this model from the university of washington, it's not nuts. i mean it has repeatedly projected death numbers for the united states that are too optimistic. in terms of the american epidemic. for sure. it's hard not to conclude that that's part of why the white house kept talking about this model so much. the president likes happy talk about how everything is going great, and the virus will soon magically disappear, right? so models that predict a lower death toll than what we're actually experiencing, he can't resist that and apparently neither can the people who he inviting up to the podium that say things that make him happy. that model, as i said, it's not nuts. it's a serious thing. the institute for health metrics and evaluation at the university of washington, which has been making these projection, they have been totally open and transparent about their methodology and about the underlying assumptions for their model. and it turns out one of their really important underlying assumptions for that model was that people in the united states

i mentioned that this university of washington projection has been a favorite of the trump administration. i think it's impossible not to suppose that that's potentially at least related to the fact that this model has had a projected american death toll that has been much lower than some other projections and the president as i said likes happy talk about this virus. let me show you something. here is a screen shot from the cdc's web site as of yesterday. this is courtesy of the good folks at the internet archive, the way-back machine. this, as of yesterday, is the cdc's coronavirus resources page, where they list a whole bunch of different projections and models that they respect and you might want to look at and you can see that the university of washington model, the institute for health metrics and evaluation model that i've just been talking about, it is right there on the cdc web site right prominent place on top. that was yesterday. today is the day they upped the projected death toll for the united states from 74,000 to 134,000 dead americans. today is also presto the day the cdc

the the university of washington saying we could have 135,000 americans dead by august. what do you make of those numbers, mr. president? >> a couple of things. first of all, these models have been so wrong from day one. both on the low side and the upside. they've been so wrong, they've been so out of whack. and they keep making new models, new models and they're wrong. those models that you're mentioning are talking about without mitigation.

jake, you mentioned that model from the university of washington has doubled the projected death count in the u.s. to 135,000 by august. one of the professors involved was asked why. he said certain outbreaks in the midwest could cause concern. but also, and this is key, he says, that before social distancing restrictions were relaxed, there was increased mobility. and he says that some of those restrictions have been lifted prematurely and that is why they are upping their estimate of the eventual death count, jake. >> thank you so much, nick watt. >>> coming up, coronavirus and our kids. a former cdc disease detective will join me on why children are apparently less likely to be infected. >>> want to leave the house? in one country, you'll have to text the government a reason why. we're going to go live on the ground with a look at one nation's success story so far. stay with us. [horns honking] birthdays aren't cancelled. hope isn't quarantined. first words aren't delayed. caring isn't postponed. courage isn't on hold. and love hasn't stopped. u.s. bank thanks you for keeping all of

because i think it was really interesting to me when i looked at the university of washington model, the ihme model, that was starting to go up without even factoring in the reopening. so there was also the sense that the -- for whatever reason, maybe people weren't being as diligent about staying at home, even in places where they should have been. we don't know what the reason is. but even before reopening, the numbers were already starting to creep up. so this is starting to take into account some of this. but this is not taking into full account of the dozens of states that are reopening. so, again, i take no joy in saying this, but i think that the numbers that we're looking at as stark as they are may be even higher in terms of the projections once we start to take into account all of the states opening. and we want to avoid that explosive growth that we saw in mid-march. that is when the hospitals were really taxed, brooke. when people were complaining they didn't have enough personal protective equipment and worried that people otherwise who may have been cared for may have b

we could look at the university of washington report that's just in the past three weeks. it has doubled the number, the estimate for the number of americans who are going to die from this, from 60,000 to 135,000. this is a president whose false assurances are hazardous to your health, especially if you're a senior. especially if you're a family member who has loved ones with underlying conditions. please be careful. please take care of yourself. the president is detached from reality. >> well, and it's honestly safe to say that if you listen to this president, and you do as he says or take his advice, that very much could be hazardous to your health and even deadly. catty, beyo t katty, beyond the fact that even though somebody who perhaps voted for trump can see with their own eyes that he's not focused on this, when he's tweeting through the night about cable hosts or whatever, not the virus, and when he's saying things like, "put disinfectant into your body," you get a sense that perhaps he's not focused. can you imagine the potential if a president bush or an obama had

