that we do not rule out any development of the scenario the events of the next two or three weeks, well , the report of the american institute for the study of warntions that russia is preparing for an offensive, and its analysts say that russia has probably not yet mobilized all its reserves and is strengthening the army in donbas preparing for an attack, western ukrainian and russian sources continue to indicate that russia is preparing for an imminent offensive, confirming the assessment of the institute for the study of war that an offensive in the coming months is the most likely option, nato secretary jens stoltenberg said on january 30 that there are no signs that russia is preparing for peace talks and that everything points to the opposite, stoltenberg noted that russia can mobilize up to 200,000 military personnel and continues to purchase weapons and ammunition thanks to the increase in domestic production and partnerships with authoritarian states such as iran and north korea , and we are talking about the possible attack of russia with a colonel from the reserve of the armed forces of ukraine , serhiy grabskyi. join in and these two

military theme, and we will start this broadcast hour with the situation at the front, because analysts of the institute for the study of war, they noticed that the russian occupiers had launched a large-scale offensive in the luhansk region a-a but ukrainian troops do not allow them to achieve significant success and in which directions is the enemy attacking today? the enemy of ukraine, trying to take full control of the territories of donetsk and luhansk regions, continues to focus its main efforts on conducting offensive actions on the kupyan, liman, bakhmut and in the avdiiv and novopavlov directions, what the institute for the study of war says, let's also listen to russian military officials, the involvement of significant parts of at least three large russian divisions in offensive operations in this sector indicates that the russian offensive has begun, even if the ukrainian forces are still allowing the russian forces to achieve significant success about the situation on in the swatov direction, this is luhansk region, let me remind you, we are talking with the commander of the company of unmanned attack aircraft

, they are in the direction of matchmaking-criminat and you are in the direction of zaporizhzhia, er, before you joined, we announced the information that the institute for the study of war, they say that a certain such a large-scale offensive, but the armed forces are actually holding up well, mr. yuriy confirmed this to us, in turn, you confirmed this to us in your direction on zaporizhzhia. do you observe any uh-uh attempts to strengthen the enemy, attempts to withdraw forces, distract attention, anything unusual you see tell me, please, well, i can’t tell you everything, you know what’s possible, that’s why i’m saying what’s possible. well, it’s true that the enemy is strengthening his position, but i can’t say that in our direction, uh, it has started. the one that is now starting in the luhansk direction because it was repeatedly warned and they said that the most important battle of this war will take place directly in the donbass and now the zaporizhia direction is not as hellish as the donetsk or luhansk directions our direction will have to worry a lot. nevertheless, the special operations forces and the defense forces of ukraine are preparing for all possible

for the situation at the front, american analysts believe that the withdrawal from bakhmut will not contribute to the preparation of ukraine for a counteroffensive in the daily summary the institute for the study of warthe west is concerned that kyiv resolutely refuses to leave the city and insists on further defense . at the same time, the analyst believes that ukraine's decision to defend bakhmut is strategically justified and further explains why the kremlin spent a large part of wagner's mercenaries and used a large amount of money to attack bakhmut. the resources of the airborne forces and precisely the resistance of the ukrainian military significantly weakened the russian forces. so, as analysts assume, the defense of bakhmut will probably create favorable conditions for the future of ukrainian counteroffensive and add that if the russian troops took bakhmut without significant resistance from ukraine, they could count on expanding their operations, the ukrainian military would be forced to hastily build defensive positions in less favorable areas. well, the reports of recent weeks indicate that after the capture of soledar, the russians continue to tighten the ring around the bahmut and wheth

kremlin war bloggers that criticize the russian command for by sending elite troops in a frontal attack, moreover . kremlin bloggers, together with analysts of the american institute for the study of war, believe that the russian military and nationalist community is losing faith in the fact that moscow is capable of launching this decisive offensive. experts note that in the previous stages of the war, and especially the composition of russian units, they restored precisely at the expense of mobilized, but the russians did not were able to prepare people for effective offensive operations, the researcher adds to this the lack of adequate vehicles , ammunition, and other equipment. in addition, we screenshots lack of elite formations for a large-scale offensive this is how the analysts summarize well, let's talk about everything in more detail , contact us military expert oleksandr kovalenko p oleksandr i welcome you on the air, did you see a report about vugledar that your sources know about what happened there well, actually it is happening right now. congratulations. well, in fact, there is much more information , because now they are talking directly about the losses of the

he thinks about a possible attack on these according to the estimates of the american institute for the study of war, in the coming months, russia will probably launch a large-scale offensive in luhansk region, and in donetsk region , it will use defensive-offensive tactics. that the new stage of the russian offensive is already underway and has already begun on soledar and ugledar, ukraine also says that it will soon continue the counteroffensive, so far the russians a hundred thousand mobilized men who are already ready to enter. well, they are entering. there is already a constant movement, but it will be stretched until the end of february. therefore, we must at least try to perform certain actions until the time they enter. i think that during february , as soon as the equipment arrives, our troops will start moving or in the direction of the azov coast or immediately in the crimea in the direction of armyansk, at the same time , according to the expert, if a sufficient number of light armored vehicles and soviet tanks, which are already being supplied to western countries, enter ukraine partne

