the incumbent is pro-trump and the challenger is pro-single payer.eldin'shis is lee district, the incumbent. again, uc health care as a big issue there. tohink lee zeldin is likely maintain the sea, but it has been a seat that has been watched. democrats thought early on it was one they may be able to pick up. i don't think there is that much confidence as we get this close now, and it's all about turnout, but i think it's a race democrats initially thought they might be able to turn over. look at the newsday newspaper, when it talks about the lee zeldin race, the headline says, the race tests donald trump's popularity. and that raise it is true, and i think that is true in many sectors of the united states, with democrats making the race about donald trump or did they think it is going to be a winning message. they have to be a little careful about that because it also increases or can increase republican turnout among trump supporters. democrats, they feel if they make it about donald trump, they will get out those moderates who will vote against r

republican steve chabot is the incumbent have a burger represented the first district for 22 of the past 24 years. he is 65 years old. prior to being elected to congress he served as county commissioner and student council member and graduate of the college of william and mary and chase college of law. he and his wife live in westbrook. ohio app second congressional district runs to the eastern side of hamilton county east all the way to portsmouth. democrat jill schiller is the challenge are running a nonprofit focus on child literacy issues. he has a law degree from temple university, lives with her husband and two children in hyde park. republican brad wenstrup represented the second district for congress since 2013, he is 60 years old. part of politics he worked as a podiatrist and surgeon and rose to the rank of colonel in the

guest: john cap goes is the republican rick public can -- john is a republican incumbent. upset.onent won in an she is a syracuse university visiting professor who is favored by progressives, but the polling shows this race is not as those as the other two we discussed. the poll showed john up 53-39. that is a wide margin to make up with literally one way to go until election day. this one is not as close if you believe the polling, but it is one that democrats had hoped to thereecause there is -- is essentially 50-50 enrollment in terms of republicans and democrats. john seems to be running away with it given the latest polling. host: one of the things that came out of this race is the negatives when it comes to the candidate bolter. what are you seeing? guest: you have seen a number of different things. one, you know, it is a 50-50 district. winning a democratic primary is very different from winning an election race. who had thethe left support of nancy pelosi. -- thats well to win does well to win a primary, but if you have to win over undecided and republican voters, t

republican phil scott is the incumbent. he is running for his second term. he beat one challenger in the

and the incumbent understands the vernacular of reality tv and social media. we know that the presidency has not changed the incumbent, right? we don't know whether the incumbent has changed the presidency. i think one thing he has changed is it's hard for me to imagine a successor not having an authentic ongoing social media communication with the country. >> you think that's permanent? >> i do. >> twitter, the whole thing. >> i think that if you start -- if you look at -- i think going forward, if you look at something that comes out from a candidate or an incumbent and it looks as though it went through four layers of people, i think that's going to have an affect. i could be wrong, but we are all the media now. >> so if you're thinking -- i don't want to get -- i was trying to focus on the past but let's bring it -- >> sorry. >> let's bring it up to now. are you saying jon meacham, that in order to be successful in electoral politics in this country, you've got to be able to master whatever the current means of communication is? in a way it's stating the o

are pretty strong there are five declared candidates more than a dozen of possible candidates the incumbent president has a somewhat low rating if there is a political crisis another political crisis in ukraine say without in two thousand and nineteen dating the european union would be just as eager to interfere in and take sides. his you know to these that is it big competition in the field of communication. how do you communicate how do you make interference you have a lot of chances to do that i think the dupion union should be a bit slow down its. presence in this framework and should leave the

the record number of republicans leaving, 41 republicans held house seats without an incumbent on the ballot this fall, a record going back over a century. out of those 41 seats, there are nine where we rate democrats as the favorite and six we rate as tossups. if the tossups -- wit, democrats the government wealth -- democrats pick up 12, happy 23 they need for the house majority, the zynga's biggest -- the biggest driver. host: batesville, arkansas, democrat, good morning. caller: here in arkansas, on social media, has been captured by the democrats candidate in texas in the round rock-austin area, and air force combat is against a republican incumbent. very noteworthy campaign ads on social media, on youtube, she is very much behind the veterans affairs of course. not sure how she stands on other issues but she seems to be capturing a lot of attention. that seems to be a very interesting race. i was wondering your thoughts on that race. host: david wasserman? guest: a lot of interest in the 34th district from outside of the district in texas, democrats have had enormous fun raising

