you understand it and you can beat up on the cbo. let's talk about this. >> we have a blueprint to put the country and the people's government here in the united states on the path to balance central to that is growth, and you can't grow when you're thrusting the barrage of regulatory rigamaroll on small businesses, the economic engine and you can't have your foot on the backs, the life blood of our economy, our energy producers and you can't raise taxes, especially on the heels of covid and the recovery that we have been trying to suffer to get back on our feet, but keep getting knocked down by dumb, economic policies from this administration. so unleashing prosperity again with the same formula that -- larry: i love that phrased. i should have used it. unleashing prosperity. >> well it was unprecedented. the 2017 trump tax cuts, along with deregulation, america-first policies, and not paying people not to work, but incentivizing work-capable people to get back into the marketplace, taken together, gave us record revenues and by the

larry: if you go from 2% growth, long run baseline and i think 1.8 from cbo and federal reserve. so, let's think of it as two, if you go from two to three percent, trump experienced for quite a hart a part of his administration. if you do all that, you would have your 3 trillion dollars, before we lose you, jodey arrington, when can you beat sense to congressional budget office and the joint tax committee, which and i have been in this game, i was with fed in the '70s, an omd in part of '80s, i was in government, they have this wrong. they have never adopted anything like this laffer curve. you get these goomba stories in news paper that trump's tax cuts cause deficit not kamala harris' spending. 5 trillion, you wouldn't get 2%. you get deep, you know deficits in growth. >> it is -- >> who knows. >> you are right, we know because we have the joe biden kamala harris 10 year budget along side your budget that puts us on a path to balance. larry: 10 year budget. >> 10 year balance -- her 10 year budget, adds 17 t trillion to the debt, highest sustain levels of taxes, spending and bo

it's on an individual cbo basis? let's say i'm a patient of health rights 360 and my health my mental health information would automatically be entered into epic if in fact that's their policy or if it's not, then it's up to the individual cbo, am i correct? >> it's a requirement for all the cb os. so there is two piece that's have to happen no matter if you go one of the cbos that uses their own system or not. so that what happened during the encounter and having the state be reimbursed for medical and the second part would be certain assessments where we have the responsibility, the local department to report that information to the state, so can can and blanking on a few other assessments. >> but hq9 and all of that would be automatically loaded in? >> correct. >> i would not say automatically but it is loaded in. >> okay, thank you, that was very helpful i know it's a question. >> commissioner christian. >> thank you for pausing to take a few questions here. on page, on the page that title what is next, on the bh

the cbo said it raised the deficit. those are facts you cannot get around and unfortunately, we can debate here and words are going back-and-forth and forth but middle-class families are suffering by the votes you passed. moderator: you said at events and on your website you would oppose federal a portion -- abortion ban legislation. mr. teirab: i am against a federal ban on abortions, any federal restrictions on abortions. we need to take a step back. this is obviously an emotional and personal issue for all people and women. when a woman faces an unplanned pregnancy, so many emotions are there. maybe joy, maybe pain, maybe anxiety, maybe fear. i know that because my mom faced an unplanned pregnancy with me. i am thankful after she called planned parenthood, she got plugged into the pregnancy resource center, which gave her resources and love and support. i am only here to this day because of the work of that organization. that tells me from my experience and my mom's experience we need to come at this issue with more

the reality is, we raised more tax revenue than cbo estimated. we've taken an record tax revenue in the federal government, both in dollar amount and as a percentage of the union. they have not caused us the money that democrats and see because of this policies. i mean, let me just go back and let me just look. he cut taxes for the wealthy and corporations primary know, every can't do that incorporates is primarily benefited from his tax, not true, but all the most of the major economists who've looked at this as donald trump's plan will be worse for inflation, worse for the economy that which ones there's three or three or four different studies? come out in the past few weeks. which one kamala harris is plans are better for the economy than and his plans will actually increase inflation number two, i should just say a lot of that is driven by the tariff policy course. >> the tariff, the tariffs are inflationary. number two, immigration, immigration policy is actually inflationary as well, because if you deport millions of people, guess what, pr

