mike garcia beat democrat christy smith here democrats have been elected to congress for the past 20 years in the last presidential race. biden. won by a margin of 30%, but in 2 years the mood of the voters has changed radically the balance of power in washington has also changed; the majority of republicans in the house of representatives are big problems for the entire white house, but for its owner. they already started a few hours ago in congress announced an investigation against the bidens. fucking talk. to the american people in 2019, when he was elected president, that he had no conversations with his family and about business. it was a lie, witnesses call biden the main guy who was involved in the business took calls and held meetings speech about the national us security is compromised by foreign governments. we have established that the bidens have business connections in 50 countries around the world. he did business with america's main enemies including china's national security. america's enemies of the wording say that the republicans are set to impeachment will avenge

congressman mike garcia. you can applaud that. you know mike's background?st generation american, grew up in southern california, went to the naval academy, flies f-18's off aircraft carriers to defend us in the middle east. he ran, he keeps the seat, we have redistricting. they draw to make it more democratic. like no republican can win it. how ironic is that, in l.a. county, a seat that biden won by 13, mike is 218. [applause] so let's talk about why we were successful. i want to talk a little bit about that, but i heard tim scott talking about it. i heard the nation talk about it. one-party rule into euros, highest inflation in 41 years. what do you understand what that does to a society? the question everybody should be asked, would you give up one month salary, would you give one month of salary? 95% of america cannot afford to do that, but the democrats took it from them. one month of your salary is 8.3% of your overall year, with inflation, 8.3%. so they left you with 12 months of bills but only 11 months to pay for it, so you struggled. then the poli

congressman mike garcia. you can applaud that. you know mike's background?irst generation american, grew up in southern california, went to the naval academy, flies f-18's off aircraft carriers to defend us in the middle east. he ran, he keeps the seat, we have redistricting. they draw to make it more democratic. like no republican can win it. how ironic is that, in l.a. county, a seat that biden won by 13, mike is 218. [applause] so let's talk about why we were successful. i want to talk a little bit about that, but i heard tim scott talking about it. i heard the nation talk about it. one-party rule into euros, highest inflation in 41 years. what do you understand what that does to a society? the question everybody should be asked, would you give up one month salary, would you give one month of salary? 95% of america cannot afford to do that, but the democrats took it from them. one month of your salary is 8.3% of your overall year, with inflation, 8.3%. so they left you with 12 months of bills but only 11 months to pay for it, so you struggled. then the po

the margin was 333 votes for mike garcia, the second closest house race in the country.ts had big hopes for this race. christy smith talked about this when she basically conceded the race online. she said democrats weren't spending money. l.a. is an expensive media market. so she thinks that hindered her here. but garcia doing much better against her this time around than two years ago. so democrats just lost that last gasp they had over the weekend. and big picture i would just say, if you zoom out and look at the big picture of the house map here and say that there is -- let's see we land at 221, right? 221 for the republicans and 214 for the democrats. we're not sure that is where it will end, plus or minus. i think one thing that will haunt democrats for at least the next two years, possibly longer, is new york state. because in new york state, democrats had full control of the government, they drew up map that is were designed to maximize the number of democratic seats. those maps got thrown out by a judge, replaced. and under the new scheme, it wasn't just the maps

. >> steve: she gave up the gavel anyway because the republicans took power yesterday when mike garciabecame the 218th republican. >> brian: but not until january does sheepishly give it up. >> ainsley: january 3rd. >> steve: she's going to keep it to january. >> ainsley: she could get up there and say, i represented my district for 35 years, i've been in leadership of the democratic party for 19 years. my husband was just attacked. this is a great time for us to take a step back, retire, go back to italy, just enjoy our lives together. but it is so addicting when you're in these powerful positions like this, when you make so many decisions, and she has the power to fund raise. >> steve: she's the best fund-raiser on the democratic side. >> brian: but isn't every speaker the best fund-raiser? paul ryan was the best fund-raiser for a while. if you have that power, that's it, the speaker showing up. for me, if you care about your party, and she seems to, you want to make sure the next generation of leaders had their chance. not james clyburn, but hakeem jeffries, people who have shown so

mike garcia beat democrat christy smith here democrats have been elected to congress for the past 20rs in the last presidential race. biden. he won by a margin of 30%, but in 2 years the mood of the voters changed radically and the balance of power in washington, the majority of republicans in the house of representatives, is a big problem for the entire white house, but for its owner. they already started a few hours ago. biden investigation announced in congress joe biden spoke to the american people in 2019 year, when he was elected to the post of president, that he did not have any conversations with his family and about business. it was a lie that witnesses call biden the main guy who was involved in the business took calls and held meetings about us national security he was compromised by foreign governments. we have established that the bidens have business connections in 50 countries around the world. he did business with america's main enemies including china's national security. enemies of america wording say republicans determined to be impeached will avenge these two, whi

