patterns are important for understanding recent changes in polarization. open seats not the defeat of the portal through which most enter congress in fact over three fourths of all incoming candidates during this time won an open seats and those that enter through open seats has a greater ability to spur the ideological shift due to those larger numbers. this shows the predicted probability across a range of legislators. we can see that the likelihood of running for congress decreases as the distance from the party. the probability that a conservative republican state legislator that resembles the open seat is 9% versus .9% for the new york republican who is best known for the work on environment protection. the probability that a liberal democrat like debbie wasserman schultz, former chair of the d. triple c. runs in an open seat is 2.6% compared to .3% for the moderates like the former democrat from maryland who was pro-life and often broke from her party on military and defense issues. , liberal democrats are more likely to convert office than those in

that can kill democracy in europe in the 1930s with politics being so deeply polarized it is seen as intolerable beyond the pale. then you start to justify using extraordinary means with election fraud. but we have reached a point one out of four trump voters believed he was unfit for the presidency of the united states but yet was still preferable to a democrat. we every support republicans have much more favorable view of vladimir putin that is a dangerous level of polarization. donald trump is a challenge with a challenge with the most fundamental challenge today is extreme polarization by republican party representing a declining white christian majority that sees themselves as an existential threat. that is a symptom not a cause. so what can we do in two minutes or less? [laughter] one it is absolutely clear the republican party has to change as long as the gop represents the white christian party. there is a lot of talk increasingly in progressive circles that if they will play constitutional hardball the democrats will play tit for tat. it will be an endless series of sucker p

the jobs are gone all the polarizer said i'd.love to see these people the survivors of a world disappearing before their eyes thinking when i was younger that if anything ever happened to the coal mines here that it would become a ghost town but i never thought in a million years i would see that in the end it's how it's happened. with lawmakers manufacture consent instinctive public wealth. when the ruling classes and protect themselves. in the final merry go round certainly the one percent. to ignore middle of the room six. million real new. shows seem wrong why don't we all just don't call. me. yet to shape out this thing comes to educate and in detroit equals betrayal. when something find themselves worlds apart we choose to look for common ground the . greetings and salutation. guess what hawk rogers right now as you hear me talk and see my face you are joining the vast majority of folks across the united states of america who spend more than eleven hours a day staring of one form of screen or another i'm not exaggerating ac

so penguins and polar bears will never meet in nature.they're well adapted to their respective habitats the problem for this guy is that the sea ice vital for catching seals is melting due to climate change polar bears a strong swimmers but not as fast the seals in open water they're facing a food crisis. so with their natural habitat shrinking how about simply relocating polar bears to the south pole it's nice and cold there too right. years ago scientists began toying with the idea of relocating animals threatened by climate change to similar habitats elsewhere in the world. but moving polar bears to the antarctic has been ruled out as it would happen foreseeable consequences for the ecosystem that. penguins for example would be completely vulnerable to this new imported predator. undersides to is warming up as well. if outlet is right why. is it. do you have a science question that you've always wanted on state we're happy to help out send it to us as a video text over a smell if we answer it on the show we'll send you a little surpris

national geographic admits it went too far with a caption on a photo of a dying polar bear the blame climate change we asked people in london what they thought about this error of judgment and maybe if there was more to it. could also be a advertisement maybe charity panel says this picture is a very powerful impact but then once you have the impression that it's very difficult to change your mind or to get out of this new. hello there live from your to do sense here in moscow one pm it's kevin i am with you this friday welcome to the program first u.s. security intelligence chiefs have pledged to protect democracy in a rare united appearance at a media briefing at the white house they attempted to reassure the american public that they're actively working to protect the upcoming november midterm elections to congress from foreign interference predictably russia was named as the main threat without again any evidence being provided. our democracy itself is in the crosshairs paid by russia to try to weaken and divide the united states' threat is not going away to prevent foreign inter