of washington state. caller: thank you to c-span for putting me in touch with the governor. governor, i have a daughter who goes to the university of washington and getting her masters in communications, and she is also working for a particular department in the city of seattle. first of all, she sings your praises for the job you have been doing, and you are the first one because of the way this situation hit your particular state first, so you are kind of leading. and i have been following her lead from what she gets from you and what the state is doing from what i have to do here in florida, so i thank you for that , and i thank you, as she does for the job you have been doing in leading washington down this tough road. the question is, how does the with work in cooperation the metro cities in your state and preparing a budget so that as you open up the cities to the different things the cities need to be prepared for, how does the state work with a major city like seattle in being able to budget since you are not getting any help from the federal government? thank you for the job you are doing. gov. inslee: congratulations t

number of coronavirus deaths in brazil could increase 5 fold by or best the study from the university of washington comes ahead of the u.s. battle on foreign travelers coming from brazil. twitter has flagged to tweets by u.s. president donald trump about fraudulent mail in ballots cast misleading the social media platform has marked the tweet with a link to another page where fact checkers have a claim. and hong kong is bracing for more protests this time over a controversial bill that would make it a criminal offense to insult china's national anthem riot police have been deployed outside the legislative council where the bill is currently being debaters. now for police offices in the u.s. city of minneapolis have in fact after the death of a black man a video posted on social media showed an officer kneeling on george floyd's neck before he eventually stopped breathing it's the latest example of police brutality against african-americans john hendren has more from chicago a month from now and then it is happened again in america a black man in police custody pleads for help as he struggles to bre

number of coronavirus deaths in brazil could increase 5 fold by august the study from the university of washington comes ahead of the u.s. ban on foreign travelers coming from brazil. a new reporters warning venezuela is so poorly equipped to deal with corona virus that it could make things worse for the whole region human rights watch says the country's people are in urgent need of humanitarian aid. and twitter has flagged 2 tweets by the u.s. president about fortune and mail in ballots as misleading the social media platform has marked the tweet with a link to another page where fact checkers have debunked the claim. the situation now where hong kong is bracing for more protests this time over a controversial bill that would make it a criminal offense to insult china's national anthem right police are in place around the legislative council building where the bill will be debated in the next few hours let's join our correspondent adrian brown who's in hong kong and as legislators attempt to debate the controversial national anthem bill police have surrounded hong kong's parliament how likely is

. >> and this comes as researchers at the university of washington today announced a major revision to the projected death toll. they project 135,000 americans will have died by early august of coronavirus, nearly double the previous estimate of 72,000 fatalities. joined by donna shalala of florida, and an internal medicine physician and medical contributor, and jonathan swan, national political reporter at axios. thanks for being with us. doctor, let me start with you. reading through some of the stats about flattening the curve, what scott gottlieb said about we flattened it but it is not going down, it seems that's leaving us in a very difficult in between place where we have accomplished some of the major goals, major challenges we talked about at the beginning of this but we are still enduring quite a few cases. where does that leave us? >> so what's happening, what we're seeing is a patch work of public health measures. what we really need to see happen is widespread consistent, coordinated activity on behalf of the public, but also that has to come from leadership at the federal

number of coronavirus deaths in brazil could increase 5 fold by august the study from the university of washington comes as a u.s. ban on foreign travelers coming from brazil goes into effect. twitter has flagged to tweets by u.s. president donald trump about fraudulent mail in ballots as misleading the social media platform has mocks the tweet with a link to another page where fact checkers have the claim. and hong kong is bracing for more protests this time over a controversial bill that would make it a criminal offense to insult china's national anthem riot police have been deployed outside the lead just the legislative council where the bill will be debases. now russia says it backs an immediate cease fire and talks to form a united governing body in libya that's after the u.s. accused russia of deploying more fighter jets to help. his forces have been trying to seize the capital tripoli from the u.n. recognized government and many russian messner is have already withdrawn from southern tripoli libya's government says its forces found large amounts of ammunition left behind in that area whatev

