oleksiy, you see, the nbu will definitely agree with you, you mentioned labor professions, constructionfessions, and in fact, in your latest inflation report written by the nbu, the number of enterprises experiencing a shortage of qualified workers is increasing, in particular in the construction industry, processing industry, and these trends testify to significant structural imbalances in... the labor market, the nbu notes, let's add to our conversation ilyuna skhodovskyi, economist, head of the analytical direction of the ans network. mr. ilya, we welcome you, good afternoon, to begin with, what are the current challenges in the ukrainian labor market, you will single out the biggest ones for yourself, and then we will talk about how to cope with them, perhaps, well, the first is the challenge... qualified workers, some, especially women, they went abroad, and accordingly, the need for in this context, it is necessary to find a replacement for these people today. the second point is that workers are mobilized, especially technical specialties, and as a result of this mobilization, so

400 billion, 400 million emission, what did it look like, the ministry of finance issued papers, the nbu bought them, so did 400 billion and we... the question is for these bankers who tell all this, what did it lead to, what kind of inflation did it lead to , the economy simply absorbed and did not even notice what happened next tools that are still available, the national bank of ukraine can provide refinancing to banks for specific financing of programs, it must first lower the discount rate and the military industry, so the government should come to the ministry of strategic studies to show it to zelenskyi, he approves it and everything at the control. everyone is running there and solving this issue, you can refinance up to 400 billion, well, for example, at 5% for 5 years it is given to banks, banks give out loans to the military industry according to specific programs, this is not only for the military industry, it is for any industries we need of the economy, what is needed to be provided for, 400 billion will be consumed by the economy and will not even notice, but this is speci

at the same time, the nbu noted that the losses from imports were partially compensated thanks to the increase in supplies by other routes, in particular by rail, the loss of exports of blankets was covered by the new maritime corridor. a certain weakening also had a positive effect, on which the strikers left. and periodically unblocking checkpoints, but unfortunately, blockades still continue in some places and ukraine bears losses. and the new transport corridor in the black sea made it possible to normalize sea exports in general, and it is working even better than expected. minister of infrastructure oleksandr kubrakov told bloomberg about this. since august , our state has shipped almost 10 million tons of goods, mostly grain. for now, shipowners are still afraid to use this route, because ukraine is now trying to solve this problem, to convince them, for example, by reducing insurance costs, and the cabinet of ministers negotiates directly with international companies to go, insurance companies to go to meet carriers. and the european union began preparations for stopping trans

somewhat specific action will take place again , and some currency restrictions will be introduced by the nbull say the following, the fact that the national bank makes a decision to soften the currency or liberalize the currency policy, to gradually remove restrictions, is a very good signal, both for business and for the public, that if the situation were uncontrolled, or not stable, then the restriction is the opposite, them more, they increase, and they, let's say, become more rigid if they are removed. then this is a very clear signal that the situation is stabilizing gradually, step by step. why did the national bank come to this, to this decision, well, first of all, there is a declared plan, as it were, a road map of liberalization, and it, by the way, will be implemented, the national bank constantly says this in the presence of conditions, prerequisites that will allow, for example, to switch to the managed flexibility of the course, which was carried out on at the beginning of october, or for example, today 's step, when absolutely all restrictions for banks on the sale of cash cur

is certain for a certain shade of shares, will there be any currency restrictions introduced by the nbu again? i i will say the following: the fact that the national bank makes a decision to soften the currency or liberalize the currency policy, to gradually remove restrictions, is a very good signal, both for business and for the public, that if the situation were uncontrolled or unstable, then restrictions on the contrary, there are more of them, they are increasing, and they are, let's say , becoming more rigid, if they are removed, then this is a very clear signal that the situation is stabilizing gradually, gradually step by step, why the national bank came to this, to this decision, well, first of all, there is a declared plan, and this is a road map, implementation, and it, by the way, will be implemented, the national bank constantly says that there are conditions, prerequisites that will allow, for example, to move to the managed flexible exchange rate that was implemented at the beginning of october, or for example, today's step, when absolutely all restrictions for banks on t