we were just there talking to the incumbent, democrat claire mccaskill against of the attorney general republican. take a look at our poll, tied 43-43. each one of these states, also interesting to look at, president trump's approval rating. in missouri, 54% disapprove in the state of missouri. that state extremely tight according to our polling. if we go out west to arizona, republican martha mcsally, democrat christian cinema , we also have it tied. the president approval rating in arizona, 52-46. of the president is not going out to arizona in the last stops of his tour before election day. then we go up to north dakota. this race has really changed the incumbent trying to hold on, heidi heitkamp, kramer pulling away. 51-42 in our latest poll. one of the readers, look at his approval rating for president trump in north dakota. 61-36. that makes a big difference on turnout in a state like north dakota. in tennessee, once thought to be very tight where marsha blackburn is up against bill bergeson, former governor there as we take a look at our poll, also, blackburn pulling away 50-41.

. >> now to one of the most-watched races on the florida ballot, the incumbent and the challenger. iny are statistically tied the polls. >> they are running to represent south florida's 26th nearlysional district, 800 thousand residents. it is trending blue but fairly evenly split between democrats, republicans and independents. >> the republican congressman was first elected in 2014 and is running for a word term in congress. the challenger is a democrat making her first run for congress that she has been long politically involved in the community and the keys. good morning. for having us. >> let me briefly explain the ground rules. to will have 60 seconds answer, 30 seconds to rebut. we'll have a 32nd close. congressman, let's begin with health care. you voted to repeal the affordable health care act. more than 90,000 of your enrolled.ts are they want to keep it what do you say to them, especially people with pre-existing conditions? >> thank you for this opportunity. i made a commitment when i first ran for office that we would replace our health care system with something that

the right place at the right time for houston and for texas. >> at 62, john cull ber son, the 18 year incumbent who serves in the powerful house appropriations committee has never faced a challenge this difficult. >> women feel like our voices aren't being heard. >> a 43-year-old well financed attorney named lidsy fletcher. >> no one thinks government is the answer. but they don't think government is the problem. what they really want is for our elected representatives in washington and elsewhere to actually work together to solve problems. >> the big issues in this district include health care. >> it's a terrible idea to have a ien end ther.>> h fletcher wants to i am above it. immigration, both want better security along the border but culver son wants to fund the wall and fletcher does not. >> we have to deal with our policy overall. >> and flood control. hurricane harvey was devastating here. thousands of homes ruined. >> the state loaned us the money. they didn't even give us the money. >> joanie weiner is supporting fletcher. >> i'm mad at all the government officials, at all the incumben

and the incumbent fully understands, the vernacular of reality tv, and social media. we know the presidency has not changed the incumbent. we don't know yet if the incumbent has changed the presidency. i think one thing he has changed is, it is hard for me to imagine a successor not having an authentic, ongoing social media communication with the country. truck you think that is permanent. >> i do. twitter, the whole thing. if you look, going forward, if you look at something that comes out from a candidate or incumbent, and it looks as though it went through four layers of people, i think that has an effect. i could be wrong. we are all the media now. >> if you are thinking, i was trying to focus on the past. let's bring it up to >> so sorry >> [ laughter ] >> let's bring it up to now. are you saying, jon meacham, that in order to be successful in electoral politics you have to be able to master whatever the current communication is? in a way it states the obvious. but it is staying on top of whatever it is, whether it is a combination of public speaking, and having

and the incumbent republican congressman mike bost of murfreesboro. the candidates will be questioned by

if the economy is good, the incumbent party does well. if the economy is bad, the incumbent party does poorly. in a midterm election, it's all about the president's approval rating. it has the same effect that the economy does in a presidential year. so the fact that the president's approval rating is only 41% in our latest poll is indicative of an incumbent party that's in deep, deep trouble in the house of representatives because, remember, all 435 seats are up there. if you look back over time, if you average the years in which the president's approval rating was at 45% or below, on average the incumbent party has lost nearly 40 seats in the house. >> wow. all right. mark, talk about this because we always talk about who's going to come out and vote, you know, what demographic, what group. young people historically don't show up, but gender is a big factor in this election too and women usually show up. they decide the elections usually. >> right. so let's put this in perspective. let's go back to the day when donald trump was sworn in