that report comes from an institute at the university of washington whose modelling has been cited by the white house and its director is going to join us shortly in a moment. dr. chris murray says, quote, this rise of mobility in the last week or ten days is likely leading to some increased transmission. this is what the rise in mobility looks like, all of this from the weekend. take a look at what happened in panama city beach in florida. as you can see, people at the beach are heading to the beach. there they are on the beach. clearly not respecting social distancing guidelines. you can find a similar situation at the national mall in the nation's capital. crowds enjoying the weather. some wearing masks, many not wearing them. new yorkers also took advantage of the beautiful spring weather to go to central park. the other study that shows a spike in deaths in case loads was conducted for the government that was first reported by "the new york times." now, the white house and cdc have disavowed the numbers, however, the times and "washington post" report that slides created from the

the university of washington studied and says that 134,000 people could die from the virus. >>that's almost double the previous projection of just over 7200. >>the model used by the white house is also projecting an increase in the number of cases and deaths across the country that model is expected to see 3,000 deaths per day by the first of june. now over the past week about 2000 people have died daily in the u.s. according to data from johns hopkins university. those projections come as governor newsom says california could begin reopening its economy by friday, retail and manufacturers will be first to enter into california's next phase of the stay at home order. the governor says flower shops clothing stores, toys books in sporting goods stores. can all open by the end of the week with these new mandatory guidelines like curbside pickup. the state is set to release the new rules on thursday seated restaurant dining and shopping malls and office is still not included in this next phase. we need active monitoring surveillance to make sure that the disease is not spreading.

august in this country nearly doubled to more than 134,000 in that well known model from the university of washington. the reason. >> it is to increase mobility before the relaxation of social distancing will add more presumptive deaths as well. >> another model used by the administration predicts a sharp rise in deaths to about 3,000 a day by june 1st and a rough eight fold increase in the number of new cases every day nationwide. now, in 15 states the daily new case count is falling. among them the northeast hot spots. >> you see the decline is again not as steep as the incline but reopening is more difficult than the close down. >> but in 20 states the daily new case count is rising and among them wisconsin, minnesota, illinois. the governor of california now will allow some retail to open friday with significant modifications and says certain areas of low concern could move even faster. >> we will afford them that right with conditions and modifications that meet the health needs of the entire state. >> meanwhile the white house is now focusing on 14 potential vaccines. >> we are very confident w

the university of washington study now says that 134,000 people could die from the virus. that's almost double the previous projection of just over 72,000 a model used by the white house is also projecting an increase in the number of cases and deaths across the country that models expecting to see 3,000 deaths per day by the first of june. now over the past week about 2000 people have died every day in the u.s. according to data from johns hopkins university. according to john hopkins there are currently over 1 million cases of the coronavirus here in the u.s. and more than 56,000 of those cases are in california. we're also seeing more than 2200 deaths in the state overall more than 187,000 people have recovered from the pandemic in the u.s.. we have updated numbers on coronavirus cases and deaths right here in the bay area as of today. >>there are more than 8600 cases in the bay santa clara county remains one of the hardest hit areas and as for the number of deaths over 300 people have died from the virus right here in the bay area on march 16th when the shelter-in-place

number of coronavirus deaths in brazil could increase 5 fold by august the study from the university of washington comes as a u.s. ban on foreign travelers coming from brazil goes into effect. twitter has flagged 2 tweets by u.s. president donald trump about 14 and mail in ballots as misleading the social media platform has munched the tweet with a link to another page where fact checkers have debunked the claim. and hong kong is bracing for more protests this time of a controversial bill that would make it a criminal offense to insult china's national anthem riot police have been deployed outside the legislative council where the bill will be debated and. now iran is swearing in its new parliament $277.00 newly elected members will hold the 1st session of the 11th parliament and president hassan rouhani is also expected to deliver a speech but our correspondent zain verjee joins us now live from tehran zain talk us through the makeup of this new parliament and how that's going to play out with the current leadership. well president hassan rouhani has one year left in office before the next presid

what kind of reforms are necessary to make our health care system into one that is accessible and equitable for all. host: dr. leana wen is a visiting professor at george washington university school of public health. she is also named a contribute in opinion writer for the washington post, and most devotedly a new m -- most >> the senate select subcommittee on the coronavirus is