week by the american president, it was far from obvious even to experts who have been studying the russian army and russian politics for years, even the authoritative institute for the study of warreports are monitored daily in ukraine, was wrong in its forecasts, the reason was that we very carefully studied the russian deployment of forces around ukraine that began at the end of 2021, we looked at how they were located in the south-west of russia and in belarus, and we decided that this does not look like planning a competent invasion of the former american retired military lieutenant colonel oleksandr vidman, who was one of the main witnesses at the hearings on the impeachment of president donald trump due to his phone conversation with president volodymyr zelensky in 2019, says that it is not surprising that analysts were misled by the actions of russia, very few people understand russia sufficiently and even fewer people understand ukraine, i spent three years in moscow working with the russian military and observing how they operate, it was clear to me that not everything will work and that they will not be able to use all operational concepts that they could apply in ukra

does not have the combat power for this putin is not ready either for a protracted war or for the use of nuclear weapons these conclusions were reached by the american institute for the studywar, analysts in particular emphasized that the head of the kremlin is not ready to launch a nuclear strike due to fear of losing his status, in addition , the report notes that putin covers up his own crimes with so-called scapegoats, in particular , from time to time publicly criticizes regarding the ministry of defense, they declared war against ukraine and uses the state duma to make controversial decisions , all in order to remove responsibility for the assault groups of russia . it has not yet been recorded, however, the kremlin is planning a new offensive on the anniversary of the invasion. both the ukrainian ministry of defense and british intelligence western military analysts are talking about what it will be . the new attack and whether ukraine will have time to prepare for it, the opinions of london experts were collected by our special correspondent svitlana charnetska. they are talking about a new large-scale offensive by russia, and currently all data indicate that it wi

russia, with its statements, wanted to slow down the supply of tanks to the ukrainian side in particular, analysts of the institute for the study of waruation in the east and the prospect of a further offensive, we will discuss further with a military expert , oleksandr, a military-political commentator of the information resistance group, joins the broadcast kovalenko oleksandr my greetings. good evening. we just spoke with a military officer who is directly in the direction of bakhmut, and which scenario of the development of events in the east are you inclined to, well, judging by all the news that we will now receive from open data? well, what about the russian occupation the troops one way or another but greedily received an order to prevent offensive actions, that is, to intensify their actions, this is a fact, we can talk about it, but did this offensive begin with full understanding, this is another question, and what is its efficiency is also another question why because and the three main bridgeheads behind which, relatively speaking, offensive actions of the russian occupiers can be carried out are the zaporizhia region , p

the ukrainian defense of bahmut is exhausting significant russian forces and this is probably creating favorable conditions for the future counteroffensive of kyiv, the american institute for the study of war reports this in its to the current report literally yesterday we mentioned a publication for washington pos where it was said that the american military considers it unrealistic to simultaneously defend bakhmut and start spring counteroffensive and that us officials call on ukraine to decide on priorities, at the same time, the american institute for the study of war believes that ukraine's decision to defend bakhmut is strategically justified because russia has significantly weakened its forces in the direction of bakhmut, what is happening in bakhmut these days, what was happening there watch this video mercenaries wagner tells how they are trying to advance to bakhmut from the eastern side. it is true that what is this ? the bakhmutka river crossing, the ukrainian defense forces after such a night, minus one, asked on this video already the fighters of the third separate assault brigade of the armed forces storm the positions of the russian military near bakhmut and demonstrate how

well, the day before, i will remind you that the american institute for the study of war stated that another large-scale offensive by russian troops had begun in luhansk region . this is confirmed by the ukrainian authorities. well, what about the offensive in luhansk region and the situation in other the russian military and the so-called warlords themselves tell about the areas of the front. look at the resources claim about the successes in the direction of svatovo, crimes and capture by the russians by the invaders of part of the village of novoselivsk in recent days, more and more videos are appearing in pro-russian media, allegedly taken during the offensive in luhansk oblast, according to one of the so-called warlords , a hurinich is working in the composition of the bc soviet self-propelled rocket launcher designed for demining. military group of the lpr and they show a video of the equipment moving towards the flint, and the wagnerites complain that every five-story building in bakhmut is defended by the soldiers of the armed forces of ukraine like a five-story fortress. ther

