now, joining us from new orleans, best selling author ellis henican.good morning. >> good morning, gigi. >> well, could we be looking at a four-way tie among the republicans for second place? >> yes. i mean, this was the day that was supposed to sort everything out and help us figure it out, especially in the more moderate establishment lane who is on top. 12 hours from now, we may be exactly where we are now. so it's anybody's game. >> if trump doesn't win, we're looking at him now, if he doesn't win in new hampshire is he finished? >> he's toast, yes. i mean, after the disappointing results in iowa, he's so far ahead in the polls in new hampshire. if he can't turn those people out to vote, you know, it's one thing to say you like donald, it's another thing to say you'll vote for him. if he doesn't win tonight, i don't see how he recovers. >> the republicans are having a little trouble consolidating as you mentioned. who do you expect to see dropping out by the end of the week? >> i'll be lying to you if i knew. i'm not sure anybody is going to drop o

." >>> political analyst and best selling author ellis henican is here. >> good morning.-- they're having too much fun. it might happen. >> you never know, well, we'll know soon enough. let's start with the shakeup with ted cruz firing rick tyler. >> they're clearly in a mess. marco rubio getting the exclamation points from the old jeb campaign and cruz has had to spend the last couple of days why he's not a cheat and a liar. that's not where you want to be when going into the nevada caucuses. >> okay. well, let's talk about nevada because the race donald trump obviously he's in the lead. and marco rubio and ted cruz they're pretty much neck and neck. what are we supposed to expect in nevada? >> be careful on polling because nobody how it will turn out. will people turn out and will they hang around? you have to watch that very closely. i would say if marco rubio ends up in second again, you know they'll give another big victory speech. they don't have to win to give victory speeches but that will put cruz in a real squeeze right now. it will be a lot more than rick tyler

." >>> political analyst and best selling author ellis henican is here. >> watch out for the roofs. >'re talking about. >> everybody flying by. so ellis, we had some interesting things today. we have the political chess game being played now. >> indeed. >> a nominee for supreme court judge. but there's an article that that ari melber wrote and it talks about the 17-day window that president obama might have at the end of the ten year. >> that's right. ari is focusing on the calendar in november. if democrats regain the senate, there would be a 17 day window, and the president can jam somebody through. but we have an awful lot of fighting before january. >> a long way to go before that. very true. there's another way, which is the usual route and we have president obama making the nominee. >> nothing usual this year by the way. >> exactly. it's the way that the candidates are going, so goes this. there's opposition from the republicans and do you think he'll announce a nomination? >> he's going to put up a nominee. the constitution requires it. he'll put the ball back in the senate's c

. >>> joining me now is best selling author ellis henican. have you slept at all? a little bit. >> they were in a dead heat and then nbc news declared that apparently hillary clinton had won this thing. >> yes. yes. >> so the question is is it a big surprise that she won or a bigger surprise it was that close all night long? >> the latter. i mean, listen, bernie was so far back not so long ago. he pulled up within a hair's breath of the woman who supposedly had it all locked up. yeah, i think the senator looked very tired in the tape, didn't he? but you know what, he's got something to smile about this morning. >> does it in fact matter that she's technically declared the winner here. >> listen, it's better to win. you'd rather explain it from the winning side, but no, he's got a lot of momentum. what happens in iowa doesn't stay in iowa. >> that's right. >> you know what, it affects new hampshire and nevada and south carolina and on and on. yeah, bernie's got a pretty good story to tell this morning. >> and will it affect going into new hampshire? does that give h

let's bring in political analyst and best selling author, ellis henican. >> please applaud. le to clap for you, sometimes you have to ask. >> he has a good nature about it. >> yes. >> ellis, what is happening in new hampshire? is it going to be completely different from iowa? does iowa have any spillover into what happens in iowa? >> what happens in iowa does not stay in iowa. yes, the evangelicals had such a role in iowa and that's not a big deal in new hampshire. new england attitudes are different and donald trump is way ahead in the holds. >> really the evangelicals will not give ted cruz some boost there. they have the lowest church attendance there. >> people seem religious to me when i was up there. the nice, pretty white churches, you know? >> trump accusing cruz of voter fraud. is there anything to this? >> dirty tricks i would say, but not voter fraud. right? i mean, clearly calling around and telling your supporters that the other guy is dropping out of the race -- >> that was ben carson that he was saying was dropping out. >> right. i mean that certainly falls in

right beside me is political analyst and best selling author ellis henican. good morning to you.ld trump said winning six times in 30 seconds in his speech last night. winning, winning, winning. >> he won. he won. >> is this thing done? >> no. no no no no. >> i mean, come on. >> what would we do if it were done, let's be honest? >> if he takes super tuesday and we're looking at last night in nevada, hispanics, won there. evangelicals, across the board and the numbers that steve broke down. actually the other ones, when they'll start to chip off? kasich, carson. you said they're not going to. >> i don't think individually they have an incentive to quit. every one of them said, hey, you other guys ought to quit, get out of the race, it will be easier for me. but honestly, as long as they can squeeze two nickals together, i don't think they'll quit. what would ben carson do, go home and watch "ellen" reruns? >> if you saw rubio who has the momentum and he got the endorsements of the establishment here, he's looking ahead and saying, come on if john kasich drops out, let's consolidat