is the incumbent and jason crowe is the democratic challenger. let's get to it. some of the world's top scientists on climate change just issued a report that says unless we enact sweeping changes, we will start seeing the impact of global warming in terms of food supply, wildfires, etc. in 2040. how do you enact these changes in a trump administration? >> first of all, i am in a group in congress, a climate change caucus. one of the issues i'm working say howthe caucus is to can the united states integrate trade policy with environmental policy. ist we are doing often times we are raising our environmental standards but in doing so, we are raising our costs and pushing jobs at manufacturing overseas to countries that don't have the same environmental standards. i think that's a big question -- how can we do better domestically in terms of bringing our carbon footprint down but then how can we integrate that we trade? i think we are projecting that there will be a significant increase in electric vehicles. how do you produce the energy to do that? from thed an aw

now he's a challenge the incumbent. chelle lujan grisham, the chair of the congressional spanish caucus is in a very competitive race to be the next latina governor of new mexico. and former dallas county sheriff lupe valdai is taking on governor abbott in texas. there's a number of latinos running for lieutenant governor as well. in california, florida, illinois and in new mexico regardless of which party in new mexico the will be in the teen or latina lieutenant governor. a number of latinos or encumbrance of statewide office are running for reelection. attorney general california running to be elected in 2018. other incumbent, secretary of state of california, secretary of state of rhode island was the first latino elected to statewide office in all of new england. george p bush, land commission in texas, state control in illinois, hector, the incumbent attorney general in new mexico. all of them very excellent prospects of being reelected come november. and there are other latinas in statewide offices that are very c

the right time for houston and for texas. >> glor: at 62, john culberson, face18-year incumbent who serves in the powerful house appropriationsee, has 'tver faced a challenge this difficult. >> women feel like our voices aren't being heard. >> glor: a 43-year-old well- financed houston attorney named lizzie fletcher. >> nobody thinks that government is always the answer, but they don't think government is always ie problem. and what they really want is for our elected representatives in enshington and elsewhere to actually work together to solve problems. >> the biggest issues in this district include healthcare: >> it's a terrible idea to have government in-between the patient and their doctor. >> glor: culberson opposes obamacare. lizzie fletcher says she wants er improve it. ermigration-- both want better .ecurity along the border, but culberson wants to fund the wall, and fletcher does not. >> we have to deal with our policy overall. >> reporter: and flood control-- srricane harvey was devastating here, thousands of homes ruined. >> the state loaned us the money. they didn't even give us the money. >> glor: joanie weiner

the governor there, rick scott, trying to unseat bill nelson who is the incumbent senator, one race. then because scott is term limited, the governor's mansion has a vacancy, soon to be in tallahassee, one of the president's earliest supporters. ron desarn advertise is running for that position against andrew gillum. gillum and the president sparred in the last couple of days. florida is one of three states this the president will visit twice between now and tuesday. other two, indiana and missouri. the president held an event touting job creation and reskilling and retrading modernization. the president reiterated that if democrats take control of capitol hill, in his estimation, the stock market would go down. >> president trump: if the mid terms don't do so well for republicans, i think you'll lose a lot of money. people waiting to see what happens with the mid terms. >> the president said, we're going to start paying down debt, though, charles, it remains to be seen how that would be the case, when that would be the case as well. >> thank god, the treasury department signalling th

