diageo, paul walsh, expanding their presence in india. early movers on wall street, igt up 4.5%. >>> take a look at the dow heat map. disney leading laggard down by 5%. green there, microsoft making a big move. top left hand corner of your screen. that corner there. it is higher, though, right now by 1.25%. >> yeah. looking for -- for various reasons. big time of the year for video games. halo gets talked about a lot this week. we'll see if we can get clarity. we haven't talked much about china. what a coincidence on the second day of their communist party congress we get great numbers on industrial production, on retail sales, on fixed as set investment. shanghai doesn't like it. maybe stimulus less likely? >> as soon as great numbers came out, china fell on great numbers. i think the chinese government wants to get employment back. they want to be able -- they really want to get gross domestic -- the chinese buyers of stocks may be underrating the firepower of the chinese government. i want to go with china not against it. buy china ind

here first on cnbc is paul walsh, the ceo of diageo joins us from london this morning.u with us. good morning. fascinating way the company has positioned itself around the world. you have torrid growth in emerging markets like latin america. well positioned in the u.s. for any improvement here. is the overriding concern still western europe, the periphery there? >> well, i think first of all you're right. we operate in 180 countries around the world. 40% of our sales are coming from the new high growth markets. where we continue to see double digit growth. and we expect that trend to continue. the u.s. is strong. so in aggregate we reported an 11% increase in operating profit and 13% growth in eps. regarding western europe, i think europe is what it is. we shouldn't expect it to change anytime soon. we saw a small contraction in sales but our profits actually increased in europe. we just have to be alert to growth opportunities, to offset what our inevitable structural declines in certain european markets. we believe we can do that. >> all right. sales of spirits, up 12

more to the point, here's is paul walsh, vice president of weather analyticth at the weather company. paul, what's the threat here? what's the strategic threat? >> larry, we've done analysis and it's been done in the academic literature that shows when the weather's bad, it generally favors republicans. it's really a function of demographics and being able to get out and get to vote. historically, that has been a benefit. what we're seeing now for tomorrow is that it's going to be raining in northern florida. probably rain morgue than it was in 2000. in 2000 with the gore v. bush race so tight, there are some that say the rain in northern florida might have played a part in the outcome of that election. >> paul, let me just ask you, because i had senator rubio on. i asked him directly about northern florida. i asked him about the panhandle. i guess from jacksonville right over to the panhandle. now, that's republican territory. >> right. >> you're saying in this case, if there's a big rainstorm, the republicans may get washed out. >> no, actually, it's more beneficial for republicans

the weather channel's paul walsh joins us with the business impact here. paul, the holidays are a crucial time for many businesses. who is being impacted the most weekend? >> yeah. interestingly maria, the weather this year is largely impacting business by the weather last year. the weather last year was incredibly warm, incredibly dry. any type of weather that we have this year threatens store traffic and also demand. so the draco impact, although limbed to the chicago area, may be more significant than you would normally think because of the fact that we've got such a difficult comparison to last year's balmy winter weather. >> what about retail, are you seeing positives on that end or is this going to hurt retail? >> no, i think the timing of the storm actually is pretty good for retail. tomorrow the weather is going to be clear for most major markets. it's the last weekend before christmas. and there is going to be plenty of availability for people to go in will be good. i think the restaurant sector may have it more difficult in december because, again

we're joined now first on cnbc by paul walsh. paul, good to see you again.ing a billion euros over the next five years in scotch whiskey production. that's a lot of money to be investing at a time when we hear that the crisis is still raging. >> yeah. actually it's a billion pounds. this will serve to increase our capacity in distillation and will allow us to continue to serve the new consumers in the new markets and continue the attractive growth rates that we've seen for the scotch whiskey category. >> paul, that investment will add something like 100 jobs, maybe add 100 more positions for apprenticeships across the region. good news on that front. sthnt for you twice to save face after that bru-ha-ha of sorts in the local brewery competition just a little while ago? >> oh, i think that is quite an irrelevant versus the magnitude of went out today. i can assure the plans we're outlining today have been in the works for a long, long time. the other thing i would say about the job front is that bear in mind the nature of our business is that for every job we