and national geographic admits it went too far with a caption on a photo of a dying polar bear the blame climate change in london what they thought of this error of judgment. could also be advertisement maybe charity to this picture is very very powerful impact but once you have the impression it's very difficult to change your mind or to get focused just. by good morning just past eleven am here in moscow this friday watching out international with me kevin first in this news round the u.s. security intelligence chiefs of put on a united front at a media briefing in the white house they attempted to reassure the american public that they're actively working to protect the upcoming november midterm elections to congress from foreign interference as they put it they want to get named russia as the main threat without providing any evidence. our democracy itself is in the crosshairs. paid by russia to try to weaken and divide the united states' threat is not going away to prevent foreign interference in our elections to prevent russian and other foreign influence and the russians try to ha

and its national geographic admits it went too far with a caption on a photo of a dying polar bear the blame climate change we asked people in london what they thought about this error of judgment and what might be behind it. could also be a advertisement for maybe charity battle says this picture is very very powerful impact when you see it but then you have the impression that it's very difficult to change your mind or to forget focus again on this new. new life the arctic new center here moscow at midday is kevin owen with this friday welcome to the program the u.s. security and intelligence chiefs of put on a united front to the media briefing in the white house they attempt to reassure the american public that they are actively working to protect the upcoming november midterm elections to congress from foreign interference and once again named russia as the main threat without providing any evidence. our democracy itself is in the crosshairs paid by russia to try weaken and divide united states threat is not the only way to prevent foreign interference in our elections to prevent

and national geographic admits it went too far with the caption on a photo of a dying polar bear the blamed climate change people in london what they thought about this error of judgment. could also be advertisement maybe charity purposes this picture is very very powerful impact when you see it but then once you have the impression that it's very difficult to change your mind or to focus again on this new. good morning just past ten am for the morning here in moscow now you are live without international let me kevin i know we stay with me for the next half hour or so for the news update starting with this that the u.s. security and intelligence chiefs have put on a united front at the media briefing in the white house they attempted to reassure the american public that they are actively working to protect the upcoming november midterm elections to congress from foreign interference they once again named russia as the main threat without providing any evidence. our democracy itself is in the crosshairs pain by russia to try to weaken and divide the united states threat is not going

the jobs are gone all the polarizer said i'd.love to see these people the survivors of disappearing before their eyes. i remember thinking when i was younger that if anything ever happened to the coal mines here that it would become a ghost town but i never thought in a million years i would see that and it's how it's happened. most people think just stand out in this business you need to be the first one on top of the story or the person with the loudest voice of the biggest race in truth to stand out of the news business you just need as the right questions and the right answer. questions. right we're also starting five guys to study at the studio house a signal. he's not going to talk about no fly just need right after the mars explorers want to do that would have their new. tool to rock. to sit well below. zero zero zero zero zero welcome to sophie and co-op sophie shevardnadze and today we're got lots to talk about in our program and our guest is. little rock little. hello and welcome to crossfire for all things considered i

to some though he was the leader of a fanatic and thousand muslim movement that would go on to polarize indian society his policies shape the face of the country his passing could mark the end of an era . the will of us get more now on the story we did there he is our she's mahatma joining us from delhi he's covering the funeral for us she's one of people in the us saying today about vosh pay he was one of the country's most popular politicians. you know what you've seen today and last night as the news came in this is overwhelming respect and support for. one of the most prominent politicians the country has seen in recent decades and what's been striking about that support is that it's come from all sides of the political spectrum. as the leader of the b.g. he was actually the first prime minister to serve a five year term that wasn't from india's congress party and today in the current political climate the congress party and the b j p are of course mourning enemies but yet at the same time you still hear so many people from the congress and other opposition parties really sort of ex

issue especially in argentina i think it's a polarizing issue everywhere you look essential because there are of course are. just intuitions but there are also moral intuitions i think that the particular already of the latin american gays that there are real really no defenders to be found of abortion i mean the discussion concerning the freedom of the woman to choose or the freedom of women to choose is really quite marginal most of the discussion has been centered around abortion is something that is already happening is something that we cannot really stop the question is what are the legal instruments that we're going to be ploy norther to mordor late it it is very very clear number one that criminalizing women has been nothing but a failure of a policy and this is throwed left in america the second problem is. to some degree abortion law to marry get something that is really at hand if you have enough money so the problem this presents is that a lot of women that do not have access end up dying in dire situations that are end up in hospitals this shows that there is a lack of