. >> beginning with candidates in the second district where the incumbent jason lewis is running against democrat angie craig then it's the third district candidates republican eric paulson and democratic dean phillips. .. . >>. >>. >> welcome to a special night of congressional debate part of our put together initiative featuring reports and conversations exploring the values to underpin our democracy a special welcome to joining us on c-span and public radio we will be in a conversation with the two candidates from the second congressional district. >> here is a quick geography lesson include the twin cities south and east and egan to the north bell plane to the west incumbent republican jason lewis is challenged by democrat angie craig and they are with us in the studio. >> we call this a debate really it is a discussion opening or closing statements or no flips to determine the order of anything. two years ago the republicans were elected to congress and angie craig is the democrat executive who lost to jason lewis in the same matchup two years ago welcome to both of yo you. >> it's

trying to overtake the incumbent. democrat senator contester. we will have the g.o.p.ith us. senator tester has been invited as well. we're grateful you spent the evening with us. good night from new york. i'm shannon bream. insurance that won't replace the full value of your new car? you'd be better off throwing your money right into the harbor. i'm gonna regret that. with liberty mutual new car replacement we'll replace the full value of your car. ♪ liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty ♪ they work togetherf doing important stuff. the hitch? like you, your cells get hungry. feed them... with centrum micronutrients. restoring your awesome, daily. centrum. feed your cells. and you know what goes greateak with that shrimp?shrimp. you guessed it. more shrimp. steak and unlimited shrimp, starting at $15.99. only at outback. tomorrow night. tucker carlson coming up next. ♪ ♪ >> tucker: good evening and welcome to "tucker carlson tonight." with less than three weeks to go until the midterm elections, violence is flaring up again. republicans in both minnesota and the state of

he's criticizing the incumbent republican governor scott walker for helping oversee the passage of af voter restrictions. the marquee attraction here today is vice president joe biden. he's been one of the most active indicatic surrogates -- democratic surrogates. he kicked it into high gear after labor day. we remember him running in the pittsburgh labor day parade. this week he's zeroing in on those states and congressional districts that he and president obama carried in 2008 and 2012 but flipped for donald trump. they want to win those back. what we're going to hear from skr joe biden today, democratic goob toisgoob -- says he opposing president trump's new plan for birthright citizenship. joe biden has been critical of the president's rhetoric about immigrants saying immigrants are not animals. it will be interesting to see. as we've heard him throughout his midterm campaigning against some of these trump policies. >> i was in jacksonville, florida, last week, and vice president biden was there campaigning for the gubernatorial candidate andrew gillum. one of the things that str

guest: john faso is the republican incumbent. s a longtime politician in government in new york. he has held the seat for two years and facing a stiff challenge from antonio delgado, who is an attorney. who just moved back into the district. onis challenging john faso his record on health care in particular and -- to donald trump. leansa district that democratic but it is a 50-50 tossup district. it is close. monmouth university came out with a poll that showed dell got a 49-44 lead, which there are few voters still undecided but that could turn that election. aboutone feature was antonio dell gato, his music past. can you describe that? adst: there are dark money groupspublican favored -- groups that favor republicans in congress that are doing independent expenditures that highlights antonio bell gato -- career -- i do not think you could call it a career. you he -- here at all the time detailing that clip from the songs. john faso brought up the fact he uses rough language, which is par for the course for rat music. -- rap musi

and they'll need to stay focused to unseat the incumbent president. his reelection campaign just announced raised more than 100 million, a big haul so early before 2020. >> i hope she's running for president, because i think she'd be very easy. >> ed, warren is expected to win reelection in massachusetts. there is another democrat facing election campaign, in trouble in north dakota tonight. what do we know about that? >> reporter: yeah, jeff, heidi heitkamp is apologizing for an ad that ranr e weeken the ad desigd to criticize republican kevin cramer for his support of brett kavanaugh. it lists sexual violence, domestic abuse and rape. turns out some of those listed didn't give their consent. heitkamp is one of those moderates running in a red state this november. polls right now show she's trailing cramer. jeff? >> ed o'keefe, thank you. >>> police today intensified the search for a missing 13-year-old girl from western wisconsin. her parents were found dead in the family home yesterday. adriana diaz reports from wisconsin. >> she's out there. we wa

the republican incumbent embattled by the scandal by the controversy.nd so the question is, you know, democrats -- the suburbs, we say the clinton district. we look at obvious places. but are there random districts like this where there is a factor loo like a scandal giving a chance. what are we seeing in the 27th? her a poll from last week? a district trump won by 24 points. collins clinging a 4 had-point lead. and there is undecided, flux in that race. there is one to keep an eye on on election night, hallie. >> steve, you got called out earlier in the show. i don't know if you heard it. but joel heitkamp, heidi's brother said this. i think we pulled. >> well it depends if you believe the polls. >> i'm a steve kornacki fan don't get me wrong. but he is not making my trivial pursuit teamny time soon. >> fighting friends from our friend. >> sfeef i got to ask you, north dakota we were talking about senator heitkamp down there by double digits? are you confident are you in the in the number. >> this is not the fight that's useful. i don't want a fight wi