the weather channel's paul walsh is here.hose are the numbers you get up in a high rise in the middle of the city. >> extremely strong winds for the northeast. this low pressure system is now the lowest on record. >> and that's significant why? low pressure is what's -- >> that's what is giving us the strong winds, really strong gradeients. even though the storm has been classified as a non-tropical event, not downgraded, no longer tropical. what we're calling at the weather channel a superstorm. >> that's out in queens area there, sort of behind where the storm is at this point, northeast of the storm. >> right. >> is that typical of what you get in the north side of a storm is where you're going to get most of the wind anyway is. >> and the right quadrant so that basically is this area. it's just now moving through, so we're getting into the strongest part of the winds which is why we're seeing, of course, with the high tide also the flooding that we're seeing now with, you know, the folks up in that area. >> we're talking

paul walsh. time. >> thanks. >>> as much $200 billion of properties in the path of this storm. diana olick joins us from washington with that angle. >> that's just from storm surmg flooding alone. core logic ran the numbers and they are staggering. for a category 4 hurricane, which is this is expected to be. in florida alone, 954,000 homes are at risk of damage with a reconstruction value over $189 billion. in daytona beach, which could get the worst, there are 97,000 homes with rekruk value of -- 138 coastal homes in georgia lie in its path. there, 30 billion. by the time it gets to south carolina, forecasters expect it will have weakened to a category 2 storm, but 124,000 homes are at risk of damage. now, the numbers are considerably higher today than they were when hurricane andrew hit in 1992. florida, as you know, was the epicenter for the historic housing boom and bust and construction there is strong again. more than 200,000 new homes have been built in the decade along the florida eastern

you know, this -- paul walsh, the bearer of good news for me, anyway. bad news for everybody else. >> brian, i, too, am scheduled for a turkey trot on thursday which i'm bagging. >> you and me, paul. we'll have a scotch at 9:00 a.m. paul walsh, stay warm, buddy. >> i will. thank you. >>> right now we would like to get to keith carson on what to expect from the weather. keith, you did warn us that it would be warmer today. you did not warn us that it was going to be a monsoon out there. >> yeah, it is quite rainy across much of the northeast today. and it's not that i'm going to skip that story but i'm getting to what paul was talking about. we're watching a storm system wednesday into thursday. so we have to talk about it down here on wednesday morning. down across the carolinas. and will go up the eastern seaboard. that's your freezing mark. in so in general around that and to the west of that is when you're looking at snow. one of the european models we watch is further inland to see the heavy snow off to the west and in through new england heading int

we spoke to paul walsh from the weather channel earlier this morning.t two weeks, maybe a month left of this. how much worse could it get for retailers? >> i think it is worth for retailers. the month of january and february, we're fortunate it's a small portion of their overall sales. they'll have to take markdowns, given that the first hit of spring merchandise is supposed to sell during presidents' day weekend. >> people don't necessarily want to be buying bikinis and resortwear when it is 10 degrees below 0 and there's three feet of snow on the ground. how does the inventory mix look when you go to the stores? is there too much of it, is it the right mix. >> most of the clearance merchandise for winter has been sold through. in the stores there is a lot of the spring merchandise, whether it's the t-shirts, jeans or dresses. it's lighter colors but also a lot of prints and patterns. it's getting into the spring mood with not a lot of winter goods left. that's why we're seeing accessories sell better than apparel. >> you mentioned discounting. will re

. >> paul mccartney, ringo starr, joe walsh from the eagles and dave grohl had dinner together and just for fun, tom hanks was with them. harvey: i swear if i was at that restaurant, i would do an "i love lucy" go in the back and go out there and say, i will do this for you. >> can you imagine if harvey levin walked up to that table? [laughter] >> hannah jeter, we ask her who is your girl crush? >> who is your girl crush? >> anna kournikova. is >> sar poefshia? >> no. >> navratilova? >> no.