you might remember these heart wrenching pictures of a starving polar bear looking for food national geographic ran them back in twenty seventeen with a big caption claiming that this is what climate change looks like the images went viral the photographers estimate over two billion people saw them on you tube alone the video got one point five million views and it also became one of the most of you tube videos on national geographic's web but by caption didn't make an explicit link to climate change they posted the videos saying that this is what starvation looks like but when national geographic picked up the material to publish it skewed the narrative and it was. this is one bear it's not a one source visits i mean i mean is the expectation that as climate change continues that this kind of image is going to be amplified again and again but that viral success troubled the photographer as it was not the message they intended for viewers the mission was a success but there was a problem we had lost control of the narrative we were perhaps naïve the picture went viral and people took

oh i want to get back in a minute to the issue of the polarization going on in bangladesh for first i want to talk specifically about the case of shah to a lot of course the very renowned photographer he was arrested he was charged under section fifty seven of bangladesh's information communications technology act which i believe charter referred to a few minutes ago now human rights group including your group has called this a draconian law used to stifle the media and political dissent can you tell us more about shadow case and also this law and how it has been enforced. sue one of the last things the show the other one did before he was that sanger was that iran has shut down and here billions of you will be very critical comments about the government's. comments that alarms the origins of bangladesh because there is a status that makes two of the search does a little country and a very valid as jesus who do that or he was covering the princess insult during the course of which he acts is hammer who was bashed by vigilantes limbs who are. from the battle of this jobs or he and he w

and national geographic admits it went too far with the caption on a photo of a dying polar bear that blamed climate change the photographer says that was not the message they wanted to get across and the story been skewed. this is our senior national bring you your live news update this hour welcome to the program. you know security and intelligence chiefs have pledged to protect democracy and a rare united appearance of a media briefing at the white house they attempted to reassure the american public that they're actively working to protect the upcoming mid-term elections in november from foreign interference predictably russia was named as the main threat without any evidence provided. our democracy itself is in the crosshairs paid by russia to try to weaken and divide united states threat is not going away to prevent foreign interference in our elections to prevent russian and other foreign influence and the russians try to hack into and steal information candidates and government officials alike cyber attacks against voting infrastructure along with your puter intrusions malicio

on a photo of a dying polar bear that blame climate change the photographers say the message they wanted to get across the story. live from moscow to the world this is r.t. international good to have you with us mine aims union only our top story a russian mole inside the u.s. embassy in moscow it's stuff on britain's guardian newspaper has been reveling in its scoop but all is not how it seems. off explains everybody loves the spy drama mystery suspense and a russian. my name is evelyn. this guardian story had every ingredient for a thriller recipe the u.s. secret service as quite clearly stems from the very name is one of the most enigmatic agencies of the u.s. government its main function is to protect the lives of u.s. presidents ministers the top political brass and that is where the russians according to the guardian planted a mall the russian spy had been working under texted in the heart of the american embassy in moscow for more than a decade she had plenty of time together intelligence without supervision the source said the guardian's head of investigations claims she was oper

in the program and national geographic admits went too far with a caption on the photo of a dying polar bear that blame. the photographers say that it wasn't the message they wanted to gather. up the story. twenty four hour news live from the russian capital welcome to our international i mean you know o'neill a russian mole inside the u.s. embassy in moscow it's stuff britain's guardian newspaper has been reveling in scope but also not how it seems. explains everybody loves a spy drama mystery suspense and a russian. my name is evelyn. this guardian story had every ingredient for a thriller recipe the u.s. secret service as quite clearly stems from the very name is one of the most enigmatic agencies of the u.s. government its main function is to protect the lives of u.s. presidents ministers the top political brass and that is where the russians according to the guardian planted a mall the russian spy had been working under texted in the heart of the american embassy in moscow for more than a decade she had plenty of time to gather intelligence without supervision bustles said the guar