the lord over which distributes them with his nose. we have uh, department of defense intelligence ministry of military intelligence. naturally , there are no more turnovers in britain or institutions for the study of ware institutions, the number of ukrainian dead. no, none of them write. so what am i to the realities of today, if we see the initiative of the russian armed forces that have come, we see an offensive. see it in one second. this is not introduced to parliament nowhere they say that listen. bring it down, if the russians are advancing. and we are talking about the fact that after some time the tanks, the planes after end of the war. and who will stand with ukraine on the battlefield with ukraine? no one so it's silence. just in it in the european parliament. just look, i suggest differently. i suggest that the macron personally lead the foreign legion and go out under the lisichanskaya northwest woman. yes, and god will never come herself, but she's done well. she said volodya who are you that you call me with your finger to accept paris, i don’t want to come to you. at least she answered him decently, but she's not an errand, the crew must be scholz. god take it, and i want pestoria clos

like to be, but for me i have a ton of great family support which is absolutely crucial when you hav i'm at the one near anniversary of the war in ukraine. from the institute for the study of war, author of several books about russian foreign policy. thanks for being with us. guest: thanks for having me. host: if this war is taking place into phases, what phase are we in right now? guest: there are several key phases and milestones. i want to start with a couple. russia has been trying to control ukraine for years, first, by trying to manipulate ukraine's political and domestic environment. then russia launched a limited military invention in 2014. for the subsequent eight years, russia tried to use that to control ukraine politically. all of those efforts have failed. then russia resorted to full-scale military invasion of ukraine. we have several key phases. the first one was when russia had initiative on the ground from february of last year to july. and that phase, ukraine had defeated their objectives in the more to invade and conquer ukraine in a matter of a few days. ukraine won the battle of kyiv, pushed russia out. it won the battle ofkharkiv and forced russia

ukraine maybe today, when today this is the third piece of news that the institute for the study of warfact that russia went on the attack, that is, this offensive that was spoken in ukraine, says a lot to say everything this morning you are on you you went like this, but only in the lugansk direction there is still no further. not you know, let it be quoting these idiots who steal money from the american budget, these relatives, but karapshe, but criminal, it's all money, lord, according to which the host is distributed. we have uh, ministry of defense intelligence ministry of military intelligence. naturally, equipment or institutions for the study of war. we don't have any more. here they are , these three institutions have guessed the number of dead ukrainians. no, none of them write. so what am i to the reality of today. if we see, uh, the initiative of uh, rural wives, who came we see the offensive. see about it. one second. nowhere in the european parliament is this mentioned, listen. wait, so if the russians are advancing. and we are talking about the fact that tanks after some

for having us. host: up next and about 15 minutes, we will turn back to the topic of the anniversary of the russian invasion of you rain. we will be joined by the institute for the study of wardiscussion but until then, time for you to leave this program -- to lead this program in the open forum. the phone lines are open so you can start calling in. the numbers are on your screen and we will get your calls after the break. >> since 1979 in partnership with the cable industry, c-span had provided complete coverage of the halls of congress, from the house and senate floors to congressional hearings, partner briefings and committee meetings. c-span gives you a front row seat to have issues are debated and decided with no commentary, no interruptions, and completely unfiltered c-span, your unfiltered view of government. >> preorder your copy of the congressional directory for the 118th congress. it's your access to the federal government with bio and contact information for every house and senate member. important information on congressional committees, the president's cabinet, federal agencies and state governors. scan the code on the right to preorder your copy today for earl

the execution of the closing months of world war two. to do this, asked our very own rob santino. dr. santino is the executive director of the institute for the study of war and democracy, as well as the museum's samuels. murray stone, senior historian at the national world war two museum. and i'll beat him to the punch line and say he's got the title on staff. he's an award winning military historian, published ten books primarily on the german army, or the very smart he's taught for three decades, including stints at west point and the us military academy and the u.s. army war college. he first came to the museum and 2012 for our international conference. then he came in 2013 for our international conference. then he was one of our featured tour historians at the 70th anniversary of d-day crews. then he came to our 2014 international conference. but as he always reminds me, he did not come to our 2015 international conference because we didn't invite him that year. better yet, in 2016, we invited him to join the staff as the museum's senior historian. and we couldn't be luckier to have top notch scholar who guides our content, but also a great gu

currently engaged or equipped for the production of su-25s and trucks for the production of more urgently needed equipment from the report of the institute for the study of war, and now we are in touch with oleksandr olesyan, a military spectator, oleksandr, good from the last time. what have you heard? russia intends to absorb elements of the defense industry in belarus, because lukashenko will allow it, well, there are big inaccuracies, i can tell you that as a person who worked in the field of nuclear power and provided consulting services to many directors of military plants, in fact, it is not russia that wants to swallow the belarusian plant, but lukashenko wants to promote the products of belarusian enterprises to the russian market . the production of these factories is being promoted from africa to latin america, and they existed mainly at the expense of the budget, they were mostly all in debt. counting pensioners, teachers , budget workers, and finally, lukashenko to say that russia, suppressed by sanctions, places very large orders for belarusian military products, it is not necessary to reprofile. we only have military factories that can be equi

for you. you need to get out of here urgently. do not miss the events and people of the week on central television, experts from the american institute for the study of waria had seized the initiative in the combat zone , and now they are seriously discussing it in kiev itself. can events in ukraine go according to the korean scenario, does this mean that the west has already given up on the idea of ​​fighting to the bitter end (the tragedy of kostomarov's novel). why did the famous figure skater, who ended up in the police with pneumonia, still have to be amputated in both feet, artificial intelligence throws a challenge to all of humanity, the neural network created by american scientists can do everything that an ordinary person can do. really very soon people will simply become superfluous cogs of civilization, which will be controlled by artificial intelligence. it will be yours central television tomorrow at 19:00 on ntv nikita panfilov obstetrician premiere from monday at 20:00 on ntv delicious, period. did you know that tinkoff investments has a social network for investors, matvey subscribed to investors with high returns and earns as they do .

