american military experts are burning, yes, and special international security programs with tin reports that, according to a study by the center for strategiconal studies, the united states has sent so many of its javelin tank missiles to ukraine that their stocks are running out for possible use of them by own efforts, according to the report of the mark cansion. replenishing stocks of new weapons in the us will take years. well, by the way, they said this repeatedly, they said in the bundeswehr that they had nothing more to supply the last thing they said would be these leopards. so, theoretically, it means to shoot to deliver, but again, this is just not for not for complacency, because the situation is very tense. but this is a difficult process to remove from conservation or load news. this is not the same as transporting javelins and small arms in ambulances. yes, because what they do. everyone already knows this, citizen. buses, school buses, ambulances , civilian vehicles with markings, there is mail , something else yes, these are light trucks or, uh, pickup trucks are stuffed with jerlin and low small arms and transported in such

i spoke to the chair for energy and geopolitics at center for strategic and international studies, whethert russia will go through the threat to cut gas supplies. >> are than they have ever been. i still think he's not going to go through and cut gas tomorrow. >> probability is low. still a probability. we have a line saying that the u.s. will deny putin the ability to weaponized his -- weaponize his energy resources. what do you think that means? >> the real objective here is to make sure that energy flows continue to europe, which is highly dependent on them. the overall objective of the st is to make sure the trade with russia continues on western terms. right now, those energy flows are essentl for the european economy. so, they must continue. but it is absolutely clear that europe, in particular, would like to get o of this relationship as quickly as possible and will use all tools at its disposal to do that. i think the united states -- th would be an escalation from russia, if they cut off gas supplies, and it's probably going to require a response of some kind. what kind of respons

for example, cnn surprised me a little today. and hmm, i'll give you such information, let's listen. according to a study by the center for strategic and international studies, the united states has sent so many of its jewelin anti-tank missiles to ukraine that their stocks are running out. she 'll take years to restock, that's the money. and this is where my question arises. weird in regards to do you believe everything i have a question that it's just some marketing of the military-industrial complex that, like, guys ran out of javelins? but we need to produce before this money, and so on and so forth, but if this is about money, then maybe it is possible and necessary to work with this somehow differently, or what? no, this, of course, is an organic combination of business and ideology, because, at the very least, for the last 30 years, and before that, for another 30 years, hollywood pumped itself up first of all america, the whole world around us with the image of an enemy, where the russians periodically uh, attended the first roles. it's time for the serbs russian arabs and chinese koreans. russian russian russian russian russian in this sens

marti flacks is director of the human rights initiative at the center for strategic and international studiess, president zelensky has been speaking again about the un security council. he says the council exists and security in the world does not for anyone. he has got a point, hasn't he? history is about to repeat itself, they failed to prevent the massacre in rwanda, they failed to stop the death of thousands of bosnian muslims in srebrenica and they are failing again to stop the murder and rape and massacre of ukrainians.— rape and massacre of ukrainians. right now. absolutely. _ ukrainians. right now. absolutely. this - ukrainians. right now. absolutely. this is - ukrainians. right now. absolutely. this is as i ukrainians. right now. i absolutely. this is as you ukrainians. right now. - absolutely. this is as you said not the first time we have faced fundamental threats to our international legal order. this situation is unique because of the perpetrating of these crimes by a permanent member of the un security council and so it is certainly understandable to call attention to both the r

now the center for strategic and international studies says since 2016 russian soldiers have found fortune in many african states from libya. so don, the central african republic to mozambique most activity is linked to sending weapons, offering mercenaries, counter insurgency and counter terrorism training, and gaining access to mining deals. but one name stands out when it comes to russia's alleged military arm in africa. and that's the wagner group is said to be close to the kremlin and takes orders from russia's defense ministry. but who is this secretive group and what's their goal? we'll talk to our guests in a moment. but 1st, let's take a look at what we know about the wagner group so far. journalist's world wide trying to find and film these men mercenaries of the so called wagner group. they are members of a roofless gang that commits bloody crimes all over the world to support russian interests. it seems unusual that a crack than a russian squad arrested. these mercenaries allied to russia. in july 2020. all 33 men were quietly deported to russia. just hours later today, both si