mike garcia held off christy smith in the 27th district, which includes parts of l.a. and san bernardino coun. ofcourse, this all means a loss of power for nancy pelosi. republicans have tapped her california colleague, kevin mccarthy, to take over as speaker. president biden sent out a statement congratulating mccarthy, and says he's ready to work with house republicans to deliver results. >>> well santa clara county health officials say we could be in for a very rough flu season. that's based on levels of influenza that they're finding in the wastewater. so they're releasing a new tool to track respiratory virus levels to help people follow the flu and hopefully avoid it. >> this tool tracks levels of the flu in the wastewater to tell us about spread happening right now in santa clara county. the tool can be accessed by going to sccphd.org/fludata. >> so the county says this is the first winter that an elevated threat of rsv has been piled on top of the increased flu and covid numbers. and doctors are calling it a tridemmic. tridemic. covid cases are creeping up in t

republic, equestrian center has been left in ashes following threats or t senior correspondent mike garcia, tells the story. a warning for you, you might find the following image is disturbing. this was once the locally renowned virtue, so horse riding center, loved by children and adults alike whom to a dozen beautiful horses. oh leg worked here. he is 84 and has spent most of his life trading horses. he was here when it all ended. he watched them burn alive. oh no. there was a man, there was her full. she was born on the 25th of march. such a wonderful little thing, so friendly, they launched incendiary mine. it blew up in the air, and set fire to the entire stables. there was no way to help, just 2 men remained in the village of me till kid a oh leg, and another elda, last of, they shall both ends of the stable, and then they launched incendiary mines. if it weren't for them, it wouldn't have burned that they could only listen to the cries of burning animals in a conflict that is filled with tragedy and suffering. details from the truth of its ha sometimes lost mooney land. what happene

the seat that handed them the majority was california's 27, with the republican incumbent mike garciashold. although our partners cbs project the republicans majority the republicans' majority will be five at most. but, a win is a win. and that means there will be a new speaker — most likely kevin mccarthy. it also marks the end of an era. with the passing of the gavel, democrat nancy pelosi — now 82 — today announced she is standing down. my friends, no matter what title you all have _ my friends, no matter what title you all have bestowed upon me — speaker, leader. _ all have bestowed upon me — speaker, leader. whip— all have bestowed upon me — speaker, leader. whip - — all have bestowed upon me — speaker, leader, whip — there is no greater official_ leader, whip — there is no greater official honour for me than to speak for the _ official honour for me than to speak for the people of san francisco. this i_ for the people of san francisco. this i will— for the people of san francisco. this i will continue to do as a member_ this i will continue to do as a member of the house, speaki

seat that handed them the majority was california's district 27, with the republican incumbent mike garciaers, cbs, project the republican�*s majority will be five seats at most. and that means there will be a new speaker — most likely kevin mccarthy. it also marks the end of an era, with the passing of the gavel. democrat nancy pelosi — now 82 — announced she is standing down. my friends, no matter what title you all, my colleagues, have bestowed upon me — speaker, leader, whip — there is no greater official honour for me than to stand on this floor and to speak for the people of san francisco. this i will continue to do as a member of the house, speaking for the people of san francisco, serving the great state of california and defending our constitution. and with great confidence in our caucus, i will not seek reelection to democratic leadership in the next congress. for me, the hour's come for a new generation to lead the democratic caucus that i so deeply respect, and i'm grateful that so many are ready and willing to shoulder this awesome responsibility. here's our north america corr

associated press called the 218 seat for republicans this evening, projecting california congressman mike garcia to win reelection. democrats held on to the u.s. senate. this all follows an election dominated by concerns over high inflation and influenced by the u.s. supreme court's overturning of the constitutional right to an abortion last summer. well, there is still one senate race in georgia left to be decided. there will be a december 6 runoff between incumbent democrat phil one, a and gop challenger herschel walker. this race will determine how large the democratic senate majority will be. >> in a history making win. democrat karen bass will become the first woman mayor of the city of los angeles. the 69 year-old congresswoman, one 53% of the vote to businessman rick caruso is 47%. but 70% of the vote counted. she hadn't insurmountable lead of nearly 47,000 votes. bass was on president biden's short list. you might remember 4 vice president in winning. she overcame the big spending by the caruso campaign. more than 100 million dollars bash will not only be la is first woman, mayor also on