the cbo came out recently, saying it buoyed the deficit. those are the facts you cannot get around. the american middle-class families are getting a victory lap by inflation. i am a middle-class guy. we want more money in our pockets. >> there is no doubt we need to focus on middle-class policies. the 2017 tax cut and jobs act, in 2025 when i am back in congress, i will fight to keep. raise standard deduction. i will fight to keep that. the majority of those benefits went to the top 3% in our country. we need to make sure we focus on the middle class and small businesses. >> both presidential candidates have endorsed a version of no taxes on tips without specifying where they would go to cover the costs. we need to make sure, i am a middle-class guy, from a middle-class family in windham, southwest minnesota. no tax on tips makes sense, make sure we are not imposing a tax on social security makes sense. we need to focus on the middle class. that's what america is based on. >> why should tipped income be treated differently than earned income? >> my goal is to put more money in peopl

the cbo has said that would raise deficits by $5 trillion over 10 years. >> is there a number you have in your mind when you think about getting companies, getting corporations, to pay the right amount of taxes? it is a fine line. you want them to pay more, but not so much more that they will leave the u.s. is there a number in your mind? >> we proposed a 20% corporate tax rate and other kinds of loophole closures including raising the tax rates on the income of u.s. multinationals that are abroad. which we should do as part of 137 country tax agreement that we negotiated. other countries are now raising the minimum taxes on their multinationals to 15%. we think that we should do that, as well. >> i know about a time but i want to ask you personally because i have the privilege of interviewing you four times. we are in new york city. we are not far from where you grew up. when you were a girl in bay ridge brooklyn -- did you ever think this would be your life today? you embody the american dream. >> thank you. i feel immensely privileged to have had the opportunity that i had. >> what

the cbo finds that program will cost all taxpayers about $5 billion just in fiscal year 2025. >> you'res program lasts. it only lasts for one year. now, would this be an election year? is it like they don't want premiums to climb just before november but that's how the inflation reduction act is working with a $5 billion subsidy to kind of mask the fact that premiums are actually going up. reporter: so republicans say all these programs come out in election years to hide the true cost of things and end up costing americans more after the election. the cbo says the vice president's current plan with medicare subsidies would cover again, just 2025 would cost or add about $2 billion to the federal deficit but just that one year over the next 10 years. back to you. stuart: edward thank you very much. now listen to what trump says elon musk's role be in his administration in the future. roll it. >> you've also said there's a lot of fat in government you would want to slim down so what agencies would you want to shut down? >> let me have you ask another person that because i'm going to have e

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and also what is the community cbo providing this? this is--yeah. i sent a lot of people to erap and some of these things-- >> currently in the two programs on my slide eviction defense collaborative is doing the antidisplacement and transitioning that to catholic charities this year but they are also erap providers with the organization. for the sro, that is cdcd. we would agree with you. part of the antidisplacement idea is the person going through some legal or trying to avoid any kind of--they are getting back rent paid and also need a shallow subsidy to prevent going back so that was the idea with the antidisplacement. >> i like that and i like the idea expanding rent controlled units so other folks as well. a lot of people have been displace d from the rent controlled units. >> i do think--yes. subsidies do rent control certainly, but they also are used within our other affordable housing with a higher percentage of a mi and a person can't quite meet that so give a subsidy to make sure a person can get into new affordable housing. there are wa

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that's why cbo has projected to go cash flow negative in 8.5 years. so we would have cap social security in a trust and not pilfered from it like you have for the last 26 years as a politician. social security would be a better place. we have to look at things for social security like for those younger people because life expectancy is going up, make adjustments for that. >> to that point, we will stay talking about seniors. we are going to talk about long-term care. >> wisconsin is facing a serious shortage of qualified caretakers to work in nursing homes and other long-term care settings such as in-home health care and assisted living. one study says wisconsin will need an additional 10,000 health care workers over the next decade for senior care alone. do you feel the federal government should be addressing this need? if so, how? mr. hovde: thank you. it's a very serious problem. i'm the youngest year of the baby boom 60 -- baby boom generation. 1946. we will have a lot of people hitting retirement age. look. the problem is we have a lot of people