that report comes from an institute at the university of washingt washington whose modeling has been cited by the white house and director is going to join us in a moment. dr. chris murray says this rise of mobility in the last ten days is likely leading to some increased transmission. this is what the rise in mobility looks like. all of this, from the weekend. take a look what happened in panama city beach in florida. as you can see, people heading to the beach. there, they are on the beach. claes clearly, not respecting social distancing guidelines. a similar situation in the national mall, nation's capital, crowds joining together. some wearing masks, many not wearing them. new yorkers also took advantage of the beautiful spring weather to go to central park. the other spike was first reported by "the new york times." the white house and cdc have disavowed the numbers, however, "the times" report that slides created from the report carry the cdc logo on them. now, in both reports, cases are projected to spike with the death count rising sharply. last night, president trump tried to

the data says it can happen. >> reporter: and for california, that same study out of the university of washingtonhows an expected doubling of cases and deaths by the end of august. in new york, governor cuomo is looking at taking a similar tact as that of california, but only after lockdown ends on may 15th, and only after certain tracing and testing requirements have been met. tony? >> all right, janet, thank you. >>> let's get to the other model. it's a draft federal government model based on preliminary data. it warns of dire consequences if reopening is not done with proper care. the scenario planning information, as it's known, is based on research developed by johns hopkins and says average daily death toll from this virus could nearly double to 3,000 by june 1st. president trump has been publicly encouraging states to reopen, of course. paula reed is at the white house for us. good morning. what is the president saying about all of this? >> good morning, tony. in an interview last night with "the new york post," the president said he's never seen this document. but the researchers who did

the influential model from the university of washington, on which -- often citing the white house, relaxed social distancing, increased mobility, the addition of presumptive deaths and outbreaks like places in the midwest. >> no surprise that as people become more active we'll see increased transmission. >> reporter: while experts and officials warn of a health catastrophe, others are focused on an economic one as california borrows $348 million from the federal government to play unemployment claims, becoming the first state to make such a move. >> in the same way now we have to stand up for the american way of life. what are those lives going to be worth if people can't go to wort, if they can't support their families. >> reporter: it's not all bad news. pfizer announcing that with its partner, german company bioentech, is texts, there ares in experience how is it impacts the nation's youth. 15 children between the ages of 2 and 15, many hospitalized in new york, showed inflammatory conditions associated with the kawasaki syndrome. it's also the able to spread the disease, an sure that r

the the university of washington saying we could have 135,000 americans dead by august. what do you make of those numbers, mr. president? >> a couple of things. first of all, these models have been so wrong from day one. both on the low side and the upside. they've been so wrong, they've been so out of whack. and they keep making new models, new models and they're wrong. those models that you're mentioning are talking about without mitigation. we're mitigating and we've learned to mitigate, but we can be in place, work in place and also mitigate. we've done it right, but now we have to get back to work. we have to do it. >> but let me ask you because you've responded to those two studies out with these forecasts, your own numbers have shifted over time. you said 60,000 americans could die. >> i watched your town all over the weekend. you said 75, 80 to 100,000 people could die. what should americans be prepared for as we reopen the country and head into the fall where we could see a potential second wave? >> well, the upper number was, as you know, 2.2 million people. and

retaining control over law enforcement on the campus, and that is what was the case at the university of washington at that time. the university president absolutely insisted that neither the state patrol nor the seattle police department were to come on campus without express permission from the university. >> i think that is what happened at kent. the mayor gave in very easily, called governor rhodes, who sent the troops in. troops came in. it was friday. the building was burned on saturday, and i was watching the troops role in, you know, under the cover of darkness. it was 2:00 in the morning. students are still awake, in their dorms. no one could see them. we wake up and we have the national guard. if the national guard had not been there, i'm not sure there would have been a problem at all. students went to rallies back in those days for one thing, right? to get information, really. a rally was not to storm or take over a building. that was decided at the rally, but the rallies were to get information, to see what you were going to do, what you believe, what you did not believe. we did not ha

and that key university of washington model now estimates the u.s. death toll will surpass 100,000 people by next friday, that's the start of memorial day weekend. this is because of what they call an explosive increase in mobility, in other words, people are leaving their homes. there's also new concern about coronavirus in children. more than 80 kids in new york have been hospitalized with severe symptoms. three children have died. they're all suffering from a mysterious inflammatory disease believed to be linked to coronavirus. >> joining us cnn chief medical correspondent dr. sanjay gupta and cnn white house correspo correspondent john harwood. let me put up the three public health officials in some form of self-quarantine. dr.a anthony fauci in a partial self-quarantine. dr. robert redfield is staying at home, dr. stephen hahn fda commissioner is staying at home. but sanjay, the surgeon general is not, the vice president of the united states who is leading up the white house task force is not. from a medical perspective, can you explain how this

