s. sat center on us politics at university college, london. she's joining us from our sky on sky from there. thank you for joining us, sir. julie. so historically we know of course at a party that controls the presidency. currently the democrat has fed poorly in the midterms. where, where do you think this midterm election is added? how do you things, think things will shape out in terms of the house, the senate? are we looking at a red trickle a red way, the blue wave? well, you're right folly, that usually the office that the president who's in office, usually their party loses some seats in these mid term elections. so democrats had been bracing for that, and i think rightly so, it's expected that republicans will take the house of representatives, the lower chamber, and there's a very good chance that they will take the senate as well. the upper chamber, the senate is a much closer contest. there are several key races in several key swing states that are really a dead heat going into tuesday, so that we could really go either way and tip t

she is the co director of the center on us politics at the university college london. julie, thanks so much for being on this news. allan has plenty to unpack here, but firstly, republicans assigned. they're on track for a majority in the house, as we just heard from rosalind story. but just how big will that majority beatty think? well, emily, it's clear that the red wave that many republicans and indeed any democrats expected, did not materialize. so it is likely that republicans take the house were obviously still way for some races to be counted, but by much swimmer margin and then what's predict. so that still means they can really cause a lot of gridlock and washington can still push their agenda. so in real terms, the majority is the majority, but it does mean that they did not get the bumps that they thought that they would . and that democrats are probably a little better, better position than they thought they were going into yesterday. me, democrats and republicans have used different methods of budging. have we seen that play out? and what does that mean in

earlier i spoke to thomas gift from university college london to hear his thoughts on why the democratssense is that this was still more a matter of republican underperformance, though, than democratic overperformance. and i think most of this came down to candidate quality on the republican side, especially given polls showing dissatisfaction with the general direction of the country and biden's approvals in the low forties. it's hard to see a party doing well in that scenario unless the alternative was viewed as even worse, which i think in this case it was for many voters. so the real takeaway was that voters rejected these maga candidates, kind of these far right candidates, to espouse fringe positions who endorsed the big lie and who trafficked in election denialism. i think it was really a reflection of self moderation on the part of the electorate that we saw on tuesday. interesting. and so does that mean the worries about democracy in america, the very real worries when you have people standing for election who don't accept basic democratic principles and results, is that being

the director of the center on us politics and an associate professor and political science university college london. he says the economy has been a stumbling block for democrats. i think that democrats have faced the central dilemma in this campaign. it became more and more obvious that inflation was going to dominate the elections. but it's hard to campaign on fighting inflation when the problem has spiraled out of control under your watch. it is true that spice and the cost of living have been ramp in throughout north america and western europe. cobra, 119 pollutants war supply chain challenges. they haven't done anything to help, but you know, a case can be made and public made it, that all this was exacerbated by the fact that biden through the american rescue plan is covered stimulus bill push one point $9000000.00 into an already overheating economy back in 2021, then democrats followed up with an inflation reduction act that despite its branding, hasn't really combated inflation and can't in the short term. there are some countervailing pressures on the economy. unemployment remains relative

you are at university college london where you leave the global citizenship program on outbreaks of infectious diseases. thank you all so much for being with us. first question to you are, the rest of the world is learning to live with cove. it is a time for china to do the same well, china's been fairly successful at what it's been doing. i mean it, it ranks like 80, it's number one in the world in terms of population, but ranks 89 in terms of the number of deaths. i'm you know, if you start looking at the i. ringback you know, at the current situation, yes, they have $30000.00 cases, an absolute huge spike for china's standards. but right now, many nations aren't even keeping track in japan, 3rd largest economy in the world. it had over 60000 cases and about a 130 decimal pair to ask for ian in china. so china has a lot in terms of it's past. the question is, what is a do about future people keep saying, let's move on. that's like saying, let's move on from climate change. the viruses, the virus, you're seeing over $300.00 variance out there plus long cove. it is really hitting . a lot of pe

and a great thing for julie norman's the co director of the center of us politics and university college london. she explains what republican parties gains mean for us politics. they can really cause a lot of gridlock and washington can still push their agenda. so in real terms, the majority of the majority, but it does mean that they did not get the bump that they thought that they would. and that democrats are probably a little better, better position than they thought they were going into yesterday. it's been a mixed bag for chunk back candidates to there were a couple of victories i, j. d, vans and many other trump that candidates either have lost their races or in some of these races that really should have been the public in for the taking. so i do think it will raise some questions about their trumps electability going forward towards 2024. this is couple by a serge by his main rival in the party. ron de santis, who had a major victory in florida, just a double digit victory flipping districts that had been safe product strongholds for a while. so i think its setting up a bit of a battle

