when we talk about chatham house rules, it's. about chatham house rules, it's becomejargon.people could talk informally, off the record without being quoted. when you talk to people informally and off the record and not being quoted, do they take a slightly different approach, do you find there is more nuance to this inside government or do they blindly accepted the russia had changed and was never going back? it had changed and was never going back? , . , , ., ., back? it very much depends on who ou talk back? it very much depends on who you talk to- — back? it very much depends on who you talk to- no. _ back? it very much depends on who you talk to. no, we _ back? it very much depends on who you talk to. no, we have _ back? it very much depends on who you talk to. no, we have seen - back? it very much depends on who you talk to. no, we have seen over| you talk to. no, we have seen over the years in unwillingness to accept the years in unwillingness to accept the true nature of russia. and the optimism that is been coming through again and again. we see a play out in the la

a risha, lieut savage from chatham house in london. really appreciate your time and your perspective. nato has condemned the escalation of the crisis over ukraine in russia's recognition of to break away regions. the alliances secretary general again, stoughton berg has described it as the most dangerous moment in a generation. he said, russia has not stopped planning for a full scale invasion of ukraine and warned, against ongoing provocations in the east of the country. the sultan burg added that nato would continue to provide ukraine with strong political support. this is the crisis created by russia alone. we commend ukraine for its restraint in not responding to russia's repeat, the publications, we stand in solid, either with the ukrainian people on its government. allies are united in their full support for ukraine's sovereignty on 3rd, eternal integrity within its and nationally recognized borders. russia's actions have brought a flood of condemnation from western leaders. the strongest european retaliation at this stage is ger

well, we clearly can't hear from david garza from chatham house. we'll try to get him up a bit later on in the program and we'll have another go at that. but in the meantime, let's have a look at some of the other global business stories that are making use around the world. b, p is due to stop producing aviation fuel containing 5 percent left over cooking oil at the plant in germany. on monday, the raw material comes from canteens and catering businesses, which is energy companies. airlines can use the fuel immediately without any technical modifications. new data shows the german government spent 42000000000 euros to protect jobs. threatened by the panoramic scheme, paid most of employees wages when they couldn't work because of operational issues like locked out. they would minister versus highlight that the cost was worth it, especially compared to the cost of mass unemployment. amazon is set to compete for exclusive 5 year broadcast rights to india is premier crickets big matches. draw as many as 350000000 viewers right now. disney owned star

is head of the ukraine form at the foreign policy, thinktank chatham house in london, and joins us now. welcome to d. w. and what was your reaction to russian president putin speech last night in which he questioned ukraine's right to statehood? well last night's fortune's address to russian nation was very much in line with his closet historical essay. he is issues law sama where he exactly says ukraine is an artificial state that has been created by these pop it. you know, it's a puppet regime. so basically it's in line of denying ukraine a state saying it's not a real country. it's quite a humiliating for the 1000 year old history of ukraine. and i think that it was in a way, i was, i declaration of war on the ukrainian states. he's essentially saying that ukraine is not legitimate and yet at the same time he is acknowledging accepting, embracing the existence of these brick away republics. as in fact, independent states. what do you make of the logic there? on the logic is that of course, ukraine exists only as an extension of the russian civilization, and it can only exist as eith

you should provide a risha luge savage from chatham house in london. really appreciate your time and your perspective dw correspondent nick connelly is in kia van nick explained to us the significance of this latest announcement from the russian president. well the, the situation is we after hearing putin speak yesterday, we assumed that this recognition would just be for the territory. and, and yet scholar hunts that is currently controlled by those separatists and has been since 2014, they controlled the biggest cities, billions kalonski with most population, but only about a 3rd of the actual territory of the wider done yet not regions. the rest is still in the hands of the ukrainian government cave and has been thought those front lines haven't shifted in years. and that they built speculation yesterday that to avoid a more frontal confrontation with the west. russia would only recognize them in their current borders, even though those separatists regimes themselves or claim the entire, to the regions now by the reproaches come out today and said t