boycotting this speech senator jim de mint says he's not attending along with congressman joe walsh ron paul and paul brown and back brown says he'll be holding a twitter town hall in his office instead of making a trip across the street to the house chamber to see this speech in person so here's my question for those skipping the president's address tonight congress currently has a fourteen percent job approval rating more than fourteen million people are out of work in this country so could you lawmakers act like you care at all and at least put in an appearance at least pretend that our government still functions well enough to address the problems facing this country is that too much to ask after all taxpayers are paying your salary and that is all why we are getting the members of congress who are skipping the speech tonight from our school title ward including david vitter who is more worried about football than his own job. all right it's time for happy hour and joining me tonight is our t.v. producer jenny churchill and alex sites well he is a reporter and blogger for think progress

. >> tonight, john nichols of the nation magazine tells us exactly who paul ryan is. joan walsh and e.j. dionne on the president's counterpunch today on the campaign trail. now's terry o'neal on what romney/ryan means for women. james hoffa of the teamsters and larry cohen of the cwa on what the ryan pick means for lar. >>> and vermont senator bernie sanders on paul ryan's medicare lie. >> there's only one president that i know of in history that robbed medicare $716 billion. paul ryan and i talked about saving medicare. >> good to have you with us tonight, folks. thanks for watching. it choices in the 2012 presidential election have never been as clear as they are tonight. mitt romney's announcement of congressman paul ryan to be on the ticket as his running mate has the republican base all excited. the roll-out no doubt positive, probably the best thing romney has had because he's had a rough summer. and the choice takes any controversy off the table that might have come up at the republican convention later this month. they're going to like this. conservatives are happy. pres

we had a slowdown. >> let's bring paul walsh into this conversation from the weather channel. you look at what's been happening with the storm and what that means for retail sales, what's it going to mean this time around? >> it's very interesting. the leadup to the storm which is generally positive for retail in general from a traffic perspective, this year it actually topped snowtober from last year. the weekend traffic was phenomenal. >> because people knew the storm was coming. >> because we're so late into the hurricane season and into fall, that traffic i think benefited more than just the home centers and the usual suspects. i think there's probably a lot of people even in the malls so the net on a comp basis, the storm was positive for october retail sales. >> people were in the malls? canned goods i get but in the malls buying clothing? >> probably a halo effect. we are in fall. predictions are that it will turn cold afterwards. there was more benefit than would normally be in the middle of hurricane season simply because there is more people out shopping buying thing

another 30 business leaders have come again and -- [shouting] >> let me just read the prime minister, paul walsh on the prime minister's business council, not a tory, one of his advisers. [shouting] >> yes, yes. he's probably a tory now. so is half the country. [shouting] >> let's hear what he had to say. and if it is not to decline businesses have been the seat, national insurance is a tax on jobs. let's hear from john egan, former head, how can there be a deception? national insurance is a tax on jobs, pure and simple. isn't the truth is, this prime minister would wreck the recovery by putting a tax on every job on everyone earning over 20,000, a tax on aspiration, a tax in every business on the country? this government would wreck the recovery. [shouting] >> mr. speaker, mr. speaker, it's the same old conservative party. >> order, order. order, order. order. members must calm themselves. there are several weeks to go. the leader of the opposition was heard in the prime minister will now be heard. prime minister? >> once again he said nothing about the future. it's the same old tory. mr. speak

paul, stay close. i'm going back now to jim walsh, international security expert. there's a group that prefers diplomacy, and there's a group that would certainly want military strikes. is it possible to do both paths? >> well, i think we'll get -- i think we'll get some of both. we'll get -- you know, we've tried the diplomatic path for a while for the past two years. the two big challenges on diplomacy are, one, the russians are, you know the strongest ally syria has, a member of the security council and can veto any sanctions or anything related to that. the u.n. has tried negotiations, and others have tried. the problem with civil wars, civil wars are among the nastiest wars to fight. when two countries fight each other, it's easier to negotiate. when you fight brother against brother, family against family, shiite against sunni, very hard to negotiate in particular if you think you're winning. a year ago it looked like assad was losing, and now it looks like he's winning. winners don't like to negotiate if they think they will win, because they fear whoever wi