in the direction of ugledar, they are advancing in the area of ​​the crime zone, they have allegedly started new operations to the northwest of svatovo , the american institute for the study of warut this. in luhansk region, what is happening on the front line at this time, we show next the capture of belorovka by russian troops , the soldiers of the armed forces of ukraine claim in these shots that it is fake posted on the social network as of february 6, 2023 regarding fake statements by the aggressor country of the russian federation, but they took control of their e-e under their control the settlement of belohorivka of the luhansk region. we ask you not to believe this propaganda. the settlement of belohorivka was me and will be under the control of ukraine, our spirit is indomitable and this is also luhansk region this is what the russian military destroyed novoselivsk in the swativ district looks like forever , the buildings have been torn down and the earth has burned out , meanwhile, about the alleged destruction of ukrainian strongholds districts and several brigades under bakhmut report wagnerites share a video of one of the captured strongholds on social networks new

of last year, ineffective sanctions , weak restrictions against iran and russia allowed the kremlin to purchase components for attack drones from the usa, this is stated in the report of the institute for the study of warysts note that 82% of the shaheds shot down in ukraine had components from america, although most western companies denied their direct sale to russia, or iran, everything is fine, the president of the united states, joe biden stated that the downed reconnaissance bullet will not worsen relations between washington and beijing, but the incident does not contribute to their improvement, as is known, the other day in the united states, a chinese spy bullet was shot down that flew over the southern in carolina, the ministry of foreign affairs of the people's republic of china announced its dissatisfaction and protest, assuring that the bullet was meteorological . we made it clear to china what we are going to do, they understand our position. wounded in krasnohorivka, a man threw a grenade in the direction of the seller, the donetsk regional prosecutor's office said that there was a conflict between a street seller of dairy products and a local resident near the store the latter accused t

of the armed forces of the armed forces. we congratulate you and mr. mykola. good morning, let's start by discussing the latest reports of the american institute for the study of warreported to quote the leading russian regular troops to the front line under bakhmut delayed the culmination of the wagner group's offensive, so the fighting for the city continues the offensive of the wagner group reached its climax, but the russian command transferred a sufficient number of troops to thus prevent the general climax of the offensive on bakhmut, which is still ongoing, the commander of the ukrainian unit operating in bakhmut, denys yaroslavskyi, confirmed that highly qualified russian regular troops are now reinforcing the assault units of the private military campaign wagner . well, american analysts also do not predict the imminent seizure of bakhmut by russian troops, although the ukrainian command may decide to retreat to avoid significant losses what do you think about the prospect of the ukrainian military leaving bahmut? is this possible? is this well, will this lead to any further offensive of the russian forces, the prospect of bahmut in these hands. he will r

for your work and welcome to colleagues night broadcast my name is dmytro chistyakov and we start with the main thing that on the front, according to the information of the institute for the study of warthe russians are planning to carry out a decisive offensive operation on in donbas, in february or march, for this reason, the occupiers are trying to disperse ukrainian forces in the northeastern directions , in particular, on the svatov crime line. there , the enemy is unsuccessfully trying to restore lost positions, as before fierce battles are being fought on the bakhmut bridgehead, the enemy does not stop breaking through our defenses and surround the city from the north to the south in these areas the zaherbniks concentrated a large number of manpower , but the ukrainian defenders give them a decent rebuff and successfully repulse enemy attacks, the enemy is actively developing in certain directions is preparing for the offensive, regardless of heavy losses , continues to attempt offensive actions in the limansk , bakhmut , avdiyiv , and novopavlov areas. the kremlin dictator gave the order to his troops to completely capture the territories of donetsk and luhansk regions by the

remind you on the air of the telethon that the advice of the head of the president's office, mykhailo podolyak, as well as the opinions and experts of the american institute for the study of war activity of the occupiers along the matchmaking-crime line has noticeably increased over the past week, along with this , american analysts doubt that the russian offensive will be successful, noting that another russian failure at the front may open a window of opportunity for ukrainian troops to carry out a counter-offensive. how russia was preparing for a new offensive in ukraine and what to expect together with experts , daria analyzed. in february , the russians are preparing, we still expect statements in february that russia is preparing for a new offensive, appearing during the last few months, in particular, in december minister of defense oleksiy reznikov in an interview with zagardian suggested that the enemy will start a new wave of offensive in february during a press conference a few days ago, he confirmed the assumption after the defeat in the kherson direction on september 21 , russian president putin announced a partial mobilization , they planned to call up 300,000 p