and americas program at chatham house, it barely describes her impact on explaining america to thosen london and those in europe. thank you so much for joining us. how do you explain the united states? capitol hill can't even come up with some declaration. how do you explain that to people in london? >> right now, we are seeing a quite good response. the western countries working together because the threat seems so ominous. but we are seeing unusual things coming out of america like certain members of the republican party saying, why do we care about russia? why not worry about ukraine? but the biden administration has a very clear and very strong response to the current crisis. >> how effective is the biden response by the trump 10 of four years? >> i think the trump tenure was very damaging. for reasons we never really fully understood, president trump had such a fondness for putin and was unwilling to push hard. but remember even during those years, congress had a much stronger view, wanting to take a much stronger position against russia. u.s. policy was quite clear. now we have

coming up, we will speak to the associate fellow at chatham house.is bloomberg. ♪ matt: this is first word news. mark: with the war in ukraine it's for day, officials in kyiv say the first round of talks with russia has concluded and more talks could happen soon. a russian official is also saying an additional round of talks might occur in the coming days. russia has been bombarding the second largest city in ukraine but moscow's advance into the capital city reportedly appears to be slowing. the european union has agreed to send $500 million worth of military equipment to ukraine is the first on the block has supplied arms to a country at war. switzerland has joined the eu sanctions that are targeting russia including ones imposed against president putin and foreign minister sergey lavrov stuff the country which is traditionally neutral has hesitated whether to join the international moves to sanction moscow for the invasion. the announcement came as russia said lavrov had canceled his trip to the geneva-based united nations human rights council. th

joining me from london is the manager of the ukraine forum and the russian and eurasia program at chatham house. you tweeted that russia attacked ukraine not because it has security concerns but because it has territorial claims on ukraine. that seems clear now, but how far do you think putin will go in a territorial sense? take it all? >> well, michael, millions of people around the world and officials are watching the encirclement of almost 3 million number of population city in the heart of europe. this is what we are talking about. putin is after establishing his political control over this country and whatever assistance there will be he's determined he will fight with brutal force. so this is what we are after. i think we all have to be very clear what is the cost and risks of not providing better assistance to ukraine in the next one to two days. if the capitol falls, it will have a massive consequences for all of us. >> what sort of assistance are you talking about in the next one to two days? >> well, we've convened a task force yesterday in chatham house and will be releasing some of

vinjamuri, director at the us and americas programme and dean at queen elizabeth ii academy for the chatham housek you both very much indeed for joining us. of course, the situation in ukraine dominates many pages. the financial times leads with the title putin unleashes ukraine assault. moscow launches one of europe's largest military offensives since the second world war. the new york times carries a picture of smoke rising from a military airport targeted by the russian forces. amongst the british papers, the daily telegraph tells the invasion a new cold world. —— called the invasion a new cold war. the i has a stark headline, ukrainian�*s agony. in the war. the i has a stark headline, ukrainian's agony. in the guardian, a photo of an injured woman after an air strike in a photo of an injured woman after an airstrike in the a photo of an injured woman after an air strike in the city of the northeast of ukraine. the daily mail reports the warning by us officials saying ukraine's capital could fall within days. let us begin. if i can begin with you, polly, on the guardian. a very striking front

. >> earlier i spoke to the head of the ukraine forum at chatham house and asked her how moscow wouldiew the recent trip deployment from the united states. >> it seems like putin's tactic to militarize the ukraine russian border and to up russian presence is achieving the opposite result of what he wants. it actually brings nato closer to russian borders. because of the threat that the alliance feels from -- and quite aggressive russia. obviously, putin can play the narrative that at home russia is besieged and the main threat is coming not from the ukraine, as he says, but from the united states and the west. >> but doesn't this work into putman's hands? because now i can say look, nato is a problem. >> obviously, there's little the west and ukraine can do about what vladimir putin says. we have to builds plomacy around russia's action and if russia has withdrawn troops from the border, then brings more troops into belarus, nato's -- would be unnecessary. let's notice where americans are putting those troops. romania on the black sea. we are focusing on land invasions, but let's not