you look at north dakota and that is a really interesting race because the incumbent, heidi heitkamp,publican challenger kevin kramer. right now the polls have a very close but a slight nod toward kevin kramer, considering there are other factors in most ways, but you have north dakota probably with a slow job growth, let's give this stated republicans. as of now, if you go by the average of the polls in each of these toss appraisers, here is what it means as of now. arizona goes to the democrats right here. florida goes to the republicans. democrats pick up tennessee, republicans pick up missouri. we mentioned north dakota changes, nevada stays the same, all of these states say the same, and then, there is a lot of time, a lot of issues can change these tight races, but it's a net pickup or republicans of one seat. the economy is just one of these issues and a lot of races. which brings us back to small business owner george in wisconsin. >> is she sleeping well, on schedule? >> bret: when it comes to the economy, george thinks president trump deserves a chance to finish what he star

and in new jersey, robert mendez, the incumbent, seeking re-election, has a very good chance of being re-elect the. in the house, we fully expect to see some fresh faces in the united states house of representatives. we expect that these five candidates will be successful on november 6th. garza ya will be likely the new new rcia wig likely be the member. anthony gonzalez, a former nfl wide receiver and entrepreneur is likely to are prevail in ohio district 16. you have heard about alexandria cortes in new york being a new member of the new york delegation. and then in it, , big news. for the first time in the history of texas, two hispanic women -- there has never been a hispanic woman elected in texas to serve in the house. in 2018 there will be two. cobar and garcia, a past president, are likely to prevail in their races and will latinas to two serve in the house. in arizona, congressional district two, peterson is waging a competitive race for that seat. in california we have two races with very competitive candidates. there is a very, very competitive race in florida district 26.

how do you feel about the incumbent senator running for re-election, clair mcas kill? caller: i'm voting for her. holly, elected attorney generally believe, state attorney, now he is unning for the senate. without ever fulfilling a full term. i am not too impressed by him. host: ok. thank you for calling from missouri. anything else to say about that tight senate race? guest: that is another tight one, republicans are kind of banking on it to pull back this or increase the majority. they've been more bullish on holly lately than earlier in the campaign. earlier on he was mired in talk about him being lazy. there was criticism about him working out at 10:00 in the morning, stuff like that. instagram videos and stuff tan drew the ire of some republicans up here. but since then he has run a strong race. mccaskill is tough. she's always been tough. she won a tough race in 2006 and ran a really good race in 2012 where she beat todd aiken who self-imploded but, nevertheless, she's always been a tough opponent. he has his work cut out for him. host: mr. fitzpatrick wants you t

>> it right now the incumbent, karen handel is 49 and 947. >> i think that's neck and neck. >> i want to know, i'm on the board of emily's list and you are one of many peoples favorite candidates. your ability to step up and run for office in this your story is extraordinary. but so many women who have decided to step up and run for office for different reasons, i applaud you for running. how do you think your story that you have told us displaying politically in your congressional district? the gun issue has always been tough. you tell it so eloquently it is hard to believe that people are not with you. but i am sure i am just interested in what the assessment is of how you discuss them. is that helping you win? >> i believe it is. >> this is a different year, different election and i am a different candidate. it's a completely different climate that just a matter of a couple of years ago. what i will say, is that we have seen an unprecedented number of people stand up. specifically women, and women of color. people that have everyday lives, they have been living in their communities

cameroonians go to the polls on sunday to elect a new president the incumbent eighty five year old paul b. a is seeking a fifth election victory but worsening violence in the country. casting a shadow over the pool with many unable to vote because our minority in western cameroon and for the last two years under separatists have been fighting against government troops in the majority francophone nation the violence has prompted thousands to flee their homes and our correspondent adrian krishna filed this report from a refugee camp in nigeria near the border with cameroon. people this has been. for almost a year ever since the village she used to live in was. just with her blind brother on her back and the twins on her she fled into the forest to what's nigeria. if there is peace in my country. just leaving as big as because you have to wait on some. food before we eat while. we have planted. everything that we have that we can feed on three thousand cameroonians live in this camp some three hundred thousand have been displaced since be outbreak of the crisis in the english speaking part