us politcs experts, drjulie norman, a lecturer in politics and international relations at university college londoner he runs again for the white house depends op how his nominated people in these elections, how successful they are?— how successful they are? trump has cast a long — how successful they are? trump has cast a long shadow— how successful they are? trump has cast a long shadow over _ how successful they are? trump has cast a long shadow over the - cast a long shadow over the midterms. many of us expect him to announce a candidacy, if his candidates win, he can claim he is leading the party and if the party does less well, he can say one who need to come in and move it forward and be on the ballot. i don't think it is unexpected that we will see him make an announcement soon. ., ~ will see him make an announcement soon-_ yes. i will see him make an announcementi soon-_ yes. he soon. you think he will run? yes, he is the front — soon. you think he will run? yes, he is the front runner— soon. you think he will run? yes, he is the front runner for _ soon. you think he will run? yes, he is t

dr thomas gift is the director of the centre on us politics at university college london.so, joe biden has _ overstating it? i don't think so, joe biden has said _ overstating it? i don't think so, joe biden has said america - overstating it? i don't think so, joe biden has said america is i overstating it? i don't think so, | joe biden has said america is at overstating it? i don't think so, - joe biden has said america is at an inflection point, especially against the backdrop of everything that happened in 2020, it is no surprise he is taking that tack. the midterms will probably reveal themselves, the full impact, not immediately be going into 2024. the reason for that is in addition to the senate and house races at stake today, there is a slew of state—level elections for governor, secretaries of state and in most us states, those individuals are responsible for certifying elections. given that many, many candidates on the republican side where election denies or suggests donald trump had the election stolen from him, if they have power over certification in 2024, tha

this is julie norman, an associate professor of politics and international relations and university college london. thanks so much for being with us julie. let's start with their. the republicans planning to go after the biden administration and his family. how big a distraction will this be for biden as he attempts to work with the republican majority in the house? >> well kim, it's a distraction that certainly expected. the democrats expected this, when the republicans took the house, with the slim edge already they will use the time to hold biden's seat to the fire, making him as unelectable as possible going into 2024. the way they're gonna do that, is by having investigations. what that does is it just keeps the attention and the news cycle and their own parties views on what they see as the main failures of a biden administration, from the afghanistan withdrawal to covid. and also especially around biden's son hunter. i think we'll see a lot of attention then, -- instead we'll see a lot of politics just leading up to 2024 and trying to smear the other side as much as possible. >> might this

to discuss the midterm results thus far is political science professor thomas gift from university college london. thanks for being with us. >> great to be here. >> let's talk about all the analysts whose forecasts were wrong. no red wave, but republicans are expected to regain troflcontrol the house. what do you think happened here? >> democrats controlling the senate confirms everyone more the totally anemic performance in these midterms. about 40% had the odds of democrats retaining the senate. but all the headwinds seemed to be trending against democrats. inflation at its highest level since the early '80s, crisis at the border, violent crime in certain cities, president with a popularity rating in the low 40s. for republicans to not take advantage of those conditions, it is hard to spin the results positively. and i think it really does distill down to candidate quality. americans rejected election de deniers, fringe positions, and we didn't see a red wave, but i think that we did see a wave of self moderation from the electorate that has been missing. >> and so you are saying that trump imp

keith mcgee is a democratic strategist and professor at at university college london, where he teaches us politics. he was both hats, in part because he's involved in democrats abroad, the parties organization for americans living overseas. but he's back in the us for election day. and we're happy to say that he's joining us from cambridge, massachusetts that we just had. janelle, probably rightly saying that the economy is shaping up to be the big issue for voters, as they head to the poles in about 12 hours time. she said that's pushing people more to the republican candidates. do you agree that a concern of the democrats? well i, i agree that the economy is a concern, and i think that we have to pay attention to just what has happened to day, where the dow gained 4.24425 points or 1.3 percent. the s and pete rose one percent. the nasdaq was up almost to percent. so i think that people are looking to what will happen to morrow, around the economy and, and what those gains will look like. and i think that it's a, it's, it's a great time for the democrats to really talk about what we s