. >> joan walsh has the latest. >>> paul ryan has a dirty little secret in his budget and the cooperations love it. david k. johnston on the tax shelter plan that no one is talking about. >>> good to have you with us. thanks for watching. republicans have spent the last few days attacking the president for saying he made the right call when he ordered the raid on bin laden. they have also hammered the president's team for questioning whether mitt romney would have made the same decision. the president is not backing down. >> i just recommend that everybody take a look at people's previous statements in terms of whether they thought it was appropriate to go into pakistan and take out bin laden. i assume that people meant what they said when they said it. that's been, at least, my practice. i said that i'd go after bin laden if we had a clear shot at him, and i did. if there are others who have said one thing and now suggest they'd do something else, then i'd go ahead and let them explain. >> the president was responding to a remark mitt romney made earlier today. >> would you have gone afte

while steve king, tea party general, joe walsh, rish limbaugh, mark levin, paul brown, all the inhabitants of the could could nest because karl rove is drawing lines in the sand. want republicans to win, cut out the crazies. beat the democrats stop giving them easy targets, rape candidates and stop making the democrats look smart and reasonable by running stupid and crazy candidates. the joy is i have to say this, it's really quite funny, each of the right wing factions thinks they are the sane ones, the ones that have to protect the party from the others. tonight, the duel of the death drives deeper, do or die, fight to the death, winners run against hillary clinton. the losers say it's not their fault they lost. wait a minute. that doesn't make any sense and neither does this fight on the right for the right to say you're right and with me tonight are two msnbc political analysts joy reid of the grio and david corn from mother jones. it's a joy to watch this, watch rove running around as a new matt dillon cleaning up the party, cleaning up main street from all the bad guys when, in fact,

let's bring in paul walsh from the weather channel to break it down. patterns? >> it's very unusual, very volatile. a trend we've been seeing for a long time. it happened at exactly the wrong time for retailers. we went into the holiday season with a week less than last year. one weekend less. we've been seeing weather that's incredibly volatile. much, much colder than last year. of course, for the final shopping weekend, we've seen all kinds of wacky weather, as you said which is impacting store traffic. both demand and also traffic has been impacted and weather's been a wild card this year for retail. >> yeah. i guess i just get a little skeptical. every time we talk about weather being volatile because it's weather. it's volatile. so, i think from retailer's point of view, the question becomes, is there something this year that's so out of the ordinary that it's really going to have an impact relative to years past? and maybe it's the warm weather in the northeast or maybe it's the tornadoes down south. i mean what do you really jumps out here? >> w

and later this week, matthew fox, joel mchale, emily vancamp, and music from paul weller and joe walsh're taking the show on the road to brooklyn october 29th through november 2nd. we will be broadcasting from the beautiful brooklyn academy of music. and i'm pleased to announce, some of our guests for the week include howard stern, chris rock, tracy morgan, kelly ripa, jon stewart, stephen colbert, and david letterman. [ cheers and applause ] that will be a big deal. and we will have music from alicia keys, the avett brothers, sharon jones and the dap kings and vampire weekend on halloween night. those will be our musical guests and we will have some surprise guests too, which means we haven't figured it all out yet again, the fun starts monday october 29th, our week in brooklyn. my birthplace. i might actually watch that week. our first guest is a 6 very funny and splendidly-dressed man. his show is called "parks and recreation." it airs thursdays at 9:30 on nbc, please say hello to aziz ansari. [ cheers and applause ] ♪ how are you? >> hi, how are you? >> >> jimmy: good to see you. i