seat that handed them the majority was california's district 27, with the republican incumbent mike garcia republicans majority will be five seats at most. and that means there will be a new speaker — most likely kevin mccarthy. it also marks the end of an era, with the democrat nancy pelosi today announced she's standing down. my friends, no matter what title you all, my colleagues, have bestowed upon me — speaker, leader, whip — there is no greater official honour for me than to stand on this floor and to speak for the people of san francisco. this i will continue to do as a member of the house, speaking for the people of san francisco, serving the great state of california and defending our constitution. and with great confidence in our caucus, i will not seek reelection to democratic leadership in the next congress. for me, the hour's come for a new generation to lead the democratic caucus that i so deeply respect, and i'm grateful that so many are ready and willing to shoulder this awesome responsibility. before we go, re—churches say a new species of turtle recently discovered in nor

indeed speaker and the first thing he'll do is repeal the 87,000 new irs agents and a quick win on mike garcia's win and democrats had a double digit registration advantage in the area. biden won by 12 points but their candidate lost. stu: wow, 45, 50, that's a big difference there. most of los angeles. lauren: exactly. a lot of races we're waiting on in california are because of their early voting rules, it takes forever to count. stu: yes, it does. former house speaker paul ryan reveals who he think cans beat biden in 2024. who is it? lauren: anybody not named trump. he told fox news digital this "the evidence is crystal clear, trump is costing us elections and there's a great generation of capable conservatives who are more capable of winning the general election than donald trump. i think anybody not named trump can beat biden". stu: yeah, he had a big fight with trump. lauren: but there's a growing correspondent rhus of republicans -- chorus of republicans coming out and echoing similar concerns. stu: thank yous, lauren. the governor of florida ron desantis responding to questions about a g

republican mike garcia has a nine-point lead in california 27. kevin cal bert leads. michelle steele is up by 8, california 45. that's with 80% reporting. colorado, lauren boebert is holding on to a 1,000 vote lead. new york 22, the democrat would need to win 70% of the remaining handful of ballots in order to carry his seat. other outlets have already called this race for republican brandon williams. without a doubt, the state of new york has been a bright spot for republicans in the house as dave wasserman reported. you can't blame it all on bad redistricting. thanks in part to an incredible gubernatorial candidate, lee zeldin, he would have won his race if it wasn't for what i call accelerated migration. the northern liberal states, new york, new jersey, pennsylvania, midwestern states, you have wisconsin and indiana and michigan and illinois. they are fleeing these states in droves for warmer weather, lower taxes, a better lifestyle and last year 52% of michigan's migration was outbound. it was higher in new jersey. 53%. 58% in new york. it was a majority in penns

mike garcia remains ahead in california's 27th district. kevin kylie is ahead in california 3. young kim and michelle steele are closing in and katie porter is in a tight race in orange county. republicans need 218 seats. as you can see, we put it on the screen to win that house majority, which it appears they are headed towards. joining us now, newt gingrich. it's pretty remarkable developments that at dam laxalt is odds on favorite in nevada. we have a highway now for blake masters based on new numbers. we have more outstanding votes tonight. 400,000 of the 650 outstanding are day-of handed in ballots that blake masters have been winning 68% of those. that's an interesting story tonight. and then the run-off in georgia, a state you know well. your thoughts on all of it. newt gingrich. >> i think this is the wildest election of my entire career. >> sean: 1994 was a big night. >> it was. in 2014 when we won, reince priebus asked me to develop a review to figure out. i think ronna mcdaniel, the chair of the rnc ought to set up a similar review committee. apparently house republi

also in california, incumbent mike garcia, he's 13,000 votes ahead with 72% reporting, a win in eitherf these races where they are counting right now would give republicans control. i just want to show you what happens if things end where they are right now. everyone ahead right now wins. republicans security 221 seats, democrats would have 214, where does that rank in terms of the closeness? it's pretty close. this past congress, democrats had 222, republicans 213. this one could be even closer than that, kate. >> thank you, john. >>> so any minute senate republicans will be voting on who will be their leader. mitch mcconnell is facing a rare challenge from a fellow republican. jessica dean is on capitol hill for us with the latest. jessica, rick scott is making a go for it. what are you hearing? >> reporter: good morning. what we know is we just heard from mcconnell's spokesperson, they did fight back and mcconnell managed to win in the first round, and they are not delaying this vote. there had been a push for some senate republicans, including scott and others to delay this leaders