gifts director of the center you as politics an associate professor political science at university college london. he's joining us from london bay, good avi. with a sir on al jazeera, the impression we get is that the democrats are focusing more on a high level. the goals, like democracy, and abortion was the republicans appear to be focusing as far as they're concerned on how things affect people's daily lives. a democrats missing the point which are really good question. i think that democrats have faced a central dilemma in this campaign. it became more and more obvious, and inflation was going to dominate the elections. but it's hard to campaign on fighting inflation. when the problem has spiraled out of control under your watch, it is true that spice and the cost of living have been ramp in throughout north america and western europe. code 19 putting the war. supply chain challenges. they haven't done anything to help, but you know, a case can be made and public made it, that all this was exacerbated by the fact that biden through the american rescue plan is covered stimulus bill push one po

earlier i spoke to drjulie norman, a lecturer in politics and international relations at university college londone former president trump has played a major part in the election campaign. trump has cast a long shadow of these midterms, even though he's not on the ballot. i think many of us expect them to announce a candidacy regardless of how the elections go. it is candidates when he is rightly leaving the party, in case a candidate to be in back. and if the party itself does less well it is expected to say he can come in and move it forward, he is personally the woman needs to be on the ballot. i don't think it's unexpected that we will see him make an announcement soon. you think he will run? i do. he's the front runner for right now for republicans. right now for republicans trump is still the number one choice and he would be very strong going into a primary. what about the democrats and joe biden whose languishing in the polls? how much is at stake here for joe biden in particular?— joe biden in particular? there's a lot at stake _ joe biden in particular? there's a lot at stake for _ joe b

jonathan schott, professor of neurology at university college london, says the breakthrough could meanrd: this gives real hope that we are not 'ust this gives real hope that we are not just going _ this gives real hope that we are not just going to be able to make benefits_ just going to be able to make benefits in terms of peoples cognitive abilities but they can be sustained — cognitive abilities but they can be sustained and down the line, in due course _ sustained and down the line, in due course they— sustained and down the line, in due course they are talking about potentially huge savings and clear benefits _ potentially huge savings and clear benefits from the patients and families— benefits from the patients and families were living with this devastating illness. and here's dr susan kohlhaas, director of research at alzheimer's research uk. today, seeing people out and about and people having seen the media coverage and the people were taken incredible hope that this breakthrough would lead to more breakthroughs down the line and lead to treatment that will be widely used acro

she joins us now from university college of london, center of u.s.s and expert of this world in terrorism. you are focused in on the shifting democracy of america. you used verizon on the border of mexico is the test tube all of this right now. how important is what we learned today and tomorrow morning to the democratic process of the first tuesday of november in two years? julie: it is going to be crucial for this election cycle to go smoothly for americans just to have trust in the system again. that is on the right and the left. we know that there is over 300 election deniers on the ballot today in both state and role offices. we know that many will probably be in offset of tomorrow. there might be some challenges. i think many of us are watching that closely. obviously, the democrats are trying to hammer this on. i am not sure if that messaging has stuck. other issues are in the forefront of other voters like inflation and economy. inflation is driving the votes. we still have broader concerns for what this means for the system and if we can res

joining us now from london this morning is thomas gift, who teaches political science at university college in london. very good day, sir. as this becomes a special counsel investigation, what are the political ramifications? >> well, laila, i think everything was careening toward the selection of a special prosecutor. the justice department wants to insulate itself from politics as much as possible, and attorney general merrick garland is very much an institutionalist. so unless the doj was just going to drop this case altogether, i think what we saw was the likely move. i do question the timing maybe a bit, less than a week after trump's announcement for 2024, especially if the objective is to obviate the appearance of a politically motivated investigation. i do think to some extent, it plays into trump's hands in the short term, who's already smearing this effort as a witch hunt. and in the long term, if any indictment is handed down, it increases the chances that it would occur in the heat of the 2024 election. but either way, this is going to loom over the trump campaign much like the