flacks is a former director at the national security council and is now with the center for strategic and international studies's role in ukraine. this is as you said not the first time we have faced fundamental threats to our international legal order. this situation is unique because of the perpetration of these crimes by a permanent member of the un security council and so it is certainly understandable to call attention to both the russian presence on the security council and the veto power that russia has, but frankly in my view, focusing on the role of the security council and its constraints are not the thing that will help ukraine at this time the most... president zelensky thinks exactly the opposite, why don't theyjust kick russia out? i know they cannot but russia has broken plenty of international laws and rules in recent weeks. why can't the un throw out its own rules and kick russia out? they would certainly be well deserved to do so but there is no mechanism to expel russia from the security council, it is called a permanent seat for a reason and there needs to be a longer—term conversation abou

ian williams is deputy director of the missile defense project at center for strategic and international studiesp in mind that this icbm, even though it is the first test of its kind, it's not certainly unique capability, that russia has other missiles that can do very similar things. this, for example, weapon, is replacing another missile, called the ss—18, which had almost the same capabilities as what we see here, so it is really not a new capability. i mean, it is to be sure, one of the most destructive weapons ever created, but it doesn't really change the nuclear balance between the united states and russia. and we have little to gain by making a big deal about it or seeming like we are somehow intimidated. so i think the pentagon inaudible is perfectly reasonable. also, this missile that was fired from a site in russia's north—west and reached a target nearly 6000 kilometres away — tell us a little bit more about how you might expect russia to use a missile like this? well, iwould hope that they do not use it, and i hope the way that they use it is as a deterrent. right, this is why count

marti flacks is director of the human rights initiative at the center for strategic and international studiessk was a war crime. so there will obviously need to be an investigation to understand what happened in this particular instance, and in particular the question of whether that train station full of civilians fleeing from the conflict was targeted, either intentionally to hit civilians or with the intention of hitting what was perceived to have been a military target but in fact clearly disproportionately harming civilians. and if either of those things are the case, that is clearly an example of a very serious war crime. certainly, we've seen a consistent pattern of what the us government and other governments have called very serious war crimes over the course of this campaign, both in the context of the aerial bombardments of cities that we have seen happening over the last several weeks in mariupol, the targeting of health infrastructure — over 100 health facilities have been hit in the course of this bombing campaign — and then these specific strikes, like the one today and like th

hi, 3 weeks ago, david said me is a senior associate of the center for strategic and international studies, which is a think tank based in washington. he says, this latest development is very worry. it comes in the context of north korea carrying up more missile launches over the past months than it has any period of time. then the last 5 or 6 years, including its largest ballistic missile launched a couple of weeks ago and up indications that it's wrapping up in nuclear weapons production facility the same time. there are variety of reasons behind was in west range are doing the election in south can we have a new harder line president. the beginning of u. s. south korean military maneuvers on monday. a. but in many ways, i think the north koreans are flexing their muscles because they want to be paid attention to. but the word ukraine having international attention north korea's used to being seen as a big player, someone who a country that everyone has to pay attention to and to try to do things to propagate. and that it's what sort of fall off the map. and the last few months. so i thi

let's bring in, david said me, he's a senior associates at the center for strategic and international studies, which is a think tank based in washington, d. c. and joseph and false church in virginia. good. have you at this on the program again, mr. said nick, we just begin with how important this law chaise, considering regional neighbors really are jumping up and down with concern over young young's move. but for us, thank you very much for having me. and this is something to be concerned about. it comes in the context of north korea carrying out more missile launches over the past 3 months than it has said any period of time. and the last 5 or 6 years, including its largest ballistic missile launch a couple weeks ago, and up indications that it's reading up is nuclear weapons production facility. at the same time. there are a variety of reasons behind was in west range are doing the election and south. can we have a new harder line president? the beginning of u. s. south korean military maneuvers on monday. a. but in many ways, i think the north koreans are flexing their muscles because th