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so cbo says that we go from 98 to 122 i think 124.rs, you get 200% debt to gdp. so that's something -- obviously something that can't go on forever or won't and the question is, after this election, will there be some point of recognition, particularly with all the tax cuts that are being promised by both sides and the spending plans. they're handing out tax cuts like they're mardi gras beads, tax can its on everything from tips to tu can it's crazy what's being promised after the election you have 7 to 8% budget deficits as far as the eye can see. the question is, will the markets allow either candidate -- i think under trump the deficit goes up by 500 billion per year under harris' plan it goes up an additional 600 plan per year i have a feeling all of those are just pipe dreams i think any of those being enacted -- >> you mean the tax cuts put on the table during the campaign. >> those have zero chance of being enacted. the debt markets, the treasury market won't tolerate it. >> why do you think the treasury market continues to tol

cbo said his plans would cost 7 trilli trillion, and that was brought up.'. te tariff issue, would it start a trade war with china? fair questions. president trump says it will bring strength back to the united states. >> carley: a lot of people surprised when he said he wanted to renegotiate. she'll we'll have to see, again, other issues came up and i'm sure you'll talk about it, quite the interview. >> todd: he went after a guy with the british acobject is. going to fight him. former president trump spoke with bloomberg, kamala harris said no thanks. for the record scomb for those pe people watching, bloomberg invited vice president harris to similar interview and she declined so far. >> todd: harris campaign rejected interviews with msnbc. >> carley: she is denying some interviews, she is coming on fox today and toying with the idea going on joe rogan's show, too. what does this say about her strategy? >> joe: it shows kamala harris is showing she can't do multiple difficult interviews at once, especially when focused on the economy. what bloom dlts berg

>> just like the cbo report different than predicted.900 billion. almost $2 trillion. a lot more than projected, yeah markets more resilient than anticipated. >> thanks for being here. >> i'm a long way from the cotton patch of west texas. >> invited anytime you want. >> make your day. oil's going to 50 now. and cowboys are never winning another super bowl. >> oh, man. now you -- i didn't think you'd go there, joe. >> that's low. thank you. >> thank you. >>> when we come back we are going to take you inside the shadowy underworld of counterfeit ozempic. a story you have to hear. plus, will speak with the fema administrator as florida braces for hurricane milton. you're looking at a live shot of tampa right now. stay tuned. "squawk box" will be right back. new projects means new project managers. you need to hire. i need indeed. indeed you do. when you sponsor a job on indeed, it's easier for talented candidates to find it. which makes it easier for you to hire them. visit indeed.com/hire ah, these bills are crazy. she has no idea she's s

harris in the biden harris budget and going for them and having $4 trillion by 2034 and that's the cborom $6.5 up to $3.10 trillion in 2034 and lots and lots of excess in that. lauren: look, washington is not going to be mad but the rest of the country angry and you could mention something else. obligated, authorized but unspent. there's a lot of money throughout the budget they've had so much of these gigantic bills. larry: they had the chips bill and people think of chips as $50 billion going to intel among a bunch of other places and those moneys have not been spent. by the way, dei requirements alone could be completely cut back and that's the point. other thing is the inflation reduction act and that money is largely obligated to the number spent now and going to think wall street journal reporter is a great newspaper and some of the reporters are pretty well and going after those kinds of details to inform the viewer. >> trump policies were going to be inflationary and they said that in 2016 and had very low inflation throughout the trump presidency and they never warned about bi

that is about half of what the cbo estimated were going to be enrolled.ou only got an expansion when you provided the free stuff. people love free stuff. host: the issues of waste, fraud, and abuse, trying to expand these programs. andrea ducas, you agree that this is the fault line when it comes to health care? guest: it is hard to say because there has not been a lot of that has been part of the discussion around health care from one of the parties. it is challenging. what dr. zinberg shared is right in terms of that being one of the faultlines. we take significant issue with that analysis. i think there is a difference between somebody who is a sole proprietor and self-employed person trying to estimate how much money they will make at the beginning of the year and somebody who is fraudulently and lowering an insurance plan -- somebody was fraudulently enrolling in an insurance plan. to the extent you have actors engaging in that kind of activity that should not be happening, and there's a difference in belief about what to do about that. one way to ha