weather channel's paul walsh forecasts colder than normal temps will continue for the next couple ofstorm will hurt foot traffic temporarily but then again it is christmas. gifts have to be bought somehow. bill? >> somehow. they'll have to be delivered by drone. >> whatever it takes. >> what a concept. thank you, courtney. you know, one retail stock that's been on an incredible run no matter the weather has been tjx, parent of stores like tj maxx and marshall's. look at the chart so far this year with a gain of 47% as it enjoys this ride. will it stay red hot, no matter how cold it gets. you're ready? we're setting ourselves up with a stock brawl. >> stephanie saying she's not buying at these levels, but chad morgan continues to add to his positions. welcome to you both. stephanie, you not interested in tjx, why? >> no. just to be clear, we own it. we were buying this a couple years ago at $38 share. with 47% gain year to date, if you look at the valuation at 19 times forward estimate, that's well above five and ten-year historical average. >> you're not buying it right now? >> not r

for more on the impact let's bring in paul walsh at the weather company. along with our panel, larry kudlow late coming in but we're glad you made it down here because of the weather. paul first to you. we'd like to get your sense of what kind of overall economic impact you think this particular storm will have. >> kelly, i think one of the things we have to take into account here is this storm is actually happening on a monday afternoon. it will probably impact us on tuesday and wednesday. it's hitting a large population sen tircenter but the fact it's happening at the end of january, not on a weekend, and it is winder winder -- winter, i think the impact will be minimal. it's not a significant game changer. it will be impactful for a couple days but another allwe'll not see a huge impact. >> larry, what is it like out there? >> it's winter. >> what, the snow? tell me? >> it's winter stuff. >> where are you from? >> upstate new york roots are weeping right now. >> i agree with the gentleman. no economic impact. you have your canned goods, your gold your gu

. >>> joining us now, mafia tall lib, jim walsh and paul singer. martha, i have to seyed on the sunday shows when stephen miller went out and with deafening silence refused to defend michael flynn, i haven't seen that level of silence anywhere. why cut him off at the knees like that? >> during what you consider a traditional administration, everyone would read that as a sign that the person in question lost the president's confidence. the difference is this administration in its early weeks, sometimes it's just a lack of planning or preparation leading the the thing that in another administration would seem like a really big deal or a clear signal. what's not entirely clear is whether stephen miller said what he said because he didn't expect the question and wasn't sure how to answer it, or whether he said what he said because that's what he was told to say. there are a couple of clues that undercut the idea that stephen miller was trying to send a clear sill nall. one is that michael flynn was on air force one and in florida for the entire weekend

while steve king, the infamous joe walsh, rush limbaugh, paul brown, all the inhabitants of the cuckoo nest are scrambling because karl rove is drawing lines in the sand. rape candidates, witches, second remedy amendment types. stop making the democrats look smart and reasonable by running candidates. the joy is that each of the right-wing fascists thinks they are the same ones. the ones who have to protect the party from the others. tonight the duel to the death drives deeper, it's do or die, fight to the death. the winners get to run against hillary clinton. the losers get to say it's not their fault they lost. that doesn't make sense. neither does the fight on the right. with me tonight are two msnbc political analysts. joy, it really is a joy to watch this. to watch rove running around as a new matt dillon cleaning up the party, cleaning up main street from all the bad guys, when many people would say karl rove has been the problem from, well, since 2000 when he brought dubya in. >> i love the way you call him the cuckoo's nest. karl rove's whole strategy is he found a way to convi

. >> for reaction to that i am joined by michael steel, john walsh of salon and paul sipger of "usa today you have sot thoughts. you thought there was misquoted numbers by senator cruz. >> i admire him for sticking to his script but the numbers, the obama administration did not release those people. half were released by judges. we also have a situation where immigration combines illegal and legal immigrants. so you talk about criminal aliens. they are not all subject to deportation. it is a complicated situation and he has come up with a scary number. >> why there is there a perception that illegal immigrants have a lot of criminals in their ranks. i have heard the story -- talk about generalities but when they get across the board er they go to work, hardest workers in the country. >> the at least likely to commit crimes, they are. >> you start with an illegal immigrant that have broken the law already. >> by definition. >> it is easy to say, all of thel these criminals. >> why the perception he's been able to pomle gate in that interview. >> cruz jumped on it, trump is selling it. >> i