they're turning out the lights in some of these incumbent districts. republicans. >> yeah, they are. and if you are a republican who has given a lot of money to the nrcc over the years, you're probably not too happy about this. the republicans are doing exactly what they should be doing. they're in incumbent protection mode. they're shifting their resources where they can actually win some seats. and look, chris, i'm with you. i think democrats are going to do well. i think we may pick up 30 to 40 seats, but a win is a win. we need 23 seats to take back control, to take back control of the how many times. and that's what we're looking at. playing in over 100 seats, they have expanded the map dramatically. they recruited really smart candidates who fit the profile of their district. i'm actually here in michigan. 11 campaigning for my friend haley stevens who is in a lean d district as she'll flip that state hopefully from red to blue. but democrats have expanded the map. and the nrcc is doing exactly what they who be doing, which is marshalling their re

turning to cameroon now when people go to the polls on sunday to elect a new president the incumbent eighty five year old poll is seeking his for a fifth election victory since one thousand nine hundred two but worsening violence in the west african countries anger phone regions is casting a shadow over the poll with many able to vote english speakers are a minority in western cameroon and for the last two years and before and separatists have been fighting against government troops in the majority frank of nation the violence has prompted thousands to flee their homes many of them to neighboring nigeria west africa correspondent krishna filed this report from a refugee camp in nigeria near the border with cameroon. as stuffy ten for nine people this has been miriam the song so much for almost a year ever since the village she used to live in was stormed by cameroonian soldiers with a blind brother on her back and the twins and how she fled into the forest to what's nigeria. if there is peace in my account i would like to go back i would like to go back because here we are just living

next, the north dakota senate debate between the incumbent and the republican congressman. the last of three debates between the candidates, and the topics included the health care law, immigration policy, and veterans issues. the hour-long debate is courtesy of wday in fargo. ♪ dave: and good evening. i am dave thompson. we welcome you to the senate debate. our candidates are democratic senator heidi heitkamp. [cheers and applause] dave: and the republican

the vehicle unharmed after the driver had a barricade outside the new jersey democrats event, the incumbentfacing off against republican senator in a race that is closer than expected and getting nasty. >> 26 after the hour, voter records, who is buying your personal information weeks before the midterms? >> od toed on opioids. >> these are not even prescribed to her. >> rosanne was killed off, a drug overdose. how the fired axis is reacting to that this morning. wasn't my top priority. until i held her. i found my tresiba® reason. now i'm doing more to lower my a1c. once daily tresiba® controls blood sugar for 24 hours for powerful a1c reduction. tresiba® is a long-acting insulin used to control high blood sugar in adults with diabetes. don't use tresiba® to treat diabetic ketoacidosis, during episodes of low blood sugar, or if you are allergic to any of its ingredients. don't share needles or insulin pens. don't reuse needles. the most common side effect is low blood sugar, which may cause dizziness, sweating, confusion, and headache. check your blood sugar. low blood sugar can be serious

the key to reducing that will be an overhaul of the country's generous pensions system, which the incumbentr tried and failed to reform. and brazil's new leader will be hoping to usher in a new era of accountability, after a string of high—profile corruption scandals. the state—run oil company petrobras last month agreed to pay a us fine of more than $850 million to settle charges that former executives bribed politicians to secure lucrative contracts. jimena blanco is the principal analyst for the americas as verisk maplecroft. always good to see you. so we sort of outlined some of the economic challenges. what were his policies, what has he promised? well, in the past, part of his campaign, he has come out with a liberal economic plan, so also now he's talking about privatisations, talking about pension reform, talking about giving com plete pension reform, talking about giving complete autonomy to the central bank and markets have reacted really positively to those promises. and his economic team seems to be very committed to those. and in terms of getting those promises through the parl