i think that the president can be asked directly by the head of the nbu, and... the boards of banks andankers in general, what they are doing, because they have the opportunity to lend, to lend to the military economy , they do not do this, frankly, they speculate on ovdp, the national bank can now safely pump in approximately uah 400 billion to expand the state order, the ministry of finance can issue state target bonds, the national bank can buy them and that's it. the expansion of the state order can be , as it was done in the 22nd year, when there was a bankruptcy of the banks, what happened to our economy, nothing happened, only the economy did not even notice it, even inflation did not rise much, this is the question of expansion the production of weapons, and the national bank of ukraine and the bankers who seem to live as if nothing is happening in the country should finance it, and this should not be the case if the bankers continue to be themselves behave, here the question arises, why do we need such bankers in the country, why do they not sit, including with the confiscation

vasyl, the banking system, as the expert says, has adapted, it is working this year, and next year, the nbu does not even rule out that they will continue to lower the discount rate of the national bank. well, this is such an important factor, the lower the rate, the more stable the prices, the inflation falls, the stronger the hryvnia, the... really, that's how it says andriy dubas, it is profitable to make a deposit and it is profitable to take loans, well, we monitor this, and i also monitor the economy of the aggressor country, so in russia they are preparing for sanctions against the moscow stock exchange, they may lead to the termination of trading on the stock market in dollars and euros. this was reported by the head of the central bank of russia, elvira nabiulina , according to her, the russian authorities have a plan for this case, which, well... is not disclosed, they say, the ruble rate will not fall appreciably after the closure of the exchange, - says the head of the central bank of ukraine agresorka, however, the introduction of restrictions against the exchange may lead to a

billion, 400 billion emission, what did it look like, the ministry of finance issued the papers, the nbua question for these bankers who are telling me all this. what did it lead to, what kind of inflation did it lead to, the economy simply absorbed it and did not even notice, then this is the toolkit that is still available, the national bank of ukraine can provide refinancing to banks for specific financing of programs, it must first lower the discount rate and in the military industry committee, yes, the government should have the ministry of strategic research come and show it to zelenskyi, he approves it and everything is under control, let...

according to the expert, the vasilebank system has adapted, it is working, this year, well, next year, the nbu does not even rule out that they will continue to lower the discount rate of the national bank, well, it is like this an important factor is that the lower the rate, the more stable the prices, the inflation is falling, the stronger the hryvnia, the more it really is, as andriy dubas says, profitable to deposit and profitable to take. loans, well, we monitor this, and i also monitor the economy of the aggressor country, so russia is preparing for sanctions against the moscow stock exchange, they may lead to the termination of trading on the stock market in dollars and euros. this was announced by the head of the central bank of russia, elvira nabiulina. according to her, the russian authorities have a plan for this case, about which one, well, no it is said that the ruble exchange rate will not fall significantly after the closure of the brain exchange, he says. head of the central bank of ukraine agresorka. however, the introduction of restrictions against the exchange could lead to

trends indicate significant structural imbalances in the labor market, the nbu notes, let's add economist khodovskyi, head of the analytical direction of the anc network to our conversation. mr. ilya, we congratulate you. good day. to begin with, what challenges would you single out for yourself as the greatest in the ukrainian labor market? and then we will talk about how to deal with them, maybe. this is a challenge for qualified workers, some of them, especially women, have gone abroad, accordingly , there is a need in this context that these people, today it is necessary to find a replacement for them. the second point is that workers are mobilized, especially technical specialties, and as a result of this mobilization, some enterprises cannot find the key. key people to their positions , that's why they raise their salaries , in order for them to have such a financial incentive, after all, to go, according to them to go to work, and then it's a question of, well, a crazy need, once again, of qualified workers, this especially, labor specialties, this is also a shortage of personnel,

we remember what you believe the nbu recorded from the beginning of the war. exchange rate of the hryvnia in october he released it, everyone was worried that it would somehow affect and the price tags for the dollar would creep up, this did not happen, now we see a certain even weakening of the dollar, if we talk about the forecast not in the coming weeks, not in the coming weeks, but to talk about the forecast for the hryvnia and the dollar for the next year, 2024, so that we and our viewers also have certain benchmarks on which should be considered, so what would you predict? what are the recommendations you see, it very much depends on many factors and, first of all, for ukraine, of course, on the amount of international aid, if you take the budget for the 24th year, then there is a deficit in it, it is an objectively determined deficit, because we are the funds which we earn inside the country and pay the budget, we direct it to the needs of resisting russian aggression, everything else is paid for by borrowing, and primarily by external borrowing, so... next year ukraine has the gov