the arrival of a top republican, senator rand paul willing to say the country's number one hawk has no claws. david mill bank, joan walsh is an msnbc political analyst and editor at larnl for salon. rand paul's strategic bombing of dick cheney in 2009 just before paul announced his plans for the united states senate is worth another look today, as we assess the shortage of voices today defending cheney, or denouncing rand paul. let's watch. >> there's a great youtube of dick cheney in 1995 defending push number 1. he goes on for about five minutes. i think by the american enterprise institute. and he says it would be a disaster, it would be a civil war. there would be no exit strategy. dick cheney said it would be a bad idea and that's why the first bush didn't go into baghdad. then dick cheney works for halliburton, makes hundreds of thousands of dollars then he's back in government and then says it would be a good idea to go into iraq. >> published reaction from liz cheney, the daughter of dick cheney who said it's not surprising since senator paul often seems to get his foreign policy talking pointing from rachel mad

joining us now from the weather channel is paul walsh. >> and well-known orange juice drinker. >> that'sight. paul, we all start to worry when we start to see some of these potential hurricanes tracking and wondering where they are headed. what do you think in terms of what it means for florida at this point? >> you know, the track is starting to slowly move a bit to the west so we're starting to see it trend towards, more towards the center part of the gulf. florida definitely still under the gun. definitely going to be impacts as people begin to prepare. florida hasn't had a really strong hit in a long time. that's going to have an immediate impact on consumers. usual suspect, home centers, the big box, mass merchandisers will see an influx of traffic as we move into the weekend. but it remains to be seen. we have to watch this one very closely. >> when will we know how bad it will be. what's the timing you expect us to figure that out? >> as we move into the weekend, it will get more clear. track of the storm, again, has been shifting a little bit to the left and the intensity forecas

joining us right now is paul walsh. he is chief meteorologist at weather fx which is part of the weather channel which is now known as the weather company. >> that's right. >> paul, thank you for coming in. we're still struggling on the jersey shore and the tri state area here. they haven't recovered from hurricane sandy. >> it seems like just yesterday i was embedded here for hurricane sandy, now turn around it's time to start taking a look at the next hurricane season. we've had sort of two back to back big storms in the northeast which is really unusual. it's statistically unusual. >> and this one has been a tough one to recover from. >> weren't there three and 54? >> yes. >> three huge ones twice as big in '53. >> but we have not seen al gore's -- what was that, 2005? the one that was going the happen again and is again and again. that has not happened. >> no. >> the frequency has been even less than what you would expect. >> what we're seeing now is related to short-term -- or i should say medium term phenomenon. >>

paul. and in a sense that was his moment and their moment. and they were very energized and they wanted to recognize what he's done. and he said to everyone, we've got a movement that walsh going to maintain. maintain -- we're going to maintain. they're at the convention. how are they going to maintain it. that's not very clear because he's not going to speak here. he's got a lot of supporters here and you hear pockets of people, you certainly heard it during the roll call. i think i said it earlier on the 6:00 show. when his numbers were not read out by the secretary, there would be a chance free ron paul. so they're voicing their opinions, they're letting everyone know that they're here but it's not really clear that they can have much impact beyond that. >> you're right, jeff. i mean it's one of those interesting things. i happen to be up here this afternoon pretaping an interview with speaker john baron and spontaneously ronal paul showed up on the floor and he was mobbed by television camera cruise and by people. the delegates were here, it was around 2:00 the time in the day time convening of this convention. there's still a lot of excitement for him. it's not goin