the most recent polls for the tenth congressional district show republican incumbent barbara comstocke senator jennifer wexten. >> people are concerned about the coarsening of public discourse, the lack of civility, and the inability to get anything done in congress. >> wexton has received support from a number of outside groups looking to flip this seat blue. trump's latest approval rating in the district, a meager 35%. the president's low numbers are proving to be a drag on comstock. >> barbara comstock might as well be barbara trumpstock. >> but she says she's no rubber stamp. >> i'm my own woman and i focus on the priorities of my constituents. i have worked with a republican governor and a democrat governor. a democrat president and now a republican president. and i work to bring people together and get results. and that's our record, and we're proud to run on it. >> in february, trump suggested shutting down the government over immigration. comstock rejected the idea. >> we don't need a gump shutdown on this. >> comstock tells her independents in tv ads. >> barbara is a fighter

justice kennedy: all of the duties incumbent upon me. justice kavanaugh: all of the duties incumbent on me. justice kennedy: as associate justice of the supreme court of united states. justice kavanaugh: as associate justice of the supreme court of united states. justice kennedy: under the constitution and laws of the united states. justice kavanaugh: under the constitution and laws of the united states. justice kennedy: so help me god. justice kavanaugh: so help me god. [applause] justice kavanaugh: mr. president, thank you for the great honor of appointing me to serve as a justice of the supreme court. i have seen firsthand your deep appreciation for the final role of the american judiciary. i am grateful for your steadfast, unwavering support throughout this process. and i am grateful to you and mrs. trump for the exceptional, overwhelming courtesy you have extended to my family and me. mr. president, thank you for everything. [applause] justice kavanaugh: i am honored to serve on a supreme court headed by chief justice john roberts. c

if you have growth in the second quarter, i'm paraphrasing, that tends to benefit the incumbent partythe republicans lose the house this is such an extraordinairy environment, i'm not sure i would go there the betting markets think the republicans lose the house but that might be very good risk/return in terms of that outcome changing in other words, republicans doing a lot better than people think in part because the gdp that you highlight but also the unemployment rate. we're at a 50 year low in the unemployment rate. when has that happened the historical record is not as accurate as it will be >> let's bottom line we know this is complex. the market economy, they do somewhat reconcile at some point. is the economy still good enough for a market that continues higher on this bull market >> yes absolutely the yield curve has not inverted part of the recent weakness is into the mid terms the catalyst, dominic, has been really the fed that the liquidity that the fed has provided over a hands full of years, rates are rising at least relative to the world rapidly and this is a fed. if th

meanwhile in texas, beta o'rourke is running a race against the somewhat unliked incumbent ted cruz. and a new ad takes cruz to task for supporting donald trump. look at this. >> someone left a note on my door the other day, is ted cruz

" >> reporter: chris rahlf decided to run for the state assembly because no one had challenged the incumbent the last two elections. >> i remember going in to vote in off year elections, and there would only be one name at each office. and that's not exciting. that's notgoemocracy. yoto have a choice. >> when i ran in '16 i didn't know about anything. >> rereportercca clarke made a late decision to run for the assembly in 2016, and lost by 20 points. >> and, i woke up like, "oh, my gosh, we're going to do this again." you ow? >> reporter: emerge gave these women training and technical advice. >> 70-8 spent in the last 30 days. why? that's when people care. >> reporter: but perhaps most impo trtant, emerge gam a support network. >> the sisterhood is, like, amazing. >> having other people, especially other women, that are going through the same thing that you go through, it's, it's just critical. >> reporter: there are emerge alums all over the state running in races ranging from school board congress. many of them are running against established incumbents in parts of the ste where democrats

. >> and this is the toughest incumbent race there is new falling out from "the new york times" thatsically says heller is in the lead but under 50 when you're less than a month away as the incumbent and under 50 that is not a good place the democratic congresswoman running against him is in the prime position so they can both be happy of where they are but what we don't know yet what you are talking about is where does it go? how does this play out? do we see what "the washingtonon post" was talking about? if there is a republican backlash there is a backlash to the backlash. and without significant advantage. shannon: so now let's talk about specifically here that does better with men so which of these groups will be more critical? . >> talk about the gender gap it cuts both ways. the traditional you t can also say they do equally poorly with men. as heller does with women we have a real battle shaping up and the justice kavanaugh nomination and the me to movement comes down to this. the district and the key swing is a suburb south of las vegas but heller has to rely on the probe r

