and the recent polling, not nbc marist but from others.rawing your attention to the big three here. michigan, pennsylvania, wisconsin, three midwest states that president trump flipped. very narrowly in 2016. first time in three decades. the poll numbers there has shown joe biden ahead by a solid margin. there is also florida, the president trump's home state, one that he won by a point in 2016 and the polling there for joe biden, this is surprising people not only is biden leading the lead has been sizable, an average of eight points and georgia, ohio, texas, these are states we talk about right now. the math of all of this. we'll set it up. this is where we landed in 2016. trump 306, clinton 232. democrats are saying look, the basic thing you talk about the three midwest states if they could get pennsylvania and michigan and wisconsin, that alone with nothing else changing would put biden over the top. now let's say they missed wisconsin and the republicans held down there and trump was able to win, mention that florida number. if biden

and i remember the brothers, the marist brothers used to send , young kids to the mountains because it was a safeguard of castro our lord. ,it was going to say cuba. i remember how he promised to the farmers, you are going to own the land. i remember all of the promises that we hear today about free education, free health care, free land. and my god, no freedom, but he never said that until after he was in power and got rid of all the police, got rid of all the military, and has been there for 60 years and counting. and he destroyed each and everyone who helped him. the catholic church. everybody. and why do i know that? because i happened to come to this country with the very last nine cloistered nuns from the convent santa clara, because he had taken over the convent. and i was on my way to spain, i was not even coming here. because i was going to join my brother who my parents had already sent a few month before, because he was in the age where the government would take him for indoctrination purposes. my dad, who had experienced the same thing coming from spain of the turn-of-the-c

our just published nbc news marist poll shows the president trailing joe biden by seven percentage pointsthat state. it is a state that trump won by nearly four points back in 2016. that headline coming out just hours before presidential visit to north carolina to tour a biotech facility that is working on a covid-19 vaccine. but it is not the only headline. a slew of new polls released in the last 24 hours finds donald trump is behind in critical battleground states, many of which he won four years ago. john letterman is in raleigh, north carolina, ahead of the president's visit and steve kornacki here at the big board. the political landscape that the president is heading into, describe it for us. >> reporter: yeah, major political head winds for the president as he arrives here, ayman, mirroring what we have seen as you mentioned in polls in recent days in places like arizona, where our nbc poll yesterday showed the president behind joe biden by five points. here in north carolina, really critical issue is suburban voters who the president has been losing as we have been moving past th

kathy counted in the meantime now as we finish the narrowing probably near the finishing line of this marist 10 week up to the popular vote we can take a look at some of the more and most at all costs snapshots that we've seen of how people have been putting that say in the future of the constitution. to. lose lose lose lose lose. lose. lose. lose. lose. lose. lose. lose. lose. lose. lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose. i. that report brought earlier to us by sus katie are speaking to kevin or now there have been allegations of ballot stuffing and other voting violations circulating widely online all are being investigated with many already debunked fake the electoral commission say's they're now out of all the inquiries it's received around 2 percent or about possible offenses here some of them 2 electoral commission members have been suspended instant petersburg after a video emerged of the women stuffing a ballot box that box is no sealed no longer used for voting on investigations underway to elsewhere to jour

counted in the meantime now as we finish the narrowing rather we near the finishing line of this marist 10 week up to the popular vote we can take a look at some of the more and most at all costs snapshots that we've seen of how people have been hoping that stay in the future of the constitution. to. lose. lose. lose. lose. lose. lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose. i. yes some of the images of the past few days well allegations of ballots stuffing and other voting violations up in circulating widely online all are being investigated many already fake the electoral commission says that out of all the inquiries it's received only 2 percent or about possible offenses to electoral commission members have been suspended in st petersburg that was after a video emerged of 2 women stuffing a ballot box boxes no sealed and no longer used for voting investigations underway elsewhere to journalists claim they managed to vote twice both in person and online others who also tried say their efforts failed police

kathy counted in the meantime now as we finish the narrowing probably near the finishing line of this marist 10 week up to the popular vote we can take a look at some of the more and most at all costs snapshots that we've seen of how people have been hoping that stay in the future of the constitution. to. lose. lose. lose. lose. lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose lose. russia well allegations of ballot stuffing another voting violations been circulating widely online to all being investigated and a fair few have been debunked already is fake the electoral commission says that of all inquiries it's received so far only about 2 percent or about possible offenses something came in earlier on today 2 electoral commission members have been suspended in some petersburg after a video emerged of 2 women stuffing a ballot box there apparently boxes now sealed and no longer used for voting in investigations underway into what happened there elsewhere to journalists who claim that they managed to vote twice both i