the party gained the term 18 seats needed to control the chamber with republican mike garcia winning reelection for california's 27th district. the gop has spent the past week brooding over its poor showing in the midterms with some blaming 2024 presidential contender donald trump for losses in key races. ftx and some of that celebrity backers are being sued by an investor who is asking to represent a class action. that includes all u.s. investors enrolled in the yield bearing crypto accounts. in complaint filed by a federal court in miami the suit alleges it targeted unsophisticated investors. tom brady and steph curry are named as defendants. the pboc says the risk of inflation is rising in china because of changes in overall demand. the central bank's quarterly monetary policy includes a promise to keep liquidity reasonably ample. the pboc has sought to maintain cash levels on the financial system while keeping policy interest rates unchanged. global news, 24 hours a day, on air and on quicktake by bloomberg, powered by more than 2700 journalists and analysts in over 120 countries

county were republican incumbent mike garcias against kristi smith.deling shows democrats can flip two seats, they have a good chance of winning the house. >> that's how important it would be as a signal as to where the national mood is. reporter: right now the national mood seems to be swinging in republicans favor. a sign of how critical democrats are for races, president biden will be in california tomorrow, campaigning for mike leven who is also at risk of losing his seat in san diego. larry: it is all hands on deck to make sure san francisco voters are safe on november 8. as our reporter tells us there is unprecedented measures being taken. >> we are taking every avenue we can to provide security and to make sure people feel secure during not just election day but during this election cycle. reporter: san francisco's top election official says the violent attack on speaker pelosi's husband is a game changer. >> what happened in san francisco concentrates everyone's attention. reporter: that includes capturing the attention of the fbi. >> we have

california 27, mike garcia, 45, michelle steele, california 3, kylie, and 22 -- and those range between 60 or 70% of the vote in to the last two, the 22nd and the 3rd, about 53% in. but i think that big a lead it's going to be hard to overturn for the democrats. then there are two races where they are separated from the democrat by 1 1/2% by 5. one up by 4,000 votes, 74% of the vote in. that's a steep hill for his opponent to climb and new york 12 with brandon williams, this one, he's up by 4,000 votes and literally virtually everything is in. i've talked to people in new york wonder why it has not been called because like dribs and drabs in some of his rural upstate new york district not counted, but 99% or better in. if they win those, they are 218, and then they have four races that are less than a point. one of them is arizona 6, i did some fundraisers for him, up by 1700 votes, half a percent, 89% of the vote is in. there are more votes out in the part of the district he won by 2 to 1 or 3 to 1 than the part of the district he lost 54-46. so i think he will hold on to win. and then

ahead by 10,000 votes with 60% n and there are races where there is republican incumbents, and mike garcia the incumbent there is leading by 13,000 votes, and 72% received here, and lauren boebert's race has not been called in colorado. it is r-plus eight or so, and she is leading by 1100 votes, but 9% could give the republicans a majority, and they were leading with every seat, it is the democrats with 214, and how does that come ware the close congresses? you can see that it was the democrats with 2214 and the republicans with 221, and so that is right in line with where with re. and so if we have that with a net loss, how does that compare to history, we would see what president biden is in the first term, the average loss of eight seat, and minus eight is a pretty good showing for a incumbent president, but enough to lose the house which is significant, jake. >> the fight for leadership today puts him to be longest serving senate leader in party history, but as manu tells us, only ten defection, and dissension within the senate conference remains. >> reporter: after trading blame for m

think about it the 218th seat that was called tonight was congressman mike garcia the former naval academy-18. and we win it, just came back i the count for california 13th and. to 900 votes. more seats of there possibly that you can win. and hold this government accountable. fight to make his energy independent, give appearance to saving their kids education and look at what the doj is doing. with the dhs is doing and other spread that's exactly what we'r going to do on day one in this house, we will repeal 87,000 ne irs agents. >> you would have the power to do that because you have the power of the purse. they are hurting because of inflation. you have to cut back on this wasteful washington spending. we have to make ourselves energ independent. let's make china dependent on our natural gas. lid secure our borders so the children are no longer being killed by every single day bright let's make sure we stop defending the police and start funding them. let's make sure parents have a parent's bill of rights to say in their kids education. let's make sure it is held accountable. they are go

democrat assemblyman rudy salas and district 27 in northern la county where republican incumbent mike garciarat. assemblywoman. christy smith. mitchell says, they're national modeling shows of democrats can flip these two seats, then they have a good chance of winning the house. that's how important that would be as a signal as to where the national mood is, please abc 7 news. now on election night, we'll be live streaming results as soon as the polls close for three hours straight from 8 to 11 pm. you can also watch that with our abc 7 bay area app on your smartphone or smart tv now here on tv. you can watch abc 7 news at 4 then beginning at five. we'll go live to abc network coverage of the national elections with live local cut-ins every 30 minutes then abc 7 news at 11 will have a full recap of all those local results. well first a bump then a bite and then a desperate rush to get back to the shore. that's how a woman describes her frightening experience with a shark at a san diego beach on friday reporter laura acevedo. spoke with that swimmer. just hours after her swim ended in a shark