that key university of washington model has gone up again. it forecasts nearly 60,000 more americans dying by july 4th. as of this morning, the cdc has not released guidelines for reopening even though most states are already in the process of doing it. senators pressed the cdc director yesterday at a hearing about when states would get those guidelines and director redfield would say only, soon. once again our coverage with stephanie elam live in california with our top story. what is the latest there, stephanie? >> reporter: i have to tell you, alisyn, when this came out yesterday, there were a lot of upset people. with all certainty, those are the words that the director of public health for los angeles county used when saying we're going to see the stay-at-home order three months. they were set to expire on friday. there would be restrictions easing. still, people hearing that in the most populated county of the country, very much concerned about what this means for family life especially with kids needing to get back to school. >> small s

taking that bill gates -- the gates model, it's not bill gates, but the gates model from the university of washington and basically smooth ing it out to show what is actually happening. there is a different between a forecast trend and what has actually happened. he was clarifying the situation. he was not changing the situation. we have from day one abided by the advice and guidance of our top medical people. dr. fauci, ambassador birx, and many others in hhs and fda. this idea that somehow we were creating a new model is simply not the case. sometimes you can clarify it, it may be a little complex for our purposes this morning, but it was basically a smoothing technique for real world actuals, less of a forecast. we didn't change anything based on that. mr. hassett is a person of great integrity and i will defend that, i will absolutely defend it, his quotes in that story couldn't have been clearer. >> i guess the reason for the disconnect is that sometimes the people who understandably want to get the economy up and running have been saying things that contradict what some of the people who are he

the model from the university of washington cites of relaxation of stay-at-home orders and social distancing. >> athena jones, thank you so much. >>> joining us, the mayor of boston, marty walsh. as you heard, mayor walsh, do you expect the daily death toll to double in boston as well? >> i certainly hope not. i think it's hard to tell right now, looking at the numbers that came out today, privately, you know, it's certainly concerning. there was a lot of different voices on the previous guests and segments you just played. for boston, and i can only speak to boston, we want to continue to move forward and practice physical and social distancing. my concern is a second surge. my concern is a rise in deaths. we've seen our numbers pretty consistent over the last several days here. we've had, you know, 100 to 200 new cases every day. we've had, you know, anywhere from 10 to 20 deaths a day which generally seems the number is somewhat low for a city of 700,000 people. if the new projection is accurate, clearly our deaths will go up significantly. massachusetts is going to go up significantly. w

hilary godwin, dean of school of public health university of washington. no part of the american economy has escaped the impact of the covid 19 pandemic. the air and transportation sector has suffered a particularly painful blow, one intensified by global travel resections and stay at home orders, domestic travel has declined over 95% compared to last year. flying with 12 passengers on average. half of the u.s. passenger aircraft fleet is sitting idle. the air cargo sector is marginally better, but still struggling. just last month, demand for air cargo plunged 15%, and transport capacity declined about 1/5 compared to last year's figures. even as the global economy recovers, the future remains troubling for aviation. by new booking is down 97% year-over-year. a recent international air travel association survey shows that 40% of passengers planned to wait at least six months before booking a ticket. i certainly hope they will think that. the situation is dire not only for airlines and for their workers, but also for the air transportation sector. which rel

and that was what was the case at the university of washington at that time. the university president absolutely insisted that neither the state patrol nor the seattle police department were to come on campus without express permission from the university. howard: right. and i think that is what happened at kent. they just -- the mayor gave in very easily to some violence that took place, called governor rhodes. rhodes sent the troops in, and the troops came in on friday. the building was burnt on saturday. i was watching the troops roll in, you know, under the darkness of the night at 2:00 in the morning. students are still away or in their dorms. no one could see them. then you wake up, and here you have the national guard. if the national guard had not been there, i am not sure there would've been a problem at all. students went to rallies, back in those days for one thing, right? to get information, really. a rally was not to storm or take over a building. that was decided at the rally. but the rallies were to get information to determine what you believed