forget what you said that they have a lot of people and they will be able to afford to do what for a long time the analysts of the institute for the study of wared states of america came to the conclusion that russia could not prepare the mobilized properly in particular, those who are fighting near bakhmut. but in general, in donbas, they are talking about the fact that they are abandoning forces and reserves that are not quite ready for military operations, etc. this is the limit where the ukrainian army must take into account the fact that most of these people are not sufficiently prepared on the one hand, and on the other on the other hand, do not lose the real assessment of the situation when these troops and the number of combatants are much more and they can cause really big losses in the ukrainian army when we are talking about a large number of mobilized and we are talking about the ukrainian army we must not forget that well, we often talk about how we have a regular army , and the russians are mobilized, and due to this we have an advantage . military

for two words let's go. say thank you, thank you. everything go, thank you fence. he then saved my life, i can’t, i already have a headache from you. experts from the american institute for the study of warhat russia had seized the initiative in the war zone , and in kiev itself in some of the western ones. the media is now seriously discussing. can the events in ukraine go according to the korean scenario, does this mean that the west has already abandoned the idea of ​​​​fighting to the bitter end , let's try to figure it out right now. good evening. my name is vadim tatyanov. i am anna today is saturday february 11 in most cities where we are now watching the exact time at 18:00 57 minutes, and we start the defense reeling chairs corruption and failure at the front. for which zelensky wanted, but never lost, to dismiss the head of the military department. turkish fault why did no one believe the predictions, but quick and destructive tremors, is the earth's core to blame for everything, which, as scientists say, has stopped and will it really shake now even where no one expects an earthquake after a downed chinese balloon. biden's hopes to improve relations with beijing collapsed but

the trajectory of the war. let's bring in retired four-star general jack keane. he's chairman of the institute for the studywar and a fox news senior strategic analyst. general keane, welcome. so let's, we've got a year into the war. what lessons have we learned, and what to do they tell us about what comes next? >> well, certainly we all welcome success that ukraine has had, and i think the center of gravity for that success has been the iron will of its soldiers and its people. and certainly the u.s.-led western coalition has been providing all the arms and ammunitions. but also while that is commendable in terms of the support provided, we have actually handcuffed the success of the ukrainian forces because we slow-rolled so much of weapons that they needed. we sent them in their piecemeal, and they arrived mainly after the fact. as an example, the ukrainians began an offensive in july after russia's offensive had talled in thalled in the east. and they wanted to take advantage of that. and they had some success. the russians retreated south of kharkiv, and they were able to take kherson city, the only r

is a big pradima a-a prodigm of relations well, what is the second army, where did it come from, the second army of the world, and there is some institute for the study of warrently rating the ukrainian army, by the way rose by seven positions, let's go up to 15, and everyone remained in second place here, this is just a statistic here, it seems to me, it seems to me, that's what the second army of the world looks like to me, i talked to my brothers who , uh, all their lives, ah, military personnel who have experience and practical and theoretical and generally international experience, they say, well, 2-3 sundays, and well, if well, what do they say? we are nasty there, and we are fighting for two or three months. russian america launched an atomic bomb. america on russia. such stupid jokes. it's been two or three weeks and we don't have that great power. these are not my words, because i am giving you the words of a person who is competent in this matter . they are just terrorists. they are terrorists, of whom there are many. let's say so they have some kind of advantage, this is what the guys told me now. i say that they do not have such a thing, that th

no signs of the creation of a russian strike group on the other side of the border in sumy oblast, will it not appear tomorrow ? we know that the analysts of the institute for the study of war wrote in their recent report that these are all the conversations and in general the signs that we see of an invasion of the northeast of ukraine, that is, in the chernihiv region of the sumy region, that this is probably an effort the russians disperse the efforts of the ukrainian military so that they keep some part of the combat-ready forces here to repel the aggressor, they could not transfer these reinforcements to the donbass, this is all that is objectively known regarding the intensity of shelling of the border communities of our region, for example, the intensity of this fell significantly if in the summer we had about 200 shots from various types of weapons per day and this was every day on a bad day the russians could pour 150 shells on some one village there are shellings, but somewhere there once a week, once every 10 days, here we are already in the space of assumptions, but we can assume that they, like the ukrainian military, are already experiencing a shortage of ammu

coming up friday morning, the cato adjuster -- institute talks about the revenue peaks of the federal budget process. then the russia fellow at the institute for the study of war. >> watch "washington journal" live on c-span or c-span now, our mobile app. >> join the discussion with your phone calls, facebook comments, text messages, and tweets. >> fridays c-span rings you afterwords from book tv. this week, we take up look at the immigration issues at the southern border of the united states. watch afterwords friday on c-span. >> listening to programs for c-span radio app just got easier. listen to washington journal daily. listen to c-span any time. just tell your smart speaker to play c-span radio. >> c-span is your unfiltered view of government, funded by these television companies and more, including sparklight. the greatest town on earth is the place you call home. as sparklight, it is our home too. sparklight is working to keep you connected. sparklight supports c-span as a public service, along with these other television providers, giving you a front row seat to democracy.