the center for strategic international studies, we need 500 to 1,000% jump national park demand by 2050. has this administration granted any new permit for phaoeuping critical materials in the united states -- mining critical materials in the united states? secretary granholm: this administration khraoefrbs we have to mine for the critical aoerls and minerals including rare earth. mr. mckinley: have you granted permits? secretary granholm: that's not my jurisdiction. i think this is an area of bipartisan support. mr. mckinley: this committee's been known for years trying to incorporate science into its decisions. i applaud that. in the past year evidence overwhelmingly suggests the democrats are keen on using artificial ideologically driven timelines and not reality. in fact, we are still buying uranium from our adversaries, regulatory roadblocks for our grid with additional requirements. and counting on countries -- foreign countries to provide us our critical minerals. madam secretary, mr. chairman, i just hope that the united states isn't going to have to experience blackout before w

let's speak to ian williams, deputy director of the missile defense project at center for strategic and international studiesle reading about this story that the pentagon, the united states, they say the test was not perceived to be a threat to the us or its allies. do you think thatis us or its allies. do you think that is a reasonable response to what we have seen happen? i think so. it is important to keepin think so. it is important to keep in mind that this icbm, even though it is the first test of its kind, is certainly not a unique capability that russia has similar missiles that can do similar things. the ss 18 has almost the same capabilities so it is not a new capability. it is to bischoff one of the most destructive weapons ever created. ——to be clear stop we have little to gain by making a big deal about it or receiving that we are intimidated. what the pentagon said is perfectly reasonable. this result fired from a site in rush north—west, which could target 6000 kilometres away. tell us a bit more about how you might expect russia to use a missile like this? i you might expect russia to use a m

andrew lohsen is with the center for strategic and international studies. talk about olaf scholz and germany. paul krugman wrote a piece earlier on accusing germany of being putin's enabler. is that fair? andrew: the german relationship with russia for a long time has been dependent on energy purchases. germany is the largest consumer of russian gas in europe, and is continuing to pay russia for its energy supplies. as we see these terrible scenes coming out of bucha and other places in ukraine. as long as germany and other places of europe keep up that energy relationship, it is continuing to fund the war effort. i do think that is a fair criticism. kailey: even if germany were to act, we are going to stop importing russian gas, how much does that make a material difference in the conflict in the near term? andrew: this is the challenge. it will take germany a long time to shift away from russian gas supplies. there is certainly a dependency on russia to power german industries. it will not happen overnight. the effect of this decision to move away from hyd

. >> i'm emily harding, deputy director of the international security program at the center for strategic and international studies which is a large title that means i oversee the work of 50 scholars doing tremendous work in intelligence, defense, and technology. before that i spent two decades working in the federal government, the senate and senate intelligence committee and intelligence community and couple years away. >> i am john hultquist, we look at threats from all over the world, centralized intelligence hub where we are developing threats around the world with about 12 years, before that, diplomatic security. >> a senior researcher, the european cyber conflict. >> we have a great panel ahead and i will give a 2-minute overview on this on diplomacy and deterrence and use that as a foundation for the accommodation. >> i will get started. interesting and broad topic, get back to basics when speaking of proper agencies in cyber domain. there is no common lexicon. my colleague jim lewis determined us work on international agreements around cybersecurity in cyber issues but those have yet to really gel into a

. >> i am emily harding i and the deputy director of the international security program at the center for strategic and international studies which is a very long title. i just means i get to oversee the work of six scholars doing tremendous work in intelligence, defense and tech policy. two decades working the federal government both in the senate and senate intelligence committee and then in the intelligence community in a couple years at the white house. >> i am from intelligence and shop. we look at threats all over the world using response and a dozen different ways to collect the data we bring it all back to one centralized hub where we are looking at threats all around the world. for about 12 years before that was with ia and diplomatic security at state looking at the russian threat. >> max next? >> i'm a senior researcher for security studies and direct the cyber conflict on research. >> as you conceive got a great panel ahead. but actually going to do is have each of them give a two minute overview on their thoughts on diplomacy and deterrence in the states. we set is a conversation for. >> sure i will get started

last week the centers for strategic and international studies published a report saying russia may have lost 25% of its initial attacking force. these casualties are not on the scale of world war ii but are large compared with the relatively small size of the russian military today. although reinforcements and replacements can offset some of these casualties, it will eventually have a political effect. that 25% includes dead and wounded soldiers. do you agree with that assessment, and what are the implications? >> yeah, i do agree with the assessment. i think it's accurate, and i do think those are significant losses but they're not the sort of losses that would prevent the russians from regrouping and rebuilding over the long term. so the russians are in this prolonged battle now, and they're bringing in reserves and fresh forces. i do think that there is a risk that we prematurely assume that the russians are defeated. they've taken a heavy blow after the initial phase of this conflict, but they're now falling back into the east. they're regrouping, rebuilding their logistics, and the