cover and a weekly radio show is called spectrum if you would like and the information on the chrono marist or any other science topic you should really check out our podcast you can get it wherever you get your podcast you can also find us at dot com one slash 2 science. cutting through the noise. floor i come from people are known for being tough but fair new york and a lot of people tell it like it it they call it the concrete jungle the melting pot the city that never sleeps it's this energy that makes it feel like old but amid the hustle it's important to listen and pay attention because it's not just the loudest voices who move to be heard we all. i have a story this is how i see it is my job as a journalist to go beyond the obvious now i'm based in europe and my work takes me around the world from my instincts for me in the state to tell me in for the stories behind the headlines what is the heart of the story why does it matter who lives in fact i stay focused if you want answers to cut through the noise to get to the truth. my name is sarah kelly and i broke it to death. welcome to

due to codify rest and then for safety reasons they actually extended it into this week long the marist good. process that stretched all the way from the 25th of june to the fust of july and it still people don't those mastan that clubs and go and stand in socially distance lines for polling stations from home will float online now results all beginning to trickle in cod primary for russia's far east region and they seem to suggest that with around 30 percent of the votes having been counted 74 percent of people food to in favor of the constitutional amendments and around 25 percent voted against and that's really in line with what independent post is predicting last week but again there are still millions of votes still needing to be counted over 100000 polling stations so we'll probably only get a concrete official result on thursday morning but either way it's clear that this pepper site has really got people a politically engaged and that's been reflected in the turnout around 65 percent which is something that we would usually see for presidential elections and not a popular vote l

in april but was postponed due to corona virus and then for safety reasons it was turned into this marist in the week long voting process that stretched from the 25th of june all the way to today at the fust of july and it still people in mosques and gloved up voting and polling stations free to online voting in that home results from the far eastern region have started coming in at the moment with around 19 percent of the votes counted indicating that 72 percent tougher to in favor of the constitutional amendments but there are still millions of votes that do need to be counted across 100000 polling stations so we're probably only going to get a concrete official announcement on thursday morning but this plebiscite really has engaged people not reflected in the turnout which is around 65 percent which might not sound like a lot but actually it's much higher than we've historically seen with similar kinds of codes now saw scariest speaking talked about and the turnout what was the most talked about amendment. well look that's why it's consensus head rush at the some kind of reform is nece

a marist poll has biden at 59% support of hispanics pretty held held an event with a latino group today and was less than intelligent and coherent, of course, and there were technical pyrotechnics. >> the people of puerto rico have the support to rebuild their country. think of the damage under the psyche of so many young latinos. the 2020 census, which is now, two censuses ago, i used to believe you could be defeated, but it hides behind a rock, and hides under rocks. >> tucker: this is like grandpa trying to operate the zoom call. things are coming in and out. but this comes at an urgent moment for biden. that new rasmussen poll has trump up 41% of the hispanic vote and biden at 46. he can't win with those numberse maybe that psychic -- maybe that was spanish? i don't recognize that particular accent. >> laura: and all these immigrant families in just the d.c. area, northern virginia, maryland, they are not able to send their kids to school because their teachers union are blocking a return in person education despite the real medicine. this is now an easysp call for minority owned bu

is why that poll swing voters going with trump threes domain 3-165% for trump commit and biden a maristl 59% supt among hispanic voters and that s worrisome for him so we held an event with a latino group today, but it was less than coherent and intelligent, laura and there were technical pyrotechnics. >> i have to assure the people of puerto rico to have support to rebuild their country. think of the damage done to the psyche of so many young latinos. the 20/20 census, which is now two censuses ago. i used to think you could defeat hate. but it just hides under a rock. it hides under rocks. >> laura, this is like trying to operate the zoom call. if things are coming in and out. you know, this comes at a urgent moment for biden. the poll ha has two comp up 41% over the hispanic vote and biden 46%. he can't win with those numbers and may be that psyche, may be spanish, i don't know, i don't recognize that particular accent. >> laura: all of these immigrant families in the d.c. area, northern virginia, maryland, they are unable to send their kids to school because the teachers union are b