but whether it is the 60s, 1960s were 1860s we are deeply polarized as the country. to what extent is that accurate but the senate is just reflecting him until we deal ith the country as a whole we can't expect to see any change in the environment within the bodies that represent the country. >> guest: is the fundamental issue and i would say two things about it. first, i don't believe the senate should reflect the differences in the country. they are not bound to reflect them and they shouldn't be exacerbating or inflaming them and what we see now, yes there are very fundamental differences. the senate obligation is to try to overcome those differences. instead by being more partisan they magnify the difference and amplify them at the highest levels of the government and then what happens is people lose faith in the government and defy it further. it is an interesting argument i believe if we have leaders that are producing results in a way that we used to produce results divisions would somewhat ease. i think they can be dealt with. i know you don't, but i don't ac

so t there are parallel realitis going to, and thehe m media c cs are just as polarized, reflecting polarizationn society. so probably this w wle debatee won't have a bigig effecect onns basese. the question is, he won the presidential election with a - - well, with less votes, due to the political electoral system in the u.s. the question is, if this kind of marginal advantage will last for another couple of months. brent: we will definitely know something come november with the midterms. that's for sure. boris, we appreciate your invites. thank you. here are some of the other stories making headlines around the world. hundreds of elderly koreans have said their final emotional goodbyes to relatives at the end of a rare reunion for families separated by the korean border. south koreans are heading home after a three-day visit to the north. residents in hawaii are bracing for a rare hurricane bearing down on the islands, stocking up on emergency supplies in anticipation of flooding and fierce winds. hurricane lane has been downgraded to category four but could bee the most powerful stom to hit h

oh i want to get back in a minute to the issue of the polarization going on in bangladesh for first i want to talk specifically about the case of shah to a lot of course the very renowned photographer he was arrested he was charged under section fifty seven of bangladesh's information communications technology act which i believe char referred to a few minutes ago now human rights group including your group has called this a draconian law used to stifle the media and political dissent can you tell us more about case and also this law and how it has been enforced. sue one of the last things the show the other one did before he was that saying was that iran has shut down and here billions of you will be very critical comments about the government's. confidence that alarms the origins of bangladesh because there is a status of meigs to office search does a little country and a very valid as jesus who do that or he was covering the protests in self during the course of which he acts is cameras banished by vigilantes into the from the militias jobs or he and he was broadcasting live from t

too far in drawing of the feelings of connection between climate change and a particular starving polar bear there is no way to know for certain why this banner was on the verge of death holy book and simply changing the caption opened a whole new angle on the story. might remember these heart wrenching pictures of a starving polar bear looking for food national geographic ran them back in twenty seventeen with a big caption claiming that this is what climate change looks like the images went viral the photographers estimate over two billion people saw them on youtube alone the video got one point five million views and it also became one of the most of you to videos on national geographic's websites but it turns out that the photographers original caption didn't make an explicit link to climate change they posted the videos saying that this is what starvation looks like but when national geographic picked up the material to publish it skewed the narrative and it was. you're. this is one bear it's not a once off is it's i mean i'm is the expectation as climate change continues that this

the last great statesman that india has seen as i mentioned the current political climate being so polarized you know this was a man who who is accepted and respected by by all even if they didn't agree with his views and he came from a certain sort of political sort of background a certain political if you will where where that was possible where you could disagree but but still respect them and today in the current political climate it seems to be a very different situation and it was the prime minister is from the same party as but is way more divisive and part of that is that modi himself is. it's much more sort of out there focused in terms of his hindu nationalist views vijay was seen as as much more moderate than that and your same time there are quite a few people who are pointing out that he was also responsible in some ways for some of the polarization that we've seen now we have a one question about the funeral itself body was publicly cremated now many of our viewers might not be familiar with this aspect of of indian public funerals can you tell us more briefly about this. yeah