executive what we would do and think about impact 218th see that was called senate was congressman mike garciae former naval academy f-18 pilot. this is los angeles clipper this is a seat that joe biden carried by 13 points. and we won it. and we still got more good news tonight. madera just came back and we count for the california 13th and john duarte had just gone up by 900 votes. we got about four more seats out there possibly that we can win. but the one thing i know in washington, we don't handicap us out in small, medium, and large-size. it is one size gravel. the ability to the subpoena and hold this government accountable, secure this border, fight to make energy independent could get the parents a say in their kids' education and actually looked with the doj is doing and that dhs is doing and others and that is exactly what we are going to dudes on day one in this house. we will repeal 87,000 new irs. >> sean: you would have to power to do that because you have the power of the purse? >> congressman mccarthy: that is exactly right and we will use the power of the purse. size of our d

democrats need to wipe out gop california members mike garcia, ken calvert or david valideo. he voted for impeachment. house republicans are still set to hold leadership electioned tomorrow. some conservatives are trying to undermine kevin mccarthy in his bid for speaker. >> commitments were to him that this was going to be a red wave. a lot of things happen when you put down the current candidate, kevin mccarthy. >> nancy pelosi, house speaker, is vague about her plans. some democrats are counting on her to stay. >> the bulls would still love to have michael jordan. i'd love to have nancy pelosi. >> democrats don't hold their own elections until november 30th. charles? >> charles: maybe the 1985 version of michael jordan. thanks. a lot of finger pointing in the wake of last week's election. to aishah hasnie on capitol hill with more. aishah? >> good afternoon to you, charles. yeah, that's right. a lots of finger pointing on capitol hill. republicans are not happy with the way tuesday went in. so we're seeing a lot of division over who is to blame and how this party moves for

mike garcia, the incumbent leads christy smith by a sizeable amount at this point 136789,000 votes, nearly 8 percentage points, 72% in. we're watching this closely as more votes come in. it's also up here in california's third congressional district. it's republican leaning, r plus 1. kevin kylie leads. 10,000, 60% in. either of these districts if they go in the next day or so, it would give the republicans the house. i'll keep pointing out laura boebert's race here. this is a herbally republican district. r plus 8 at this point. she's 1,000 votes in the lead. if we get the absentees and ove overseas ballots, this could put her over the top. you take everywhere where the republicans are ahead and the democrats are ahead, it would give the republicans 221 seats. how does it compare historically? it's tight. the last congress was 222-d, 213-r. you can see from 1999 to 2003 it was pretty close. but this is tight thchlt is a very tight margin for the republicans. it could change either way. one other thing forecast you're wondering how does this last race compare for the democrats and joe bide

controls the house after the california district 27 race was finally called for republican mike garcia california still has almost a half dozen racist still undecided and the common sense department is baffled as to why it's taking so long. for one, california in the wake of covid now mails a balance to every single registered voter, all 22 million of them. if those ballots are postmarked on or before election day they have to be accepted for up to seven days after the polls close, meaning up until late last night. the results don't officially have to be reported until december 8th -- it gets worse. some california counties only have one ballot counting machine, then there is the issue of ballot harvesting, something that is legal in california and illegal and the other 49 states. it's a law for those people who cannot make it to a polling place or drop box and are unable to walk to their own front door and dropped the ballot in the mailbox. in that case california allows anyone you don't know to pick up your ballot -- anyone, even a campaign worker. in fairness the law says they are n

mike garcia seat that biden wonh by 1is3 points.e we defeated the democratic congressional campaign committeethis is th race number one demot when it comes to running races but that is not happening 42 years. we 1 want another seat that bidn won by 14.yo werk won seats and no one thougt were possible from newhe york, u arizona, along the border from monica de laz, cruz, we have expanded this party exactly werd the goals yo tu wanted to do as well. we should make sure we are united as one as we move forward to achieve the goals we promised made a commitment to the american people.onic >> you're talking with monica this morning.i i know you're headed to the border on tuesday. that 18000 day estimate they are talking about once title 42 goea away is going to mean six and half million people entering this country illegally on aba siyearly basis. we've already seen 5 milliony enter illegally overseas toto tamerica can you do anything td send money to thlee border? you and be able to do anything to move this problem? a meyou been one of the leaders on this and educating the american r people what's