we are getting some information for the health metrics at the university of washington, anyway, forecasting that is from dr. christopher a at the directr there that is seeing that by august we will likely be looking at upwards of over 34,000 americans succumbing to the coronavirus. there is great risk in extracting these numbers and see where we might be in a week or two weeks for a month from now. they gone debris averages across the country accounting for gyrations and the rest. if that were to hold its double what i've been a consensus building around 65,000 deaths. we are little bit north of 67,000 right now. the president had raised in his discussions last night that it could go as high as 100,000, but to be fair to be very clear, there's simply no way of knowing. part of this study had to do was just looking at the numbers as they are now and turned it out. we will be exploring that a little bit more. i want to bring in this next guest, jon huntsman. our former ambassador to china and russia not running for his old job in utah. the former governor of utah, jon huntsman jr. joins us ri

sanjay, we're getting this news in just now, the model often cited by the white house, the university of washington, has increased its projection of deaths by early august by 10,000. now they're projecting, sanjay, it's really going to be 147,000 americans dead by early august, by august 4. right now, what, 81,800 americans have died over the past few months. >> you just hate hearing these numbers, wolf, i mean, it gives me a pit in my stomach every time i see these models and see them going up. part of me thinks this is a direct reflection of something that is happening right now, as states start to open and people start to become more mobile. we know, all i see, sometimes, is i see that virus moving around from person to person and having a lot more hosts nowfrom. it's a sad state of affairs, wolf. there's nothing worse in medicine than thinking about preventible deaths, people who could have been saved. the models are the models, they're often wrong but sometimes they're useful as is this one. hopefully, as a result of hearing from dr. fauci and the other doctors today, people start to think abo

one an update to the university of washington model the white house previously cited, plotting the course of this virus. its new numbers once again projecting even higher death count. 147,000 people projected to die in the u.s. through august 4th. that's an increase of 10,000 from their previous projection. the institute that publishes the model pointed to reasons including loosening of social distancing policies and the director 69 people. the director of the institute told cnn if people aren't cautious and don't wear masks, if the nation doesn't have the capacity to test, to do the contact tracing and to isolate people who are infected, then, quote, i think we'll see the numbers go up. today johns hopkins reports there are 82,246 people who have died in the united states. 1,564 have died today alone. the other reminders, we are far from the end tonight, come out of california. the first california state university with 23 campuses and close to half a million students. they say for the most part they will not have in-person classes come the fall. as in around four months from now. the ot

christopher murray the director of the institute of health metrics at the university of washington medicalay thank you so much for joining us. the new death toll is a little less than the previous rejection. give us the information. why you projected what about 10,000 fewer than 143,000 that was projected only a few days ago. >> well, that was about a week ago and the major difference here is that we have been expecting the upsurge in mobility that started at the end of april. we see it in the cell phone data. and it's continued all the way through may. we thought that would have translated into much more transmission of the virus by now and we're seeing that in some states but not most. and so it's a bit of a surprise that we haven't yet seen transmission take off. but there is new data now coming in how people are behaving, you know, in terms of avoiding contact on their own as well as wearing masks and so that may be a part of the story that's explaining the trends that we are seeing. >> right now, 101,000 americans have died over the past three months. and you are projecting your lates

the updated model from the university of washington now projects 147,000 people in the u.s. will lose their lives to coronavirus by august 4. that's stunning. >> yeah, i mean, it really is. potentially 100,000 people by the end of this month, jake, by memorial day. it's clearly related to increased mobility and the projected increased mobility as these states start to reopen. there's no secret here, there's no magic here. the virus is still out there. it's very contagious. the good news, jake, as we've talked about, still, the majority of people who become infected are not likely to get that ill. the problem is, as we've learned over and over again, is we don't know for certain who is likely to become ill. you could be someone who spreads the disease. i know people talk about risk and "i'm willing to take the risk." but you're not only risking your own health, you're risking the health of those around you. >> sanjay, thank you so much. tune in for a cnn town hall, "coronavirus: facts and fears," hosted by sanjay and anderson cooper. >>> will kids go back to school in the fall