it's become increasingly easy to fan the flames of polarization and the outrage to go viral with it andincrease -- tear society apart and that's a question bigger than facebook. i absolutely love facebook. what russia did in 2016 was come and ride that wave and they'll probably be beyond their wildest dreams and we have to examine each one of those and i understand why government officials are very much concerned with the external meddling, but we as a society have to think about what is the polarization that's going on and how is our digital connectivity feeding into that and how are the business models amplified. >> they're huge questions with massive consequences. this rally that we've been talking about had 2,600 facebook users look into it with 600 clicking to attend. zaneb, thanks for joining us. that is it for us tonight. thanks for watching "amanpour on pbs" and please join us tomorrow night. ♪ >> national presentation of "beyond 100 days" is made possible by contributions to your pbs station by viewers like you. thank you. matt: very warmbbc news, broadcasting to our welcome to

in it has been very polarized since at least the mid one nine hundred ninety s. since the culture wars really so there are permanent realities going on and the media channels are just as polarized there affect the politicization in the society so. probably this whole debate won't have a big effect on his base the question is he won the presidential election with a well with less votes and due to the political electoral system is around us the question is if this kind of very marginal advantage will last for another couple of months we would have you know something come november with the midterms that's for sure or storm is always we appreciate your insights thank you. here's some of the other stories now that are making headlines around the world hundreds of elderly koreans have said their final emotional goodbyes to relatives at the end of a rare or union for families separated by the korean border the south koreans are heading home after a three day visit to the north the first for union to take place in three years residents of hawaii are bracing for a rare hu

very weak right now that's the circulation in the atmosphere that usually brings cold wind from the polar regions to other parts of the world such as europe and that has almost stopped and that is actually linked to manmade climate change ok but in this report we had scientists talk about the earth heading towards a hothouse spirit we're not there yet but i'll be heading in that direction yeah indeed we are not there yet what the scientists are talking about is really a whole different level still of catastrophic impact with droughts with the entire cities underwater as we heard in the story most of the world's megacities are on the coast so if you have ten and over several centuries sixty meters of sea would never rise that's a completely different level of catastrophic but what we are seeing is a sign of things to come hot weather like we are experiencing across the globe right now is becoming worse and is becoming more frequent and that's because of climate change one of the thing for the scientists wrote in this new report that the hothouse earth trend would be propelled by strong bio

i think that is exactly directly related to the polarity question.n a bipolar world or you have a nuclear armed, hostile, implacable foe that you spend every minute thinking about, the world seems very simple and black-and-white. we interpreted everything that way. is this a good idea? is it against the communists? good, do it. once they were gone, we didn't have a north star. i think the 1990's were a decade of, what do we do? do you know what to do? we don't know what to do. then/11 happened. again. something to do you guys were born into this glorious globalized world of chaos that i can't understand and interpret very easily, but it is normal for younger people. i do think the brain waves are very different. i can't always quantify it in a survey. it is a big part of what is going on. will: as a realist and former professor, who taught theory, it warms my heart to hear younger people talk about polarity. [laughter] will: it is not all about the day-to-day stuff and what is going on. who is up. who is down, whos the adviser. structural factors mat

western europe and what we're seeing emerge now is a new geo political shift to a much more multi-polar approach and we're already seeing this just like what you probably saw in st petersburg with with the belt road initiative combined with the yes the shanghai cooperation organization and the year asia european union all beginning to come together with its membership forming this separate economic world order bloc that that's actually going to counter and respond to what donald trump has now done i think europe europe as well because of the sanctions are going to read are going to rebel to out as as much as they can and we're going to see that they're going to want to maintain that trade with with with iran as well as with the other countries in that and that region of the world the whole idea because the united states insists upon having the israeli policy interfere with every foreign policy decision it makes it's actually going to it's actually beginning to shift away from that and we're seeing that already you know you know market the it seems that you know there's a perception i've

have indicated, we have had indications of polarizing times. these seems especially nasty. how would you describe it right now? >> i think we go through a phase of difficulty in which our country is more polarized than it was before. there is much more disparity between the rich people and the poor, working class people at than it has in the past. but, we have been able, down through history, over, as you know, more than 200 years, to overcome difficulties of that kind. i don't have any doubt that the basic principles of americans and the status of equality between people will prevail in the long term. >> neil: do you think that what you are doing now, and those who are at a disadvantage are going away? a lot of people have been criticizing president trump saying that the focus has been on the market and the boom. it has been a palpable boom, as we see. when you were president, did the markets matter to you chris mark they matter to this president. he mentions them a lot pretty think they are very important. what do you think? >> yes, it's very