harris, in the biden-harris budget they plan to add 4 t trillion dollars by 2034 the cbo from 6.5 trillion0.3 trillion, in 2034. so there is a lot and a lot of excess in that you -- it is possible to cut, it should be cut. markets would help you, they are forward looking. as you start, one thing that i think will be important to do, is cut things that people outside of washington say, finally, i have been waiting for them, they have all this waste in my state, and they never touch it. at same time, helpful to have washington, d.c. -- >> look, yes. washington is not mad. but rest of country is very angry. you could mention for example something else. obligated authorizes but unspent, there is a lot of money they had so many huge bills time talk -- they had the covid bill that was unnecessary, in 20 -- march of 20 sworn. 21. >> american rescue plan. larry: the chips bill, 50 billion to intel. they didn't need it that was a 280 billion dollar bill, those moneys have not been spent, d.e.i. requirements alone could be cutback, that say point. the other thing, the inflation reduction act that mo

come on out here, cbo play estimated you if you believe in yourself, you are hot walker. >> what people say, you don't have to worry about it. you just have to do your best of you. that said, i'm not i know i don't eat dog. i don't keep narrow eat can what i have to always somebody told me i did not know okay. >> and so you don't have to be somebody say something because you're not happy but you just leave? >> no. >> to stop it from goodman moving? >> know you're not going nowhere. you got to say, if you're going no yacht, wherever you go, you cannot be the same thing somebody says something you just go up more no. stop it. that this me up you've been here in the u.s. 30 years. so said, yes, i've been citizen over 20s, five years. we opened up the shop, you know, everything was good until whatever happened people start moving out lot of people moving a lot, a lot of that was kinda don't make me mad and why we have to be moving because somebody says something have patience been scared here? >> they do scheme. that's why they moving. the guy said they're going to come in, shoot them. they

wayne talked about hiring pars we started i talked with by chief of staff for the cbos any cbos whosehool district and help them move into the par a position lots of things but key at the forefront to support the school district to maintain local control. >> are you done supervisor melgar? >> supervisor engardio. >> the doctor is not here. >> many are present of the board of education no, he's right here. >> let me ask the question and see who can answer it put it out into the universe but first let people know my appreciation for supervisor ronen passionate speech proposition g and got me thinking about the research for today, i came across something called public education enrichment fund to give maintain to the school for student outcomes and i learned about on out by i organization called mr. kohl i think so foundation out the art and music displacement to improve the programs what i heard did anti shows a discretionary and happening in terms of activities and impacts. but i accessary dwelling unit seen this report i don't know where is that report can we see it put it on the webs

when they took the oath of office, cbo projected that the deficit would be half of what it ends up beingyear '24, half. and why is that? they went on a $10 trillion spending spree in their first two years where the democrats controlled the white house, the house and the senate, and this is catching up to that spending. maria: so what do you want to the say then to, you know, like "the wall street journal" last week said, well, when you hook at kamala harris' spending plan versus donald trump's spending plan, donald trump adds to the deficit. how do you read these two economic plans and the impact on the deaf -- deficit? >> well, but donald trump's plan does not add $10 trillion over 10 years which, in fact, that's what harris did just as the tie-breaking vote on the american rescue plan which was a $2 trillion spending project that that paid $400 billion to people to not even work? we saw the inflation reduction act a which was roughly a trillion dollars that rewarded their environmentalist buddies, wealthy billionaires. in fact, the green energy tax credits in the inflation reduction ac

the cbo and forecasters are saying under current policy, the u.s.ing to be slow into the future and therefore the national debt goes up. if you can change the policy and get better policies, you can begin to impact the fiscal deficit. i did not agree with the numbers that came out of that report. they are against lower taxes. businesses are saying if you will give me a lower tax rate, i will produce more. there should be some kind of discussion about that included in the forecast that you are trying to work out. the federal reserve is using old models. think about -- they use a keynesian model, a phillips curve model and that permeates their thinking about the limits to growth on the u.s. economy. sonali: it has been reported earlier this year of the potential candidates that could be under a future trump administration for various posts particularly the fed, you are one of the names that have come up in reporting. you see yourself in the future administration should trump win and what you think will be his fixed impact on the market if he does? dav

cbo, people friendly, bug deadly to catch up to twice the bugs tries evo max you're leaving me for a turbotax expert who charges me last but gives me more seeing it. >> adam schiff schiff has been taking twice believe turbotax for ppi your pride's turbotax expert break this box, which toward turbotax live expert, and we'll he'll beat the price you paid your pro last tax season it immediately feels like somebody's poking directly bonded error. >> i recommend sensitive since it in toothpaste goes inside the tooth and calm center of to deal dash.com and see how much you can save i'm white and he gave me a break, doesn't mean that he's prejudice. that doesn't mike, what do you think prejudice mean in the 90s and early 2000s, we hit by no means solve racism. >> but there was some hope that we were going in all right direction. bill clinton as president the 90s at appointed a historic number of african americans to federal posted in the life first black president. >> i think americans genuinely did believe that we were further along race and discrimination. and specifically institutional r