maria: republicans clinching control of the house as california's mike garcia wins the 27th district, congratulating the gop and vowing to work with new house speaker congressman kevin mccarthy. he needs to secure enough votes in january to officially take on that role but it is expected he will take the gavel from nancy pelosi. senator mitch mcconnell also securing his re-election as republican senate leader, fending off a challenge from rick scott. joining the conversation all morning long, batya angarsargent and mark tepper and bob nardelli. great to see everybody this morning. thank you so much for being here. batya, welcome. good to see you. what's your reaction, the republicans did clinch the majority now, we see we are likely going to see a change. >> yes. absolutely. to me, i'm looking at this from the perspective of, you know, there is a split in the gop that we're going to start seeing more and more of and a it's a split between the old pre-trump gop that was focused on free markets and a new pop t pop ulist that e focused on the american family and we'll see energy building

county were republican incumbent mike garcia is against democrat assemblywoman kristi smith.ys national modeling shows that democrats can flip these two seat they have a good chance of winning the house. >> that is how important that would be as a signal as to where the national mood is. >> right now the national mood does seem to be swimming in republicans favor. in a sign of how critical resources are for democrats president biden will be in california tomorrow campaigning for democratic congressman mike levin also at risk of losing his seat near san diego. >> it is all fascinating as we get down to the wire. polls show republicans may currently have the advantage at the last. is that you are seeing in california? >> broadly yes and that is why we are seeing democratic congress members like katie porter in such tight races. voters are focused on issues like the economy and inflation. here in california democrats do have some advantages. the fact that prop one which would enshrine abortion rights and to the state constitution, the fact that is on the ballot is seen as a moti

the 27th district here, mike garcia, the republican leading by nearly ten points. kristy smith all but conceded this race yesterday. ken calvert's lead has expanded by 1,400 votes or so this evening. new york is one, california 45 is two, california 27 is three, california 41 is four, arizona 1 could be five, arizona 6 could be -- i could have just given you the six seats there that would get the republicans to 218. if the republicans go 6 for 6 in the seats i just showed you and they're feeling good about their standing in all of them right now, that's 218. so the democrats need to top them, need to win one of those six i just showed you and then democrats would need more breaks because you would look at the 22nd district of california. this has been extremely slow to count here. but the democratic incumbent, this is one democrats would need to pick up. we got the race out in colorado. but boebert does have the lead right now. getting all of those races actually called, especially been the pace of the vote count in california may be a different story, may take a l

direction california 27 with republican mike garcia from toss-up to lean republican. california 47 from lean democrat to toss-up. colorado eight from toss-up to lean republican. connecticut five from lean democrat to toss-up. nevada free. new york 19 from toss-up to lean republican. north carolina 13 from toss-up to lean republican. organ five from toss-up to lean republican. virginia two from toss-up to lean republican. virginia seven from lean democrat to toss-up. now let's look at the big house table. in the middle in gold are 26 toss-up races that will have a big impact on the final outcome. power rankings forecast of 236 republican seats. net gain of 23 seats assumes each party wins half the toss-up districts. if republican turnout is high the g.o.p. could win more than half of those districts and make it a red wave election. a strong democratic performance would see their party take the majority of toss-ups limiting republicans to 223 seats a single digit majority. republican map expands significantly in this forecast for example in new york where crime is the n

. >> ainsley: republican mike garcia one election in being. 218.us among republicans this morning. there are still six house places still in play. >> brian: unbelievable. >> ainsley: even if the democrats got all six of those, that would take them to 217, not enough to have the majority. republicans have it. >> steve: anyway, here he is. he was talking to sean. talking to kevin mccarthy last night about how important it is. keep in end moo, the republicans have been out of power for four years. it's gonna feel good. oof course, technically, he stil has to win 218 votes when they have the election in january. >> ainsley: he won 188 to 31 he has to goat 218. >> steve: got to get them come january. here he is last night with sean. >> only republican entity that can stop this disastrous biden agenda. think for one moment, it is official. one party democrat rule in washington is finished. we have fired nancy pelosi. the one thing i know in washington, they don't hand the gavels out in small, medium and large sizes. it's one size gavel with the ability t

take a look at a couple. 27th district of california, mike garcia has an advantage of nearly ten pointse democrat all but conceded. the 41st district, ken calvert leading here. the 45th district, michelle steel expanded her lead. the 3rd district, the republican candidate with republican areas to come here, opening up an advantage of 10,000 votes. that's four right there in california where republicans have the lead in the tally. they only need three of them. democrats would have to win a couple of those, which would be a very big surprise at this point to prevent republicans from getting 218. it's moving from will republicans get to 218 to will they have a pad? can they get up to 220? 221? >> quickly on some of the california races, katie porter and -- >> the democrat actually was not a great update for her. this race tightened. scott baugh gained ground. this porter race is far from settled. if baugh can get another update like yesterday, he could be in the game. josh heard, he is doing well, but we see this in a few districts, slow count. >> they could be -- we, nbc news, could be ca