colonel mark -- as the senior adviser for the national security program at the center for strategic and international studiesh us. karlyn, i'll start with, you how do you go shoot with somebody like putin? who is given the world no reason to trust his word. >> and the negotiations would have to go forward without trusting them. but we have had those negotiations before. we had negotiations when the war in vietnam. or in korea. so is it possible to make a deal with somebody really do not trust. it does not mean that whatever agreement comes out has to have a various of guarantees, so we don't have to trust the russians. it is possible to put something like that together. it is going to take a long time, though, because there are so many issues that need to be sorted through. >> okay. ambassador taylor, earlier russia's chief negotiator said that ukraine was turning to talk more realistically about being a neutral state. what was your reaction to that? but with me for europe? >> so, cori coffin, ukrainians have been looking for ways to secure themselves. they need security for their country. for their citizens

he is from the center for strategic and international studies and also with us is retired army lieutenantark hurtling. seth, russia now beginning the assault on eastern ukraine just as jim is laying out for us tonight. i know you've been studying the latest satellite imagery, what you are seeing? >> what we're seeing is the images we've been looking at over the last couple days of russian made battle tanks and artillery and our person nil carriers. we're seeing on the move, pushing along a 300-mile front in the area. we're also seeing missile strikes moving in the direction of the areas where they're trying to push into. we'll also say in the strikes we've seen in lviv including the missile strikes there, there is no way that the russians are going to be able to stop the interdiction of material coming in from ukraine's bored we are poland and other countries. so those are probably more than anything else symbolic. but we are seeing much more heavy fighting now in the east. it's that key corridor between crimea and russia proper that they're focusing on now. >> in general, i mean, you hea

according to the center for strategic and international studies. >> hmm. >> they're on a good clip at the moment. an average, by the way, divide it on out here, alex. one launch every ten days. >> no shortage of headaches around the world right now. thank you very much, richard, through that one. >>> joining me, illinois democratic member of the house oversight committees. welcome back to the broadcast. can to see you particularly on this holiday sunday. let me ask you about how alarming these north korea's tests are? does north korea have capability to reach the u.s. with one of these missiles? >> well, perhaps not exactly the one we saw in those pictures, but they do have long-range icbm capability. the way i look at this, alex. it looks like a nuclear temper tantrum to me. they know the world is focused on ukraine right now. and they want to get attention focused back on them. i think this should not in anyway change our position with regard to our commitment to defend the south koreans or the japanese or, of course, our homeland. >> all right. well, paid attention to it, move on t

nearly two months, let's bring in mark, senior advisor for the international security program at the center for strategic and international studieslk about mariupol first. it has not been surrendered yet. if and when that day comes, how significant a moment will that be in this war? >> the valiant defense of mariupol is coming to an end. the russians have tightened their grip. they have isolated the remaining ukrainian forces. i think it is a matter of only a couple of days. but the defense has been significant. a lot of casualties on the russians, reinforces conditional wisdom that cities soak up armies. and it bought time so that ukrainians have been able to conduct successful defense in the north and move forces to the east. on the downside, it is going to allow the russians to free up some forces that will certainly push north and try to link up with other russian forces pushing from the north down to the south. it is a threat that they might be able to cut off the ukrainian forces in the east, expand russian territory into donbass, the next great battle in this war. kailey: we heard from the ukraine foreign minister who said

foreign correspondent, raf sanchez, retired colonel mark cantsiene is with the center for strategic and international studies. and charles caruthers is a former adviser to the house homeland security committee and currently with cornerstone government affairs. raf, let me start with you. what are you seeing at this hour? >> reporter: jose, ukrainian officials say russia is attack along an enormous 300-mile front in the east of this country. they say the attacks begin all the way in the north in kharkiv, they stretch through the towns and cities of the donbas, and they go all the way to that southern besieged port city of mariupol. now, the ukrainians say that their lines are holding, for now. they say the russians have made only minor breakthroughs so far along two different axes, but this is going to be a very difficult fight for the ukrainians. they have had a lot of time to prepare for it. they have sent some of their best troops to the east, but some of the advantages they've had in and around kyiv will not be available to them as the fighting shifts. this more kind of world war ii-style confrontation, t