is on advisory boards for many organizations including cbo and others. he is, he received the davis public service award from the show tax association in 2005 and distinguished or outstanding alumnus for university of dayton and also his high school i believe. so finally here he earned his phd -- from the university of wisconsin. so i know there was a lot but you've had a long and distinguished career. so thank you for coming today, taking the time. please proceed -- before we get going i also want to mention gene is associated with a blog called government we deserve, which can find on substack which is an excellent way of following his work on a continuous basis. so please go to government we deserve at the substack distribution system. gene, go ahead. >> thank you for the long introduction. i think it gets longer the older i get, not sure qualitatively. but anyway, i will really cut to the chase. you're asking how can we think about and saw more long-term problems. it's really not much different today than it's ever been in the past. and to cut to the

. >> thanks for joining me on the cbo.o you >> i could be a brad thank you very much, rick santelli >>> makers of evian are down, lowering estimates for the third quarter blaming, quote, production disruption. part of your trade in our "three stock lunch. cnbc celebrating hispanic heritage month here is arthur valdez sharing his story. >>> i today am very proud that i have that seat at the table at such an iconic brand like starbucks, and the importance for what it is as a community as we look to be the second largest community and culture in the united states. for me as an individual and those that have that seat at the table today within our hite erag and from within our hispanic community, we have to continue to set that example and be that guide and that mentorship of what's to come i'm very proud of that car, where are we going? we're here. (♪♪) surprise!!! the future isn't scary. not investing in it is. car, were you in on this? nothing gets by you james. nasdaq-100 innovators. one etf. before investing, carefully re

the cbo released their estimate, and it was much lower.s an offset, because when you treat obesity, you're offsetting heart disease, diabetes, et cetera. so there's an opportunity to offset some of these costs. we have introduced what lily has introduced is a direct program so patients can receive $99 shipped right to their home. we can't, as a country, justify waiting any longer. so lily has done the same thing. >> i think pfizer and some others have an oral they're working on. so this space is about to get very crowded. >> there's of 70 programs. >> wow, okay. is the outcome of the election next week a swing factor one way or the other? is there a set of policy proposals that you think more favor your company and the adoption and enshrinement of weight loss drugs as part of the modern culture or no? >> i think both parties are equally hard on pharma in their own ways across the board. what i think is missing here, and i'm not a political strategist by any stretch, if you have 43% of the population that's overweight, and you have a bill t

this is the same johnson, on whose orders the peace talks were disrupted at the very beginning of the cboid the precondition must be the defeat of russia and the ukrainians must have some sense of victory, because this is the only way i think they will be able to come to any negotiations. and how many more of these madmen are there in the western elites? victoria admits. island, he knows what could happen if he says such things, if all this happens, all this irresponsibility, this speaks to where the world politics has actually rolled down, the elites in power do not know what war is, they have forgotten what it is, the world was safer after the great patriotic war, including because people were at the helm who knew what it was, today managers have come who play games, not understanding that these games can lead. simply to the collapse of the world, there is an axiom, neither china nor russia can be defeated by military means, this is something that everyone will have to reckon with, therefore all these games will lead to terrible things, and i still want to return to the article of the t

one in six north dakotans is a senior citizen and the cbo, the budget office for the federal government said capping prescription drug prices for our seniors will save over $100 billion. that's an incredible amount of savings for taxpayers. so, i would've voted to cap prescription drug prices. yesterday when i was there i met a younger gentleman who had diabetes and he has lost vision because he was having to ration, he was having to ration his insulin. it was $1500 a month. and he's lost 70% of his vision. and my opponent voted against capping insulin prices at $35 an hour. i think he's changed since he went to d.c.. it's time we send someone else is willing to remember who north dakotans are and what north dakota and values are. >> this is great rhetoric. a little but and a little bit of a rhetoric. but the facts matter. it isn't 100 billion, the claim is 60 bill -- 6 billion that was saved and that's not from all 10 , but rather only three creating these. what the savings are being taken on from medicare. in other words you take the money out of medicare and then pay someone else ove