for russia, they came up with what they say is the institute for the study of war british intelligencele interesting intelligence in britain what kind of intelligence it refers to, our data says, based on official statements by the ukrainian authorities, what kind of intelligence they say the russian offensive has already failed there at the front , and then suddenly declare that russia turns out to be concentrating aviation to launch its big offensive. so you decide whether they have an interesting formula for china. they all want to say that china has surrendered russia. well, as if there is no reason, they came up with an interesting wording. china is not something to support russia, it rather does not help ukraine like this for us. uh, they , uh, also developed such a concept, on the one hand, that everything is already belarus, it is not independent. everything there already lukashenko does not decide anything. this is what the president needs to know just to understand that this is not the case at all on the other side. here, belarus all the time wants to somehow deceive russia,

also in the interests of america . a possible attack on russia may take place in luhansk region in the next six months , such forecasts were voiced at the american institute for the study of war, the institute's expert george baros told according to analysts, russia does not have enough combat capabilities for a large offensive simultaneously in several directions, so it is forced to determine priority areas, according to our assessment , the russians are preparing the conditions for an offensive in donbas , more unbelievably in the luhansk region, we know this because the russians are now deploying groups that previously trained in belarus, for example of the second motorized rifle guards division is being returned back to russia and back to ukraine in the luhansk region. we also know that the russians are placing only of their best units the 144th motorized rifle division is operating there and also some airborne forces we also think it would make sense for the russians to try to attack in that area we predict that will most likely happen over the next six months this is our current prediction i know several people have reported that it could happen in the next two or three

of the heroic resistance of the ukrainian people to the russian occupiers. russian troops have launched an offensive in luhansk region, the american institute for the study of war reports. the morning of the war began with battles on the northern flank. meanwhile, president zelenskyi is in brussels, where he has already spoken before the european parliament. we know that yesterday he visited london and paris, where he had meetings with the heads of states great britain, france and germany , meanwhile, the russian army continues to lose manpower and equipment in ukraine. as of the morning of february 9, russia has already lost 135,000 people in ukraine in the last day alone. the forces of ukraine destroyed 910 orks at the beginning of the great war, but the russians already have 3255 tanks, 6468 armored fighting vehicles, 2244 artillery systems, 463 multiple-launch rocket systems , 232 air defense systems, 295 aircraft, 285 helicopters, 5121 units of automotive equipment, 18 boats , boats, 796 cruise missiles, 1967 drones, and 211 special units. techniques zelensky conquers europe holds talks with the heads of european countries and with members of the european

for this, russia is redeploying additional assault groups and weapons to the east of ukraine, our intelligence reports that the analyst of the institute for the study of war did not find any evidence that the occupiers have restored sufficient combat power, so noted putin has again overestimated the capabilities of his military and most likely the offensive will end prematurely with the spring rains this week , the russian occupiers threw all their forces into the breakthrough of ukrainian defense and the surrounding area, the deputy minister of defense of ukraine, hanna malyar, informed about this. according to her, the russians launched a powerful offensive in the lyman direction, thanks to the resilience of our soldiers, the invaders did not achieve success . we are on the buried igor we wish him health congratulations if we talk and try to analyze the following actions of the enemy until the end of the month let's say this is it possible in the perspective of two months in your opinion will the enemy concentrate their attention only on donbas and will they be able to achieve the plans reported by ukrainian intelligence , namely to seize donetsk and lu

from the point of view of symbolism, it is illogical from the point of view of the military, because they are not ready yet resources, but they do it, and the american institute for the study of wars with the assessment that the russian military command may be in a hurry to launch a large-scale offensive operation with the capture of the donetsk region in unrealistic terms and probably with insufficient combat power . yacheslav shapovalov and director of the procurement department bohdan khmelnytskyi, who were responsible for this area, lost their positions and received suspicion oleksandr liev, the head of the department of military and technical policy, was also dismissed for illegal actions, and the chair was shaken under the minister of defense, but the main interlocutor in rammstein and for now they decided not to change him. in february, the ninth meeting of the contact group will take place, at which ukraine expects to receive the aviation necessary for a counteroffensive . considering it more correct that certain comments should also come from the president's office, the question is to punish the guilty , but also to make it impossible for this shadow, shall we say , the