. >> i spoke last hour with truly norman from the university of college, london, and i asked her howmuch of the distraction these investigations will be. here she is. >> with that majority, they will use this as a time to hold biden's feet to the fire, really trying to make him as unlikable as possible going into 2024. the main tool that they have to do that is through launching these investigations, which they can do with that simple majority, however small it can be. what that does is that it keeps the attention and the news cycle and their own party's views on what they see as the main failures of the biden ministration from the afghanistan withdrawal, to covid, and of course personal issues as well especially around biden's son hunter biden. so i think that we will see a lot of the tension there, otherwise it will be a lot of gridlock on capitol hill with either party really able to get much feels levitation through. so we will see a lot of politics as we go of into 2024 and trying to smear the other side as much as possible. >> in the wake of the gop takeover, the former preside

he is the professor of italian studies at university college in london. he has been a recognized nationalist including doing a full-time -- so he gets it's a little bit of a different topic. but he has finally are with this kind of thing so would you welcome our speaker tonight sub eight. >> hello everybody. it's very nice to meet you all virtually. let me dive straight in so i can leave as much time for questions and discussion afterwards which of course is always the best. what is freemasonry? the sworn brotherhood of men originally and still to be clear only primarily men who are together dedicated to a program of self-improvement and the chief means of self-improvement comment they use rituals and symbols and moral qualities. the rituals are if you like miniature model dramas that masons act up at vast numbers of symbols are used in these rituals. masons through the history have hoovered up more and more symbols to use from all kinds of cultures and folklore since the one to use in their rituals but the original and most important of these symbols com

let's speak to professor christina pagel from university college london.group. thank you forjoining us. tell us your assessment of how bad the covid situation is in china at the moment. it is not terrible right now, their infection rates are still below our infection rates are still below our infection rates. the problem is they are in a tricky situation because only about two thirds of their oldest people are vaccinated. that means that they have a big risk if they let it go with very few previous infections and not enough vaccination in that age group that they could have devastating numbers of deaths like hong kong did earlier this year when 0micron hit there. so what they really need to do is to use the time that they can to try and boost as many of them more vulnerable people as they can now and also think about, can they bring in anti—viral treatments that can help if people get it? who; in anti-viral treatments that can help if people get it?— in anti-viral treatments that can help if people get it? why have they been so slow — help if people get it

london. she's a senior lecture and global health advisor at the university college of london school, a pharmacy at santa. we are going to look at all this from the, from the health standpoint. ok. china's policy for 3 years now has been to achieve 0 covey cases. is that still achievable? well we see that co, that is now we're in multiple re infection in every country in the world. so it is an endemic stage. so the longer that china, which doesn't have a very low coverage rate of infection compared to every other country. as a result of that, it actually has a big vulnerability because they haven't built up as many tools against it. ok, hold on, expand on that. what do you mean tools? are you talking about vaccinations? are you talking about immunity within the population? well, the immunity got results from both so you can have it. and in both cases, we know that whatever you receive from the natural infraction, or if you get vaccinated, that protection weighs over time anyhow. so that is 10. this is why we have boosters available. and now this new by dealing booster that both a pfizer and the

ok, doctorjulia norman, thank you so much, from the centre on us politics at university college londonuman rights record. society there and culture is based heavily on a strict interpretation of islamic law and an ancient tribal system. our religion editor aleem maqbool unpacks what qatar's religious laws mean for the country's women and gay community. qatar wants to show off its fun—loving side ahead of the world cup, its modernity and its hospitality. this little country with huge oil and gas reserves was economically catapulted into the future, but underneath its bedrock remains cultural and religious traditionalism. it's difficult to speak to people freely without permission from the authorities. but these students in doha's education city talked of their excitement. it's definitely a marking of history for the arabs, and we're all very proud, especially as a qatari. i'm very proud that my country is hosting such a big event. qatar has repeatedly said that it will be welcoming of all people, of all races, of all sexual orientations. and i think that a lot of the people here in qata

let's bring in professor francois balloux, director of the university college london genetics instituterk focuses on the reconstruction of disease outbreaks and epidemics. and professor yasheng huang, author of the rise and the fall of the east — which looks at explaining the power and reach of the chinese state. what would happen if china unlocked? i think that could be quite challenging. a covid surge right now leading to many cases, essentially given the absence of immunisation due to prior infection, and the fairly unsatisfactory vaccination coverage of elderly people, it could lead to a very severe number, a very large number of deaths and hospitalisation back. to make things worse, it could really kind of overwhelm the health care system. presumably the build—up immunity in china is much lower than in the western world right now? yes. the sinovac vaccine used in china is not bad but it doesn't offer the exact same coverage of immunisation as others. it was given quite a while ago for many people, because essentially there has been no infections, so it's probably pretty fragile...