researchers at the university of washington now predict thousands of fewer deaths in the united states because more people are wearing masks out and about in public. kumasi, i'll send it back over to you. >> thank you, jobina. >>> in the north bay, santa rosa has approved a unique next step. a new model for homeless shelters that encourages social distancing. wayne friedman has this story. >> reporter: tents in a parking lot placed by the city of santa rosa. when having a roof over your head used to refer to underpass, this is one solution to the problem. >> we're doing this because the city council sees this as the right thing to do. keep the community safe from this pandemic. >> every tent is social distanced. the first 12 people moved in and maybe as many as 85 by next week and they stress. this is not an end, this is a beginning. >> it's all about safety. >> reporter: half of sonoma county 3,000 homeless live within santa rosa. some people living here are refugees from a two-mile-long encampment that angered neighbors and the people living inside. >> i don't feel safe. my wife does

and that key university of washington model now estimates the u.s. death toll will surpass 100,000 people by next friday. memorial day weekend. and this is because of what they call an explosive increase in mobility, in other words, people leaving their homes. there is also new concern about coronavirus in children. more than 80 kids in new york have been hospitalized with severe symptoms. three children have died. they're all suffering from a mysterious inflammatory disease believed to be linked to coronavirus. let's begin our coverage with cnn's joe johns, live from the white house, with our top story. joe? >> reporter: good morning, alisyn. a lot has changed here since friday morning. we're now two months into the pandemic. and a number of scientists on the coronavirus task force have decided to quarantine themselves out of concerns that they might infect other persons. there are also concerns here about the fact that an outbreak inside the white house complex has now occurred. some people deciding to come to work, others who have been exposed to p

projections from the university of washington now estimate that 147,000 americans could die from coronavirus by early august . that's 10,000 more deaths than previous prediction just two days ago. >>> in new york, doctors are investigating more than 100 reported cases of an inflammatory disease in children related to covid-19. >> it seems to be a post infectious syndrome where the immune system is hyperactive and leads to inflammation of ries the body.>>> may not, prot in washington to demand financially from the coronavirus fallout. the federal reserve warns there is a threat of a prolonged resection if lawmakers fail to act. house democrats are pushing a $3 trillion stimulus package. >> additional fiscal support could be costly but worth it if it helps avoid long-term damage and leaves us with a stronger recovery. >> they are putting money in the pockets of the american people. >>> republicans have taken back a california house seat for the first time since 1998. , navy fighter pilot mike garcia defeating democratic assemblywoman christie smith in a special election for the seat north of l

there is the university of washington and john hopkins and university of pennsylvania. zeke has one. i like it because it compares model one, model two, model three. model one is stay at home. model two is partial reopening. model three is all states fully reopen. the second line is the number of deaths by end of june. they are higher than we are right nourks w obviously. the first one is 116. the third one fully reopened, no mitigation 349,000 deaths by the end of june. nobody is planning for that. but look at the last line. 18.6 million jobs lost if everybody stays home. fewer jobs lost if we partially reopen and the fewest amount of jobs lost if we completely open up. laurie, this has been since day one the calculations in the president's head. saving lives versus saving the economy. he caused a lot of people to think about it that way. >> well, it depends on what you mean by saving the economy because certainly early on, the president was more worried about the stock market, which is one part of the economy than employment figures and so let's focus in on the indivi

>>in washington raquel martin. >>the university of california wants to end the use of the s a t and the a c tests as admission requirements. now instead she wants a homegrown test. janet napolitano is recommended suspending the standardized testing until 2024 and then having a new test ready by 2025 education activists have long claimed the test put poor and minority students at a disadvantage and a decision could come as early as next week. coming up this morning, a group of researchers at ucsf are working to find out how covid-19 could affect the pregnant women will have that story coming up. >>but first we'll take you outside for a look at conditions at the bay bridge toll plaza. we're expecting a pretty nice day around the bay today. a group of researchers at ucsf are looking for pregnant women to take part in a new study. >>with just a handful of donations and some small grants the working to find out how covid-19 could affect expectant moms. they're going to be focusing on 10,000 women from all over the country kron four's miche

more than 83,000 people have now died the university of washington's tracking model is now projecting that the death toll could rise to nearly 150,000 by early august. new polling shows that most americans remain worried about the threat of the virus despite states reopening. according to that poll, two out of three think large gatherings of adults will not happen until july or later. today, former fda commissioner scott gotlegotlieb says things not decrease soon. >> reopening against that backdrop, and you will start to see spikes of infections in parts of the country that have been largely unaffected to this point. >> they have a copy of the guidance on this reopening that was sidelined by the white house. the stark difference in the final white house plan and that design by epidemiologist is the covid 19 cases will likely surge after states reopen and that local governments need to continuously monitor their communities closely. joining us now is the digital senior reporter san nonp-- shan pe petipeace. >> we know the difference between what they were putting out was different. but