. >> bill: want to bring in congressman mike garcia, republican out of california and joins us now. good morning to you. you are #218 because your victory is what put the gop over the top. why did it take so long? thanks for being here. it took eight days to get a winner in california. why did it take so long? >> it is still one quarter of the time it took in 2020. it is california. they allow for universal vote by mail whether you ask for it or not. same day registration, no voter idea and wait for the owls and pigeons to bring in the scrolls. they haven't hired enough people to do the counting. we're proud to be 1 of 218. i'm one of a majority chartered to fix this nation and undue the ills by the legislative brafrng and the exe executive branch. >> dana: when you think about the first thing you want to tackle how does it change? you have divided government and you had the house oversight committee saying they will investigate hunter biden and joe biden. they made that very clear. >> i think all of our committees are ready to go and hit the ground running. we've established our le

county, mike garcia, a seat that biden won by 13 points.is the number one democrat when it comes to running races, that hasn't happened in 42 years. we won another seat that biden won by 14. we won seats no one thought was possible from new york to arizona, along the border from monica de la cruz, juan ciscomani. we have expanded this party, one of the goals we wanted to do as well. so we should make sure we're united as one as we move forward to achieve the goals we promised and made a commitment to the american people. maria: yeah. we're talking with monica de la cruz this morning. i know you're heading to the border on tuesday, but that 2,000-a-day estimate that they're talking about once title 42 goes away is going to mean 6.5 million people entering this country on a yearly basis. we've already seen 5 million illegally from overseas to america just on joe biden's watch. can you do anything to send money to the border? are you going to be able to move the needle on this problem? >> maria, you're right. you've been one of the leaders on

count, incumbent republican congressman mike garcia, facing democratic challenger christy smith that was a tossup. no our projection is lean republican. movement for the democrats alaska at large lean d. arizona 4, to lean d. cans says 3, lean three. new hampshire one from tossup to lean democrat. pennsylvania 17 from tossup to lean democrat. moving in the gop direction, california 47, from lean d toesup. colorado 8 from tossup to lean republican. connecticut 5 from lean democrat toesup. some blue states here. new york 19 from tossup to lean republican. north carolina 13 from tossup to lean republican. oregon 5 from h from tossup to lean republican. virginia 2 from tossup to lean republican. virginia 7 from lean democrat toesup. washington 8 from lean democrat toesup. let's take a look at the big house table. in the middle in gold are 26 tossup races. that will have a major impact. our power rankings forecast of 236 republican seats. a net gain of 23 seats assumes each party wins half of the tossup districts. if republican turnout in the districts is high, the gop cowin mower. that w

and then the 27th district, mike garcia, and this is the rematch of the second closest house race inthe country, and the democrat all but conceded this race on twitter the other day, and we have not called it. if that holds, 217 for the republicans. and then the third district, the republican with the lead of 10,000 votes, and that could be 218. and then the 41st district, 80% of the vote is in, and calvert got a boost yesterday and he's leading. you can see what i just went through, and there are a couple others as well, a clear path for republicans to get to 218. and decreasing in the number of votes left to come for the democrats. a path to 218 is there, and they would like it to be 220, or 221, but the democrats would have to pull a rabbit out of a hat to get to 218. the republicans, could they get to 220, 221 and this will give them a small majority. >> a couple follow-ups i have. seems like you predicted this, and you said it was going to come down to california. you knew then it was going to come down to california. why is california taking so long when it comes to vote counti

the military and how will america do in a head-to-head battle with china, republican congressman mike garciations to use her on a victory, very well done. and want to go with the political spin because i love it and pick up where kevin left off, she said the following about gas prices and how good things are, gas prices are now at their lowest since early march with the national average at about $3.36, $0.11 cheaper than last week and a dollar 35 cheaper per gallon since june saving american families about $140 per month. what they leave out is when the president took off gas was at $2.66, so a dollar and $0.37 more, the $145 they talk about coming you're still losing that. >> and in their mind everything is relative to whatever time. it is most convenient for them, the economics is just physics with dollar signs, for every input there is an output, for every action there is a reaction, when you spend two years under nancy pelosi, chuck schumer, and joe biden injecting into cash, liquidity and when you incentivize people to stay home rather than work and produce goods and then when you have