this is a state where joe donnelly, the incumbent, has been holding steady. s poll has him down four. is this the race to watch on election night? >> it's one of several. it will be an important race. broad has been improving here as republicans. remember, this is a state trump won by 19 points. so his approval rating nationwide is 47 in the nbc/wall street journal, 44 in gallop. it is higher in this state. more people approve than disapprove of the president. as the president's rating improved and republicans made a decision to come home, this is a state with more republicans than democrats, donnelly's gotten into difficulty. >> dana: why is it so close then? >> he's an incumbent. there is a power of the incumbents. there was a little damage left by the republican three-way primary. not a lot compared to other states. elections are a process, not simply an event. the process of consolidation of the republicans, democrats got behind donnelly. the republicans have been getting behind braun late. let's see how it plays out in the remaining 12 days. i think this

in the country's anglo phone regions with many they are unable to vote elsewhere opposition to the incumbent is also growing. with election day approaching income a ruined one face is everywhere paul b. has ruled the african country for almost thirty six years the eighty five year old has many supporters but even in the french speaking part of the country not everyone is happy. we want change we are tired with this president in power nothing is going to change we want to work for our young people. but that's not the only problem being left speaking minority income a room feels disadvantaged there have been protests in recent months in the angle of phone region this led to clashes between government troops and separatists who are fighting for an independent state they were trusted to the sun both sides hundreds were killed thousands have fled the country but this woman is staying. true to me so i am afraid to come out like today. like today many streets in diyala phone region are deserted these days shops and schools are closed yannick funky is a journalist he hopes for a peaceful solution bu

>> well, so the interesting thing is you had incumbent who was actually an independent who governed likee ended up winning and he basically was getting crushed in the polls, he was losing, there's the democrat in the race as well, he decided to drop out and throw his support towards the democrat, but here is the thing, i think republicans we don't have a -- there's a lot of places where republicans have a chance to pick up a governor seat in a year like this, in off-year election, first midterm of presidency, i think that they will because -- because what's happened is incredibly unpopular governor, what happened his state hit financial crisis when oil prices went down and instead of shrink budget, he tried to raise taxes and upped the spending and what's worst for alaskans, he cut in check that they get from oil revenues, pfd's and this guy endorsed the democrats, i don't think that's good news for the democrats because the governor is unpopular. i think that the republican who is a former state senator mike has a great shot at winning this next week. jillian: ron, what else is resinati

no competitive races, virtually no campaigns by the incumbents who consider their reelections a foregone code collusion that foregone conclusion -- a foregone conclusion. that brought down the latino voter turnout as a national number. things are very different in 2018. we expect that to change with regard to the competitive races across the country building latino voter enthusiasm. a quick reminder about our most recent national election. a historic turnout of latino voters in that presidential election, 12.7 million latinos turned out to vote. that was a 13% increase. numbers -- by the numbers, you will see the turnout of voting age citizens for latinos in 2012 was 48%, roughly flat for 2016. i want to turn your attention to the number of registered voters. in 2012, nearly 82% of latinos registered to vote turned out to vote. in 2016, more than 83% of latinos registered to vote turned out to vote. if we managed to get latinos registered to vote, they are going to vote. and the obstacles to voter toistration -- any obstacle voter registration has a direct affect on latino voter turnout.

moving to the senate, hot off the presses right now in the key indiana senate race, we've got the incumbent with a very narrow lead in a three-way race. and although his campaign did have a few stumbles in the debate last night, we're going to get to that, democrats must hold that seat if they have any hope of pulling off a stunner and actually winning control of the senate. and they're going to have to pick off a state like arizona as well, which is another bit of good news this week. our latest poll has the democrat opening a three-point contest. there are a number of reasons democrats need to be cautious and worry about that fireworks barge. the senate maps remain extremely tough for them. they have to run the table and win some of the reddest states in america in order to win back control. north dakota, tennessee, texas, has to come through. and they aren't a lock in the house either where they do need just 23 seeds to take back control out of those 93 that they put on the target list. but millenial voters, what if they don't show up? trump-loving seniors, they could show up. and latino