the disintegration of russia possible, let's discuss the person, come on , russia is unlikely to be able to capture bakhmut by february 24, this is what the analysts of the american institute for the study of war believe. earlier, the secretary of the national security and defense council of ukraine, oleksiy danilov, said that the russian troops intend to capture bakhmut by february 24. the battle for the city has actually been going on for 6 months, but in the last week, the russian forces went to an active offensive on bakhmut, and in addition to units of the regular army of the russian federation, fighters of the private military company wagner are also trying to seize the ukrainian city , its leader yevgeny prigozhin recently complained about the lack of shells, but this time much more politely than his charges allowed themselves before, among other things, prigozhin also voiced his forecast when in his opinion, the russian forces will be able to surround bakhmut when it will be possible to surround bakhmut with your lands . хочу загадывать очень сложно всё jealous of how they will be active, they are now getting new video weapons and if the russian troops do not succeed on the ground by t

can do powerful counteroffensive actions somewhere in april in the months of april and may they said that the institute for the study of warast year they said about it, er, mr. bohdana said that we conducted our intelligence , many people said about it that the window of opportunity opened at this time because, first, the game will dry up a little, and it will be possible to er, move faster through by the way - it's like, uh, we'll be able to accumulate a certain amount of heavy artillery equipment and especially cartridges for ourselves , an artillery display somewhere, right at this time, talk about the fact that he issued some kind of military leadership. well, here you know military topics no. we have only a few directions where we can take counter-offensive actions . this is in the north in the kharkiv region - this is donbas in the area of ​​er-e bakhmut, where there are new battles in the south . of course , this is er in order to liberate crimea. treason is the same as saying that or that someone betrayed our secret plan. well, we have a plan to liberate ukraine . if we say that we want to expel the enemy from our

of course try do they have the strength or not ? well, i read the recent release of the institute for the study of war, there are different analytics,y that it looks like it is not there, but you know us. to be honest, i am skeptical about such things. they already started telling us somewhere in principle in may and june that they are running out of shells, you understand. and let's put it this way, i didn't feel it on my neck because in our country artillery was falling and falling just like we are told that rockets are running out. but to be honest, i i think that it is unlikely that anyone will fail to tell, for example, there in the dnipro near that destroyed house that they are already running out, that the russians have one less missile left , so there is no need to count these things and expect that the war will end because the russians have something cholera won't end there, they don't want to, so i emphasize once again that they have such capabilities, but to analyze such possible tactical actions that the russians can take in one direction or another, of course, you need to have more intelligence information about changin

different stories right now live on the central television of the event that is being discussed and the people that the experts of the american institute for the study of warssia seized the initiative in the war zone, while in kiev itself in some western ones. the media is now seriously discussing. can events in ukraine go according to the korean scenario, then is it that in the west they have already abandoned the idea of ​​​​fighting to the bitter end, let's try to figure it out right now. good evening. my name is vadim tatyanov. i am anna today saturday february 11 in most cities where we are now watching the exact time of 18 hours 57 minutes, and we are starting. under the ukrainian minister of defense, the chair was shaken by corruption and failures at the front. for which zelensky wanted, but did not dare to dismiss the head of the military department. turkish fault why did no one believe the predictions, but fast and destructive tremors, is the earth's core to blame for everything, which, as scientists say, has stopped and will it really shake now even where no one expects an earthquake after a downed chinese balloon. biden's hopes to improve relati

the founder of the company, yevhen prihozhyn, without explaining the reasons, announced that the recruitment of prisoners had been completely stopped, although after this report, the analysts of the institute for the study of warport that as soon as everything wagner will continue to recruit people in prisons, although he will do it in much smaller volumes, to date he has managed to get thousands of prisoners, but we are now observing that the flow of those who want to him has stopped, this is due to extrajudicial executions and the fact that this did not happen to the ministry of defense and already this week they started. i don't know how to use the verb or say they are recruiting or hiring or calling . first party out of 56 prisoners, she went with the ministry of defense from the zone in the kemerovo region. the ministry of defense. i don't know what language it offers . we haven't figured it out yet. it was simply taken away to serve. and all of them promise one firm participation in the hostilities of freedom in six months. freedom and pardon, and they also promise to return and take people already involuntarily. in june-july, almost two and a half thousand prisoners signed a contract. six months later,

and now the attention of the question is that they will be able to steal enough engines and components for such a number of the civilized world, well, simply. even the institute for the study of war already notes that sanctions measures are ineffective, that is why russia and iran managed to seize components for production the drones will be glued ivan kyrychevskyi is now open so we can hear everything okay there even if electronics really are electronics - this is such a thing that, unfortunately, rotates very actively and is there is confirmed data that the russian federation itself imports containing as many as two million chips, despite the fact that there are roughly 200 per rocket , and where will they take a hand-held one if the message is that they are austrian rotex nu-eyes. these are the ones used in the mines of the russian icebreakers the chair is literally the shaft of the publication of the distance regime in the western prize , which cases do you know there, literally? they also sorted it all out for that reason, not because it’s easy to criticize. and also precisely in order not to overcome one such empty thing that so many sanctions were introduced against the ru