interesting times i can draw thanks so much for joining us from chatham house and then join us from both hampton chinese k. still ahead here on the news on the hub to wait and and to get job. no, we don't even have that kind of thing. can, with just gathering in nigeria and lecture halls will tell you why tens of thousands of students might not be able to finish their studies on what the indian state has been jobs. those local actions could be the head of general elections in 2024. and always at the top of the metal table with a record golden hole in beijing that phone coming up with pizza enforce ah, the grand e c o p and renee sold stuff has begun generating electricity for the 1st time in the p prime minister element and other dignitaries at the site for the inaugural ceremony of africa, the largest hydro electric power project. if you, if you says the $5000000000.00 development will power, it's economy by egypt opposes the damn, saying it'll reduce fresh water supplies from the niles of millions of its citizens . that although sit on 1st, welcome the project at night to voice similar

so thank you very much for joining us. care, giles from chatham house. thank you. you are the news, our live from london much more still i had on the program. fighting a common enemy, but inspired by a different ideology, were on the front line with far right paramilitary groups in east in ukraine. and in sport, another record for basketball star, le bron james. i have the details of that nature on ah opposition parties intern easier. say val unite against president chi saeed. off tree and out sweeping changes to the judiciary. more protests have taken place in the capital of the site, gave himself the power to dismiss judges. supreme judicial council was replaced under a new decree. it was one of the last institutions to have been independent of the presidency lead to involvement reports from tunas. i protested, defy covert restrictions, banding. protest together and that thousands essential genus and they're angry. president chi side has dissolved, tenacious judicial, watched out the supreme judicial counsel and his latest law against him near total control over

fellow and manager of the ukraine forum in the russia and eurasia programme at the think—tank chatham housexplainig what the so—called "false flag" strategy is, and how russia is using it. that is the strategy that we have seen in ukraine in 2014, before the annexation of crimea, where russia was saying that there is a genocide of russian speakers and that there is an attack on those populations. we have seen false footages of children being molested. that was a pretext for then the russian duma to give consent to the russian president to use force in ukraine. this reminds me very much what was happening. to use proxy formations, these militant formations that russia arms in order to stage an invasion further into ukrainian territory by blaming ukraine of the provocation. and we have seen a similar story in 2008 with the georgian war, so this very much looks like a substantial escalation with the possible military operation. when you talk about the russian duma, you're talking about the request to president putin to recognize the donetsk and luhansk republics. do you think, though, that the

us after what some of the barn is an associate fellow of the russian you raise your program at chatham house explains why information is so difficult to verify, especially with in russia. i think this information has been paused to tune a warfare toolkit ever since 2014. the question of verifying what's happening today is really not the most important one. the most important issue now is the brainwashing that has been taking place in russia, how putin is brainwashing his own population. he is telling them that ukraine is and nazi states that he is undertaking a process of the knots, if occasion ukraine's president is jewish. half the cabinet of ministers of ukraine history tell me which country in the world is not the country with the jewish president, but that's not the only issue. the foreign ministry, sex person today has said, this is not a war. this is the end of war. i'm not actually quite sure what she means with this very ominous. this is a ward and what was she trying to decide? the russian population that there is no wall? this is this information on a grand scale. people are getti

tuesday, iris for to care charles, a senior consulting fellow of the russia and eurasia program at chatham house. he said, latest diplomatic efforts in moscow and not producing any changes. well, it's hard really to see what else can be done other than this flurry of diplomacy that's been going on at what a lot of western leaders think is the last minute. no, certainly the overtures to moscow that we've been seen continuing them in a tent space over the last few days don't seem to be getting any attraction because after all, they're repeating to the russians, the same messages that have been rejected so many times before and hearing from the church and the same demands that the west is unable to meet. so i imagine everybody concerned is looking for other ways of actually moving the situation forward. and it's a very fluid situation with this tense situation where everybody is expecting an imminent attack. so all bets are open or russia minute trained trails near cranes border and intensifying and recent weeks. the presence of russian forces is the largest don't by the russian soil since the end

over the last few days in chatham house colleagues have been putting together lists of policy optionslist of what we do now have a list of essential actions now have a list of essential actions now that russia has once again invaded one of its neighbors. but one of the most depressing thing about that exercise is we basically copied and pasted a law that we'd done previous occasions in 2008 when russia attacked georgia come in 2014 when it sees crimea, so often the essential is clear and it is simply not taken. , essential is clear and it is simply not taken-— not taken. very interesting lines cominu not taken. very interesting lines coming out _ not taken. very interesting lines coming out of — not taken. very interesting lines coming out of the _ not taken. very interesting lines coming out of the un _ not taken. very interesting lines coming out of the un now - not taken. very interesting lines coming out of the un now is - not taken. very interesting lines coming out of the un now is a l not taken. very interesting lines - coming out of the un now is a debate what happened and giv