mcclintock: madam speaker, the announcement of mike garcia's election makes it official. the american people have entrusted republicans with the house majority. they do so at a time of unprecedented fiscal peril for our country. 40-year high inflation, economic recession, and an approaching debt crisis, all driven by the most reckless spending in our nation's history. and history is screaming this warning at us, nations that bankrupt themselves aren't around very long. republicans must reclaim the mantle of fiscal integrity and fiscal responsibility. and we should start by renouncing the tawdry, corrupt, and irresponsible practice of congressional earmarks in which individual congressmen direct spending to pet projects in their districts or grants to favored supporters bypassing merit-driven competition. i propose to the house republican conference a bidding to get rid of congressional earmarks. earmark supporters argue that the power of the purse rests with congress. therefore, it's elected members and not unelected bureaucrats should make these decisions. no, not exactl

men rudy, salas and district 27 in northern la county where republican incumbent mike garcia is up againstywoman. christy smith. mitchell says their national modeling shows of democrats can flip these two seats, then they have a good chance of winning the house. that's how important that would be as a signal as to where the national mood is. and right now the national mood does seem to be swinging in republicans' favor as voters are concerned about issues like the economy and inflation to shore up some support though here in the state governor newsom is campaigning for congresswoman katie porter in orange county today and mayor willie brown is hosting his annual free election day luncheon this tuesday. it happens every election day at john's grill in san francisco. it's attended by a who's who of bay area politics and it is open to everyone. this is a collection of people who are from the press people from the political world people holding political office people trying to hope politic office. people. wanted to be seen it happens right here at john's grill, and i am the host. i don't pay

mike garcia with a sizable lead., again, it's not something you can call right now because you've got so many votes left to come. and you don't have a sense of are they going to suddenly be a republican or democratic-friendly batch of votes. you got to wait until you get these update and is the updates come in very slowly in california postelection. >> i just can't believe the city of los angeles is still -- i think 55% of the vote counted in a city race. >> and we saw that in the mayoral primary there earlier this year that set up this matchup. it took a long time to get the results from that one. it's taking a long time in the general election now. again, essentially what the officials will tell you is, they get flooded with the mail ballots, they get flooded with people bringing in the mail-in ballots on election day and the administrative processing just really takes a lot of time and this is what you end up with. >> steve kornacki, thank you so much. so informative always. >> thanks. >>> and we have our eyes on

i don't know if it will be tonight, but the 27th district, mike garcia, the republican, continues tohways from republicans to head to 18, and i think a lot of washington's thinking about, do they get to 220, to 221? did they get to a level where they got at least a little bit of a path there, as opposed to the idea of a one seat majority. >> steve kornacki, thank you, we will check back with you if we have updates. the narrowest house majority of all-time is one vote. it was last seen after the midterm elections of 1930 and 1931. if you don't know, steve said the final margin for this next house, but as of now, nbc news predicts a narrow republican majority of about 220 seats to 215. we're still waiting on the official call, but as we prepare for this, and as washington does as well, now is the time when every republican in washington starts bullying kevin mccarthy. mccarthy is currently the republican leader, so he has all but guaranteed to because speaker of the house on january, when the new house congress is sworn in mostly, because anyone else capable of doing the job is, well,

the associated press has called california house district 27 for mike garcia.218 seats needed for control of the house. a handful of races remain uncalled. and we close out this evening with some important news about the newshour family. as many of you know, i have decided to step away from anchoring the program at the end of the year. just today, we have announced two people who will be sitting at this anchor dust -- desk, two familiar faces, senior correspondence amna nawaz who has been filling in here a lot, and geoff bennett who anchors pbs news weekend. i am thrilled to be welcoming them tonight and to know this remarkable program is going to be anchored for years to come by you two. geoff: thank you, judy. thank you. i'm honored. i'm grateful. i'm humbled. but i'm really excited. i'm so excited to be partnering with amna nawaz in writing the next chapter of the newshour's history. the newshour is special, it is a news organization driven to a mission to cover the news as a public service. my chief goal starting in the new year will be to be a good and wor

getting to 200 mating would be to pick off one of these republican-leaning seats like california 27, mike garciamething happens in the race in colorado three, or arizona six. but in a very small republican majority house, i still think kevin mccarthy would be the speaker. because who is the alternative on the republican side? jim jordan can't coalesce 200 votes, it is not as if republicans are going to say kevin mccarthy, he did not pick up as many seats for us as we hoped, so let's just throw steve scalise up there. it is not really, you know, there is not enough tentative even though there is not an almighty. >> and just as we went on this, let's say that you are 219, 219 to 216. congressman get indicted sometimes, they fall ill, some tragically might die, this is something that happens. they might get another job, and just leave abruptly, that happens. all of a sudden, when you are dealing with a margin that slim, it's not even just holding votes. there are a bunch of things that could suddenly shift power in your caucus, or in the house. >> yes, press. this is what i would call the ungoverna