the university of washington study now says that 134,000 people could die from the virus. now that's almost double a previous projection of just over 72,000 and the model used by the white house is also projecting an increase in the number of cases and deaths across the country that model is expected to see 3,000 deaths per day by the first of friday. >>retail and its manufacturers will be the first to enter into california's next phase of the stay at home order capitol bureau reporter ashley zavala has details. >>california is taking its first set of small steps into reopening its economy retail and its manufacturers will be the first to enter into california's next phase of its stay at home order it has to be done in a very thoughtful and judicious way it's a health first focus governor gavin newsome says florists clothing toys books and sporting goods stores can reopen by the end of the week with new mandatory guidelines like curbside pickup the state is set to release the new rules thursday, not included in this round of reopening is seeded dining shopping malls and off

the university of washington study now says that 134,000 people could die from the virus. >>now that is almost double a previous projection of just over 72,000. >>a model used by the white house is also projecting an increase in the number of cases and deaths across the country that models expecting to see 3,000 deaths per day by the first of june. now over the past week about 2000 people die every day in the u.s. that's according to data from johns hopkins university. those new projections come as governor newsom says the state could begin reopening its economy by friday, retail and manufacturers will be the first to enter into california's next phase of the stay at home order. the governor says flower shops clothing stores, toys books in sporting goods stores can all reopen by the end of the week with new mandatory guidelines like curbside pickup. california is also set to release the new rules on thursday seated dining at restaurants and shopping malls and offices are not included in this next phase. we need active monitoring surveillance to make sure that the disease is

the number of infections and the number of deaths including the most prominent one at the university of washington. they have w in the last day upped their projections. based on the fact that states like arkansas and a number of other states are opening up.le they say peare going to be moving around, they're gong to be touching places that other people are touching andit inly that is going to mean more infections. and frankly for deaths to go up? >> it is a concern. the university of washington, even thothugh they've misseir modeling significant as they made projections for arkansas and other states, it is still a good warning. certainly it is a concern whenever you look at relying upon individual,ng relpon employers to do the right thing, i think they're being very, very yen uni. we have60 processing plants in arkansas. thank goodness we do't have ny that have shut down because of potive test, but it's crucial it's a risk. they have got to do the right thing every day. but the key is that, sure, we're going to have to have unerstand debts of a positive test or a business or some of this activity.

addition to some good news about a potential vaccine tonight, a coronavirus model out of the university of washingtoniously cited by the white house is out with new figures about the number of fatalities projected through the beginning of august. joining us is dr. chris murray, director of the institute for health metrics and valuation at the university of washington. back with us is dr. sanjay gupta. dr. murray, your projections for overall deaths has been revised down several thousand. that's good news. what is behind that? >> i must say we were pretty surprised, anderson. we were expecting to probably go up because of the big surge in mobility in the last two, three weeks that we've seen in the cell phone data. but what's really being fascinating is there's not a strong correlation between where mobility has gone up and the trend in cases in deaths. even when we take into account the increase in testing. and our explanation for that is if you dig a little bit deeper and look into how the fraction of the population in different states are wearing masks, we think that's the key difference there. bot

the university of washington projecting 134,000 deaths in the united states by august 4th. nearly double its last projection. the data now reflecting the early days of states beginning to reopen. now, i want to bring in andy slavitt. he is a former acting administrator on the center for medicare and medicaid services. andy, appreciate you joining us. thank you so much. so, listen, you are very fired up about these new models out tonight and the impact that they have had on the decision that got made as a result of the earlier totals. explain. what's up? >> well, look, the -- as dr. brilliant said, people who put the models together, they're laying on a set of assumptions, they're doing a little bit of work. it's important for them to try to get information out there, but there is a political context behind this all, and when the president can go step forward and say, hey, guess what, it's not gonna be that bad and it's your model, you probably should step forward and say, you know what? this isn't the message that the model intends to send. when at the time the model came ou