fellow and manager of the ukraine forum in the russia and eurasia programme at the think—tank, chatham househere on bbc news. first off, can we look at the false flag issue? where hearing about this more and more now. do you definitely think that is the strategy russia is likely to pursue? well, that is the strategy we have seenin well, that is the strategy we have seen in ukraine in 2014 before the annexation of crimea where russia was saying there was a genocide of russian speakers and an attack on those populations. we have seen footage of children being molested that was a pretext for the russian duma to give consent to the russian peasant to use of force in ukraine. this remains me very much of what was happening —— russian president to use force. in order to stage an invasion further into ukrainian territory by blaming ukraine of the provocation. and we have seen a similar story in 2008 with a georgian war. so there is a very much looks like a substantial escalation with a possible military operation. escalation with a possible military o eration. ~ escalation with a possible military

vinjamuri, director at the us and americas programme and dean at queen elizabeth ii academy for the chatham houseank you both very much indeed. let's have a quick look at what the front pages have got for us. the situation in ukraine of course dominates many front pages. the international edition of the financial times leads with the title, who ten ukraine assault. —— putin. the new york times has a picture of smoke rising from a military airport targeted by the russian forces. amongst the british papers, the daily telegraph called the invasion a new cold war and reports that the rapid advance of russian troops closing in on the capital kyiv. the i has a stark headline, ukraine's agony. the prime minister because it an attempt to draw the map of europe in blood. the times leads with the title of a dark day in europe. in the daily mail reports the warning by us security officials saying ukraine's capital could fall within days. let us begin. leslie, if i could begin with you. this time, the times�*s headline, a piece from entity lloyd, talking about the each explosion, and attacking helicopters, b

manager of the ukraine forum at chatham house. >>> hotel group says it is well on the way to normal ity. we will speak with jean-jacques morin just after this break. >>> welcome back to "street signs. i want to recap the lines from the ukrainian president. showing no sign of backing down. ukrainian president saying that we will issue weapons to everyone who wants them. ukraine president saying we broke off diplomatic reelalatio are ukraine and coming out to protest war. this is the comment he made before, but once again, using this opportunity to speak directly to russians those within ukraine and those in russia as well. calling on them to protest what president putin is doing he also said that he wants people to spread honest information. the enemy has suffered serious losses and he is encourages businesses to provide goods and cert cerservices to people volodymyr zelenskyy is saying we will remove sanctions from all citizens of ukraine who are ready to defend the state with weapons in their hands president volodymyr zelenskyy holding a tough line not showing any sign of backing down

ostia luc savich in london, manager of the ukraine forum in the russia and eurasia program at chatham house. great to have your expertise on this. we've seen this uptick in violence along the line of contact, the artillery and fire that's going on today, right now, in fact. is donbas at the top of your list of where russian troops could step over the border, if they do? >> let's be clear that the russian troops are already inside donbas. they have been there at a limited capacity, directing these militant formations from 2014, when they captured the regions. they were integratie ing these military formations as part of russian military district. we see right now they're ramping up fire. there were more than 60 violations. they're ramping up disinformation, saying that civilians of those territories may be attacked by ukrainian armed forces. they are create ing -- this cou give a pretext for russia to come and defend russian citizens and russian speakers. absolutely, yes, this is the whole flashpoint we should all watch. >> the west, of course, as we all know, was caught napping when russia

last year i did a study for chatham house for an reports we did about cleaning up for an reports we did mean? that means that through the stock exchange, we are legalising money that is enriching members of a regime which has carried out hostile acts on our soil, that has interfered in our elections and which is now threatening to completely reconfigure the security and protection of europe. how we reach that out will take a long time and a lot of education and facilitators. i think the biggest problem we have is the donations to the conservative party and the close link between our prime minister and other ministers and members of the house of lords with very wealthy russians and a very wealthy british people who have made their money in russia thanks to the links with people who are close to putin's regime. the real problem we are seeing is not only the corruption that comes with it, but a culture of violence. when you have people like charlotte leslie, who is now having threats because she has questioned some donations to the tory party via a british citizen who made his money in rus