paul. and in a sense that was his moment and their moment. and they were very energized and they wanted to recognize what he's done. and he said to everyone, we've got a movement that walsh going to maintain. maintain -- we're going to maintain. they're at the convention. how are they going to maintain it. that's not very clear because he's not going to speak here. he's got a lot of supporters here and you hear pockets of people, you certainly heard it during the roll call. i think i said it earlier on the 6:00 show. when his numbers were not read out by the secretary, there would be a chance free ron paul. so they're voicing their opinions, they're letting everyone know that they're here but it's not really clear that they can have much impact beyond that. >> you're right, jeff. i mean it's one of those interesting things. i happen to be up here this afternoon pretaping an interview with speaker john baron and spontaneously ronal paul showed up on the floor and he was mobbed by television camera cruise and by people. the delegates were here, it was around 2:00 the time in the day time convening of this convention. there's still a lot of excitement for him. it's not goin

back now with our panel, paul begala, dana loesch and joan walsh, a few years back, olbermann's editorisms of political contributions seem utterly hypocritical now that it's clear he's done the same thing, would you say? >> i don't know. the guy -- he's a liberal, obviously, and he gave money to liberals, congressman grijalva is the chairman of the progressive caucus and keith's a progressive. i suppose what's fair for one, obviously, he did criticize fox news, which gave $1 million, and that was apparently legal under the citizens united ruling from the supreme court. so i guess it's -- you know, it's not my network, it's not my job, it seems to me an employment dispute. msnbc says he violated the rule so i guess they've got to sanction him for him, but to me it's not that big a deal. >> you're not surprised at all? you don't think anybody be surprised due to his opinions on the air? >> i'd be surprised if he gave money to michele bachmann, but it seems to me, not even dog bites man, it's like dog barks. what the heck? >> joan, you know keith but you think the decision may be the righ

. >>> a former senior advisor to rand paul and joan walsh, national affairs correspondent for the nationlso an msnbc political analyst. >> president clinton having a democratic senate is an increasing possibility. >> we don't know, lawrence. we have to see if the soft.ing will happen. the times might regret getting out in front of this prediction, they might have egg on their faces, judging from the trend lines in the polls there is a good chance she will have a democratic senate. the basics are always there, republicans defending more seats than democrats, 24-10. even without somebody like trump, i think democrats were excited about it. with trump, it's obvious he's bringing people way down. pat toomey is in trouble. it's interesting who is and isn't, rob portman in ohio seems to be hanging on and building a bigger lead. clinton has a small lead in ohio. ohio will be interesting. a variation. we see a lot of people like kelly ayotte being dragged down. we have to see if people wind up having to distance thepsz. >> what are you hearing from republican senators like rand paul you're close

university, where he is now the director of studies in the security studies program at the walsh school of foreign service. paul is the author of a book that was published by the brookings institution press while he was here after he left government. it is a book called, "terrorism and u.s. foreign policy." it was first published in 2001 and written before 9/11. it became the primary source for people who wanted to understand the role of u.s. foreign policy combating terrorism. it is an essential guide for the more effective coordination between conventional foreign policy efforts and the need to fight terrorism. therefore, paul's work in this area is particularly relevant to the discussion we will have today. finally, martin indyk -- michael o'hanlon you know him all for his work on security and defense. in this particular context, mike has been doing innovative work. if you have seen the afghanistan index project, which the foreign policy program launched, but also for a book that is about to be published he has been working on called, "toughing it out and afghanistan." mike is the director of research in the

charlie sykes, joan walsh, that's live coverage of paul ryan and some christmas trees as we await the president-elect. thank you, both. >>> up next i'm going to talk to acclaimed author tanahazi coates, details obama's legacy and why he says without an obama legacy, there would be no donald trump. that interview after this two-minute break. you wanna see something intense? pantene expert gives you the most beautiful hair ever, with our strongest pro-v formula ever. strong is beautiful. he wears his army hat, he gets awalks aroundliments. with his army shirt looking all nice. and then people just say, "thank you for serving our country" and i'm like, that's my dad. male vo: no one deserves a warmer welcome home. that's why we're hiring 10,000 members of the military community by the end of 2017. i'm very proud of him. male vo: comcast. >>> have any of you seen down on streets that it seems as though we have become the silent minority and not the majority? >> what do you mean by that? >> how much have we been listened to really? >> who's the we when you say this? >> us people. >> who pe