been car hole is a senior fellow at the center for strategic and international studies. and he thinks europe's efforts to quickly source gas from alternative sources could adversely affect other nations in need of energy imports. russia, gas, the town for about 45 percent. of the use gas in port cluster and of 4540 percent of total consumption. and so there's no single source that can substitute for russia gas. it's simply too big. what's happening now is that european policymakers are in a race to prepare for next winter. they want to refill their gas storage as much as possible. they want to secure our g supplies permit, they can from the united states cutter or other sources. and they're looking at ways to reduce their consumption as well. to reduce heating in homes to deploy renewable energy faster. if you deploy, he pumps everything that they can do to lessen the depends on rush and gas. but the reality is not really a one year problem. ready term project when you're eligible, for example, you wants to buy 50000000000 cubic meters of energy from other sources besides

david said me at the center for strategic and international studies says it's a worrying development. it comes in the context of north korea carrying out more missile launches over the past months than it has any period of time. then the last 5 or 6 years, including its largest ballistic missile launched a couple of weeks ago and indications that it's wrapping up in nuclear weapons production facility the same time. there are a variety of reasons behind with and what we are doing the election in south can we have a new harder line president, the beginning of us, south korean military maneuvers on monday. a. but in many ways, i think the most koreans are flexing their muscles because they want to be paid attention to. but the word ukraine having international attention north korea's used to being seen as a big player, someone who a country that everyone has to pay attention to and to try to do things to propagate. and that it's what sort of fall off the map in the last few months. so i think there's a combination of factors here. but these new capabilities that they're not breathtaking

is a senior fellow at the energy security and climate change program with the center for strategic and international studies, joins us live now from washington, dc, and car. hilda is a, you has no alternative to russian gas, but that is not wholly true, although moving away from the russian supply is extremely challenging to say the least. it is definitely challenging. russia gas, the town for about 45 percent and they use gas import cluster and about 4540 percent of total consumption. and so there's no single source that can substitute for russia gas. it's simply too big. what's happening now is that european policymakers are in a race to prepare for next winter. they want to refill their gas storage as much as possible. they want to secure on g supplies for the can from the united states or other sources. and they're looking at ways to reduce their consumption as well, to reduce heating in homes, to deploy renewable energy faster. maybe he pumps everything that they can do to west depends on ross or not all about. that takes a lot of time when you're probably going to time, doesn't it? and he wants to buy

joining me now is mark cancian, senior adviser at the center for strategic and international studies.ilitary appears to be running low on these precision guided weapons. some of these weapons are highly dependent on specialist components manufactured abroad. which sort of countries would ordinarily supply them? apparently russia has been getting these old world markets where they have been getting them from many different countries. some in china but also countries in europe, those sources are going to be cut off now and russia is can have a very difficult time replacing this inventory. the missiles are where they are going to have the greatest problems because they've used a large part of their existing inventories with that as you heard, there start to use dumb bombs which puts their aircraft as well as civilians. �* ,., puts their aircraft as well as civilians— civilians. but some of these microelectronic _ civilians. but some of these l microelectronic components, civilians. but some of these - microelectronic components, the really important bits in these guided missiles and in t

the center for strategic and international studies will soon release its upcoming analysis on ipef based on conversations with over a dozen governments in the indo pacific. two points per minutes analysisare instructive. first, u.s. engagement is welcome in the indo pacific. one diplomat stressed in particular that his country wants the united states to lay out an economic strategy that complements its security presence in the region. second, our partners see it as a proposal with many u.s. asks, few u.s. offers and a variety of credible alternatives to the framework that could provide more tangible benefits. if the u.s. is to meet and exceed china's challenge, than the u.s. must make stronger commitments than china. if the administration's negotiation ambitions are low, its consultations with congress on the few negotiations taking place is even lower. at last year's trade hearing, you stated you would brief this committee before and after every negotiating session with respect to a waiver of the wto agreement. that has not happened. ustr recently issued a press release confirming it re