statements yevhen prigozhin will continue to recruit "prisoners to the wagner pvc for the war in ukraine, this is what the institute for the study of war believes, according to analysts , recruitment from prisons will continue. although in at the same time, prigozhin continues to fuel the conflict in the ministry of defense of the russian federation, the institute refers to the statements of russian bloggers that shoigu has lost trust in the russian people and that putin can correct the situation only by releasing him . meanwhile , a group of ukrainian servicemen arrived in belgium as part of a training mission of the european union they will master underwater drones , the minister of defense of the country reported to the people . in november, she announced that her country would send to ukraine the most modern equipment, in particular underwater drones, and at the end of january, the belgian government approved the largest package of military aid for kyiv in the amount of 92 million euros. also, as part of the eu mission to provide military aid to ukraine , our allies plan to prepare up to 30,000 ukrainian military personnel. pho

institute for the study of war of the united states of america says that lukashenko is flying to chinato agree on the supply of weapons to russia and, in violation of the sanctions, to hide the violation of the sanctions by china during the supply of heavy weapons to russia, in general , lethal weapons we remember how 10 days ago anthony blinken spoke about the fact that there is information from the american special services about the intention of china to supply russia with weapons, lethal weapons , if this happens, if the world community witnesses the fact that china began to help to the russian federation with lethal weapons, what does this mean for the world and what does it mean for ukraine? well, not only not even with lethal weapons , even if now china will send what is called non-lethal means of waging war to the aggressor, and i emphasize this basic difference. that is, you can help the victim, you can help according to the statute the un is a country that has suffered aggression, but to help the aggressor, as this wound is doing, as belarus is doing, is also to participate i

clear to come, for what reason all the positions of the second line of defense are a little higher well, according to the information of analytics at the american institute for the study of warrussia is preparing for an offensive and is strengthening the army in donbas, how do you feel it directly on the spot? well, we already quoted the former general kanato razmusena, who says that putin feels that the window of opportunity is closing, that is, until the moment when a new package of western weapons is delivered to the russians, there is a lot of time left , they are trying to use this time as much as possible, do you feel it, how long can this window of opportunity for the russians last , please, do you know? well, 60 tanks how many 73 tanks, well, they won't break the war for everyone but the beginning is good, remember how it was with the howitzers, which they also didn't want to give us and after we learned how to use them, it stopped happening altogether with some kind of announcement, they just pass them on and that's it . i think the situation will be the same, so we will fight with more modern weapons , or mix them in the same way, using both old and new equipment,

the visit includes a meeting between lukashenka and chinese leader xi jinping, they will sign a large package of documents on the development of relations in key areas in to the american institute for the study of war, at the same time it is assumed that the purpose of such a meeting is to help russia and china avoid sanctions, recently there was information that china is considering the possibility of providing lethal aid to russia in the war against ukraine, not while lukashenko arrived on a state visit to china, the state secretary us anthony blinken met with the foreign ministers of five central asian countries in kazakhstan, she arrived in the evening in the capital of uzbekistan, tashkent, this diplomatic tour is aimed at strengthening relations of the united states with that region, as the bbc correspondent reported in the state debate, this is the first such high-ranking visit to that region for the current us administration , according to american officials , the united states seeks to show the leaders of the central asian region the advantages of cooperation with them , a key topic of negotiations is also the position of china , which according to reports plans to provide military support

attempt to attack a coal mine in the donetsk region indicates poor systematic training of the mobilized russians, according to analysts at the institute for the study of warize the military leadership and claim that the commanders use extremely unfavorable battle tactics, this indicates that the russian army consists of poorly trained of the mobilized russians, there are important agreements and good signals regarding the supply of long-range missiles, tanks and combat aircraft to ukraine in the future, president volodymyr zelenskyi said during negotiations this week , he spoke with western partners about how to strengthen our defense forces. there are very important agreements, but in ukraine on this there is still work to be done london paris brussels everywhere i spoke these days about how to strengthen our soldiers there are very important agreements and we received good signals it concerns how long-range missiles and tanks yes and the next level of our combat aviation cooperation, another 60 rescuers and 16 units of special equipment went to the turkish province of hatay , the second group of ukrainian security forces arrived there by plane on februa

the zaporizhzhia region, we will ask for attention to fetrov, who should appear when he joins, we will ask that there is no. so orient yourself please, for now, please quote the institute for the study of ward we constantly turn to information from experts who work at this institute. they assume that the russians may launch another series of missile strikes on civilian objects throughout ukraine, since real military success continues to elude the occupiers, that is not their successes on the battlefield and they compensate by shelling civilian objects and simply ukrainian cities and settlements according to the institute of war studies, the president of russia has met with the representative of of children's rights in russia maria lavova belova confirmed the day before that the kremlin is directly involved in facilitating the deportation and adoption of ukrainian children into russian families, well, in the russian family there are now they are establishing acts there, these children are like our children, ukrainian children whom they stole in essence and they took them out, that is, they deported them to their territory, and now they are trying to integrate them into their society in thei