also with me manager of the ukraine eurasia chatham house.e not saying where you are in ukraine for you, your family's safety, your safety. we know you are in the western part of the country. how are you and your family doing? what is happening around you right now in. >> well, the most important thing that we are going to fear is safety. i can do my job as a journalist and tell what is happening in ukraine through the interinable media and trying to help our friends and our family members who are, you know, trying to get from the areas under russian attack now and currently, we are hosting a family, they arrived yesterday after almost two days on the road. it's you know about 1,000 kilometers, they had to make in their cars. a family of parents, a child and a cat. they arrived safely and we are very happy they are already here. but at the same time, i am also trying to help and other friends who are stalking kiev, they do not own a car, so they cannot leave by car. those trying to leave by car, it's very difficult to do so, the roads are clo

sir andrew would, associate fellow, russia and eurasia program chatham house, joins us shortly.♪ dani: it is wednesday, february 23. the relief rally runs out of steam. concerns still squarely on russia-ukraine tensions. the close starts now. >> the countdown is on in europe. this is "bloomberg markets: european close," with guy johnson and alix steel. ♪ dani: i'm dani burger, with kailey leinz, in for guy and a lix. the equity situation still deteriorating. we were rallying to start the morning, but as we head closer to the end of equity trading, that is now falling to 0.1%. headlines over cyberattacks in ukraine from russia start to deteriorate sentiment yet again. the ruble continues to weaken versus the dollar, just around $81. as we see options tradersit

hello its lines as the director of the africa program at chatham house think tank on international fast and joyce now from london. mr. bonds could help you with this on the program. just wanna start with a quote, the 2 organizations are closed, but how close when it comes to making progress? because you have a quote that says what you want from africa. you should also expect from africa. what does i forgot from you? i mean, that was said by fred, go, good, good threats that he's the head of the a use conflict prevention in the lead up to the summit. obviously they want to change the relationship. i really do want to change the relationship, particularly the europeans, the 27 european leaders. i have understood the africa is a neighboring continent and that they need to change the relationship. i am bringing her closer back to europe by the what he's competition in particular. as your report mentioned, the chinese others are very involved. now, over the last couple of decades in the african continent, they have this service where there was a china summer early this year. the japanese hav

joining us now as care giles, he's a senior consulting fellow, the russian erasure program at chatham house. and here we have the situation now where ukrainians, particularly residents in kiev, are anxiously awaiting what could be a full scale assault on the capital. you also have the ukraine president saying that that he's ready to sit down and talk about peace and negotiations with the russians. how much scope is there for diplomacy? well, we've seen diplomacy fail all the way up until this point and it seems there are still unbridgeable. gaps between what russia thinks ukraine is and what the rest of the world thinks it is. and also between the objectives of the 2 different sites. now, russia you heard a, is insisting that ukraine effectively surrender for talks to happen. and that is not going to happen. while there is effective resistance still ongoing, so not only other to actually incompatible priorities for the 2 sides. and as you just heard, zelinski personally, being unacceptable to the russian leadership. but also there just aren't the conditions that any kind of diplomatic break

now to keir giles, who's a senior consulting fellow in the russia and eurasia programme at the chatham housecking up on what lord derek was saying. he said it is difficult for the west to bring any new messages to russia. it has delivered all the messages that it can and all of this. but do you think the focus will now be reminding russia over the consequences an invasion could be for the country? that the consequences an invasion could be for the country?— be for the country? that is why the messa . es be for the country? that is why the messages that _ be for the country? that is why the messages that has _ be for the country? that is why the messages that has been _ be for the country? that is why the messages that has been driven - be for the country? that is why the i messages that has been driven home by this intense pattern of diplomacy. but as you heard, there are no new messages, what is said by us is exactly the same messages that they have already rejected, we are sharing in return is what we have heard from her shoe before. for all that it's important to keep talking, there is le