but i want to bring in a senior advisor for the center of strategic and international studies to help us make sense of what we've just heard. let me start with what he said at the top which is there's a plan under way. they're going to be doing some training or train the trainers on howitzers. how difficult will it be to train on this kind of howitzer and how will it affect the fighting in the donbas. >> training is not hard. ukrainians know how to use artillery, just don't know how to use this particular artillery piece so they have got the basics. on the other hand, this is different. the technology is a little different. the maintenance will be different from what they're accustomed to so it takes some time to get service members accustomed to the maintenance of this new equipment. there's counterartillery, mortars, radar going with it and then there are 200 army personnel carriers. all of this requires training on maintenance. the other part is they're training the trainers. so the trainers have to go back and train the actual troops. what you're talking about is a process that wi

mines in the united states to build -- meet these demands for batteries, the center for strategic and international studies expects 500 to 1000% job in demand by 2050. has this administration granted any new permits for mining critical materials in the united states? >> this administration believes we have to sustainably mine for the critical materials, -- >> has he granted a permit? >> that is not under my jurisdiction. i think this is an area for bipartisan support. >> i hope we have. mr. chairman's of this committee has been known for years and trying to incorporate science into its decisions, and the pastor, of events overwhelmingly suggest -- in the past year, it overwhelmingly suggests they use ideological timelines, not reality. we are still buying uranium from our adversaries, citing upgrades with additional requirements, counting on countries -- foreign countries to provide us critical minerals. i just hope the u.s.'s diaper going to have to experience a blackout before we change this course of action. we are headed down the wrong road. jennifer: i respectfully disagree, i think we can do it all w

for six months. thank you, pavlo zhovnirenko, chairman board of the center for strategic studies, because taras zoftenko is also ready to join our broadcast, e-e expert on internationaleetings. good afternoon. the risks of ending any negotiations with the russian side are now closed, the risks of completely closing down any conversations with the russians are very high. precisely because of the consequences that russia leaves behind. wherever they are, they are approximately the same, it feels like they have a method for murder and they operate in the same way in one or another territory, if this negotiation front is closed, what happens next? we must understand that these negotiations are taking place in the conditions in which they are taking place, and with the intensity of hostilities and, in fact, with the activity of the russians and at the front and does not carry out the khudayu eh, which continues firing infrastructure at civilian objects in ukraine, these negotiations from the point of view of their practical result, they actually have such a more political ritual character, yes. that is, well, on our part, we are trying to make the most of these negotiatio

deputy director of the center for comprehensive european and international studies of the higher school economics. and we have a row is the founder of the center of political strategic analysis. strap poll gentleman cross stock rules and effect, that means you can jump any time you want, and i appreciate it. all right, let's start out with me. treat demitria it's. i find a really curious of the last couple of new cycles. we have the ukranian prime minister saying the war, they're winning the war and they will win the war and it will be over soon. and then you have one of the biggest cheerleaders of this conflict, a country within nato, the british prime minister boris johnson. in many publicly in front of media that ukraine is most likely going to lose this war here. so, i mean, can you kind of square the circle for me here? because the banks, the question, if the british prime minister doesn't think this war is going to be one on terms that he finds acceptable, then why are they even pursuing it? because isn't this fighting a war to the last ukranian your thoughts? oh, 1st i fully agree the desire, the national, the west is really to fire this war until the last 2

deputy director of the center for comprehensive european and international studies with the higher school economics. and we have a row. he is the founder of the center of political strategic analysis strap poll. i gentlemen crossed up rules and the fact that means you can jump any time you want, and i always appreciate it. well, let's start with the me treat demitria. it's. i find a really curious of the last couple of new cycles. we have the ukranian prime minister saying the war, they're winning the war and they will win the war and it will be over soon. and then you have one of the biggest cheerleaders of this conflict, a country within nato, the british prime minister boris johnson. in many publicly in front of media that ukraine is most likely going to lose this war here. so, i mean, can you kind of square the circle for me here? because the banks, the question, if the british prime minister doesn't think this war is going to be one on terms that he finds acceptable, then why are they even pursuing it? because isn't this fighting a war to the last ukranian your thoughts? oh, 1st i fully agree the desire a national, the west is really to fire this war until the last u