friedman, my favorite, you know, but this is a very cool expert military historian of the university of london, king's colleges that he says that in principle, in principle, russia has already lost this war and it is already obvious to everyone, even to putin, but the problem is that mr. friedman says that this does not mean that russia will stop this war simply for russia in this state to stop it for putin personally would mean a complete collapse, therefore this war will continue, that is, it is more profitable for putin to burn hundreds of their e-e medians , if citizens are in principle a good definition for those people who have a russian passport, well, because it seems to me that they are very bad with citizenship , civil society, with the spirit of a citizen , in principle. he will burn his subjects in the fires of war, just so that you can continue to be in power, just continue to stay alive, stay on the mountain and be the king of this kremlin mountain, and that's all. well, these are a little sad stories, and lawrence says accordingly, he writes that for ukraine, well for example, it is necessary t

joined now by dr mitch robertson, a historian specialising in modern us political history at university college londonge red wave, which we certainly have not seen. the democrats have performed really well in the senate and even when the house. it is a good night for the democratic party. however, in the house of representatives, a different potential outcome. what are the main planks thatjoe biden would struggle to get through if he has lost control of the house, as it looks? this is going to be a big question going forward for us politics. if the republican majority in the house is actually serious about governing. if they say, ok, inflation is in double digits, here is our gender, here is the democratic agenda, can we meet in the middle? 0r here is the democratic agenda, can we meet in the middle? or are they going to purely stonewall it question mark i would say they are likely to be obstructionists. there is no republican agenda in the big problems forjoe biden attending to grass these big challenges on the economy. grass these big challenges on the econom . ., ., , ,., economy. quite often we se

me now is drjulie norman, associate professor in politics and international relations at university college londons question of how common this is. i looked at a graph in the economist magazine last weekend it basically said there are probably only a couple of occasions in the last century since 1902 when you present has not lost control of congress in the midterms and therefore most presidents kind of have to reluctantly get used to governing with a hostile congress, how do you do that as a president? how do you simply try not to be a dead doc? this simply try not to be a dead doc? is you say, it is very common and this is a historical pattern that you normally see in the last two years of the term normally characterised by a bit more gridlock to this is something we've seen in the past and there are different ways that leaders can deal with this, usually they can anticipate this to some degree so that is one reason why we often see presidents really come out often see presidents really come out of the gate strong, and we saw this with biden trying to get as much legislation through because you k

simon lewis is professor of global change science at university college london.n war does show how tight fossil fuel is we are and how we need to not only for climate change reasons but energy security reasons, get off fossil fuels. and move to clean green renewable sources of energy. it couldn�*t be clearer, given the climate impact that we have seen just this last year, a third of pakistan under water, millions displaced in nigeria from the worst floods in more than a decade, brutal heatwave in europe and also a really extreme heatwave across china this summer as well. these impacts are increasing and will continue to increase as emissions continue to go into the atmosphere. what do you think of the uk government�*s plans to get some of those energy needs from the us? a new deal with the us when some of the energy need, some of the energy will come from fracking? saying one thing, doing another? i think the uk�*s position is even worse than that. rishi sunak is proposing to give away 900 new oil and gas licenses in the uk. those wouldn�*t come on stream for at

college. university london. eric kaufmann, right three more stories, guys.ff the press this we're starting with you, rishi sunak losing control says the headlines. i don't get a sense that he's losing control, feel like his feet are very much under the table and. he's going nowhere. what's this about? well, it's is sort of well, what it's about is sort of terrible right? so, you terrible numbers, right? so, you know since sunak's come in, got know, since sunak's come in, got control, the economy sort of those polling numbers haven't budged and unless they do, a lot of tory mp are going to be out of tory mp are going to be out of a job next election and something has to change. right. so particular what i the so and in particular what i the key thing i think here is the channel crossings of these issues where backbench issues where there are backbench revolts. reform . there's revolts. i mean reform. there's a of talk now nigel a lot of talk now with nigel farage are going to farage that there are going to be to reform. some be defections to reform. some mps