top story, where kids was as a senior consulting fellow of the russia and duration program at chatham house. he says, russia has the upper hand and western powers. have a limited number of options available to try to tip the scales. at this point. the message coming from both nato, the e, you, the west, in general, is one of unity. but that's very different from saying what you're actually unified to do now with ukraine not being a native member. there's a limited amount of support directly, and militarily that could be offered to ukraine. and in fact, the u. s. and the u. k. at a very early stage in this crisis, ruled out direct support to ukraine, which is the one thing that might have caused russia to think again, if it is planning to launch an invasion. now, meanwhile, you have the e. u and major western powers, talking about sanctions, but there's been very little specific on how exactly they would respond to a russian escalation. and russia might reasonably think that those sanctions would be so painful for the west itself economically that there's a limited amount that would actually

let's discuss this with cure. gilles is an expert on russia with chatham house, and he's also the author of the research paper. what deter is russia? he's joining us from the u. k. welcome to al jazeera. so what difference does all of this military aid make? now to ukraine, it has to be said not nearly as much difference as it would have made before this crisis actually kicked into the invasion phase by russia would have been possible for western power that really wanted to support ukraine to do so in practical steps that might have prevented the war by providing the support that was awful in advance, the no fly zones that ukraine is currently begging for maritime exclusion zones. even the presence of peacekeepers from other countries to match that threat by russia to introduce the the so called fake peacekeepers that they were supposed to be sending in to the use of the country. all of that could have been done and might have led us to a different course of the, to what we're seeing now with these tragic events around key of and across the whole of ukraine actually within. and how does

with me now is mathieu boulegue, research fellow, russia and eurasia programme at chatham house.from vladimir putin? if we talk about the _ from vladimir putin? if we talk about the nuclear _ from vladimir putin? if we talk about the nuclear deterrent, i from vladimir putin? if we talk about the nuclear deterrent, in from vladimir putin? if we talk i about the nuclear deterrent, in a way it's the necessary next step from the kremlin to signal that there will be escalation, should we choose to try and help ukraine, to a degree that would be inconvenient to the kremlin. it is a game of rhetoric. it is very dangerous signalling, of course, but it remains at the level of signalling and there should not be any form of panic at the moment. the problem is, we have an increasingly frustrated president putin. frustration could lead to desperation, and this is where mistakes and miscalculations happen. this is potentially a harbinger of things to come so we should be extremely wary in this sense. it should be extremely wary in this sense. , , ., sense. it is day five. they have been sugges

thinks he is director of the wretched erasure - director of the wretched erasure programme at chatham househink most of the eu countries are still playing catch up, the uk as well as sensibly, what seemed like measure... . up, the uk as well as sensibly, what seemed like measure. . ._ up, the uk as well as sensibly, what seemed like measure... . that is one element of — seemed like measure... . that is one element of what _ seemed like measure... . that is one element of what the _ seemed like measure... . that is one element of what the eu _ seemed like measure... . that is one element of what the eu announced . seemed like measure... . that is one i element of what the eu announced but it also announced finances, freezing assets of the russia banks and the ceasing operations of swiss. it’s ceasing operations of swiss. it's harsh, ceasing operations of swiss. it's harsh. but _ ceasing operations of swiss. it�*s harsh, but sounding like a broken record, the best time would have been to do it was 20 years ago. the second time is now. it will have an effect. the issue with sanctions if they t

with me to answer your questions is on ukraine is drjoanna szostek, associate fellow of the chatham housekraine is a sovereign independent state and has a right to full autonomy from russia at the russian government doesn't accept that so putin and his government see ukraine as a country that has historically had close cultural and historical ties to russia and they would like ukraine to keep those close ties, so the more ukraine tries to align with the west and europe and reduce its ties with russia, the more russia tries to obstruct that and since 201a the conflict has had this territorial aspect because russia annexed crimea from ukraine in 201a and ukraine continues to challenge the legitimacy of that and russia is also giving military aid and financial assistance to the two breakaway regions in eastern ukraine and preventing the ukrainian government from regaining control over those region. there are other sources of tension concerning questions of history and language rights but if you get to the heart of it it's essentially russia refusing to respect the autonomy of its smaller nei