in arizona, an nbc news marist poll has biden up 50% to trump's 45%. a cnn s, is srs poll 45.8%. while ssrs puts him up by 12%, the lead in michigan is 9 points. ohio the cbs news yougov poll has them in a statistical tie. and in florida, the cnn ssrs poll finds the president trailing joe biden -- trailing joe biden in florida by five points. 51% to 46%. joe? >> and we're going to get to new numbers that we just got out of north carolina and going to be going there for a report. that race also appearing to break open. john heilman, let's look at these numbers. arizona, joe biden plus 5. michigan joe biden plus 6. plus 12 or plus 9 depending on which poll you believe over the past weekend, ohio is tied just like we saw. texas continues to be dead locked. georgia dead locked. florida, 51-46. i am noticing also that biden reaching the 50% threshold, something that politicians and retired politicians always look at. it's one thing to be ahead 42-38 with a lot of undecideds. biden crossing the threshold of 50% in several of these swing state polls. what's your take away? >> hey, go

a new nbc marist poll in the battleground state of north carolina has biden up 7 points. the president's handling of the pandemic is costing him support with more people trusting biden when it comes to the coronavirus. >> so here to talk more about this is larry sabato. he's the director of politics at the university of virginia. good to have you with us. >> thank you so much. >> so, larry, 98 days to election day and state and national polls show donald trump trailing his democratic national rival joe biden. we have learned not to trust polls so how much comfort should the democrats take from these numbers and where do you see all of this going? >> over confidence can kill so actually democrats are better off not focusing on the polls. the polling actually is more accurate this season than it was four years ago because they made changes in the methodology of the polls, but we need to remember always, it's just about late july. it doesn't tell you anything about early november. that's another reason to discount it in your mind. >> and of course, larry, florida is a key st

just moments ago, nbc news and marist college released a poll of those in arizona, a state trump wonly is he trailing joe biden by five points in a match-up, but on the senate side, democratic candidate mark kelly is leading his republican challenger martha mcsally by 12 points. as you just heard chuck schumer explain the senate republicans do not appear to have what it takes to effectively govern and now the democrats are favored to retake the senate with competitive races in previously ruby red states like georgia where i grew up and iowa. so while the presidential election tends to take up all of the oxygen, the importance of these senate races cannot be overstated. if democrats take the white house but republicans keep the senate, good luck passing meaningful legislation or confirming that black woman to the supreme court that joe biden has promised or shaping a democratic cabinet. trump wouldn't even be on the ballot if the republican controlled senate led by a self-proclaime

that's according to a brand-new nbc news marist poll that shows former vice president joe biden with left businesses in charlotte with millions of dollars in canceled contracts and a cascade of negative economic fallout. biden also has a slight edge in the swing state of arizona, and a new poll over the weekend shows the president with a deficit in michigan, a state he won back in 2016, plus a five-point deficit in florida according to a cnn poll. this makes it even worse. the report favors democrats to win back the senate. jessica taylor is the editor for the cook report. what is going on, arizona, iowa, georgia, minnesota, new mexico, you say they're all now in play for democrats? >> well, we moved minnesota and new mexico to the safe category, but iowa and georgia are states that at the beginning of the cycle we really didn't expect to be competitive. so what happened over the past year and increasingly over the past four months since this pandemic began is that democrats have expanded the map by putting states like that in play along with montana, and we now have six seats that a

an nbc news/marist poll finds him trailing biden by seven in that state. over the weekend showing trump behind in arizona and another that showed trump trailing in florida by five. florida's gone for the eventual winner in each of the last six general elections. this time around, the president has not led in polls in florida for four months now. his poor performance in surveys there actually caused the cook political report to change the state's status from the perennial place among toss-ups to lean democratic. the president and his supporters have continued to attack the polls as biased and flawed. it's one thing to trust or question political polls. it's another to cast doubt on the validity of the election itself as trump continues to do with his relentless attacks on mail-in ballots. a week ago the president told fox's chris wallace that mail-in voting would, quote, rig the election. asked if he would accept the election results, the president said, quote, i'll have to see. over the weekend, i interviewed the national press secretary for trump's re-ele

. >>> a new nbc news/marist poll shows joe biden among voters ing north carolina biden had 51%.now a five-point lead over president trump according to the same poll in arizona voters there say former vice president joe biden would do a better job specifically handling the pandemic and race relations. >>> a huge dog had to be rescued from the tallest mountain in the weekend. a 121 pound st. bernard named daisy collapsed while coming down the pike. she refused to move so 16 members of the rescue team jumped into action they carried that big dog all the way down the mountain. in all the rescue took five hours. this morning daisy is said to be doing well >>> now back to the coronavirus and the new normal this morning. after weeks of negotiations the nfl and its players have agreed to extensive health measures just as training camps are set to start stephanie gosk has been covering this one for us. good morning >> reporter: this morning pro football is trying to tackle covid-19 the nfl and its players association agreed on a host of safety rules that will be enforced during the pande