let's talk to jonathan schott, professor of neurology at university college london.d are you about these findings? 50. good morning to you. how excited are you about these findings?— you about these findings? so, there is no question _ you about these findings? so, there is no question this _ you about these findings? so, there is no question this is _ you about these findings? so, there is no question this is a _ you about these findings? so, there is no question this is a landmark - is no question this is a landmark study in alzheimer's, and something thatis study in alzheimer's, and something that is extremely exciting. we have waited 20 years for a new treatment for alzheimer's disease, and not only does this treatment have some facts on the cognitive decline in individuals, it is actually getting to the heart of alzheimer's disease. we are managing to clear some of the rogue protein amyloid from the brain. so, this gives real hope that we are notjust going to be able to make benefits in terms of people's cognitive function, but that these may be sustained and ha

university belfast and specialist on russia. in singapore, a visiting lecturer at king's college london and author of the book "russia up's -- pressure'sd to war with ukraine -- "russia's road to war with ukraine." this is a day that many predicted would come, spillover of russia's war into nato territory. how have you rated the response? quick some not so sure it really is a spillover of the war. that implies something quite major. if it was a ukrainian missile, then it is actually a rather minor matter. the response has been interesting. the president does not want to see escalation if at all possible. he wants russia to back off. he wants to support mr. zelenskyy in what he is doing in ukraine, but once the administration has kept its message very tightly controlled and not gotten ahead of the facts is a good thing because more than the actual matter that took place on polish territory is the symbolism it had and the heightened anxiety within various nato countries mostly along the frontier with ukraine, so it is the psychological impact which is important. >> it does seem russia has appreciated the calm response from the u.s. might

modern european history at queen's university. belfast and a specialist on russia in singapore, summer, perri, a visiting lecturer and was study that kings college london and all 3 of the book rushes road to war with ukraine and in washington, bobbitt hunter, a former us ambassador to nate. so under president bill clinton of i will welcome to all of you, a robot. if i could start with you, this is a day that many predicted would come the spillover of rushes war into nato territory. how have you rated the response? well, i'm not sure it really is a spillover of the war that implies something quite major. if you're grading missile that when of course, then it's actually rather minor matter eyes. every spot here has been very interesting. the president does not want to see escalation. if at all possible, he wants so russia to back off wants to support mister zelinski and what he's doing in ukraine. but to have was the administration has kept his message very tightly controlled and has not gotten ahead of the facts. and this is a good thing because more than the actual matter that took place on polars territory is a symbolism, it has. and the heightened an

university of she's oco and a specialist and management and innovation. so anyways, from london and vicky price is the chief economic adviser at the center for economics and business research and visiting professor king college london. welcome to you all. thanks for your time with us on inside story, vicky price in london. the scale of all these strikes is quite unprecedented from south korea to chile, to the us, to the u. k. where you are, i mean, how would you describe the scale of this unrest? all there is no doubt and said we haven't seen anything like it in the sense that there are now nurses also going on strike something we never assume to would happen with. we're seeing teachers voting to do so. we have a postal workers doing the same, and of course the real industry has been affected by strikes for quite some time now, which i don't to increase in terms of numbers of days which are lost in december. and they're now talking about continuing all this through the winter of 2023. i think it just one more for you before i bring in my guess from new york in japan, i mean over in the u. k, there's, there is a comparison being made to of course, the infamous winter of discontent. that was back in the 19 sev

that's live and things because the university and college union is holding a major rally at king's cross in central londonhave also started a 48 hour strike today. it's part of a long running dispute overjobs and conditions. royal mail claims strike is organised by members of the communications workers union cost . i t £100 million. union cost. it £100 million. this is just the initial round of strike action because. a little bit later on we're also going to be talking about the nhs strikes , nurses, ambulance nhs strikes, nurses, ambulance workers. take their all on strike. our reporter ellie costello is live at king's cross. whether see eu rally has been taking place this afternoon . ali, what's been taking place where you are that . well, hi, where you are that. well, hi, patrick . it does look as though patrick. it does look as though we're heading headfirst into a winter of doesn't it that the scenes were felt here outside king's cross has left oresund high university higher education staff gathered to rally for better pay, better conditions and better pensions . now, if you and better pensions. now,