quietly and behind closed doors, and i think honestly, it's somewhat frustrating to democrats who are incredibly supportive of the president. when a poll comes

trump. as it turns out we've seen joe biden for three years. t of people are nostalgic for donald trump's policy. >> one important component of the 2020 election. he was basically saying i'm going to be a transitional figure and restore normality, expect me to be there for one term and a new generation will rise up. think about it. we have for the last 32 years governed by baby boomers in 1992 or in the case of joe biden the generation before the baby boomers. before that we were governed for 32 years by men from the greatest generation that fought world war ii starting with john f. kennedy and ending with george h.w. bush. for 64 years we've been governed by two generations and time to turn to a younger generation. >> brian: are you afraid of pushing too hard and getting a more formidable opponent? >> i look at this as an analyst and looking at it as an american. is it the best thing for our country to have somebody in office who is not up to the job? the democrats would be smart. he may be the one democrat who can lose to donald trump. that's

trump will die sooner than joe biden, who is a healthy person. >> laura: hoping trump dies before biden? >> no, point is his age is not an issue, he is healthy. two people are running, election is a choice. of the two, donald trump is in more -- >> laura: why are black voters moving to trump? >> you're talking about 10 to 20% or something like that. 80%, vast majority will support joe biden and i believe kamala harris needs to get out and support black voters. >> laura: i'm not trying to pick on you, in your position, i would say the same thing. "new york times" describes this as potentially epical shift away from what the democrats wanted to do on progressivism and toward more multi ethnic populism, that is in the "new york times." >> donald trump is a popular -- cares about american values. >> laura: what is steady? 5.6 in median wages. >> wages are higher than they ever been. >> laura: with inflation it is down. >> trump has multiple bases of support, his maga supporters, people who remember how nice life was under his presidency and people worried democrats are using law enforcement

trump more clear. they want him to hone in the election is likely to bea binary choice between biden and trump. and even if you're not satisfied would all of biden's policies, democrats say he's the better choice than trump. he's done that in recent weeks and his campaign has put out statements in paperwork. i think there's this persistent issue they think he doesn't have a clear enough message, a cohesive enough message to drive a narrative about his campaign. >> we'll hear about the efforts his administration is taking to combat the spread of fentanyl. "the washington post" tyler, thank you for joining us. >>> we get into polling but here's one person who's doing really, really well as new polling shows that taylor swift is standing on holy ground in terms of her own popularity. as she wraps up the bruzwrilzen leg of her record breaking heiress tour, the latest nbc news surve shows swift is viewed more positively than any of the leading candidates for the 2024 presidential election. 40% of voters say they have a positive view of the grammy winner while 16% say they have a negative view. presid

trump. i've heard conservatives say the opposite, it could elect biden. but they are, if they run it could be a game changer. this is what i know from people who give a lot of money, a lot of wall street guys are involved, they also support democrats but they like no labels because a lot of them are moderates and they don't like the direction of either party, the front runners meeting president biden and donald trump. if there is a trump/biden ticket, no labels leadership holding calls with members and donors saying we are guaranteed to to run a couple people. to run a couple people. it has to be a biden/trump ticket and guaranteeing we meet on the tickets in all 50 states. that's what they are saying. they have got money. there's a lot of rich guys backing this up and then you have to say to yourself who might be the candidate and it's everybody you are hearing. he is too much of a republican, don't think he will go there, he will be ostracized from the republican party. likely candidates are manchin and larry hogan. not the best personality but manchin

trump wins. a lot more people think this will be the case. the big news is that bidenortion of black voters and young voters. the more diverse the swing state, the greater biden's lead. and he only led in the whitest of the six states. in foreign affairs, more voters think that if trump wins, he will be the one to keep the us out of war. this will likely lead to increased talk that joe biden should step aside to make way for another democrat. i like that biden is only strongly supported by white liberals, but media, maybe i'm exaggerating, but it seems like the media isn't trying to downplay it. more to ignore, they seem to highlight biden's weakness, what do you think about it, they 're so dark, you know what it reminds me of, have you seen the collections of the beginning under. gloomier and at the end they seemed so happy anticipating victory, but after a while they became gloomier and more broken almost in tears, same tone here, i think they are trying to put pressure on the democrats and biden, listen, this is serious, looks like you have no chance victory, is thi

former present hold a sizable lead in five key battleground states the same states president biden defeated trump on the 2020 election. this comments voters are expressing concern over biden's age the ability to serve another term. the biden team dismisses the pole #the poll that counts is election day that is far away and they say mr. biden will win. hello this is a brand-new hour of "fox news live" i'm eric shawn. arthel: i am arthel neville knew polling from the "new york times" and siena college is calling trouble for president biden will mr. trump's momentum showing no signs of slowing down. the other recent polls has the closest competitor trailing by dozens of points. this all comes as republican ron desantis is expected to score a key endorsement. reports the isle governor kim reynolds will announce her support for desantis at a rally into one tomorrow. fox news caught up with the florida government yesterday. >> wwe have got a job to do. we have a country we have to fight for. we have a winds at we not need to do it not just electorally but getting all of the stuff we need somebody is go

you were talking about why is president biden looking suddenly weak against trump. f it is he's lost support among young voters. i think part of that may be attributed to this, the fact younger progressives are pro palestinian rather than pro-industrial. biden is getting a lot of blowback from his own party from standing with israel. you're seeing the political pressures at home as well as in the region. >> and muslim americans, not a monolith of several of them saying there is no ceasefire, they're not going to vote for biden. thank you for your time tonight. >>> all right. it is also election day eve. i know maybe that's confusing to some people thinking, isn't the election a year away? but there are big races tomorrow that could have implications for 2024 2024. we'll talk about the biggest ones to keep an eye on. that's next. >> abortion rights are on the ballot in ohio. there's a major voters raise, and there's a key fight for the control of the swing state. all of that is up for grabs tomorrow, when it's election day here in america. the results could also tell