that's why cbo has projected to go cash flow negative in 8.5 years. so we would have cap social security in a trust and not pilfered from it like you have for the last 26 years as a politician. social security would be a better place. we have to look at things for social security like for those younger people because life expectancy is going up, make adjustments for that. >> to that point, we will stay talking about seniors. we are going to talk about long-term care. >> wisconsin is facing a serious shortage of qualified caretakers to work in nursing homes and other long-term care settings such as in-home health care and assisted living. one study says wisconsin will need an additional 10,000 health care workers over the next decade for senior care alone. do you feel the federal government should be addressing this need? if so, how? mr. hovde: thank you. it's a very serious problem. i'm the youngest year of the baby boom 60 -- baby boom generation. 1946. we will have a lot of people hitting retirement age. look. the problem is we have a lot of people

. >> cbo, people friendly bug deadly to catch up to twice the bugs tries evo max and harbor freight.design and test our own tools and sell them directly to, you know, middleman whatever you do, do it for less at harbor freight, save even more at our parking lot sale, going on now is set to begin. the second phase of its emergency polio vaccination campaign in gaza. today the world health organization hopes to give more than half 1 million children a second dose of the vaccine. the who's, is the first round of vaccinations was successful with 95% of eligible children inoculated in september unicef says, it's critical that all parties it's in the israel hamas war, respect the areas specific humanitarian pauses, so that aid workers can reach as many children as possible. dr. hamawy, jeffrey is the world health organization's director of polio eradication in the eastern mediterranean region. and he joins me now from doha in qatar. thank you, dr. jeffery for talking with us. >> happy to be with you. thank you. >> so what are your main concerns as this second phase of the polio vaccination

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but douglas with us right now former cbo director.. you have we can crunch the numbers on whether there will be inflationary and all of that but what you think? >> i think for them to settle the wage part of this and go back to work for a couple of months is a great boon for the economy. there's a lot of estimates about the economic loss, half a billion to $5 billion a day range. certainly the delays would have started to mount. a week of strike probably adds up to 6 weeks of delays in shipping, so there is some real pain in the future. maybe some increases in prices, perishable foods would've been a real issue and food price inflation has been 1 of the achilles' heel's recently. taking all that off the table is good news for the economy, no question about it. it makes the federal reserve's job a lot easier. >> neil: a lot of people optimistic the federal reserve doesn't have to worry about that right now. we know they will regroup on the senate could could be just right before january's inauguration of the new president. so how do yo

joining me now is louie-and-a-half leer, also former cbo director douglas holtz-eakin.great to see you both. thank you so much for being here. give us your sense of what you're expecting here. louie, obviously, inflation has come down quite a bit from the highs of 9.1 a couple of years ago. do you think it continues to come down? >> it did in september, and we want to see if owners equivalent rent, shelter costs are moderating. that's been the big bugaboo in the report. we throw that out, we have flat inflation. maria: doug, how do you see it? enter well, i agree with lou on the importance of the shelter inflation. that's been the real issue. now, the fed cut because it said it was confident that prices would continue to the decline to the 2 percent target. we've seen the core cpi at 3.22 year-over-year for three straight months, really hasn't come down much in the past six, so i'm less confident that they are, and i think this is a really important report. maria: why? >> well, we have to see some progress on the core. we've gotten good news on the top line because ener

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attracts and traps bugs 24/7 using a blue and uv light with no odor and no mess for effortless protection, cbo, people friendly, bugged, deadly this situation room with wolf blitzer weeknight cnn well, there was some surprising and good news on the economy friday with the september jobs report providing solid reassurance of a stable labor market in the weeks leading up to a consequential presidential election, the country added an estimated 254,000 jobs in september. that's smashed economist experts dictations. cnn's julia chatterley has more for us so technical way to describe this report is hot we saw, as you said, 254,000 jobs added net in september that blew past expectations. >> i immediately got texts and of calls from people saying, hang on a second. is this going to be revised lower next month while it's true that we actually already got revisions for july and august and they were positive. we also added 72,000 jobs over the past couple of months. if you add all those things together, it almost looks and you can see it in this chart a mini acceleration in the jobs market rather than th

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