clearly polarized. societies. are the worst nightmare and so as you wittily point out a bit of diversity the breaks polarized nation might be viewed improvement and probably would have been on. the point about. law as a substitute for trust do we want a society that has mutual respect or do we want a society that moves beyond mutual respect to mutual regard and the mutual respect is what you would cheve through the law you have to respect each other like it or not as it were but. a good society actually moves beyond you to respect to mutual regard because it's that move that actually builds willingness to be generous to other people a gentleman here in the second which is a question for the professor do you think that as a sensible policy for migration you're talking about temporary migrants might be to allow in only the work themselves to keep their families outside of the countries to not allow them to vote to only allow them to go back home maybe three weeks every two years to keep them an inferior conditions t

oh i want to get back in a minute to the issue of the polarization going on in bangladesh for first i want to talk specifically about the case of shah to a lot of course the very renowned photographer he was arrested he was charged under section fifty seven of bangladesh's information communications technology act which i believe charter referred to a few minutes ago now human rights group including your group has called this a draconian law used to stifle the media and political dissent can you tell us more about shadow case and also this law and how it has been enforced. sue one of the last things the show the other one did before he was that sanger was that iran has shut down and here billions of you will be very critical comments about the government's. constant alarms the orange isn't valid because there is a status of meigs to the search does a little country and a very bangladeshis we do that or he was covering the protests itself during the course of which he acts is hammer was banished by vigilantes limb. from the barrel of this jobs or he and he was broadcasting live from th

politics now are much more polarized in then they were half a century ago, and that means members of congress think in terms of party at least as much in terms of institution, so when the president is their party, succeed the president's agenda. when they oppose the president, there is less thinking when it comes to institutional prerogative. the second is more novel and a 21st century problem, which is when a lot of things and of n ecosystem that is fundamentally about entertainment or fundamentally about getting on cable television getting into the , ander of american lifem it is almost as if members run for congress in order to get a better timeslot on cable news. thee it seems to us on outside of congress is very dysfunctional, if you talk to members, they feel like they are getting out of it what they wanted out of it, which is to get a more prominent place in the theater of our politics. that undermines the institution, because they are not thinking of ambitions through the channels of the institution. host: maybe all of this is due to the simple fact that control of congress i

the country polarizing before the election and saying hey we represent the jewish jewish feeling of the state versus the people that want to define themselves as maybe israeli or european or democratic nation and we're going to go after the jewish side israel's jewish countries the jewish homeland and we have jewish laws and so forth and that's the main purpose versus everyone else so it's really just beating the drum of elections and he's done a very good job of getting this issue spoken about you know deflecting any other issues in government and certainly getting people defining the line in the middle of the country you're either with us as a jewish state or you're against us and that's how he's setting it up ariel the druze community has said for so long that they are among the most loyal groups to the state there so what does this do to that level of support. well i can tell you what what's going to happen with this blood ties that the jewish people has and the state has a with it was it's for them to say but i do want to reply to what anon said before . independence the correc

jennifer: the polarization has happy to vary substantially in the last month or so.eople voicing horror that the families were being separated in part because some on the left had gone to this abolished ice message just because the president had railed against illegal immigration yet again. you have seen this polarization happening, and there is not much of a middle ground, and i don't know that it is going to end up being a key issue in congressional horses because it is another place where people have hardened into their positions. kevin: thanks so much for your great reporting from literally at the border. pstein, thank you for coming on. u.s. prosecutors plan to wrap up their case against paul manafort today, for the $16 million kicker. this is bloomberg. ♪ kevin: this is "bloomberg markets: balance of power." i am kevin cirilli. shery: i'm shery ahn. headline inflation held that 2.9% for the second month. let's welcome carl riccadonna. we had the gop strategist earlier talking about how a solid economy is going to help the republican party. that seems to be the